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Let’s talk about sextet – politicalbetting.com

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  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,594

    No theyre feather bedding doctors instead
    I assume from your comment that you value pensioners more than doctors.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,353
    Foxy said:
    Robert Jenrick? Kill me now.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,695
    .

    Are you retired or on the long slog to 67 ?
    I wish.
    I’ll retire when I can afford it, which is a while off yet.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    O/T but has anyone modelled the cost to society of pensioners crashing their Jazz into everyone and everything, while getting in everyone's way V the cost of free bus passes?
    True story: I need to own a truck for towing purposes but in my 50s I calculated (probably wrongly) that it was worth running an Astra too. I quickly learned that if you drift off in a small car (too slow, wrong lane, forget to indicate) you get immediate outrage and hate whereas if you are in a defender or Hilux you can do no wrong. So I will probably keep a truck forever, making 80 year old me about 5 times as lethal as I would be in a jazz.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,784
    Foxy said:

    The British voters did a month ago.
    No Starmer did. He appointed him to the cabinet.

    Marks him down as a bad judge of character.

  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,983

    You are not completely wrong, but the difference is that most people in the private sector do not demand that they, as a group of individuals, should automatically all have the same pay rise. What the public sector does is demand that all of a particular category (eg our modern entitled aristocracy, aka the medical profession) is given a pay rise en masse.

    This generally doesn't happen in the private sector. If individual doctors were able to move around the country and individually argue for higher rates of pay (for the NHS that is, not their private work that they miraculously find time for), depending on where they live and the relative scarcity of their skills, then that would be good. The BMA though want to continue to have salaries that are higher than many comparable professions, the safest job security in the known universe and pensions that will give a monthly income that is three times higher than the average person earns
    I am a civil servant. I live next door to a couple who are both health service workers. We do not got the same pay rises. Though we shop at the same shops, and therefore have the same "cost of living".
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677

    You are not completely wrong, but the difference is that most people in the private sector do not demand that they, as a group of individuals, should automatically all have the same pay rise. What the public sector does is demand that all of a particular category (eg our modern entitled aristocracy, aka the medical profession) is given a pay rise en masse.

    This generally doesn't happen in the private sector. If individual doctors were able to move around the country and individually argue for higher rates of pay (for the NHS that is, not their private work that they miraculously find time for), depending on where they live and the relative scarcity of their skills, then that would be good. The BMA though want to continue to have salaries that are higher than many comparable professions, the safest job security in the known universe and pensions that will give a monthly income that is three times higher than the average person earns
    It is common for everyone working for the same employer to demand they all have the same pay rise. That's the same here: single employer in NHS England.

    We live in a free society. If being a doctor is great, become a doctor. Tell your kids to become doctors. The pay's good, but it's tough work, can be very long hours, you're going to get sued, you have to make life-or-death decisions...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,784

    I assume from your comment that you value pensioners more than doctors.
    I tend not to think much of the medical profession.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677

    Arhh so the court deemed he has basically been falsely arrested again. The use of counter-terrorism powers did seem extreme, I presumed there was more going on, but sounds like the police messed up again.
    I don't see how you reach that conclusion. The police made a decision. I'm not aware of the court inputting into that decision, but IANAL.
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    Oh do fuck off. I never supported the Iraq war (unlike the Conservative Party), and I am not a Labour Party member (I voted LD this time) so why you insist on bringing this up every time I post is rather bizarre.
    What is interesting is that you do not say: I never supported Tony Blair, nor: I ceased to support him after Iraq. Feel free to remedy the omission, and I will desist.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,660
    RobD said:

    Robert Jenrick? Kill me now.
    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,695
    How does Secretary Pete manage to turn Fox News into the Buttigieg Broadcasting Corporation ?
    https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1817568733583245746
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,695

    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
    As what, a political punch bag ?
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    It is common for everyone working for the same employer to demand they all have the same pay rise. That's the same here: single employer in NHS England.

    We live in a free society. If being a doctor is great, become a doctor. Tell your kids to become doctors. The pay's good, but it's tough work, can be very long hours, you're going to get sued, you have to make life-or-death decisions...
    I see the average salary of a junior doctor is £41 000, which isn't starvation wages, but isn't particularly compelling compared with what ambitious and less well trained counterparts can earn in the private sector.
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,559

    If you had been paying attention you would have noticed Tory posters on here expressing displeasure with Tory governments since at latest 1985, so before the site or the internet existed. Whereas you're the one who thinks Labour = FUCK YEAH and that that viciously amoral shit Blair murdering brownies is AOK because it was a Labour murder, whereas a bunch of Dutch farmers making black people sit at the back of the bus on a different continent proves that UK conservatives are inherently evil because completely unfathomable reasons (they once ate a Cape golden delicious?)
    Big load of bat shit from you tonight. Especially you spewing that Benpointer supported Blair's Iraq War.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    I believe in low taxes, but if taxes are being spent then our taxes paying the wages of people who are working for a living is a more productive and appropriate use than paying to ensure someone gets an inheritance, or paying benefits to those who don't need them.

