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A reminder that polling questions matter – politicalbetting.com

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  • eekeek Posts: 29,735

    Suspending bookings would aggravate the shortage.

    Forget bots and block bookings. They are a symptom of the problem which is not enough slots.

    The government is said to be recruiting more examiners, but is also said to be doing this very slowly. It could offer more money; it could fast track instructors to become examiners; offer part-time jobs; it could try to attract back retired examiners. All these are supply side reforms because that is where the bottleneck is.
    There is not enough slots because currently it’s possible to charge £4-500 for a test slot so the touts can afford to book slots and not be that bothered if they don’t resell all of them (hence the examiners seating there board.

    As I said your solution is only a partial fix unless supply was infinite - there is a risk of someone trying to game the current system for profit. So y oh need to disable those seeking profit as well as increase supply
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487

    There is another problem with migrant hotels. Sooner or later Nigel Farage will notice that either more money is paid to house homeless migrants than homeless Britons, or Angela Rayner's new houses are given straight to the migrants to get them out of the hotels.

    Decades ago, this inflamed racial tensions in London. New council estates were handed over to immigrants and not locals on the waiting list. Nothing to do with woke, but simply need – immigrant families (the clue is in the name) had more children than native newly-married couples, so had higher priority.
    There is that very funny interview Big Ange gave where in the first breath she said we need loads of new homes for people then when it was stated that the estimated number of new migrants will take up most of that extra capacity she said there are already loads of homes for migrants.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    Nigelb said:

    Doesn't every provisional driving license haven a unique number ?
    Aren't they required for booking a test ?
    Companies can get access to a portal that enables them to block tests without details.

    Individuals can only book tests for themselves - using their provision license as you say.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    edited April 14

    There is another problem with migrant hotels. Sooner or later Nigel Farage will notice that either more money is paid to house homeless migrants than homeless Britons, or Angela Rayner's new houses are given straight to the migrants to get them out of the hotels.

    Decades ago, this inflamed racial tensions in London. New council estates were handed over to immigrants and not locals on the waiting list. Nothing to do with woke, but simply need – immigrant families (the clue is in the name) had more children than native newly-married couples, so had higher priority.
    Evidence: there’s a large Somalian family recently moved in to a council house down the road from me in NW1. Three or four kids. Whole house. They’re obviously not rich judging by the father’s car

    I wish them well of course and have no idea of their true circumstances - is there a disabled granny as well? Etc. But I can’t help noticing they are living in an extremely desirable london townhouse probably worth £2-3m on the open market. Next to Regent’s Park

    Judging by their faltering English they are recent migrants to the UK

    As I say, I wish them the best. But you can see how the perception of this would drive some people mad - and is catnip to any would be nativist demagogue
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    I’ll never delete twitter 😂
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933

    You're bright enough to know that this is, at a huuuuuuuge stretch, a biased and partial answer to the question of why British energy bills are so high.

    Perhaps you might want to consider why it is, if you're actually right, that well-intentioned dissembling needs to be deployed constantly to support your argument.
    I’m sure there are plenty of other complex reasons beyond grid constraints and our non-regionalised pricing system, but these are the big ones the experts repeatedly reference. There is certainly no clear correlation between renewable energy loading and energy costs, yet people are forever arguing as if that’s the case, usually with virtually no challenge.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688

    There is another problem with migrant hotels. Sooner or later Nigel Farage will notice that either more money is paid to house homeless migrants than homeless Britons, or Angela Rayner's new houses are given straight to the migrants to get them out of the hotels.

    Decades ago, this inflamed racial tensions in London. New council estates were handed over to immigrants and not locals on the waiting list. Nothing to do with woke, but simply need – immigrant families (the clue is in the name) had more children than native newly-married couples, so had higher priority.
    Numbers in hotels can come down even if arrivals are up a bit. Labour has been deporting more and processing quicker. Keep doing that and numbers in hotels can be brought down very significantly.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    Leon said:

    It’s gonna explode. Powder keg awaits matchstick
    What’s interesting is historically these people have been dumped in poor areas like Rochdale, Gateshead and Middlesbrough.

    Now they are being dumped into the leafy shires and well to do areas and causing some anxiety.

    I hope this trend accelerates.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,761
    Nigelb said:

    Doesn't every provisional driving license haven a unique number ?
    Aren't they required for booking a test ?
    Apparently unscrupulous actors, who have access to the business system for booking tests, reserve tests using other people’s driving licences without their consent, and then switch in the details of whoever buys the test.

    https://www.theguardian.com/money/article/2024/jul/04/they-have-you-over-a-barrel-how-scammers-touts-and-bots-took-over-driving-tests
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624

    There is no doubt he is the hardest "working" man in politics.
    Who, Scott or Bray ?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Taz said:

    What’s interesting is historically these people have been dumped in poor areas like Rochdale, Gateshead and Middlesbrough.

    Now they are being dumped into the leafy shires and well to do areas and causing some anxiety.

    I hope this trend accelerates.
    But, but, surely Sir Kier smashed the gangs and brought all this to an end? He did a speech about it and everything.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,287

    He really needs help.
    Why? He has an occupation he likes, enough money to get by, and can take time off as he feels fit. That's more than most people, tbh.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    vik said:

    Production is not going back to the USA. It's a complete fantasy.

