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We seem to be heading for the most boring White House race ever – politicalbetting.com

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  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    You're a notorious disrespecter of borders when it comes to the migration of people. What does self-determination mean if you treat the population as entirely fungible?
    The argument still holds true. Nations are collections of peoples operating under a set of agreed rules and parameters, sharing cultural and language ties. They facilitate the expression of democratic process at a manageable and sustainable level. So long as all the people (or at least the vast majority of them) within the nation are willing to abide by and promote the laws and cultural/societal norms of the nation then there is absolutely no issue with where they come from, where they were born or anything else about them that does specifically clash with the nation they are choosing to call their home.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012
    viewcode said:

    I'm not surprised. :(

    If you follow house prices along the railway lines that fan out from London, it's amazing/horrifying how far you have to go to get something affordable near the station. Over the years all the little places that I used to hold close were swallowed up in the big wave of increases. It paused slightly between 2008 (crash) and 2013, but Osborne brought in Help To Buy and it just took off again.
    There is a counter intuitive and mysterious aspect to this. SFAICS several million people live in or near London in completely sub optimal conditions and its population has risen massively.

    The puzzle is why the normal laws of economics are not working. The general economics response to being unable to pay £850,000-£1m for a £200,000 terraced house is to live somewhere else, for the same reason that you don't holiday in the Ritz.

    To which everyone will respond: There aren't the jobs. Except that the economically rational thing to do is to move the jobs as well as the people away from where they are unaffordable to where they are.

    There is a strange stickiness about the Great Wen. Is there an economist's account of how this works?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Omnium said:

    I know, but the cheap gain of a point scored against NP isn't worth it. And entirely because it's cheap.
    You’ve completely misconstrued the entire situation

    I’m fairly sure Nick volunteered that excellent anecdote knowing he’d be gently and amusingly teased about it. He’s been on the site for decades

    He is being so teased. I very much doubt that he minds
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    TimS said:

    Grand infrastructure projects are always fascinating, and especially when they involve controlling water. In fact mass water works were arguably the basis for the rise of most early civilisations as they required strong central power and control. The Egyptians of course, the Indus Valley, Mesopotamia, all involved doing things to channel and control water. The Aswan dam was Nasser's biggest monument. The 3 gorges dam was an announcement that China had arrived as a great power. The Dutch draining the polders, Hong Kong Singapore and Dubai reclaiming land from the sea. Venice creating a regional economic powerhouse on a stagnant lagoon. The failure of the Soviet union's grand irrigation schemes in Central Asia as the region succumbed to salination and the Aral dried up were perhaps a signifier of that civilisation's flaws.

    I love these really big ideas. That's why I was always a fan of Boris island despite its promoter, and likewise the tidal barrages we were going to construct all along the West coast. Those could have been our grand waterworks.
    Perhaps we should think bigger than Boris Island and reclaim Dogger Bank.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Cookie said:

    It's quite hard to define a nation except by the rather circular definition of 'a group of people who consider themselves a nation'. But you sort of know one when you see one.

    And while the concept of a nation is quite old, its importance is less so. Since the iron age, loyalty has more commonly been to a person than a geographic unit; it wasn't necessarily the case that groups A and B who were united by language and geography would see themselves as a coherent group and see groups C and D as outsiders if groups A and C owed loyalty to one prince and groups B and D to another.

    I'm quite interested in the concept of nation building. I think we'd largely agree that there are three nations on this island, but how did this come about? It's not ethnicity - we're all pretty similar, genetically, and there tend to be as many differences within nations as between them - and it's not language, which I would argue has followed rather than led differences between England, Scotland and Wales. And why three nations? Why not one, or two, or four, or nine? All were historically just as possible.
    It certainly seems the case that 2000 years ago there weren't nations here, and 200 years ago there were. But the process by which this came about is a little opaque.
    Bede regarded the English as a nation by the 9th century
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    Nigelb said:

    There are details which need exploring, though.
    Given the likely rates of evaporation, the inland sea would have to be continually 'topped up' from the Med, which would steadily increase salinity over time, without large scale removal of salt.

