Could BoJo really make a come-back? – politicalbetting.com

On Smarket it’s a 7% betting chances that Johnson could be back as Tory leader at the next general election.
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On Smarket it’s a 7% betting chances that Johnson could be back as Tory leader at the next general election.
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He instead took the route that he wanted to play the martyr. To his credit he doesn't pop up everywhere moaning about it constantly though.
For the party, look forward, not back - it never works. Corbynistas might be right Keir apes Blair, but he's still got to it in a modern setting.
Got a lot more into Endless Legend, even though it was comparitively simpler and cheaper.
Anyways. Found out my school is opening Monday thanks to the Chronicle.
No communication of any kind from school, council or government.
But.
The Conservative leadership rules say that the leader of the Conservative Party has to be a sitting MP.
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn01366/
So Boris would need a by-election caused by the resignation of a helpful stooge to even get to the starting line.
And he'd need to win it.
Is there anywhere safe enough to engineer that? Yes, some people love Boris intensely, but many more hate him.
I'm starting at seven again tomorrow, then working Sunday and Monday
I don't think they'll dare ask me to work Tuesday; I don't have another day off due until the following Wednesday
In any case as Boris is no longer even a Tory MP I doubt Rishi and the Greg Hands led CCHQ would even allow him on the approved Conservative parliamentary candidates list again even if he did want to
make a comeback. Not being an MP makes him ineligible to be Conservative leader.
Anyway Boris had been PM for 3 years, got Brexit done, lives in a multi million pound Oxfordshire mansion with his family and isn't facing any court cases like Trump. So he probably can't be bothered with it now anyway
More chance of finding out from the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle.
Good luck for Monday, DD, or should I say... Headmaster?
Took West Ham top, and lifted Everton off bottom.
Is there nowt he can't do?
Tories = Luton
/thread
THAT SAID: I think I prefer classic rules, but that might just be me.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-66690623
Yes
Is it likely?
No
The following would all need to happen:
(1) A byelection in a winnable seat
(2) BJ chosen as the candidate
(3) BJ to win said byelection
(4) MPs to submit enough letters for a VoNC
(5) The VoNC to pass
(6) Johnson to run and to get into the top two
(7) Johnson to win with members
Now... I'm confident about 7. And 1 is pretty certain too.
But the rest. Phew. That's a hard call. Can't say I'm tempted by a 7% chance.
A PM Penny, Chancellor Glen, Home Office under Chalk, and Barclay at FO would evaporate the LLG advantage over the coming 12 months. But are the Tories smart enough to realise this?
Dark Forces
Jedi Knight
Jedi Outcast
Return to Castle Wolfenstein
Lovely warm early autumn weather here in the Maconnais where we’re at the place for some building site meetings, notary palavas and a silver wedding anniversary weekend at Chateau de Bagnols just south in Beaujolais.
29C today. 31C tomorrow. And it’s on its way North to Blighty by Sunday.
8th warmest summer on record for the UK. 33rd warmest for central England in a series going back more than 350 years. Not bad, even though it felt so. We forget just how shit the long term average British weather is.
One example of the latter from WWII was in 1942 when PM Winston Churchill, appointed Richard G. (later Baron) Casey, then Australian Minister for America, as Minister Resident in the Middle East. Casey was never a British MP. Another who was appointed but later found a seat are Ernest Bevin (Minister of Labour for about six weeks before he became a MP),
Such MPs have been given the retronym GOATS, from "government of all the talents"
See https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm200910/cmselect/cmpubadm/330/330.pdf
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patrick_Gordon_Walker#Political_career
Nobody has heard of Chalk.
What exactly would this mighty team of Avengers do to "evaporate" the lead should they ever Assemble?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9bYjGHRX9dE
'Wtf' doesn't really do justice to my sense of bewilderment.
Kind of gives the lie to the notion of 'The Impossible Job'.
Given how massive an industry it is, and that is has long been the case that most users are adults, it is frankly bizarre that some people, intelligent ones at that, think it is a child's activity, since that has not been the case for literally decades at the very least, if not longer.
It'd be like expressing surprise that people are into TV shows, because they stopped watching the teletubbies years ago.
And that isn't a slam on DavidL, I am genuinely astonished that so many people still think gaming is a weird thing for adults to do, as if reading books, watching movies, playing board games, or various other things are 'normal' but gaming is not.
Truly, what is the distinction that makes gaming a strange thing for people still to be into and be judged for?
(Now I just have the PS4 hooked up to the PC monitor as well, not that I've used it very much)
He'll feel more at home under the Spanish FA.
But even if people are not into gaming in the slightest, it's the bemusement that others are which is strange - and it is usually expressed as a thing expected to grow out of, which goes beyond personal disinterest. Some people might dare to question interest in political minutiae as a hobby too, but it's not odd (well, not exactly).
I will say being into gaming can be useful for those with children and teenagers though, precisely because young people may be more into it, and the older person still has the muscle memory, and its an activity even a bored youngster might get on board with. My brother doesn't live with his daughter, who is now into her teens, and one of the things they have kept up for years is playing games together online. Years and years of Minecraft (a 'game' which would bore me to tears) on a weekly basis for example, chatting away for hours at a time. He didn't say so directly but it was obvious he was a bit upset when his TV broke and he didn't have another way of playing with her for 8 weeks until he could afford a replacement. Even though they did see each other and do other things, it was a genuine shared interest for both of them, not parental duty or child obligation.
So to come back as an MP he needs Con to lose next year and for the new LOTO to be sympathetic to letting him back and a for a suitable by-election to emerge in a really safe seat. He then also needs to overcome the privileges committee suspending him again (which is likely if Con in opposition)
And Tetris? Used to like the music to that.
Now they make successful movies based off the franchise. I believe they also retconned that Robotnik was always called Eggman.
Tetris they have tried to re-release in weird ways that somehow can manage to mess up one of the simplest game concepts known to man.
You should always be on the lookout for some way to improve things, even in small, unflashy ways, and there will be tons of opportunities. Sure, there will be disasters you can do little but stave off as best you can, and sure, cocky, arrogant MPs with inflated ideas of their own brilliance can mess things up a lot, but you should have at least some vision and ministerial ambition.
It's why many people give Gove some credit in that he at least tries to do things beyond simple headline grabbing or avoiding scandal, even if his execution is wonky.
(Look, no-one is going to deny the Japanese market has not produced some weird shit)
They are just a sink of time.
She is good in the Bingo adverts, and in werewolf too. I’d quite fancy her for myself, if I could see passed the moustache.
https://vimeo.com/402194375
What Civ VI needs more of is scenarios, like WW2 or WW3 etc.
It has a couple, like the Black Death or Rise of Alexander the Great, but that doesn't quite cut it.
Didn’t the same guy go off and create Old World, which is def worth a look?
The dog is asleep and temporarily unavailable for scaling work right now.
The 7% in the OP relates to leader at the next election.
Still, at least you have the consultation of living in the murk surrounded by all your Brexit chums….
I plead jet lag in my defence.
The GFS model has UK maxes above 25C for 9 consecutive days coming up, and above 30C for 5 days from this Wednesday. If it happens it’s going to be a shock to the system.