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Don’t panic – politicalbetting.com

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  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,264
    I wonder how a Trump operative managed to con those Guardianistas into campaigning for him. Will he be able to get them to campaign in Irish working class neighborhoods? That would be one obvious place they would be effective in increasing the Trump vote.
  • EabhalEabhal Posts: 10,159
    Carnyx said:

    I wouldn't know myself, but this has reminded me that just to add complication there is a third frontier system still further north - the Gask Ridge in Perthshire, a patrol road with a string of watchtowers, a few (just earthworks now) open to the public.

    https://www.google.com/maps/@56.3508963,-3.6791899,3a,75y,266.43h,79.32t/data=!3m7!1e1!3m5!1sedc189p-4ILceiOtPD6FCA!2e0!6shttps://streetviewpixels-pa.googleapis.com/v1/thumbnail?cb_client=maps_sv.tactile&w=900&h=600&pitch=10.675860489760595&panoid=edc189p-4ILceiOtPD6FCA&yaw=266.4299811013624!7i13312!8i6656?coh=205410&entry=ttu&g_ep=EgoyMDI0MTAyMS4xIKXMDSoASAFQAw==
    I think they came much earlier with the initial attempt at conquest. They got as far as Cawdor.

    And then there is the mystery of Mons Graupius. Always on the look out for something unusual when I'm walking and cycling about in the Cairngorms - just imagine stumbling across that battlefield.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2024
    Leon said:

    He folded on Chagos. He will fold on this. He is a supine vain cowardly imbecile who will bankrupt us all and destroy his government in months

    Look at the photo of Starmer at Samoa they are using in the guardian. Even they despise him
    Gordon Brittas....
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553
    Sean_F said:

    I think that Nevada is lost for the Democrats (at Presidential level, at least), which would almost certainly mean that Arizona is, as well.

    The average polling lead on RCP is now down to 0.2% (on 538, it's 1.7%).
    If she wins North Carolina the net loss of Nevada and Arizona is only 1 EC vote. Then down to Pennsylvania.

    She's still going to win.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,266
    Fishing said:

    People living in the Caribbean now benefit hugely from slavery, as Caribbean living standards (average GDP per head $6,820) are on average much higher than those in West Africa (average GDP per head $1,937).

    So if anybody owes anybody anything for what happened centuries ago, they owe us.
    Or the impact of constant slaving raids devastated West Africa, and denuded it of its most capable citizens.

  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,266

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    No. I am quite open to the idea.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,806

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    Why don’t you offer to pay personally then?

    While you’re at it you can give me some money for my grandmother who worked as a child slave in the st Agnes tin mines age 9, and died aged 48 partly as a result. Thanks. DM me for my bank deets
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553

    I imagine the police outrider is to keep you in line, not to keep the natives away.
    Me? With my reputation?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103
    Taz said:

    Interesting from the article. @Leon Starmer is buckling, as you said he would.

    "Keir Starmer is open to discussing non-cash forms of reparatory justice for Britain’s former colonies, the Guardian understands.

    The prime minister is under pressure to open the door to reparations at the Commonwealth heads of government meeting (Chogm) in Samoa this week.

    Caribbean countries have been pushing for the issue to be discussed at the summit, despite resistance from the UK government.

    No 10 has ruled out paying reparations or apologising for the UK’s role in the transatlantic slave trade, and this uncompromising tone has irritated some Commonwealth countries.

    But a Downing Street source indicated that the UK could support some forms of reparatory justice, such restructuring financial institutions and providing debt relief. The source said:

    There is a general sense that these multilateral institutions give out loans to developing countries then charge large interest rates for repayments.

    They added that reforming financial situations was something the UK often took a lead on and was a form of reparatory justice that would not come at a cost to UK taxpayers.

    Other proposed forms of restorative justice include making a formal apology, running educational programmes, establishing cultural institutions and providing economic and public health support.

    A draft of the CHOGM communique leaked to the BBC said that governments, “noting calls for discussions on reparatory justice with regard to the transatlantic trade in enslaved Africans and chattel enslavement … agreed that the time has come for a meaningful, truthful and respectful conversation towards forging a common future based on equity.”

    According to the broadcaster the communique sought to broaden the issue to include the slave trade not just across the Atlantic but in the Pacific, by saying that a majority of Commonwealth countries “share common historical experiences”."


    So a document conveniently leaked to, and recycled by, the Beeb now has them looking to expand the shakedown to Pacific nations too.

