Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Never go full Corbyn 2019 – politicalbetting.com

1234579

Comments

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    megasaur said:

    "Dead white man’s clothes
    It’s the dirty secret behind the world’s fashion addiction. Many of the clothes we donate to charity end up dumped in landfill, creating an environmental catastrophe on the other side of the world."

    Troubling stuff

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2021-08-12/fast-fashion-turning-parts-ghana-into-toxic-landfill/100358702
    Undoubtedly. But frankly most of my clothes are so worn out they end up as fabric recycling or DIY work wipes..

    Most of my donations are books and oddments.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024
    kyf_100 said:

    About 10 minutes ago I joked about them making national service a requirement to vote... I'm not laughing now. This latest development makes me think they would, if they could.

    The Conservative Party is beyond parody at this point.
    I just can't work out what focus groups they have done that have said #1 priority not inflation, not cost of living, not interest rates, not crime, not immigration, not getting GP appointment, not NHS waiting lists....no its making kids do voluntary work....two days and counting worth of media.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited May 2024
    33% strategy. The Tories are running a William Hague strategy, get 33% or as close as possible and save as many as you can. It will be a red meat election. Strategically in a lost cause its sensible and with the fury over Farage deserting the good ship UK it could work with a Reform vote to target, and by 'work' I mean hold 200 seats.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Scott_xP said:

    The Telegraph has the splash that National Service would also include Royals

    I wonder when Richi will notice that every Royal serves already...

    Harking back to the 1940s when QEII-to-be was an ATS mechanic. Deliberately so.


  • ...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I just can't work out what focus groups they have done that have said #1 priority not inflation, not cost of living, not interest rates, not crime, not immigration, not getting GP appointment, not NHS waiting lists....no its making kids do voluntary work.
    involuntary ...
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 9,079
    Foxy said:

    I think the other parties had prepped for a May election as a precaution so had stuff ready to go.

    I think this is further evidence that the Tory campaign is not ready, ant Sunak caught his own party on the hop.
    Our Lib Dem election leaflet was being delivered the evening of the 4th July announcement. We had it printed and bundled and ready to go.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,564
    edited May 2024

    33% strategy. The Tories are running a William Hague strategy, get 33% or as close as possible and save as many as you can. It will be a red meat election. Strategically in a lost cause its sensible and with the fury over Farage deserting the good ship UK it could work with a Refirm vote to target, and by 'work' I mean hold 200 seats.

    I agree the theory is sound in focusing on core vote red meat to salvage as best they can.

    But is this really what the Tory core vote was looking for? I know a lot of Tories, and to be fair I haven't had a chance to check in with most of them since the announcement in an organic way, but I struggle to think this is the sort of thing that would get their pulses racing.

    Increased funding for the military, a deeper crackdown on benefit scroungers, more word on Rwanda, that's what I'd have expected.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    I just can't work out what focus groups they have done that have said #1 priority not inflation, not cost of living, not interest rates, not crime, not immigration, not getting GP appointment, not NHS waiting lists....no its making kids do voluntary work....two days and counting worth of media.
    They haven't. They are filling the void between call and manifesto with red meat.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024

    33% strategy. The Tories are running a William Hague strategy, get 33% or as close as possible and save as many as you can. It will be a red meat election. Strategically in a lost cause its sensible and with the fury over Farage deserting the good ship UK it could work with a Reform vote to target, and by 'work' I mean hold 200 seats.

    Surely then you go low tax, raise IHT threshold, tough on crime, much stronger rules on work visas....that's red meat to the core strategy.
  • Rishi Sunak is considering requiring future applicants for public sector jobs to have completed National Service

    It’s one of the enforcement options that would go to the Royal Commission for consideration if he gets to enact the policy

    https://x.com/alexwickham/status/1794837181657493854
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    carnforth said:

    Remembered earlier about the Assisted Places Scheme, which New Labour also canned:

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assisted_Places_Scheme

    Too many working class people getting ideas above their station, no doubt.
    Well it is the opposite of For the Many, Not the Few.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,626



    ...

