Some optimism for the Tories in the latest YouGov poll – politicalbetting.com

One of the main reasons the Conservatives were walloped senseless at last year’s election was down to their handling of the economy so they must be delighted that they now have a small lead over Labour on managing the economy.
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https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpwxzpqrnjko
I hope this is a help to those on PB who might have to speak at a large rally of weirdos in the future.
After the last 14 years the Tories lead on the economy !!!! I know Reeves has had a shaky start but now does seem to be doing something about growth.
https://x.com/libsoftiktok/status/1881567286273990873
Is the entire US media really about to lose their collective minds for the next four years?
Here, inflation is stuck at 2.2% and more job losses were announced today. I was reminded of that old mantra from the 1980s “ if it isn’t hurting, it isn’t working”.
I think the Neither Party will be quite happy with these poll results. I predict if they can form a pact with the Don’t Knows a landslide is likely.
Musk was either stupid or deliberately using Nazi symbiology.
(*) Perhaps the GWR were the least-Nazi railway company?
With Musk, you have the video, and he does two, so you can see the move from different angles. It looks very similar to a Nazi salute.
Now, Musk could have stopped all the speculation by simply clarifying he hates Nazis. He hasn’t.
The US media you read lost their collective minds many years ago. The Twitter account you quote, libsoftiktok, is a far right account that regularly posts misinformation: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Libs_of_TikTok
That doesn’t exactly help the Musk-isn’t-a-Nazi argument…
Fascinating watching PBers trying to come to terms with it. I think Leon accepted it wasn't very good, but we still have a few people clinging on.
Curious the reaction from the right. Twitter doing its best to remove it from history as it it never happened, and otherwise sensible people trying to make out that lefties also do Nazi salutes. Pleeeeease stop embarrassing yourselves
Who calls a taxi these days?
Uber for the win.
What’s not clear is the motive
I suspect he was just trolling people for a reaction
But may be it was a dog whistle. Or may be he is a true believer
Either way it was inappropriate.
Like @TimS I’m keeping up with the vibeshift
Yes it was a Nazi salute - and that’s GOOD
Perhaps "managing" is the wrong word to be using.
In any case, the Labour plan is to make tough decisions now and hopefully reap the reward in a few years. We aren't going to know if it's working until late this year/next.
It's going to be a long 4 years.
The context of this in the UK is also worth noting. The country's top podcast, The Rest is History, is doing a harrowing series on the Nazi invasion of eastern Europe at the moment. Lots of echoes to what is going on right now, particularly the pardons for the Jan 6th rioters and the farcical behaviour of the top people in the regime. People will make the link.
I'd been working really hard on my Trump Derangement Syndrome, but I'm afraid the inaugaration speech, pardons and actual Nazi salute have set me back a few months.
However it only happened because Hitler is on the spectrum. It’s called “stimming”. It’s what autistic people do when they are overstimulated - hence “stim”
Some autistic people jump or hum or wave their arms, some crack knuckles or roll their eyes, Hitler built a complex machine of death across all of central/Eastern Europe so as to transport around eight million people to an industrialised massacre, on a different day he might have just hopped up and down
We just got unlucky
https://bsky.app/profile/w7voa.journa.host.ap.brid.gy/post/3lgbpikucq2e2
Gangster times.
But let’s not call people Nazis unless they’re committing genocide, we should all agree to save the extreme language for the atrocities committed by China, Russia, Hamas etc.
There is no guarantee that the successor will be less authoritarian or extreme.
However to get this subtlety you probably need an IQ of 120 minimum so, as you were
US President Donald Trump says he has signed a full and unconditional pardon for Ross Ulbricht, who operated Silk Road, the dark web marketplace where illegal drugs were sold.
Ulbricht was convicted in 2015 in New York in a narcotics and money laundering conspiracy and sentenced to life in prison.
Trump posted on his Truth Social platform that he had called Ulbricht's mother to inform her that he had granted a pardon to her son.
Silk Road, which was shut down in 2013 after police arrested Ulbricht, sold illegal drugs using Bitcoin, as well as hacking equipment and stolen passports.
"The scum that worked to convict him were some of the same lunatics who were involved in the modern day weaponization of government against me," Trump said in his post online on Tuesday evening. "He was given two life sentences, plus 40 years. Ridiculous!"
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz7e0jve875o
https://www.mattgoodwin.org/p/maga-the-uk-version?utm_campaign=email-half-post&r=1mnpci&utm_source=substack&utm_medium=email
The politicians who think that the debate is or should be over how to buy a knife from Amazon may be in for a rude awakening.
What Trump has done is give huge publicity to what a UK social democrat+national populism manifesto might say.
And weren't you the prime example of someone who defended Musk on the grounds he's a (self-proclaimed) Asperger's sufferer?
The fact is it's far too early to draw any conclusions about Labour's economic competence or
otherwise.
The most recent growth figures reflect decisions and conditions that pre-existed Labour coming to power. Give them another year, then there'll be something substantive to judge.
Trump's reason is that he delivered some votes. It's all about patronage.
Where he goes from here depends on how far up the dictator scale he decides or is able to climb. Some things to look out for, in an ascending scale:
- altering the constitution to reinforce presidential powers
- Neutering or biasing the court system
- arresting and detaining journalists
- Manipulation of election processes
- Manipulation of election results
- censoring some forms of media
- Extrajudicial killings - denied
- extrajudicial killings - openly admitted
For reference points, Netanyahu and Orban are about a third to half way up the scale, Erdogan and Lukashenko are closing in on the full suite.
Following US treasury yields of course. Just as they were on the way up.
