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A promising start for Kemi Badenoch – politicalbetting.com

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  • Phil said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Fishing said:

    Phil said:

    Next up, after Jeremy “I bought my farm in order to avoid inheritance tax“ Clarkson; that well known farmer Andrew Lloyd Webber, who definitely hasn’t bought 5,000 acres in order to avoid inheritance tax: https://x.com/Otto_English/status/1858860636609876027

    Really not sure leading with these guys is doing the farming lobby any favours with the wider public? But maybe that’s just my left-liberal bubble speaking.

    I'm not remotely left-liberal, but I don't get the sentimental drivel people spout about farming, any more than I did about coal mines in the 90s. Like any other marginal industry, if farmers can't survive without their epic tax breaks and subsidies they should go under, to allow the labour, land and capital to be used more efficiently by others. And small farms that benefit from the IHT break are exactly the least efficient ones that should go under first. Property doesn't suddenly become a national treasure because you plant crops or whatever on it. The world isn't short of food.

    Having lower IHT is a good idea, but we should lower the overall rate rather than give out undeserved bungs to special interest groups, many of whom just use it as a tax dodge anyway.
    Ultra libertarian fanaticism with no concern for the national interest.

    We should have kept some coal mines as we need to secure our own energy in the age of Putin and lockdowns and renewables and nuclear alone are nowhere near enough as yet to supply it all.

    We need to grow more of our own food even more so and the best way to provide food for the nation is family farms rooted in the land
    Congratulations.

    That is literally the most evidence free post I have ever seen on PB. And I've read @Leon's posts about AI.
    Nothing evidence free about it, as I said we need to secure our own energy and our own food.

    It is no wonder free market globalist liberals like you are losing elections all over the world at the moment. As you are so focused on being citizens of nowhere, living anywhere as long as it is expensive and working for global corporations and organisations you have forgotten the interests of the nation you were born and raised in and its people
    "the best way to provide food for the nation is family farms rooted in the land"

    Is it? Does that actually produce more food? I mean, it might do. But it's a bald assertion made without the tiniest scintilla of actual evidence.
    I think it's the best way to provide good quality food. I look at American produce quality and shudder.
    And American food isn't even cheap now....
    It was never as cheap as ours. Farms, combined with the highly competitive food retail sector have given us the best food for the money in the developed world - second to France I'd say, but nobody else. Saying how broken it all is and how we should put two fingers up to Farmer Giles and get Monsanto in to do it better is peak left wing hypocritical tribe.
    Farmers have always had a rough deal from governments. Remember the campaigns over the milk price.

    Successive governments have prioritised cheap food for the masses over farmers' economic wellbeing. And I don't necessarily disagree with that.

    But hence the anger over this measure.
    That's because there are 70 million people that consume food, and a few hundred thousand that produce it. And given that - especially for the poorest - their food costs are an enormous chunk of their income, then it would be politically brave to prioritize farmers' incomes over pensioners dinners.
    Well at the moment this useless government is proposing to destroy farmers incomes and assets and freeze lots of pensioners to death in winter so is prioritising neither!
    How does changing IHT have even the slightest impact on farmers' incomes?
    The proponents of the changes advocate that farmers should use all the elaborate
    mechanisms to avoid the IHT - gifts, trusts and companies.

    Setting up and maintaining such structures is not free. In addition, the normal operating purchases and sales of food, materials and equipment by/from the farms will be complicated. Complicated usually equals cost.
    The simple reason for IHT relief is that forcing them to sell assets to pay tax undermines the viability of the farm. We have reliefs for private businesses so the heirs aren’t forced to sell to pay tax, Farma should be treated the same
    The 100% reliefs for private businesses are also going away - they will be subject to the same 20% IHT as agricultural land for valuations over £1million IIRC.
    Again I think this is daft. The farms are the most extreme example of asset rich/cash poor but I am sure some manufacturies with millions in bulding and plant costs woudl also fall into this trap. This really is a very poorly thought out idea.

    And all going on whilst the Government still refuses to make multinationals pay proper tax or deal with things like workers of pension age paying no NI.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,477
    MaxPB said:

    Kemi Badenoch
    @KemiBadenoch
    ·
    1h
    Today I spoke to thousands of farmers to relay a simple message👇

    Labour don’t get farming. Their family farm tax is going to destroy farming as we know it.

    If we want to reverse this, we’re going to have to fight.

    Help us: http://stopthefarmtax.com

    https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/1858932954078368022

    Well done Kemi. This is what winning back our lost voters looks like, not hob nobbing with whatever special or corporate interest group and donor class.
    Yes, not bad from Kemi. I'd like her to seize the initiative even more and come out with a little mini-manifesto for farming and food. Just opposing the worst excesses of Labour isn't enough - we need an alternative vision of a prosperous and plentiful country. But not bad.
  • Phil said:

    Phil said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    If you go around accusing other people of being dumb, you should at least try and get things right yourself, otherwise you look like a bit of an arse.

    For estates worth > £2million only the residence portion of the nil rate band tapers off to zero. The estate still retains the ordinary nil rate band of £325k (£650k for a married couple).

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-and-residence-nil-rate-bands-from-6-april-2028/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-residence-nil-rate-band-from-6-april-2028

    (This post is now a hostage to fortune naturally: anyone want to give odds on my being wrong instead?)
    You are right but you are repeating exactly what I said. So not sure what point you are trying to make. The nil band rate is not the £325K, only the £175K. The £325K is the basic inheritence tax allowance which is entirely separate.
    It’s clear from the HMRC document I linked to that tax people call the first £325k the “nil rate band” and the £175k you get extra if you pass on a residential property the “residential nil rate band”.

    This HMRC pdf makes this even more clear: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5b768e38ed915d14d289cf9c/IHT400_rates_and_tables.pdf

    It is you who have misunderstood Dan Neidle I think.
    Nope. I just did a random check at MSE to confirm and they say the same thing I did.

    "£325,000 – this is the basic inheritance tax allowance that everyone gets, which still applies.

    £175,000 – since 2017, everyone has also been able to take advantage of something called the 'residence nil-rate band', commonly known as the 'main residence' band."

    Which is exactly what I said.

    https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/family/inheritance-tax-planning-iht/
  • Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    Andy_JS said:

    People often ask for a definition of woke-ness. Here's one from John Gray in the New Statesman.

    "Woke – or, as it is more accurately described, hyper-liberalism – is a radical secular avatar of Christianity, in which the Protestant affirmation of personal autonomy in matters of belief has morphed into the assertion that truth is subjective."

    https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/books/book-of-the-day/2024/11/jordan-peterson-prophecies-we-who-wrestle-with-god-review

    Yeh, that bloody Martin Luther. Nothing but trouble since.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176

    Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    This?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cljev4jz3pjt
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082

    Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    Couldn’t afford to retain it.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,858
    GIN1138 said:

    Eabhal said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Sean_F said:

    Foss said:

    Order-Order thinks there's an Opinium/Senedd poll that puts Reform ahead. Anyone got a link to the tables?

    *Reform 28%
    Labour 26%
    Conservative 13%
    Lib Dems 13%

    Mind you here in North Wales conservatives have won 4 locals from Labour recently

    On the wider issue it would be excellent for Wales to see Labour lose the Senedd in 2026

    * I have no tables and do not know if these are subsamples or an actual Welsh poll
    Since 1999, the Welsh Labour administration has been diabolically bad. Fortunately, it looks as if they’ll be booted out in 2026.
    Prediction: In this Parliament Labour will lose power in Wales, Scotland and the London mayoralty...

    And will then be voted out of government in 2029.
    Scotland?
    Ah yes, SNP still in power in Scotland, right? ;)
    Not really. In office, certainly.
  • Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    What also has disappeared is the 'US election' section.

    Meanwhile the counting continues.

    I started to compose a variant of '12 Christmas' for US elections, but we're up to 14 days now.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    kyf_100 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    People often ask for a definition of woke-ness. Here's one from John Gray in the New Statesman.