    Definite waste of your image for the day, and no dog for scale…
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    edited May 2024
    EPG said:

    As you say, for your typical charity shop donation of second-hand books or clothes, it will not be the case that gift aid is available. At present, the current system is a fairly low-cost substitute that is probably simpler overall to administer.
    I think Carynx is wrong anyway. According to the Charity Tax Group, Gift Aid only applies to money. It does not apply to donated goods.

    https://www.charitytaxgroup.org.uk/tax/donations/gift-aid/gift-aid-on-donated-goods/
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848
    So you want to be a teacher? Sorry, you didn't join the army first so you aren't eligible.

    COMING SOON: Voters need to have gone to Private School to get a vote
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    Carnyx said:

    Harking back to the 1940s when QEII-to-be was an ATS mechanic. Deliberately so.
    Harry was on the frontline in Afghanistan

    Under Richi's scheme he would have had to join the Army for a year...

    Oh, wait.
  • There is a Labour mole.

    And he's the Prime Minister.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024

    There is a Labour mole.

    And he's the Prime Minister.

    Deep state...taps nose.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    kle4 said:

    I agree the theory is sound in focusing on core vote red meat to salvage as best they can.

    But is this really what the Tory core vote was looking for? I know a lot of Tories, and to be fair I haven't had a chance to check in with most of them since the announcement in an organic way, but I struggle to think this is the sort of thing that would get their pulses racing.

    Increased funding for the military, a deeper crackdown on benefit scroungers, more word on Rwanda, that's what I'd have expected.
    It's not an anathema to them i'd think. I assume this is targeted at Faragists, with the assumption it doesn't drive away core voters
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,564
    kyf_100 said:

    About 10 minutes ago I joked about them making national service a requirement to vote... I'm not laughing now. This latest development makes me think they would, if they could.

    It's a question they will now legitimately be asked. They'll say that's ridiculous.

    But why would it be? If they are restricting jobs based on whether you've done national service why not other things?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    I just can't work out what focus groups they have done that have said #1 priority not inflation, not cost of living, not interest rates, not crime, not immigration, not getting GP appointment, not NHS waiting lists....no its making kids do voluntary work....two days and counting worth of media.
    Three rancid and bitter pensioners in their late 80s who well up every time they hear Vera Lynn.

  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Surely then you go low tax, raise IHT threshold, tough on crime, much stronger rules on work visas....that's red meat to the core strategy.
    Manifesto for the core, fill the void until it with Faragist friendly fun
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,564

    It's not an anathema to them i'd think. I assume this is targeted at Faragists, with the assumption it doesn't drive away core voters
    Well I fear they may have missed the mark on that one. Staying at home was a real risk already, it may have increased.
  • Tories now saying that teenagers who agree to do a year of military service could get 'fast tracked interviews for grad schemes in private and public sectors' afterwards.

    Sunak: "We want to make sure Britain's future generations can get the most out of national service."

    https://x.com/HugoGye/status/1794836849124405431

    They are literally making it up as they go along, aren't they?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024

    Tories now saying that teenagers who agree to do a year of military service could get 'fast tracked interviews for grad schemes in private and public sectors' afterwards.

    Sunak: "We want to make sure Britain's future generations can get the most out of national service."

    https://x.com/HugoGye/status/1794836849124405431

    They are literally making it up as they go along, aren't they?

    Its also totally unconservative.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I think Carynx is wrong anyway. According to the Charity Tax Group, Gift Aid only applies to money. It does not apply to donated goods.

    https://www.charitytaxgroup.org.uk/tax/donations/gift-aid/gift-aid-on-donated-goods/
    Ah - I've got where we are at cross purposes. THis is what happens: "However, a charity can offer to act as an agent for supporters and sell goods on their behalf. If the supporter agrees to donate the sale proceeds, and signs a Gift Aid declaration, that donation can then qualify for Gift Aid, under the Retail Gift Aid scheme."

    Another charity wanted to apply that to clearing a relative's house, but they left it too late - by the time it was happening, it was the executors rather than a beneficiary who were handing over the stuff so no GA to confer. Point is it does happen.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    Scott_xP said:

    The Telegraph has the splash that National Service would also include Royals

    I wonder when Richi will notice that every Royal serves already...

    It's a distraction from the exemption his kids will get as they will be living in California.