    There is a great article in the NYTimes today about an American businessman who owns factories in South-East Asia producing grilling accessories and kitchen items. When asked about moving production back to the USA, his response is that this is very risky because:

    (1) How can he outfit an American factory given the hefty tariffs that now hit imports of equipment and machinery from around the world ?
    (2) How can he hire enough people in an era of mass deportation of immigrants in the USA ?
    (3) Presidents are elected for four years & factories take at least that long to recover the costs of building. If a new President changes the rules, then he'll be stuck with a loss-making factory in the USA, while his competitors could use lower-wage countries to make their goods.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2025/04/14/business/trumps-tariffs-us-imports.html
    The Trumpdozer is already flirting with halting deportations in some areas.

    https://m.farms.com/news/trump-suggests-leniency-on-farm-worker-deportations-225882.aspx

    Expect another climb down soon.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,502
    isam said:

    The crack cocaine of immigration. As more towns see hotels or blocks of flats full of the boat people, and them hanging around their quiets villages, anti immigrant sentiment will rise.

    It’s everything the public dislike about immigration crystallised into a short, sharp hit. Anti immigration parties wouldn’t have been believed if they had made it up, & there doesn’t seem to be a way to stop it
    It's really just trolling the voters.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,499
    I wish farage was going up in space this pm, towing a banner...
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Taz said:

    I’ll never delete twitter 😂

    Genuine LOL. What a complete idiot.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688
    DavidL said:

    Genuine LOL. What a complete idiot.
    It's a spoof Twitter account. You've missed considerable prior discussion of it on PB!
  • novanova Posts: 754
    DavidL said:

    Genuine LOL. What a complete idiot.
    It's a parody account ;)
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    edited April 14
    Deportation are up, but still a very small number, 8000 people a year up from 6500, and a half of that total is basically down to the Albanian deal that was done plus Romanians. My understanding is now the Albanian gangs aren't sending people via the small boats now, they have plenty of labour for criminal enterprises.

    And obviously 8k is a rounding error when you have 500k+ net legal migrants.

    I think it is all far from a solved problem.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    Taz said:

    What’s interesting is historically these people have been dumped in poor areas like Rochdale, Gateshead and Middlesbrough.

    Now they are being dumped into the leafy shires and well to do areas and causing some anxiety.

    I hope this trend accelerates.
    The Lib Dems are underestimated as a vehicle for nativism. If this becomes an issue in Tory/Lib Dem marginals they could outflank the Tories on the right.
  • theProletheProle Posts: 1,302

    Companies can get access to a portal that enables them to block tests without details.

    Individuals can only book tests for themselves - using their provision license as you say.
    Surely this is dead easy to fix if there are enough tests available - only let companies book 10% more tests than the number actually filled (not booked) in the previous tranche.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Oh, well, it appears that I am just somewhat naïve.

    It's probably better that way.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    Leon said:

    Evidence: there’s a large Somalian family recently moved in to a council house down the road from me in NW1. Three or four kids. Whole house. They’re obviously not rich judging by the father’s car

    I wish them well of course and have no idea of their true circumstances - is there a disabled granny as well? Etc. But I can’t help noticing they are living in an extremely desirable london townhouse probably worth £2-3m on the open market. Next to Regent’s Park

    Judging by their faltering English they are recent migrants to the UK

    As I say, I wish them the best. But you can see how the perception of this would drive some people mad - and is catnip to any would be nativist demagogue
    So just tell everyone who raises it they are racist and that will soon shut people up.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,509
    Taz said:

    What’s interesting is historically these people have been dumped in poor areas like Rochdale, Gateshead and Middlesbrough.

    Now they are being dumped into the leafy shires and well to do areas and causing some anxiety.

    I hope this trend accelerates.
    It depends how you do it. In my area (a very rich part of leafy Surrey) a local hotel had been used for Asylum seekers for 2 years. Nobody knew. It appears they were welcomed into the community. It has now been refurbished and is being returned to its previous use and locals are upset they are leaving. You can check it out - Thatchers Hotel.

    I suspect you get more issues when these are put in overcrowded deprived areas or you overload an area.

    Similarly around this way we have Send prison. Most people wouldn't even know it was there. In fact I just looked it up and found out it is a women's prison, whereas I thought it was a young offenders prison (might have changed use). It is next door to East Clandon. You could not find a more quintessential picture postcard village and nobody cares. If you tried to build one though.....
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    I noted that the Oscars are going to have a special award for stunt performers....Ed Davey must be in the running.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    I noted that the Oscars are going to have a special award for stunt performers....Ed Davey must be in the running.

    He mainly does fantasy films, doesn't he?
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735

    I noted that the Oscars are going to have a special award for stunt performers....Ed Davey must be in the running.

    From the 2027 Oscars it’s past due as an award but it does mean that Tom Cruise won’t get it (and he really should as he often does stunts stuntmen refuse to do).
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    On behalf of all PB I am proceeding to the Palace of Peace and Reconciliation, having earlier placed my hand in the golden handprint of Nur-Sultan Nazarbayev
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,629

    Steve Bray has been cleared at Westminster Magistrates’ Court of “flouting a police ban on playing anti-Conservative and anti-Brexit music through speakers outside Parliament in March last year.”

    Oh FFS....

    That's not quite the story afaics.

    Bray was found not guilty of failing without reasonable excuse to comply with a direction given under the Police Reform and Social Responsibility Act 2011 “re prohibited activities in Parliament Square” at Westminster magistrates court.
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025/apr/14/stop-brexit-man-steve-bray-cleared-flouting-ban-music-outside-parliament

    As I read it, non-local police tried to move him on, displaying a map of where he was allowed to be under a specific piece of legislation. He pointed out that the map was out of date so kept on. They returned later and confiscated his speakers anyway.