    "Woke – or, as it is more accurately described, hyper-liberalism – is a radical secular avatar of Christianity, in which the Protestant affirmation of personal autonomy in matters of belief has morphed into the assertion that truth is subjective."

    https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/books/book-of-the-day/2024/11/jordan-peterson-prophecies-we-who-wrestle-with-god-review

    I read that sentence three times and I'm still none the wiser.
    I've seen many definitions, and think some are good (nor do I think a difficulty in precisely defining nebulous concepts is in itself a sign they are not a thing), but that one is just nonsense.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,858

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    I have an idea fir a compromise. Farmers can designate their land as Public Interest Land. If they do that land is exempt from IHT completely. But there is a catch. If they obtain planning permussion for any land they pay extra tax when they sell it. And they have to agree to not plough up SSSIs, block public footpaths, rip out hedgerows etc.

    An interesting idea.
    Worth having been discussed prior to the introduction of the tax change.
    Or an IHT “charge”. If any of the exempted property is disposed of within 50 years of the previous owners death, the tax becomes due at the time of sale.
    Yep:

    This should be the big one, because I will bet you that a very large number of farms are sold shortly after having benefited from the IHT exemption.
    Which is the dodge the government was trying to stamp out. My proposal would do that, but eliminate any need for trusts, gifts etc for farmers passing on their land to another generation.
    See:

    It turns out that PB can find perfectly sensible compromises pretty quickly.
    Once again, I suggest the following -

    Monetise PB as a “Road test & debug your policy proposals” group.

    Policies are presented to a non-public board, with membership selected from PB. The membership of the board share in the fee for their services.
    There was a strong suspicion that it was being used for that purpose (for free) during the Cameron years.
  • Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    Ooooo
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    If you are a farmer and absolutely panicking surely you have been to your accountant this week and got the facts?
  • tlg86 said:

    Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    This?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cljev4jz3pjt
    That is the section but its no longer got a tab on the News page.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    fuel duty during early Blair?
  • glwglw Posts: 9,908

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    I find the whole of UK politics essentially irrelevant right now. We have to wait and see exactly how much of the mad things Trump has pledged to do that he actually does. I expect that some of them will have far more effect on our lives that anything Starmer proposes to do.
  • Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    The pasty tax revolt of George Osborne's making? Admittedly, I can't actually remember much protesting, but the reaction did cause a U-turn.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176

    tlg86 said:

    Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    This?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cljev4jz3pjt
    That is the section but its no longer got a tab on the News page.
    I can't see how to navigate to it from anywhere on the BBC.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,588
    edited November 19

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    Be interesting to hear the official response to this.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    I have an idea fir a compromise. Farmers can designate their land as Public Interest Land. If they do that land is exempt from IHT completely. But there is a catch. If they obtain planning permussion for any land they pay extra tax when they sell it. And they have to agree to not plough up SSSIs, block public footpaths, rip out hedgerows etc.

    An interesting idea.
    Worth having been discussed prior to the introduction of the tax change.
    Or an IHT “charge”. If any of the exempted property is disposed of within 50 years of the previous owners death, the tax becomes due at the time of sale.
    Yep:

    This should be the big one, because I will bet you that a very large number of farms are sold shortly after having benefited from the IHT exemption.
    Which is the dodge the government was trying to stamp out. My proposal would do that, but eliminate any need for trusts, gifts etc for farmers passing on their land to another generation.
    See:

    It turns out that PB can find perfectly sensible compromises pretty quickly.
    Once again, I suggest the following -

    Monetise PB as a “Road test & debug your policy proposals” group.

    Policies are presented to a non-public board, with membership selected from PB. The membership of the board share in the fee for their services.
    There was a strong suspicion that it was being used for that purpose (for free) during the Cameron years.
    Oh dear. So the mess we are in is our fault on here?

    Just as well most of us are pseudononymous.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,316

    Phil said:

    Phil said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    If you go around accusing other people of being dumb, you should at least try and get things right yourself, otherwise you look like a bit of an arse.

    For estates worth > £2million only the residence portion of the nil rate band tapers off to zero. The estate still retains the ordinary nil rate band of £325k (£650k for a married couple).

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-and-residence-nil-rate-bands-from-6-april-2028/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-residence-nil-rate-band-from-6-april-2028

    (This post is now a hostage to fortune naturally: anyone want to give odds on my being wrong instead?)
    You are right but you are repeating exactly what I said. So not sure what point you are trying to make. The nil band rate is not the £325K, only the £175K. The £325K is the basic inheritence tax allowance which is entirely separate.
    It’s clear from the HMRC document I linked to that tax people call the first £325k the “nil rate band” and the £175k you get extra if you pass on a residential property the “residential nil rate band”.

    This HMRC pdf makes this even more clear: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5b768e38ed915d14d289cf9c/IHT400_rates_and_tables.pdf

    It is you who have misunderstood Dan Neidle I think.
    Nope. I just did a random check at MSE to confirm and they say the same thing I did.

    "£325,000 – this is the basic inheritance tax allowance that everyone gets, which still applies.

    £175,000 – since 2017, everyone has also been able to take advantage of something called the 'residence nil-rate band', commonly known as the 'main residence' band."

    Which is exactly what I said.

    https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/family/inheritance-tax-planning-iht/
    I feel like I’m going slightly insane here, but will persevere nonetheless. You stated:
    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.
    The “nil rate band”, as is clear from the HMRC document I posted is the band from £0-£325k. The thing that tapers is the “residential nil rate band” which is another £175k above the nil rate band. The nil rate band does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, which is what a plain reading of your statement above appears to claim.

    The fact that you think Neidle is referring to the residential nil rate band is irrelevant. He is referring to what tax people call the “nil rate band” - the band from £0k-£325k. This does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, so he is entirely correct that farmers still get to apply their nil rate band to their estates, in addition to the £1million (per partner in a couple) threshold that applies to agricultural property. This is how he gets to a total possible relief for a couple of £2.6million - 2 £1million APR thresholds & 2 nil rate bands of £325k.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,316

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    Last time around it was strongly suspected to be a Chinese ship that just happened to have switched crews and was crewed by a bunch of Russians. I wonder which nationality they’re going to fund the crew on this ship claim to have?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,866

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    But Starmer reset relations with China? This boat captain must not have realised that, @Cicero and the people of Estonia can't be wrong about Starmer trying to suck up to Xi and sell us out to Putin's best mate.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126
    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    I have an idea fir a compromise. Farmers can designate their land as Public Interest Land. If they do that land is exempt from IHT completely. But there is a catch. If they obtain planning permussion for any land they pay extra tax when they sell it. And they have to agree to not plough up SSSIs, block public footpaths, rip out hedgerows etc.

    An interesting idea.
    Worth having been discussed prior to the introduction of the tax change.
    Or an IHT “charge”. If any of the exempted property is disposed of within 50 years of the previous owners death, the tax becomes due at the time of sale.
    Yep:

    This should be the big one, because I will bet you that a very large number of farms are sold shortly after having benefited from the IHT exemption.
    Which is the dodge the government was trying to stamp out. My proposal would do that, but eliminate any need for trusts, gifts etc for farmers passing on their land to another generation.
    See:

    It turns out that PB can find perfectly sensible compromises pretty quickly.
    Once again, I suggest the following -

    Monetise PB as a “Road test & debug your policy proposals” group.

    Policies are presented to a non-public board, with membership selected from PB. The membership of the board share in the fee for their services.
    There was a strong suspicion that it was being used for that purpose (for free) during the Cameron years.
    No wonder things have gone badly.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126

    tlg86 said:

    Has anyone noticed that the BBC website's 'cost of living' section has disappeared ?

    This?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cljev4jz3pjt
    That is the section but its no longer got a tab on the News page.
    It was getting a bit cluttered.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    edited November 19
    kyf_100 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    People often ask for a definition of woke-ness. Here's one from John Gray in the New Statesman.

    "Woke – or, as it is more accurately described, hyper-liberalism – is a radical secular avatar of Christianity, in which the Protestant affirmation of personal autonomy in matters of belief has morphed into the assertion that truth is subjective."

    https://www.newstatesman.com/culture/books/book-of-the-day/2024/11/jordan-peterson-prophecies-we-who-wrestle-with-god-review

    I read that sentence three times and I'm still none the wiser.
    Yes, subjective of truth is more Post-modernism than "Woke". After all Trump is well known to have "alternative facts" and is hardly "Woke".