  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,235
    Does being an MP count as public sector?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    DM_Andy said:

    Does being an MP count as public sector?

    I see the cunning plan there.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848
    Can I refer you back to Peter Mannion MP?

    "You Idiot, thats Fucking Mental"
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,213

    There is a Labour mole.

    And he's the Prime Minister.

    I mean, there are some people who think Martin McGuinness was a British agent, so it wouldn't be that outlandish.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483

    Can I refer you back to Peter Mannion MP?

    "You Idiot, thats Fucking Mental"

    Even Stuart Pearson is thinking this stuff is nuts.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    edited May 2024
    Carnyx said:

    Ah - I've got where we are at cross purposes. THis is what happens: "However, a charity can offer to act as an agent for supporters and sell goods on their behalf. If the supporter agrees to donate the sale proceeds, and signs a Gift Aid declaration, that donation can then qualify for Gift Aid, under the Retail Gift Aid scheme."

    Another charity wanted to apply that to clearing a relative's house, but they left it too late - by the time it was happening, it was the executors rather than a beneficiary who were handing over the stuff so no GA to confer. Point is it does happen.
    Yep. I was thinking more of the people just wandering in and donating books to Oxfam etc. Unless they are set up as a regular donation with the money signed over to the charity at the end of each fiancial year then gift aid cannot apply.

    I assume that in theory gift aid could apply to Prvate School fees if they are charities. Is this something that is already done? If not it seems an obvious way to offset the VAT imposition.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    DM_Andy said:

    Does being an MP count as public sector?

    No. Self-employed.

    Hence the way they behave in the workplace ... in all seriousness.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    Its also totally unconservative.
    I think that ship sailed a long time ago frankly.
  • Leaked documents suggest teens would be jailed for refusing National Service, despite senior Tories claiming otherwise

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1794842931406266625
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024

    I think that ship sailed a long time ago frankly.
    Sunak was supposed to be a return to it. Instead he is making Truss look good.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,564
    edited May 2024
    Foxy said:

    Mrs Foxy went to private school for a year when she came from Africa, but hated it as all of the other kids were much posher and had ponies and such. She transferred to the local Comp and was much happier there.
    The discussion suggests the UK independent sector but I wonder:

    - Given that, iirc, 15% of the UK population is foreign born and that is a percentage that will vary with age, might some element of private schooling involved institutions abroad where the balance of state and private provision might be different.
    - Given the source is a tutor organisation, might it include the sort of private hour a week top up tuition that is prevalent especially in grammar areas? (in which case my kids, at mainstream state schools throughout, would class as privately
    educated for around an hour a week for a year or two)

    I think if 5.9% are in private education as their full time provision at any given time, and that that number has risen, it suggests to me that the commonly quoted 7% for the numbers that go to UK private schools full time weren't too far wide of the mark, but may be slightly out of date.
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,235

    Yep. I was thinking more of the people just wandering in and donating books to Oxfam etc. Unless they are set up as a regular donation with the money signed over to the charity at the end of each fiancial year then gift aid cannot apply.

    I assume that in theory gift aid could apply to Prvate School fees if they are charities. Is this something that is already done? If not it seems an obvious way to offset the VAT imposition.
    Isn't Gift Aid only on donations? If you go to a National Trust property and buy a keepsake from the shop the National Trust can't claim 25% on top of the sale price.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    Sunak to Truss, “hold my pint”
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    Jonathan said:

    Sunak to Truss, “hold my pint”

    At this rate, he will be banning pints too.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    Manifesto for the core, fill the void until it with Faragist friendly fun
    They are a bit stuck with IHT. Already under heavy Labour fire for the totally unfunded destruction of the pension fund known as NI. If they now say IHT will be slashed then another massive hole.

    I think they will do it anyway.

  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848

    Leaked documents suggest teens would be jailed for refusing National Service, despite senior Tories claiming otherwise

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1794842931406266625

    Jailed? Where? The Tories can't even jail murderers and rapists and PPE fraudsters as the jails are full.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838

    At this rate, he will be banning pints too.
    He'll bring back £sd to help improve the standard of arithmetic.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    DM_Andy said:


    Isn't Gift Aid only on donations? If you go to a National Trust property and buy a keepsake from the shop the National Trust can't claim 25% on top of the sale price.
    Not sure. There are various places I have visited (zoo's etc) where I have paid entry fee and been asked to sign a gift aid form so they get the tax back on my entry fee.