    One interesting idea is to maintain two adjacent lakes, one of much higher salinity, and to have a large scale osmotic power generation plant, in order to provide sufficient power (plus considerable excess) to pump excess saline back to the Med.

    I don't know whether any of these ideas have been extensively modelled in recent years, but it would be well worth the investment of some effort now, since all of the enabling technologies have advanced over the last couple of decades.

    The author proposes harvesting and selling salt from the lake in evaporation ponds, which would reduce salinity (so long as they could find enough buyers for the salt).

    As someone pointed out this morning there might be an issue with localised earthquakes and subsidence, though there's not really anyone living anywhere near.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    Omnium said:

    Has anyone ever read any Egyptian literature beyond the Sugar Street trilogy?
    Having read Durrell - and obviously having a different view of it to Leon - I was inspired to read a fair bit of C.P. Cavafy - the Greek poet who spent most of his life in Alexandria. That is about the closest I have come.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,502
    Leon said:

    That’s almost completely due to nuclear weapons making direct hot war between great powers unthinkable. So we had a Cold War instead

    And we’ve still managed Yugoslavia and now Ukraine
    Nuclear weapons and ethnic cleansing. In 1900, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe were a patchwork of different groups. Galicia, for example, had the same city named Lemberg, Lvov, Lwow, and Lwiw. Now the Poles, Jews, and Germans have vanished from Galicia.

    It's an unpleasant fact that ethnic cleansing brings peace.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    .
    Leon said:

    You’ve completely misconstrued the entire situation

    I’m fairly sure Nick volunteered that excellent anecdote knowing he’d be gently and amusingly teased about it. He’s been on the site for decades

    He is being so teased. I very much doubt that he minds
    Celebrated, even.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,287

    Good afternoon

    I recognise your description, but as soon as you drive down the A55 from Llanddulas you enter a beautiful coastline with the newly sanded sweeping beaches of Colwyn Bay to Rhos on Sea then continuing towards Penrhyn Bay with the Little Orme rising in front, the sea to your right and the wonderful mountains to your left

    Driving over the Little Orme you immediately see the fantastic Victorian promenade of Llandudno and the magnificent Great Orme behind

    This is where we live and have done for 58 years and to be fair it is not Anglesey which is beyond Bangor and across the Menai Straights

    So much has changed in the last few years I strongly recommend the drive down the A55 from Llanddulas to Colwyn Bay, then join the promenade through Rhos on Sea to Penrhyn Bay and Llandudno
    I know (and I felt a bit guilty when i said it), but because I travel to most places by train I inevitably see them in the worst light. The North Coast railway exhibits in detail what Wales exhibits generally: absolutely lovely landscape, absolutely rubbish housing. Don't get me wrong it is changing slowly as Mr Barratt and Ms Redrow plant their little estate-eggs everywhere. But the bits near the stations are done last/worst, hence my animus... :(

    (also apols for getting your place wrong: I honestly thought you were on Anglesey)
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Sean_F said:

    Nuclear weapons and ethnic cleansing. In 1900, the countries of Central and Eastern Europe were a patchwork of different groups. Galicia, for example, had the same city named Lemberg, Lvov, Lwow, and Lwiw. Now the Poles, Jews, and Germans have vanished from Galicia.

    It's an unpleasant fact that ethnic cleansing brings peace.
    It does, sadly

    My guide today told me that in the 1930s Egypt had a population of 350,000 Jews (many in Alexandria). Now there is a population of 12

    That’s not a typo. 12
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    Omnium said:

    I know, but the cheap gain of a point scored against NP isn't worth it. And entirely because it's cheap.
    I don't think it's scored against Nick. It's basic saucy amusement. He volunteered the story, and would surely have known the nudges and winks it would trigger.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,480
    Leon said:

    You’ve completely misconstrued the entire situation

    I’m fairly sure Nick volunteered that excellent anecdote knowing he’d be gently and amusingly teased about it. He’s been on the site for decades

    He is being so teased. I very much doubt that he minds
    You're probably right. The point of teasing though is that the victim slightly minds.

