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Sunak’s Savile strategy may not fix it for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
Sunak’s Savile strategy may not fix it for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
However unsavoury it might be, don’t underestimate just how much the Starmer / Savile prosecution comes up in focus groups with swing voters. https://t.co/eZqmeAFx1A
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FWIW, anecfactually, she is utterly appalled by the Robert Jenrick action. I mean really, deeply, upset about it. In fact I had to try to get her to stop going on about it.
So, @TSE you are right to call them out over this. With people like you around the tory party WILL one day come to its senses and return both to the centre and to decency.
But right now? They are disappearing into a very dark alleyway. They are beginning to remind me of that shrivelled soul of Lord Voldemort in the final scenes of Harry Potter VIII.
They are, however, relentless and rapacious thieves who will steal anything from anyone (including each other) by means of coercion or deception.
F1: unless there's some news I've missed (this has happened before) Piastri for a podium at 16 (boosted from 15) on Ladbrokes is too long, and a matter of name recognition. It is odds against, but Norris, same car one grid slot higher, is barely over evens. As far as I can tell, they both have upgrades. Advocate setting up a hedge.
This'll be in the pre-race ramble, of course.
Edited extra bit: too short a margin for me but if you want to play safety first you can lay this at 15 on Betfair or Smarkets.
Betting PostF1: pre-race ramble, Piastri fanboy edition:
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2023/07/uk-pre-race-2023.html
Also backed him at 2.55 to win group 2 (Albon, Stroll, Ocon, Gasly) in addition to the podium bet.
We need more EU workers, admits leading Tory Brexiter
George Eustice, the former environment secretary, is calling for a reciprocal visa scheme so that under-35s can work across the EU and Britain
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2023/jul/08/tory-brexiter-george-eustice-visas-young-eu-workers-labour-shortage
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2023/jul/09/uk-soaring-liver-cancer-death-rate-alcohol-obesity
Chasing it down, it was finally pointed out that it corresponded with deployments next to British troops. Who would, apparently barter with their American counterparts for items they lacked.
Keep it positive, especially when you’re in the lead.
It must be one of those irregular verbs.
Low end jobs had their wages suppressed by low/zero skill immigration.
Now companies are facing a shortage of people prepared to work for minimum wage (or even less - see piece work). They may even be faced with investing in automation. See all the lunch places which are installing big screen self service tills in London etc…
I was just remarking on *why* this comment was being made by *this* politician.
The U.K. economy has/had an addiction to ultra cheap labour. This is directly connected to the very poor productivity figures we have seen over the years. And the continued attempts at suppressing wages in the NHS.
There are two approaches to resolve this - invest in productivity. Or get more cheap labour.
Stuart Rose pointed this out in the referendum campaign. Probably foolishly.
Banging on about paedos, Rwanda and Trans is all they have left. It isn't much of a programme for government. Not least because on even these issues they not succeeding.
They deserve oblivion, and look like they are going to get it.
There is minimal automation that can remove jobs from manual labour roles, whether they be picking fruit or picking orders or caring for our unwanted elderly or making you a twatty coffee in Starbucks. What there is can't be afforded by these businesses.
So we wither find them low wage labour or we lose all these businesses. "Just pay more" is fine, except that smashes prices ever higher and people can't afford stuff as it is.
We need a wholesale redrawing of the corporate taxation map. Only give companies low taxes if they pay and invest more. But we can't do that as socialism or whatever. So we let Starbucks both pay starvation wages and pay no taxes.
STARMER: Ahem
If he wants to do something really useful though, he can bundle Verstappen off into the kitty litter at the first corner, ensuring a great race for the 160,000 people watching - it’s the largest ticketed sporting audience in the UK, and second only to the Glastonbury Festival for attendance.
https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/most-productive-countries
This suggests that far from inhibiting productivity, membership of The SEM encourages it.
We need to look elsewhere for why our national productivity is so poor. Applying the wrong solution to the problem is not likely to fix it.
On topic - I really hope that the political debate rises above this level and from all sides
And Jenrick is consigned to history by his electorate at GE24
There is, in fact, a whole array of automation that can reduce manual labour. The recent advances in robotics, vision and environment manipulation open up a range of possibilities - soft fruit picking is already being automated in some countries.
Warehouse automation is reaching picking now - one Japanese automation company is showcasing a zero human* warehouse. Boxed up cargo goes in, individual packages to customers goes out.
Similarly, the first steps are being taken in elderly care. A relative was involved in a trial of a “smart” bed lift robot.