    Trebles all round.
    Next we will be paying USA and China reparations
  • Foxy said:

    Or the impact of constant slaving raids devastated West Africa, and denuded it of its most capable citizens.

    Or maybe just the ones not very good at hiding.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,508
    edited October 2024
    algarkirk said:

    Agree. Would a sensible way forward be to acknowledge again that slavery, and our part in it, was wrong; note that slavery has been endemic in the human condition and in some places still is; that we are totally committed to its eradication; say clearly that it isn't possible to apologise for things we, the living, have not been doing; and, finally, commit to massively increasing overseas aid, prioritising aid for states most affected by any slavery in the past (not only UK inspired slavery); and also prioritising eradication of slavery in the present.
    We give far too much overseas aid as it is.

    And the public overwhelmingly agree - it is by far the least poopular form of public spending.

    The reason these countries live in poverty these days has nothing to do with slavery, or empires, or anything like that. Plenty of currently prosperous countries were colonised, plenty of nations were enslaved. Countries are poor today because they have crap governments - corrupt, venal, incompetent and often vicious. Sort of like Starmer, except several orders of magnitude worse. Until those are improved, any aid we give is like bailing out the ocean with a teaspoon.

    All else is just noise, often made by those same goverments to distract from their gigantic failings.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,806
    Foxy said:

    No. I am quite open to the idea.
    Again, no one is stopping you personally handing over some of your ridiculously large state pension

    Just do it now. Wire it to Nigeria
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,062
    malcolmg said:

    Next we will be paying USA and China reparations
    Harris is open to reparations for US African Americans

    https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-repararations-black-peopel-1931159
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2024
    Rachel Reeves confirms change she is rewriting the calculation of UK debt to borrow more money.

    https://www.ft.com/content/091ca9be-e18b-4fd4-8311-f586b8aaa936
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 943
    Foxy said:

    In the Pacific the practice was known as "blackbirding" and carried on well past the abolition of slavery:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blackbirding

    There is a Kanak community in Queens land descended from these people.

    I'm not sure this is as difficult as being made out, as a UK taxpayer I'm quite annoyed that up until 2018 I was paying off slaveowners, but we've got all the details of who benefitted and their descendants, so HMRC could recover the money and it could be paid out in reparation.
    HRH could also put his hand in his pocket.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Leon said:

    Why don’t you offer to pay personally then?

    While you’re at it you can give me some money for my grandmother who worked as a child slave in the st Agnes tin mines age 9, and died aged 48 partly as a result. Thanks. DM me for my bank deets
    Well I’m a UK taxpayer so I will be paying personally. That’s kinda how tax and spend works. Duh!
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161
    Fuxsake. On the phone to an Irish insurance company and my mind goes blank, I can't remember the phonetic alphabet, so in my very English accent I use:
    "Victory. Europe."
    to spell out "VE".

    Full credit to the guy on the phone, he doesn't miss a beat repeating it back to me correctly: "Victor. Echo."
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2024

    Well I’m a UK taxpayer so I will be paying personally. That’s kinda how tax and spend works. Duh!
    You can volunteer to pay extra. Some people do every year. The tax man is more than happy to accept extra donations.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,062

    If she wins North Carolina the net loss of Nevada and Arizona is only 1 EC vote. Then down to Pennsylvania.

    She's still going to win.
    Or she could win with Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and Ne02 even without North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona
  • Fishing said:

    We give far too much overseas aid as it is.

    And the public overwhelmingly agree - it is by far the least poopular form of public spending.

    The reason these countries live in poverty these days has nothing to do with slavery, or empires, or anything like that. Plenty of currently prosperous countries were colonised, plenty of nations were enslaved. Countries are poor today because they have crap governments - corrupt, venal, incompetent and often vicious. Sort of like Starmer, except several orders of magnitude worse. Until those are improved, any aid we give is like bailing out the ocean with a teaspoon.

    All else is just noise, often made by those same goverments to distract from their gigantic failings.
    The dingbats are already trying to rationalise why this absurd nonsense might be a good idea, and how maybe it is only about presentation.

    Absolutely lost their minds. The government are really trying their best to be a one term administration.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,426
    malcolmg said:

    Next we will be paying USA and China reparations
    I am strongly of the opinion that any spare money should be going towards freeing those who are currently enslaved.