    To be honest I have never really looked closely at this area so don't know. It just seemed like a bit of a whizzer scheme if it were allowed. :)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356

    Leaked documents suggest teens would be jailed for refusing National Service, despite senior Tories claiming otherwise

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1794842931406266625

    Source? This twitter account is notoriously bad.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,213

    At this rate, he will be banning pints too.
    Pints are fine. Proper Imperial units. Making petrol stations be required to sell fuel in gallons is a potential policy announcement though.
  • BatteryCorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorse Posts: 4,786
    edited May 2024
    RobD said:

    Source? This twitter account is notoriously bad.
    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1794844011796316338/photo/1
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350
    kle4 said:

    It's a question they will now legitimately be asked. They'll say that's ridiculous.

    But why would it be? If they are restricting jobs based on whether you've done national service why not other things?
    It's that "yes and ho" brainstorming scene played out on the front pages of the Conservative press.

    On one level, I know it's a particularly silly game the Conservatives are playing, and I don't recall Brown in 2010 or Major in 1997 taking the piss quite so shamelessly.

    But leaving aside the rights and wrongs, it's worth remembering that the public sector is famous for having a huge excess of applicants for jobs. The government really really doesn't hold the cards here.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    Yep. I was thinking more of the people just wandering in and donating books to Oxfam etc. Unless they are set up as a regular donation with the money signed over to the charity at the end of each fiancial year then gift aid cannot apply.

    I assume that in theory gift aid could apply to Prvate School fees if they are charities. Is this something that is already done? If not it seems an obvious way to offset the VAT imposition.
    Quite so.

    On the private schools, my impression from dealing with subs etc for learned and county societies and the like is that it's OK to pony up to support their activities with gift aid, and HMRC doesn't mind too much if you get the Proceedings of the Barsetshire Antiquarian and Natural History Society every year, but that's pretty much generalised and part of the normal doings for everyone. It'd be different if you paid them for a specific service like classifying your potsherd collection, etc.

    You could likewise send a cheque to Borchester College for the warm feeling in your heart, and get GA, but not if you send your brat there.

    IANAE, but I've noticed that there's a tendency to split the commercial/operating activities from the charitable organization in many museums and schools, too, which hints that this is a real issue.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    Jailed? Where? The Tories can't even jail murderers and rapists and PPE fraudsters as the jails are full.
    Tomorrow's announcement is young people will build their own prisons.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Jailed? Where? The Tories can't even jail murderers and rapists and PPE fraudsters as the jails are full.
    Sorry Mrs Jones, we can't deal with the armed robbery on your shop as we are tied up right now trying to find your son as he missed his National Service induction. And aggravated the crime by saying some nasty things about Mr Sunak on Tiktok.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    They are a bit stuck with IHT. Already under heavy Labour fire for the totally unfunded destruction of the pension fund known as NI. If they now say IHT will be slashed then another massive hole.

    I think they will do it anyway.

    Almost certainly
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    Sunak was supposed to be a return to it. Instead he is making Truss look good.
    She needs to up her game.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Scott_xP said:

    The Telegraph has the splash that National Service would also include Royals

    I wonder when Richi will notice that every Royal serves already...

    No they don’t.

    Top tip - if you want to assume a smart arse tone, try and make sure you actually know what you’re talking about.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356

    https://x.com/PolitlcsUK/status/1794844011796316338/photo/1
    Thanks. I think they got into trouble during the last election for their scummy way of not attributing their stories.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Pro_Rata said:

    The discussion suggests the UK independent sector but I wonder:

    - Given that, iirc, 15% of the UK population is foreign born and that is a percentage that will vary with age, might some element of private schooling involved institutions abroad where the balance of state and private provision might be different.
    - Given the source is a tutor organisation, might it include the sort of private hour a week top up tuition that is prevalent especially in grammar areas? (in which case my kids, at mainstream state schools throughout, would class as privately
    educated for around an hour a week for a year or two)

