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Yes We Kam! – politicalbetting.com
Yes We Kam! – politicalbetting.com
9 polls now in that Harris +4-6 national poll cluster https://t.co/YiIqUyqS2F
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Yes We Kam! – politicalbetting.com
9 polls now in that Harris +4-6 national poll cluster https://t.co/YiIqUyqS2F
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Secondly, it's an illustration of how disastrously managed was the asylum policy.
The numbers are small in relation to the immigration total, and yet keeping those people effectively detained, in a state of enforced economic inactivity, costs us many billions every year.
Sorting that out ought to be a political and economic imperative.
I've seen it first hand attending Wales v England rugby union matches.
Free transport scrapped for English-speaking children – but kept for Welsh-speakers
Labour-run council ‘reluctantly’ drops providing travel for nursery and sixth form students but makes exception for Welsh-speaking schools
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2024/09/18/wales-free-transport-bridgend-council/
Especially on here.
Is Trump's asseveration a consequence of his prosopography?
Conservative leadership hopeful James Cleverly has made a swipe at Kemi Badenoch after she claimed she became "working class" following a stint working at McDonald’s.
Tory leadership hopeful Badenoch made the comments on Wednesday, after claiming she grew up in a middle-class family but “became working class” after securing a job at the fast food chain.
The comments came in a bid to appeal to working-class Tory voters in the midst of her party leadership battle.
Badenoch claimed she got the job aged 16, with her comments drawing criticism and widespread mockery across social media.
But speaking to LBC tonight, James Cleverly seemingly hit out at his leadership rival.
He told Iain Dale: "Everyone likes to define themselves as working class, even upper class people... I'm boringly middle class."
Badenoch's comments saw Labour MP Chris Bryant respond to a clip on X formerly Twitter, remarking: “I’m not sure that’s how it works”.
https://www.lbc.co.uk/news/james-cleverly-swipe-kemi-badenoch-became-working-class-while-working-mcdonalds/
So it's possible that this is legal where the bus is the only way to get the children to the appropriate school.
But you need to read the quote at the end of the 7th paragraph to discover the actual story.
https://jabberwocking.com/sure-donald-lets-cap-interest-rates/
A temporary cap on interest rates on credit card rates.
I have no enthusiasm for Kamala Harris but Trump is just mad.
Probably at temporary as the temporary windfall tax we have on oil and gas companies.
Good point.
I also expect her to win North Carolina.
And Florida iasn't yet out of reach.
If we were to shoot for a target number in David Cameron's fabled tens of thousands(let's be generous and go for 99k) then if we accepted 67% of the 84k people who applied last year we're talking about 56% of those we permit to come being asylum seekers.
I think he meant this.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Santa_Catalina_Island_(California)
"2024 Electoral College: No Toss-Up States | RealClearPolling" https://www.realclearpolling.com/maps/president/2024/no-toss-up/electoral-college-state-changes
His USP is tough on immigration. And if rubbishy Starmer performs better than he did...
I have a severe astigmatism, and pay about £450 for two pairs (thinnest possible lenses).
That's about once every five years or so, though. How are you going through a set of lenses in a year? A changing prescription, or wear and tear?
There are several points there.
I've had glasses since the age of about 7, and an astigmatism heavy enough that I cannot use online or "select from a range" options. Also, becoming Type I Diabetic in my early 30s - wrong sort of stomach infection - means that my eyes continue to change as I age 25 years on with retinopathy beginning to appear a little. It also means I place a high value on service from a long-term optician relationship. Both are just a part of the diabetes overhead.
For glasses, my normal options over "basic" are multiway bend-and-recover hinges (I read books and fall asleep and bend normal flimsy ones), thin lenses due to heavy prescription (one from thinnest usually), reactions lenses (I have read too many reports of "but I didn't see him because of the bright sun when I ran him down at 30mph, so it wasn't my fault"), and 'one from the top' varifocals. All those cost more, subject to offers.
