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This poll feels like a reflection of name recognition – politicalbetting.com

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  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441
    edited January 2

    That was Rayner wasn't it ?
    It seems Labour Ministers are pretty interchangeable under the rapier like scrutiny of cyclefree.

    Phillipson helped her mother at a refuge and cyclefree characterises it as...." her only job before becoming an MP was in Mummy's charity. lol."

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668

    Leaving Max's surmise about what you might or might not have done about Rotherham to one side, I was genuinely disturbed by your list of 'solutions' that should flow from the Covid experience.

    Even in the vanishingly unlikely scenario that Covid was caused by a chance Zoonotic event, the very presence of a US lab (or several) in China, studying how to make coronaviruses more transmissible and more deadly, is surely still hugely problematical in its very existence, given what we now know. Gain of function research was banned in the USA for being too dangerous. That it was then quietly internationalised is a scandal of epic proportions, and that Communist China, the West's biggest geopolitical rival was selected as a location for such projects is beyond scandalous. I found it astonishing that you made no suggestion of any changes or modification to that activity, suggesting instead greater investment in emergency health capacity and vaccines so that we can all have a ventilator and get our shots when the next one hits.

    You also afaicr completely failed to address the question of non-covid related harms resulting from lockdown, such as mental health issues, suicide, child development issues, and the large numbers of non-covid deaths.

    We are here on PB to be exposed to debate and different views, and it's to your credit that you come here and do that, but I would suggest that if many of your coworkers share very similar views, without your exposure to different ideas, they are severely misaligned with both the wishes of the people they serve, and with morality.
    I have published scientific papers on non-COVID-19-related harms resulting from lockdown etc., such as mental health issues. I spent much of my time when advising government going on about financial hardships resulting from the pandemic. Feel free to apologise.

    Most of the claims about gain of function research are MAGA nonsense. They simply didn’t happen. I do support taking a huge amount of caution with research on pathogenic or potentially pathogenic viruses.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited January 2

    Lab leaks have happened and caused disease outbreaks. Most notably, the 1977 flu might have been a Russian lab leak, although it’s very hard to determine for sure.

    Over time, the evidence that COVID-19 came from the wet market has increased. I might once have talked about the balance of probabilities. I wouldn’t now, in 2025. It is exceedingly unlikely that COVID-19 was anything other than a zoonotic event, just like the vast majority of novel disease pandemics.

    I think most epidemiologists would broadly agree with the point you make at the end. It doesn’t matter much. We should try to avoid it happening again. Such a thing could happen from a lab leak and we should take appropriate caution to avoid that. It could also happen from a zoonotic event and we should try to avoid that.

    It is unfortunate that a point of epidemiological investigation has, like so many other things, been captured by culture war nonsense, such that expressing a view on COVID-19 origins gets you labelled a paedophile enabler.
    The closure of the brand new vaccine research institute, and the vaccine production facility, by the previous government was also extremely unfortunate by any measure.

    Edit: I don't think we have yet seen any action by the current administration to reverse, or otherwise satisfy, this issue, either?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806
    kinabalu said:

    How this develops might tell us if Musk and Farage are a team or not. Farage will not want to be coupled with Robinson. So let's see if Musk keeps up the Robinson ramping or drops him.
    Much as I admire Farage, I do not attribute control over Elon Musk to him.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,926
    ydoethur said:

    This rather puts the curriculum issue here in perspective:

    New Syrian government's school curriculum changes spark concern
    https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c1ln12056ppo

    Amazing that the constitution, and thus elections, might take years to happen, but they can knock up a new curriculum in a fortnight.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Amazing that the constitution, and thus elections, might take years to happen, but they can knock up a new curriculum in a fortnight.
    Look at the UK. About half a dozen curricula vs trivial constitutional change in the last, what is it, three or four decades?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
    edited January 2

    I always thought that the lab leak was most likely to have occurred via illicit sales of animals from the lab to the wet market, so that both were involved in the origin of the virus.

    Unfortunately, China's preoccupation with saving face means that we will never have the rigorous investigation into the origins of the virus that we would expect to have in a democratic country.
    Why on Earth would a top scientific research lab break the most basic rules to sell animals to a wet market for piddling amounts of money?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Carnyx said:

    The closure of the brand new vaccine research institute, and the vaccine production facility, by the previous government was also extremely unfortunate by any measure.

    Edit: I don't think we have yet seen any action by the current administration to reverse, or otherwise satisfy, this issue, either?
    Friend of mine was a student at Birmingham during the smallpox outbreak. His place in the lab was such that the draught from the ventilation duct implicated in the spread went across his ankles. I'm not sure if that was enough, or whether the vaccinations we'd had in those days, were enough!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 10,794
    fpt
    Cyclefree said:

    The IICSA Report - nothing because the government - disgracefully - refused to take action on its recommendations. See https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2023/05/24/kicking-issues-into-the-long-grass/

    The Drew Review was used to improve the approach of South Yorkshire Police.

    Operation Stovewood: run by the NCA is the largest criminal enforcement investigation into non-family CSE. It has identified 1100 victims, has 50 investigations outstanding and has led to 36 convictions.