    Good afternoon, everyone.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Leon said:

    Again, no one is stopping you personally handing over some of your ridiculously large state pension

    Just do it now. Wire it to Nigeria
    I don’t want to pay the crushing expense of your pet project, Brexit, but sadly I don’t have any choice in the matter.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2024
    Crime up 10% over past year in England and Wales, ONS says

    Robbery, violence with injury and fraud increased notably in the 12 months up to June 2024 – returning to pre-pandemic levels. Meanwhile, the number of shoplifting offences recorded by police rose by 29% to reach a 20-year high. Theft from an individual also increased 20%.

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpwr89rv9qno
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,062
    edited October 2024
    Reform UK gets its first county councillor in Essex as Ongar and Rural former Tory county and district councillor and briefly Hemel Hempstead parliamentary candidate Jaymey McIvor defects to the party
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3rxdynqyppo
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629
    Leon said:

    Again, no one is stopping you personally handing over some of your ridiculously large state pension

    Just do it now. Wire it to Nigeria
    To the widow of Sonny Abacha, to help her extract $30 Million dollars from the State Bank ?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,374
    I don't know if it was mentioned on here yesterday, but Geoff Capes died, aged 75.

    Part of my childhood. RIP.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    What if they only accept cash ?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,526
    edited October 2024

    I don't know if it was mentioned on here yesterday, but Geoff Capes died, aged 75.

    Part of my childhood. RIP.

    It was mentioned at the time. He had been rather ill with numerous issues, in no short part having grown to a huge size by continuing to eat the same as he did when he was strong man.
  • Fuxsake. On the phone to an Irish insurance company and my mind goes blank, I can't remember the phonetic alphabet, so in my very English accent I use:
    "Victory. Europe."
    to spell out "VE".

    Full credit to the guy on the phone, he doesn't miss a beat repeating it back to me correctly: "Victor. Echo."

    A friend is a compliance and complaints manager for Sky, he told me he had to deal with a customer who once told him ‘Q for cucumber’.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 943
    HYUFD said:

    Reform UK gets its first county councillor in Essex as Ongar and Rural former Tory county and district councillor and briefly Hemel Hempstead parliamentary candidate Jaymey McIvor defects to the party
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c3rxdynqyppo

    Any news on what led to the Conservative Party deselecting him?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,374
    AnneJGP said:

    I am strongly of the opinion that any spare money should be going towards freeing those who are currently enslaved.

    Good afternoon, everyone.
    Indeed. And that includes people enslaved for prostitution, around the world. Something one of our 'illustrious' contributors should think about.

    We may well end up giving billions to countries whose own policies are not dramatically different to the ones we are paying out for.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    Depends what you mean by "historical rebalancing" really.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    You can volunteer to pay extra. Some people do every year. The tax man is more than happy to accept extra donations.
    I can’t volunteer not to pay tax for rightwingers’ quarterwitted projects such as Brexit and cancelling HS2, but sadly I have no choice. Such is life.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507
    Harris' average lead with 538 has more or less halved, since the end of August.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Taz said:

    What if they only accept cash ?
    Then they won’t get paid.

    Next.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507

    Indeed. And that includes people enslaved for prostitution, around the world. Something one of our 'illustrious' contributors should think about.

    We may well end up giving billions to countries whose own policies are not dramatically different to the ones we are paying out for.
    It would be grimly funny to end up paying money to nations that .... practise slavery.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    Taz said:

    Depends what you mean by "historical rebalancing" really.
    Indeed. Up for discussion- hence why I chose the words “some form”. Isn’t this what is being proposed, a discussion with our Commonwealth friends and partners?
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012
    edited October 2024
    Judgment in today's second trial Letby appeal:

    https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/R-v-LETBY-202402750-B4-FINAL-_.pdf

    The only point taken in the appeal was that of whether the trial should have been abandoned due to the prejudice created by the media storm. Answer: No.

    Interesting points to note: The appeal didn't raise the issue of whether there was a case to answer at the close of prosecution, unlike the first appeal.

    In this case there was no expert evidence at all. Letby was convicted on circumstantial and eye witness testimony.

    The defence didn't appeal allowing evidence of the other convictions being in evidence at the second trial. The judge had given a full and proper direction on how to approach its relevance.

    The remaining possible row over the quality of the evidence is that the doctor eye witness didn't report anything at the time. Which is indeed troubling. This was fully examined at the trial.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507
    Dopermean said:

    Any news on what led to the Conservative Party deselecting him?
    Bestiality.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,823
    Foxy said:

    Or the impact of constant slaving raids devastated West Africa, and denuded it of its most capable citizens.

