Reform councillors are revolting. Is Farage in trouble? – politicalbetting.com

EXC. A dozen Reform UK councillors have resigned en masse from the party in protest at Nigel Farage's leadershiphttps://t.co/pHZMsJbW18
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Fwiw my guess is Farage will outlast whoever Musk et Al. fall behind in British politics. He's been around a long time and knows what he is doing.
My first cat was named after a David L.
I named him Livingstone because he was an explorer.
Plus Captain Picard's fish was called Livingston (no e), Christ I was such a geek in those days.
His parties do have a long history of internal brutal feuding, defections and splits. A pattern so recurrent that Farage himself must be a factor.
Incidentally the about face on Begum shows who is really running things. Take back control? My arse!
https://x.com/kobeissiletter/status/1877745655197643260?s=61
One of the great drivers of Brexit was when Merkel opened the EU's borders.
That's just for Sunil.
I was visiting my then girlfriend c 1979 and went past this pub which at the time was called Cromwells. I have no idea why it was so named.
When we married, we got a lovely grey (and white chested) cat, he was called Cromwell. I bought a placemat from the pub for an exorbitant £5 and Crommy had his own mat. He was a lovely cat with a magical.personality.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dk47saogI8o
Prior to that I was a good Muslim, I had no interest in the laydeez as I was expected to have an arranged marriage and remain chaste and innocent until then.
My father had me privately educated to ensure I had a fantastic education, my mother had me privately educated because there'd be no girls to corrupt her only child.
https://worksinprogress.co/issue/how-madrid-built-its-metro-cheaply/
Most of the extra cost was arrogant, incompetent, officious bureaucracy in various different ways.
As we have the stereotype an arrogant, incompetent, officious bureaucrat as PM, nothing will change for the next few years at least.
Oh, you mean RefUK?
The proportion of 25 to 34-year-olds residing with their parents has increased by more than a third in just under two decades, according to the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) in its Hotel of Mum and Dad? report.
Almost a fifth (18 per cent) of this age group was living at their family home last year, up from 13 per cent in 2006. While the latest figure is down slightly from a pandemic peak of 21 per cent, the five percentage point increase is still estimated to represent about 450,000 more people in this age group living with parents in 2024 than if the proportion had stayed at its 2006 level.
The IFS said people with lower incomes were more likely to live at home, adding that the rise over recent decades had been “fuelled by” higher rents and soaring house prices.
Of 25 to 34-year-olds, men were more likely than women to live with their parents: 23 per cent compared with 15 per cent. Rates were also higher among young people born in the UK with Bangladeshi heritage, of whom 62 per cent lived at home, and half of young people with Indian backgrounds did so.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/society/article/hotel-of-mum-and-dad-one-in-five-25-to-34-year-olds-live-at-home-mn90sw702
https://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2022/06/26/the-celts-are-revolting/
anyone who wants to be added to the PB list on Twitter, let me know (I'm MorrisF1) either here or there. Hopefully won't ever be needed but if the Act of Puritanical Censorship causes PB problems it could be used to more rapidly reconstitute a new site.
And, on a more self-absorbed note, my F1: 2025 Driver Lineup Predictions podcast (Undercutters ep4) is up here:
Podbean: https://undercutters.podbean.com/e/f1-2025-driver-lineup-predictions/
Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/episode/0yBF7aqAxiLHQ68No95w4Y
Amazon Music: https://music.amazon.com/podcasts/bcfe213b-55fb-408a-a823-dc6693ee9f78/episodes/6edca4d8-68f8-4782-9898-2bfab4696c39/undercutters---f1-podcast-f1-2025-driver-lineup-predictions
Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/f1-2025-driver-lineup-predictions/id1786574257?i=1000683150041
Transcript: https://morrisf1.blogspot.com/2025/01/undercutters-ep4-f1-2025-driver-lineup.html
Wealth he could only dream of and the Coutts (autocorrected to Courts) bank account that comes with that.
That whole episode demonstrated what a shallow, narcissistic, thin-skinned popinjay he is.
Good for the Tories, and with Jenrick going full General Franco the nutjobs have a home too.
More on topic, does the last fortnight push back the time that RefUK is judged by its owner an organisation that's ready for what Franco called "Inorganic Democracy" (i.e. what normal people call democracy)?
Anyway, I was the only poster for seven minutes. I cleared the room! Do I smell like Trump?
There must be plenty of words beginning with "Re-" available as party names.
Trump's America is the neighbour from hell. Canada is the sort of neighbour everyone wants.
(One Canadian plane is out of service after hitting a civilian-flown drone: https://www.chrisd.ca/2025/01/10/california-wildfires-canadian-plane-drone-crash/.)
Edited extra bit: 18 years. I joined the site in 2007.
Sounds fishy.
Never had any inclination to visit it since, really.
He’s a complete idiot.