    The Jay Report was used to improve services within Rotherham Council which was put into special measures. The council leader and head of children's services left.

    It is something. By no means enough, of course.

    But what actual use will yet another inquiry costing millions, reporting in a decade or so and telling us stuff we already know be? Because my suspicion is that this is not really about joining dots or understanding the manifold causes of male sexual violence - let alone taking effective action against it - but political point-scoring and a disguised fight about immigration, in which the needs of the victims - girls mostly - will largely be ignored.
    We definitely dont need an enquiry....what we need is a police investigation and where people whether policeman, councillors or local government people or priests etc have covered up sexual abuse of young people then they need to be tried in a court of law for at least perversion of justice.

    Enough of enquiries as we have seen with the PO one it is a way of letting the people responsible off
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    MaxPB said:

    If the Dems are suicidal enough to run Harris again by fixing the primary for her like they did for Hilary in 2016 then they deserve to lose.

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2
    kinabalu said:

    How this develops might tell us if Musk and Farage are a team or not. Farage will not want to be coupled with Robinson. So let's see if Musk keeps up the Robinson ramping or drops him.
    Indeed, though great news for the Tories if they do and Musk gives more money to Farage and Musk keeps backing Robinson. Tory voters on that poll have an even less favourable view of Robinson than 2024 Labour voters do and plenty of current Reform voters would likely go Conservative again if Farage got too close to Tommy R
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
    When Trump ran in 2024 after losing in 2020, was that fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
    Though to be fair the GOP did just that last year and won (albeit Trump did win 8 years ago and the economy was the key factor)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,637

    Lab leaks have happened and caused disease outbreaks. Most notably, the 1977 flu might have been a Russian lab leak, although it’s very hard to determine for sure.

    Over time, the evidence that COVID-19 came from the wet market has increased. I might once have talked about the balance of probabilities. I wouldn’t now, in 2025. It is exceedingly unlikely that COVID-19 was anything other than a zoonotic event, just like the vast majority of novel disease pandemics.

    I think most epidemiologists would broadly agree with the point you make at the end. It doesn’t matter much. We should try to avoid it happening again. Such a thing could happen from a lab leak and we should take appropriate caution to avoid that. It could also happen from a zoonotic event and we should try to avoid that.

    It is unfortunate that a point of epidemiological investigation has, like so many other things, been captured by culture war nonsense, such that expressing a view on COVID-19 origins gets you labelled a paedophile enabler.
    Have we done this yet?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1d3y5zvxzeo

    "The World Health Organization has urged China to share data on the origins of the Covid pandemic, five years on from its start in the city of Wuhan.

    "This is a moral and scientific imperative," the WHO said in a statement to mark what it called the "milestone" anniversary.

    "Without transparency, sharing, and co-operation among countries, the world cannot adequately prevent and prepare for future epidemics and pandemics," it added.

    Many scientists think the virus transferred naturally from animals to humans, but some suspicions persist that it escaped from a laboratory in Wuhan."
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    MaxPB said:

    I'm sorry it's an uncomfortable conversation for you, my conscience is clear. I rather think your one is less so. Either way, I'll drop the subject.
    Moving on from the pre-crimes of minority report to hypothetical past-crimes based on nothing more than posts on a completely different subject. Pb never ceases to amaze!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
    It's means nothing.

    In early 2017, Hillary led in polls to be the next Democratic nominee, simply because most survey respondents are low information, and all they know is whoever was nominee last time.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    HYUFD said:

    New interim Syrian government changes the school curriculum, replacing the phrase "Defending the nation" with "Defending Allah" and the changes also see Evolution and the Big Bang theory being dropped from science teaching.

    'References to the gods worshipped in Syria before Islam, as well as images of their statues, are also being dropped.

    The significance of the great Syrian heroine Queen Zenobia, who once ruled Palmyra in the Roman era, seems to have been downplayed.

    The Assad era has essentially been excised from the curriculum, including poems celebrating both Bashar al-Assad and his father, Hafez, in Arabic language courses.'

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c1ln12056ppo

    Though while moving Syria in a more Sunni Islamist direction the new regime still thankfully seems a long way from ISIS jihadism

    What has the Middle East done to always deserve a remarkably consistent choice between brutal dictatorship or dogmatic theocracy?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,793

    Much as I admire Farage, I do not attribute control over Elon Musk to him.
    No, but to what extent are they aligned in a disciplined project to put Farage into number 10. As opposed to Musk freestyling and indulging himself with trolling Starmer and promoting the far right generally. Those are distinctly different possibilities.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,340
    HYUFD said:

    Indeed, though great news for the Tories if they do and Musk gives more money to Farage and Musk keeps backing Robinson. Tory voters on that poll have an even less favourable view of Robinson than Labour voters do
    There's certainly an opportunity for the Conservatives to put clean blue water between themselves and Reform/Musk/Robinson.

    Does the party have the sense, and more importantly the courage, to do so? Maybe they can surprise on the upside.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
    kinabalu said:

    No, but to what extent are they aligned in a disciplined project to put Farage into number 10. As opposed to Musk freestyling and indulging himself with trolling Starmer and promoting the far right generally. Those are distinctly different possibilities.
    The latter, I think.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
    She was such a poor candidate she was rejected by the democrats early doors when she ran against Biden in the primaries before the 2020 election.