Starbucks are spending a fortune on automation research. The issue there is the “artisan” thing - people want to have coffee manually made. They will need to pay more for that, if so.
*what this actually means is having a small, highly trained engineer crew on site, to fix anything if it goes wrong, for course.
The answer is more cats.
As I've been pointing out on here for years, Brits are not replacing departing forrin working in care homes and factories and the field. We don't want these jobs - which is why we needed migrant labour in the first place. And not just unskilled - anyone remember how you couldn't get a plumber or a sparky 20 years ago? Our people stopped wanting to work. And they still don't.
Alternatively, we could pay a living wage.
Decisions, decisions.
He's 67 to win, shorter than 8th starting Albon at 51.
SKS constantly calls on the heads of private companies and public bodies to resign in respect of errors and mistakes made by the people who work for them. SKS however did not think that principle applies to him. He should have resigned over the seriously bad decision taken by his assistants at the CPS. He didn't and therefore he is applying double standards by calling on others to do what he was unwilling to do.
1) decent machine made coffee as the cheap option. Perfectly possible.
2) £x prices coffee that is hand made. And that won’t be Starbucks.
Why people buy takeaway coffee at Starbucks prices is lost on me.
We’ll see just how bad it can get, in the US election next year. Already the Trump and DeSantis camps are filled with always-online young staffers, who hate each other on Twitter for 24 hours a day.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2487217/Jimmy-Savile-harassed-music-boss-wife-Chequers-dinner-party-hosted-Tony-Blair.html
Or the same Saville who did a party political broadcast for the Liberals with Jeremy Thorpe in the 1970s?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t1RN0BQsBsE
Won't someone think of the American shareholders?
TSE didn't even vote Tory in 2019 when they won a landslide or even in 2017 under Theresa May.
Albeit he is still a big Osborne fan and probably would have given his right arm for an invite to his wedding yesterday
Or - radical idea - why not campaign on actual policies? Oh that's right, your party doesn't have any of those, so smears it will have to be.
Starbucks is just bland.
One thing that amuses, is people going to artisan places that advertise they use the strongest roasts. Then half full their cup with sugar to reduce the harshness of the taste.
"On a number of occasions, Surrey Police consulted the Crown Prosecution Service for advice about the allegations that they were investigating. In October 2009, the CPS reviewing lawyer with responsibility for the cases advised that since none of the complainants was "prepared to support any police action", no prosecutions could be brought."
https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20130703160030/http:/www.cps.gov.uk/news/latest_news/dpp_statement_about_savile_cases/
There were notable police failures, and failures of safeguarding at a number of institutions such as Stoke Mandeville Hospital and the BBC, but that actually is the correct decision by the CPS itself.
Wrongly of course!
The radio 4 discussion between him and Peter Kellner is worth listening to. 'You're raising your eyebrows again Peter!' said Evan Davis.
I grumbled yesterday about a large picture, putting me off my food, and the same applies today. Please if we going to have pictures could we have them of more appropriate size.
Incidentally, hat-tip to HYUFD for digging back into the archives and finding the video of Jeremy Thorpe with Jimmy Savile.
As a committed Christian would you condone Sunak promoting the lies about Starmer and Savile even if it looks like winning him (and you) the next election?
Uxbridge & South Ruislip By-Election Voting Intention:
LAB: 41% (+3)
CON: 33% (-20)
LDM: 6% (=)
REC: 5% (New)
GRN: 4% (+2)
IND: 4% (New)
Others: 7% (+6)
Via @JLPartnersPolls, 26 Jun - 6 Jul.
Changes w/ GE2019.
Selby & Ainsty By-Election Voting Intention:
LAB: 41% (+16)
CON: 29% (-31)
RFM: 8% (New)
LDM: 6% (-3)
GRN: 6% (+3)
YSP: 4% (+1)
Others: 6% (New)
Via @JLPartnersPolls, 26 Jun - 6 Jul.
Changes w/ GE2019.
If you are short of labour, the price of labour will go up, so yes, but that is not necessarily a good thing.
There's not much benefit of wages going up increases prices in line, as we're seeing. The question the "cheap labour addict" theory proponents never seemed to ask themselves is whether it was possible to transition to a higher investment/more productivity model without Brexit, or whether Brexit would help in that endeavour anyway.
Sadly it clashed with an Ashes test match I have tickets to.
I’d miss my own wedding to watch The Ashes.
PS I’m not voting Lib Dem you Plaid Cymru voter.