This is mid seventies all over again. An incompetent Tory govt replaced by an incompetent labour govt. We’re screwed and if we’re unlucky we’ve got a return of stagflation. Certainly the inept Reeves won’t have helped.
https://bsky.app/profile/foxinsoxuk.bsky.social
There is zero chance that she will face proper justice here for her crimes, a small slap on the wrist and probably a free council flat and benefits for life in Tower Hamlets is the most likely outcome.
On Radio5 this morning they were interviewing a Brit living in LA about the loss of his home. Very upsetting for him and his family. He's back now in the UK.
They introduced him as an Expat. Is that posh speak for immigrant?
Good morning, everyone.
https://belatina.com/mexican-firefighters-rush-wildfires-california/
A further wrinkle is the use of prison firefighters, apparently 30% of the firefighters.
https://bsky.app/profile/benstanley.pl/post/3lfcdm7fjvc2e
This is part of the longstanding use of prison labour in the US.
I do feel there is little to be optimistic about after the budget.
I get other countries are having similar issues with their debt but our borrowing costs are higher than our peers. Twice that of Germany.
I just cannot see much upside currently here. Everyone wants growth but the people we have in place in politics who want to deliver it are, mostly, people with no experience of anything other than charities, NGO’s and the public sector.
The last lot weren’t any better either.
See figure 2 here:
https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/earningsandworkinghours/bulletins/genderpaygapintheuk/2023
In this instance, rarely, Trump and Farage are more grown up than either Conservative or Labour, or the Supreme Court who should have told the government where to go.
She was clearly groomed when underage to go to Syria.
The ability to remove citizenship at the whim of the Home Secretary is also a dangerously authoritarian power, albeit one that many like Jenrick might like to use.
Coutts didn’t just fuck up.
Fucking up is just losing a billion of the customers money. Beyond that is losing the banks money. Beyond that is getting into regulatory fun….
Aside from losing a truth telling competition with Nigel Farage… can’t say too much here to spare OGH from risk, but the settlement was not to their advantage.
"If the crisis escalates, the only Labour politician with sufficient gravitas to genuinely calm the markets would be Gordon Brown. He could make a surprise return, in much the same way that Lord Cameron came back as foreign secretary in the last government. (It’s a long shot, I know, but worth a small bet if the bookmakers are offering odds.)"
Telegraph
Yes indeed, Stanley. I hope you’re not here to send me home.
For those who don’t know, Signal is the app from the guys who used to do WhatsApp. When they sold it to Facebook, they started Signal as WhatsApp 2.0 - it’s more secure and owned by a non-profit, so can’t be sold to mad billionaires.
If there was a market on next Chancellor, my money would be on Yvette Cooper.
She is a far better communicator than Reeves, is doing well in the Home Office, did 18 months a Chief Sec to the Treasury, and has useful advice over the breakfast table.
Real Reform
Really Reformed Reform
Etc
IMV she was not a victim. Bur she created many victims.
I’m quite happy with twitter. I’m using the following tab.
But as it doesn't, and, as its dismal record in the last six months have shown, doesn't have any idea how to get them, and Brown given his record wouldn't help them get them, I'm afraid they are screwed.
Which is fine, and they deserve it, but sadly the rest of the country is screwed with them.
We should take this seriously, as it goes well beyond a Trumpian whim.
Greenland and the Coldest War
https://www.palladiummag.com/2025/01/10/greenland-and-the-coldest-war/
But I'd point out that there are unlikely to be cases quite as (ahem) extreme as what she did.
Hoping the day will finally come when WA messages can be ported through to Signal.
If they’ve lost the batshit racists, what’s left?
https://x.com/otto_english/status/1878012379184673119?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
Rather than pretending that she has nothing to do with us.
I'm easing out, however.
And wondering about bringing So.Much.Guardian to Bluesky (and something like Too.Much.Telegrunt maybe). My photo quota with superb hashtag:
https://x.com/SoMuchGuardian/status/853222751213060096
The slight problem with that argument is that she personally committed war crimes after she was over 16.
Rangoon is a bit of a shithole. A shithole full of post imperial noom but a bit of a shithole nonethiess
We built an entire and magnificent Victorian/Edwardian city on the banks of the woogly-waggly here, a mighty grid of banks and churches and city halls and customs houses and ornate Anglo-Burmese train stations - surrounding the golden pagodas - and now it all rots like a collection of Sicilian palazzi and trees grow through the roofs of the Port Authority HQ and Mon women, cheeks daubed with yellow thanaka paste, squat in the mildewed porches of the shuttered Strand Hotel selling tiny lychees and cheap Chinese dolls
How long before it’s like that down Whitehall?
*which I support.
And I’ve been to some repressive countries and proper war zones. Just goes to show that if a government is REALLY keen on keeping shit under wraps they can have a pretty good go
Which is what she did.
Lots of links, too- the whole enchilada:
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/5068756#Comment_5068756
*This may be 1/43rd of one of his future headers
And Good Morning one and all.
www.noom.com