    Yet, see that, they still went with her in 2024.

    Now some think this serial loser will become a winner in 2028 !
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,641
    Omnium said:

    Game, set and match!
    Reminds me of the old line:

    Why don't you need to ask someone if they come from Yorkshire? Because before you can finish the sentence they'll already have told you.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,816

    When Trump ran in 2024 after losing in 2020, was that fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again?
    In fairness, Trump won two competitive primaries. Harris won zero.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,207
    Taz said:

    She was such a poor candidate she was rejected by the democrats early doors when she ran against Biden in the primaries before the 2020 election.

    Yet, see that, they still went with her in 2024.

    Now some think this serial loser will become a winner in 2028 !
    I don't think she will be the candidate, but she did well. Not well enough to win obviously, but 48% of the vote is not trivial, and may have been better than any other Dem candidate.

    It's not as if the primary system infallibly comes out with great candidates.
  • Why on Earth would a top scientific research lab break the most basic rules to sell animals to a wet market for piddling amounts of money?
    Corruption is the usual reason.

    Not remotely piddling to those involved.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806

    I have published scientific papers on non-COVID-19-related harms resulting from lockdown etc., such as mental health issues. I spent much of my time when advising government going on about financial hardships resulting from the pandemic. Feel free to apologise.

    Most of the claims about gain of function research are MAGA nonsense. They simply didn’t happen. I do support taking a huge amount of caution with research on pathogenic or potentially pathogenic viruses.
    I am pretty good but I'm not Mystic Meg - why on earth would I apologise when my comment was based on your own post?

    I am gratified that you advise 'a huge amount of caution' when doing research that actively creates more deadly and transmissible versions of transmissible and deadly diseases. Would this caution include absolutely not conducting such research in CHINA of all places? As for MAGA nonsense, are you suggesting the Obama administration that banned this activity was having an attack of MAGA nonsense at the time?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156

    Why on Earth would a top scientific research lab break the most basic rules to sell animals to a wet market for piddling amounts of money?
    The lab itself wouldn't be doing it, but low paid junior staff in the lab might do so.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    Well done to the 20 Broxtowe Councillors who quit Labour today.

    Having dared to criticise dear leader of WFA decision and failure to drop the 2 child benefit cap. 10 of their number were barred by Evans and SKS from standing again.

    The SKS project will eat itself and SKS will be subject to a challenge by Streetingites and other ambitious Centrist knobs well before GE 2029 as SKSs popularity numbers get forever worse.

    Shite Right Wing PM to be replaced by Shit Right wing PM by 2027
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617
    Foxy said:

    I don't think she will be the candidate, but she did well. Not well enough to win obviously, but 48% of the vote is not trivial, and may have been better than any other Dem candidate.

    It's not as if the primary system infallibly comes out with great candidates.
    I think rcs1000 is correct and it is just name recognition.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,156
    Carnyx said:

    The closure of the brand new vaccine research institute, and the vaccine production facility, by the previous government was also extremely unfortunate by any measure.

    Edit: I don't think we have yet seen any action by the current administration to reverse, or otherwise satisfy, this issue, either?
    No we have not. Instead one of the first things the Labour government did was to halt funding for a new British supercomputer, which displays the story of short-sighted penny-pinching that is completely contrary to the thinking that would invest in vaccine research or production facilities.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,340

    The lab itself wouldn't be doing it, but low paid junior staff in the lab might do so.
    And nothing bad happened, right up to the one incident where something bad happened.

    That's the same calculation that is behind every unnatural disaster.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    edited January 2
    Foxy said:

    I don't think she will be the candidate, but she did well. Not well enough to win obviously, but 48% of the vote is not trivial, and may have been better than any other Dem candidate.

    It's not as if the primary system infallibly comes out with great candidates.
    I doubt she would be candidate but to be fair even John Kerry would probably have won in 2008 so it is not impossible she could win if she was
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368
    Pagan2 said:

    fpt

    We definitely dont need an enquiry....what we need is a police investigation and where people whether policeman, councillors or local government people or priests etc have covered up sexual abuse of young people then they need to be tried in a court of law for at least perversion of justice.

    Enough of enquiries as we have seen with the PO one it is a way of letting the people responsible off
    Here's the thing.

    The bar for criminal prosecution is a high one, and (with few relatively few exceptions) requires mens rea - i.e. a guilty mind.

    Inaction - even when it has terrible consequences - is very rarely a criminal offence.

    Now there may be individuals in the care service or the council in Rotherham and Rochdale whose behaviour stepped over the line. But those people are inevitably low level, and were almost certainly carrying out the wishes of their bosses.

    So you have a fundamental problem: the instructions (i.e. to care about "community relations" above all else) came from people without specific knowledge, and who therefore almost certainly have a defence. While those who behaviour stepped over the line are junior, and who were "just following orders".

    There is an easier case to be made for criminal behaviour and charges to be brought in the Post Office case, because a large number of the legal profession chose to deliberately withhold evidence from the defence in court cases, to the extent that it would come under the heading of perverting the course of justice.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,207
    Taz said:

    I think rcs1000 is correct and it is just name recognition.
    Certainly so. In this @HYFUD is in touch with the general public. They all predict a future that looks like the present, but the one certainty is change.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    Well done to the 20 Broxtowe Councillors who quit Labour today.

