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Does Kemi Badenoch hate Northerners? – politicalbetting.com
Does Kemi Badenoch hate Northerners? – politicalbetting.com
EXCLUSIVEKemi Badenoch missed the only Conservative Party leadership hustings in the north of England today because she is on holidayhttps://t.co/lwmgB2Z7FB
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Good morning, everyone.
Read a headline, not the article as it's being the ironically named F1 login, on the official website indicating that one chap at least believes the second RB seat is a contest between Ricciardo and Lawson for next year. After a slightly slow start Ricciardo's been doing better lately. On the other hand, Lawson was great as the second substitute previously, and I'm not surprised the team want to keep hold of him.
F1: just got the small sum available on Betfair to back Piastri as winner without Verstappen at 8.
He's 32 points off Norris. In the last four races he's scored 31 points more. Not certain, of course, perhaps not even likely, but certainly credible. I'd take a little at 5+ if you find it elsewhere.
Pretty low bar.
EXCLUSIVE: Angus Robertson was once a ‘luxury’, but is now a 'liability' claims SNP MSP as infighting grows. New letter sent to John Swinney from stalwart Christine Grahame calls on FM to take action against his minister
https://x.com/Georgia_Edkins/status/1824916738107941031
When you were here before
Couldn't look you in the eye
You're just like an angel
Your skin makes me cry
You float like a feather
In a beautiful world
I wish I was special
You're so fucking special
But I'm a creep
I'm a weirdo
What the hell am I doing here?
I don't belong here
So why the Tories chose Yarm for a hustings, I have no idea.
There's a bit of a shortage at the moment, after all.
Five years later, they have still not caught up. A separate study of graduate tax data in the same year, by the Department for Education, reveals that they earned £3,300 a year less than the median salary for their age group by this later stage.
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/education/article/graduate-salary-2024-ranked-university-course-37qdft799
I don't like her politics, and think her time in office indistinguished, but she is a good speaker most of the time. She would be good at some bits of the LOTO Jon such as PMQs, but likely to go missing when it goes against her.
It's the Telegraph so the official status is 'rumour'.
An awful lot of her politics seems fairly hatey. From her origin story of meeting ghastly lefty students at Uni to her attitude to woke as a minister.
It's much easier to say what KB is against than what she is for.
Keep the riff-raff out of higher education for their own good, could be a policy on the next Tory manifesto
I can see the appeal of each of the others (even Patel) - but I can't see what she offers beyond a populist right wing position, which others in the party share.
If I was the Labour party lying in bed thinking about who I would fear most winning this contest, I would yawn, stretch and go back to sleep.
That's a new definition of 'even chance' I'm not familiar with.
If Starmer bombs the chances are he'll be forced out.
If he doesn't, it's very hard to see a path back to power for the Tories in just one term.
To rise to the top of our system, you have to be, well how can I put it, weird.
Of the current crop of Tory hopefuls arguably Cleverly is the least weird, but he’s still weird.
The scrutiny of politicians over policy and desire for scandal and scalp-hunting means a very thick hide is required. Charisma is more important than competence, broadly speaking. The job security is poor, the pay is not bad compared to all other jobs but compared to other work highly skilled people might be doing it's not fantastic. There's also a risk of safety, with two murders in recent years.
Who'd be a politician?
It could be considerably harder to find 18 MPs willing to put their names down.
And if it does fail, there's no reason to think that the Conservatives will be the beneficiaries. You also need the Lib Dems to fall apart in the way that the SNP did.
They cheered Nigel Farage after the Farage Riots. They whine about the two tier justice system when little old ladies (is 53 old?) are jailed for inciting mosques full to the brim with worshippers to be burned to the ground. They attack Labour failure to "stop the boats". All good stuff, but Labour's tumble in the polls does not reflect a Conservative resurgence. The net beneficiary is National Treasure Nigel Farage and his Reform Party.
The Conservatives will never out Farage, Farage.
And there’s no payroll. LOTO, chief whip and deputy chief whip are the only ones that get paid.
We shouldn't dismiss everyone who took part in the recent disorder as fanatics, says Kemi Badenoch, shortly after dismissing everyone who took part in the recent pro-Palestinian protests as anti-semites.
https://x.com/AdamBienkov/status/1825076944242679944
However there's even less enthusiasm for the Tories. They seem to have a pretty poor choice between Reform-lite and the blandest thing on the menu for their next leader.
https://www.judiciary.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/07/R-v-Hallam-and-others.pdf
The participants got 4 years in jail rising to 5 for the leader. There was however intent to cause significant disruption, no guilty pleas, no mitigation, and concern about how they had conducted themselves in the trial. Also, those involved had previous convictions, in all but one case, they had multiple convictions connected to direct action protest.
