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Political betting can get you into serious trouble – politicalbetting.com

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  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,146
    edited November 2024
    viewcode said:

    Arizona Senate. Estimated 98.7 percent of votes have been counted.

    Votes received and percentages of total vote
    Candidate Votes Pct.
    Ruben Gallego DEM 1,669,135 50.1
    Kari Lake GOP 1,589,790 47.7
    Eduardo Quintana GRN 75,337 2.3

    Lead 79,345

    Gallego (D) is projected to win by the Associated Press.
    Arizona Senate. Estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.

    Votes received and percentages of total vote
    Candidate Votes Pct.
    Ruben Gallego DEM 1,673,689 50.1
    Kari Lake GOP 1,592,919 47.7
    Eduardo Quintana GRN 75,630 2.3

    Lead 80,770

    Gallego (D) is projected to win by the Associated Press.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,515
    edited November 2024
    Good afternoon everyone. 5-6 inches of snow - whodathunkit.

    What a morning !

    At breakfast the last insulin pump went off like a fire alarm (literally) and insisted that it was broken and be uninstalled; the new ones due to arrive by 9am didn't because of 'roadworks' in the lane (as if), and the snow. So they arrived whilst I am at the hospital for a checkup. The message arrived "left them at number 15 with the neighbour"; I am number 7x, so where the hell had they gone? \Now found - he had come on from the wrong side, and ended up at the back.

    The complications of changing treatment regimen.

    Brand new car parking regime at the hospital, which means the pedestrian blocking buggers are under control again. Quite interesting - the systems clocks you in by number plate, pay on leaving the building, and it reads your plate before it lets you out of the car park. No printed tickets.

    Car park half empty either due to the people who don't need to use their vehicles not using them - or maybe due to snow-lateness, or Morrisons next door gaining hospital visitors in their car park. Time will tell.

    Now back home with most things sorted.

    This is my photo quota for the day, taken at 2pm. Selfish bastard completely blocking a much used pavement right up against a road works sign. The footway there is 1.75m wide, so he has left about a foot for wheelchairs. It has been there since last night. Who the hell ARE these people?

  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081
    Carnyx said:

    Deer also (often) rely on crops. Farm fields, saplings, my friend's garden ...
    Good point. I shall reassess.

    Perhaps it comes down to lack of natural predator? Where we, reluctantly, must take up the slack.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,861

    Is anybody outside labour in support of this policy ?
    The Greens I think, that is it. Even the SNP are opposed
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    MattW said:

    Good afternoon everyone. 5-6 inches of snow - whodathunkit.

    What a morning !

    At breakfast the last insulin pump went off like a fire alarm (literally) and insisted that it was broken and be uninstalled; the new ones due to arrive by 9am didn't because of 'roadworks' in the lane (as if), and the snow. So they arrived whilst I am at the hospital for a checkup. The message arrived "left them at number 15 with the neighbour"; I am number 7x, so where the hell had they gone? \Now found - he had come on from the wrong side, and ended up at the back.

    The complications of changing treatment regimen.

    Brand new car parking regime at the hospital, which means the pedestrian blocking buggers are under control again. Quite interesting - the systems clocks you in by number plate, pay on leaving the building, and it reads your plate before it lets you out of the car park. No printed tickets.

    Car park half empty either due to the people who don't need to use their vehicles not using them - or maybe due to snow-lateness, or Morrisons next door gaining hospital visitors in their car park. Time will tell.

    Now back home with most things sorted.

    This is my photo quota for the day, taken at 2pm. Selfish bastard completely blocking a much used pavement right up against a road works sign. The footway there is 1.75m wide, so he has left about a foot for wheelchairs. It has been there since last night. Who the hell ARE these people.

    No photo: Obvs very discombobulating, to be fair.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Sean_F said:

    Plenty of pheasants run wild now. I sometimes get them in my garden, along with deer, badger, fox, owls etc.
    Some huge number of pheasants, in the millions, remain unshot, come Feb 1st.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081
    Sean_F said:

    Plenty of pheasants run wild now. I sometimes get them in my garden, along with deer, badger, fox, owls etc.
    Oh they certainly fly wild, but you'll often find they've been reared by a gamekeeper. Around 15 million a year.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    eek said:

    A few new villages to house people would solve some of the housing crisis...
    Have you seen how much building is going on atm in the UK.
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,243
    edited November 2024

    Your regular reminder that Reform voters are wrong about everything.
    And that ~8% of respondents are ticking boxes at random - here the 8% of 'Greens' who don't believe climate is changing as a result of human activity; formerly the Brexit-loving Lib Dem voters :lol:
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,007
    edited November 2024
    MattW said:

    Good afternoon everyone. 5-6 inches of snow - whodathunkit.

    What a morning !