    Having dared to criticise dear leader of WFA decision and failure to drop the 2 child benefit cap. 10 of their number were barred by Evans and SKS from standing again.

    The SKS project will eat itself and SKS will be subject to a challenge by Streetingites and other ambitious Centrist knobs well before GE 2029 as SKSs popularity numbers get forever worse.

    Shite Right Wing PM to be replaced by Shit Right wing PM by 2027

    I don't think raising employers NI and hitting farmers with inheritance tax and scrapping the remaining hereditary peers in the Lords and putting VAT on private schools and giving a huge payrise to train drivers and GPs is exactly rightwing.

    So Starmer is just Shite, though I agree if he still looks like losing Labour's majority in 2028/29 Labour MPs might try and replace him with the more New Labour Streeting (albeit with the risk of getting the even more leftwing Rayner)
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,924
    📊 Has Labour done well or badly in office?

    ✅ Well: 12% (-4)
    ❌ Badly: 69% (+2)

    Net rating of -57

    Via
    @YouGov
    , Dec 2024 (+/- vs Oct 2024)

    SKS FANS PLEASE EXPLAIN
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    I don't think raising employers NI and hitting farmers with inheritance tax and scrapping the remaining hereditary peers in the Lords and putting VAT on private schools and giving a huge payrise to train drivers and GPs is exactly rightwing.

    So Starmer is just Shite, though I agree if he still looks like losing Labour's majority in 2028/29 Labour MPs might try and replace him with the more New Labour Streeting (albeit with the risk of getting the even more leftwing Rayner)
    "farmers"

    Do be accurate. You mean landowners.
  • And nothing bad happened, right up to the one incident where something bad happened.

    That's the same calculation that is behind every unnatural disaster.
    Indeed.

    That @bondegezou can't comprehend why people might engage in such corruption, which is rampant in parts of the world, rather puts into question his entire judgment on the probabilities on this subject.

    When you're ruling out something that is common as "why would it happen" then the rest of your logic utterly falls apart.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,368

    What has the Middle East done to always deserve a remarkably consistent choice between brutal dictatorship or dogmatic theocracy?
    Or indeed both in many cases. And you might even argue that Israel is falling into that hole.

    Lebanon seems to be the only exception. Still: their choice of ongoing low level civil war doesn't seem that appetizing either.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010
    Carnyx said:

    "farmers"

    Do be accurate. You mean landowners.
    I mean farmers who own their farms
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617
    HYUFD said:

    I don't think raising employers NI and hitting farmers with inheritance tax and scrapping the remaining hereditary peers in the Lords and putting VAT on private schools and giving a huge payrise to train drivers and GPs is exactly rightwing.

    So Starmer is just Shite, though I agree if he still looks like losing Labour's majority in 2028/29 Labour MPs might try and replace him with the more New Labour Streeting (albeit with the risk of getting the even more leftwing Rayner)
    Albeit the next election is four and a bit years away Streeting has an extremely marginal seat. Would they risk a leader who may lose his seat ? Or would he move to a safe seat ?
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668

    Corruption is the usual reason.

    Not remotely piddling to those involved.
    Show your working, Bart. What’s the going rate for a secondhand civet compared to the pay of someone in a research lab?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686

    It smacks of fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again.
    It really doesn’t do any such thing. You’re projecting.

    All that the current polling shows is that Harris was fairly popular with her own party. It’s only a couple of months since the election; bit early to expect them to move on.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018

    There's certainly an opportunity for the Conservatives to put clean blue water between themselves and Reform/Musk/Robinson.

    Does the party have the sense, and more importantly the courage, to do so? Maybe they can surprise on the upside.
    A gap has arisen in the last few weeks where Musk offers to bankroll Farage but at the same time openly supports Robinson and AFD in Germany

    This scenario should play well for the Conservatives and justifies Kemi war of words with Farage, as she needs to put clear water between the Trump - Musk - Robinson - Farage political grouping

    Labour are very unpopular and must fear Musk interventions not least as his mps are looking at closing down X and anti Labour social media, but that will not work

    I notice how fracetious discussion are becoming even on here and I would say to Labour supporters especially, this hasn't really started yet and goodness knows what will happen in the months and years ahead

    It seems that Rochdale and Oldham abuse scandals are really coming into the news, not least as the media, including ITV, highlight the demands for public enquiries but also social media is awash with allegations of cover ups and wrong doings not just on these scandals but others that makes you wonder just what is coming down the line

    Scary, unpredictable days lie ahead with no known outcomes
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806

    Show your working, Bart. What’s the going rate for a secondhand civet compared to the pay of someone in a research lab?
    Could you show your working on why it's a good idea to fund science creating a new plague IN CHINA. A country that will have your information off you even if you're doing your research in Newent, let alone doing it in Wuhan. Why are we showing China how to create a new pandemic, whether the pandemic is unfortunately unleashed in their country or not? You give the impression that it's all just terribly gauche to question these things. That's the attitude people refer to when they speak of the establishment.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668
    .