That puts me on ~£100-£130 frames, and by the time I have a second non-light reacting set for indoors in a slightly cheaper frame, and the normal offers on a second pair (one or other feature would be free one one or both pairs), a list price total of £~600-650 will come down to £400-500.
The "every year" is driven partly by the prescription change, and me wanting "as good as possible" eyesight. But also because I fund via a Healthcare Cash Plan - institutions basically left over from before the NHS, which is in my case pay £~30 a month and get £200 for dental and £220 for optical once a year each, and lots of other useful grants if you need them, eg I get £40 a day when I am an in-patient or day-patient, payments for therapists, health checks and so on. The best known such plan is Westfield. I was on one which paid £200 for 50% of glasses (so £400+ makes sense), but I've changed to one which pays 100%, so in fact it may work to change my pattern if the changing eyes will work.
Hope that clarifies.
Harris (D): 49%
Trump (R): 46%
Franklin & Marshall / Sept 16, 2024
Harris (D): 49%
Trump (R): 49%
June Poll:
Trump (R): 47%
Biden (D): 45%
Marist / Sept 17, 2024 / n=1754
https://x.com/USA_Polling
"I'm still gonna call them an illegal alien" -- JD Vance on Haitian migrants who are in Ohio legally
https://x.com/atrupar/status/1836492489915592860
TPS isn't "illegal" - and it's been on the statute books for about a quarter of a century.
https://www.ecfr.gov/current/title-8/chapter-I/subchapter-B/part-244
Silver says
The model gives Harris a 49 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania
But his polling average has Harris 1.4% ahead in Pennsylvania - so why does it give the edge to Trump in this state?
538 gives Harris a 61% chance of winning Pennsylvania
538 polling average Harris 1.9% ahead
So part of the explanation is that Silver's polling average in most swing states is a little more favorable to Trump than the 538 polling average (for whatever reason). But there's got to be more to it than that I think.
Which, given what happened to Hillary, is likely to remain the case even were they to pull into a 10% lead.
Also I can't manage varifocals, so its three pairs - an extra one for computer screen use.
I'm not representative of the electorate so baffled that Jenrick is favoured over Cleverly by them.
Kemi confirming she transitioned from posh to peasant by working a summer job in MaccieDs doesn't seem to have pitched herself to the movers and shakers in the wAy she had hoped
*I continue to believe my thesis that, for Trump especially, the vote is for a semi-mythical thing that he represents. The Really Real True Republican - as opposed to all the RINOs (every semi-normal Republican politician). On the other side, many are voting for the anti-RRTR. This is now Harris.
The truly evil thing about the payday lenders was them letting the loans rollover.
So a customer took out a £1,000 loan for 12 months and after they first payment they would refinance the loan for another 12 months, so after 12 months the customer had paid back £1,800 but their debt was around £800.
To help you keep track, what we've now seen from Pennsylvania:
—Quinnipiac: Harris 51/46
—Suffolk: Harris 49/46
—F&M: Harris 49/46
—Marist: tie 49/49
https://x.com/Taniel/status/1836629332057346460
The judge was sentencing a "loan shark" - prosecution under the Consumer Credit act, I think.
In his sentencing remarks, he was almost apologetic. Apparently the accused had not used threats and had charged a lower rate of interest than some credit cards. As the judge put it, if he had got all the licenses and paperwork done, and issued rectangles of plastic.....
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Debt_jubilee
(One of my AMEX cards has an APR of 800% but that’s because of the fee.)
Edit - The Platinum Card has a competitive APR of 704% because of the annual fee of £650.
https://www.americanexpress.com/en-gb/credit-cards/platinum-card/?linknav=en-gb-amex-cardshop-allcards-text-PlatinumCard-fc&cpid=100511471&sourcecode=A0000EV0K9
Some lenders will allow borrowers to “roll over” their payday loan. If this happens, at the time the original capital and interest is due, the borrower will only pay the interest. Then approximately a month later (typically after their next payday) the borrower will repay the full amount of interest and charges. In some cases we see this has happened several times.