    Yes, but that was other Africans. And Arabs. Really it should be Africans paying Caribbeans reparations. But then Nigerians aren't taught that Nigeria is the root of all evil, so would tell them to do one.
    Or maybe the whole idea is a) a grift, b) unworkable and c) stupid.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738
    edited October 2024
    Dopermean said:

    Any news on what led to the Conservative Party deselecting him?
    Read between the lines at https://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/news/24376598.conservatives-drop-hemel-candidate-complaint/

    But the Tory party also suspended his membership - so I wouldn't say he defected, more rejected..
  • eek said:

    Read between the lines at https://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/news/24376598.conservatives-drop-hemel-candidate-complaint/

    But the Tory party also suspended his membership - so I wouldn't say he defected, more rejected..
    A defection that has increased the average IQ of both parties.
  • Dopermean said:

    Any news on what led to the Conservative Party deselecting him?
    He didnt go willingly they suspended his membership following a complaint taking him out from being the PPC.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    Always one totally gibbering idiot, rarely more than that
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161
    Seems like there are still some Russia hawks in the Republican Party.

    House Intelligence Committee Chair Mike Turner (R-Ohio) on Wednesday said the U.S. should consider taking “direct military action” if North Korean troops enter the war in Ukraine.
    ..
    “The Biden-Harris Administration must make clear that North Korean troops entering this conflict are a red line for the United States,” Turner said in a statement.

    “If North Korean troops were to invade Ukraine’s sovereign territory, the United States needs to seriously consider taking direct military action against the North Korean troops,” he added.


    https://thehill.com/policy/defense/4949714-north-korean-troops-ukraine-war/
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    This is pretty shocking.

    "In 1971, the BIOT commissioner and governor of the Seychelles, Sir Bruce Greatbatch,[71] enacted an Immigration Ordinance that made it unlawful for any person to enter or remain in the Chagos Archipelago without a permit.[72] This law did not apply to members of the British armed forces or UK government officials.[73]

    The same year, Greatbatch ordered all the dogs on Diego Garcia to be killed, an order that was carried out by company manager Marcel Moulinie. Moulinie described later how he first tried shooting the dogs, then poisoning them. Eventually more than 1,000 dogs, including pets, were gassed with exhaust fumes, from pipes attached to the exhaust pipes of US military vehicles.[74] Talate Louis said her family’s dog was killed; they felt it was done to make them leave."

    https://www.hrw.org/report/2023/02/15/thats-when-nightmare-started/uk-and-us-forced-displacement-chagossians-and
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103
    Cookie said:

    Yes, but that was other Africans. And Arabs. Really it should be Africans paying Caribbeans reparations. But then Nigerians aren't taught that Nigeria is the root of all evil, so would tell them to do one.
    Or maybe the whole idea is a) a grift, b) unworkable and c) stupid.
    grift by a bunch of lazy shysters for sure. Too used to being spoon fed with aid , they are addicted now and want more.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,939
    Sean_F said:

    Harris' average lead with 538 has more or less halved, since the end of August.

    All the vibes are saying Trump has this in the bag, aren't they? We'd better get used to the idea.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103
    Taz said:

    Depends what you mean by "historical rebalancing" really.
    Think rebalancing would be him taking his head out of his arse
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553
    Sean_F said:

    Harris' average lead with 538 has more or less halved, since the end of August.

    But she has had good polls recently so should start moving on up again.

    Anybody think Trump has won very many votes over the last few weeks? We are testing Harris' ceiling. Trump's is locked.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103
    HYUFD said:

    Harris is open to reparations for US African Americans

    https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-repararations-black-peopel-1931159
    another halfwitted nutter
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629

    Indeed. Up for discussion- hence why I chose the words “some form”. Isn’t this what is being proposed, a discussion with our Commonwealth friends and partners?
    Which is why I posted the Caricom proposals because they are more subtle and nuanced than the cash grab being proposed by some Caribbean politicians.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553

    I don't know if it was mentioned on here yesterday, but Geoff Capes died, aged 75.

    Part of my childhood. RIP.

    Condolences to his budgies.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188
    TimS said:

    All the vibes are saying Trump has this in the bag, aren't they? We'd better get used to the idea.
    Yep. As that Sean Trende article yesterday noted, what the candidates are doing suggests both know that Harris is behind in rust belt and that the popular vote might be possible for Trump....
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629

    Then they won’t get paid.