    The lab itself wouldn't be doing it, but low paid junior staff in the lab might do so.
    How? How do you smuggle a live civet out of a secure research lab, knowing that its absence will be spotted the next day? Do you think someone just slips it down their trousers and walks out, then takes the hour-long journey to the other side of the city to find someone who wants to buy a single civet?

    If you’re going to steal, if you’re going to risk your entire career and suffering at the hands of China’s harsh penal system, you’d do the easier thing and nick a laptop, not a feckin’ civet.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,641

    .

    How? How do you smuggle a live civet out of a secure research lab, knowing that its absence will be spotted the next day? Do you think someone just slips it down their trousers and walks out, then takes the hour-long journey to the other side of the city to find someone who wants to buy a single civet?

    If you’re going to steal, if you’re going to risk your entire career and suffering at the hands of China’s harsh penal system, you’d do the easier thing and nick a laptop, not a feckin’ civet.
    Or just spill something on your way out for lunch and not be especially thorough about cleaning it. I remember walking past two bio-med professors in the run-up to lockdown and them both laughing about "Wouldn't surprise me - that lab is a total sh*t-show".
  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011
    HYUFD said:

    I don't think raising employers NI and hitting farmers with inheritance tax and scrapping the remaining hereditary peers in the Lords and putting VAT on private schools and giving a huge payrise to train drivers and GPs is exactly rightwing.

    So Starmer is just Shite, though I agree if he still looks like losing Labour's majority in 2028/29 Labour MPs might try and replace him with the more New Labour Streeting (albeit with the risk of getting the even more leftwing Rayner)
    SKS reminds me of Gordon McBrown.
    People said Brown was charismatic in private but disastrous on TV. Seems to me they are too cheeks of the same arse. Identical losers.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,207
    Nigelb said:

    It really doesn’t do any such thing. You’re projecting.

    All that the current polling shows is that Harris was fairly popular with her own party. It’s only a couple of months since the election; bit early to expect them to move on.
    Indeed, there are a few Tories being rather slow to move on...
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    .

    How? How do you smuggle a live civet out of a secure research lab, knowing that its absence will be spotted the next day? Do you think someone just slips it down their trousers and walks out, then takes the hour-long journey to the other side of the city to find someone who wants to buy a single civet?

    If you’re going to steal, if you’re going to risk your entire career and suffering at the hands of China’s harsh penal system, you’d do the easier thing and nick a laptop, not a feckin’ civet.
    It’s pointless. Most who are spouting this rubbish know nothing of scientific research, bio security or Chinese scientific culture. You get the impression they’ve seen stuff in films and think it’s true. E.g. freezing a persons arm in liquid nitrogen for a few seconds and then shattering with a well aimed kick. Or analytical kit in CSI that’s not actually plugged into anything.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283

    When Trump ran in 2024 after losing in 2020, was that fury that the electorate gave the wrong answer and they should bloody well try the question again?
    And doubtless such simple Whatabouttery lies behind the "rationale" for Harris having another pop in 4 years time.

    But here's the problem: he's a winner, and she's not.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686

    A gap has arisen in the last few weeks where Musk offers to bankroll Farage but at the same time openly supports Robinson and AFD in Germany

    This scenario should play well for the Conservatives and justifies Kemi war of words with Farage, as she needs to put clear water between the Trump - Musk - Robinson - Farage political grouping

    Labour are very unpopular and must fear Musk interventions not least as his mps are looking at closing down X and anti Labour social media, but that will not work

    I notice how fracetious discussion are becoming even on here and I would say to Labour supporters especially, this hasn't really started yet and goodness knows what will happen in the months and years ahead

    It seems that Rochdale and Oldham abuse scandals are really coming into the news, not least as the media, including ITV, highlight the demands for public enquiries but also social media is awash with allegations of cover ups and wrong doings not just on these scandals but others that makes you wonder just what is coming down the line

    Scary, unpredictable days lie ahead with no known outcomes
    Love the mashup of fractious and facetious.
    A fine neologism, Big_G.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844

    Well done to the 20 Broxtowe Councillors who quit Labour today.

    Having dared to criticise dear leader of WFA decision and failure to drop the 2 child benefit cap. 10 of their number were barred by Evans and SKS from standing again.

    The SKS project will eat itself and SKS will be subject to a challenge by Streetingites and other ambitious Centrist knobs well before GE 2029 as SKSs popularity numbers get forever worse.

    Shite Right Wing PM to be replaced by Shit Right wing PM by 2027

    There will be more. That Jess Phillips letter…
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    ohnotnow said:

    Or just spill something on your way out for lunch and not be especially thorough about cleaning it. I remember walking past two bio-med professors in the run-up to lockdown and them both laughing about "Wouldn't surprise me - that lab is a total sh*t-show".
    But that’s just scientists joking. I doubt they really believed that.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    Nigelb said:

    It really doesn’t do any such thing. You’re projecting.

    All that the current polling shows is that Harris was fairly popular with her own party. It’s only a couple of months since the election; bit early to expect them to move on.
    Not really. Running a dreadful candidate twice is clearly barking but the fury and disbelief that she lost is still all too readily apparent. Her popularity within the party just adds to that, because it perfectly exemplifies the dichotomy between those who get it and the ignorant electorate.