    I think if 5.9% are in private education as their full time provision at any given time, and that that number has risen, it suggests to me that the commonly quoted 7% for the numbers that go to UK private schools full time weren't too far wide of the mark, but may be slightly out of date.
    Good point. Most of my Subcontinental and African colleagues were educated privately in their original countries. I am not sure how they would fit these stats.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    @Tomorrow'sMPs
    @tomorrowsmps
    ·
    42m
    🔵 I reckon the Conservatives don't
    yet have candidates in 32 of the seats they currently hold (quite apart from the 150 or so other seats where they don't
    seem to have picked candidates yet either). Contrast that with Labour who now lack candidates in only 31 seats of all kinds
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    edited May 2024
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    Jailed? Where? The Tories can't even jail murderers and rapists and PPE fraudsters as the jails are full.
    That's fine. Use National Service Prison Guards to staff special prisons for National Service refuseniks... That doesn't work, does it.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Carnyx said:

    No. Self-employed.

    Hence the way they behave in the workplace ... in all seriousness.
    Engage pedant mode. Pedant mode engaged.

    They are “office holders”, not employees or self employed. It is its own thing with its own rules.

    Your substantive point still stands.

  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    @ftukpolitics

    Sunak doubles down on national service plan as Tory discontent mounts
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240

    Tomorrow's announcement is young people will build their own prisons.
    Why bother? It seems that under Sunak the country will be one big prison.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    @AllieHBNews

    Monday’s Daily MAIL: “Rishi Fights Back After His National Service Plan Is Ridiculed” #TomorrowsPapersToday
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited May 2024
    Foxy said:

    Good point. Most of my Subcontinental and African colleagues were educated privately in their original countries. I am not sure how they would fit these stats.
    Very easily answered. The stat would be a big fat zero. Not allowed to apply to be your colleagues in the NHS without completed UK national service card, see.

    Well, how else can it be interpreted?
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,644
    Scott_xP said:

    @ftukpolitics

    Sunak doubles down on national service plan as Tory discontent mounts

    I'm guessing the answer to my previous question(s) of 'can you link to the tweet - otherwise this is worthless' is "no".
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    Foxy said:

    Why bother? It seems that under Sunak the country will be one big prison.
    We should aim to be a gated community.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    biggles said:

    Engage pedant mode. Pedant mode engaged.

    They are “office holders”, not employees or self employed. It is its own thing with its own rules.

    Your substantive point still stands.

    Thank you - quite right. Definitely needed correction. Or amendment.
  • No_Offence_AlanNo_Offence_Alan Posts: 4,984

    I think Carynx is wrong anyway. According to the Charity Tax Group, Gift Aid only applies to money. It does not apply to donated goods.

    https://www.charitytaxgroup.org.uk/tax/donations/gift-aid/gift-aid-on-donated-goods/
    Is that right? I donate my old books and old clothes to Barnardo's. Every year I get a letter saying how much my donations have raised and how much Gift Aid the Government has chipped in.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,626
    RobD said:

    Thanks. I think they got into trouble during the last election for their scummy way of not attributing their stories.
    ‘Failed to rule out’ doing the heavy lifting, I think. I’d like to say that I am failing to rule out divorcing my wife and eloping with Millie Gibson…
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,644
    Foxy said:

    Why bother? It seems that under Sunak the country will be one big prison.
    A private prison though. Full of entrepreneurial spirit! Imagine how many spiv's we could spawn! Their cheap, wet suits making Arthur Daley look posh!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Carnyx said:

    Very easily answered. The stat would be a big fat zero. Not allowed to apply to be your colleagues in the NHS without completed UK national service card, see.

    Well, how else can it be interpreted?
    I was thinking of the 20% private education stat, but good point about whether international recruits would need to do National Service first.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 18,626
    The same ex military chief who is a Labour peer?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Carnyx said:

    Thank you - quite right. Definitely needed correction. Or amendment.
    It is an interesting point. Could we make them employees of the House of Commons to give them a taste of the actual standards the rest of us are held to? Don’t see why not? They need freedom to vote with their conscience but that’s all.