    Woke retains its original definition: being aware of structural inequalities in society, in particular relating to ethnicity and other personal characteristics.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,291

    GIN1138 said:

    Reeves wont survive the May reshuffle.

    Her political ear is so tin the Cornish would open a bloody mine.

    Removing a CotE is never without consequences, though.

    That's how El Gord survived 10 years as Tony's Chancellor, despite being rude and obnoxious and probably having a borderline personality disorder...
    Call it as you see it Gin... he was incapable of communicating with people
    I always do! 😇
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,858
    biggles said:

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    Ooooo
    Never mind the government is brilliantly positioned to deal with this given its new, pragmatic approach to......

    As you were.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    edited November 19

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    Cheers, I'll stop being arse now...

    Small seems to be in the eye of the beholder is a < 2 mill farm small, probably... but if 34% are below a million it might be easier to say less than a million is a 'small-farm' . They should easily stay under the threshold with all the allowances in play. But its all semantics, yes?

    On the average farm size the UK gov reports it to be ~200 acres this seems to be heavily skewed by high acreage holdings, more than 25% are > 400 acre and a big wedge of those above 1000. Most the farmed UK land is pastoral so £10k an acre is a big assumption its much closer to £7.5k. But yes with all the farming paraphernalia the average farm is probably drawing close to the threshold but the median farm seems unlikely to exceed it.

    I don't see where Neidle is talking bollocks.

    Farms are quite a bit more than their land value
    "average farm size is just over 250 acres."

    Should we talking about average rather than median?

    There's presumably some tail end landowners with f*ck off size estates here?

    Also, 54% of farms are owned, 16% tenanted and the remainder part owned and part tenanted.

    Interesting too that more than 50% of agricultural land sales last year were to non-farming owners, so there is a real issue of investment for nonagricultural purposes. I suppose my field would be this, though I do sublet it to a farmer for sheep grazing.

    I reckon the Grundys are still OK, maybe the Archers will be bought out by Borsetshire Land.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,823

    If you are a farmer and absolutely panicking surely you have been to your accountant this week and got the facts?

    Do farmers have accountants and tax lawyers and the like on call? The only onr I know definitely didn't operate in that sphere.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,357
    edited November 19
    biggles said:

    Foxy said:

    DavidL said:

    rcs1000 said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Nigelb said:

    I have an idea fir a compromise. Farmers can designate their land as Public Interest Land. If they do that land is exempt from IHT completely. But there is a catch. If they obtain planning permussion for any land they pay extra tax when they sell it. And they have to agree to not plough up SSSIs, block public footpaths, rip out hedgerows etc.

    An interesting idea.
    Worth having been discussed prior to the introduction of the tax change.
    Or an IHT “charge”. If any of the exempted property is disposed of within 50 years of the previous owners death, the tax becomes due at the time of sale.
    Yep:

    This should be the big one, because I will bet you that a very large number of farms are sold shortly after having benefited from the IHT exemption.
    Which is the dodge the government was trying to stamp out. My proposal would do that, but eliminate any need for trusts, gifts etc for farmers passing on their land to another generation.
    See:

    It turns out that PB can find perfectly sensible compromises pretty quickly.
    Once again, I suggest the following -

    Monetise PB as a “Road test & debug your policy proposals” group.

    Policies are presented to a non-public board, with membership selected from PB. The membership of the board share in the fee for their services.
    There was a strong suspicion that it was being used for that purpose (for free) during the Cameron years.
    Oh dear. So the mess we are in is our fault on here?

    Just as well most of us are pseudononymous.
    Look, I got drunk just once and suggested some interesting experiments with corona viruses in bats. Anyone might have suggested it. Who was I to know the Chinese Communist Party uses this site for ideas?
    My idea about the referendum on Europe - does anyone know what happened with that? Or did it just get forgotten?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    MaxPB said:

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    But Starmer reset relations with China? This boat captain must not have realised that, @Cicero and the people of Estonia can't be wrong about Starmer trying to suck up to Xi and sell us out to Putin's best mate.
    Y'all expected Starmer's reset of relations with China to go wrong but, be honest, none of ya expected it to go this wrong, this quickly.

    Confounded you again ain't he?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,880
    edited November 19
    Phil said:

    Phil said:

    Phil said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    If you go around accusing other people of being dumb, you should at least try and get things right yourself, otherwise you look like a bit of an arse.

    For estates worth > £2million only the residence portion of the nil rate band tapers off to zero. The estate still retains the ordinary nil rate band of £325k (£650k for a married couple).

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-and-residence-nil-rate-bands-from-6-april-2028/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-residence-nil-rate-band-from-6-april-2028

    (This post is now a hostage to fortune naturally: anyone want to give odds on my being wrong instead?)
    You are right but you are repeating exactly what I said. So not sure what point you are trying to make. The nil band rate is not the £325K, only the £175K. The £325K is the basic inheritence tax allowance which is entirely separate.
    It’s clear from the HMRC document I linked to that tax people call the first £325k the “nil rate band” and the £175k you get extra if you pass on a residential property the “residential nil rate band”.

    This HMRC pdf makes this even more clear: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5b768e38ed915d14d289cf9c/IHT400_rates_and_tables.pdf

    It is you who have misunderstood Dan Neidle I think.
    Nope. I just did a random check at MSE to confirm and they say the same thing I did.

    "£325,000 – this is the basic inheritance tax allowance that everyone gets, which still applies.

    £175,000 – since 2017, everyone has also been able to take advantage of something called the 'residence nil-rate band', commonly known as the 'main residence' band."

    Which is exactly what I said.

    https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/family/inheritance-tax-planning-iht/
    I feel like I’m going slightly insane here, but will persevere nonetheless. You stated:
    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.
    The “nil rate band”, as is clear from the HMRC document I posted is the band from £0-£325k. The thing that tapers is the “residential nil rate band” which is another £175k above the nil rate band. The nil rate band does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, which is what a plain reading of your statement above appears to claim.

    The fact that you think Neidle is referring to the residential nil rate band is irrelevant. He is referring to what tax people call the “nil rate band” - the band from £0k-£325k. This does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, so he is entirely correct that farmers still get to apply their nil rate band to their estates, in addition to the £1million (per partner in a couple) threshold that applies to agricultural property. This is how he gets to a total possible relief for a couple of £2.6million - 2 £1million APR thresholds & 2 nil rate bands of £325k.

    ...
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082
    Cookie said:

    If you are a farmer and absolutely panicking surely you have been to your accountant this week and got the facts?

    Do farmers have accountants and tax lawyers and the like on call? The only onr I know definitely didn't operate in that sphere.
    Margins are tight. Accountant in the “does the books” sense? Yes. In the “provide advice on maximising opportunities” sense? Doubt it. On the other hand, if you have a “normal” business worth a few million you probably will.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    That's why it's in our interests to try to blast them into space away from the rest of us.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    You clearly never had a lift in a Sea King….
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,751

    Sorry but all this feels a bit irrelevant compared to this.

    https://x.com/auonsson/status/1858957024962183631

    Denmark has detained a Chinese ship rumoured to be behind the cutting of the undersea cables in the Baltic Sea.

    A parallel?

    Pb Jan 2020: something something care homes
    Pb Nov 2024: faaaaarming

    Let us hope not anyway
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    biggles said:

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    You clearly never had a lift in a Sea King….
    Both times I've been in a helicopter I was strapped to a stretcher. I wasn't able to look out the window, let alone identify the model.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    A car mechanic friend of mine used to reckon that engines had too many nuts and bolts deliberately, as they knew that mechanics would lose a few each time they took it apart.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082

    biggles said:

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    You clearly never had a lift in a Sea King….
    Both times I've been in a helicopter I was strapped to a stretcher. I wasn't able to look out the window, let alone identify the model.
    For the best. As the engineers always said “if it’s not leaking oil in the cabin, we’re in trouble because that means there’s none in there”.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,880
    Carnyx said:

    Phil said:

    Phil said:

    Phil said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    If you go around accusing other people of being dumb, you should at least try and get things right yourself, otherwise you look like a bit of an arse.