    As always for people like this @bondegezou is a fantastic yardstick, because he channels that perfectly.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,641

    But that’s just scientists joking. I doubt they really believed that.
    I was somewhat joking myself (they were both Chinese nationals however), but in general "accidentally f*cking up" vs. "deliberate plan" is my go-to, in life and science, when it comes to this kind of thing.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,136
    Nigelb said:

    Love the mashup of fractious and facetious.
    A fine neologism, Big_G.
    Describes PB perfectly.
  • .

    How? How do you smuggle a live civet out of a secure research lab, knowing that its absence will be spotted the next day? Do you think someone just slips it down their trousers and walks out, then takes the hour-long journey to the other side of the city to find someone who wants to buy a single civet?

    If you’re going to steal, if you’re going to risk your entire career and suffering at the hands of China’s harsh penal system, you’d do the easier thing and nick a laptop, not a feckin’ civet.
    You assume its going to get noticed.

    If its eg being disposed of, then disposing of it via reselling to a third party rather than disposing of it via incineration etc is another way to make money.

    There's plenty of ways for those who want to profit off lax security to do so, you only need to look at Russia to see.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    Have I missed the four Yorkshiremen pb skit tonight, or is there still time for dessert?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915
    edited January 2

    But that’s just scientists joking. I doubt they really believed that.
    A joke is only funny if it has some semblance of truth.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Nigelb said:

    Love the mashup of fractious and facetious.
    A fine neologism, Big_G.
    Oh dear - put it down to arthritic figures, ageing and spell check failure !!!!
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,283
    Queue-jumping. Jeez.

    Does he want to start a war with the British people?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    edited January 2
    This is surely worthy of an Ignobel ?

    Coupling nitrogen-vacancy center spins in diamond to a grape dimer

    https://journals.aps.org/prapplied/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevApplied.22.064078
    Two grapes irradiated inside a microwave (MW) oven typically produce a series of sparks and can ignite a violent plasma. The underlying cause of the plasma has been attributed to the formation of morphological-dependent resonances (MDRs) in the aqueous dielectric dimers that lead to the generation of a strong evanescent MW hotspot between them. Previous experiments have focused on the electric field component of the field as the driving force behind the plasma ignition. Here we couple an ensemble of nitrogen-vacancy (N-𝑉) spins in nanodiamonds (NDs) to the magnetic field component of the dimer MW field. We demonstrate the efficient coupling of the N-𝑉 spins to the MW magnetic field hotspot formed between the grape dimers using optically detected magnetic resonance (ODMR). The ODMR measurements are performed by coupling N-𝑉 spins in NDs to the evanescent MW fields of a copper wire. When placing a pair of grapes around the NDs and matching the ND position with the expected magnetic field hotspot, we see an enhancement in the ODMR contrast by more than a factor of 2 compared to the measurements without grapes. Using finite-element modeling, we attribute our experimental observation of the field enhancement to the MW hotspot formation between the grape dimers. The present study not only validates previous work on understanding grape-dimer resonator geometries, but it also opens up another avenue for exploring alternative MW resonator designs for quantum technologies...

    A substantial advance on this.

    Linking plasma formation in grapes to microwave resonances of aqueous dimers
    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1818350116

    (All serious science.)
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,641
    He really seem to lack the "Does this maybe look bad?" gene.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,256
    ...
    Again? He did yesterday too on PB.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617
    Probably due to his security. I wouldn’t begrudge him that.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668

    Indeed.

    That @bondegezou can't comprehend why people might engage in such corruption, which is rampant in parts of the world, rather puts into question his entire judgment on the probabilities on this subject.

    When you're ruling out something that is common as "why would it happen" then the rest of your logic utterly falls apart.
    Please provide evidence that lab civet theft is common.

    Of course there is corruption in the world, but try to come up with some sort of vaguely plausible or evidence-based corruption. To the best of our knowledge, there were no viruses in the Wuhan Institute that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. There were no animal tests going on of anything that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. The Institute and the wet market are on opposite sides of the city, so even if anything infected got out, you have to explain how it gets to the other side of the city without infecting anything along the way.

    We know the wet market sources animals from the wild. We know wild animals sometimes carry bugs we’ve not encountered before. So, what is more likely? Some hare-brained animal theft scheme from the hardest place to nick animals in the city, or a wild animal with a cough?
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915

    Have I missed the four Yorkshiremen pb skit tonight, or is there still time for dessert?

    Dessert? What kind of fancy word is that?

    'Ere we 'av puddin', but can only afford it on Sundays.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,516
    edited January 2

    Have I missed the four Yorkshiremen pb skit tonight, or is there still time for dessert?

    Dessert? We never ‘ad dessert. Most we could hope for was to find a chocolate that had been thrown down in gutter.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806
    edited January 2

    Queue-jumping. Jeez.

    Does he want to start a war with the British people?
    I hate to stick up for Sir Queue Skipper, but who waits 3 hours to trundle down a hill in a wicker basket?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617
    Mighty Mike over Chris Dobey 6-1.

