Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

We may need to revise our summer plans – politicalbetting.com

24

Comments

  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265

    Trent said:

    Heathener said:

    Re the three June elections since 1945 the dates were:

    18 June 1970
    9 June 1983
    11 June 1987

    Suggesting earlier rather than later in the month.

    2001 was also June.
    As was 2017
    Then it was not 3 but 5?
    Argh! This is like a bad version of the Spanish Inquisition sketch. It’s my fault for using the wikipedia list which splits the centuries. So here they are:


    18 June 1970
    9 June 1983
    11 June 1987
    7 June 2001
    8 June 2017
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 5,906

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    kinabalu said:

    Leon said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Trent said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Trent said:

    Foxy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    DavidL said:

    If I was under 30 I think that the triple lock would have me looking seriously for emigration. It is an outrageous penalty on the young and poor for the benefit of the old and comfortable.

    The full state pension is currently a meagre £10,600 pa, lower than most (all?) comparable countries, and not much to live on if a pensioner has no other significant source of income. It would be better policy to maintain the triple lock until the differential narrows further, while at the same time using the tax system to claw back much more money from those who also benefit from a significant private/public sector pension and/or large savings.
    It isn't a lot.

    However, imagine a world with 30 people in it. 10 are pensioners. 5 are stay at home parents or otherwise not working. 5 are children. And 10 are in work.

    In that scenario, £10k of every worker's income goes off to pay pensions, before *any* other expenses.

    The issue is not the size of the pension, it is the fact that what was affordable when you had lots of people of working age, and few pensioners, becomes very unaffordable if you have rising life expectancy and a low birth rate.
    The alternative is to raise the retirement age of course (having duly notified everyone as per the WASPI women who seem strikingly uninterested in any news).
    Before we raise the pension age too far, is it actually feasible to have 70-year-old brickies, roofers and firefighters? It's a bit like the PB Covid WFH discussion when we've all got cosy white collar jobs and the most strenuous thing we do all day is open a laptop. How many 70-year-old nurses does it take to turn a patient over?
    Also unless things change, currently life expectancy has peaked and isn't growing any more, actually it might be falling.

    So why is future pensioners retirement age being lifted to pay for current pensioners getting increases?

    Especially given its the boomer generation that is unaffordable and didn't save and public savings for their own retirement despite knowing about the demographics for decades.
    Yes as Foxy rightly pointed out peoples health is now deteriorating. The point foxy made about covid damaging peoples frontal lobes is extremely worrying. We could both be looking at lower life expectancy and economic decline.
    What utter tosh:

    People under the age of 40 are dramatically healthier than their parents, they don't smoke, they dribk less and they are much more likely to exercise.

    If you look at metrics like blood pressure, resting heart rate, etc., then the young adults of today are in dramatically better shape than their parents.
    Have you seen the levels of obesity about now. Your argument may just hold in a global city like London but not in the rest of the uk. Look at photos from the 1970s people were much slimmer. They were also much more active pre computers and smartphones.
    All the data is publicly available, and - yes - we are (on average) a bit fatter.

    But that is literally the only stat that has moved in the wrong direction. Every other measure of public health, particularly for the young, has moved for the better.

    And that's true everywhere in the UK, not just in London.
    British lige expectancy has fared worse than any other major economy 🤷

    https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/newsevents/news/2023/uk-drops-new-global-ranking-life-expectancy
    A lot of this (but not all) is immigration. We are importing people from poor countries with bad health and bad diets, and a tendency to do dysgenic things, so the overall life expectancy goes down, child mortality goes up, and so on

    Ditto America
    "They’re not sending their best. They’re not sending you. They’re sending people that have lots of problems, and they’re bringing those problems with us. They’re bringing drugs. They’re bringing crime. They’re bringing bad habits and terrible diets. And some, I assume, are good people.”
    What I am saying is not controversial

    We have a lot of immigration from Pakistan. In Pakistan life expectancy is 66

    https://www.worldlifeexpectancy.com/pakistan-life-expectancy

    If you import a lot of Pakistanis then UK national life expectancy will, on average, decline. Ditto African countries, India, Bangladesh, and so forth. As the migrants assimilate one can hope that their life expectancy will improve, but it won't if they keep importing brides and husbands from the homeland, and it really won't improve if these spouses are first cousins
    You strain quite hard to blame immigrants for an awful lot of things. Not sure why. Bit of 'lib baiting' perchance? Like with all the "importance of IQ" talk. Yes, very possibly. I prefer that explanation to the main alternative anyway.

    Just reading Trump's quote again, though, it's pretty hilarious. "They aren't sending their best. They aren't sending YOU" he says ... directly to the teeming mass of bottom drawer knuckle-draggers who make up his MAGA rally crowds.
    It's just a fact. A lot of our gravest problems - from housing to healthcare - stem from an insane policy of mass immigration into an already crowded country with already creaking infrastructure. Migration is at lunatic levels now - 1.4m in two years. This is utterly unsustainable (and the Tories must take the blame for much of this, they've had 14 years to fix it and actually made it worse)

    This might make effete lefties like you uncomfortable, but it is the case. I'm not saying it to "bait" anyone, I'm saying it because it is the truth, and until the nation faces up to this, things will only get worse. Importing millions of people, as a matter of policy, is a Ponzi scheme

    it will be very interesting to see where Starmer goes on this
    It is not a 'fact' that a lot of our gravest problems stem from immigration. It's an opinion arising from a mental image. In this case the mental image is that of 'us' here on 'our' little island being compromised and crowded out by too many of 'them' from places 'we' have no affinity for. That's where you start, because that's how you feel, and you go looking for 'data' and 'argument' to support it. But it's the feeling that's authentic not the data or the argument.
    So you think we can import 1.4m people every two years for ever and ever, and it will never cause problems. That is the reductio ad absurdam of your stance

    You're not a serious person, really, are you? You are a cluster of quasi-fashionable opinions, to which you have never really applied much thought
    No, that rate isn't tenable for long. I doubt anybody thinks otherwise.

    I don't know about how 'serious' a person I am. I do often find myself more interested in why people say certain things than I am in what they are saying.

    Eg here with you and immigration.
    Has it ever occurred to you that my life would be MUCH easier if I just went with the flow and agreed with all the feeble Woke bollocks that you believe? For a quiet life?

