It’s the local economy, stupid? – politicalbetting.com
It’s the local economy, stupid? – politicalbetting.com
Really won't matter if people think the national economy is doing badly if they think their own state economies are doing great pic.twitter.com/u32yljX54k
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I can't ever recall a similar sentiment here. "Things are booming everywhere else, but it's terrible in Manchester", or "We're doing fine, but the rest of the country's a mess" -- that's simply not what people think! -- at least in my experience.
Two jobs and a rental property still can’t guarantee control over your finances
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/property/mortgages/middle-class-debt-help-mortgage-loans/ (£££)
World's smallest violin territory perhaps but also an illustration of why the government is struggling in the polls. Many natural, small-c Conservative supporters are struggling with increased interest rates and low pay rises. Arguably this is the opposite situation from the American one in the header and that FrequentLurker mentions; well, not quite the opposite but a familiar situation here where the individual is doing worse than the government's tractor stats claim (see the Express front page posted). It is not always the economy; it could be the NHS (see 1997) or crime (2017).
Although Wragg is the only politician to have gone public, some of those targeted as part of the apparent honeytrap have told the Guardian they do not believe the MP would have had their number in his phone contacts. This suggests there was a wider campaign that did not just rely on a single MP opening up their phone book.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2024/apr/05/who-is-behind-westminster-whatsapp-honeytrap-stings-mp-william-wragg
The surveys show the Conservatives would get between five and zero seats
...
The More in Common research group analysed recent large scale surveys using the MRP polling method which were carried out by YouGov, Survation and Find Out Now.
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All three polls showed the Liberal Democrats winning at least five seats, in South West London.
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/labour-tories-wipeout-london-seats-general-election-poll-b1149619.html
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He confirmed multiple stories have been shared in the national news including The Mail, The Sun, BBC News , ITV News, Sky News and The Independent.
https://www.itv.com/news/2024-04-05/joe-lycett-reveals-hes-behind-multiple-fake-national-news-stories
Maybe Joe Lycett planted all the polls and stories about the Prime Minister being underwater.
The City of London Corporation is currently consulting on a proposal to rename a section of Liverpool Street in honour of the late Sir Nicholas Winton. The new name proposed is Sir Nicholas Winton Square.
https://www.cityoflondon.gov.uk/services/planning/street-naming-and-numbering-guidelines
Has anyone seen the One Life film? Is it any good? I should probably get round to buying the DVD or streaming it.
https://www.longtermtrends.net/home-price-median-annual-income-ratio/
I've not paid much attention to the 15 minute city concept but when you read this you think what's not to like? I think it's already happening to some extent, there's a lot more work and social activity in a short walkable space in our neighbourhood than there used to be. I'd like to see this development continue. The traditional village is the ideal human settlement. It's quite a conservative idea in many ways, odd that people on the right resist it; it makes me wonder if there is a corporate AstroTurf element to the opposition.
More allegations circulating about Trump's bond arrangements.
Now it is claimed he *did* have an offer for $464 million - from the man who eventually posted his $175 million - and covered it up.
If so, he and his lawyers are in deep, deep shit.
https://www.businessinsider.com/trump-saved-millions-civil-fraud-bond-secret-billionaire-offer-report-2024-4
The Tories have lost the right to govern but labour offers little too aside from taxing the productive part of the economy to fund the non productive part.
https://x.com/bobmca1/status/1776469717730971734?s=61
The whole story seems to be how Trump gets special treatment from the courts. Why would they not let him off with this one?
The dividing line in labours time in office will be less productive public sector, with ever increasing demands, versus the private sector which is seen as a cash cow.
https://www.ft.com/content/14697639-5ec7-40e7-a679-3ceef10e7529
Trump's whole bond business seems weirder than a Roger Moore plot. First he couldn't afford it, then he could in cash, but not in court terms, then he got the bond, but the firm couldn't fill in the paperwork properly, then were found not to be properly licensed. Now it may be there was a chance he had the money for the first bond but didn't tell anyone.