Some lenders will also allow customers to “top-up” the amount borrowed. This generally involves the borrower asking for extra money after taking the initial loan, which will be repaid (plus interest) at the same time as the original loan was due.
https://www.financial-ombudsman.org.uk/businesses/complaints-deal/consumer-credit/payday-loans
The concierge services they offer are amazing.
But the paperwork is there for a reason (and presumably the mitigating factors would have fed into the sentence).
I don't think a cap on rates is a crazy idea by any means, although it will be practically difficult. The state regulates all sorts of industries. The effectiveness tends to depend on what opportunities there are to circumvent the intention of the regulation, whether by the providers themselves or by non-regulated actors, plus the impact on the pre-regulated market (a cap of 100% pa on credit cards would have a very different effect on the market from one of 10%).
Prevention of market abuse is a legitimate business of the government, as is the protection of the vulnerable. The madness of such a scheme would rest in its details rather than its concept.
*I hesitate to use voluntary in this context. Desperate might well be a better description, on average.
EDIT - in the American context, there is a big thing in Community Finance. Which despite the whole fluffy image, charges very high rates of interest. And is very well connected to politicians, via activist groups, usually.
The next year renewal was, IIRC, upwards of 10% of sales, which for some items was more than my margin. So we stopped.
Trump has enough form from 2016 and 2020 for engaging new / marginalised voters that didn't show up in earlier voting to make me sceptical about the accuracy of all US polling at the moment. The state polls in 2020 were particularly poor (which is thoroughly unhelpful when they're also so critical). They weren't much better in 2016. Plus there's the issue of him having sought to install officials running these elections who will do everything they can to deliver him the result administratively, if he doesn't win via the vote (and to bias the voting procedures to him too). Obviously, those are in places where Republicans have already won so in many cases not swing states - but in some they will be. That's a critical lesson he learned from 2020. Plus, of course, the Electoral College is currently biased to the Republicans in terms of national vote.
Trump still hasn't really found an effective attack line on Harris, or a one-word nickname that puts the necessary doubt in independents and marginal voters rather than his core - but that doesn't mean he won't, though time is rapidly running out.
Personally, I make the race extremely tight, with Trump marginal favourite, albeit that his ceiling is lower than Harris's, both in ECVs and vote totals.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/sep/19/swedish-children-to-start-school-a-year-earlier-six
There's your cure for our bankrupt school system. Join the Scandinavians in starting school at seven, thus saving the expense of two whole school years. You could do the same at the other end by letting them leave at 16 again. That is about a third of British kids' time in school that other countries deem unnecessary.
Governments are scared to admit it is about babysitting at one end and fiddling unemployment figures at the other.
I don't see why this is such a terrible idea, just because Trump. Everyone hates banks and loves debt forgiveness. It may also be a terrible idea but still a vote winner.
Steve Reed aims to be Labour's Chris Grayling:-
The mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, announced ambitions to prioritise an area of the river in Teddington, south-west London, to make it safe and clean for swimming as part of a new 10-year strategy to reduce pollution in the river and encourage people to spend time in and around it.
Supporting Khan as he made the announcement was the environment secretary, Steve Reed. But Reed just last week approved the next stage in the development of a controversial scheme to allow Thames Water to pump 75m litres a day of treated sewage into the river at the same spot in Teddington.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/sep/18/labour-in-apparent-disarray-over-thames-cleanup-plan
"From now on, all high-caffeine energy drinks are to be banned from the leisure centre."
*) Classic cock-up.
*) A quick, cheap win: order the dumping of sewage, then stop it! Result - we've cleaned up the river!
*) There was a short-term need to dump the sewage; this will be fixed in the next few years.
Take your pick!
- 1% cashback on everything
- They let you set up a direct debit to pay the entire balance each month, almost as if it's a chargecard. So you can guarantee no interest is charged.
I only use it in places I already know take it, though.
Something like:
Small minds debate the topic of debate, average minds debate political issues, great minds share a value betting tip.
Still, Sir Keir is a serious lawyer and grown up, Angela is a woman of the people who raves in Ibiza - so edgy, and Rachel worked at the Bank of England who have got everything right over the years so no better CV.