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How opinion has shifted since GE2019 – politicalbetting.com

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  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    My favourite Park and Ride is Craibstone near Aberdeen Airport. Built for a mere £15m it has zero buses actually calling there. A short distance from the airport it also fails to be cheap / free parking as there is a 36 hour restriction...
    Use the one at Kingswells. It has an exellent bus service and loads of space. It is being used a lot of the time as overflow carpark for all the businesses in the area but still has loads of space and is surprisingly well used - at least the buses seem to doa good trade.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    So you advise, you dont make the calls ?
    No I'm not a trader. If I was I'd be paid serious money. I'm more interested in the underlying economics, could do without the stress and I don't have a hankering to be properly rich so it suits me to stick with the analysis side of things.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    Truss asks Sunak to declare China 'a threat to UK security' on visit to Taiwan
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-65617948
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848

    Use the one at Kingswells. It has an exellent bus service and loads of space. It is being used a lot of the time as overflow carpark for all the businesses in the area but still has loads of space and is surprisingly well used - at least the buses seem to doa good trade.
    I don't need P&R. I'm just pointing to the insanity of building a £15m car park near an airport and then not letting anyone use it.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Even as I wrote it I knew that someone on PB would disapprove of No Mow May.
    Bear in mind that I know MM has a very keen and active interest in the study and conservation of insects (particularly moths) and as such I am inclined to take his opinion on this seriously. I will look into it more as I have also been following No Mow May and am interested in alternative views on this.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933

    I agree with this, both in terms of sentiment (learning from the rest of the world) and the specifics of car parks. But it is worth pointing out that one of the issues is that building underground for these sorts of projects is very expensive compared to building up and one of the reasons no one does it is because no one is willing to invest the private capital to do it.
    Yes, which brings us to one of the other British diseases: centralism and a lack of devolution to towns and cities. The reason your average French or Belgian town has a nice shiny underground car park is because the municipality voted to fund and build it, with local money from municipal taxpayers. If it's a big one they might have applied for a grant from central or regional government, or even in some cases the EU, but the decision was local. It might once up and running be run by something like Vinci but it was conceived based on demand and town planning.

    Same with the weekly markets, the town festivals, e-bike hire and various other things these towns are able to sort out on their own.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,784

    No I'm not a trader. If I was I'd be paid serious money. I'm more interested in the underlying economics, could do without the stress and I don't have a hankering to be properly rich so it suits me to stick with the analysis side of things.
    Well good luck with it as you say sometimes the stress isnt worth it. Ive just buried a banker friend last week heart attack at 60 mostly stress induced.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    TimS said:

    Yes, which brings us to one of the other British diseases: centralism and a lack of devolution to towns and cities. The reason your average French or Belgian town has a nice shiny underground car park is because the municipality voted to fund and build it, with local money from municipal taxpayers. If it's a big one they might have applied for a grant from central or regional government, or even in some cases the EU, but the decision was local. It might once up and running be run by something like Vinci but it was conceived based on demand and town planning.

    Same with the weekly markets, the town festivals, e-bike hire and various other things these towns are able to sort out on their own.
    Again, not a thing there I disagree with. I was going to say something similar about this being in the remit of local councils to change but was not sure how firm my ground was on this.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    I don't need P&R. I'm just pointing to the insanity of building a £15m car park near an airport and then not letting anyone use it.
    It is strange. Particularly given that I have generally found the bus services in Aberdeen to be pretty good, well directed and well used.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,227

    If that substantial shift is going to happen there’s no sign of it yet, indeed the current meme among hacks is that Indy support is ‘decoupling’ from support for the SNP. Of course the Tories would publicly execute several dozen MPs to be on 38% (the SNP Westminster number in the latest Scotland only poll).

    The red line heading above the green = no independence.

    Peak Nat was when Boris/Truss were at the peak of their powers, which pushed Scots toward independence.



    The future dynamic is either a Major-esque Sunak narrow win or more likely a Starmer led Gov't which are both preferred in Scotland compared to the Boris show. So the votes that count won't get indy over the line.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    edited May 2023

    Good morning everybody!

    In the days that I worked from home, I found it much better, and more productive, to get up very early. I could get a considerable amount of work done before the telephone calls (no emails in those days). 6am to 9am, even allowing for breakfast, I could finish all yesterdays correspondence and start on today’s!

    You were more productive, or you merely worked longer hours? One of the benefits for employers of WFH is the number of mugs (like me) donating free overtime.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,279
    HYUFD said:

    Starmer says he will allow more homes on the greenbelt, John McDonnell not happy saying it betrays Attlee's legacy
    https://twitter.com/johnmcdonnellMP/status/1658734353810071556?s=20

    I quess the answer to the question posed in the article below is "No" then.

    https://greenallianceblog.org.uk/2021/10/04/does-keir-starmer-want-to-be-a-green-prime-minister/
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714

    hmmm

    perhaps it the people who cant get over a vote from 7 years ago who need the help. Political PTSD.
    You've been discussing just this morning how we're failing to deal with the consequences if the vote.
    'Get over it' isn't an adequate response to the problems it has posed.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714

    There's something quiet poetic about "eating grass on the sunlit uplands".