    And he was cleared.

    So it's more like avoiding a speeding ticket when all the limit signs were hidden in a hedge.

    Police cockup, not breaking a law.

    Lesson 101: bring a relevant prosecution, and get your ducks in a row.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,629
    HYUFD said:

    Not if they only buy American goods and products.

    There also comes a point where over 100% tariffs on Chinese goods imports means it makes more sense to produce those goods for the US market in the US
    Yes, and Mr Trump will then be done by the other handle on the other end of the rake.

    Usonians want cheap goods, not to pay 50-100% extra for their consumer disposables for the sake of Putting America First.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    Leon said:

    On behalf of all PB I am proceeding to the Palace of Peace and Reconciliation, having earlier placed my hand in the golden handprint of Nur-Sultan Nazarbayev

    Thanks
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    Thanks
    Says you. I might be out of a job.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    DavidL said:

    He mainly does fantasy films, doesn't he?
    Yebbut, 72.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Wandering around Central Asia these last weeks, one thing I’ve noticed. Kids. Everywhere. Billions of them. Babies in planes. Pushchairs in lifts. School kids laughing in streets. Young people!

    It can be a tad annoying but also very heartening. How is Central Asia avoiding birth rate collapse? Because it really is - a startling outlier

    Answers on a Mother’s Day card, please
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,918
    edited April 14
    kjh said:

    It depends how you do it. In my area (a very rich part of leafy Surrey) a local hotel had been used for Asylum seekers for 2 years. Nobody knew. It appears they were welcomed into the community. It has now been refurbished and is being returned to its previous use and locals are upset they are leaving. You can check it out - Thatchers Hotel.

    I suspect you get more issues when these are put in overcrowded deprived areas or you overload an area.

    Similarly around this way we have Send prison. Most people wouldn't even know it was there. In fact I just looked it up and found out it is a women's prison, whereas I thought it was a young offenders prison (might have changed use). It is next door to East Clandon. You could not find a more quintessential picture postcard village and nobody cares. If you tried to build one though.....
    There's certainly a few here in the Flatlands.

    Some are in completely inappropriate industrial locations with very little in the way of local facilities so you see people wandering about. The Rotherham one was in this category although it was also near to a couple of recent housing estates which is where the trouble started.

    I think the problem is putting so many people all in one place. I assume this is because they are monitored in some way but there has to be a better solution.

    In some ways an old airfield - with new facilities and not just some crappy portacabins - would actually be a better solution, even if it starts to look like a prison camp. I mean, so does Centre Parcs, and people pay to go there...

    Of course, the government would do it on the cheap thus rendering it unviable.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    edited April 14
    eek said:

    From the 2027 Oscars it’s past due as an award but it does mean that Tom Cruise won’t get it (and he really should as he often does stunts stuntmen refuse to do).
    It would have been a really fitting thing to give him the first ever award for it. He might be a weird Scientologist, but its undeniable his dedication to the craft of doing these stunts.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    You're bright enough to know that this is, at a huuuuuuuge stretch, a biased and partial answer to the question of why British energy bills are so high.

    Perhaps you might want to consider why it is, if you're actually right, that well-intentioned dissembling needs to be deployed constantly to support your argument.
    Is TimS right?
    The answer appears to be 'Mostly Right'

    "Conclusion: The marginal pricing system, heavily influenced by gas, is a major driver of high UK electricity prices, amplified by global gas volatility. Transmission constraints add costs but are less significant. Other factors—high gas reliance, inefficient housing, and policy levies—also contribute. Reforms like zonal pricing or decoupling renewables from gas prices could help, but no single fix addresses all issues."

    With thanks again to Grok.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    edited April 14

    There's certainly a few here in the Flatlands.

    Some are in completely inappropriate industrial locations with very little in the way of local facilities so you see people wandering about. The Rotherham one was in this category although it was also near to a couple of recent housing estates which is where the trouble started.

    I think the problem is putting so many people all in one place. I assume this is because they are monitored in some way but there has to be a better solution.

    In some ways an old airfield - with new facilities and not just some crappy portacabins - would actually be a better solution, even if it starts to look like a prison camp. I mean, so does Centre Parcs, and people pay to go there...

    Of course, the government would do it on the cheap thus rendering it unviable.
    We saw in COVID China and Australia put up very quickly lots of pre-fab dwellings to house people.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,664
    My favourite t-shirt says

    ‘Bukkake ruined my carpet.’
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,629
    Taz said:

    Who, Scott or Bray ?
    I remember thinking of a film of Bray:

    "Hmm. Why is he standing a few feet down the entrance ramp to a car park?"

    The authorities do get some sympathy, given the complexity:

    https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/640860f4e90e0740dafbbc5f/Map_2.jpg
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814

    I noted that the Oscars are going to have a special award for stunt performers....Ed Davey must be in the running.

    Stunt performers?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    Leon said:

    Wandering around Central Asia these last weeks, one thing I’ve noticed. Kids. Everywhere. Billions of them. Babies in planes. Pushchairs in lifts. School kids laughing in streets. Young people!

    It can be a tad annoying but also very heartening. How is Central Asia avoiding birth rate collapse? Because it really is - a startling outlier

    Answers on a Mother’s Day card, please

    Nought much else to on an evening?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814

    Is TimS right?
    The answer appears to be 'Mostly Right'

    "Conclusion: The marginal pricing system, heavily influenced by gas, is a major driver of high UK electricity prices, amplified by global gas volatility. Transmission constraints add costs but are less significant. Other factors—high gas reliance, inefficient housing, and policy levies—also contribute. Reforms like zonal pricing or decoupling renewables from gas prices could help, but no single fix addresses all issues."