    Because it would make things a whole lot simpler. For me. Flint knapping is a very left wing industry, and anyone with even vaguely right of centre opinions treads a significantly dangerous path. I could therefore just pretend to be a Woke idiot, and have a much easier time. I have friends who do exactly that, I know they are Tory or rightwing or have firm views on culture wars, migration, trans, etc etc etc, but they zip their mouths because they work in media/arts/academe/law, and they pretend they are leftwing, or they pretend they are neutral and have no political beliefs at all

    However, I cannot deny what I see with my own eyes, and I am not going to dumb myself down

    What do you risk, intellectually and professionally, being yet another lefty in Hampstead? Absolutely nothing

    You are very typical of your late Boomer/early Gen X age cohort - Johnny Rotten, Julie Burchill, Tony Parsons, Toby Young, Nigel Farage, Boris Johnson, Jacob Rees Mogg etc etc.
    I’m really not. A lot of those people started on the left and moved right

    Others are from posho Tory families

    I was right wing fron the age of about 14 when i realised that it is a better representation of reality. If anything I have mellowed since my early ultra-libertarian days

    I do sometimes enjoy being contrary, which makes up for the undoubted hassle and danger of being right wing in my world

    I was at school with Toby Young. He hasn't changed.

    Being right wing when we were young was far more normal than it is now.

    You have a ready audience for your views in the Spectator, the Telegraph etc. Given how the New Statesman is going, you might even have a chance there. Spruce up and you could make it onto GBNews! And you have made your money, so there is no huge pressure to conform to the whims of younger commissioning editors. It's really not risky for boomers to spout right wing opinions. Most have them. Our generation is the Tories' last bastion - and where would Reform be without blokes over the age of 55?

    I don't know who you are talking about, my second job is writing for the Gazette. My first job is knapping sex toys, and let me assure you the young staff in most lithic pleasure-gizmo offices are incredibly Woke, it's almost as bad as, say, publishing - where anyone with a vaguely rightwing stance keeps completely quiet if they want a nice career
    Why is 'right wing' incompatible with any sane definition of 'woke' ?

    Wasn't slavery bad? Are we equal at birth, regardless of colour, background, ethnicity, sex, etc?
    Its entirely possible to be both. I am unabashedly both right wing and woke, unless you include either veganism or anti car mentality within woke.
    That just means you identify as a Woke, not that you are one.
  • Options
    TazTaz Posts: 11,182

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    Cash SUCCESS
  • Options
    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,461

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should it cost us a single penny?

    Shareholders and bond holders made their choice to invest. They should own the consequences of their choices.
    Because they'll nationalise it in a Tory fashion not in a 'how consequences of capitalism should function when it fails ' way
    If they nationalise it, they're idiots.

    If they bailout the bond holders, they're borderline corrupt.

    There is no reason to get involved whatsoever. We have bankruptcy procedures, they should be followed. If nobody else steps in to buy the assets then the state should pick them up for £1 if nobody else offers any more.
    I guess the problem is that £1 might be a lot more than the assets and liabilities of TW are worth.

    Think of it like an inkjet printer. The problem isn't the purchase price as much as the future costs it exposes you to.
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265
    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999
    Taz said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    Cash SUCCESS
    It’s still nationalised!!!
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,427

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    From what I’ve seen, a chunk of the problem was that utilities were seen as no-risk investments. “No way to fail”….

    So pension funds, foreign and domestic piled in.

    Then you have the Treasury and the Foreigners Office arguing strongly against enforcement and tightening regulations.

    At the same time you had competition - of a kind. To be the highest returning no-risk investment.

    No risk. Yes.
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,240
    algarkirk said:

    Heathener said:

    Another great pb thread: thank you @TSE

    I guess election fever was always likely as we entered the 5th year of the parliament but it’s exacerbated by Sunak’s woes. The trouble is, the more the media, rebels, and the Opposition circulate the idea the more it generates its own momentum.

    PMs who drag their heels or dither usually fare even worse than had they gone a little earlier: John Major, Gordon Brown, and arguably Jim Callaghan being examples.

    There hasn’t been a July election since 1945 and that was pretty exceptional. There hasn’t been an August one in the modern era.

    However, there’s plenty of good, solid, precedence for a June election.

    Personally I tend to the view that the Conservatives might do least badly in June than any of the remaining 7 alternatives.

    Not June. This involves regrouping immediately after the 2nd May results. For a late June election Parliament dissolves on 22nd May, with an announcement several days at least before. This won't happen.
    Lets play the scenario.
    Locals Thursday 2nd May - results clear on Friday 3rd May.
    Its a bank holiday weekend - 3 days of absolute political mayhem
    Parliament comes back Tuesday 7th May. Rows.
    Emergency meeting of the 1922 Committee Thursday 9th May. Rows.
    Weekend of even more political chaos.
    Monday 13th May - Mrs Brady puts his best smug grin on and goes to Downing Street with a pearl revolver
    Sunak has three choices - stay and fight, quit, or call the palace.
    If he calls the palace and they accept, then a couple of days to mop up and we get an election on Thursday 20th - or 27th June.

    What if the palace says no? Lascelles convention would apply, especially if "can I have a dissolution please" is in response to being told his leadership is untenable...
  • Options

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    Plenty of innovations are possible with water. Plenty of innovations have happened with water and more should in the future.

    Improved sewage treatment so that waste isn't discharged. Pre-privatisation, 77% of water was treated to legal standards, today that figure stands at 99%. Fines should continue until that figure reaches 100%

    Improved maintenance of the network so there's less leaks.

    Improved detection of leaks.

    Etc, etc, etc

    Basically do a good job and make a profit, do a bad job you lose money.
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 6,934
    Heathener said:

    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.

    May only slightly more popular than June 6 vs 5 since the War
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,305

    Scott_xP said:

    @wizbates

    If you’re wondering what happened to Thames Water this is a good summary.

    They borrowed billions and paid it to execs and shareholders.

    Now it needs investment they want customers to pay more. If it goes bankrupt taxpayers will pick up the bill.

    If it goes bankrupt then shareholders and bondholders should pick up the bill.

    Not the taxpayers responsibility at all.

    That's a positive for free markets, not a negative, privatise the gains and privatise the losses.

    There is no excuse, reason or justification for a bailout.
    It seems Canadian and BT pension funds no doubt with other UK pension funds invest in Thames Water
  • Options
    Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 32,956

    Monday 13th May - Mrs Brady puts his best smug grin on and goes to Downing Street with a pearl revolver
    Sunak has three choices - stay and fight, quit, or call the palace.
    If he calls the palace and they accept, then a couple of days to mop up and we get an election on Thursday 20th - or 27th June.

    What if the palace says no?

    What if the King is unable to meet the PM.

    A Royal funeral could REALLY mess up the timetable
  • Options

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should it cost us a single penny?

    Shareholders and bond holders made their choice to invest. They should own the consequences of their choices.
    Because they'll nationalise it in a Tory fashion not in a 'how consequences of capitalism should function when it fails ' way
    If they nationalise it, they're idiots.

    If they bailout the bond holders, they're borderline corrupt.