    Perfect for a nice May morning.
    It will satisfy the sheep, I suppose.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,714

    why not go out and get a real job :smiley: , economists are only ever in the situation the bulk of their forecasts are wrong,
    He's part of the service economy you voted for.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,329
    edited May 2023
    Pulpstar said:

    The red line heading above the green = no independence.

    Peak Nat was when Boris/Truss were at the peak of their powers, which pushed Scots toward independence.



    The future dynamic is either a Major-esque Sunak narrow win or more likely a Starmer led Gov't which are both preferred in Scotland compared to the Boris show. So the votes that count won't get indy over the line.
    Well, we obviously have different views of what is a ‘substantial shift’. The gap between Yes and No being similar to what it was for much longer periods since 2014 doesn’t really seem like tectonic plate territory to me.

    If one ignores a couple of Scotch sub samples that were so fascinating to PB I still don’t see any sign of a mad rush to Starmerisn, in fact I ‘m genuinely interested to see how Labour sell their record north of the border in the run up to a GE. Headlines like this won’t help.


  • squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 7,011
    Stocky said:

    I quess the answer to the question posed in the article below is "No" then.

    https://greenallianceblog.org.uk/2021/10/04/does-keir-starmer-want-to-be-a-green-prime-minister/
    Starmer will what ever anyone wants him to be at the time in order to get to No 10.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038

    Well, we obviously have different views of what is a ‘substantial shift’. The gap between Yes and No being similar to what it was for much longer periods since 2014 doesn’t really seem like tectonic plate territory to me.

    If one ignores a couple of Scotch sub samples that were so fascinating to PB I still don’t see any sign of a mad rush to Starmerisn, in fact I ‘m genuinely interested to see how Labour sell their record north of the border in the run up to a GE. Headlines like this won’t help.


    Swing voters in Scotland will like the fact Starmer is now pushing law and order, only left wing Nats will back the SNP stance
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    A

    "The fashion for building mass battery factories in the developed world was started by a certain business man (not named for trigger value)"

    A plant actually built and largely financed by Panasonic, and which used Panasonic tech. ...
    Which was part of a process.

    The first step was to buy the entire production from just-obsolete* Panasonic plants in the Far East.

    The second step was to build a plant onshore, in partnership with Panasonic

    The third step was to use the know how... acquired from the partnership with Panasonic to build their own plants.

    This is the process that China has used, methodically, to pull chunks of the supply chain in.

    It also is worth considering the laughable BritVolt business plan, in comparison. Build a factory and batteries will happen. No stinking expertise required.

    *Last year or the year before's cell designs are always cheap and much more reliable than the bleeding edge ones.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550

    Starmer will what ever anyone wants him to be at the time in order to get to No 10.
    and so nothing to most.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848
    Pulpstar said:

    The red line heading above the green = no independence.

    Peak Nat was when Boris/Truss were at the peak of their powers, which pushed Scots toward independence.



    The future dynamic is either a Major-esque Sunak narrow win or more likely a Starmer led Gov't which are both preferred in Scotland compared to the Boris show. So the votes that count won't get indy over the line.
    What that chart clearly demonstrates to me is that people can swing between Yes and No relatively easily. In short, the issue remains in flux. And likely would continue to do so even during a theoretical 2ndref campaign should that happen.

    There is an obvious middle ground to pitch. An independent Scotland plans to join the EU as quickly as possible - independence within a series of boundaries set by a collective.

    We could do the same inside a federal UK. Allow the home nations the power to set their own taxes and domestic policies. Only federal taxes, defence and foreign affairs remain in Westminster. Scotland would then be free to do what it wants - as would England.

    An example. We can easily manage things like migration by allowing the paranoids south of the wall to impose things like ID cards for access to services and jobs. Scotland can then have an open migration without upsetting things in the UK, as a non-ID'd migrant to Scotland would not be able to work or get stuff in England.

    Transform the UK so that it actually works, then come back and ask the independence question. When Scotland is largely dragged around by English voters who in recent times have held non-British values, I can understand the drive towards separation. But make the UK actually work as a modern multi-national state? Very different.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550

    Even as I wrote it I knew that someone on PB would disapprove of No Mow May.
    Do it if you want. I don't "disapprove" so much as think it is for most a gesture, on previously manicured mono-culture lawns that just look terrible for weeks after that first mowing in June. If you really want to help wildlife, plant specific areas of your garden for them. Alternatively, just leave a wild area all year round.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,848

    A

    Which was part of a process.

    The first step was to buy the entire production from just-obsolete* Panasonic plants in the Far East.