    Next.
    So it is only reparations on your terms. How very colonial of you.
  • eek said:

    Read between the lines at https://www.watfordobserver.co.uk/news/24376598.conservatives-drop-hemel-candidate-complaint/

    But the Tory party also suspended his membership - so I wouldn't say he defected, more rejected..
    I'm trying to... I am obviously missing something, a comment at the bottom refers to him possibly batting for the other side, but that's more or less compulsory in the party now anyway so it wont be that.

    Must have been pretty serious to suspend his candidacy just before closure of nominations. It does suggest maybe Reform have bit done due diligence.
  • WildernessPt2WildernessPt2 Posts: 715
    edited October 2024
    Sean_F said:

    Bestiality.
    To be fair that is mildly better than what i feared.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,103
    Mortimer said:

    Yep. As that Sean Trende article yesterday noted, what the candidates are doing suggests both know that Harris is behind in rust belt and that the popular vote might be possible for Trump....
    that will put the cat among the pigeons in Europe when the lazy barstewards realise they will need to fight Putin on their own.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    AnneJGP said:

    I am strongly of the opinion that any spare money should be going towards freeing those who are currently enslaved.

    Good afternoon, everyone.
    Steady on.

    Can't you wait until the chaps in the Libyan Coastguard have finished selling them, first?
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,508
    edited October 2024

    Am I the only one who thinks some form historical rebalancing with our Commonwealth family might be… a good idea?

    No. It's a great idea.

    They should build lots of roads and railways here, establish schools and universities, pay for our defence and improve our legal system.

    Oh, and getting rid of the current government and setting up a better one would also be a bonus.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,738

    But she has had good polls recently so should start moving on up again.

    Anybody think Trump has won very many votes over the last few weeks? We are testing Harris' ceiling. Trump's is locked.
    The problem is we don't know how the new 538 is weighting the polls

    As with everything else here we aren't close enough to the story to know exactly what is going on...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,734
    Interesting thread.

    Staying at the forefront of AI development will likely require being able to build 5 gigawatt clusters within 5 years — this is really hard to do.

    I spent the last few months digging into the technical challenges and solutions to doing this in the US.

    Here’s what I found… 🧵

    https://x.com/fiiiiiist/status/1849173667797721566

    This is the kind of shit we should be worrying about, rather than arguing about theoretical reparations.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507
    TimS said:

    All the vibes are saying Trump has this in the bag, aren't they? We'd better get used to the idea.
    I would not quite say that. I think @rcs1000 is right to rate his chances at about 55%. A year ago, I would have rated Biden at 55%.
    Mortimer said:

    Yep. As that Sean Trende article yesterday noted, what the candidates are doing suggests both know that Harris is behind in rust belt and that the popular vote might be possible for Trump....
    Trump campaigning in places like New York is not outlandish when you consider that there are competitive House races there.
  • Cookie said:

    Yes, but that was other Africans. And Arabs. Really it should be Africans paying Caribbeans reparations. But then Nigerians aren't taught that Nigeria is the root of all evil, so would tell them to do one.
    Or maybe the whole idea is a) a grift, b) unworkable and c) stupid.
    Nigerians are scary.

    I have a Nigerian friend/colleague and she told me how badly her father reacted to the time she came home with 11 A+ results and an A in some school exams.

    Apparently she had brought shame on the family for getting a mere A and her father didn’t speak to her for a week and grounded her!

    That is a common reaction amongst Nigerian parents.
  • Cookie said:

    Yes, but that was other Africans. And Arabs. Really it should be Africans paying Caribbeans reparations. But then Nigerians aren't taught that Nigeria is the root of all evil, so would tell them to do one.
    Or maybe the whole idea is a) a grift, b) unworkable and c) stupid.
    Last country to abolish slavery?

    Mauretania in 1981.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,734
    Mortimer said:

    Yep. As that Sean Trende article yesterday noted, what the candidates are doing suggests both know that Harris is behind in rust belt and that the popular vote might be possible for Trump....
    The Trends is your friend ?

    No one has a clue who's winning.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507

    Nigerians are scary.

    I have a Nigerian friend/colleague and she told me how badly her father reacted to the time she came home with 11 A+ results and an A in some school exams.

    Apparently she had brought shame on the family for getting a mere A and her father didn’t speak to her for a week and grounded her!

    That is a common reaction amongst Nigerian parents.
    That's uncanny. My step-son's maths tutor told me about a family from the Ivory Coast that did the same, only with 9A* and 1A, at GCSE.