So if my humble efforts keep that going, or even inflame it, we’re all winners
You get to vent and rage, we get to quietly laugh
The plans also include new powers to force banks to hand over account information about benefit claimants to help target investigations, echoing a scheme announced by the previous Conservative government. But this is likely to face strong opposition from the banks and privacy campaigners.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cvg9px4q0y6o
He’s spent 12 years in prison for running a Bitcoin marketplace, convicted as a drug dealer because others were using the platform to sell drugs.
For some reason the authorities didn’t care much to go after Facebook, Craigslist, or any other online platform full of illegal goods and services, only Ulbricht, and the judge made a point of throwing the book at him.
However, in all the years of my involvement in ASD charities and referrals to specialists, you are the only Autism expert I have come across using the term "Aspie".
Is trump a dictator? No. Could he become one? Yes. He and the people around him already use the language of dictators. It's just that the laws have yet to catch up.
However, modern-day comparisons to Hitler and Nazis should be reserved for those actually committing the worst atrocities committed by Hitler and the Nazis.
At the moment Trumpism looks like two ideologically separable movements: Firstly, gangster oligarchy; secondly nationalist populism.
WRT popular response in the UK, it seems to me that there is substantial public resonance with the second, while about the first there will be little active support and less understanding.
In this sense Reform (and Jenrick's mob) need to be connected with the second, but disconnected from the first. (I doubt if the UK is ready for unbridled gangster oligarchy, yet.) This may prove quite hard. It will be interesting to watch.
All that happens is that someone working to pay their debts ends up losing their job, which isn’t going to help the situation.
Asking for a friend.
Let me introduce you to
https://www.reddit.com/r/AspieGirls/s/DWbuDSe9Og
I said a little while back that we should judge Trump on how he governs; the first couple of days haven't given much grounds for optimism.
Right
Cf my remarks: “a collective meltdown of asinine piety and moral HYSTERIA”
If I was the government and looking to go after / sanction properly people cheating the system....child benefits payments from absent parents (mostly fathers). The Child Support Agency / Child Maintenance Service is an absolute shit show these days.
🤷♂️ 2025 politics 🤷♂️
Very easy to constantly advocate dropping bombs on brown people when you have precisely zero fear of blowback.
Surely early comparisons might allow people to detect, and stop, modern-day Nazis from committing the worst sort of atrocities.
And it's a bit weird you coming along sharing libsoftiktok tweets and then railing against people overusing "extreme language".
Anyway haven't you got some Far Eastern hookers to settle payment with? What are you doing on here when there are better things to do?
Trump said he'd do this when campaigning.
But no, you can’t do that, instead you make some bizarre ad hominem attack, presumably because you’re embarrassed
Unedifying
Today's announcement feels very much like a panicked response of 'get a headline' from Liz K in response to briefings from no 10 at weekend that she is not moving fast enough on slashing welfare.
The site was modeled, sensibly, on Amazon and eBay. And that’s what it looked like: a well-organized community marketplace, complete with profiles, listings, and transaction reviews. Everything was anonymous, and shipments often went through the regular old postal service. No need for fake names—you put your real address, and if any one asks, you just say you didn’t order all that heroin!
Silk Road’s “Seller’s Guide” had helpful instructions on how to vacuum-seal or otherwise hide drugs to evade electronic sensors or canine olfactories. Most shipments made it to happy customers. That the small percentage of intercepted Silk Road packages represented an uptick spoke to the quickly rising volume of the site’s trade, a vast pharmacopeia covering dozens of categories with 13,000 listings. It was a colorful smorgasbord for every type of connoisseur: fishscale Colombian cocaine, Afghan No. 4 heroin, strawberry LSD, Caramello hash, Mercury’s Famous uncut cocaine flakes, Mario Invincibility Star XTC, white Mitsubishi MDMA, a black tar heroin called the Devil’s Licorice.
Then there were the prescription meds, everything from Oxycontin and Xanax to Fentanyl and Dilaudid. Silk Road’s product descriptions and user ratings amounted to an encyclopedic information source.
Well worth a read. Not at all the OK kind of guy people of a political persuasion make him out to be:
https://www.wired.com/2015/04/silk-road-1/
President Trump has signed an executive order rescinding Lyndon Johnson's EO 11246, which established affirmative action, and banning all federal contractors and publicly-funded universities from practicing race-based discrimination, including DEI.
A massive shift.
The Russian chapter in Syria is now formally over."
https://x.com/Tendar/status/1881976840031781202
I have had employees with deductions that have gone back as far as 15 years from the original magistrates order (employee had worked for us for 15 months before I recieved notification).
It would be far better making the existing system work (benefits can be reduced, attachments of earning can be swiftly processed), than adding more penalties that in all likelihood won't be imposed.
It will need a court order so there is some checks and balances - which just adds more work, delays and costs to an over worked judicial system.
It seems like a gimmick and more performative nonsense from the government to make them look 'tough'.
A similar performative nonsense was solicitor general, Lucy Rigby, referring Urfan Sharif's sentence to the Court of Appeal for undue leniency.
He was sentenced to life with a 40 year minimum tarriff. He would not even be eligible for parole until he aged 83. A heinous crime but the sentence feels right and I doubt the CoA will increase it. But appealing it makes the solicitor general look tough.
Perfomative nonsense - please stop it.
I imagine Zionists would say that the creation of a Jewish state and homeland is one such upside. Would surely never have happened without the Shoah
I can understand Palestinians feeling quite differently
https://x.com/privateeyenews/status/1881976195224662453?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Every day is a school day on PB.
Anyway I am about to f*** off to Carmarthen. Enjoy your posting day without my unwanted commentary.