    With thanks again to Grok.
    Thanks, what was the prompt?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,918

    We saw in COVID China and Australia put up very quickly lots of pre-fab dwellings to house people.
    Yes, although you'd need plenty of communal facilities too which probably weren't required for Covid...

    This half way house of putting people "in the community" even when there isn't really one locally, and also not allowing them to work just doesn't seem to be right to me.

    Either allow them to work and live vaguely normally, or have a dedicated facility and process them faster. One or the other!
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814

    My favourite t-shirt says

    ‘Bukkake ruined my carpet.’

    Have you tried some shake and vac, to put the freshness back?
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    Thanks, what was the prompt?
    Are UK energy prices: highest in Europe due to marginal price of gas generation and a poor transmission system
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Nought much else to on an evening?
    Nope. Not that. They all have phones and laptops and iPads like the rest of us. They also have big cities with bars like Almaty and Astana

    Here’s another anomaly. No litter - or almost none. And no graffiti. Not sure I’ve seen a single piece of graffiti since arriving. There are also signs everywhere warning you not to litter - and warnings about fines - and the fines are enforced (so I am told)

    So it can be done. We just pathetically lack the will in the west. Start nicking people for littering - and make it HURT - and it stops
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    edited April 14
    Leon said:

    Nope. Not that. They all have phones and laptops and iPads like the rest of us. They also have big cities with bars like Almaty and Astana

    Here’s another anomaly. No litter - or almost none. And no graffiti. Not sure I’ve seen a single piece of graffiti since arriving. There are also signs everywhere warning you not to litter - and warnings about fines - and the fines are enforced (so I am told)

    So it can be done. We just pathetically lack the will in the west. Start nicking people for littering - and make it HURT - and it stops
    Its the Singapore model.

    Its the first thing I noticed when I got back from Asia, just how every f##king thing in London appears to be tagged. I can only imagine what people from Asia think.
  • HYUFD said:

    If you bought US goods before the price you pay will be unchanged
    That's not the case.

    Firstly, many "US goods" have cross-border supply chains so the cost of producing US goods will increase. Secondly, if your foreign competitor's price goes through the roof, you can respond that by increasing your production OR increasing your prices. The second is probably wiser as increasing capacity is costly, and you don't know if the President will change his mind tomorrow (indeed, he has on computers and smartphones as well as delaying tariffs generally).

    I'm not a fan of strategic trade policies anyway, but if you're going to do it then you definitely don't do it like Trump. You pick the targets carefully depending on what production you're keen to bring on-shore. Then you give yourself a chance of driving investment decisions by setting it on a ratchet where you arrive at whatever the level is over a few years - so you're clear it's long term and give time to respond via investment. As it is, the tariffs are very annoying for those importing goods or materials into the US, but they aren't likely to drive behaviour in the way proponents want - companies just suck it up and wait for policy to change as it's so hard to make a proper assumption as to what policy will be next week let alone in 2028.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Its the Singapore model.

    Its the first thing I noticed when I got back from Asia, just how every f##king thing in London appears to be tagged.
    I know. I hate it. And it makes me despair - the whole of Western Europe is now like this. Paris is just as bad as London

    In Kazakhstan it’s particularly noticeable because they inherited a terrible Soviet attitude to the environment - that it is something to be exploited and trashed. Not least the Aral Sea

    Yet somehow they are turning it around. Instilling civic pride and enforcing the law. When I went to the charyn canyon national park (extremely boring) I was given, like everyone else, a bag for me to take my garbage home. And looming over me was a huge sign saying: BAG YOUR TRASH OR ELSE

    And, it works
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198

    There's certainly a few here in the Flatlands.

    Some are in completely inappropriate industrial locations with very little in the way of local facilities so you see people wandering about. The Rotherham one was in this category although it was also near to a couple of recent housing estates which is where the trouble started.

    I think the problem is putting so many people all in one place. I assume this is because they are monitored in some way but there has to be a better solution.

    In some ways an old airfield - with new facilities and not just some crappy portacabins - would actually be a better solution, even if it starts to look like a prison camp. I mean, so does Centre Parcs, and people pay to go there...

    Of course, the government would do it on the cheap thus rendering it unviable.
    The reasons why hotels were used in the first place is pure Process State.

    It is very easy to stop things happening. So any attempt to build purpose built sites was blocked. So they came up with the barge idea. Again, blocked.

    It is very hard to stop someone using a hotel to house the number of people that it is licensed for.

    It meet all the fire regs, safety, disability accessibly (probably) etc etc.

    It may very well be a bad solution - but it is *easy*.

    The government hires the whole hotel out. There is no planning permission, consultation, change of use, public enquiries or anything else.
  • FossFoss Posts: 1,394

    The reasons why hotels were used in the first place is pure Process State.

    It is very easy to stop things happening. So any attempt to build purpose built sites was blocked. So they came up with the barge idea. Again, blocked.

    It is very hard to stop someone using a hotel to house the number of people that it is licensed for.

    It meet all the fire regs, safety, disability accessibly (probably) etc etc.

    It may very well be a bad solution - but it is *easy*.