    There is no reason to get involved whatsoever. We have bankruptcy procedures, they should be followed. If nobody else steps in to buy the assets then the state should pick them up for £1 if nobody else offers any more.
    I guess the problem is that £1 might be a lot more than the assets and liabilities of TW are worth.

    Think of it like an inkjet printer. The problem isn't the purchase price as much as the future costs it exposes you to.
    Who said sell the liabilities?

    If it goes bankrupt, then you sell the assets for whatever you can get and any stakeholders get burnt down whatever was raised.

    If anyone buys the assets for just £1, then the bondholders should share that £1 between them. Realistically the assets will be worth more than £1, and if its not enough to cover the liabilities then that's just too bad for the bondholders.
  • Options
    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,625

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    There was that lad who could turn it into wine.

    Whatever happened to him?
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202
    edited March 27

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    Quooker in every home…

    Not sure about innovation per se, but supply is riddled with leaks. And sewerage is far too often being over whelmed by rainwater run off.

    How about incorporating rain water collection and storage to flush toilets?
    It’s crazy that we use potable water for that.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,305
    Heathener said:

    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.

    I very much doubt the GE will be held in the holiday season
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    The literal Enshitification of the UK?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
  • Options
    wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 6,934
    edited March 27

    algarkirk said:

    Heathener said:

    Another great pb thread: thank you @TSE

    I guess election fever was always likely as we entered the 5th year of the parliament but it’s exacerbated by Sunak’s woes. The trouble is, the more the media, rebels, and the Opposition circulate the idea the more it generates its own momentum.

    PMs who drag their heels or dither usually fare even worse than had they gone a little earlier: John Major, Gordon Brown, and arguably Jim Callaghan being examples.

    There hasn’t been a July election since 1945 and that was pretty exceptional. There hasn’t been an August one in the modern era.

    However, there’s plenty of good, solid, precedence for a June election.

    Personally I tend to the view that the Conservatives might do least badly in June than any of the remaining 7 alternatives.

    Not June. This involves regrouping immediately after the 2nd May results. For a late June election Parliament dissolves on 22nd May, with an announcement several days at least before. This won't happen.
    Lets play the scenario.
    Locals Thursday 2nd May - results clear on Friday 3rd May.
    Its a bank holiday weekend - 3 days of absolute political mayhem
    Parliament comes back Tuesday 7th May. Rows.
    Emergency meeting of the 1922 Committee Thursday 9th May. Rows.
    Weekend of even more political chaos.
    Monday 13th May - Mrs Brady puts his best smug grin on and goes to Downing Street with a pearl revolver
    Sunak has three choices - stay and fight, quit, or call the palace.
    If he calls the palace and they accept, then a couple of days to mop up and we get an election on Thursday 20th - or 27th June.

    What if the palace says no? Lascelles convention would apply, especially if "can I have a dissolution please" is in response to being told his leadership is untenable...
    Rishi only needs 30 loyalists who will not accept a change of leader and he can tell kc3 nobody can command the confidence of the House under any circs.

    Edit - or he faces the Vonc which is called very swiftly and wins (fairly easily) then he goes to the Palace
  • Options
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    There was that lad who could turn it into wine.

    Whatever happened to him?
    It’s a simple trick really, just need a bit of fruit, some sugar and some yeast, I don’t see why everyone bangs on about it really.
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265

    Heathener said:

    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.

    I very much doubt the GE will be held in the holiday season
    Agreed.

    From a betting POV, if you are going for this market at all, I would suggest money on June. July is really unlikely.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
  • Options

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    In the Alabama State House "special election" (by-election), a Trump district has been won by the Democrats with a 25% margin. Polling getting it completely wrong. Again.

    The focus was female reproductive rights.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vvzaYf_Q5Rk
  • Options
    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,288
    edited March 27
    Remember Sunak has said several times that his working assumption is GE is in second half of year.

    If he now goes for June everyone will say why have you changed your mind, you are in a huge panic.

    Won't look good which is why I suspect he won't do it.

    People love predicting early GEs - goodness knows how many times they have been predicted on here over the years - they almost never happen - only exception is Theresa May in 2017.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
  • Options
    dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 27,976
    Scott_xP said:

    Monday 13th May - Mrs Brady puts his best smug grin on and goes to Downing Street with a pearl revolver
    Sunak has three choices - stay and fight, quit, or call the palace.
    If he calls the palace and they accept, then a couple of days to mop up and we get an election on Thursday 20th - or 27th June.

    What if the palace says no?

    What if the King is unable to meet the PM.

    A Royal funeral could REALLY mess up the timetable
    There'd still be a King.
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265
    edited March 27

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
  • Options
    ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 2,940

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    There was that lad who could turn it into wine.

    Whatever happened to him?
    I think he writes for The Spectator these days.
  • Options

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
    Over 99% of sewage is treated to legal standards today.

    77% was pre-privatisation.

    So discharges were at least 2200% worse pre-privatisation.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,071
    MikeL said:

    Remember Sunak has said several times that his working assumption is GE is in second half of year.

    If he now goes for June everyone will say why have you changed your mind, you are in a huge panic.

    Won't look good which is why I suspect he won't do it.

    We could have an election on American Independence Day.
  • Options
    mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,140

    Don't give the Tories ideas they will nick in an autumn statement Gordon!!


    Robert Peston
    @Peston
    ·
    41m
    Gordon Brown says the government can raise billions of pounds from banks. Read details in attached blog and watch full interview on #Peston at 10.45 ITV and via
    @itvpeston
    on X at 9

    https://twitter.com/Peston?ref_src=twsrc^google|twcamp^serp|twgr^author

    Eek. Absolutely right. What is he doing? They will simply pinch any good ideas (as proven by the nondoms and windfall tax debacles).

    KEEP MUM.
    Don't forget, Gordon Brown's wizard wheezes have, by and large, been terrible. This may well be a subtle plan to cause another Tory disaster just before the election.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    edited March 27

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265
    Anyway, I shall bid you all a good evening.

    Will he do it? I doubt it. I think Rishi is basically a ditherer. So my guess is he will finally call it in the autumn, if he can survive the probable post May 2nd fallout.
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,856
    It's worth pointing out June elections are often decided on the back of "favourable" May local election results.

    That was certainly the case in 1983, 1987, and 2017.

    2001 was down to the foot and mouth outbreak which necessitated a delay as parts of the country were still struggling with the outbreak.

    1970 is perhaps the most illuminating - Labour did pretty well in the local elections recovering a lot of the ground lost in the 1968 disaster. The Liberals did very badly which was a precursor of their poor result in the following month's election. Labour thought the local elections proved they could regain power but it didn't - Heath and the Conservatives won a majority of 30.