This appears to indicate to a determination to use imprisonment as a way to manage protest, consistent with the 'far right' protests, but it is notable in the Just Stop Oil cases, the fate of imprisonment seems to have been reserved for repeat offenders.
She would be more popular with the rank and file than Stride, Tugendhat or Cleverly.
That does not make her 'the right choice.'
I think the one thing I would urge the Tories to understand is that in this situation they don't have a *good* choice per se.
They have the choice that may ultimately lead them back to power, by having a serious look at what went wrong and taking energetic action to correct it.
Or, they have a choice that might be described as *happy space* - it convinces them everything was fine but for Covid and Truss and sets them off on a path that may well lead to total irrelevance and extinction.
Most candidates, including Tugendhat, seem to offer the second. Cleverly and Stride are offering elements - only elements - of the first, but are clearly not being listened to.
Articles portraying politicians negatively for having a family life have done much to toxify the environment for MPs. We can do better than this.
It was a pleasure to be one of the first candidates to the North East earlier this month. With over 100 invitations to speak, I’ll be back again touring the country after I’ve had time with my family who I promised a holiday -I’m keeping that promise.
https://x.com/KemiBadenoch/status/1824871867624108291
But - that was after four election defeats and two 'happy space' leaders.
And the Tories do not have the luxury of a net loss of 57 seats to play with from here.
Politicians need to ground themselves outside their political bubble every now and again. It is needed outside politics too.
The notion (which some of the leadership challengers are promoting) of a "two -tier" Britain is particularly troublesome for the Conservatives bearing in mind they were overseeing "two- tier" Britain until six weeks ago. Although I suspect Kemi Badenoch's idea of a "two tier" Britain is somewhat different to my own, and she doesn't believe it existed before July 5th.
Two major aggravating factors with the racist riots is the violence and racism therein.
(Having a tame genie to detonate your many rivals as well probably helps.)
If I were punting on the race, I’d be analysing all their output with a microscope, with GB news on in the background.
I don’t have an interest, or the interest, this time round, though.
Terrible state of affairs for the once great Conservative party, that they can’t even get *me* interested.
Rumour or fact, I don’t even care enough to read it and form a view. It’s *that* bad for the Tory party.
https://conservativehome.com/2024/08/16/next-tory-leader-which-mp-is-backing-whom-cleverly-surges-ahead-to-two-supporters/
She has picked up the support of former Truss loyalist Sir Simon Clarke, not that that helps her much given he lost his seat last month and is now just an ordinary member
The big question for me is not whether Labour will become unpopular quite quickly (for I believe they will) but who the beneficiary of that will be. The Tories would be best placed traditionally as the main opposition, but they have the complicating factor of Reform. That makes things harder for them, and it’s why I take the view they need to deal with that first rather than anything else.
It should be "whom I promised a holiday".
Boris and Starmer both stood explicitly against their own parties' records. Reform's policy analysis is that the last Conservative governments made a pig's ear of Brexit and immigration. There are less plausible routes back to power.
Both are incredibly serious offences though and both should be taken seriously.
It seems to be the usual criminal suspects who've engaged in criminality and found out that this time the Plod and courts were interested.
Oh well, how sad, nevermind.
IDS was also against Blair, the most charismatic and centrist and appealing leader and PM Labour have ever had, even if Iraq hit his appeal. Starmer is a dull Brownite and not in Blair's league in terms of appeal to Middle Britain
Miliband killing industry
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2024/08/17/ed-miliband-zero-electricity-pricing-force-factories-close/
Is that ok ?
This isn't to defend the knuckle draggers who were doing it.
Only a generation ago it was perfectly normal for middle class kids to enter the workforce at 18, or even 16.
However on the scale of judicial retribution I would hope substantially inconveniencing motorists is further down the sentencing correlation curve than trying to burn 350 hotel guests to death.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/article/2024/aug/17/failure-of-roman-engineering-on-industrial-scale-discovery-of-water-wells-in-england-proves-trial-and-error
When the author is Allister Heath can this community note be highlighted in bold italics please?
I suspect not.
Though having a more user pays energy system seems entirely reasonable to me, if you want to invest in manufacturing and get cheaper energy because you invest closer to where the energy is produced so there's lower transmission costs then that seems good for those manufacturing firms.
Bad for those firms who expect others to carry their costs for them.
Some leading law firms offer starting salaries to newly qualified lawyers, generally aged 25 or 26, of £170,000 or £180,000 a year.'
Plus over a lifetime graduates earn more 'Overall, the IFS found that getting a degree would increase average net lifetime earnings by 20 per cent for men and women.'
https://www.thetimes.com/uk/education/article/graduate-salary-2024-ranked-university-course-37qdft799
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cm2n6y4g700o