Could becoming a republic be the only way to keep Scotland in the Union? – politicalbetting.com

Yesterday an interesting piece of polling was published
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Yesterday an interesting piece of polling was published
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The Reeves effect.
1st August business confidence is at a 3 year high.
Now it is at a 4 year low.
This from the same people who claim ‘Truss crashed the economy”
https://x.com/aaronbastani/status/1869710310409687213?s=61
Andrew Bailey downgrades growth forecasts and says businesses are cutting costs and raising prices after Rachel Reeves’s raid on employers’ NI
The Bank of England has warned that the economy is stagnating after Rachel Reeves’s budget as businesses have responded by raising prices and cutting jobs.
Andrew Bailey, governor of the Bank, said that there would be a gradual approach to cutting interest rates because of concerns over the impact of tax rises and a higher minimum wage.
Officials at the Bank downgraded their forecasts and said that they now expect “zero growth” in the final three months of 2024.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/politics/article/budget-has-caused-economy-to-stagnate-bank-of-england-says-vbmr7gf6d
https://news.sky.com/story/kings-cancer-treatment-will-continue-into-next-year-sky-news-understands-13276684
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/4996440/Lord-Mandelson-must-remain-loyal-to-EU-to-guarantee-pension.html
It's only 30 thousand a year he gets, but it seems a pretty clear conflict of interest to me. He should relinquish the pension upon joining the British diplomatic service.
Slow clap for Ms Reeves.
As the lead should surely finish?
https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/bulletins/publicsectorfinances/november2024
"Borrowing – the difference between public sector spending and income – was £11.2 billion in November 2024, £3.4 billion less than in November 2023 and the lowest November borrowing for three years.
Current budget deficit – borrowing to fund day-to-day public sector activities – was £6.8 billion in November 2024, £3.5 billion less than in November 2023 and the lowest November current budget deficit for three years."
It will amuse some of you there was a quiz and one of the sections was on Christmas music, films, and TV shows and of the questions was
'Which 1980s film starring Bruce Willis and Alan Rickman is set at Christmas Eve'?
I am putting in a grievance in to HR this morning.
https://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/bond-forecast/united-kingdom/10-years/
https://www.worldgovernmentbonds.com/bond-forecast/united-kingdom/2-years/
But to suggest Peter Mandelson has made a career out of split loyalties and being influenced by money is a pure statement of fact, regardless of his being Jewish.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xtt78SW-mgg
(I've no idea if the Latin is correct...)
Freezing This Christmas, by Sir Starmer and the Granny Harmers, lampoons cutting of winter fuel payments for pensioners
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2024/12/19/bbc-refuses-to-play-anti-starmer-christmas-song/ (£££)
The song (based on Mud's Lonely this Christmas) can be heard here:-
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mQrvmY5s2mo
The "official" Christmas number one will be announced this afternoon and is based on sales and streams in the week up to midnight last night.
Hence Trump (& Musk).
https://x.com/_johnnymaga/status/1869807874777432495?s=61&t=LYVEHh2mqFy1oUJAdCfe-Q
The 2026 Holyrood elections are going to be Starmers first big electoral test. Despite recent years, surely the SNP are going to win a majority.
Chaz is in no position to do any scandals, staggering or otherwise, because he's basically just a tumour with a crown on top at this point.
The ScotNats need to regroup and refresh having missed their shot with Johnson and the descent into complacent decadence of the leadership of the SNP. That's probably at least a decade or more away but I sincerely wish them well in their liberation struggle.
When did all journalists become such massive dickheads? Why are they so totally focussed on feels and moralising instead of facts and answers? I know I should stop listening but I’ve been listening for decades and it feels like a case of Today leaving me rather than me leaving Today.
I’m waiting for Emma Barnett to ask people from Hampshire to hone in with their stories about why they couldn’t shower yesterday is a sign of the continued oppression of WASPI women.
Maybe it’s just me, but Republicans having two daddies seems kind of woke
You have to wonder why anyone from a body like Southern Water even appear on such a show when the only aim of the excercise is to try to humiliate them.
Someone sent me this. I have forgotten most of my Latin as the last time I studied it was in 1968...
Tears for Fears .. in Latin....
https://youtu.be/Xtt78SW-mgg?si=S9PTF5wN92uMxHVN
Macquarie’s embattled UK water asset gets go-ahead to jack up bills
https://www.afr.com/companies/infrastructure/macquarie-s-embattled-uk-water-asset-gets-go-ahead-to-jack-up-bills-20241215-p5kyjx (£££)
https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:5lplaxalie3qu73vfqb3i37o/post/3ld
(Yes, I know they are claims...)
I said last night that Labour's first few months have been well, well beyond the normal rough and tumble of politics - perhaps a new normal, but clearly different to what has gone before. That this type of (serious) skit exists is perfectly normal rough and tumble, it is just some of the bits round the edges that seem fishy and I wonder how the promotion of this within the algorithms has been achieved.