    1970 and 2017 are the two examples of a governing party having a decent set of local results but going backwards in the resulting GE campaign.

    1983 and 1987 are possibly atypcial given the dominance of Thatcher and the Conservatives.

    2001 is unique given the circumstances.

    I don't see the argument for June at all.
  • Options
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    You're a fool or a liar if you're claiming water is worse today than it was pre-privatisation. Its objective fact that the waterways are far better today than they were in the 1970s and 1980s.

    No I don't use trains, I drive as do most of the country. But rail use has doubled post-privatisation after decades of decline under nationalisation.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA?

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not 'a thousand times worse'. Far, far from.

    What has changed is the amount of monitoring and analysis. The amount of chemical and human sh*t being dumped into our water decades ago was frightening. Which was why so many rivers were ecologically dead.

    And the railways are better than pre-privatisation. If you want to look at one area I've not mentioned: timetables.

    But in the case of water, I think the improvements have occurred despite privatisation, not because of it. regulation has caused the improvements.
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
    Over 99% of sewage is treated to legal standards today.

    77% was pre-privatisation.

    So discharges were at least 2200% worse pre-privatisation.
    For the reasons explained to you by others, you are deploying false facts. Which are not therefore facts at all.

  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,240
    MikeL said:

    Remember Sunak has said several times that his working assumption is GE is in second half of year.

    If he now goes for June everyone will say why have you changed your mind, you are in a huge panic.

    Won't look good which is why I suspect he won't do it.

    So:
    June - because he has to (putsch straight after locals cataclysm)
    July / August - because he has to - government collapses before the summer recess on 23rd July

    Then we're back to the usual lunacy of why elections in September / October / November / December / January are BAD IDEAS.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
    Over 99% of sewage is treated to legal standards today.

    77% was pre-privatisation.

    So discharges were at least 2200% worse pre-privatisation.
    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202
    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
  • Options

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA?

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not 'a thousand times worse'. Far, far from.

    What has changed is the amount of monitoring and analysis. The amount of chemical and human sh*t being dumped into our water decades ago was frightening. Which was why so many rivers were ecologically dead.

    And the railways are better than pre-privatisation. If you want to look at one area I've not mentioned: timetables.

    But in the case of water, I think the improvements have occurred despite privatisation, not because of it. regulation has caused the improvements.
    Regulation existed before privatisation. The regulations were being ignored and nothing was done about it pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation put a profit motive onto obeying the regulations. It gave accountability.

    Regulation + privatisation in combination worked.
  • Options

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
    Over 99% of sewage is treated to legal standards today.

    77% was pre-privatisation.

    So discharges were at least 2200% worse pre-privatisation.
    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088
    And again, compare to the 1980s and 1970s.

    You're not getting this, are you? So dense light is bending around you.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
    https://www.rmg.co.uk/stories/topics/pollution-river-thames-history
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/1287440.stm
    https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969722041110
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,458

    Taz said:

    FPT for @Cookie

    Layla Moran did indeed oppose a new reservoir.

    Classic NIMBY

    https://www.oxfordmail.co.uk/news/19855745.plans-huge-reservoir-abingdon-explained/

    Mind you Green councillors oppose solar farms in their area all the time.

    Bart is someone I rarely agree with but he is right on his "Screw the NIMBY" view.

    Solar farms are an eyesore and generate leccy when we don't need it, and don't generate when we do.

    I'd be opposing them if I was a councillor.
    There's no such thing as leccy when we don't need it.

    Especially as we become more battery based.

    You're typical NIMBY scum, with all due respect. Opposing housing, infrastructure, utilities, all par for the course.
    There is also no such thing as food when we don't need it, and that's a much better use of agricultural land. I am disappointed that as an avowed free marketeer you are so vituperative in your defence of a poor method of power generation that is incapable of surviving in this country without subsidy, or forcing companies into energy purchase agreements via legislation. Even solar farms in Arizona have difficulties with viability - their presence in rainy Britain is an affront to common sense and the free market.
    What subsidies? There haven't been any on solar for many years now.

    As a free marketeer if someone wants to use their own land to generate power then they should be able to do so.

    Their land, their choice, free market.
    Myth.

    A power purchasing agreement absolutely functions as a subsidy - what else do you call forcing a commercial entity into an agreement to buy power from a particular supplier for an extended period?

    This 2018 piece is a good (and not biased against renewables) source dealing with the whole industry not just solar:
    https://www.carbonbrief.org/what-does-subsidy-free-renewables-actually-mean/

    Yet “subsidy-free” is a nebulous phrase that means different things to different people. In fact, many of the “subsidy-free” schemes announced over the past 12 months would not meet the purest interpretations of the term.

  • Options
    LeonLeon Posts: 47,237

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,305

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    And artificial grass
  • Options
    ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 2,940

    Scott_xP said:

    @wizbates

    If you’re wondering what happened to Thames Water this is a good summary.

    They borrowed billions and paid it to execs and shareholders.

    Now it needs investment they want customers to pay more. If it goes bankrupt taxpayers will pick up the bill.

    If it goes bankrupt then shareholders and bondholders should pick up the bill.

    Not the taxpayers responsibility at all.

    That's a positive for free markets, not a negative, privatise the gains and privatise the losses.

    There is no excuse, reason or justification for a bailout.
    I'm not sure if you're describing the 'in theory' or 'in practice'?
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 5,906

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    The alternative narrative is that the water companies have just been getting away with it for decades. 35 years.

    The problem with the "privatisation has made the water better" argument is that you can't measure the counterfactual of what would have happened if it had stayed in public hands.

    The water companies have been rumbled and no amount of bleating about NIMBYism or increased monitoring is gonna save them.
  • Options
    HeathenerHeathener Posts: 5,265

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
    Yep. It’s classic of ideologues to do something like this. Go back far enough before data was properly collated then apply a different set of measuring tools and data currently in use and then claim that it proves your argument. It goes on all the time on twitter.

    It’s too wearisome to explain to a fanatic. And because it doesn’t matter for now, because the zeal for excessive privatisation won’t return to the centre ground for another decade or more, it’s a waste of time refuting it in detail.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Now go get the pre-privatisation figures and compare.

    Go on, I dare you. 🤦‍♂️
    Be my guest, clever clogs!
    Over 99% of sewage is treated to legal standards today.

    77% was pre-privatisation.

    So discharges were at least 2200% worse pre-privatisation.
    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088
    And again, compare to the 1980s and 1970s.

    You're not getting this, are you? So dense light is bending around you.
    OK, so tell me when were Boat Race participants last urged NOT to enter the River Thames?
  • Options
    ohnotnow said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @wizbates

    If you’re wondering what happened to Thames Water this is a good summary.