    Things are funny until they're not.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    Dura_Ace said:

    PB has plenty of wannabe Reply Guys but Barty Bobs is the OG.
    Dura _Ace once again displays his vast intellect with one of his, oh so, pithy comments.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715

    Perhaps we should think bigger than Boris Island and reclaim Dogger Bank.
    Well there is genuinely a slightly madder project proposed, which would involve closing the North Sea off from the Atlantic to protect the low lying European coastlines.
    Though as the gap between Norway and the Faroes reaches around 300m of ocean depth, it's a bit impractical.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    Omnium said:

    I know, but the cheap gain of a point scored against NP isn't worth it. And entirely because it's cheap.
    I have no desire to score any points against NP, who is one of my favourite people on here. It was a gentle joke, a knowing reference to PB's finest hour. If we have now moved on from this great moment and humorous references to it are now forbidden then I apologise. I did not receive that particular memo.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255

    Perhaps we should think bigger than Boris Island and reclaim Dogger Bank.
    I think someone is already planning on doing that.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Wind_Power_Hub
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    Nigelb said:

    Well there is genuinely a slightly madder project proposed, which would involve closing the North Sea off from the Atlantic to protect the low lying European coastlines.
    Though as the gap between Norway and the Faroes reaches around 300m of ocean depth, it's a bit impractical.
    The Yellowstone caldera geothermal plan is another great one.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    TimS said:

    The author proposes harvesting and selling salt from the lake in evaporation ponds, which would reduce salinity (so long as they could find enough buyers for the salt).

    As someone pointed out this morning there might be an issue with localised earthquakes and subsidence, though there's not really anyone living anywhere near.
    Given the size of the lake, and rates of evaporation, it would need something of greater scale, I think - though no doubt that could be part of the project (mineral extraction from the salt is also suggested).
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,480

    I have no desire to score any points against NP, who is one of my favourite people on here. It was a gentle joke, a knowing reference to PB's finest hour. If we have now moved on from this great moment and humorous references to it are now forbidden then I apologise. I did not receive that particular memo.
    I'll probably get an angry email from NP telling me he needs no defending anyway.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited May 2023
    I recommend a bit of Cavafy as you circle Alexandria, Leon.

    EM Forster was a fan - in fact it was he that made him famous in Northern Europe.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933

    I think someone is already planning on doing that.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Wind_Power_Hub
    This could quite nicely be combined with a bit of tourism if the consortium think ahead. I know it's windy (that's kind of the point of putting the turbines there) but no more windy than the West coast of Ireland or Scotland, or Western Jutland for that matter, where there is plenty of tourism.

    Island hotels, artificial beaches, cycling routes, underwater restaurants, boat trips around the turbines, all in a tax and duty free international zone administered by the 3 governments.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,838
    TimS said:

    This could quite nicely be combined with a bit of tourism if the consortium think ahead. I know it's windy (that's kind of the point of putting the turbines there) but no more windy than the West coast of Ireland or Scotland, or Western Jutland for that matter, where there is plenty of tourism.

    Island hotels, artificial beaches, cycling routes, underwater restaurants, boat trips around the turbines, all in a tax and duty free international zone administered by the 3 governments.
    It could be the European Las Vegas.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    .
    TimS said:

    The Yellowstone caldera geothermal plan is another great one.
    If @Malmesbury were around, he'd be wanting to revive the 'Atoms for Peace' project, which planned to build the canal connecting the Qattara Depression to the Med using a hundred or so subsurface thermonuclear explosions.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,287
    DougSeal said:

    @HYUFD - You could get gay married in the Soke of Peterborough, or Nassaburgh hundred, until the Statute of Kidlington in 1642 during the Civil War, after Cromwell got all upset by it. Peakirk, now a village and civil parish in the Peterborough district, takes its name from "Penis Church", the chapel reserved for gay marrying. It was to gay marriage what Greta Green was to the straights. Sadly lesbians were not given the same dispensation after the sack of Fingringhoe
    I believed you. I believed you until I got to "Fingringhoe". Then I went "Oh" and I googled. Uh-oh.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715

    I think someone is already planning on doing that.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Wind_Power_Hub
    Small scale stuff.

