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No we Khan’t? Could the unthinkable happen in London? – politicalbetting.com

Sadiq Khan leads Susan Hall by 13%.London Mayoral Election VI (6-8 April):Sadiq Khan (Lab) 43%Susan Hall (Cons) 30%Zoë Garbett (Green) 10%Rob Blackie (Lib Dem) 8%Howard Cox (Reform) 7%Other 2%https://t.co/NME7rUhyXG pic.twitter.com/pecj5rELrF
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WTAF
Proof there is no such thing as karma (though I did understand his life post 2000s wasn't great, he brought it all on himself).
For those who don't understand Betfair's decimal odds and prefer more traditional odds, then this means that if you bet £10 on Hall, then you lose £10.
There does look to be plenty of scope for squeeze on the left.
Not that Khan should need it given Labour's national lead (and Westminster lead in London). It's a pretty damning indictment of his personal ratings that it could credibly be in the balance.
Biden has a considerably bigger "war chest" than Trump that will be going on campaigning, advertisements etc
Trump has a much smaller slush fund that is going on legal expenses etc
My main takeaway though, is, live life as best you can and try and do as little harm as possible while you're passing through, as we're all going to face our mortality one day and while I suspect everyone has some regrets and fears on their death bed, some are probably greater than others...
Time to get serious in developing the structures and capabilities to be able to run defence and security independently of the US.
Was that a Silence of the Lambs reference ?
Rishi Sunak: Cutting Waiting Lists | Our Plan for the NHS
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NmluXX5YNMk
https://ballotpedia.org/Bradley_effect
(Which appears to have almost entirely disappeared in the US, for which I am grateful.)
You can't defame the dead, so we could say what we like?
Ugh, apologies for the horrific tautology of heroic lawyers.
Trump’s Monday announcement that abortion should be left to the states was supposed to neutralize an issue that has dogged Republican candidates. But by Tuesday it was clear that it was futile to try.
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/11/trump-abortion-republicans-judiciary-00151632
Conservatives spent a generation stacking the bench with anti-abortion judges. Donald Trump is now paying the price.
The former president is reckoning with high court rulings in Alabama, Florida and, most recently, Arizona, which have kept abortion and reproductive health care in the spotlight when he and much of the GOP would rather be talking about inflation or the border.
Taken together, they underscore the difficulty Trump and his campaign have in controlling a narrative that at any minute can be redefined by any judge in America...
Which is as nothing to the difficulty women face in having their rights to medical treatment redefined at any minute by any judge in America.
As I said on the previous thread, it's not a bad effort as a campaign slogan, but reality has already demonstrated it's bollocks.
Clinton's "safe; legal; rare" was also bollocks, but two thirds of it was at least true - and it was anodyne rather than malign.
It’s amazing that sub-postmasters (and mistresses) were not formally asked how they were getting on with Horizon.
Of course, their Union was less useful than a chocolate fireguard. Even though, IIRC, they had someone at Board meetings.
Less than 5%.
..In Arizona, the state’s GOP-controlled legislature is advancing a measure that would put the question to voters whether Supreme Court justices should serve lifetime appointments. And in Oklahoma, Republican legislators want to take the authority to appoint Supreme Court justices from a judicial nominating committee and give it to the governor.
“It doesn’t seem to be slowing down,” said Douglas Keith, senior counsel in the judiciary program at the Brennan Center for Justice at NYU Law. “If anything, it’s picking up.”..
I am appalled, amazed and saddened at these events which happened while I was Chairman of the company.
2021 was a good set of local elections across the board for the blue team, remember. Turnout matters a lot in local elections, perhaps more so in a COVID election where the GOTV operation was harder (although door-knocking was allowed at that point).
May 2021 was pre-Partygate, in the midst of vaccine optimism, and it's easy to forget that a lot of Tories wanted to reward Johnson for having been seen to have steered us through difficult times.
As it turns out, that was very much the high-water mark. Chesham & Amersham came out of nowhere the following month, but could be dismissed as a howl from the Remoaners and a testament to the Lib Dem by-election machine (much like Richmond in 2016). The rot only really set in with Paterson and Partygate, and it unraveled remarkably quickly.
Adjudged a killer on the balance of probabilities.
To be a pedant.
(Also played for the Niners.)
Being (mostly) lawyers by trade, they thought that the theory of progressive re-interpretation of the Constitution was awesome.
I asked "who defines progressive?". Apparently, it would be down to.... lawyers.
So, the nutters have realised that all you need is the "right kind of lawyers". Then the law says whatever you want.
"Keep the coinage and the courts. Let the rabble have the rest."
And the cherry on top of this shitcake?
The nutters in the UK are starting to talk about judicial appointments. You may remember we were discussing the French chucking a psycho-god-botherer out - 38 years and he's in Morocco - in a blink of the eye? Yup, they've noticed.
It's on Twatter and elsewhere - "what we need is the right kind of judges".
David Lammy
John Bercow
Shaun Bailey
Boris Johnson
I would say Jeremy Corbyn because I have no doubt he is dedicated to London (as was Our Ken) but he would make it compulsory to march on Whitehall every Thursday afternoon to protest at Israel's actions in the West Bank.
The Storyville documentary series, OJ Simpson made in America, which is still available on the iplayer was just a superb telling of that story and really brought out both the racial tensions and the failure of OJ to break free of them that surrounded it.
It also contained several images of him playing as a running back which were mesmeric. It honestly looked as if everyone else was in slow motion. It gave me some comprehension how the jury reached the decision that they did for the first time. And it was not because of the evidence or the mistake with the glove or any incompetence on the part of the defence. They simply stuck it to the man. Which was ironic, given that OJ tried to make himself white every way he could.