    Would make things like the Boris discipline case easy, because you could just make lying to the House gross misconduct and the burden of proof would be that of an employment tribunal.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Foxy said:

    Why bother? It seems that under Sunak the country will be one big prison.
    Bit like the Covid lockdowns.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    Scott_xP said:

    @AllieHBNews

    Monday’s Daily MAIL: “Rishi Fights Back After His National Service Plan Is Ridiculed” #TomorrowsPapersToday

    That is not good for Sunak.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    Is that right? I donate my old books and old clothes to Barnardo's. Every year I get a letter saying how much my donations have raised and how much Gift Aid the Government has chipped in.
    According to this,

    https://www.gov.uk/guidance/gift-aid-what-donations-charities-and-cascs-can-claim-on

    the loophole is that the shop sells the item on the donor's behalf, the donor of the copy of Gyles Brandreth's 'Breaking the Code' or whatever donates the cash to the charity and then the charity claims gift aid on that.

    Seems like a rum way to run a country.

    (See also the admission price/donation with free admission thrown in thing.)
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    33% strategy. The Tories are running a William Hague strategy, get 33% or as close as possible and save as many as you can. It will be a red meat election. Strategically in a lost cause its sensible and with the fury over Farage deserting the good ship UK it could work with a Reform vote to target, and by 'work' I mean hold 200 seats.

    Cameron won in 2015 and 2010 with 36-37%, and Blair with 36% in 2001. 33% isn't a million miles away from those figures.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Andy_JS said:

    Bit like the Covid lockdowns.
    Sunak was at the heart of that government. Just saying...
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    Britain’s armed forces need more money not untrained teenage volunteers, former military leaders and Tory figures have said in a new blow to the Conservatives’ faltering election campaign.

    Within hours of being announced, Rishi Sunak’s election pledge to bring back military service for 18-year-olds was rubbished by army chiefs and a former Conservative defence secretary.

    Rishi Sunak pledged to introduce mandatory national service which would see young people spend a year in the military or do volunteer work on weekends.

    The prime minister doubled down on the proposal on Sunday night, saying that national service schemes in other countries “show just how fulfilling it is for young people”.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    The same ex military chief who is a Labour peer?
    Labour Peer and former Labour Minister.

    In the context of the last Chief of the General staff actively proposing a “citizens’ army”.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295



    ...

    What animal is this graph similar to? Doesn't look like a cat this time. 😊
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited May 2024
    biggles said:

    It is an interesting point. Could we make them employees of the House of Commons to give them a taste of the actual standards the rest of us are held to? Don’t see why not? They need freedom to vote with their conscience but that’s all.

    Would make things like the Boris discipline case easy, because you could just make lying to the House gross misconduct and the burden of proof would be that of an employment tribunal.
    Eeeeeeexactly so. I couldn't have summarised my thoughts better myself.

    PS: except to make themselves employees of the Public.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Andy_JS said:

    Cameron won in 2015 and 2010 with 36-37%, and Blair with 36% in 2001. 33% isn't a million miles away from those figures.
    I am guessing they are assuming 40% plus Lab though. I mean 33 is just my representative figure. It's a'fet voting % to a save 200 seats level' (or whatever benchmark they've set )
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,697
    Andy_JS said:

    What animal is this graph similar to? Doesn't look like a cat this time. 😊
    That's me, buried on the beach, with only my eyeballs and....
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    Andy_JS said:

    Cameron won in 2015 and 2010 with 36-37%, and Blair with 36% in 2001. 33% isn't a million miles away from those figures.
    Blair won with 35% in 2005.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024
    I was reasonably confident when the GE was called that the Tories would eventually poll 30% with a enough scare the horses attacks on Starmer, stick with nurse as economy is turning corner and standard Tory type offering.

    Seems highly unlikely now.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited May 2024

    I was reasonably confident when the GE was called that the Tories would eventually poll 30% with a enough scare the horses attacks on Starmer and standard Tory type offering.

    Seems highly unlikely now.

    I'm not sure. The policy may attract as many voters are it repels, which would leave us where we were before, which was 30% is possible.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    I am guessing they are assuming 40% plus Lab though. I mean 33 is just my representative figure. It's a'fet voting % to a save 200 seats level' (or whatever benchmark they've set )
    I have assumed the “catastrophic success” in their war games is 35 to a Labour 39, in which they deny a majority. The hope is as you say, and the low end is as we are.