    Northern European Enclosure Dam
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_European_Enclosure_Dam
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,502
    Leon said:

    It does, sadly

    My guide today told me that in the 1930s Egypt had a population of 350,000 Jews (many in Alexandria). Now there is a population of 12

    That’s not a typo. 12
    It's interesting to me how uncontroversial this was in 1945. It was accepted that the Germans would have to to be expelled from Western Poland, the Sudetenland, and other parts of Eastern Europe. Likewise, Poles would be expelled from Western Ukraine, and Ukrainians from South Eastern Poland. The expelled Poles would be resettled in the territories taken from Germany. Italians would be expelled from expanded Yugoslavia.

    Nobody, Communist or anti-Communist, was much interested in seeing the surviving Jews remain, or return from the camps. It was generally thought they would be better off in Palestine. Around 500,000 Eastern European Jews left, 300,000 for Israel. One can therefore see why the Israelis and Arab States had no qualms about expelling unwanted minorities.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Leon said:

    It does, sadly

    My guide today told me that in the 1930s Egypt had a population of 350,000 Jews (many in Alexandria). Now there is a population of 12

    That’s not a typo. 12
    Surprised it isn't zero.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    Sean_F said:

    It's interesting to me how uncontroversial this was in 1945. It was accepted that the Germans would have to to be expelled from Western Poland, the Sudetenland, and other parts of Eastern Europe. Likewise, Poles would be expelled from Western Ukraine, and Ukrainians from South Eastern Poland. The expelled Poles would be resettled in the territories taken from Germany. Italians would be expelled from expanded Yugoslavia.

    Nobody, Communist or anti-Communist, was much interested in seeing the surviving Jews remain, or return from the camps. It was generally thought they would be better off in Palestine. Around 500,000 Eastern European Jews left, 300,000 for Israel. One can therefore see why the Israelis and Arab States had no qualms about expelling unwanted minorities.
    The forcible movement of populations postwar was not exactly uncontroversial.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I recommend a bit of Cavafy as you circle Alexandria, Leon.

    EM Forster was a fan - in fact it was he that made him famous in Northern Europe.

    Durrell, Alexandria Quartet?

    Though I'm more familiar with his brother's writings on natural history expeditions.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited May 2023
    Carnyx said:

    Durrell, Alexandria Quartet?

    Though I'm more familiar with his brother's writings on natural history expeditions.
    Interesting writer. He wrote some great poetry about modern Greece, too. A friend of Patrick Leigh Fermor, who ended up as a mayor in Mani, in Southern Greece.

    I think he knew Cavafy, and Seferis, another Greek poet, too.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933

    It could be the European Las Vegas.
    Still wouldn't be as good as the zona economica especial de la Isleta de Portland which the Spanish would create once we sign the agreement for permanent sovereignty over Gibraltar in exchange for our own similarly sited and shaped limestone outcrop on the Dorset coast.

    Quick bus trip across the border from Weymouth for an evening of Tapas, Fino and La Liga on TV followed by late night flamenco. Convert Portland castle into a Parador. Couple of new golf courses and a bull ring.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,502
    Nigelb said:

    The forcible movement of populations postwar was not exactly uncontroversial.
    There was very little protest over it. The decision was taken at Yalta, and that was that. The British and Americans did put their foot down over proposals to expel Hungarians from Slovakia, but that was about it.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    Fascinating piece of research which cast some doubt on the Alzheimer's amyloid hypothesis (the suggestion that it might be a syndrome comprising several different pathologies seems sensible to me, FWIW), and pointing a way to other potential therapies.

    How one man's rare Alzheimer’s mutation delayed the onset of disease
    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-023-01610-z
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 24,287
    TimS said:

    I love these really big ideas.

    My sole contribution to the set of très grands méga projets is: occupying Antarctica and open-mining coal. Minimal environmental damage as the snow will inevitably recolonise the workings and I'm sure we can do something with it, even if these green times.

  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    Leon said:

    Bede regarded the English as a nation by the 9th century
    He did, though it's not necessarily obvious that he meant the same thing by 'nation' as we do now.