    They borrowed billions and paid it to execs and shareholders.

    Now it needs investment they want customers to pay more. If it goes bankrupt taxpayers will pick up the bill.

    If it goes bankrupt then shareholders and bondholders should pick up the bill.

    Not the taxpayers responsibility at all.

    That's a positive for free markets, not a negative, privatise the gains and privatise the losses.

    There is no excuse, reason or justification for a bailout.
    I'm not sure if you're describing the 'in theory' or 'in practice'?
    Both.

    In practice firms go bust and their assets are sold and their shareholders and bondholders and other stakeholders lose out without a taxpayer bailout all the bloody time.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,312
    Do Libertarians normally enjoy being ripped off by privatised water companies?
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 9,632

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
    The ownership of water companies is a red herring. What makes our environment better - our water bodies, our air, our biodiversity - is regulation.

    You can have good or bad regulation with the right or wrong penalties or inspection systems in a privatised or a public ownership model.

    Look back through the last couple of centuries of British life, and so many of the things that make human existence better than it was are down to regulation. Of workplaces, consumer safety, pollution, food standards, financial services, advertising, holidays… yet regulation still somehow has a bad name.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,358
    I stopped reading at 'Peston'.
  • Options
    Eabhal said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    The alternative narrative is that the water companies have just been getting away with it for decades. 35 years.

    The problem with the "privatisation has made the water better" argument is that you can't measure the counterfactual of what would have happened if it had stayed in public hands.

    The water companies have been rumbled and no amount of bleating about NIMBYism or increased monitoring is gonna save them.
    Who wants to save them?

    If they're badly managed they should go bust. They should be liquidated (no pun intended) and their assets sold to a new firm at pennies on the pound, the liabilities resolved by whatever revenue is raised and the rest written off by those who made bad investments, and the new firm should either do a good job and make a profit, or a bad job and face the same fate as its predecessor.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    The literal Enshitification of the UK?

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    Have you any idea of the situation a few decades ago? And we're not jus talking about effluent here - there are many forms of pollution.

    And I'm arguing this from a *water* privatisation was pointless perspective...
  • Options
    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,240

    Do Libertarians normally enjoy being ripped off by privatised water companies?

    I just want to see more Tory ministers defending shit in our rivers and the private sector cowboys walking off with our money. Please.
  • Options
    TimS said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
    The ownership of water companies is a red herring. What makes our environment better - our water bodies, our air, our biodiversity - is regulation.

    You can have good or bad regulation with the right or wrong penalties or inspection systems in a privatised or a public ownership model.

    Look back through the last couple of centuries of British life, and so many of the things that make human existence better than it was are down to regulation. Of workplaces, consumer safety, pollution, food standards, financial services, advertising, holidays… yet regulation still somehow has a bad name.
    Regulation only works if its followed.

    The problem pre-privatisation is when the regulations were breached, then the nationalised firm would get a fine but nobody would face any consequences and life went on.

    Privatisation put teeth on the regulations. Fines mattered.

    That should continue going forwards.
  • Options
    ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 2,940

    ohnotnow said:

    Scott_xP said:

    @wizbates

    If you’re wondering what happened to Thames Water this is a good summary.

    They borrowed billions and paid it to execs and shareholders.

    Now it needs investment they want customers to pay more. If it goes bankrupt taxpayers will pick up the bill.

    If it goes bankrupt then shareholders and bondholders should pick up the bill.

    Not the taxpayers responsibility at all.

    That's a positive for free markets, not a negative, privatise the gains and privatise the losses.

    There is no excuse, reason or justification for a bailout.
    I'm not sure if you're describing the 'in theory' or 'in practice'?
    Both.

    In practice firms go bust and their assets are sold and their shareholders and bondholders and other stakeholders lose out without a taxpayer bailout all the bloody time.
    I was meaning more at the 'too big to fail' scale. Not "Jim's roofers and plumbers". Just have a horrible suspicion if someone like Thames Water goes to the wall it'll be us that picks up the tab.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA?

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not 'a thousand times worse'. Far, far from.

    What has changed is the amount of monitoring and analysis. The amount of chemical and human sh*t being dumped into our water decades ago was frightening. Which was why so many rivers were ecologically dead.

    And the railways are better than pre-privatisation. If you want to look at one area I've not mentioned: timetables.

    But in the case of water, I think the improvements have occurred despite privatisation, not because of it. regulation has caused the improvements.
    Regulation existed before privatisation. The regulations were being ignored and nothing was done about it pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation put a profit motive onto obeying the regulations. It gave accountability.

    Regulation + privatisation in combination worked.
    I believe there is some truth in that: government regulators have more power over private entities than they do over government-owned ones. It's not always the case, but often is.

    For one thing, people feel pain in their pockets.
  • Options
    ajbajb Posts: 122
    edited March 27

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should it cost us a single penny?

    Shareholders and bond holders made their choice to invest. They should own the consequences of their choices.
    Because they'll nationalise it in a Tory fashion not in a 'how consequences of capitalism should function when it fails ' way
    If they nationalise it, they're idiots.

    If they bailout the bond holders, they're borderline corrupt.

    There is no reason to get involved whatsoever. We have bankruptcy procedures, they should be followed. If nobody else steps in to buy the assets then the state should pick them up for £1 if nobody else offers any more.
    Speaking as someone who is in the Thames Water area and would quite like to have continued access to potable water, I'm not sure liquidation is the appropriate way of managing this.

    An administrator or liquidator is legally obliged to put getting best value for creditors above continuity of service to customers . That's not appropriate for an essential service. Yes, you can buy water in the shops but it runs out very quickly if there is an interruption to piped water.

    I agree that the shareholders and bondholders shouldn't be bailed out, but a standard administrator would be obliged to consider, for example, whether the real estate assets are worth more to creditors than the business as an ongoing concern.

    In fact, for this reason, it would appear that standard insolvency law does not apply. Section 26 of the Water Industry Act (1991) seems to specify that normal insolvency practice can't be applied to a company with a water supply and/or sewerage licence. The government seems to be automatically involved.
  • Options
    stodgestodge Posts: 12,856
    edited March 27
    I suspect the modern type of "boat" used by the Oxford and Cambridge teams is much less likely to sink than previous incarnations - Cambridge famously sank in 1978.

    Back in the early 90s when this was also an issue, there was a group in St Ives called "Surfers Against Sewage" who were protesting the main sweage outfall emptying on to one of the town's beaches.

    Their Chairman stood for the County Council and comprehensively beat the incumbent Conservative. He thought it was down to local concerns about sewage - the voters I talked to were far more annoyed about Norman Lamont's VAT policy.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,305
    edited March 27

    MikeL said:

    Remember Sunak has said several times that his working assumption is GE is in second half of year.