    For estates worth > £2million only the residence portion of the nil rate band tapers off to zero. The estate still retains the ordinary nil rate band of £325k (£650k for a married couple).

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-and-residence-nil-rate-bands-from-6-april-2028/inheritance-tax-nil-rate-band-residence-nil-rate-band-from-6-april-2028

    (This post is now a hostage to fortune naturally: anyone want to give odds on my being wrong instead?)
    You are right but you are repeating exactly what I said. So not sure what point you are trying to make. The nil band rate is not the £325K, only the £175K. The £325K is the basic inheritence tax allowance which is entirely separate.
    It’s clear from the HMRC document I linked to that tax people call the first £325k the “nil rate band” and the £175k you get extra if you pass on a residential property the “residential nil rate band”.

    This HMRC pdf makes this even more clear: https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/5b768e38ed915d14d289cf9c/IHT400_rates_and_tables.pdf

    It is you who have misunderstood Dan Neidle I think.
    Nope. I just did a random check at MSE to confirm and they say the same thing I did.

    "£325,000 – this is the basic inheritance tax allowance that everyone gets, which still applies.

    £175,000 – since 2017, everyone has also been able to take advantage of something called the 'residence nil-rate band', commonly known as the 'main residence' band."

    Which is exactly what I said.

    https://www.moneysavingexpert.com/family/inheritance-tax-planning-iht/
    I feel like I’m going slightly insane here, but will persevere nonetheless. You stated:
    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.
    The “nil rate band”, as is clear from the HMRC document I posted is the band from £0-£325k. The thing that tapers is the “residential nil rate band” which is another £175k above the nil rate band. The nil rate band does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, which is what a plain reading of your statement above appears to claim.

    The fact that you think Neidle is referring to the residential nil rate band is irrelevant. He is referring to what tax people call the “nil rate band” - the band from £0k-£325k. This does not taper off to zero for estates over £2million, so he is entirely correct that farmers still get to apply their nil rate band to their estates, in addition to the £1million (per partner in a couple) threshold that applies to agricultural property. This is how he gets to a total possible relief for a couple of £2.6million - 2 £1million APR thresholds & 2 nil rate bands of £325k.
    ...

    Sorry, ignore, messed up quotes.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    edited November 19
    "This is the recorded track of the Yi Peng 3.
    Notice the variation in the track approximately in the centre of my screenshot.
    It essentially crosses back and forth over the undersea cable."

    https://bsky.app/profile/honestcanadian.bsky.social/post/3lbczc4vfq22r
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082
    Foxy said:

    "This is the recorded track of the Yi Peng 3.
    Notice the variation in the track approximately in the centre of my screenshot.
    It essentially crosses back and forth over the undersea cable."

    https://bsky.app/profile/honestcanadian.bsky.social/post/3lbczc4vfq22r

    Isn’t that lovely of them? Must have spotted the issue and raised the alarm.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,298

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    Gurkhas
    Free school meals - Rashford
    Dunno if you'd see them as major?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    rkrkrk said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    Gurkhas
    Free school meals - Rashford
    Dunno if you'd see them as major?
    The thing about the tuition fees protests is that they obviously didn't reverse the tripling of tuition fees to £9,000, but you could argue they prevented the government from indexing them later.

    More than a decade later and Labour is only just now going to apply the second increase to them.

    That is surely because of the protests and the anger they were a symptom of.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082
    rkrkrk said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    Gurkhas
    Free school meals - Rashford
    Dunno if you'd see them as major?
    So you’re saying the farmers need to get Joanna Lumley in?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    edited November 19
    biggles said:

    Foxy said:

    "This is the recorded track of the Yi Peng 3.
    Notice the variation in the track approximately in the centre of my screenshot.
    It essentially crosses back and forth over the undersea cable."

    https://bsky.app/profile/honestcanadian.bsky.social/post/3lbczc4vfq22r

    Isn’t that lovely of them? Must have spotted the issue and raised the alarm.
    Looks like the Yi Peng 3 stopped last in Russia

    https://gcaptain.com/details-of-baltic-sea-cable-incident-remain-murky-as-danish-coast-guard-shadows-chinese-vessel/


  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766
    Mail making it clear that the farmers are led by Clarkson.

    Maybe that will help them? I'm not so sure.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123
    edited November 19

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    They work if they have voters behind them in polls, which this farmers protest does as did the Civil Rights Marches in the US.

    In 2003 by contrast most voters backed the Iraq War and toppling Saddam, in 2002 most voters wanted hunting foxes with hounds banned, in 2016 most voters voted for Brexit and in 2019 for Boris to deliver it and in the 1960s most voters backed a nuclear deterrent while the Soviet Union had nukes. The Gaza protests are irrelevant as the UK can't control what Israel does anyway.

    In 1990 by contrast the poll tax protests were successful as they had voters behind them and Thatcher was toppled by her own party by the end of the year and replaced by John Major who scrapped the poll tax and replaced it with council tax.

    The fact most voters and all opposition parties oppose the tractor tax is crucial because on the latest polls Labour likely will lose its majority at the next GE
  • rkrkrk said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    Gurkhas
    Free school meals - Rashford
    Dunno if you'd see them as major?
    Sorry, I wasn't just talking about campaigns as such but more specifically about going to London and marching around.

    I did my fair share when I was a student - mostly involving anti-vivisection - but I don't think in reteospect it made much difference except to reassure me there were lots of other people who felt the same way.

    And yes I see both your examples as important but perhaps not 'major' in terms of getting people on the streets.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082
    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Foxy said:

    "This is the recorded track of the Yi Peng 3.
    Notice the variation in the track approximately in the centre of my screenshot.
    It essentially crosses back and forth over the undersea cable."

    https://bsky.app/profile/honestcanadian.bsky.social/post/3lbczc4vfq22r

    Isn’t that lovely of them? Must have spotted the issue and raised the alarm.
    Looks like the Yi Peng 3 stopped last in Russia

    https://gcaptain.com/details-of-baltic-sea-cable-incident-remain-murky-as-danish-coast-guard-shadows-chinese-vessel/


    It’s hard to take a read on geopolitics for the next few years (assuming we have them…) isn’t it? Putin in bed with China to this extent makes Trump a very unpredictable actor. And he has notably not criticised Biden’s recent move (unless I have missed it).

    I can’t read it any more. But we do know Trump won’t stabilise anything. Doomsday clock must have advanced a tick.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 4,599
    HYUFD said:

    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    In spite of my views I think he is right here. Has any major protest ever worked? The poll tax stuff felled Thatcher but really it was more of an excuse to get rid of her than the reason.

    Iraq War - nope
    Gaza - nope
    Countryside alliance - nope
    Brexit protests - nope.
    CND marches of the 1960s - nope

    Serious question, has any major protest of this kind ever actually got a reversal in a policy? I mean in the UK of course. Some European protests seem to have more success and the CIvil Rights Marches in the US certainly made a difference.
    They work if they have voters behind them in polls, which this farmers protest does.

    In 2003 by contrast most voters backed the Iraq War and toppling Saddam, in 2002 most voters wanted hunting foxes with hounds banned, in 2016 most voters voted for Brexit and in 2019 for Boris to deliver it and in the 1960s most voters backed a nuclear deterrent while the Soviet Union had nukes. The Gaza protests are irrelevant as the UK can't control what Israel does anyway.

    In 1990 by contrast the poll tax protests were successful as they had voters behind them and Thatcher was toppled by her own party by the end of the year and replaced by John Major who scrapped the poll tax and replaced it with council tax.

    The fact most voters and all opposition parties oppose the tractor tax is crucial because on the latest polls Labour likely will lose its majority at the next GE
    It could be argued that the 2000 fuel protests are the reason Labour didn't whack 10p on petrol in the budget. So maybe they work on the future.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,751

    Mail making it clear that the farmers are led by Clarkson.

    Maybe that will help them? I'm not so sure.

    It’s long been obvious that if the uk were to go down the path of non politicians entering politics, that Clarkson would have a gilded path. I’ve also long felt the same about JK Rowling from the left. Now that would be an election debate worth watching. Some good humoured pragmatism and then off to get some stuff done.
  • Ratters said:

    We need less romanticised view of farming as family run small businesses.