    I think a commonality of religion probably had a lot to do with it, certainly from Bede's point of view. Whether a Northumbrian peasant of the time would see things the same, who knows?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    I have no desire to score any points against NP, who is one of my favourite people on here. It was a gentle joke, a knowing reference to PB's finest hour. If we have now moved on from this great moment and humorous references to it are now forbidden then I apologise. I did not receive that particular memo.
    Fret not. Everyone - almost everyone - realises it was a joke. And a rather good joke
  • gettingbettergettingbetter Posts: 584
    TimS said:

    Still wouldn't be as good as the zona economica especial de la Isleta de Portland which the Spanish would create once we sign the agreement for permanent sovereignty over Gibraltar in exchange for our own similarly sited and shaped limestone outcrop on the Dorset coast.

    Quick bus trip across the border from Weymouth for an evening of Tapas, Fino and La Liga on TV followed by late night flamenco. Convert Portland castle into a Parador. Couple of new golf courses and a bull ring.
    It would be a disaster. I would have to scrub several birds off my British list.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    For me WH2024 looks set to be the most boring one ever with the WH2020 nominees being the ones who fight it out next year. Half the enjoyment of White House races has been the nomination contests and I dearly hope that neither Trump or Biden are the nominees.

    So many seem to agree, yet each looks to have varying degrees of stranglehold over the contests (either due to the level of base support or presidential incumbency factor).

    Hopefully some alsoran will at least do something interesting.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    Carnyx said:

    Durrell, Alexandria Quartet?

    Though I'm more familiar with his brother's writings on natural history expeditions.
    One of my favourite books of all time - or rather four books. Lawrence Durrell is well worth getting into. Beautifully dense writing. I find him very similar to Gabriel García Márquez in his prose and Stefan Zweig in his tone.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735

    I think someone is already planning on doing that.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Sea_Wind_Power_Hub
    Which is the justification for all the work being done at Redcar's former steel works even though a different (European) company already has a contract for most of the turbines.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815

    Perhaps we should think bigger than Boris Island and reclaim Dogger Bank.

    Perhaps we should think bigger than Boris Island and reclaim Dogger Bank.
    Think bigger still! The North Sea is pretty shallow. Build a dam from Grimsby to Groningen and from Folkestone to Dieppe and create a score of Cambridgeshires.

  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,012
    Cookie said:

    He did, though it's not necessarily obvious that he meant the same thing by 'nation' as we do now.

    I think a commonality of religion probably had a lot to do with it, certainly from Bede's point of view. Whether a Northumbrian peasant of the time would see things the same, who knows?
    Not quite 9th c. He dies mid 8th c. And English probably meant differently. He knew no English king, and without a king there is no kingdom. Perhaps he meant a little like we would mean by 'Kurdish'.

  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,262
    On topic (if you all will excuse me): You can not understand the Trump phenomena unless you recognize that it is, in part, a reaction to Obama's presidency. Which was failing in quite obvious ways by the end of his time in office. (Our birth rate had declined; our life expectancy was begining to decline in his last year or two in office; identity politics had strengthened; his reaction to Russian aggression was weak, to say the least; and so on.)

    But our main news organizations were unwilling to say that, even, in many cases, unwilling to see those failures. Why? The main answer is painfully obvious, and was explained at the time by this mediocre joke: "Why can't Obama criticize himself? Because that would be racist."

    And, of course, because most of our news organizations supported his policies, for ideological reasons.

    So, many voters were looking for an antidote, and latched on to a man who promised to fight for them. And they particularly wanted someone who was despised by those same news organizations, which they no longer trusted.

    (There is another disturbing parallel between Obama and Trump. Both damaged their own parties; both lost competent moderate leaders during their presidencies.)
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,636
    Omnium said:

    I'll probably get an angry email from NP telling me he needs no defending anyway.
    Nick doesn't lack a sense of humpour.

    It was a joke. Everyone can see that.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    Leon said:

    Fret not. Everyone - almost everyone - realises it was a joke. And a rather good joke
    Referring to that particular episode is hardly scoring a point of Nick P! It's like 'scoring a point' off Usain Bolt by slyly pointing out he won several Olympic medals and is quite fast at running.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    Interesting writer. He wrote some great poetry about modern Greece, too. A friend of Patrick Leigh Fermor, who ended up as a mayor in Mani, in Southern Greece.