    If he now goes for June everyone will say why have you changed your mind, you are in a huge panic.

    Won't look good which is why I suspect he won't do it.

    So:
    June - because he has to (putsch straight after locals cataclysm)
    July / August - because he has to - government collapses before the summer recess on 23rd July

    Then we're back to the usual lunacy of why elections in September / October / November / December / January are BAD IDEAS.
    I have arrived at an accepted position that Starmer will be PM in 2024, the conservatives will be in opposition with the possibility of a terrible seat total, and I simply cannot get fazed by the date though if it is sooner than November-December then that is fine by me

    Terrible accident yesterday in Lossiemouth with 2 teenagers killed riding passenger on an e scooter driven by a 14 year old and involving 4 motor cars

    https://www.pressandjournal.co.uk/fp/news/moray/6413467/boys-deaths-a941-ebike-crash-lossiemouth/
  • Options
    ClippPClippP Posts: 1,686

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    I thought one of the water companies' excuses is that we're only discovering the massive amounts of shite in the water because of massively improved monitoring? In that case how is an objective comparison possible?
    You can compare water quality from the 1970s and 1980s to today. We have huge improvements in our rivers and beaches between the two eras.

    I'm not suggesting the water industry is perfect, far from it. And they should be fined massively for the discharges, because otherwise its pointless, and if the shareholders and bond holders lose money due to fines then tough shit, that's what they get for discharging shit.
    Yes, there was a lot that was good about being in the EU.

    When did things start getting worse again?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,011
    An October general election is still the likeliest date
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202
    Leon said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
    Because we all love cheap chicken.
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Leon said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
    Because we all love cheap chicken.
    Because we all need to eat.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,458

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Under nationalised rail, the 1960's Beeching cuts happened, closing 5,000 miles of track, hundreds of branch lines, 2,363 stations and the loss of tens of thousands of jobs. Communities never recovered.

    Do you accept that railway nationalisation was a disaster?
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,458

    Leon said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
    Because we all love cheap chicken.
    And rightly so.
  • Options
    ajb said:

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should it cost us a single penny?

    Shareholders and bond holders made their choice to invest. They should own the consequences of their choices.
    Because they'll nationalise it in a Tory fashion not in a 'how consequences of capitalism should function when it fails ' way
    If they nationalise it, they're idiots.

    If they bailout the bond holders, they're borderline corrupt.

    There is no reason to get involved whatsoever. We have bankruptcy procedures, they should be followed. If nobody else steps in to buy the assets then the state should pick them up for £1 if nobody else offers any more.
    Speaking as someone who is in the Thames Water area and would quite like to have continued access to potable water, I'm not sure liquidation is the appropriate way of managing this.

    An administrator or liquidator is legally obliged to put getting best value for creditors above continuity of service to customers . That's not appropriate for an essential service. Yes, you can buy water in the shops but it runs out very quickly if there is an interruption to piped water.

    I agree that the shareholders and bondholders shouldn't be bailed out, but a standard administrator would be obliged to consider, for example, whether the real estate assets are worth more to creditors than the business as an ongoing concern.

    In fact, for this reason, it would appear that standard insolvency law does not apply. Section 26 of the Water Industry Act (1991) seems to specify that normal insolvency practice can't be applied to a company with a water supply and/or sewerage licence. The government seems to be automatically involved.
    You just made an argument, then specifically argued against your own argument.

    If Thames Water goes bust then the administrators or liquidators will not be legally obliged to put getting best value for creditors above continuity of service, the Water Industry Act precludes that.

    There is no reason that administrators or liquidators can't be called in, but with the administrator/liquidator under instructions that continuity of service comes first and the creditors come second.
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 18,567

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success, water quality is far, far better and discharges far, far lower than they were pre-privatisation.

    Those who are crying because there's any discharges at all need to look at what standards were like pre-privatisation. They were far worse.

    What we need though is to let the water firms face the consequences of their choices. Make a bad decision, you lose money, that's your fault, nobody else's. Discharge waste, you get fined, your fault, your consequence.

    With a nationalised firm, nobody takes accountability, if discharges happen they happen and neither fines nor losses mean anything to a nationalised firm.
    I pretty much & unusually agree with Bart on this one.

    The data speaks for itself, and despite the propaganda that is around those nationally owned utilities in the UK have in general performed worse.

    (eg Leak performance in Scotland).
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202

    Leon said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
    Because we all love cheap chicken.
    Because we all need to eat.
    We do, but there are alternatives to these intensive chicken factories.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,358
    Absent a total collapse there won't be an election in June.

    There might well be a confidence vote post May election, but Sunak will win it.

    I expect the Government to then go into full campaign mode - that will be based on turning out the Tory base, and not winning over floaters.
  • Options
    TimSTimS Posts: 9,632

    TimS said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.

    Privatisation has worked. If Thames go bust, then that's the free market working as it should, badly managed firms should go bust.
    The literal Enshitification of the UK:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/explainers-62631320
    As that article says, we have only been monitoring properly for a few years, so have no real knowledge of how things were previously.
    Measurement is the first step to driving change. There is plenty of traction for this now, and not just from insufferable Guardian reading wild-swimmers. Although it’s mostly them.
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-68674088

    Boat Race rowers told not to enter Thames due to high levels of E. coli
    The ownership of water companies is a red herring. What makes our environment better - our water bodies, our air, our biodiversity - is regulation.

    You can have good or bad regulation with the right or wrong penalties or inspection systems in a privatised or a public ownership model.

    Look back through the last couple of centuries of British life, and so many of the things that make human existence better than it was are down to regulation. Of workplaces, consumer safety, pollution, food standards, financial services, advertising, holidays… yet regulation still somehow has a bad name.
    Regulation only works if its followed.

    The problem pre-privatisation is when the regulations were breached, then the nationalised firm would get a fine but nobody would face any consequences and life went on.

    Privatisation put teeth on the regulations. Fines mattered.

    That should continue going forwards.
    That’s a fault of regulation rather than an ownership issue. But on the substance I agree with you, returning water to national ownership would be a waste of time and a distraction. Regulation and the right standards can achieve the same or better results.

    There is a lot to be said for supra-national regulations that allow us to compare standards with neighbours (and businesses to trade easily across borders) but that ship has of course sailed.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,407
    Scott_xP said:

    Monday 13th May - Mrs Brady puts his best smug grin on and goes to Downing Street with a pearl revolver
    Sunak has three choices - stay and fight, quit, or call the palace.
    If he calls the palace and they accept, then a couple of days to mop up and we get an election on Thursday 20th - or 27th June.

    What if the palace says no?

    What if the King is unable to meet the PM.