    If you're upset you lose an expected inheritance or benefit then get a job.

    I don't disagree with you. My argument about Reeves was that she was saying that there was a £22 billion black hole because of the Tories when in fact almost half of that is due to her own political decision to increase pay for the public sector. And indeed I suspect that looking at the news tonight that may be an underestimate as now all the other public sector workers are asking for the same.

    This is not an argument about whther is is justified or not but it is clear that Reeeves and Starmer are making a decision to accept these recommendations ( and additionally to give the doctors 22%) and so they cannot reasonably claim it is a 'black hole'.

    This is all irrespective of the other discussion on private sector pay.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,353

    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
    An almighty cockup in the admissions department, no doubt.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    It's all well and good the police asking people not to speculate on Southport, but what do they expect?
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,783
    Nigelb said:

    How does Secretary Pete manage to turn Fox News into the Buttigieg Broadcasting Corporation ?
    https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1817568733583245746

    Pete's seriously impressive. And he always looks so bloody perfect, as if he's never lost a night's sleep in his life. Not that I'm jealous.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
    I was going to say that I disagreed with you and that he is a slimeball but then I realised that you had already said the same thing just in a different way.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,469
    edited July 2024

    I don't see how you reach that conclusion. The police made a decision. I'm not aware of the court inputting into that decision, but IANAL.
    Sorry I misread that it was his lawyers were claiming this, although the court have delayed any arrest warrant for now, so obviously they don't deem it was necessary to have him arrested.

    The initial reporting was weird about being arrested under terrorism legislation combined with the (delayed) arrest warrant for the other case, so how would anybody be able to just then walk onto a train. It sounds like he was being a dick about stop and search, but then police realising they shouldn't really have arrested him under that legislation and hence why no bail conditions, and could leave on the Eurostar back to where ever he lives these days (I think Majorca).

    For a bankrupt that hasn't had a job for years, he seems to live a very luxury life unencumbered by money worries.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677

    I don't disagree with you. My argument about Reeves was that she was saying that there was a £22 billion black hole because of the Tories when in fact almost half of that is due to her own political decision to increase pay for the public sector. And indeed I suspect that looking at the news tonight that may be an underestimate as now all the other public sector workers are asking for the same.

    This is not an argument about whther is is justified or not but it is clear that Reeeves and Starmer are making a decision to accept these recommendations ( and additionally to give the doctors 22%) and so they cannot reasonably claim it is a 'black hole'.

    This is all irrespective of the other discussion on private sector pay.
    You can't perpetually go on with public sector pay rises (or private sector ones) below inflation. You have to pay doctors, nurses, prison officers etc.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,695

    Pete's seriously impressive. And he always looks so bloody perfect, as if he's never lost a night's sleep in his life. Not that I'm jealous.
    His kids must sleep through the night, that’s for sure.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,447
    edited July 2024
    Nigelb said:

    How does Secretary Pete manage to turn Fox News into the Buttigieg Broadcasting Corporation ?
    https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1817568733583245746

    Do they have P45s in the US? One for the peroxide blond please.......
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677
    tlg86 said:

    It's all well and good the police asking people not to speculate on Southport, but what do they expect?

    People to have some common sense and not be racist?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,469
    edited July 2024
    tlg86 said:

    It's all well and good the police asking people not to speculate on Southport, but what do they expect?

    I don't think leaving a vacuum helps. We saw it with the Manchester Airport punch up as well.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,594

    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
    If Jenrick is an example of Cambridge educated lawyers, we need a cull of Cambridge educated lawyers.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,660

    NEW THREAD

  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677

    Sorry I misread that it was his lawyers were claiming this, although the court have delayed any arrest warrant for now, so obviously they don't deem it was necessary to have him arrested.

    The initial reporting was weird about being arrested under terrorism legislation combined with the (delayed) arrest warrant for the other case, so how would anybody be able to just then walk onto a train. It sounds like he was being a dick about stop and search, but then police realising they shouldn't really have arrested him under that legislation and hence why no bail conditions, and could leave on the Eurostar back to where ever he lives these days (I think Majorca).

    For a bankrupt that hasn't had a job for years, he seems to live a very luxury life unencumbered by money worries.
    He was released on bail (albeit unconditional bail). If the police had realised that "they shouldn't really have arrested him under that legislation", wouldn't he just have been released fully?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,525

    As one of the ten million, Francis, I'd like you to appreciate precisely what the removal of the payment means to me. It means I will be able to afford one less losing bet this year.

    You feel my pain?
    This sandwich lunch you still owe me:

    WTF do you think will be in the sandwiches if they cost £300?!!
  • TweedledeeTweedledee Posts: 1,405

    Big load of bat shit from you tonight. Especially you spewing that Benpointer supported Blair's Iraq War.
    No. I didn't say that. I said that he 1. supported Blair who 2. was responsible for Blair's war. Different claim altogether.