    As a country the thing we are sorely lacking is productivity growth. We should welcome companies investing in farmland, merging of farms and aiming to improve output.

    We should not welcome rich millionaires buying farmland as a tax loophole / hobby and probably reducing output vs. its potential.

    The distortion in farmland prices that arises from that also makes it impossible for genuine farmers or farming companies to expand as the yield on the land cost is too low.

    Finally, arguing that there are many tax loopholes so we shouldn't close this one isn't the best argument. We should strive to continue to close loopholes or - even better - change it to an annual wealth tax levy.

    Unfortuntely improving output generally involves ripping out hedges, spraying poisons and generally fucking over the countryside. At least as we have tried it so far. The Chemical Brothers farmlands writtten about by John Lewis-Stempel really are as close to desert as we are likely to get in this country. The groundis, to all intents and purposes, dead. And it is unsustainable. Hence the work by Gove on soil depletion.
  • MattW said:

    boulay said:

    Phil said:

    Next up, after Jeremy “I bought my farm in order to avoid inheritance tax“ Clarkson; that well known farmer Andrew Lloyd Webber, who definitely hasn’t bought 5,000 acres in order to avoid inheritance tax: https://x.com/Otto_English/status/1858860636609876027

    Really not sure leading with these guys is doing the farming lobby any favours with the wider public? But maybe that’s just my left-liberal bubble speaking.

    Unfortunately THE theme of the times is privileged, prosperous amoral chancers persuading the folk at the bottom that somehow they’re on their side. Clarkson (Repton) and Lloyd Webber (Westminster) aren’t a bad fit for that model.
    *tugs forelock and taps side of nose at the same time*
    Look, they’re rich, smart guys, they must know what they’re talking abaht.
    When I was doing aa triathlon at Oundle School earlier in the year, someone in the registration queue commented on the rather majestic aircraft hanger-like sports hall. "Better than my old school," I said.
    "Where did you go?" he asked.
    "I went to school in Repton.
    "Oh", he said, "a posho."
    "No," I replied. "I went to school in Repton, not at Repton. I was at primary school there."
    What happened next?
    He laughed. And then I got changed and swum 600 metres in their rather excellent 50-metre pool, cycled 25km, and ran 5km around their playing fields. Which annoyingly were not as flat as I hoped.

    (Indoor 50-metre pools are quite unusual in the UK; most are 25 metre. I was quite looking forward to swimming in it, but the boom had broken down halfway across, so we ended up swimming in one half of the pool, climbing out, then getting into the other half to continue the swim.)
    Until recently Bath Uni had a very rare 49.96 m pool. Long story, short version - they built a pool that was exactly 50 m long and forgot about the tiles...
    There are quite a number of 50m pools now - I was surprised when I looked it up.

    Wikipedia lists more than 50, and that does not include Oundle or extra-long lidos.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_long_course_swimming_pools_in_the_United_Kingdom
    Yeah, but the problem is that there's only 50. Leaving outdoors ones, the nearest to me that is accessible to mere plebs is probably Corby or Hitchin.

    There's a 50=metre pool planned to be built in the new Cambridge Eddington development, but whether that happens is another matter. A 25-metre pool was 'planned' for our village as well. After 25 years it's pretty much been forgotten about. Though as Eddington's the university's baby, they'll probably find a way for the council to fund it from the money that could build a smaller pool here...
    Something mentioned during the Olympics might complicate the provision of 50 metre pools. Apparently Olympic swimmers have the water several degrees colder than the public likes. This might mean a lot of money is spent on pools longer than needed for the public but too warm for competitive swimmers, or the right length for athletes but too cold for recreational swimmers.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 517
    Foxy said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    Cheers, I'll stop being arse now...

    Small seems to be in the eye of the beholder is a < 2 mill farm small, probably... but if 34% are below a million it might be easier to say less than a million is a 'small-farm' . They should easily stay under the threshold with all the allowances in play. But its all semantics, yes?

    On the average farm size the UK gov reports it to be ~200 acres this seems to be heavily skewed by high acreage holdings, more than 25% are > 400 acre and a big wedge of those above 1000. Most the farmed UK land is pastoral so £10k an acre is a big assumption its much closer to £7.5k. But yes with all the farming paraphernalia the average farm is probably drawing close to the threshold but the median farm seems unlikely to exceed it.

    I don't see where Neidle is talking bollocks.

    Farms are quite a bit more than their land value
    "average farm size is just over 250 acres."

    Should we talking about average rather than median?

    There's presumably some tail end landowners with f*ck off size estates here?

    Also, 54% of farms are owned, 16% tenanted and the remainder part owned and part tenanted.

    Interesting too that more than 50% of agricultural land sales last year were to non-farming owners, so there is a real issue of investment for nonagricultural purposes. I suppose my field would be this, though I do sublet it to a farmer for sheep grazing.

    I reckon the Grundys are still OK, maybe the Archers will be bought out by Borsetshire Land.
    Pretty sure the Grundys are tenant farmers
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,209
    edited November 19
    Andy_JS said:

    The left are coming over as extremely "nasty" in their anti-farm comments.

    Well, I'm not of the left, but I'm generally sceptical of giving any industry special treatment. And I'm especially sceptical when the special treatment is abused by other groups of people to avoid taxes.

    Am I coming over as nasty?

    I have no objection to farmers. They are carrying out economic activity, just like shoemakers, bakers, shopkeepers and insurance entrepreneurs.

    But I also struggle to see why they should get special treatment.

    Which is why I'd suggest replacing inheritance tax with a small annual gross assets levy. You can pass whatever you like onto your children, free of tax, but for people with assets of more than £1m, you need to make an annual payment 0.1% or 0.2% on the excess.

    And this would be payable by anyone owning assets in the UK, not just by UK taxpayers. (I.e. tax the asset, not just resident taxpayers.)

    It would probably raise almost exactly the same as IHT. It would avoid massive one-off payments. It wouldn't treat different family run businesses differently depending on the industry they were in.

    And it wouldn't distort the market by allowing investment managers to buy up farmland solely for the purpose of avoiding IHT.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123
    edited November 19

    ...

    Andy_JS said:

    Hope springs eternal.

    "After their catastrophic election defeat in July, you might expect to find the Tories fearful about the future. But that’s not the picture revealed by the latest ConservativeHome survey of party members.

    An astonishing 38% of those canvassed expect a Conservative majority at the next election — a huge surge of optimism since the immediate aftermath of the party’s landslide defeat, when only 17% expected to win a majority next time. What’s more, this month’s survey shows that a further 18% of members foresee a Conservative-led coalition government and 11% a Conservative minority government. So just a few months after the Labour landslide, most Conservatives expect to be back in power before the end of the decade — which is bold.

    https://unherd.com/newsroom/excessive-tory-optimism-ramps-up-pressure-on-kemi-badenoch/

    Denial is not just a river in Egypt.

    I'd like the Tories to be fit for office once more, sooner rather than later.

    But so far it seems the idea of many Tories seems to be that Labour will be so repellent that the voters will go back to the Tories immediately with no changes necessary.
    What changes do you feel are necessary? Genuinely interested - I also think changes are necessary but I am not sure whether our envisioned changes are aligned.
    I think the Conservatives need to look beyond their core votes of pensioners and farmers and see how they can win back lost aspirational voters who go to work for a living.

    Quite frankly the worst tax raised in the Budget was not lowering a relief on inheriting farms that didn't even exist when many farmers today inherited the farm themselves, which is relatively small change affecting few people in a small part of the economy.

    The worst tax raised in the Budget was the billions taken via Employers NI, especially the vicious combination of both raising the rate and slashing the threshold at which it is paid.

    Yet that is not being scrutinised like it should be, by either the Opposition or the media, as the oxygen of publicity is instead going to a niche interest group.

    There's a part of me that almost wonders if that was Machiavellian genius by Labour. Do the farm tax as a distraction knowing most people will think "well I'm not a farmer so it doesn't affect me" as a distraction so that people completely ignore wages getting plundered via NI which does affect them. Like a pickpocket causing a distraction to get your attention so they can take what you have.

