Scotland wants change – politicalbetting.com

Scotland is ready for change – 87% agree Britain needs a fresh team of leaders, 70% agree Scotland needs a fresh team.
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Scotland is ready for change – 87% agree Britain needs a fresh team of leaders, 70% agree Scotland needs a fresh team.
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If your government is not competent, it will fail to do what is right for the country. Even if it wants to.
So the question is: how do we increase competence?
It's the 30-35% and 35-40% bands for the SNP vote I'd be interested in.
Why are so many carers being taken to court for benefit fraud?
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2024/apr/07/why-are-so-many-carers-taken-to-court-for-benefit
Five years ago the Tory MP Nigel Mills asked one of Whitehall’s most senior civil servants whether he would apologise for the fact that “many thousands” of unpaid carers were in hardship because official failures had landed them with huge debts running into tens of thousands of pounds...
This was a crap system - and recognised as such - which massively penalised claimant who inadvertently breached earning limits by as little as £1 a week - and failed to notify them of the ongoing breach for years (while still paying the benefit).
It's an absolute scandal that it has not been resolved, and people are still facing criminal prosecutions for simple mistakes.
The News Agents (Emily Maitlis, Jon Sopel & Lewis Goodall)
Political Currency (George Osborne & Ed Balls)
Oh God, What Now? (formerly Remainiacs)
Politics at Jack and Sam's (Jack Blanchard (Politico) & Sam Coates (Sky))
Rock & Roll Politics (Steve Richards)
Pod Save the UK (Nish Kumar & Coco Khan)
Electoral Dysfunction (Beth Rigby, Jess Phillips & Ruth Davidson)
The above-named political podcasts are reviewed by the Standard at
https://www.standard.co.uk/lifestyle/peak-political-podcast-rest-is-politics-news-agents-b1149671.html
If the polls are to be believed, the Conservatives could be reduced to less than 100 MPs after the next election, and Keir Starmer will be sitting with one of the largest majorities in parliamentary history. But what would this super-majority look like, with the Labour Party in effect both the government and the opposition? Fraser Nelson speaks to former Political Secretary to Tony Blair, John McTernan.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5EWIETRCblE
One point made in passing but with betting implications is that the two politicians dominating TikTok are the Labour backbenchers Zarah Sultana and Nadia Whittome. But before rushing to back them as next Labour leader, remember there may be others on that platform who will be elected at the forthcoming election, and that Starmer may be around for another decade or more. McTernon mentions them in the context of Trump having dominated Twitter and JFK television, the new media of their days.
I know. It is pie in the sky and will never happen. But I still think it is the advent of the graduate/SPAD/MP career ladder that is responsible for much of the issue we see today with our frankly atrocious politicians on all sides.
There are other reasons why people might not be suitable as MPs apart from the one I outlined and he certainly exhibits some of them.
It's a fancy name for a glorified researcher and EA as far as I'm concerned.
And yes, they might well have more MPs from London than Scotland, but London Labour does not have a notably separate organisation or a clearly identified leader (Khan notwithstanding).
Well, good for him for fessing up. Clarke or Cummings never have.
I don't see that this self-revelation caused him to stop commenting on education though...
And I missed the pointless discussion on here about trans issues so a win-win.
A few years from now the majority will look back and wonder what all the trans hatred was about, rather like they do about homosexuality. And how the country was hoodwinked into a fixation about a tiny little country in central Africa called Rwanda.
Gnats and camels.
The one interesting one was the Osborne, Danny Alexander and Ed Balls one on the formation of the coalition.
Though until the issue of independence is resolved that will dominate Scottish voting. Holywood needs a better choice of pro-Indy parties. Choosing between SNP, Alba and Scottish Greens is not an appealing prospect.
The despair felt about this goes well beyond unionist opposition as the most read political site Wings over Scotland makes clear. Indeed, the criticism and contempt expressed there is on a wholly different level to anything the Unionists come up with. Part of the reason for that is that Sarwar makes Starmer seem inspirational and dynamic, brimming with ideas and plans for a better future. It’s not a happy state of affairs.
In that time, we've had eight Labour and nine Conservative Secretary of States for Work and Pensions.
The only incumbent who spent more than two years there was Ian Duncan Smith...
This may be part of the solution - Abolish the Foreign Office.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-68756259
I listen to the Rest is Politics now and again.
All parties are mad keen for people who have done something else in their life to be candidates, because they know the voters like it. But those people don't put themselves forward. The Spads are left to fill in.
https://youtu.be/CuZrzwm6CJs?feature=shared
Edit: sorry about the typo.
Lady Bamford is also known for sending meals to an ailing Boris Johnson in Downing Street and hosting his and Carrie's wedding reception.