    The mother likewise told the daughter that she had brought shame upon her family. The tutor tried unsuccessfully to persuade the family that the daughter had done really well.

  • From another PB

    Housing crisis

    Jenrick's room rage

    Ambition over self-awareness usually explains why largely unheralded politicians put themselves forward to be political party leader. But perhaps Robert Jenrick threW his hat in the ring for an even more basic reason.

    New Milton Keynes MP Chris Curtis wasn't able to move into his parliamentary office until just recently - because Robert Jenrick was very slow to vacate it.

    Post election, Jenrick was being shuffled from his really nice big office to one described as "tiny and shit".

    Win against Kemi, however, and his housing status is likely assured once more.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,734
    Nevada 🏜️🎲🎰
    Early + mail voting update

    Total mail ballots returned: 221,116 (🔵 D+12)
    Total early ballots cast: 176,679 (🔴 R+25)

    Ballots by party registration
    🔴 Republican 40.1% | 159,388 ballots
    🔵 Democratic 35.4% | 140,878 ballots
    ⚪️ Other 24.5% | 97,529 ballots

    https://x.com/VoteHubUS/status/1849304267158364551
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    a

    Nigerians are scary.

    I have a Nigerian friend/colleague and she told me how badly her father reacted to the time she came home with 11 A+ results and an A in some school exams.

    Apparently she had brought shame on the family for getting a mere A and her father didn’t speak to her for a week and grounded her!

    That is a common reaction amongst Nigerian parents.
    My Ghanian ex was the same.

    Her reaction to an incident where one of her sons got bullied for "Acting White" by getting straight As at school was interesting.

    She did like my solution, when the school refused to act.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,852
    Nigelb said:

    Interesting thread.

    Staying at the forefront of AI development will likely require being able to build 5 gigawatt clusters within 5 years — this is really hard to do.

    I spent the last few months digging into the technical challenges and solutions to doing this in the US.

    Here’s what I found… 🧵

    https://x.com/fiiiiiist/status/1849173667797721566

    This is the kind of shit we should be worrying about, rather than arguing about theoretical reparations.

    Ed Miliband is on the case. We will show global leadership by campaigning for a moratorium on AI development.
  • Nigerians are scary.

    I have a Nigerian friend/colleague and she told me how badly her father reacted to the time she came home with 11 A+ results and an A in some school exams.

    Apparently she had brought shame on the family for getting a mere A and her father didn’t speak to her for a week and grounded her!

    That is a common reaction amongst Nigerian parents.
    "Is it cos I is black?" :lol:
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507

    "Is it cos I is black?" :lol:
    With my 3A's and 4B's for O Level, I'd have been beaten black and blue by a West African mother.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553

    Rachel Reeves confirms change she is rewriting the calculation of UK debt to borrow more money.

    https://www.ft.com/content/091ca9be-e18b-4fd4-8311-f586b8aaa936

    If the Tories had done it she would claim they were cheating...
  • Sean_F said:

    That's uncanny. My step-son's maths tutor told me about a family from the Ivory Coast that did the same, only with 9A* and 1A, at GCSE.

    The mother likewise told the daughter that she had brought shame upon her family. The tutor tried unsuccessfully to persuade the family that the daughter had done really well.

    These were mock exams about six months before she sat her actual exams.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,507
    edited October 2024
    @TSE and others, on this theme, do you ever still get exam dreams?

    Last night I dreamt I was it was the day before A Level History, and I'd done no revision. I was frantically looking up wikipedia about the Tudors.

    While I was writing my Dissertation, in 2022/3 I was getting these exam dreams about once a month, but this is the first one this year.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    I don't know if it was mentioned on here yesterday, but Geoff Capes died, aged 75.

    Part of my childhood. RIP.

    Geoff Capes in the shot, Bill Tancred in the discuss, Mike Bull in the pole vault.

    That's how it used to be.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,266
    Andy_JS said:

    This is pretty shocking.