    Except I doubt they're competent enough to be that Machiavellian.
    The Tories also opposed the rise in Employers NI and in the latest poll today from JL Partners are just 1% behind Labour on 26% to Labour's 27% and in MoreinCommon's latest poll the Tories are actually ahead on 29% to 27% for Labour.

    Starmer Labour is now polling as badly as Foot's Labour did in 1983 while Kemi's Tories are actually slightly up on their worst result of all time in July. It is Reform though really squeezing the Labour vote and that is putting them down and neck and neck with the Tories
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
  • So the current row seems to be that the BBC agreed with SKS's analysis of the farm situation.

    And the BBC is accused of being biased.

    Could it not just be that SKS was actually telling the truth? Why the implication of bias?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,421
    biggles said:

    Foxy said:

    biggles said:

    Foxy said:

    "This is the recorded track of the Yi Peng 3.
    Notice the variation in the track approximately in the centre of my screenshot.
    It essentially crosses back and forth over the undersea cable."

    https://bsky.app/profile/honestcanadian.bsky.social/post/3lbczc4vfq22r

    Isn’t that lovely of them? Must have spotted the issue and raised the alarm.
    Looks like the Yi Peng 3 stopped last in Russia

    https://gcaptain.com/details-of-baltic-sea-cable-incident-remain-murky-as-danish-coast-guard-shadows-chinese-vessel/


    It’s hard to take a read on geopolitics for the next few years (assuming we have them…) isn’t it? Putin in bed with China to this extent makes Trump a very unpredictable actor. And he has notably not criticised Biden’s recent move (unless I have missed it).

    I can’t read it any more. But we do know Trump won’t stabilise anything. Doomsday clock must have advanced a tick.
    I thought that one of Trump's administration appointments, I forget which one, criticised the Biden decision in quite strong terms.

    It was Mike Waltz, the incoming National Security Advisor.

    Now, Trump isn't consistent. He could easily reverse-ferret, and maybe the China connection would prompt that. Who can say?
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 517
    Cyclefree said:

    Well, if getting rid of exemptions is all the range these days, then let's get rid of the exemptions from VAT: food, books and children's clothes. All those people over-eating, sitting on their arses reading and getting fat - and as for children: all that snot and those germs! Bunch of tax dodgers the lot of them.

    And if people complain, well it's to save/worship the NHS and keep train drivers in comfort. So they'll have to suck it up.

    Not exemptions that are open to substantial abuse though, unless you count Jaffa cakes
  • biggles said:

    There's always a worryingly large amount of random bits that fall off a spacecraft. The people who get in them are proper mad fuckers.

    You clearly never had a lift in a Sea King….
    We used to fly in S61s out of Beccles in Suffolk. It was strange to sit there and read the pamphlet realising the helicopter was older than I was. Great choppers though - my favourite of all the various types I have flown in.
  • Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123

    Hey farmers, it looks like putting those gigantic "Vote Conservative" banners in your fields wasn't such a smart idea after all.

    Given what this Labour government has done to them of course sending that message was and is even more necessary now
  • Sandpit said:

    boulay said:

    Phil said:

    Next up, after Jeremy “I bought my farm in order to avoid inheritance tax“ Clarkson; that well known farmer Andrew Lloyd Webber, who definitely hasn’t bought 5,000 acres in order to avoid inheritance tax: https://x.com/Otto_English/status/1858860636609876027

    Really not sure leading with these guys is doing the farming lobby any favours with the wider public? But maybe that’s just my left-liberal bubble speaking.

    Unfortunately THE theme of the times is privileged, prosperous amoral chancers persuading the folk at the bottom that somehow they’re on their side. Clarkson (Repton) and Lloyd Webber (Westminster) aren’t a bad fit for that model.
    *tugs forelock and taps side of nose at the same time*
    Look, they’re rich, smart guys, they must know what they’re talking abaht.
    When I was doing aa triathlon at Oundle School earlier in the year, someone in the registration queue commented on the rather majestic aircraft hanger-like sports hall. "Better than my old school," I said.
    "Where did you go?" he asked.
    "I went to school in Repton.
    "Oh", he said, "a posho."
    "No," I replied. "I went to school in Repton, not at Repton. I was at primary school there."
    What happened next?
    He laughed. And then I got changed and swum 600 metres in their rather excellent 50-metre pool, cycled 25km, and ran 5km around their playing fields. Which annoyingly were not as flat as I hoped.

    (Indoor 50-metre pools are quite unusual in the UK; most are 25 metre. I was quite looking forward to swimming in it, but the boom had broken down halfway across, so we ended up swimming in one half of the pool, climbing out, then getting into the other half to continue the swim.)
    Until recently Bath Uni had a very rare 49.96 m pool. Long story, short version - they built a pool that was exactly 50 m long and forgot about the tiles...
    Let me guess, someone set British record in the pool and the swimming authorities measured it afterwards?

    Ask Eilish McColgan how that works…
    https://www.runnersworld.com/uk/news/a41705232/great-scottish-run-course-was-short-eilish-mccolgan-records-invalidated/
    A hundred years back at a friend's school, some boy knocked 20 seconds off the school mile record, which obviously meant the course was too short or the stopwatch holder missed the start. A decade later he broke the world record at the Olympics. Come on Eilish (pre-Britpop).
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123
    edited November 19

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food.

    57% of all voters oppose the tractor tax anyway
    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
  • ScarpiaScarpia Posts: 69
    edited November 19
    Dopermean said:

    Foxy said:

    TimS said:

    TimS said:

    Dan Neidle’s going for it on APR. I suspect his TwiX follower count is taking a hit.

    Here’s what he’s just posted on LinkedIn.

    The Country Land and Business Association says the new £1m cap on agricultural inheritance tax relief will "harm 70,000 farms". That's 1/3 of all farms.

    What does the actual data show? Less than 500 farms/year will pay more tax as a result of this change every year. Possibly as few as 100.

    Why 500? Because this table shows only 500 farm estates claimed agricultural property relief (APR) of more than £1m in 2022.

    But that overstates the issue. Married couples can easily claim the £1m cap twice. Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band. So for a married couple running a farm, it could be worth £2.65m before the restriction on the relief costs them a penny.

    That could mean as few as 100 farms per year are affected. And the 20% tax is only on the excess over the threshold, so for most of the 100, the additional tax will be reasonably small. Insure against it when you're young(ish). Give some/all to your kids when you get older.

    And the data shows that most of the cost of the tax increase will be borne by a few very large estates. In 2022 2% of agricultural estates - just 37 - claimed an average of £6m.

    That's what this is really about - not 70,000 farms. So let's drop the hyperbolic fake stats.


    All of which means, of course, that it won’t raise much money either. Whereas BPR…

    Neidle is talking bollocks - and of course doing so on behalf of the Labour Party as he sits on their National Constitutional Committee. The idea he is some sort of independent expert is garbage.
    Which bit is bollocks? The numbers seem plausible enough and are taken from recent historical data, rather than hypotheticals.
    Dan’s analysis on most topics in the last year or so has been pretty objective and usually technically spot on. He also makes use of a large range of tax specialists who prefer to keep out of the limelight when he’s commenting on areas he’s not an expert in. He has both publicly rubbished various allegations of tax avoidance or evasion against Tory MPs, and been extremely critical of the NI changes, so the evidence he’s just spouting Labour propaganda is pretty thin.
    Yep, Tyndall is being an arse.
    If that is the sum total of your contribution to this debate then probably best if you just admit it and fuck off now.
    You are being an arse. Unless you want to actually say why Neidle's claims are wrong and not just call bias?
    I already explained why but you are clearly too dumb to understand.

    Let me give you one example where he is wrong.

    He claims that "Small farmers without other assets can use their nil rate band". Except they can't. If the Estate is worth more than £2 million then the nil rate band tapers off to zero.

    In addition the NFU - who should be in a position to know - state that the average farm size is just over 250 acres. That is around £2.5 million in land value alone without equipment. plant, livestock or the house. The average value of a farm business is well over £3 million.

    Mind you I am not surprised that he is confused when even the Government can't get their numbers straight.

    The Treasury has said 73% of APR claims are below £1 million and so would be unaffected by this policy. However, Defra’s figures show that only 34% of farms are under £1 million net worth.

    It might be nice if the Government itself could at least get its figures straight.
    Cheers, I'll stop being arse now...