I think the most significant part of all this is he is rather confirming you can't trust a word the old fool says on financial matters. Which I can't imagine will help him on appeal.
Some may recall that I said our AWB answered a shout last night and our son has just text to say he and his colleagues were called to a yacht with 5 on board drifting to the windfarm in a big swell. They secured a tow rope and towed them to harbour and all safely ashore now
The rescue took nearly 5 hours, in darkness, and stormy sea
And pleasant, bright morning here; some sun, scattered clouds and very little wind.
If the latter, then there is a problem.
I can't actually find the filing to see which it was, although the words 'practical impossibility' are quoted in the media. That might suggest it was the former, although arguably they should have disclosed it anyway.
Of course, that does all assume the allegation is true. But it's Hankey himself saying it so I don't see why it shouldn't be.
He may not have been typical of course.
*Autocorrect made that into 'penises.' I think AI has been reading this thread...badly.
One is that geometry hates cars and cars kill the concept. If you have enough road and parking space for most adults to drive regularly, homes, businesses and nice things end up too far apart. Hence the doom loop that leads to most modern British developments- provide sufficient space for cars and everyone ends up depending on them. To make the sort of walkable communities (that price signals show that people want to live in), there isn't really space for lots of cars.
Similarly, the standard British nice house (detached, two stories, largeish garden, double garage) is also pretty space hungry. To make 15 minutes work, you do need more terraces, mid rise and flats. Whilst they don't have to be crummy, too many of them have been shabbily built on the past.
So it's a concept that works better on practice than in theory. It also says to the generation that went all-in on cars "you rather messed up, and the freedom you went for isn't so desirable after all." Even if you don't say that bit out loud, it's strongly implied. My experience is that boomers (for it is they) don't like that at all.
(See also the "my car is essential and doesn't hurt anyone" stuff that accompanied ULEZ.)
F1: unsure when I'll post the pre-race tosh as I'm busy this evening so it might be sooner than I'd like (late morning/early afternoon) when the markets aren't all there.
Costly accounts have failed to encourage saving among low-income earners
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/money/investing/isas/20k-isa-tax-free-allowance-hard-to-justify/ (£££)
Story based on a Resolution Foundation report that can be found here:
https://www.resolutionfoundation.org/publications/ineffective-savings-accounts/
And I can't afford it and anyway I don't have space for it
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c9rvzdlnp0ro
This may be because the 'town' was planned as three distinct villages (Upper, Lower and Great), separate from each other by green spaces, but linked at the hub. It was not a bad design, although one that is sadly being abandoned as it further expands (and the Lib Dem council ***** things up further. (**) by cramming yet more houses onto centralish sites meant for businesses.
I don't think the 15-minute concept fails with modern developments - the development just needs to be planned as such. And it costs to do things properly...
(*) Leaving aside the new Cambourne West, which has zero facilities at the moment, and is farther away.
(**) I'm sure as heck not voting Lib Dem in the locals.
(The other thing 15 minute neighbourhood types are keen on is getting all day/every day use out of infrastructure. So the school theatre and sports hall are built to a standard that makes public use in the evenings and weekends attractive. Cambridgeshire village colleges were ahead of the game there, but it does mean putting more money in up front.)
Having made something of the last 5 consecutive polls all giving Labour a 20%+ lead, along came BNG in the middle of them with an 18% one.
Nevertheless, the mean Labour lead from the last nine polls is 21%.
The Conservatives have dropped 2% in March.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election
https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_main.html
It's frustrating really. The US has problems enough without the media inventing new ones.
I'm not convinced that Biden will get the credit for a strong local economy.
I am increasingly convinced they will poll sub 30% in the real thing. Quite possibly closer to 25%. The longer he leaves it, the lower it may fall.
By which I mean the entire voting public...
