Punters think Rishi is going to be disappointed – politicalbetting.com

The great challenge facing Sunak at the general election is that unlike Labour he’s needs to ensure that his party secures a clear majority to be certain of staying in the job.
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Only the Express could take such comments seriously and even they struggle.
I don’t agree that Rishi isn’t very good but it really won’t matter. The Tories are done and need to reinvent themselves once again during at least 2 Parliaments in opposition.
I agree and to be fair he is the best conservatives have at present
He seems to be plotting his own course with his desire to repair relationships with the EU (there is less than a cigarette paper between his attitude to the EU and Starmer's), recognises the importance of immigration, and with Hunt has steadied the economy which Labour should be pleased about
However, the conservative party is riven with discord amongst itself and opposition beckons which is needed
It is interesting that Starmer is struggling to convince voters with just 30% (not the wrongly reported 40%) thinking he is best as PM with 42% do not know
Mind you I was concerned the wind didn't catch the umbrella and send him skywards, Mary Poppins style.
There comes a time when a party has been in power a long time, a little bit of arrogance has crept in, and they can't do anything right.
There was nothing - fundamentally - wrong with Major's 1992-1997 government. Indeed, in many ways, it achieved a lot (a budget surplus, economic growth, progress in Northern Ireland, some much needed reforms to the white collar unions). Yet no-one gave a shit.
Sunak - with a similar managerial bent - looks likely to suffer the same fate.
Interesting podcast on Global player with Guto Harri suggesting we are foolish to write-off Johnson.
However, Johnson and Truss legacy means he is unlikely to win in 24
What both have in common is that they show both a lack of competence and a somewhat tenuous grip on reality, insufficient for a party to be in power. Once that perception is lost there is no way back, at least until the other side have done even worse.
Sunak’s betrayal of the North will not be forgotten.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/05/18/rishi-sunak-derails-boris-johnson-great-british-railways-pl/
Looks like the Paddies are having their own immigration crisis.
https://www.irishtimes.com/ireland/2023/05/19/hundreds-of-asylum-seekers-to-remain-on-streets-as-coalition-moves-to-quell-local-tensions/
But why should the Tories even survive?
Watching the far right Tories this week drinking the American funded Kool-Aid of culture wars and a fanatical and irrational aversion to political consensus of any kind made me think that that the Tories have simply lost it.
A fanatic is one who won´t change their mind and won´t change the subject, and on so many subjects these pub bores have become increasingly sinister.
Watching Rees Mogg do his schtick on KGB news is like watching a grandmother putting a baseball cap on backwards to get down with the kids to extol the virtues of the Mangle.
The targets the Tories choose are irrelevant to 95% of the voters. Yet things that really do matter, like the quality of administration, delivery of services, and efficiency are not even in the top ten most interesting things to these people. It is so much easier to stir the woke warrior pot about Trans rights than lead a public discussion of the need to change transport.
Yet these people are in government. They have no excuse. To coin a phrase, they should go back to their constituencies and prepare for a defeat on a scale not seen by a ruling party in over a century.
He opposed Truss and lost.
Set against that, even diminished Major was a better retail politician than Sunak has been so far. Take the freaky way that Sunak struggles to persuade some Brexit backers that he's one of them, when he's the only PM we've had who supported the idea before it was cool.
Not that it matters. There are enough people who just want the Conservatives, all of them, gone. Nothing personal.
Or am I mistaking wind and follow through for a head of steam?
(Don't see them putting Rishi on a bicycle, though.)
Black Wednesday (which actually was a very good thing for the UK economy) would have been forgiven, were it not for the house price crash, unemployment, and widespread repossessions. Objectively, the economy performed really well after 1993, but few people felt as if it was performing well.
I very much doubt that he can win in 2024 (and I don't think it would suit anyone if he did, least of all the Conservaitve Party). But, he can leave the party in much better shape than in 1997.