    The two most disgusting things done in this country this century are Iraq, and IPP indefinite prison sentences. Both producing death and despair on an industrial scale. So when I find lefties sniping at conservatives I like to remind them that the fuzzy illusion that the Tories are the nasty party, even if economically competent, is an illusion. Any examples of Tory actions equal to either of those two would be welcome, but what we normally get is OK Tone wiped out 100,000 civilians on our tax dollar, but Theresa May sent out vans with a really rude message.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,677

    I don't think leaving a vacuum helps. We saw it with the Manchester Airport punch up as well.
    Releasing the wrong information would be worse. I don't think the solution to people expecting instant answers on social media is to pander to them.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,525
    This thread has

    found a £22 billion black hole that was the fault of the previous thread, apparently.

  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,272

    Bloke's a Cambridge educated lawyer.

    We'd be lucky to have him.
    Because the track record for PM lawyers is good?

    Thinks
    Churchill was a soldier politician, Attlee was a politician, Eden was ?, Macmillan was a soldier and publisher, D-H was a lord, Wilson was a don and statistician, Callaghan was a sailor, Thatcher a scientist and barrister, Major a banker, Blair a barrister, Brown a lecturer, Cameron in the media, May a banker, Johnson a commentator, Truss an accountant(!), Sunak a merchant banker

    So you need a soldier or a scientist. Who's the closest?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,179

    I did try and warn everyone this would happen a few weeks ago.

    Few wanted to listen.
    I said the same. But I also said that in the extremely unlikely event that the Tories won the results would have been the same. The reality is that our public finances are in a truly chronic state. Hunt tried to pretend otherwise. During the election Reeves avoided the issue by claiming growth was magically going to make this go away. But whoever won this was the reality that we were facing.

    I don't agree with Reeves in the detail that she has cut investment and infrastructure spending because she was too scared to cut current spending, indeed she has increased it. But I do agree that she has moved a little closer to reality than we have had since Covid. Its a serious mess.
  • Are you leaving the country as well?...
    If I was in my 20s I probably would, but too many family ties.
  • She's already set off polcies which will blow up in her face,

    This week while inventing a £20bn black hole she has somehow found the money to fund £4.5 bn of public sector pay rises. And having green lighted big pay rises everyone else will demand their share. All of which ill add to inflation, falling public sector productivity and infrastructure budgets getting slashed.

    Whatever Labours big plan was its dead in the water.

    Quite. IMF here we come.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,272

    I am pretty angry tonight. Wes Streeting specifically was asked about Dilnot and he said 2025 would go ahead as planned. "I am not in the business of tearing down stuff" was the quote to Laura K I think two weeks before election.

    All the public wanted was a set of politicians who would do conservative policies, do them efficiently, and not lie to them

    See the problem?
  • "paying for people's care and living costs"

    The Dilnot cap did not cover "living costs" i.e. accommodation, energy bills etc in the care home. It only covered actual care costs. Probably 50:50. i.e. when the cap was £85K it actually meant more like £160K as only actual care costs were to be metered.

    Plus if social services are paying for a care home under present system then you are expected to contribute any pension and other benefits towards "living costs". You get to keep a few £ a week for sundries such as newspapers.
    And they will not pay the full fees anyway unless its a cheap hole little better than a concentration camp
  • How many potentially indecent images do you see on social media, realistically? Yes, this could happen - but I don't think it would. And there has to be some common sense anyway because I can invent a file format where "01" is an indecent image and the whole world is a peadophile... iow while I'm not 100% sure about this I don't think the thing is strict liability, i.e. it needs mens rea. A lawyer can correct me.

    As I said it's the extreme porn one you need to worry about. Anyone who enjoys banter is vulnerable.

    There's a real conspiracy of silence around this. Largely cause "legalise extreme porn" is quite a, erm, brave political position to take...
    As I said it is a very useful law for the government and the spooks.

    Much easier and less messy to destroy someone using this than throw them out of a top floor window
  • And the payments are in line with private sector pay too.

    I don't agree with the 22% pay rise for doctors, but ~5.5% for police/teachers/nurses etc when private sector pay is up 5.6% seems entirely within reason.
    The private sector figures are distorted by the huge legally imposed far above inflation minimum wage increases.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    You can't perpetually go on with public sector pay rises (or private sector ones) below inflation. You have to pay doctors, nurses, prison officers etc.
    And yet many of us do exactly that and get by with pay cuts.
  • No you don't.

    The private sector is not five-to-six percent more productive than last year, yet that is the current rate of pay growth across the economy.

    Employers pay what they need to in order to get the staff they require. Same as they do for other things. The public sector isn't immune to that.

    When your milkman puts up his prices, do you get this cross with him?
    No. Just ditch him and buy from the supermarket instead.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Arhh so the court deemed he has basically been falsely arrested again. The use of counter-terrorism powers did seem extreme, I presumed there was more going on, but sounds like the police messed up again.
    Reading the piece carefully, one comes to the conclusion that any police stop and search at a border is under the anti-terrorism legislation, as opposed to just this particular individual. They stopped him, searched him, but didn’t have a reason to detain him (he hadn’t actually missed a court appearance and wasn’t officially wanted) so let him leave.

    He’ll probably show up on TV watching the Olympic swimming tomorrow.
This discussion has been closed.