Indeed for once Just Stop Oil didn't disrupt the sport but Osborne's wedding instead yesterday, with a protestor throwing orange confetti over him as he left the church with his new wife
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/george-osborne-just-stop-oil-confetti-b2371867.html
It's one thing for the class clown to be rude, another for the school swot. And if Rishi loses his swotty reputation, what has he got left?
I promise to no longer show the picture of the former DJ disgraced by his association with the C*servative P*rty
Something like Unfettered Mobility
Actually it isn't a lie actually because this opinion polls showed that the largest number of conservative party members think actually it's not a lie actually. Sorry, morality? Right and wrong? What do they have to do with it?
Indeed the only Christian of the 3 main party leaders is Sir Ed Davey, who is Church of England.
Perhaps reflects the fact the Church of England is now more the Liberal Democrats at Prayer than the Tory Party at prayer with a few evangelical and ultra conservative high Anglo Catholic exceptions
If you don't see a similarity with someone else your mind will not need bleaching. If you do see the likeness don't blame me.
Keep you answers to yourself please.
I know that I am privileged now being paid £lots for "work" which is far more gentle than so many who get paid £less. But I've chopped cucumbers and loaded clothes onto trucks and pushed trollies around.
The issue is that good honest work isn't seen as good or honest. It's "demeaning" or pick any other negative you like. That's not a people issue, it's a societal issue. And it goes back to Thatcherite pronunciations about if you are over the age of 30 and on a bus you have failed in life. Did our neighbours EU countries demean work in this way?
Asking for a friend.
Hint: The answer should be "no".
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-sees-fastest-wage-rises-sectors-most-reliant-eu-workers-indeed-2022-02-25/
Politically, I suspect one of Sunak's problems is that he has done his political apprenticeship under Johnson and Vote Leave, which has taught him some terrible habits.
For most people, celebrity exhortations to dream big, sacrifice your life to your passion and keep going in the face of failure are not useful. As the comedian Bo Burnham put it, “Taylor Swift telling you to follow your dreams is like a lottery winner telling you, ‘Liquidise your assets; buy Powerball tickets — it works!’ ”
Toiling fanatically towards a distant goal sounds inspiring but it creates a single point of failure. If you spend every waking hour playing golf but never make it as a professional golfer, what exactly was the point of your life?
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/dont-follow-your-dreams-theyll-serve-you-ill-b7qvhw7wk
"Eustice, who comes from a farming family in the West Country, [...]"
And
'He blamed Theresa May when she was prime minister for failing to adopt bilateral visa schemes with EU countries after Brexit, which he said he had always supported.
“This idea of having no temporary visa schemes was not from the Vote Leave campaign,” Eustice said. “It came predominantly from Theresa May. It was a remainer’s interpretation of what Brexit was about. That was not what Brexit was about'
I wonder what Christmas dinners back on the Eustice farm with the rellies were like.
Edit: And, of course, "Eustice [...] was secretary of state for the environment, food and rural affairs under Boris Johnson,"
I know lots of people working in the arts and I also know lots of people in finance. I'd say that people who have a passion for either field and are working in it are living happy, fulfilled lives. People who are in finance solely for material comfort seem a lot less happy.
Also, if you really do feel you have to work in a different field for material reasons (raising a family can be expensive) then you can easily find opportunities to make the arts a side-hustle or a part-time thing, with loads of open mic or other gigging opportunities. People who are locked into expensive status-driven lifestyles, stuck doing a job they hate, are living a sad, stultified existence. You only have one life. Grab it with both hands.
It really struck me on further consideration that once you are “in” you are really in. So many tv personalities seem to get publishing deals, so many BBC presenters who do one show suddenly seem to be selected to do other non-related shows.
It might be that Anita Rani is an absolutely great writer, it might be that Andrew Marr really is the most knowledgeable person with presenting skills to present a show about the Renaissance but I have a sneaking suspicion it’s not the case.
So to get to the point I think that opportunities - such as for the average singer compared to Taylor Swift - have become very small requiring luck or connections more than in the past. How many better manuscripts are sitting on publishers desks by Josephine Bloggs who has no name recognition to the public and are overlooked for a tv presenter’s work. How many brilliant art historians are ignored because “we know” Andrew Marr or Janina Ramirez so better to get them to present even though it’s not their field.
Left Liberals also often ignore the Old Testament, just the help the poor bits of the New they like
For every Harry Styles there are 999,999 burger flippers.