It was just absolutely ridiculous. Listen to it and tell me it wasn’t just “feels” journalism rather than, let’s get someone on and get the facts and answers. The journalists don’t need to be outraged for people, people can do that themselves, they are there to get information not judgement.
Despite the absolute car crash of the SNP government in recent years they will lead the next government surely.
A more forensic grilling would of course be better, but I'm shedding few tears for the "poor chap".
Scottish politics makes UK politics look good right now.
Same here but will global interest rates continue to fall given the inflationary pressures.
The fed is alot more hawkish after the meeting this week.
Could we see a rise in interest rates now ?
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1869829152347664875.html
NB: I don’t want you banned. I just want to know the rules
Some others (not a definitive list):
Brexit
The Tory party
Small boats
Farage
The triumphs and tribulations of the English cricket team
The triumphs and tribulations of the English football team
The triumphs and tribulations of the English rugby team
(See also the women’s versions of these and whatever stupid name the marketing guys have come up with for them)
The nonce-tolerant Church of England
The House of Lords
Eastenders
The sewage ridden waterways of England
HS2
England’s energy poverty
GAVIN AND FCKNG STACEY
All of these topics are of course extensively and endlessly amplified by the state broadcaster. Only this morning I’ve learned via several news bulletins that Wills & Kate did not attend the traditional pre Christmas lunch at the Palace.
Low interest rates are not a a good thing for everyone.
And what was the number for the undecideds who were excluded ?
It’s mildly Woke pap aimed at low-watt morons
And despite our many stramashes I’ve never seen you as dumb; quite the opposite
I cannot remember ever seeing blossom before the new year even starts.
I wonder if the snow inn November followed by warmer weather now has triggered it.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/24808326.labours-jackie-baillie-blasts-uk-government-waspi-decision/
But remember that - unlike the Tories and LDs - there *is no separate Scottish Labour Party*: it's only a loophole in electoral law, deliberately inserted by a Labour administration, that allows them to claim they are on the ballot paper. And in any case pensions are a strictly reserved matter, so none of their business as MSPs - even if it is as Party members. How much of this is also deliberate obfuscation and an attempt to mislead the voters remains to be seen.
https://www.bing.com/videos/search?q=freezing+this+Christmas&view=detail&mid=0C4482B73528C08AFD380C4482B73528C08AFD38&FORM=VIRE&PC=SMSM
Paying cash for generic gleevec ~$80-$90
Use Aetna ? - $1044 - $2559
https://x.com/anish_koka/status/1869936625465135233
A revised spending plan failed to reach the two-thirds majority needed in the lower chamber of Congress, with 38 Republicans voting against the bill on Thursday night, defying the president-elect.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cz6l9e3jq7xo
If Trump cannot even get his spending plan passed I don't see much chance of David Herdson's fear of Trump being appointed God-Emperor happening.
Traded the M1000RR for a Bimota KB988. Bought a rusty E30 318is for its minty interior that's going in my S54 engined Bauer E30. All the lambda sensors on the Tributo are dead. That's my fleet update.
I assume it just brings the thresholds down in line with PA ?
It was more damaging for the EU than the UK. The loss of UK pragmatism and liberalism has led directly to the EU’s self defeating regulatory bonanza, destroying innovation and crushing flexibility
https://www.eurointelligence.com/column/what-brexit-did-to-the-eu
The algorithm filters it out, unless of course it amplifies the rage. Perhaps you see more of this stuff north of the border precisely because it pisses you off.
Savers should get a real return, and the return of decent annuity rates are a good thing for pension schemes.
More saving and less consumption is good for the country and the planet.
Brexit (eventually) brought Boris to power, and he was Ukraine's biggest major supporter at the critical time of the war.
It's a counterfactual of course I can't see Cameron or Osborne or whoever rallying the free world as well as Boris did in the first year of the war, especially given how they acquiesced in Europe's spinelessness after the first invasion in 2014.
Anyway, as Starmer has shown in the last six months, we don't need the EU - we're more than capable of destroying innovation and crushing flexibility on our own.
They're now scrambling around in search of a strategy.
UK public and venture capital equity markets have certainly not been a bubble vs global peers.
You really don't want a return of the negative equity and high interest rates that my generation suffered in the early nineties. It makes the nominal house prices look cheap, but the actual affordability was awful. Indeed the percentage of income housing cost me at Fox Jr's age (he actually lives in an identical house in Leicester to my first) was about 40% of net income. Not cheap at all.
VAG's premium brands (Porsche, Lambo, Bentley) also made shrewd moves and the mass market brands have the occasional stand out product (ID Buzz).
However, you're mainly correct, there are plenty of European brands in a death spiral.
He had no idea who she was.
Or that she was in her mid-seventies.