    Small seems to be in the eye of the beholder is a < 2 mill farm small, probably... but if 34% are below a million it might be easier to say less than a million is a 'small-farm' . They should easily stay under the threshold with all the allowances in play. But its all semantics, yes?

    On the average farm size the UK gov reports it to be ~200 acres this seems to be heavily skewed by high acreage holdings, more than 25% are > 400 acre and a big wedge of those above 1000. Most the farmed UK land is pastoral so £10k an acre is a big assumption its much closer to £7.5k. But yes with all the farming paraphernalia the average farm is probably drawing close to the threshold but the median farm seems unlikely to exceed it.

    I don't see where Neidle is talking bollocks.

    Farms are quite a bit more than their land value
    "average farm size is just over 250 acres."

    Should we talking about average rather than median?

    There's presumably some tail end landowners with f*ck off size estates here?

    Also, 54% of farms are owned, 16% tenanted and the remainder part owned and part tenanted.

    Interesting too that more than 50% of agricultural land sales last year were to non-farming owners, so there is a real issue of investment for nonagricultural purposes. I suppose my field would be this, though I do sublet it to a farmer for sheep grazing.

    I reckon the Grundys are still OK, maybe the Archers will be bought out by Borsetshire Land.
    Pretty sure the Grundys are tenant farmers
    They're not. They lost their farm when they want bankrupt some years back. Oliver Sterling bought it and let them move back into the farmhouse. They now have "Grundy Field"* a small plot of land they bought when they sold their milk quota, which they use for the cider club and raising the Christmas turkeys.
    *Definitely not worth enough to qualify for the Tractor Tax
  • HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,691
    edited November 19

    Mail making it clear that the farmers are led by Clarkson.

    Maybe that will help them? I'm not so sure.

    Kaleb would be a far better advocate. That's the kind of farmer people want to support.
  • https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1858853384033288622

    Victoria Derbyshire asks Jeremy Clarkson if he's at the farmers' protest because he bought a farm to avoid inheritance tax

    Clarkson: "Classic BBC that, classic... I wanted to shoot, which comes with the benefit of not paying inheritance tax"

    I am sure there are differing opinions but as a big fan of Jezza generally, I think he comes across really, really badly here.
  • Eabhal said:

    Mail making it clear that the farmers are led by Clarkson.

    Maybe that will help them? I'm not so sure.

    Kaleb would be a far better advocate.
    I 100% agree, politically I think having Clarkson advocate for this cause was a mistake. It's given SKS a target with which to hit, which I am not sure was entirely wise.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123
    edited November 19

    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
    As I said, 57% of voters oppose the tractor tax, including 56% of voters who switched to Labour in July but voted Conservative in 2019

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 517
    Andy_JS said:

    "Lloyd Evans
    Why the farmers’ protest probably won’t work"

    https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/why-the-farmers-protest-probably-wont-work/

    Is he doing current affairs now in addition to theatre and sex worker reviews?

    Amusingly, about a month before that theatre/sex worker review, he was on Guardian blind dates. No spark apparently, bet his date still wakes up in a cold sweat then sighs with relief.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,766

    Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    9h
    Tax due if parents hand on £3m house: £940k
    Tax due if parents hand on a £3m farm: £0
    A reminder of significant tax advantage to farmers vs everyone else AFTER these changes

    ===

    A real problem for Starmer's version of Labour is they don't understand emotion and its role in politics.

    We had the same tin ear with making some pensioners freeze this winter.

    They paraded all the numbers and talked about credits and schemes and council support and so on.

    Have they learnt absolutely nothing from Trump? The Dems trotter the same arguments out: 'look the best economic numbers in years', 'inflation down to 2%', 'job rates at a high' etc etc.

    Clarkson and Farage and co understand.
  • Nigelb said:

    European AI is lagging far behind the US.

    US startups have raised 3.3x the amount of European VC overall this year, but 5.5x the level of AI investment.

    Even in a good year, with megarounds for @wayve_ai @HelsingAI @MistralAI @poolsideai @DeepLcom, Europe trails by a distance.

    https://x.com/dealroomco/status/1858872371232256299

    We let America buy DeepMind, then the world leaders in AI. We need home grown venture capital together with protection of national champions.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Google_DeepMind
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,880
    edited November 19
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
    As I said, 57% of voters oppose the tractor tax, including 56% of voters who switched to Labour in July but voted Conservative in 2019

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
    Questions, questions. Look at the wording. It's so badly written in that tweet it could be read either yes or no.

    And the questions aren't direct opposites. The negative one introduces new concepts.
  • HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
    As I said, 57% of voters oppose the tractor tax, including 56% of voters who switched to Labour in July but voted Conservative in 2019

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
    I wasn't trying to claim the policy was popular, just that abolishing it is not a vote winner.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,123


    Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    9h
    Tax due if parents hand on £3m house: £940k
    Tax due if parents hand on a £3m farm: £0
    A reminder of significant tax advantage to farmers vs everyone else AFTER these changes

    ===

    A real problem for Starmer's version of Labour is they don't understand emotion and its role in politics.

    We had the same tin ear with making some pensioners freeze this winter.

    They paraded all the numbers and talked about credits and schemes and council support and so on.

    Have they learnt absolutely nothing from Trump? The Dems trotter the same arguments out: 'look the best economic numbers in years', 'inflation down to 2%', 'job rates at a high' etc etc.

    Clarkson and Farage and co understand.

    You also can't produce vast amounts of the nation's food from a house unlike farmland
  • Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
    As I said, 57% of voters oppose the tractor tax, including 56% of voters who switched to Labour in July but voted Conservative in 2019

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
    Questions, questions. Look at the wording. It's so badly written in that tweet it could be read either yes or no.

    And the questions aren't direct opposites. The negative one introduces new concepts.
    Frankly, whether it's popular or not, I just can't see that this shifts votes alone.

    Perhaps as part of a bigger shift it might do but the thing that will end it for SKS is the economy being in a hole or immigration running wild.

    Also, Labour has made a decision, they should jolly well stick by it. I am utterly fed up with politicians ducking decisions or rowing back on them when it gets tough, Liz Truss excepted for being a loon.

    They will lose a lot of respect from me if they go back on this.
  • DoctorGDoctorG Posts: 48
    edited November 19
    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    The left are coming over as extremely "nasty" in their anti-farm comments.

    Well, I'm not of the left, but I'm generally sceptical of giving any industry special treatment. And I'm especially sceptical when the special treatment is abused by other groups of people to avoid taxes.

    Am I coming over as nasty?

    I have no objection to farmers. They are carrying out economic activity, just like shoemakers, bakers, shopkeepers and insurance entrepreneurs.

    But I also struggle to see why they should get special treatment.

    Which is why I'd suggest replacing inheritance tax with a small annual gross assets levy. You can pass whatever you like onto your children, free of tax, but for people with assets of more than £1m, you need to make an annual payment 0.1% or 0.2% on the excess.

    And this would be payable by anyone owning assets in the UK, not just by UK taxpayers. (I.e. tax the asset, not just resident taxpayers.)

    It would probably raise almost exactly the same as IHT. It would avoid massive one-off payments. It wouldn't treat different family run businesses differently depending on the industry they were in.

    And it wouldn't distort the market by allowing investment managers to buy up farmland solely for the purpose of avoiding IHT.
    Should be workable for a lot of farms, 2k annual on a £2 million asset would be less than some pay in Council tax.

    The new APR IHT rules should be renamed the death lottery, a 95 year old farmer who held onto all land and business assets and died six weeks ago could transfer it all tax free on death. A farmer who dies tomorrow, even suddenly in an accident in their 40s would now attract the new tax on all farm and business assets they own, less whatever new relief available
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,866

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    I'm sorry the Tories aren't going to win the election with votes like yours. They need to win 6 points back from reform and 6-8 points from everyone else. Probably 2 points from the Lib Dems and 4-6 from Labour. They don't need to venture into the far left to get there broadening the party's appeal on the centre right is enough to do it. Sticking up for farmers is a good first step to show small c conservatives who voted Reform that the party does still care about them and their way of life.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,082


    Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    9h
    Tax due if parents hand on £3m house: £940k
    Tax due if parents hand on a £3m farm: £0
    A reminder of significant tax advantage to farmers vs everyone else AFTER these changes

    ===

    A real problem for Starmer's version of Labour is they don't understand emotion and its role in politics.