    "In 1971, the BIOT commissioner and governor of the Seychelles, Sir Bruce Greatbatch,[71] enacted an Immigration Ordinance that made it unlawful for any person to enter or remain in the Chagos Archipelago without a permit.[72] This law did not apply to members of the British armed forces or UK government officials.[73]

    The same year, Greatbatch ordered all the dogs on Diego Garcia to be killed, an order that was carried out by company manager Marcel Moulinie. Moulinie described later how he first tried shooting the dogs, then poisoning them. Eventually more than 1,000 dogs, including pets, were gassed with exhaust fumes, from pipes attached to the exhaust pipes of US military vehicles.[74] Talate Louis said her family’s dog was killed; they felt it was done to make them leave."

    https://www.hrw.org/report/2023/02/15/thats-when-nightmare-started/uk-and-us-forced-displacement-chagossians-and

    I think you must be mistaken. The British Empire was a wise and noble endeavour, that brought civilisation to primitive savages, or so PB consensus insists.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,507
    Sean_F said:

    @TSE and others, on this theme, do you ever still get exam dreams?

    Last night I dreamt I was it was the day before A Level History, and I'd done no revision. I was frantically looking up wikipedia about the Tudors.

    While I was writing my Dissertation, in 2022/3 I was getting these exam dreams about once a month, but this is the first one this year.

    Even though I've been retired from teaching for 6 years now, I still get anxiety dreams concerning not being prepared to teach lessons.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    edited October 2024
    Good afternoon

    On current trends the world, even if countries meet all their carbon pledges, is heading to 2.6 and 2.8 degrees of warming

    https://news.sky.com/story/chance-of-limiting-global-warming-to-15c-is-virtually-zero-on-current-trends-un-warns-13240328
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,708
    Sean_F said:

    @TSE and others, on this theme, do you ever still get exam dreams?

    Last night I dreamt I was it was the day before A Level History, and I'd done no revision. I was frantically looking up wikipedia about the Tudors.

    While I was writing my Dissertation, in 2022/3 I was getting these exam dreams about once a month, but this is the first one this year.

    Maybe once a year. Given I'm self-employed, work alone, and never have so much as a difficult meeting or nervewracking presentation, much less an exam, I'm not sure why. The feeling of relief upon waking is real, though.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,062
    Keir Starmer has a worse PM job rating than all of his recent predecessors by this point in their tenure (*except for Liz Truss, who didn't last this long)

    Starmer: 26% well vs 58% badly
    Sunak: 29% vs 53%
    Truss*: 11% vs 71%
    Johnson: 40% vs 49%
    May: 46% vs 22%
    Cameron: 59% vs 32%
    Brown: 59% vs 29%
    https://x.com/YouGov/status/1849441038030500073
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,374
    Foxy said:

    I think you must be mistaken. The British Empire was a wise and noble endeavour, that brought civilisation to primitive savages, or so PB consensus insists.
    Western medicine created vaccines. How many lives have been saved by vaccines, often given free to third-world countries? For polio alone, 1.5 million.

    That's just one contrary point on the ledger.
  • Sean_F said:

    @TSE and others, on this theme, do you ever still get exam dreams?

    Last night I dreamt I was it was the day before A Level History, and I'd done no revision. I was frantically looking up wikipedia about the Tudors.

    While I was writing my Dissertation, in 2022/3 I was getting these exam dreams about once a month, but this is the first one this year.

    I do occasionally.

    During my final Further Maths A Level exam I had three hours to complete

    Question 1 (worth 50 marks)

    Question 2 (worth 25 marks)

    Question 3 (worth 25 marks)

    So I had to spend 90 mins on Q1, an hour in and I thought I was on track, put my head down to finish Q1, when I finished Q1 I saw I only had 40 mins to complete Qs 2 & 3.

    I rushed them but covered the bases.

    As a callow 18 year old I wasn’t as self confident as I am now and thought I had screwed up my university first choice up until results day when it turned I still got the A I needed.

    I still have dreams related to that.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,266

    Western medicine created vaccines. How many lives have been saved by vaccines, often given free to third-world countries? For polio alone, 1.5 million.

    That's just one contrary point on the ledger.
    Indeed. A worthy bit of reparations, and good use of our technological advantage. It doesn't pay the whole bill of debts we owe, but is a step in the right direction.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,924

    Good afternoon

    On current trends the world, even if countries meet all their carbon pledges, is heading to 2.6 and 2.8 degrees of warming

    I look forward to owning a beachfront property on the new Humber Sea.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    TimS said:

    All the vibes are saying Trump has this in the bag, aren't they? We'd better get used to the idea.
    Hmm, 1.7 doesn't suggest 'in the bag'.
  • TazTaz Posts: 17,629
    Foxy said:

    I think you must be mistaken. The British Empire was a wise and noble endeavour, that brought civilisation to primitive savages, or so PB consensus insists.
    This consensus presumably exists only in your mind as no one has said that or even implied it. :wink:
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,315
    Sean_F said:

    If it's any consolation, it will be fun watching as local elections give as a rerun of 1967-69 and 1976-78.
    It'll be something to cheer me up, that's for sure.
  • I look forward to owning a beachfront property on the new Humber Sea.
    It just seems that nature is far more powerful than mankind, and certainly the trillions suggested to mitigate the rate of increase and the lack of will by many countries means that nature will ultimately do what it always has
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,374
    Foxy said:

    Indeed. A worthy bit of reparations, and good use of our technological advantage. It doesn't pay the whole bill of debts we owe, but is a step in the right direction.
    I'd argue it may well go *beyond* the debts we owe. Why don't they pay *us* for all the advantages technology has given them? ;)
  • Foxy said:

    Indeed. A worthy bit of reparations, and good use of our technological advantage. It doesn't pay the whole bill of debts we owe, but is a step in the right direction.
    The West could actually offer to kill two birds with one stone here and say "we will take on the cost of modernising your infrastructure and factories".

    So many of these nations essentially get a huge upgrade in an extended Marshall Plan style format. And by upgrading these countries and their prospects, it gives the inhabitants less reason to migrate.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,161

    Good afternoon

    On current trends the world, even if countries meet all their carbon pledges, is heading to 2.6 and 2.8 degrees of warming

    https://news.sky.com/story/chance-of-limiting-global-warming-to-15c-is-virtually-zero-on-current-trends-un-warns-13240328

    That's not terrible though. If countries can raise the ambition of their current pledges by a bit, and meet those, then we should be able to limit warming to 2.5C. That then gives us a bit of a safety cushion under 3C, and the world would have successfully avoided the very worst effects of global warming that would come from 3C or 4C of warming.

    Obviously keeping under 2C or 1.5C would be better, but this isn't a binary pass/fail situation. These sorts of stories should be presented much more optimistically. The world could do a lot worse than 2.6-2.8C of warming.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,852
    Foxy said:

    Indeed. A worthy bit of reparations, and good use of our technological advantage. It doesn't pay the whole bill of debts we owe, but is a step in the right direction.
    Who are "we" in this sentence? Are you making a distinction between Britons of British heritage and Britons descended from elsewhere?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219

    It just seems that nature is far more powerful than mankind, and certainly the trillions suggested to mitigate the rate of increase and the lack of will by many countries means that nature will ultimately do what it always has
    2040 - The Guardian

    "The atmospheric carbon extraction industry is another example of the rich world helping itself to the commons of all mankind without responsibility. Originally fostered to reduce CO2 in the atmosphere, it has become a juggernaught - using solar power to create fossil fuel replacements without consideration of the effects.

    The ongoing famine and civil war in Saudi Arabia is bad enough. With CO2 levels now falling, Third World countries are now exposed to climate change - but in reverse....."
  • Even though I've been retired from teaching for 6 years now, I still get anxiety dreams concerning not being prepared to teach lessons.
    I imagine anxiety about something in one's current life is exactly what causes such dreams. Those that have been actors or performers will know the "not learned my lines" dream.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,553

    2040 - The Guardian

    "The atmospheric carbon extraction industry is another example of the rich world helping itself to the commons of all mankind without responsibility. Originally fostered to reduce CO2 in the atmosphere, it has become a juggernaught - using solar power to create fossil fuel replacements without consideration of the effects.

    The ongoing famine and civil war in Saudi Arabia is bad enough. With CO2 levels now falling, Third World countries are now exposed to climate change - but in reverse....."
    Huge assumption there - that The Guardian will still be going in 2040...
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,508
    edited October 2024
    Taz said:

    This consensus presumably exists only in your mind as no one has said that or even implied it. :wink:
    Although travelling from civilised Hong Kong into primitive and savage China in about 2000 as I did, it might not be as far from the mark as some imply.

    Even more so in the 60s when millions fled the savagery and mindlessness of the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution to find safety and freedom under British law and the Union Jack.

    Of course as savage China has ruined Hong Kong since we left, you wouldn't get the same feeling today.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,315
    Sean_F said:

    @TSE and others, on this theme, do you ever still get exam dreams?

    Last night I dreamt I was it was the day before A Level History, and I'd done no revision. I was frantically looking up wikipedia about the Tudors.

    While I was writing my Dissertation, in 2022/3 I was getting these exam dreams about once a month, but this is the first one this year.

    I still get this about my university finals, even now.
This discussion has been closed.