Conservative politicians have considerably closer ties to the US political scene.
If you have the judges, then who needs to bother with the law?
It's interesting how power generation has gone. Originally there were lots of small power plants around the country, often supplying their own grid. Derby, for instance, had one (near the Silk MIll) that provided power to the town/city from the 1890s to the 1960s, providing a maximum of 65MW.
But small thermal power plants are rather inefficient, and these inner-city power stations polluted the city. When the National Grid was started, power stations could be placed further out and made larger - hence more efficient. So we started getting the mega power stations such as those on the Trent Valley (Willington A&B stations were a total of 800MW alone; Ratcliffe 2GW). The scale of these power stations was incomparably greater.
But that scale<->efficiency argument is generally a factor for thermal plants. For solar or wind, it is less so; and these are much easier to distribute more widely - so we are going back more to the way things were, albeit with them providing a single grid, rather than localised grids.
https://twitter.com/davenewworld_2/status/1778435191536525451
Cardasians
Kardashians
Think lawyers, baseball bats, foxes.
Oh and others
Fortunately, the Supreme Court has resolutely held to the line that the legislature legislates, the executive executes and the judiciary judges. If you want a law, go ask parliament.
The lettering of "I Did It" with the tiny "If" is a great piece of design.
"Crime scene - do not cross" is corny.
Not sure what drug (or legal advice) they must have been taking to leave the author's name off the cover, but it must have made sense to them at the time.
Bit of a blow for him that, on this occassion, he wasn't a powerfully built, recently retired athlete armed with a large knife, and cancer wasn't a slight, defenceless young woman. Still, you win some and lose some.
I believe there was some dispute between OJ Simpson and the ghost writer about how far the words were Simpson's own - essentially, he distanced himself from some more "confessional" aspects and said they were spiced up. It was possibly a bit over-cautious by then not to identify Simpson as author, but I can kind of see it. Although, and perhaps more importantly, they may well have wanted their own son's name on the cover and NOT that of his killer - even if that was likely to reduce sales a bit.
It is really remiss that someone hasn't posted this
Also ensure Rishi is safe until the GE with totally false hope.
Trump has already moderated his stance in the light of this. Let's hope it doesn't help his cause.
Who appoints judges and for how long is an important, difficult and different question. Personally I intensely dislike 'political' engagement with judicial appointment, but that of course leaves open the question of where the power to appoint should lie instead.
David Smith, who was chief executive in 2010, sent an email celebrating the conviction of Seema Misra, a sub-postmaster wrongfully jailed as part of the Horizon scandal
A former executive at the Post Office has apologised for celebrating a pregnant sub-postmaster being sentenced to 15 months in jail for theft.
David Smith, who was managing director of the company between April and December 2010, apologised to Seema Misra and her family after he hailed her conviction in November 2010 as “brilliant news” in an email to colleagues.
Misra, from Surrey, was jailed after being wrongly convicted for allegedly stealing almost £75,000. At the time she was eight months’ pregnant, and already had a 10-year-old son. Misra’s conviction was eventually quashed in April 2021.
In a written statement to the inquiry published on Thursday, Smith said that Misra seeing his email would have caused “substantial distress” and he apologised.
“I would absolutely never think that it was ‘brilliant news’ for a pregnant woman to go to prison and I am hugely apologetic that my email can be read as such.
“Regardless of the result, I would have thanked the team for their work on the case.”
Asked about the case during evidence at the inquiry, Smith said at the time that he and other Post Office executives saw Misra’s case as a “test of the Horizon system” with conviction meaning it was robust.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/post-office-inquiry-today-david-smith-9dl2gvgz0
French spies claim immunity to honeytraps as their wives already know they have affairs
Threatening to expose a steamy affair is a well-known tactic in the espionage playbook, but philandering Frenchmen say they’re immune
A French spy’s love for a glamorous Syrian woman he meets while working undercover in Damascus leads to betrayal, death and disaster in The Bureau, an internationally acclaimed television series.
In reality, however, French secret agents insist that while they may indulge in liaisons in foreign lands, there is no danger of them being embarrassed by romantic entanglements. They maintain that they are not susceptible to blackmail or honeytraps because their wives tolerate or turn a blind eye to their affairs.
The claim, which will reinforce stereotypes about French infidelity, was made in a behind-the-scenes documentary aired on France 2, a public-service broadcaster, this week. It offers an unprecedented view of the work of the country’s intelligence agents.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/honeytraps-dont-work-on-us-say-frances-philandering-spies-0nh553z3q
Furthermore if this report from Guido is true then Sky seem to have real internal problems with this subject
https://order-order.com/2024/04/11/sky-trans-activist-staff-demand-sky-news-editorial-veto/
Today those 401 tonnes would be worth approx $26 billion. Genius.
I don't think Rowling, Bindel and Murray are doing anything to defuse that toxicity.
Looks quite a benevolent sort nowadays.
As I said a few threads back, I think the local and mayoral election results will be the ones that matter and will help bolster Sunak's position for a couple of months, rather than undermining it. That's good if it ensures that Sunak is still in place for an Autumn election.
https://www.gold.co.uk/gold-price/gold-price-history/
If you're going to sell large volumes of an asset, then sell it then announce what you've done after you've done it, don't pre-announce it then do it. Also don't do it all at once, do it piecemeal over time.
It's the Republican House that is holding up aid to Ukraine.