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Irish General Election Predictions [Part 1/2] C & D Constituencies – politicalbetting.com
Irish General Election Predictions [Part 1/2] C & D Constituencies – politicalbetting.com
With only a few days to the election, I wanted to share some insight to the upcoming Irish Election.
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https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/british-troops-hunt-drone-pilot-us-air-force-bases/
I think it is turned off now, so Rendlesham Forest will remain undisturbed.
[Edit: actually demolished, it seems]
They don't need to send Natasha Nogoodnik and Boris Badenov in to cause trouble.
Let me know when it’s safe to come back….
Bloody hell what have some of the PB regulars been up to....
Rules imposed to speed up the transition to electric vehicles (EV) in the UK partly drove the decision, the company said.
https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/stellantis-shut-its-van-factory-luton-england-2024-11-26/
Apparently, someone in the civil service or politics noticed that the plane spotters hang out at various RAF bases. Even worse, the RAF didn’t chase them away. Security!
The RAF response was these people were patriotic if a bit odd sometimes. Plus they *helped* with security. They were very observant and all knew each other - if someone tried to pretend to be a plane spotter they would out him in seconds. So free watchmen with big cameras…
In Cork South-West the incumbent TD you have losing his seat, Christopher O'Sullivan (FF), was first to get his posters up, seemingly intent on fighting hard to hold the seat. But he's not been round to canvass yet.
We had a couple of representatives for Noel O'Donovan - whose Dad had the O'Reilly Centra in Dunmanway, it was important for us to know, as it also was that one of the canvassers now claims a distant family relationship.
The local Fine Gael party are apparently very enthusiastically behind Noel O'Donovan - he's received the blessing of Jim Daly (FG TD from 2011-2020) - and after the mess last time when party HQ imposed a candidate the local party didn't like then I'd concur that he has a great chance of winning back the seat. But will the pregnant leader of the SocDems hold on? She only sneaked over the line with huge numbers of transfers from SF last time, and she's now 4 days past her due date - could make all the difference in a close election.
If you invite several million @SeanT in for a G&T then that will be a epic breach.
😇
An accidental fly-away over a sensitive airbase? Oops.
I'm surprised they aren't banned like Huawei yet. I only use their software in a sandbox, although there's no particular reason to be paranoid.
I believe a ban might be coming in the US, but that's probably more a commercial thing, as they completely dominate the market.
The result on this is quite interesting. All the parties have seen their scores decrease (since the prior poll just before the campaign started), indicating a decrease in partisanship during the election campaign, which is a bit of a difference to results seen elsewhere.
Also, there remains a very chunky percentage who do not want to see Sinn Fein let anywhere near government.
Completely forgetting that they are essentially just a camera and the market for cameras is a million times bigger.
In saying that, If you can get SF @ the 11/2 mark, it is worth £20 stake.
FF, FG and Ind should be the new Govt.
The Groucho not our marvellous members.
https://www.irishtimes.com/politics/2024/11/25/irish-times-poll-fine-gael-support-slumps-as-general-election-campaign-enters-final-stretch/
Stellantis, which also owns brands including Citroen, Peugeot and Fiat, said it would combine its electric van production at its other UK plant in Ellesmere Port.
Rules imposed to speed up the transition to electric vehicles (EV) in the UK partly drove the decision, the company said.
It comes amid growing concerns among car manufacturers over EV sales targets, with many, including Stellantis, calling for the government to do more to boost consumer demand.'
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cy8n3n62wq4o
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2025_Canadian_federal_election
Maybe not as important a closure as Vauxhall's..😏
Polievre has promised to focus on attracting more investment and higher wages to Canada while also matching US tariffs on Chinese EVs
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/poilievre-electric-vehicle-tariffs-1.7290108
https://globalnews.ca/video/10873210/fight-fire-with-fire-poilievre-vows-to-counter-trump-economic-policies-u-s-tariffs-on-canada
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/11/26/cabinet-minister-contradicts-reeves-on-future-tax-raid/
Looks like the no further tax rises line has already shifted.
It certainly looks like a big win for Poilievre at this time but there's still 11 months to go before the scheduled election on October 20th next year.
As far as Ireland is concerned, the three main parties (SF, FF and FG) polled 67.5% in 2021 and are now on 60% with the Independents up to 17%. The Greens are down but the Social Democrats should finish fifth.
Not sure what all this means - I suspect the FF, FG and Green coalition will lose its majority in the Dail but if the Social Democrats improve, wouldn't they join a new FF/FG coalition so, contrary to what has happened in many other countries, the incumbent Government will be re-elected with SF likely to take some big losses?
Tomorrow tractors will escalate fight back with a rally around Dover.
Rachel Reeves and Keir Starmer betrayed farmers with their disastrous budget which delivered a poisonous cocktail and a hammer blow to 🇬🇧 Farming.
https://x.com/SaveBritishFood/status/1861460248235577746
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cj0jl8973meo
Finally, the Social Democrats are well ahead in Sweden as well so I would argue it's still tough for incumbent Governments and it's tough for opposition conservative parties facing a populist party on their flank.
I haven't, I hear it is rather plez
See also: "Almost certainly not"
Am I right in assuming that the record demand for the latest British bond issue is good news for both the Government and the country?
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/other/uk-receives-record-demand-at-4-25-billion-pound-bond-sale/ar-AA1uMjpl
Yawataya Isogoro Shichimi Togarashi
OMFG
Not sure why they don't do these as some sort of reverse auction - ask how much institutions would buy at what rates, then aggregate the results and allocate at those rates (or at the highest rate, at least).
Sweden has a government of the centre right supported by the hard right Sweden Democrats.
Australia also has the conservatives neck and neck. If the left can't even sweep Scandinavia where can it win anyway?
https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1859993600647639423
The IHT APR has caused more hardship to framers over the years than removing it will.