    The government hires the whole hotel out. There is no planning permission, consultation, change of use, public enquiries or anything else.
    No local democracy shouldn't be a selling point.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,144
    edited April 14

    Is TimS right?
    The answer appears to be 'Mostly Right'

    "Conclusion: The marginal pricing system, heavily influenced by gas, is a major driver of high UK electricity prices, amplified by global gas volatility. Transmission constraints add costs but are less significant. Other factors—high gas reliance, inefficient housing, and policy levies—also contribute. Reforms like zonal pricing or decoupling renewables from gas prices could help, but no single fix addresses all issues."

    With thanks again to Grok.
    Electricity isn't the only energy bill though. Very roughly, and in comparison to other European countries:

    Petrol - cheap
    Diesel - expensive
    Domestic gas - very cheap
    Domestic electricity - average
    Industrial gas - average
    Industrial electricity - very expensive

    Broadly speaking, the UK doesn't have it too bad. It's industrial electricity which is the real killer.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814

    Are UK energy prices: highest in Europe due to marginal price of gas generation and a poor transmission system
    So it really just repeated what you gave it.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814

    The reasons why hotels were used in the first place is pure Process State.

    It is very easy to stop things happening. So any attempt to build purpose built sites was blocked. So they came up with the barge idea. Again, blocked.

    It is very hard to stop someone using a hotel to house the number of people that it is licensed for.

    It meet all the fire regs, safety, disability accessibly (probably) etc etc.

    It may very well be a bad solution - but it is *easy*.

    The government hires the whole hotel out. There is no planning permission, consultation, change of use, public enquiries or anything else.
    The barge idea wasn't really blocked - Labour scrapped it.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    Foss said:

    No local democracy shouldn't be a selling point.
    When all options have been exhausted...

    NIMBYism ensured that no solution requiring any planning input could move forward. At every attempt a coalition of locals and pro-asylum groups formed to block it.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    When all options have been exhausted...

    NIMBYism ensured that no solution requiring any planning input could move forward. At every attempt a coalition of locals and pro-asylum groups formed to block it.
    Pro asylum people are sometimes so crazy - open all the borders! Let anyone in! - I sometimes genuinely wonder if they are crypto-fascists trying to facilitate a far right takeover
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited April 14
    Mainstreet Research in Canada with a bit of an outlier poll.

    Con 44%
    Lib 42%
    NDP 6%
    BQ 4%
    Grn 2%
    PPC 1%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election#National_polls
  • Frank_BoothFrank_Booth Posts: 125

    Its the Singapore model.

    Its the first thing I noticed when I got back from Asia, just how every f##king thing in London appears to be tagged. I can only imagine what people from Asia think.
    Tagged?
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    So it really just repeated what you gave it.
    No, it answered the question.
    I'd like to ask other PBers if they have used AIs which ones they have found useful.
    I've used a few and some give just plausible but completely wrong answers - so it's always worth being skeptical,
    My son is buying a leasehold flat and everything I asked Grok about that and then checked with usual Bing and Google searches turned out to be correct.
    I'm now looking at a charger and battery for my 2nd hand e-208 and again it's proved useful.
    So, it's really up to you to poke holes in Grok's conclusion - or you could admit that you may be wrong.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    The reasons why hotels were used in the first place is pure Process State.

    It is very easy to stop things happening. So any attempt to build purpose built sites was blocked. So they came up with the barge idea. Again, blocked.

    It is very hard to stop someone using a hotel to house the number of people that it is licensed for.

    It meet all the fire regs, safety, disability accessibly (probably) etc etc.

    It may very well be a bad solution - but it is *easy*.

    The government hires the whole hotel out. There is no planning permission, consultation, change of use, public enquiries or anything else.
    The solution is to return every illegal migrant to the country they just left.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,629

    Its the Singapore model.

    Its the first thing I noticed when I got back from Asia, just how every f##king thing in London appears to be tagged. I can only imagine what people from Asia think.
    I'm with you both on this one.

    Pavement parking, too.

    Going to the Polish Supermarket this morning, there was a huge (pantechnicon) parked across the pavement, unloading.

    In the road it only gives 1.75 cars rather than 1.25 cars width, so there's no earthly point in doing it. Yet they don't even think. It's a vehicle - keep it in the carriageway.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688

    Tagged?
    Marked with an identifying piece of graffiti.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    So it really just repeated what you gave it.
    Taking your replay at face value, I asked Grok "It seems that UK electricity prices are so high due to renewables"
    and it said
    "So, are renewables the culprit? They contribute to costs through subsidies and grid upgrades, but gas prices and the market’s pricing model are bigger factors right now. Long term, more storage and smarter grids could let renewables shine, but we’re not there yet. It’s less about renewables being “bad” and more about a system still playing catch-up"

    That seems to have mostly disagreed with my prompt.

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804
    Leon said:

    Evidence: there’s a large Somalian family recently moved in to a council house down the road from me in NW1. Three or four kids. Whole house. They’re obviously not rich judging by the father’s car

    I wish them well of course and have no idea of their true circumstances - is there a disabled granny as well? Etc. But I can’t help noticing they are living in an extremely desirable london townhouse probably worth £2-3m on the open market. Next to Regent’s Park

    Judging by their faltering English they are recent migrants to the UK

    As I say, I wish them the best. But you can see how the perception of this would drive some people mad - and is catnip to any would be nativist demagogue
    It'd be interesting to know where a 'would-be nativist demagogue' would want them to live.

    Do we have any on here we can ask?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    That wasn't my point that is a separate issue.

    I was wondering why they are being weird about saying when / where the delivery is coming from. You would think having taken action, they would want to reassure we now have the situation under control, coal will arrive in x days, etc.