    I think he knew Cavafy, and Seferis, another Greek poet, too.
    I used to read Paddy Fermor's books and Alfred Duggan's history novels set in the Morea etc. Must fish them out and reread them. Not Alex though.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,330
    Cookie said:

    Think bigger still! The North Sea is pretty shallow. Build a dam from Grimsby to Groningen and from Folkestone to Dieppe and create a score of Cambridgeshires.

    That’s already a twinkle in someone’s eye isn’t it?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_European_Enclosure_Dam
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566

    That’s already a twinkle in someone’s eye isn’t it?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_European_Enclosure_Dam
    500bn Euros actually sounds cheap for such an idea.

    Though if the UK were running it itd be 5 trillion presumably.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    kle4 said:

    500bn Euros actually sounds cheap for such an idea.

    Though if the UK were running it itd be 5 trillion presumably.
    They would gradually redesign it until it stretched across the Southern half of the Wash and enclosed a couple of football fields.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,506

    That’s already a twinkle in someone’s eye isn’t it?

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_European_Enclosure_Dam
    Even Putin's missiles couldn't miss those juicy, tempting targets.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited May 2023
    Georges Moustaki - Greek-Italian-Egyptian-Jewish from Alexandria.

    Omar Sharif - Greek-Antiochian-Lebanese-Egyptian, from a similar part of Northern Egypt, as I remember.
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,607
    algarkirk said:

    There is a counter intuitive and mysterious aspect to this. SFAICS several million people live in or near London in completely sub optimal conditions and its population has risen massively.

    The puzzle is why the normal laws of economics are not working. The general economics response to being unable to pay £850,000-£1m for a £200,000 terraced house is to live somewhere else, for the same reason that you don't holiday in the Ritz.

    To which everyone will respond: There aren't the jobs. Except that the economically rational thing to do is to move the jobs as well as the people away from where they are unaffordable to where they are.

    There is a strange stickiness about the Great Wen. Is there an economist's account of how this works?
    Population centres have a return to scale & density - local firms piggy back on each other, spreading knowledge as people job hop between them (something the capitalist owner class hates naturally & tries to prevent, but it’s almost impossible to stop up altogether).

    You can see this kind of thing playing out when particular areas become known for specialising in particular industries - think of how F1 is dominated by teams run from Oxfordshire & surrounding counties.

    London is especially powerful because of the combination of it’s size & excellent (compared to anywhere else in the UK) transport networks. No-where else in the UK has a population centre that can match London’s productivity.

    At the national level this is a real problem & one of the things that holds back UK GDP: There ought to be at least a second city to match London, but it doesn’t exist. Why? Probably the atrocious transport networks in the midlands / north of the UK & planning constraints more generally. Where is the train line that joins up the Liverpool / Manchester / Leeds axis? Instead we get Northern Rail which is a sad joke to all who are forced to use it. Where’s the Oxford-Cambridge railway? Why is lab space in the Ox<->Cam axis so unbelievably expensive, throttling development? Infrastructure is everything & we just haven’t been building it, despite the price signals saying that firms are screaming out for it.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    TimS said:

    They would gradually redesign it until it stretched across the Southern half of the Wash and enclosed a couple of football fields.
    Call it the Boris Boundary and someone will support it at least.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,213
    edited May 2023
    kle4 said:

    500bn Euros actually sounds cheap for such an idea.

    Though if the UK were running it itd be 5 trillion presumably.
    We should build Alantropa. Then Leon wouldn't have to worry about getting to the sea from his hotel, because it wouldn't be there anymore. Plus lots of extra space for Gibraltar.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atlantropa
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,506
    Sean_F said:

    There was very little protest over it. The decision was taken at Yalta, and that was that. The British and Americans did put their foot down over proposals to expel Hungarians from Slovakia, but that was about it.
    The free world realised by then it was pointless protesting to Stalin. Unless we were going to go to war with him, there was nothing we could have odne. As somebody said in another context, we only have arguments there. They have soldiers.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    Sean_F said:

    There was very little protest over it. The decision was taken at Yalta, and that was that. The British and Americans did put their foot down over proposals to expel Hungarians from Slovakia, but that was about it.
    Some of that was secrecy - the forcible repatriations to the Soviet Union were largely kept secret for years.
    And it would be inaccurate to describe ethnic cleansing (for example between Ukraine and Poland) as uncontroversial, I think ? How much were the wider public outside the immediate vicinities even aware of what was taking place ?