    At breakfast the last insulin pump went off like a fire alarm (literally) and insisted that it was broken and be uninstalled; the new ones due to arrive by 9am didn't because of 'roadworks' in the lane (as if), and the snow. So they arrived whilst I am at the hospital for a checkup. The message arrived "left them at number 15 with the neighbour"; I am number 7x, so where the hell had they gone? \Now found - he had come on from the wrong side, and ended up at the back.

    The complications of changing treatment regimen.

    Brand new car parking regime at the hospital, which means the pedestrian blocking buggers are under control again. Quite interesting - the systems clocks you in by number plate, pay on leaving the building, and it reads your plate before it lets you out of the car park. No printed tickets.

    Car park half empty either due to the people who don't need to use their vehicles not using them - or maybe due to snow-lateness, or Morrisons next door gaining hospital visitors in their car park. Time will tell.

    Now back home with most things sorted.

    This is my photo quota for the day, taken at 2pm. Selfish bastard completely blocking a much used pavement right up against a road works sign. The footway there is 1.75m wide, so he has left about a foot for wheelchairs. It has been there since last night. Who the hell ARE these people.


    Pavement parking really annoys me and to be fair it is illegal

    Not only does it affect wheelchair users but also those pushing young children in a pram

    It is selfish, inconsiderate and wrong

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Eabhal said:

    Oh they certainly fly wild, but you'll often find they've been reared by a gamekeeper. Around 15 million a year.
    "often find"

    LOL
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    viewcode said:

    Arizona Senate. Estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.

    Votes received and percentages of total vote
    Candidate Votes Pct.
    Ruben Gallego DEM 1,673,689 50.1
    Kari Lake GOP 1,592,919 47.7
    Eduardo Quintana GRN 75,630 2.3

    Lead 80,770

    Gallego (D) is projected to win by the Associated Press.
    It’s an indictment of Lake that she could not win a State that Trump carried easily.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081
    Eabhal said:

    Oh they certainly fly wild, but you'll often find they've been reared by a gamekeeper. Around 15 million a year.
    I'm wrong. Estimates vary wildly. RSPB: 30 million. GWCT: up to 50 million.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,082
    TOPPING said:

    Have you seen how much building is going on atm in the UK.
    I’m trying to imagine response if a farmer started building a village on his land without permission.

    Storm Shadow?
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,437

    Ed Davey adds his name telling the government to scrap farmers IHT

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1858879218639106274?t=sUTJEAYPnx3jEIlmXO0KdQ&s=19

    There's a whole lot of politics and opportunism at work here and many in towns and cities won't appreciate or understand the depth of farmer hostility to what will seem to many as a sensible proposal.

    As with winter fuel allowance, there's a germ of a good idea here but the implementation (and the optics of that implementation) have been very poor.

    There's also the whole question of valuing land which, rather like with wfa, leaves you with more or fewer "winners" and "losers" depending on how the calculation is done.

    Needless to say, all this is a consequence of Labour boxing themselves in with commitments not to raise income tax and VAT rates. Brown and Blair could get away with this in 1997 given the state of the economy but the incoming Government has little room for manoeuvre.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 6,083

    Chav hunting with hounds and horses.
    Where do we draw the line at who is a chav?

    Is it like with Taxes where those calling for a rise make the target just right where they don’t fall in to that band?

    Is it simpler that anyone who can’t ride is hunted?

    Family in Debretts/Burke’s/?

    Dangerous ground for people to assume they won’t be amongst the hunted.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,689
    TOPPING said:

    Have you seen how much building is going on atm in the UK.
    And yet Barratts are building less houses than they did last year and expect to build even fewer next year.

  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    biggles said:

    But like I say that’s easy. You don’t have to oppose the idea of something. You can say you’re in favour “unlike the narrow minded Government, hell bent on slavishly following the EU”, and when challenged on hormone beef and chlorine chicken just say “yeah but we’d negotiate that bit out”. You’re in Opposition, you don’t have to worry about actually doing it.
    The incoming US government seems to be determined to increase US food standards, to be somewhat closer to European and Australian standards.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,265
    Sandpit said:

    The incoming US government seems to be determined to increase US food standards, to be somewhat closer to European and Australian standards.
    And also intent on promoting anti-vax shittiness.

    You can't promote one without accepting the other.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,689
    Sandpit said:

    The incoming US government seems to be determined to increase US food standards, to be somewhat closer to European and Australian standards.
    I will believe that when I see it - RFK seems a bit random in his ideas...
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,515

    Predominantly yes. As you would know if you lived in the country. There has been a concentration of NHS services into larger hubs, usually in cities and the closure of smaller hospitals and other emergency service facilities in market towns. Even where hospitals stay open they do not provide things like A&E. So you now have to travel much further to use those services. This is the reality for many people living in rural and semi-rural areas. Up until a few years ago my nearest A&E under a blue light was about 8 minutes away. It is now 35 - if you are lucky with the traffic. If you are not blue lighting it is the best part of an hour.
    Neither Newark nor Mansfield (where your A&E hospital is located) are strictly cities (small market town, big market town). And the 8 minute to 35 minutes rise is because the A&E at Newark (closed in 2010) became an Urgent Treatment Centre at Newark, and A&E at Mansfield.