    It is also the confusing take of today they continued to say even if we do nationalise it, we are going to look to offload it ASAP to a private entity but no Chinese companies allowed. But we know nobody wanted it last time.

    I really don't understand why they don't just say we are going to nationalise it, it is the only way forward and it is vital for national security.
    Since when have you Tories been pro nationalisation? You'll be asking for Thames Water to be nationalised next.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688
    Andy_JS said:

    The solution is to return every illegal migrant to the country they just left.
    That is basically government policy now, which is a big step up from the last government, whose policy was not to process anyone so the numbers built up and they could be outraged.

    However, PR problems occur as people don't understand who actually constitutes as an "illegal migrant" and the steps necessary to make such a determination.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    kinabalu said:

    It'd be interesting to know where a 'would-be nativist demagogue' would want them to live.

    Do we have any on here we can ask?
    I would suggest “not in some of the most expensive desirable property in the United Kingdom”. And I would enforce a law that gives you greater rights to more expensive areas the longer you have lived in the UK, if you were born here, etc

    I believe the Tories brought in a law - or were about to - somewhat to this effect? Then Starmer cancelled it ASAFP

    It’s like Labour all secretly want Farage to win in 2029
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,629
    Latest Trump cuts: Health Programmes for 9/11 victims.

    This affects cancer checks and treatment for eg Fire Fighters, having entered buildings containing significant amounts of asbestos.

    His Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, was at the top of Cantor-Fitzgerald.
    https://nycclc.org/news/trump-administration-guts-world-trade-center-health
  • MattW said:

    Pavement parking, too.

    Going to the Polish Supermarket this morning, there was a huge (pantechnicon) parked across the pavement, unloading.

    This is a pet hate of mine as my sister is a wheelchair user. There's a Indian takeaway in our village, customers and delivery drivers constantly park on the pavement even though there's a car park literally a stone's throw away.

    I had a loud and intense discussion about this when the owner blocked the pavement with his car while unloading, preventing my sister from getting though. He seemed completely baffled anyone would object to him parking on the pavement.

    And there's zero enforcement of course, my complaints to the local council and Police have resulted in a big fat pile of no action at all.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,317

    The reasons why hotels were used in the first place is pure Process State.

    It is very easy to stop things happening. So any attempt to build purpose built sites was blocked. So they came up with the barge idea. Again, blocked.

    It is very hard to stop someone using a hotel to house the number of people that it is licensed for.

    It meet all the fire regs, safety, disability accessibly (probably) etc etc.

    It may very well be a bad solution - but it is *easy*.

    The government hires the whole hotel out. There is no planning permission, consultation, change of use, public enquiries or anything else.
    It’s a massive earner for the hotel owner and middle man as well

    A network of middlemen are making millions from the migrant crisis by striking deals with run-down hotels and filling them with asylum seekers.

    Companies are taking fees and commission every time a migrant is given accommodation, a Sunday Times investigation has revealed.

    The cost to the taxpayer of housing a asylum seeker is between £127 and £148 a day — a total daily bill of £8 million. The investigation found that hotel owners receive between £40 and £80, with the rest going to the middlemen companies.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/the-salesmen-making-millions-from-asylum-hotels-k776jfd66
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,592
    MattW said:

    I'm with you both on this one.

    Pavement parking, too.

    Going to the Polish Supermarket this morning, there was a huge (pantechnicon) parked across the pavement, unloading.

    In the road it only gives 1.75 cars rather than 1.25 cars width, so there's no earthly point in doing it. Yet they don't even think. It's a vehicle - keep it in the carriageway.
    Pavement parking is generally legal (except in London) as long as pedestrians can still get past. That would include a wheelchair or double buggy. But the offence is obstructing the highway which is not a ticketable offence so the police can't be arsed.

    Like you, it annoys me when vehicles block the pavement and still don't give space for 2 cars to pass, as you say it's pointless
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,761
    edited April 14
    Eabhal said:

    Electricity isn't the only energy bill though. Very roughly, and in comparison to other European countries:

    Petrol - cheap
    Diesel - expensive
    Domestic gas - very cheap
    Domestic electricity - average
    Industrial gas - average
    Industrial electricity - very expensive

    Broadly speaking, the UK doesn't have it too bad. It's industrial electricity which is the real killer.
    My guess would be that the high UK electricity prices are due primarily to the relatively high proportion of UK electricity generated by gas power stations.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296
    Leon said:

    I would suggest “not in some of the most expensive desirable property in the United Kingdom”. And I would enforce a law that gives you greater rights to more expensive areas the longer you have lived in the UK, if you were born here, etc

    I believe the Tories brought in a law - or were about to - somewhat to this effect? Then Starmer cancelled it ASAFP

    It’s like Labour all secretly want Farage to win in 2029
    Was this written in code? Would you mind providing a key?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,487
    edited April 14

    Since when have you Tories been pro nationalisation? You'll be asking for Thames Water to be nationalised next.
    I don't know how many times you keep up with this rubbish that I am a Tory, despite being told time and time again otherwise.

    I posted several times about Boris cancelling his task force for reducing reliance on China for crucial element of our economy as an absolutely stupid move. It was an opportunity to think carefully about the elements of the economy that going full globalisation might not be ideal. Virgin steel production seems like a good example of something that we might need to think about. The base chemicals for advanced pharmaceuticals is another.

    Also, again it isn't really if I am pro nationalisation or not, Starmer stood on a platform for the leadership that they were pro it for rail, water, etc. And now given the opportunity to do so (and same with Port Talbot), I find it a bit confusing they don't seem to want to now.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 14
    Andy_JS said:

    Mainstreet Research in Canada with a bit of an outlier poll.

