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The Tory irrelevance continues – politicalbetting.com
The Tory irrelevance continues – politicalbetting.com
I have said for a while that the biggest threat for the Tories is that the narrative for the next election is a fight between Labour and Reform, this polling reinforces that.
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I can't see how she can.
https://x.com/ianbremmer/status/1903648999283782011?s=61
And yes, the mid-terms are going to be a nail biter when it comes to the prospects for constitutional democracy vs authoritarianism in the US. I think it is 50/50 between overriding and supreme court decision and tanking the midterms as the definitive moment. I mean ignoring court orders on deportation due process is bad enough. But I think the other two will be the flash point for a serious crisis in America.
With special elections/defection it is possible the Dems take control of the House this year.
UKTV industry apparently in crisis, although from the article it is the Beeb and itv.
The solution to this non problem is, of course, more money from taxpayers rather than finding new streams of income, nice timing too given the current debate on future funding of the BBC.
The BBC seems to favour a sliding scale with wealthier homes paying more than less well off homes.
It’s time to get rid of the license fee, fund the network from general taxation, and let the BBC seek its funding in the open market.
Focus internally, rebuild unity and discipline. Develop some new ideas and solutions. And have patience.
Turns out it was the message as well as the messenger
They can work around it, but the authorities can work around the work arounds.
Just sayin'.
Edit - empowering improperly appointed persons to seize and/or destroy government files.
Some work nonetheless, like the Liberal Unionist-Conservative coalition a century ago. Some don't for that reason.
Political alliances are much more likely to work when they are seen as a permanent merger, rather than a temporary electoral expedient, when they coalesce around a charismatic leader, and when the non-coalition party keeps shooting itself in the foot.
I'd say Starmer and Reeves are doing their best to help with the latter, but the other two are still some way off.
Musk's "I'll double USA Tesla production" was at the White House car show 2 weeks ago:
https://fortune.com/2025/03/12/elon-musk-double-tesla-us-car-production/
The sooner the better.
Unfortunately only an economic crash in the USA and subsequent voter punishment which is so great even the GOP attempts to steal the mid terms don’t succeed can change the trajectory. That also means we’ll have to suffer the economic effects here as well.
You'd really have to start at the kindergarten level with this fool, not that they have any interest in answers to all the "questions" they ask. You'd have to start by saying that even though the United Kingdom and the United States both begin with the same word, they are actually different countries with different constitutions. But it's a waste of time with this troll.
*) Utterly trolling us.
*) Not the same WilliamGlenn, and instead a hijacked account.
But would you really want to be a supine dog in order to preserve the ability to continue being a supine dog… surely better to go down in a blaze of glory?
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5138472#Comment_5138472
The point of my question today was to explore how much of the reaction to Trump on here is just vicarious outrage. In Britain it's normal for a Prime Minister to have the power to abolish or merge government departments, so if the American system tries to prevent Trump doing similar, why regard Trump as the problem rather than the system?
discord rather than be consistent
In any case, that was not your question. And as has been pointed out, a very considerable amounts of what Trump is doing in America would be illegal in this country, and since the PM does not have immunity from prosecution would likely lead to a prison sentence if somebody tried them here.
I'll leave it up to you whether I'm referring to Boris or Mike.
He is a proper Tankie, and enthusiastically adopts the new position when the party line changes. We have always been at war with EastAsia.
"Posted from a country that has a "Brandmauer" that means 20% of voters get ignored in the name of democracy."
You apparently haven't noticed that in pretty much every democracy a big chunk of voters have their choice 'ignored' after every election.
It would actually be less democratic if parties that gave absolute guarantees before an election not to work with the AfD, then junked those guarantees after the election.
Of course it's entirely up to the Americans if they want to give the president those powers (maybe there are good reasons not to, I don't know). US courts seem to be saying that some of the things Trump is doing are illegal, so the Republicans would, I assume, have to get legislation through Congress to give Trump these powers. Or ignore the courts and declare a dictatorship.
What's normal in Britain isn't relevant at all.
Trump can desire to change the system all he wants. He can’t decree it has changed as if he were a king.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/polls-show-democrats-losing-popularity-making-2026-gains.html
I think we should extend it to Britain. Abolish the brandmauer that both Labour and Conservatives erect to deny the SNP their rightful seats in Cabinet.
Those speaking out like Bernie and AOC are getting vast support.
AOC would be a great president, assuming that there are further US elections.
It's going to come down to whether the voters are real 'ornery and in a mood to punish MAGA by then. Fair chance of that. If the scales start to fall from their eyes, they will see just how much they have been Trump's useful idiots.
I'd say he comes across as a standard Trump appointee. He is perceived as successful in one of the small number of narrow fields that Trump thinks he knows ("Real Estate"), and is therefore assumed to be some kind of Universal Expert.
Considering hedging. Down to 3.45. Will wait a bit. He should be shorter.
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez reaffirmed her commitment to President Joe Biden as the presumptive Democratic nominee on Monday evening amid heightened tensions within the party over his mental fitness.
“Joe Biden is our nominee, he is not leaving this race, he is in this race and I support him,” Ocasio-Cortez told a group of reporters outside of the Capitol.
The New York rep’s assertion comes as Democratic lawmakers scramble to find consensus on whether or not to support Biden, 81, as the presidential nominee.
At least six House Democrats have publicly called for the president to withdraw from the race following his disappointing and concerning debate performance at the end of June. The president’s failure to confidently debate his political opponent has led to concerns that he is not well enough to run a campaign or defeat Donald Trump.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/aoc-backing-biden-democratic-nominee-b2576756.html
Dodgy Donald is a DANGEROUSLY UNHINGED doddery old fool.
I wonder if the blowback on the other things they have done will have made this obvious one to address relatively more palatable.
They need some whip-smart street fighters. Preferably under the age of 70.
"You're right, it was ALL bad!"
I'd absolutely love the next one to be an EV but 1) we live in a flat with no charging infrastructure 2) cars are way too expensive for us to justify the additional cost 3) fuel is super cheap
Can sitting Senators or Congressmen be senior officials in an Administration without stepping down?
(Trump's running down of the Republican Congressional majority by appointing some to his Administration suggests not, but I have never seen it written down anywhere.)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_current_United_States_representatives#Vacancies
Fair enough, but frankly no one who is willing to adhere to the US constitution is going to be worse than Trump.