I firmly believe the public are ready to hear that truth. Our people know that if something is too good to be true then it's not true. They need to know that whilst there is a path to a better future, it is not an easy one. In preparation for our proposed joint speech on the economy next week, it has become clear to me that our approaches are fundamentally too different.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-62058236.amp
The strangeness of his resignation kind of got lost in the escalating strangeness of that week.
He’d be a nondescript junior minister if it wasn’t for him agreeing to wear the political gimp suit that Cummings and Johnson asked him to wear that Saj refused to do so.
https://twitter.com/RobertJenrick/status/1136153207766433793?s=20
Put him back as leader and watch what happens. He is hated, across the spectrum.
He has no natural constituency now.
Rishi Sunak tells @ChrisMasonBBC says he REALLY wants to bring down legal immigration, but won't say by how much.
"It will depend on how the economy is doing at any particular time and the circumstances that we're facing."
But like Major, history will look more kindly on him than his immediate predecessor(s).
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/money/technology/artificial-intelligence-to-hit-workplace-like-a-freight-train-energy-boss-warns/ar-AA1bmSp1?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=8db4a9a1be1c4f36bed676afa027b59e&ei=25
PM Rishi Sunak says 'stopping the boats' is the country's priority, but refused to commit to reducing overall net migration below the 504,000 figure of June 2022, saying: "What I can commit is that we want to bring those levels down."
#Rigby trib.al/eBCDLk5
WFH is closing door on rocketing property prices, economist says
The era of massive house price rises is coming to an end because of the increase in working from home, rising interest rates and slower population growth, a senior economist at the government’s spending watchdog has said.
David Miles, an economist at the Office for Budget Responsibility, said growth in house prices in the coming decades would be “much weaker” than it has been for the past 40 years.
He said the rise in people working from home since the Covid pandemic had given people more choice about where they could live.
“Those forces driving [house prices] up are going to be much weaker, I suspect, in the next 40 years than they have been in the past 40 years,” he told a conference held by the Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence in London. “If anything, this unusual age of massive rises of house prices may be nearing an end.”
He said that house prices had risen particularly quickly in the UK compared with other countries because of constraints on house building.
A poll on Thursday revealed that Britain is facing a generational divide over the green belt as a majority of young people favour relaxing restrictions to allow more development.
The Fabian Society and YouGov found 63 per cent of under-25s support building more affordable housing on the green belt, compared with 31 per cent of over-65s
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/wfh-is-closing-door-on-rocketing-property-prices-economist-says-87fxlv2g7
Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny review — even Fleabag can’t rescue him this time
The good news is that it’s not as poor as Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull. The bad news is that it’s not much better.
A meandering, frequently enervating yawn, this fifth and most expensive Indy outing yet (about $300 million) is a curious demonstration of how a Hollywood studio can fire nearly a third of a billion bucks at late 20th century nostalgia and get it so wrong.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/indiana-jones-and-the-dial-of-destiny-review-even-fleabag-cant-rescue-him-this-time-xrlxsz5sg
Right now, as we slowly try to adapt away from a low wage, low skill economy which developed under FoM, we have a lot of shortages so we need a lot of immigrants. Which is fine. One day we won't have such shortages at which point the number of permissions granted will fall very sharply.
"However, the public rightly expect government to be conducted properly, competently and seriously. I recognise this may be my last ministerial job, but I believe these standards are worth fighting for and that is why I am resigning."
South Lanarkshire council accidentally released the personal details of nearly 15,000 workers in the latest in a dramatic series of data breaches in Scottish local government.
Officials said that they spotted the mistake quickly and that they do not believe any of their employees will come to any harm.
Unions, however, said that distressed staff were considering legal action. The local authority has reported itself to the Information Commissioner’s Office.
The council confirmed that a spreadsheet containing the personal information of employees had been uploaded to a website called Whatdotheyknow, which is designed to help users compile freedom of information requests.