    As I noted earlier, much of what happened in eastern Europe was by Stalin's design.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715

    On topic (if you all will excuse me): You can not understand the Trump phenomena unless you recognize that it is, in part, a reaction to Obama's presidency. Which was failing in quite obvious ways by the end of his time in office. (Our birth rate had declined; our life expectancy was begining to decline in his last year or two in office; identity politics had strengthened; his reaction to Russian aggression was weak, to say the least; and so on.)

    But our main news organizations were unwilling to say that, even, in many cases, unwilling to see those failures. Why? The main answer is painfully obvious, and was explained at the time by this mediocre joke: "Why can't Obama criticize himself? Because that would be racist."

    And, of course, because most of our news organizations supported his policies, for ideological reasons.

    So, many voters were looking for an antidote, and latched on to a man who promised to fight for them. And they particularly wanted someone who was despised by those same news organizations, which they no longer trusted.

    (There is another disturbing parallel between Obama and Trump. Both damaged their own parties; both lost competent moderate leaders during their presidencies.)

    That's a pretty feeble excuse for the pathologies of the Republican party since then.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,933
    Nigelb said:

    That's a pretty feeble excuse for the pathologies of the Republican party since then.
    And doesn't seem to tally with what opinion polling was showing towards the end of Obama's presidency, which showed him having much higher approval ratings than either of the 2 candidates in 2016.

    It's possible that hindsight might shine a less favourable light on Obama's decisions than opinion at the time, as has been the case for Merkel for example, but it didn't seem to be how voters felt back then.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    TimS said:

    And doesn't seem to tally with what opinion polling was showing towards the end of Obama's presidency, which showed him having much higher approval ratings than either of the 2 candidates in 2016.

    It's possible that hindsight might shine a less favourable light on Obama's decisions than opinion at the time, as has been the case for Merkel for example, but it didn't seem to be how voters felt back then.
    Obama was certainly a flawed President; but that's true of almost all US Presidents.
    Electing a sociopathic narcissist in response is down to those who elected the sociopathic narcissist.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,715
    Nigelb said:

    Some of that was secrecy - the forcible repatriations to the Soviet Union were largely kept secret for years.
    And it would be inaccurate to describe ethnic cleansing (for example between Ukraine and Poland) as uncontroversial, I think ? How much were the wider public outside the immediate vicinities even aware of what was taking place ?

    As I noted earlier, much of what happened in eastern Europe was by Stalin's design.
    Yalta was certainly not uncontroversial.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Western_betrayal#Yalta,_1945
    ...Churchill defended his actions in a three-day Parliamentary debate starting 27 February 1945, which ended in a vote of confidence. During the debate, many MPs openly criticised Churchill and passionately voiced loyalty to Britain's Polish allies and expressed deep reservations about Yalta.[48] Moreover, 25 of these MPs risked their careers to draft an amendment protesting against Britain's tacit acceptance of Poland's domination by the Soviet Union. These members included Arthur Greenwood, Viscount Dunglass, Commander Archibald Southby, the Lord Willoughby de Eresby, and Victor Raikes.[48] After the failure of the amendment, Henry Strauss, the Member of Parliament for Norwich, resigned his seat in protest at the British treatment of Poland...
  • PhilPhil Posts: 2,607
    NB, this OECD report on UK city productivity contains some eye-opening stats: https://www.oecd.org/cfe/cities/UK-Core-Cities-PH-Final.pdf

    In particular, that UK cities (apart from London) just don’t get the returns to size that cities elsewhere in the world do, lagging by factor of 2-3 the expected return.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    edited May 2023
    TimS said:

    And doesn't seem to tally with what opinion polling was showing towards the end of Obama's presidency, which showed him having much higher approval ratings than either of the 2 candidates in 2016.