How are we supposed to afford that has she not heard austerity Reeves telling us that there's no magic mushroom tree!!
Gets coat
https://bookriot.com/louisiana-hb-777/
The directors will put in another manager.
The potential curative mental health properties of Psilocybin is a genuine area of research. A psychiatrist friend of mine is researching it right now and, if you have not done so, you might try reading the best-seller 'Entangled Life' by Merlin Sheldrake.
If I may say so, it’s fairly typical of the reactionary right to shout first and think later, if at all.
Buckle up! Andrew's baaaaack!
Reading broadens horizons, challenges one’s perceptions, opens perspectives.
Gets 2nd coat
It’s clear that Psilocybin is very helpful for treating certain mental conditions and should be rolled out as soon as possible especially for people with PTSD. Will ultimately save Society and the NHS a lot of money in the long run.
Are you taking me with you she says
No i am turning the heating off.
Gets 4th coat if you include the one mentioned in this joke
A bold claim, you might think, but let me explain.
A few years ago a few of us went on a bit of a piss up in that strange lull between Xmas and New Year. We started in the local Spoons. A few tables away was another party, quite rowdy. A wedding party, two blokes had got married, everyone was having a good time.
Both parties went their separate ways but a few hours later we rocked up in a pub and there were the same party, very much the worse for wear.
I went to the toilet, not separate urinals but one of those lovely troughs. At one end was one of the grooms, hammered.
I went to the other end of the trough and, as you do, fixed my gaze firmly on the wall directly ahead of me and let the process begin. I could see the groom wobbling in my peripheral as he struggled to stand upright. Then he leaned forward slightly, looked in my direction and said, and I quote verbatim, ‘That’s a lovely penis.’
My reaction? Well, being raised to be polite I simply said, as I zipped up and swiftly exited, ‘Cheers mate, thank you very much.’ Some people have said he was bang out of order and a pervert and I should have dropped him. Which I get, but he was very drunk, I don’t really think he knew where he was and what he was doing. Violence didn’t seem, in the few seconds the encounter lasted, to be a satisfactory way of resolving the matter.
What has always intrigued me more, when I reflect on his few, brief, enigmatic words, is what criteria he employs when deciding whether a penis is lovely or not. I assume, being of the homosexual persuasion, he has seen plenty in his time so I like to think my appendage was judged by an expert.
Of course, I would like to think his most important criteria would be sheer size but, sadly, I don’t think I can say that’s an area where my penis, if you will, stands out.
So what was it about my penis, briefly glimpsed from four feet away in a piss-ridden toilet of a scabby pub, that struck the man so deeply that he felt compelled to tell me my penis is lovely?
The tragic thing is I will never know.
Since the coalition the public sector middle class have been firmly Labour again overall
Do you really think i was discussing the merits of the matter?
Have you watched his documentary?
Coat and shorts weather for me.
Wonder if there will be any play at Derbyshire CCC today if its on will go to morning session followed by a Non League football game
Many such bills are have regularly been put forward by the GOP in the redder states as performative measures, which have no chance of passing. That has changed recently.
Sounds like some on here would benefit from taking the Pis
But a library won't be able to have an institutional membership, or take official part in any ALA programmes such as professional qualifications, which if it is anything like the UK equivalent completely screws up any serious career training and validation of university training.
It won't even be able to subscribe to the professional journal, or spend ten dollars on the yearbook or cataloguing standards books or whatever.
And nether staff nor institution would be able to go to *any* conference, even if not conducted by the ALA, where the ALA had a table or session for instance (for which it had paid a fee).
If we ever get back to the halcyon days of 2010, when there were double the number of bus services and you still had some running around housing estates, bus gates are a tried and tested solution. Or you just consult with the local bus companies and ensure routes aren't disrupted.
https://metro.co.uk/2024/02/26/a-london-bus-takes-two-hours-travel-three-miles-20346969/
I know it might seem strange to you but some females inhabit this space.