Officials, citing human error, said that the document had been published by mistake in response to a request made through the site. They believe the document was removed before anyone was able to capture the information it contained.
A spokesman said: “A spreadsheet containing anonymised employee data was uploaded to a website in response to a freedom of information request.
“Unfortunately, as a result of human error, the spreadsheet contained a second page of personal data that had not been anonymised.
“The error was noticed by the council and we arranged for that data to be removed.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/council-admits-error-as-details-of-15-000-employees-published-online-fwg6r69bg
A&E chaos in Edinburgh forced NHS inspectors to muck in
Help needed ‘to stop patients falling off trolleys’
Inspectors monitoring a chaotic A&E department were forced to step in to help patients, a damning report has found.
During two reviews of Edinburgh Royal Infirmary patients “repeatedly sought assistance from inspectors for help to access toilet facilities and pain relief”, a report revealed.
The inspectors said that on a number of occasions they had to intervene to find help for patients.
“During both inspection visits inspectors were required to request assistance from staff to prevent patients falling out of trolleys,” the NHS watchdog Healthcare Improvement Scotland found.
It added: “In the return inspection, an incident occurred where an inspector was required to intervene and get assistance for a patient at risk of falling off a trolley as they tried to push themselves over the trolley side rails to get to the toilet. During this incident the inspector had to shout loudly twice to get the attention of staff who then came to help.”
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/a-e-chaos-in-edinburgh-forced-nhs-inspectors-to-muck-in-bf9mmr5qs
You still think these numpties are in control of anything
"Emm....it will be more."
"You support the builders, not the blockers but your deputy leader opposed the building of houses in her constituency"
...tumbleweed.
As we all agree on this thread none of this will matter much but he is really poor. How long until we look back at this period as the good old days?
Disney cancels plans for $1bn campus in Florida amid battle with DeSantis
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2023/may/18/disney-cancels-1bn-florida-campus-2000-jobs
Hopefully he becomes a more malign version of Jeb Bush.
Wrong time? Anytime.
This period will be set alongside the 30s and the 70s as pretty awful politically and economically.
Things will only get better under Labour! ;-)
So we'll still get crap economic performance but with more bureaucracy from laws to keep his activists happy ( and those of the LDs if its a coalition ).
'How do you feel when you lose?' - Sky's @BethRigby
The Conservatives recently lost out in local elections and Beth Rigby asks PM Rishi Sunak how it feels to be "one of life's winners" but to lose.
trib.al/eBCDLk5
@IanDunt
It's kind of incredible how badly he handles this. It's not even that hard to answer. 'I hate losing because it means it's harder to help people with our great plan to... etc etc'. But instead the machine splutters, reboots and then churns out the same old deadening guff.
You can find really good examples of fanfiction, for almost any popular work, yet people who are paid professionals so often create crap.
One film which greatly impressed me, and which I’m keenly awaiting Part Two, is Dune.
It's reasonably likely the war in Ukraine will be over; energy prices will continue to fall; relations with the EU ought to improve.
The Tories will spend the next decade telling us that they set the conditions for recovery...
Are we going to do away with, say, care workers, building labourers, fruit pickers, hospitality staff, farm workers, cleaners, delivery drivers, etc., etc.
(*Low wage ≠ low skill btw. Some of those jobs I have listed require quite a lot of skill, just not the sort of skill valued by society.)
Picard season 3 was better than sex.
About that Garden Bridge. Hand over the £63m and it's yours.
When do we start to see results from the Northern Ireland local elections? I know the DUP have the most candidates, but with a bit of luck their vote will fall.
If Rishi is still interested he can come back in 10 years after a sabbatical in the US.
Biden says US wont block any transfers from European countries
If it carries on like this everyone will be on the minimum wage. Tories introduce Marxism by the back door?
There are many reasons she wasn’t good but that wasn’t one.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0010x7c/episodes/downloads