    We had the same tin ear with making some pensioners freeze this winter.

    They paraded all the numbers and talked about credits and schemes and council support and so on.

    Have they learnt absolutely nothing from Trump? The Dems trotter the same arguments out: 'look the best economic numbers in years', 'inflation down to 2%', 'job rates at a high' etc etc.

    Clarkson and Farage and co understand.

    None of them have spotted that if you start raising tax on one group, lots of other groups get twitchy about you coming for them, have they? And the thing about those groups is that many of them voted Labour for a change in July.

  • Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    9h
    Tax due if parents hand on £3m house: £940k
    Tax due if parents hand on a £3m farm: £0
    A reminder of significant tax advantage to farmers vs everyone else AFTER these changes

    ===

    A real problem for Starmer's version of Labour is they don't understand emotion and its role in politics.

    We had the same tin ear with making some pensioners freeze this winter.

    They paraded all the numbers and talked about credits and schemes and council support and so on.

    Have they learnt absolutely nothing from Trump? The Dems trotter the same arguments out: 'look the best economic numbers in years', 'inflation down to 2%', 'job rates at a high' etc etc.

    Clarkson and Farage and co understand.

    As I said, ultimately if the average voter feels better off in 2029 they'll get re-elected. If they don't, they won't.

    At this point I lean 50/50 on this being a one term government.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,799
    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food.

    57% of all voters oppose the tractor tax anyway
    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
    I'd missed the part about there being no farms and thus no food. At all?

    It might be as crass as many other aspects of central government policy, but I'm not _100%_ sure they are outlawing farms. And I say this as part of a broadly farming family.
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 3,652
    edited November 19
    MaxPB said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    I'm sorry the Tories aren't going to win the election with votes like yours. They need to win 6 points back from reform and 6-8 points from everyone else. Probably 2 points from the Lib Dems and 4-6 from Labour. They don't need to venture into the far left to get there broadening the party's appeal on the centre right is enough to do it. Sticking up for farmers is a good first step to show small c conservatives who voted Reform that the party does still care about them and their way of life.
    I am not "far left" Max and you know it.

    The fact that your attitude is that you don't want to try and win votes like mine, people who simply want a bit of action on student fees, building some houses and yes the I word, is disappointing.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1858853384033288622

    Victoria Derbyshire asks Jeremy Clarkson if he's at the farmers' protest because he bought a farm to avoid inheritance tax

    Clarkson: "Classic BBC that, classic... I wanted to shoot, which comes with the benefit of not paying inheritance tax"

    I am sure there are differing opinions but as a big fan of Jezza generally, I think he comes across really, really badly here.

    He's generally likeable, he comes across worse when employing the kind of tactics politicians would employ, like trying to divert with a bit pf BBC bashing.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,866

    MaxPB said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    I'm sorry the Tories aren't going to win the election with votes like yours. They need to win 6 points back from reform and 6-8 points from everyone else. Probably 2 points from the Lib Dems and 4-6 from Labour. They don't need to venture into the far left to get there broadening the party's appeal on the centre right is enough to do it. Sticking up for farmers is a good first step to show small c conservatives who voted Reform that the party does still care about them and their way of life.
    I am not "far left" Max and you know it.

    The fact that your attitude is that you don't want to try and win votes like mine, people who simply want a bit of action on student fees, building some houses and yes the I word, is disappointing.
    Your voting record suggests otherwise, Corbyn in 2017 and 2019.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,126

    Carnyx said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Frankly if the Tories are looking to win back votes like mine (well probably not mine at this point but many people like me) they need to get off this protesting stuff and onto actual ideas for anyone under the age of 90.

    They might be right on the farms thing - but this is an irrelevant issue to the voters in the centre ground.

    I am getting strong Labour 2010-2019 vibes. Please don't go down that path.

    Voters in the centre ground need to eat, no farms no food
    This is silly hyperbole HYUFD.

    I am in the cohort of voter that a Tory Party could win over if it would like to try. I am not yet picking up any idea that the Tories opposing this policy is a winner. That may change of course,
    As I said, 57% of voters oppose the tractor tax, including 56% of voters who switched to Labour in July but voted Conservative in 2019

    https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1858787981303185664
    Questions, questions. Look at the wording. It's so badly written in that tweet it could be read either yes or no.

    And the questions aren't direct opposites. The negative one introduces new concepts.
    Frankly, whether it's popular or not, I just can't see that this shifts votes alone.

    Perhaps as part of a bigger shift it might do but the thing that will end it for SKS is the economy being in a hole or immigration running wild.

    Also, Labour has made a decision, they should jolly well stick by it. I am utterly fed up with politicians ducking decisions or rowing back on them when it gets tough, Liz Truss excepted for being a loon.

    They will lose a lot of respect from me if they go back on this.
    I'd be a bit worried if governments with huge majorities are afraid to make decisions (or stick to them when made).

    Obviously there will be times when they make the wrong decision, or indeed should reverse a decision, goverments abuse big majorities when they have them, but if they were incapable of even using it that would be a problem of a different kind.
  • The Tories can win the votes of the next generation if they do some work on housing.

    But they'd have to give up their NIMBY obsession.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 8,691
    edited November 19


    Torsten Bell
    @TorstenBell
    ·
    9h
    Tax due if parents hand on £3m house: £940k
    Tax due if parents hand on a £3m farm: £0
    A reminder of significant tax advantage to farmers vs everyone else AFTER these changes

    ===

    A real problem for Starmer's version of Labour is they don't understand emotion and its role in politics.

    We had the same tin ear with making some pensioners freeze this winter.

    They paraded all the numbers and talked about credits and schemes and council support and so on.

    Have they learnt absolutely nothing from Trump? The Dems trotter the same arguments out: 'look the best economic numbers in years', 'inflation down to 2%', 'job rates at a high' etc etc.

    Clarkson and Farage and co understand.

    If you're right, it's deeply depressing.

    Labour haven't done anything particularly radical at all in the grand scheme of things. Fuel duty remains frozen, farmers still have IHT allowances, there's been a relatively minor change to employer NICs, Miliband had accelerated Net Zero plans by less than 10% compared with the Tory plan. Nothing on social care, health spending is still increasing at an eye-watering rate. Council tax remains deeply unfair.

    This age of outrage is going to stifle the ambitions of any politician. Starmer's lethargy is a product of us as a whole more than anything.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,711
    MaxPB said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Andy_JS said:

    The left are coming over as extremely "nasty" in their anti-farm comments.

    Well, I'm not of the left, but I'm generally sceptical of giving any industry special treatment. And I'm especially sceptical when the special treatment is abused by other groups of people to avoid taxes.

    Am I coming over as nasty?

    I have no objection to farmers. They are carrying out economic activity, just like shoemakers, bakers, shopkeepers and insurance entrepreneurs.

    But I also struggle to see why they should get special treatment.

    Which is why I'd suggest replacing inheritance tax with a small annual gross assets levy. You can pass whatever you like onto your children, free of tax, but for people with assets of more than £1m, you need to make an annual payment 0.1% or 0.2% on the excess.

    And this would be payable by anyone owning assets in the UK, not just by UK taxpayers. (I.e. tax the asset, not just resident taxpayers.)

    It would probably raise almost exactly the same as IHT. It would avoid massive one-off payments. It wouldn't treat different family run businesses differently depending on the industry they were in.

    And it wouldn't distort the market by allowing investment managers to buy up farmland solely for the purpose of avoiding IHT.
    I think the difference is that farmers put food on our tables and often it's a pretty thankless andow margin industry. Isn't there a case to be made that having a proper food security reserve is worth a few tax breaks?
    Farming is pretty heavily subsided in other ways, and far more directly than IHT relief.

    Perhaps we should do an NZ and abolish all farming subsidies and tarif protections. It made for big improvements to productivity.

    https://www.cato.org/blog/new-zealands-free-market-farming#:~:text=Facing high budget deficits in,model of market-based farming.
This discussion has been closed.