    Con 44%
    Lib 42%
    NDP 6%
    BQ 4%
    Grn 2%
    PPC 1%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election#National_polls

    Gives a 0.5% swing from Liberal to Conservative since 2021 and a far bigger swing from the NDP to the Liberals and Conservatives and a 2% swing from PPC to Conservative and a swing from the BQ to the Liberals and Conservatives.

    Not that big an outlier either, most polls have the Liberals on 42%-46% and the Conservatives on 37% to 44%

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    Since when have you Tories been pro nationalisation? You'll be asking for Thames Water to be nationalised next.
    Rolls Royce
  • nico67nico67 Posts: 5,090
    edited April 14
    MattW said:

    Latest Trump cuts: Health Programmes for 9/11 victims.

    This affects cancer checks and treatment for eg Fire Fighters, having entered buildings containing significant amounts of asbestos.

    His Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, was at the top of Cantor-Fitzgerald.
    https://nycclc.org/news/trump-administration-guts-world-trade-center-health

    What a despicable thing to do . Why aren’t the US media all over this ?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624

    There is that very funny interview Big Ange gave where in the first breath she said we need loads of new homes for people then when it was stated that the estimated number of new migrants will take up most of that extra capacity she said there are already loads of homes for migrants.
    This interview.

    https://x.com/darrengrimes_/status/1865762359148523691?s=61
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,804
    edited April 14
    Leon said:

    I would suggest “not in some of the most expensive desirable property in the United Kingdom”. And I would enforce a law that gives you greater rights to more expensive areas the longer you have lived in the UK, if you were born here, etc

    I believe the Tories brought in a law - or were about to - somewhat to this effect? Then Starmer cancelled it ASAFP

    It’s like Labour all secretly want Farage to win in 2029
    But it's a feature not a bug of London that you have council housing slap bang in desirable locations. It mixes things up as opposed to having sterile rich ghettos. Eg there's some near me. I often pass quite close to it. Wouldn't have it any other way.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    I don't know how many times you keep up with this rubbish that I am a Tory, despite being told time and time again otherwise.
    Weren't you once a Tory Prime Minister?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624

    I don't know how many times you keep up with this rubbish that I am a Tory, despite being told time and time again otherwise.

    I posted several times about Boris cancelling his task force for reducing reliance on China for crucial element of our economy as an absolutely stupid move. It was an opportunity to think carefully about the elements of the economy that going full globalisation might not be ideal. Virgin steel production seems like a good example of something that we might need to think about. The base chemicals for advanced pharmaceuticals is another.

    Also, again it isn't really if I am pro nationalisation or not, Starmer stood on a platform for the leadership that they were pro it for rail, water, etc. And now given the opportunity to do so (and same with Port Talbot), I find it a bit confusing they don't seem to want to now.
    He’s an imbecile, says I’m a Tory too. Anyone who is not 100% happy clappy on board with the Labour govt is a ‘Tory’ in his world. What a mug.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    edited April 14
    MattW said:

    Yes, and Mr Trump will then be done by the other handle on the other end of the rake.

    Usonians want cheap goods, not to pay 50-100% extra for their consumer disposables for the sake of Putting America First.
    Swing voters care about cost of living most which is why the GOP likely lose power at the midterms and in 2028 the White House.

    However MAGA want more rustbelt manufacturing jobs first and to tariff the hell out of imports, especially from China, until they get them as well as to deport lots of immigrants and they currently make up most of the Republican primary voters alongside evangelical Christians
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Was this written in code? Would you mind providing a key?
    Coz I’m enjoying Astana Nur Sultan and now heading for a gin and tonic in Kazakhstan’s best Game of Thrones themed craft beer bar I’ll do a special “retard service” and give you an easily understood link

    “The Labour government officially scraps Conservatives’ proposed ‘British Homes for British Workers’ policy

    By Olivia Barber3 September 2024”

    https://www.housingtoday.co.uk/news/the-government-officially-scraps-conservatives-proposed-british-homes-for-british-workers-policy/5131340.article
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    isam said:

    It’s a massive earner for the hotel owner and middle man as well

    A network of middlemen are making millions from the migrant crisis by striking deals with run-down hotels and filling them with asylum seekers.

    Companies are taking fees and commission every time a migrant is given accommodation, a Sunday Times investigation has revealed.

    The cost to the taxpayer of housing a asylum seeker is between £127 and £148 a day — a total daily bill of £8 million. The investigation found that hotel owners receive between £40 and £80, with the rest going to the middlemen companies.


    https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/the-salesmen-making-millions-from-asylum-hotels-k776jfd66
    It’s also a massive earner for the lawyers and the legal people involved in the application and appeals process.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,154
    nico67 said:

    What a despicable thing to do . Why aren’t the US media all over this ?
    The Us media are a little bit busy right now covering the Ass-tronauts all-girls space extravaganza so give them a break, they will get round to minor stuff once the post space trip interviews are over.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688
    nico67 said:

    What a despicable thing to do . Why aren’t the US media all over this ?
    The US media is very, very partisan. Half of them are more interested in being propaganda for the Trump administration than reporting the truth.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    MattW said:

    His Secretary of Commerce, Howard Lutnick, was at the top of Cantor-Fitzgerald.
    https://nycclc.org/news/trump-administration-guts-world-trade-center-health

    I saw a post on TwiX that said Lutnick sued the airline for over a hundred million dollars, but didn't give any of it to the bereaved families
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    boulay said:

    The Us media are a little bit busy right now covering the Ass-tronauts all-girls space extravaganza so give them a break, they will get round to minor stuff once the post space trip interviews are over.
    Yes Katy Perry and Jeff Bezos' wife each paid $150 000 just for the deposit on their space trip so want proper coverage of it
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,688
    kinabalu said:

    But it's a feature not a bug of London that you have council housing slap bang in desirable locations. It mixes things up as opposed to having sterile rich ghettos. Eg there's some near me. I often pass quite close to it. Wouldn't have it any other way.
    Leon appears to want some sort of class-based racism, where the richer you are, the more racist you get to be.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296

    I don't know how many times you keep up with this rubbish that I am a Tory, despite being told time and time again otherwise.