This reminded me that Lord Bamford of JCB (and supplier of kit for Boris's stunts and £4 million for Boris's election campaign) resigned from the House of Lords last month.
https://hansard.parliament.uk/lords/2024-03-01/debates/3A7CE52E-A553-4DD8-BAD4-9431007EEFCE/RetirementOfAMemberLordBamford
By coincidence, his name is being thrown around TwiX in blatant whataboutery. Apparently HMRC is investigating a shortfall in the region of £500 million, or 17 Olympic swimming pools' worth of Angela Rayner and three double decker buses.
https://www.cityam.com/jcbs-bamford-brothers-could-owe-as-much-as-500m-in-hmrc-probe-reports/
While it's unabashedly liberal, it does have interesting (and sometimes Republican) guests, occasional long form interviews, and detail hard to glean elsewhere.
It's also quite entertaining.
Can't really see the point in listening to UK politics podcasts.
The French system definitely has had a problem with the groupthink of “enarchs” who all went to the ENA then on to government jobs, but they did at least go through a very gruelling selection process and then spend years being taught the ropes of public administration. Le Pen of course being the outsider there, and that being part of her appeal (as was Sarkozy).
Good morning Malc. Have you planted your turnips yet? You only have till April 15th for an early crop...
There has been a lot of corruption in Scotland. We await to see if the Police charge anyone and if so how many feel.the bracelets.
Corruption is endemic in Westminster so its not really news. .. People just sigh.
I listen to podcasts, but history rather than politics. It's excellent background for when I'm doing chores or exercising (just the right level of attention needed when on the bike to keep me engaged without losing track of how fast/slow I should be going).
And how do you know I don't know Bristol or have friends there myself? You don't. So that doesn't work either.
As for your assertion that it would be better to leave him in the harbour - I thought you didn't approve of vandalism and wokery. But you forget that it wasn't presenting Colston in a fair and neutral way to leave thje statue where it was in the first place. And the Merchant Venturers refused to compromise. So we are where we are.
Westminster religiously. I cannot stand politics any more.
The sounds of politicians voices whilst they are lying irks me so.much these days.
Some politicians voices just make you want to scream.. eg Rayner.
Disclaimer; I don’t know Bristol. Haven’t been there for years!
Ever wonder why ADHD is so epidemic? Just look at how we live now.
A plague on both your houses is an obvious line for the electorate to take.
Interesting that all of those mentioned above are already well-known commentators though, who will likely bring an audience. It’s not easy to make big money though, certainly not from something very UK-centric such as politics, so many are going to be publicity vehicles for other projects such as selling theatre tickets or speaking engagements. A million views on Youtube pays about a grand in ad revenue, but most podcast sites don’t pay anything so you need to read your own ads on-air, normally organised through an agency.
When will we learn.
Keep the pictures. Bin the “leadership”.
(A couple of more serious undercurrents. First is that where a statue is matters. Putting it on a big plinth in a public thoroughfare is a lot more in-your-face than at ground level in a place where it has to be sought out.
The other is that the amount of civic space and headspace available for statues and memorials is finite and Victorians especially took rather more than their fair share. Consider the typical English churchyard- massive ancient stone blocks and tiny modern plaques.)
The party message is that everything good in Scotland is them, and everything bad in Scotland is Westminster / the Tories. In reality that is laughable and the poll in the header shows people can see right through it.
The challenge in seats like mine is that it has ben a 2 horse race between corrupt incompetence and incompetent corruption. What a choice!
But a situation where political control of billions of spending and many thousands of employees is handed to some one who has never done anything on that scale, has no idea what they really want to do, or how to do it, is not a plan for success.
Add in rotating the figureheads every year or so….
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cld404v6lkeo
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/entertainment-arts-68741802
It is the University Challenge final tonight. @Sunil_Prasannan's old college takes on @Leon's. Oxbridge have yet again failed to trouble the judges although they did both reach the Boat Race final last month.
Apparently they put up “bat nesting” boxes on the camera poles, which can’t just be (easily) removed due to rules on bat protection.
I’ve been struck by the paucity of detail in Labour’s Scottish change mantra; their usual mo is to offer a few fluffy aspirations that cynical chaps like me doubt will ever be fulfilled, but this time nada. Perhaps they’ve got a raft of absolutely cracking policies for Scotland that will kill the Nats stone dead for a generation but they’re scared that they’ll be pinched, however I won’t be holding my breath.
On a slightly connected note, I see Wes ‘Unctuous’ Streeting has been berating middle class lefties obstructing private sector involvement in the NHS. I assume if he opens the floodgates to capital this will affect that great Unionist creation the Barnett formula?
Dr Joe Nunez-Mino of the Bat Conservation Trust however disagrees with the legal aspect highlighted by the box’s notice.