    A Royal funeral could REALLY mess up the timetable
    Does anyone know the Twitter handle of Penny Mordaunt's dry cleaner?
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    The government does fine itself, but it means nothing to anyone. If the government makes a loss, or fines itself, then some spreadsheet numbers move but nothing changes.

    If a private firm receives a fine, or makes a loss, then it owns the consequences.

    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility, even for something like water. But there needs to be appropriate regulation too, including most important a firm hand issuing fines for any breaches of standards.
    What major innovation is possible with water?

    With power, you have generation, and even possibly supply. With telecoms... well, that's obvious. But water? Perrier to our taps?
    Quooker in every home…

    Not sure about innovation per se, but supply is riddled with leaks. And sewerage is far too often being over whelmed by rainwater run off.

    How about incorporating rain water collection and storage to flush toilets?
    It’s crazy that we use potable water for that.
    Rain water collection and storage would surely be a building regulation requirement, not a water company one?

    And a much bigger issue is the combination of rainwater and brown water drains - something SuDS in new developments mostly alleviates, but is the devil to retrofit to old developments (basically there are two different drainage systems; one for dirty water from your house, and one for rainwater. The latter requires virtually no treatment before it goes into the watercourses, aside from straining and settlement AIUI. Such separation prevents the heavy rainfall sewage overflows that occur,)
  • Options
    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,031

    Leon said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    They are not. We have only been measuring these kind of incidents for the last few years. Thirty years ago rivers like the Thames were dead zones, hardly and fish etc. Vastly improved now.
    Yes we have a specific problem, partly related to climate change, partly to poorly built new housing developments and, whisper it quietly, all those tarmacked over drives.
    Plus intense agriculture. The Wye is very much poisoned by chicken farms
    Because we all love cheap chicken.
    Because we all need to eat.
    We do, but there are alternatives to these intensive chicken factories.
    Indeed, but at what cost to food prices?
  • Options
    MattW said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success, water quality is far, far better and discharges far, far lower than they were pre-privatisation.

    Those who are crying because there's any discharges at all need to look at what standards were like pre-privatisation. They were far worse.

    What we need though is to let the water firms face the consequences of their choices. Make a bad decision, you lose money, that's your fault, nobody else's. Discharge waste, you get fined, your fault, your consequence.

    With a nationalised firm, nobody takes accountability, if discharges happen they happen and neither fines nor losses mean anything to a nationalised firm.
    I pretty much & unusually agree with Bart on this one.

    The data speaks for itself, and despite the propaganda that is around those nationally owned utilities in the UK have in general performed worse.

    (eg Leak performance in Scotland).
    Glad we can see eye to eye on this one.

    We don't need either extreme, neither of which works well.

    Total deregulation doesn't work, if its completely deregulated then no rules are followed.
    Nationalisation doesn't work, if its nationalised then nobody takes responsibility when regulations are breached.

    A firm regulator plus privatised firms gets the best of both worlds. The state sets the rules, then firms either operate within them, or get fined to oblivion when they don't.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,358
    HYUFD said:

    An October general election is still the likeliest date

    The boats are a big problem for Sunak: it's a mystery to me how so many are still getting over. And the weather has largely been crap.

    The French have definitely stepped up patrols and, finally, are experimenting with more aggressive turnback tactics.

    I know Vietnam (rather than Albanians) are now fuelling the numbers - the people smugglers are very agile at changing their business model. And they're now adept at surge tactics.

    They simply need to stop nearly every one to kill it.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,407
    HYUFD said:

    An October general election is still the likeliest date

    I'm sticking with January 2025 for the reasons previously stated.
  • Options
    StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 7,053

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should the government be on the hook

    Just do a debt for equity swap and wipe out the current owners
  • Options
    turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 15,202
    I was only half joking when I referred to wild swimmers being the driving force for a lot of this. I think, if you go back twenty, or even just ten, years there were very few people regularly dipping in local rivers and lakes (outside of that one hot weekend in July, you know the one - the papers use the Phes what a scorcher line, and have fruity girls in skimpy clothing).
    The fact that many more people have a vested interest in the cleanliness of their rivers is a good thing, but I do think some have blinkers on here regarding the overall state of rivers etc through time. I think the increased sewage discharge is obviously lowering quality, but overall I think things are better than they were say 40 or 30 years ago.
    Just a lot MORE needs to be done.
  • Options
    StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 7,053

    Gordon 'I saved the banks'
    Rishi 'I saved the sewage'

    That’s a shit slogan.

    Stop taking the piss.
  • Options
    DonkeysDonkeys Posts: 529
    edited March 27

    I stopped reading at 'Peston'.

    I'd be embarrassed if I ever wrote such mixed-up crap as Anushka Asthana's comments.

    If there's a confidence vote and Sunak wins, he won't go to the country in June. He might possibly look a bit stronger in parliamentary Tory circles - or at least he might enjoy a few weeks when he doesn't seem as if he's head down in the dustbin which is how he seems now - but he won't look any stronger further afield. No voter will go "Wow, the Tory MPs have confidence in their leader - I won't switch to one of the other parties after all".

    If he loses, Mordaunt will go to the country ASAP for obvious reasons.

    IMO there will be a VOC and Sunak will lose. It will be like when IDS got the push.
  • Options
    ClippP said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    I thought one of the water companies' excuses is that we're only discovering the massive amounts of shite in the water because of massively improved monitoring? In that case how is an objective comparison possible?
    You can compare water quality from the 1970s and 1980s to today. We have huge improvements in our rivers and beaches between the two eras.

    I'm not suggesting the water industry is perfect, far from it. And they should be fined massively for the discharges, because otherwise its pointless, and if the shareholders and bond holders lose money due to fines then tough shit, that's what they get for discharging shit.
    Yes, there was a lot that was good about being in the EU.

    When did things start getting worse again?
    The EEC regulations existed in the 1980s, they weren't getting met. Nothing much was being done to meet them.

    Simply laying a regulation down means nothing if you have no teeth to enforce it.

    Privatisation gave the regulations teeth. Regulations alone failed. Privatisation plus regulations combined cleaned up our waterways.
  • Options

    I was only half joking when I referred to wild swimmers being the driving force for a lot of this. I think, if you go back twenty, or even just ten, years there were very few people regularly dipping in local rivers and lakes (outside of that one hot weekend in July, you know the one - the papers use the Phes what a scorcher line, and have fruity girls in skimpy clothing).
    The fact that many more people have a vested interest in the cleanliness of their rivers is a good thing, but I do think some have blinkers on here regarding the overall state of rivers etc through time. I think the increased sewage discharge is obviously lowering quality, but overall I think things are better than they were say 40 or 30 years ago.
    Just a lot MORE needs to be done.

    Agreed.