    The second step was to build a plant onshore, in partnership with Panasonic

    The third step was to use the know how... acquired from the partnership with Panasonic to build their own plants.

    This is the process that China has used, methodically, to pull chunks of the supply chain in.

    It also is worth considering the laughable BritVolt business plan, in comparison. Build a factory and batteries will happen. No stinking expertise required.

    *Last year or the year before's cell designs are always cheap and much more reliable than the bleeding edge ones.
    Surely the BritishVolt plan was simple:
    "All join on for car batteries"
    Put up a small amount of your own money
    Give it a twatty name to get that twat Boris on board
    Demand as much government cash as possible
    Pull in just enough investors to make it look like anyone is interested
    Demand even more government cash to get it over the line
    Sell the thing, make an absolute fortune, who cares if it works or not?

    We don't make things, we don't want to make things. We want to create a chimera and sell the idea quickly before it fails.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198

    Again, not a thing there I disagree with. I was going to say something similar about this being in the remit of local councils to change but was not sure how firm my ground was on this.
    Here in the People's Republic of Hounslow....

    The council kicked Thames Tradesmen rowing club out of the boat house on the river they had rented for years.

    A pedestrian bridge was built on the railway bridge to make the site accessible - all in the name of the Thames Path, they said.

    Finally, they admitted that they were actually looking at flogging the empty site to a high end property developer. But that isn't happening now.

    Much wittering about accessibility to the River. Well, there's a boat ramp that no-one can use now....

    I asked, at a meeting, why not do a partnership with a developer. The council gets X flats in the block. The ground floor is a boathouse which the council can rent to Thames Tradesmen. Dead silence.

    Instead, we have an expensive bridge to a building site.

    And yes, the name of the club means what you might think it means - founded in Victorian times for the pleb rowers...
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    A

    Surely the BritishVolt plan was simple:
    "All join on for car batteries"
    Put up a small amount of your own money
    Give it a twatty name to get that twat Boris on board
    Demand as much government cash as possible
    Pull in just enough investors to make it look like anyone is interested
    Demand even more government cash to get it over the line
    Sell the thing, make an absolute fortune, who cares if it works or not?

    We don't make things, we don't want to make things. We want to create a chimera and sell the idea quickly before it fails.
    My lawyers will call upon your lawyers for stealing my business plan. How dare you!
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,171
    New thread.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,094

    Why have‘t you picked the most recent poll?
    As ever it does not fit his story being the opposite of his mince
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Starmer will what ever anyone wants him to be at the time in order to get to No 10.
    Just like every previous PM since long before I was born.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,563

    You were more productive, or you merely worked longer hours? One of the benefits for employers of WFH is the number of mugs (like me) donating free overtime.
    I was, to some extent ‘measuring’ my own productivity, so yes I was more productive. I usually stopped about 4pm, unless I was out somewhere.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    Nigelb said:

    .

    If @Malmesbury were around, he'd be wanting to revive the 'Atoms for Peace' project, which planned to build the canal connecting the Qattara Depression to the Med using a hundred or so subsurface thermonuclear explosions.
    That is a completely woke, vegan, anti-nuclear project.

    What we need is a few petatons of nukes to tune up Mars. That's a proper project.

    Trying to find a link to the one to blow a big chunk of the Venusian atmosphere off into space....

    I work like a trooper at home, just as I do in the office. Even my father - who reads the Daily Mail, and still hasn't adjusted his view of anyone else doing it - commented as such when he stayed with us. I think in the past, because it was rare, you could effectively use it as a semi-free day off but, now, it's a fundamental part of how people work flexibly.

    Of course, there are two types: those that diligently work and need minimal/no supervision, and those who try and get away with as little as possible. There are no doubt people mucking around at home who need to be virtually supervised, just as they'd muck around in the office if they weren't directly supervised, and it's important to check in with their progress, and measure their performance, just as you would in the office.
    It comes down to a combination of work quality, process, management and the employee.

    If you have a well paid, high quality employee working for a good employer, doing interesting work in a process that enables WFH - it works

    For process, Agile (for example) was designed for remote working. Which is why so many software outfits can move to WFH with few problems.

    If you send home David Brent’s employees, with a broken laptop, and expect them to get on with it….
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,687

    I look at all the major economies and they are all suffering the impact too. Germany's heading in to a recession, France is struggling made worse by pension reform. For the left Brexit is the new Thatcher something to whinge about even though the world has moved on and we have different problems.
    The world has moved on, which is why the Right is responding with new ideas and new solutions! Like… er… well… Sunak has suggested teaching slightly more maths in schools…. And… um… I guess the NatC conference thinks we should all read the Bible, get (heterosexually) married and have more kids… and Suella thinks the solution is to be part of a Cabinet overseeing high immigration while endlessly talking about how we should have low immigration… Yes, thank heavens for these brave new ideas.
This discussion has been closed.