    Next up Luke the Nuke v Bullet Bunting
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624
    ohnotnow said:

    He really seem to lack the "Does this maybe look bad?" gene.
    Sunak was slammed for leaving D-Day early. This is as bad. Just not British.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806

    Please provide evidence that lab civet theft is common.

    Of course there is corruption in the world, but try to come up with some sort of vaguely plausible or evidence-based corruption. To the best of our knowledge, there were no viruses in the Wuhan Institute that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. There were no animal tests going on of anything that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. The Institute and the wet market are on opposite sides of the city, so even if anything infected got out, you have to explain how it gets to the other side of the city without infecting anything along the way.

    We know the wet market sources animals from the wild. We know wild animals sometimes carry bugs we’ve not encountered before. So, what is more likely? Some hare-brained animal theft scheme from the hardest place to nick animals in the city, or a wild animal with a cough?
    OK, jumping into Leon mode here, he has called out your comments on the location of the lab (other side of the city) as a proven lie. You didn't reply to his rebuttal then - are you insisting that the lab was on the other side of the city?
  • Sunak was slammed for leaving D-Day early. This is as bad. Just not British.
    We aren't in an early General Election that the PM has only just called himself, so no its not as bad.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    Please provide evidence that lab civet theft is common.

    Of course there is corruption in the world, but try to come up with some sort of vaguely plausible or evidence-based corruption. To the best of our knowledge, there were no viruses in the Wuhan Institute that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. There were no animal tests going on of anything that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. The Institute and the wet market are on opposite sides of the city, so even if anything infected got out, you have to explain how it gets to the other side of the city without infecting anything along the way.

    We know the wet market sources animals from the wild. We know wild animals sometimes carry bugs we’ve not encountered before. So, what is more likely? Some hare-brained animal theft scheme from the hardest place to nick animals in the city, or a wild animal with a cough?
    Which version gives the best thriller plot?
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,617
    edited January 2

    I hate to stick up for Sir Queue Skipper, but who waits 3 hours to trundle down a hill in a wicker basket?
    Not me.

    When we went, after a nice journey up in a cable car got out, saw the queue, we turned around and went back down and wandered around Funchal. Not much there. A statue of Christiano Ronaldo, wild growing bananas and some gardens and that’s it.

    Madeira is perfect for SKS. It’s rather dull.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915
    edited January 2

    Please provide evidence that lab civet theft is common.

    Of course there is corruption in the world, but try to come up with some sort of vaguely plausible or evidence-based corruption. To the best of our knowledge, there were no viruses in the Wuhan Institute that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. There were no animal tests going on of anything that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. The Institute and the wet market are on opposite sides of the city, so even if anything infected got out, you have to explain how it gets to the other side of the city without infecting anything along the way.

    We know the wet market sources animals from the wild. We know wild animals sometimes carry bugs we’ve not encountered before. So, what is more likely? Some hare-brained animal theft scheme from the hardest place to nick animals in the city, or a wild animal with a cough?
    Here's some evidence based corruption.

    Not dead Civets though, dead people:

    https://www.newsweek.com/china-thousands-corpses-smuggled-bone-graft-medical-health-scandal-1936276

    You think anyone would worry about selling a few animals on the side?

    [Note the lawyer who blew the whistle on it was un-personed by the Chinese government.]
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686

    Oh dear - put it down to arthritic figures, ageing and spell check failure !!!!
    Don’t apologise - it’s genuinely good.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,686
    SKS bagged a first ??
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,624

    Here's some evidence based corruption.

    Not dead Civets though, dead people:

    https://www.newsweek.com/china-thousands-corpses-smuggled-bone-graft-medical-health-scandal-1936276

    You think anyone would worry about selling a few animals on the side?

    [Note the lawyer who blew the whistle on it was un-personed by the Chinese government.]
    Wasn't there a recent scandal about a funeral parlour not actually dealing with lots of bodies? Oh wait that was in the UK.
  • Here's some evidence based corruption.

    Not dead Civets though, dead people:

    https://www.newsweek.com/china-thousands-corpses-smuggled-bone-graft-medical-health-scandal-1936276

    You think anyone would worry about selling a few animals on the side?

    Note the lawyer who blew the whistle on it was un-personed by the Chinese government.
    Exactly.

    There's plenty of evidence of corruption and illicit trade being possible and the one consistent thing is that the government prioritises saving face and anyone who blows the whistle has a tendency to face consequences themselves if not wind up dead.

    The idea that corruption is unheard of is utterly insane. Taking the Chinese governments face-saving words at face value is utterly bonkers too.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Nigelb said:

    Don’t apologise - it’s genuinely good.
    My wife is in stitches about it

    I am pleased that I have added to the English language
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,915

    Wasn't there a recent scandal about a funeral parlour not actually dealing with lots of bodies? Oh wait that was in the UK.
    Corruption everywhere? Who knew.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Sky

    Man in exploding Tesla had a gunshot wound
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,207

    I hate to stick up for Sir Queue Skipper, but who waits 3 hours to trundle down a hill in a wicker basket?
    its more than a trundle, I have done it a couple of times, and never had to queue.

    Its often done as part of a package, a bit like the fastpass at Disney, but I just took a taxi.