    And more can be done with regulations and a private sector. Give the regulator more teeth if need be, increase the fines if need be. Don't flush the baby with the bathwater.
  • Options
    EabhalEabhal Posts: 5,906
    edited March 27
    The question is whether Labour starts actually fining these companies once they get in. A litmus test.
  • Options
    StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 7,053

    Limited by what I can say but keep an eye on Thames Water.

    https://twitter.com/MarkKleinmanSky/status/1773061954799652968?s=19
    This blowing up and costing us a fortune?
    Why should it cost us a single penny?

    Shareholders and bond holders made their choice to invest. They should own the consequences of their choices.
    Because they'll nationalise it in a Tory fashion not in a 'how consequences of capitalism should function when it fails ' way
    If they nationalise it, they're idiots.

    If they bailout the bond holders, they're borderline corrupt.

    There is no reason to get involved whatsoever. We have bankruptcy procedures, they should be followed. If nobody else steps in to buy the assets then the state should pick them up for £1 if
    nobody else offers any more.
    To some extent. It needs to be operated more effectively than administrators typically do because the consequences of not supply water and sewage services to London would be suboptimal

  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,071
    ClippP said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    I thought one of the water companies' excuses is that we're only discovering the massive amounts of shite in the water because of massively improved monitoring? In that case how is an objective comparison possible?
    You can compare water quality from the 1970s and 1980s to today. We have huge improvements in our rivers and beaches between the two eras.

    I'm not suggesting the water industry is perfect, far from it. And they should be fined massively for the discharges, because otherwise its pointless, and if the shareholders and bond holders lose money due to fines then tough shit, that's what they get for discharging shit.
    Yes, there was a lot that was good about being in the EU.

    When did things start getting worse again?
    Based on this exposé from 2009, things weren't particularly good pre-Brexit if that's what you're getting at.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JVn731Uwcyo
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,407

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    Heathener said:

    kle4 said:

    It is time to accept that privatisation of utilities and the railways has been an unmitigated disaster.

    Depends whether you class telecoms as a utility? That has been a success IMO.

    Energy FAIL
    Rail FAIL
    Water MASSIVE FAIL
    Telecoms SUCCESS

    ...is my scorecard.
    I don't have an inherent fervour for nationalisation, so as a blanket policy for anything I'm not in favour. But water and energy? People need to work much harder to persuade me just how good we apparently have it.
    Water has been a massive success
    Come on BR. Water is a disaster.

    Anyway, let’s get back on topic?
    Water is the main privatisation that I feel was pointless. What innovation is possible in water supply?
    Plenty.

    If you discharge you get fined.

    If you get fined you lose money.

    Therefore there's a profit motive to not discharge, to not get fined.

    Innovation.

    Water levels improved dramatically post-privatisation. Rivers and beaches when water was nationalised were far, far, worse. This is an objective fact.
    The government fines itself all the time. This should happen more.

    I agree that pollution was worse in ye olden days, and the current figures might have more to do with measurement than an actual increase. There are also problems with increased building and the need for improved facilities and investment to cope - which is out of the water companies' hands.

    But I don't see that these improvements could not have occurred in a nationalised system - indeed, water supply improved massively whilst nationalised. It's complex.
    Either way there is plenty of scope for both innovation and accountability with a privatised utility,.
    The good thing is that there will be a long exile in the political wilderness for these kinds of views (in this country).

    Most of the rest of the country know the country is a shambles at the moment and we hold utility companies up as examples of the mess.
    So you claim, yet not a single person refutes the basic fact that the waterways are leaps and bounds better than they were pre-privatisation.
    I do and so does everyone I know. They are a thousand times worse.

    They are in atrocious state now. Have you actually talked to anyone in the EA? Or surfers? (See for example, Surfers Against Sewage)

    By the way, do you use trains? I do every week, often multiple times. Another example of a complete shambles at present. No BR wasn’t brilliant but the point is that after 14 years of Conservative Government these utilities should all be soooooooooooooooo much better.

    There are no excuses left for them.
    You're a fool or a liar if you're claiming water is worse today than it was pre-privatisation. Its objective fact that the waterways are far better today than they were in the 1970s and 1980s.

    No I don't use trains, I drive as do most of the country. But rail use has doubled post-privatisation after decades of decline under nationalisation.
    So have rail subsidies. And where are the extra passengers? If it just means more commuters into London then it's not as if they have any real choice.
  • Options
    StillWatersStillWaters Posts: 7,053

    Trying to work out whether June or July is the one to go for. Both are at 14 on BX so offer some value.

    He likely calls it when he gets a flight off the ground (if) so I reckon July
    The only flight he's bothered about is his own to LAX once he's out of Number 10.
    SFO. We don’t want his pastiche tech-bro nonsense in SoCal
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 19,999

    Heathener said:

    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.

    I very much doubt the GE will be held in the holiday season
    The schools don't break up until 19 July this year.
  • Options
    DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 24,407

    Absent a total collapse there won't be an election in June.

    There might well be a confidence vote post May election, but Sunak will win it.

    I expect the Government to then go into full campaign mode - that will be based on turning out the Tory base, and not winning over floaters.

    Of course Rishi will win a confidence vote but that did not do Theresa May much good, or Mrs Thatcher.
  • Options
    ajbajb Posts: 122
    edited March 27


    There is no reason that administrators or liquidators can't be called in, but with the administrator/liquidator under instructions that continuity of service comes first and the creditors come second.

    I think that's what is supposed to happen, but if none of the other water companies want to take on the obligation (even after the bondholders are wiped out), or if this is precluded for competition reasons, then the government would have to recapitalise Thames Water, or set up a new water company from scratch to take the assets.
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,679

    Absent a total collapse there won't be an election in June.

    There might well be a confidence vote post May election, but Sunak will win it.

    I expect the Government to then go into full campaign mode - that will be based on turning out the Tory base, and not winning over floaters.

    'Not winning over floaters'? Surely that's a missed opportunity when there are so many of them out there:

    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2024/mar/27/environmental-groups-urge-regulator-to-act-over-record-sewage-discharge
  • Options
    BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 31,679

    Absent a total collapse there won't be an election in June.

    There might well be a confidence vote post May election, but Sunak will win it.

    I expect the Government to then go into full campaign mode - that will be based on turning out the Tory base, and not winning over floaters.

    Of course Rishi will win a confidence vote but that did not do Theresa May much good, or Mrs Thatcher.
    Or Boris Johnson.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,305

    Heathener said:

    July is without precedent in the modern era if you accept the unusual circumstances of 1945: it was held almost exactly 2 months after VE day.

    I very much doubt the GE will be held in the holiday season
    The schools don't break up until 19 July this year.
    28th June in Scotland
Sign In or Register to comment.