    My question is what is the more important for life saving - the time for an ambulance with treatment facilities to arrive, or the time to get to an A&E dept?

    Does the "time to reach A&E" have a target time?
  • Sean_F said:

    Plenty of pheasants run wild now. I sometimes get them in my garden, along with deer, badger, fox, owls etc.
    The badger, fox and owl are presumably just waiting for the pheasants to land?
  • NEW THREAD

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    Eabhal said:

    Oh they certainly fly wild, but you'll often find they've been reared by a gamekeeper. Around 15 million a year.
    The sheer volume of fauna in my garden is immense.

    It’s because it’s a large garden (3/8 of an acre), surrounded by other large gardens (a 1930’s housing estate, which required big gardens), adjoining two parks, and woodlands.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450

    The badger, fox and owl are presumably just waiting for the pheasants to land?
    It’s basically a meat platter. We come across mangled remains of pheasants and wood pigeons.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,203
    eek said:

    Yes - because the current price of their assets are not over inflated due to their previous use as a tax avoidance scheme.

    In reality farm land shouldn't be that expensive - but it would require changing a few things in ways would really cause farmers to scream. One of which would be for housing lands to be allocated by councils with the council getting most of the increase in value...
    I did some sums on this a few threads back,

    The extra land needed for even 2 million additional homes won't particularly touch the sides of the UK's current agricultural land.
  • Sean_F said:

    It’s basically a meat platter. We come across mangled remains of pheasants and wood pigeons.
    Haitians?
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081
    Pulpstar said:

    I did some sums on this a few threads back,

    The extra land needed for even 2 million additional homes won't particularly touch the sides of the UK's current agricultural land.
    Especially if we build flats like a normal European country, rather than plastering the place with "shitty chateaus".
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,674
    .
    Eabhal said:

    Good point. I shall reassess.

    Perhaps it comes down to lack of natural predator? Where we, reluctantly, must take up the slack.
    Why would we be reluctant? It's good fun, makes for great healthy meat, and far more pleasant for the deer than being ripped apart by a pack of wolves, which is the charming future that most rewilding nutters have in mind for them.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081

    .

    Why would we be reluctant? It's good fun, makes for great healthy meat, and far more pleasant for the deer than being ripped apart by a pack of wolves, which is the charming future that most rewilding nutters have in mind for them.
    The main effect wolves would have isn't in the actual predation, but the stress of their presence would reduce breeding rates.

    And I'm more of a conservationist than an animal rights activist. My cycling is powered by meat pies.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,265
    edited November 2024
    Eabhal said:

    Especially if we build flats like a normal European country, rather than plastering the place with "shitty chateaus".
    We'd end up building shitty flats. Again.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081

    We'd end up building shitty flats. Again.
    I think a three or four-storey tenement is roughly the right balance.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560
    viewcode said:

    Arizona Senate. Estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.

    Votes received and percentages of total vote
    Candidate Votes Pct.
    Ruben Gallego DEM 1,673,689 50.1
    Kari Lake GOP 1,592,919 47.7
    Eduardo Quintana GRN 75,630 2.3

    Lead 80,770

    Gallego (D) is projected to win by the Associated Press.
    Wasn't this called, like, a week ago?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,265
    Eabhal said:

    I think a three or four-storey tenement is roughly the right balance.
    Then we'll be building shitty three or four-storey tenements in totally unliveable areas, because we cram them in.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,081

    Then we'll be building shitty three or four-storey tenements in totally unliveable areas, because we cram them in.
    That's what we're doing with Barrett boxes anyway. Might as well get more housing out of the same amount of land, particularly in proximity to cities.
  • MustaphaMondeoMustaphaMondeo Posts: 269
    edited November 2024

    .

    Why would we be reluctant? It's good fun, makes for great healthy meat, and far more pleasant for the deer than being ripped apart by a pack of wolves, which is the charming future that most rewilding nutters have in mind for them.
    Lynx

    We wouldn’t even know they were here, except by the lack of deer.
  • Eabhal said:

    That's what we're doing with Barrett boxes anyway. Might as well get more housing out of the same amount of land, particularly in proximity to cities.
    Interesting. The change to trust law. Very helpful. I was in favour of the IHT changes because the default inheritance of farms undermines innovation.

    I’d definitely support people being connected to the land, but not at an environmental cost. We need to increase the carbon sequestration function of agricultural holdings. That can change the world.

    Big Ag and Big Food are not on our side long term.

    Maybe we should look at other ways to tax the wealth held in land ?


  • Driver said:

    Wasn't this called, like, a week ago?
    And the votes cast TWO Weeks ago?
This discussion has been closed.