    Madeira is a lovely place, and their Carnival is the best in europe. It helps if you like walking, as there are fantastic views
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,207

    Sky

    Man in exploding Tesla had a gunshot wound

    Interesting fact that when disabled, Teslas lock you in. It took them a while to get to the body.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,537
    Nigelb said:

    It really doesn’t do any such thing. You’re projecting.

    All that the current polling shows is that Harris was fairly popular with her own party. It’s only a couple of months since the election; bit early to expect them to move on.
    Much depends on how far Trump managrs to piss off the MAGA base. Whilst they won't vote Harris in 2028, if she is proven right on how Trump would behave - and the disastrous consequences for blue-collar Americans - them staying home and Harris holding the voters she got in 2024 might well be enough.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,018
    Foxy said:

    its more than a trundle, I have done it a couple of times, and never had to queue.

    Its often done as part of a package, a bit like the fastpass at Disney, but I just took a taxi.

    Madeira is a lovely place, and their Carnival is the best in europe. It helps if you like walking, as there are fantastic views
    My wife and I have done it and cannot remember having to queue for it

    It is good fun
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,693
    This story would be massive if there were a video of the jumping and the booing. Absent that, it's a damp squib.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,806
    edited January 2

    Please provide evidence that lab civet theft is common.

    Of course there is corruption in the world, but try to come up with some sort of vaguely plausible or evidence-based corruption. To the best of our knowledge, there were no viruses in the Wuhan Institute that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. There were no animal tests going on of anything that could be ancestral to SARS-CoV-2. The Institute and the wet market are on opposite sides of the city, so even if anything infected got out, you have to explain how it gets to the other side of the city without infecting anything along the way.

    We know the wet market sources animals from the wild. We know wild animals sometimes carry bugs we’ve not encountered before. So, what is more likely? Some hare-brained animal theft scheme from the hardest place to nick animals in the city, or a wild animal with a cough?
    Quick Google...

    *Beijing-sponsored South China University of Technology concludes that 'the killer coronavirus probably originated from a laboratory in Wuhan'
    *It points to research on bats and respiratory diseases carried by the animals at the Wuhan Center for Disease Control and the Wuhan Institute of Virology
    *WCDC is just 300 yards from the seafood market and is adjacent to the hospital

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8009669/Did-coronavirus-originate-Chinese-government-laboratory.html

    I would like to give you the benefit of the doubt and suggest it's down to ignorance, but given that the Wuhan Centre For Disease Control was 300 yards from the wet market, do you see how your comments, particularly the bolded where you mention the Wuhan Institute of Virology (which I assume is on the other side of the city), look very much like a clumsy attempt to misdirect?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,441

    Well done to the 20 Broxtowe Councillors who quit Labour today.

    Having dared to criticise dear leader of WFA decision and failure to drop the 2 child benefit cap. 10 of their number were barred by Evans and SKS from standing again.

    The SKS project will eat itself and SKS will be subject to a challenge by Streetingites and other ambitious Centrist knobs well before GE 2029 as SKSs popularity numbers get forever worse.

    Shite Right Wing PM to be replaced by Shit Right wing PM by 2027

    After your performance in Ben's prediction competition I'm sure we're all hanging on your every word.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,537
    Foxy said:

    its more than a trundle, I have done it a couple of times, and never had to queue.

    Its often done as part of a package, a bit like the fastpass at Disney, but I just took a taxi.

    Madeira is a lovely place, and their Carnival is the best in europe. It helps if you like walking, as there are fantastic views
    The levadas are lovely to walk - but quite a few ferocious sounding dogs along the way though. Carry a decent weight of walking stick.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,668

    Could you show your working on why it's a good idea to fund science creating a new plague IN CHINA. A country that will have your information off you even if you're doing your research in Newent, let alone doing it in Wuhan. Why are we showing China how to create a new pandemic, whether the pandemic is unfortunately unleashed in their country or not? You give the impression that it's all just terribly gauche to question these things. That's the attitude people refer to when they speak of the establishment.
    China knows a lot about coronaviruses and has invested heavily in research on them since SARS. Collaborating with people who know a lot about something is often wise. There’s nothing China didn’t know already!

    Talk of funding to “create” a new plague is rhetorical nonsense. Who is this “we” who supposedly showed China how to create a new pandemic? There are no reports I’m aware of relating to the UK. There was a US/China collaboration involving EcoHealth that possibly should not have happened, but that involved the MERS virus and it could not have caused COVID-19. I am all for carefully reviewing virology research in this area with respect to the risks of accidental release and in terms of geopolitical relations with China.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,145
    A political question from tonight's Only Connect. What is the fourth in this sequence?

    1. Artist & MEP (2019-2022)
    2. Teacher/nurse & maths professor (2022-2022)
    -- I got it from the second clue
    3. Pharmacist & GP (2022-2024)


    Ans. Nurse & toolmaker (2024-) being the parental occupations of successive PMs.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,010

    My wife and I have done it and cannot remember having to queue for it

    It is good fun
    Yes we did it too last Spring and did queue but not for too long, Starmer just put his kids on it anyway and got driven down the hill by car
This discussion has been closed.