    As you imply, this will shape the whole campaign, and it will continue to be ridiculed on here even if it’s (in their terms) highly successful.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    @gsoh31

    The whole reason the Tories were so desperate to join the EEC and the Single Market is that they would stop absurd autarkic Bennery... Like making graduate schemes prioritise volunteers from state boondoggles. How lost they have become.
  • FeersumEnjineeyaFeersumEnjineeya Posts: 4,761

    Is that right? I donate my old books and old clothes to Barnardo's. Every year I get a letter saying how much my donations have raised and how much Gift Aid the Government has chipped in.
    Indeed. I've donated stuff to a variety of charity shops over the last few years, and they always ask if you're a "gift aider" and take your name and address if so. Then, like you, I get a letter from each of them detailing how much they sold your donated items for.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    edited May 2024
    Andy_JS said:

    I'm not sure. The policy may attract as many voters are it repels, which would leave us where we were before, which was 30% is possible.
    No one (stand fast some performative posters on here) who was going to vote them last week will change their minds because of this. Some might come “home”. It’s where they are fishing - they are already at rock bottom. Might as well promise owls.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,483
    edited May 2024
    Andy_JS said:

    I'm not sure. The policy may attract as many voters are it repels, which would leave us where we were before, which was 30% is possible.
    I will be shocked if it really attracts that many people. It just isn't a serious policy. Now they doubling down in the fantasy.

    Its not like saying we will raise IHT threshold (it might be difficult to cost, but it is something that is definitely actionable).
  • franklynfranklyn Posts: 327

    According to this,

    https://www.gov.uk/guidance/gift-aid-what-donations-charities-and-cascs-can-claim-on

    the loophole is that the shop sells the item on the donor's behalf, the donor of the copy of Gyles Brandreth's 'Breaking the Code' or whatever donates the cash to the charity and then the charity claims gift aid on that.

    Seems like a rum way to run a country.

    (See also the admission price/donation with free admission thrown in thing.)
    It depends on the charity, but the better organised ones keep a record of items donated, and when they sell an item that generates gift aid for them, and tax relief for the donor if they are a higher rate tax payer. Our local Salvation Army shop are very efficient at this and at the end of each year send me a letter confirming how much they have raised from my donations, how much Gift Aid that has generated, and the information goes in my tax return. If, as I did, you have to do a house clearance it is very beneficial.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848

    That's fine. Use National Service Prison Guards to staff special prisons for National Service refuseniks... That doesn't work, does it.
    Yes it does. Take one group of kids to jail another group of kids in a prison camp built at weekend volunteer sessions by another group of kids.

    NEXT WEEK:
    Chain gangs for so-called "disabled" workshy layabouts
    £107m contracts awarded to Tory patrons to operate a new workhouse program
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111
    @Samfr
    As @thhamilton notes it would also make it easier for an immigrant to get a public sector job than a Brit. Just so much genius.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350
    Scott_xP said:

    @gsoh31

    The whole reason the Tories were so desperate to join the EEC and the Single Market is that they would stop absurd autarkic Bennery... Like making graduate schemes prioritise volunteers from state boondoggles. How lost they have become.

    Are you suggesting that Sunak's proposal is the thin end of the wedge?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Scott_xP said:

    @gsoh31

    The whole reason the Tories were so desperate to join the EEC and the Single Market is that they would stop absurd autarkic Bennery... Like making graduate schemes prioritise volunteers from state boondoggles. How lost they have become.

    I mean, that definition of why we joined the EC is just utter bollocks. But as the kids say, you do you. You clearly care little for facts.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Scott_xP said:

    @Samfr
    As @thhamilton notes it would also make it easier for an immigrant to get a public sector job than a Brit. Just so much genius.

    Why would it? Do you have absolutely no critical faculties?
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,383

    UK imports of oil are overwhelmingly from Norway and the US, neither of whom particularly hate us: https://www.statista.com/statistics/381963/crude-oil-and-natural-gas-import-origin-countries-to-united-kingdom-uk/
    Sure.

    We are nevertheless still dependent on oil from Russia and Saudi Arabia, because oil is a global market.
This discussion has been closed.