    I posted several times about Boris cancelling his task force for reducing reliance on China for crucial element of our economy as an absolutely stupid move. It was an opportunity to think carefully about the elements of the economy that going full globalisation might not be ideal. Virgin steel production seems like a good example of something that we might need to think about. The base chemicals for advanced pharmaceuticals is another.

    Also, again it isn't really if I am pro nationalisation or not, Starmer stood on a platform for the leadership that they were pro it for rail, water, etc. And now given the opportunity to do so (and same with Port Talbot), I find it a bit confusing they don't seem to want to now.
    I don't disagree with you over the reluctance to nationalised (and brutally). I don't believe they had much option with Port Talbot. Tata were keen to shut down the furnaces and deals had been done for electric arc furnaces in 2028/29. I think it's a dereliction of duty with the water companies, but then I am more old school leftie than I'd like to believe.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,154
    edited April 14
    HYUFD said:

    Yes Katy Perry and Jeff Bezos' wife each paid $150 000 just for the deposit on their space trip so want proper coverage of it
    Whilst I’m sure Jeff Bezos’ wife would have loved to have paid to see Lauren Sanchez blasted into space i am thinking Jeff’s finance didn’t have to pay for the trip herself.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,144
    edited April 14

    This is a pet hate of mine as my sister is a wheelchair user. There's a Indian takeaway in our village, customers and delivery drivers constantly park on the pavement even though there's a car park literally a stone's throw away.

    I had a loud and intense discussion about this when the owner blocked the pavement with his car while unloading, preventing my sister from getting though. He seemed completely baffled anyone would object to him parking on the pavement.

    And there's zero enforcement of course, my complaints to the local council and Police have resulted in a big fat pile of no action at all.

    It's why the paving stones are all smashed up as well, which makes it doubly difficult to get around in a wheelchair. I've resorted to pushing my elderly relatives down the carriageway it can be so bad.

    Note that it's not just London with the "blanket" prohibition - Scottish councils now have the power too.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Leon appears to want some sort of class-based racism, where the richer you are, the more racist you get to be.
    How can I be racist?!

    I’ve said more than once on this very thread that young Kakakh women are incredibly hot
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,624
    Nvidia plans to build up to $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US in the next four years.

    A win for Trump, or the legacy of Biden’s administration

    https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/1911767847652434089?s=61
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,144
    edited April 14

    My guess would be that the high UK electricity prices are due primarily to the relatively high proportion of UK electricity generated by gas power stations.
    Tbf, a lot of industrial electricity prices are taxes too, though even if we made it tax-free they would still be the highest in Europe.

    I think Miliband is doing the right thing by pushing through lots of transmission infrastructure (one of my friends has just got a very good job off the back of it), but removing some of those taxes and introducing nodal pricing would also help.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,073

    I don't know how many times you keep up with this rubbish that I am a Tory, despite being told time and time again otherwise.
    Us Tories are against this Nationalisation. It’s dumb. Only happening because of election campaign.

    Results from the only poll that matters - PBers - had 25 voters and 22 in favour of Nationalising a bankrupt 2 furnace steel plant in Scunthorpe. Yet again PB has got it completely wrong and needs me to put you right - like PB take on Chagos being hopelessly ill informed till I put you right, and your arguments GE 24 would be later in 2024 not July 4th.

    If there is national interest nationalising the Scunthorpe steel plant, then there is an awful lot more much closer to the front of the Q for nationalising on same argument is countrys interest, that’s the truth Saturdays discussion slapped you around with, and an awful lot Q ing in same place equal argument to be nationalised too, not least other steel plants already converted to electric. It’s a no brainer nationalisation bad political and economic decision from any government, especially such a directionless soulless government showing its weakness when spooked by Farage in middle on an election campaign.

    The people charged over betting on 4th July election, what if they used the argument “I saw 4th July tipped on the worlds best political betting blog so had a little punt, how can I be accused of a crime?”
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,144
    kinabalu said:

    But it's a feature not a bug of London that you have council housing slap bang in desirable locations. It mixes things up as opposed to having sterile rich ghettos. Eg there's some near me. I often pass quite close to it. Wouldn't have it any other way.
    Which is fine when it's council housing, not so good when it's spending billions in housing benefits directly to private landlords.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,330
    boulay said:

    The Us media are a little bit busy right now covering the Ass-tronauts all-girls space extravaganza so give them a break, they will get round to minor stuff once the post space trip interviews are over.
    Those lasses are doing vital work in testing the effects of zero gravity on cosmetic surgery.

    Actually Elon should be a pioneer in this field. Am I right that he hasn’t yet slipped the surly bonds of earth? If so, isn’t this a bit fannyish in someone aiming to be the supreme leader of Mars Colony?
This discussion has been closed.