He said: “All 18 species of bats and their roosts are protected by law, because of their significant historical decline. You need a licensed bat worker to carry out a check on a bat box, but that does not mean they cannot be legally removed with a correct authority.
“The licensing authority in this case would be Natural England, they have power to make decisions based on the evidence available."
He also said a bat box placed next to a busy road would be highly unlikely to be used by any bat species, so would not be very useful for conservation.
https://www.romfordrecorder.co.uk/news/24218113.rainham-ulez-activists-use-bat-box-bid-block-camera/
More than 150,000 people were forced to wait over 24 hours in an accident and emergency department last year before a hospital bed could be found for them
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a-and-e-in-critical-condition-as-nhs-overwhelmed-by-patients-d3ss06vrb (£££)
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/04/07/voter-age-biden-trump-2024-election-00150923
...That would be a signal that the polls are once again struggling to measure the presidential race accurately after underestimating Trump in the previous two presidential elections. Maybe the young-voter numbers are wrong, and the polls are understating Biden; or maybe the older-voter numbers are wrong, and Trump is even stronger than he appears; or both.
“Seems like we know how to poll white, middle-aged people really well,” said John Della Volpe, the director of polling for the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics and an expert on polling young voters. “But if they’re younger, older, Black, Hispanic — there seems to be no consensus about what’s the best practice these days.”
Is there a fundamental realignment underway of the American electorate? A systemic error in polling? A little bit of both?..
* It used to be a limit of 800 words.
* Then Cyclefree started publishing around the 1200 word mark
* She was teased incessantly about this (the "Cyclefree limit"), and pulled it back, but articles around that mark kept appearing occasionally.
* Then somebody else - I think it was Ydoethur - published an absolute monster at around 1800 words (the "Ydoethur limit"?) and the site expanded again.
The social media post, which featured fighter jets built abroad and a prime minister with record low ratings, was intended to talk Britain up
The poster featured a montage of images, not all of them strictly British
A football team that has not won a big trophy in decades, a prime minister with record low ratings, a Swiss-owned container ship, a US fighter jet and a large image of a smiling King.
This is the unusual medley of images that the Conservative Party used in a campaign poster declaring Britain to be the second most powerful country in the world.
The seemingly triumphalist montage made its way into the world last week. And it has already left it. The post was hastily deleted after being published on social media following a breach of protocol relating to its use of an image of the King, along with other criticisms.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tories-campaign-poster-is-pulled-in-storm-of-derision-p8k3b2gks (£££)
The Times should explore whether CCHQ is back to its old trick of shitposting or intentionally posting bad content in order to get talked about.
An empty nesting box can aiui be removed.
How many of these have bats nesting in them?
Another lot of idiots looking at themselves in the mirror and saying how clever they appear.
They may well need Planning Permission to install one.
Same applies to Slab. If SKS gets a landslide, he can buckle down to keeping the English voters happy and not letting Slab have any leeway with any deviance from the necessary policies.
*apols to Ydoethur - got out of sequence momentarily ...
It's not an hilarious prank - it's just another way anti-ULEZ cretins are wasting my money with zero impact, either ecologically or to the policy they're campaigning against. They're nothing more than a gammon version of Just Stop Oil.
Hedge fund bosses and casino moguls were among guests who handed over $250,000 for a seat at the former president’s table
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/trump-raises-50m-in-a-night-with-help-from-melania-5z3sn2hs8 (£££)
The Donald is still in the game.
https://twitter.com/MrDarcyDog/status/1776969296859509216
Well, it made me laugh.
Or are we all suffering ADHD ?
I am happy with headers both short and long, if well written.
No problems with yours - other than being unpersuaded by the thesis you well described.
23 incredibly specific things you've probably noticed that also have incredibly specific names:
1. Spoliation — when parts of an older building are reused to make a new one.
https://twitter.com/culturaltutor/status/1776942670406963341
Perhaps most relevant to PB.
"Eristic"
A rhetorical term for a way of talking where the aim is simply to win the argument, not to arrive at the truth or even prove your own view correct.
Argument for argument's sake.
It wouldn’t surprise me if someone got the idea from their loft conversion being stopped by bats.
If people are going to protest, they should try to do so in gentle ways that has some humour. A fake bat box is far better for society than some alternatives.
They trigger exactly the same people who defend to the hilt the right of Just Stop Oil to piss people off and slow walk on main roads.
I am sure this decision was taken correctly and a relative of an SNP minister allegedly having made this offensive sign was not taken into account.
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/uknews/star-of-david-merged-with-swastika-won-t-be-probed-by-scottish-police-as-new-hate-crime-law-row-explodes/ar-BB1lfthi?ocid=entnewsntp&pc=U531&cvid=743121a80f75421dab15cdeb6ae0bf86&ei=14
(3)
Looks like I picked the wrong Eid to stop sniffing glue!