    It's possible that hindsight might shine a less favourable light on Obama's decisions than opinion at the time, as has been the case for Merkel for example, but it didn't seem to be how voters felt back then.
    I think Jim's point isn't that Obama was uniquely rubbish, but that Obama, uniquely, seemed to receive a free pass from the media.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319
    rcs1000 said:



    My memory is hazy, but isn't there a Dutch military flight simulator company (or maybe it was just the CEO who was Dutch) with some F16 simulators in the UK that they hire out to the Bahrainian, Egyptian, etc air forces?

    The Dutch F-16 training pipeline at Luke AFB shut down earlier this year. Non NATO FMS F-16 crews do type conversions with the Arizona ANG at Tucson. This would probably be where the Ukrainians would go if it ever happened.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    Been busy at work. But it seems to me this National Conservative Conference is a Party getting ready for a decade in Opposition.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Phil said:

    Population centres have a return to scale & density - local firms piggy back on each other, spreading knowledge as people job hop between them (something the capitalist owner class hates naturally & tries to prevent, but it’s almost impossible to stop up altogether).

    You can see this kind of thing playing out when particular areas become known for specialising in particular industries - think of how F1 is dominated by teams run from Oxfordshire & surrounding counties.

    London is especially powerful because of the combination of it’s size & excellent (compared to anywhere else in the UK) transport networks. No-where else in the UK has a population centre that can match London’s productivity.

    At the national level this is a real problem & one of the things that holds back UK GDP: There ought to be at least a second city to match London, but it doesn’t exist. Why? Probably the atrocious transport networks in the midlands / north of the UK & planning constraints more generally. Where is the train line that joins up the Liverpool / Manchester / Leeds axis? Instead we get Northern Rail which is a sad joke to all who are forced to use it. Where’s the Oxford-Cambridge railway? Why is lab space in the Ox<->Cam axis so unbelievably expensive, throttling development? Infrastructure is everything & we just haven’t been building it, despite the price signals saying that firms are screaming out for it.
    All the young journalists on my recent assignment in Hurghada live in and around London - despite complaining about the incredible rents

    One of them is an Aussie girl who took a 70% pay cut to move from Tasmania to London. Yet she says she loves London nonetheless and is desperate to stay. She loves it because “everyone else is in London” and you can “get anywhere in Europe in 2-3 hours”

    She told me she hates Sydney - “boring, parochial, uncultured”

    If you’re English speaking and you want a world city experience it’s gotta be london or nyc. And london has europe as it’s backyard
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319
    Omnium said:

    Has anyone ever read any Egyptian literature beyond the Sugar Street trilogy?
    I had to read عمارة يعقوبيان (The Yacoubian Building) for my Arabic course and it was fucking hard work in Arabic as I could only two or three pages at a time until my head fell off. The English translation is very good though.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Dura_Ace said:

    I had to read عمارة يعقوبيان (The Yacoubian Building) for my Arabic course and it was fucking hard work in Arabic as I could only two or three pages at a time until my head fell off. The English translation is very good though.
    That novel is in my rucksack to be read next. Glad to hear it’s good
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,659
    Leon said:

    All the young journalists on my recent assignment in Hurghada live in and around London - despite complaining about the incredible rents

    One of them is an Aussie girl who took a 70% pay cut to move from Tasmania to London. Yet she says she loves London nonetheless and is desperate to stay. She loves it because “everyone else is in London” and you can “get anywhere in Europe in 2-3 hours”

    She told me she hates Sydney - “boring, parochial, uncultured”

    If you’re English speaking and you want a world city experience it’s gotta be london or nyc. And london has europe as it’s backyard
    English is the best language in the world!
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    edited May 2023

    English is the best language in the world!
    Certainly one of the most diversely-originating of the European languages, at any rate - a bit of Germanic, Celtic, French/ Latinate and Greek boiled together for several centuries on a medium heat, resulting in a half-guttural, half-soft stew with rather a wide vocabulary , and range of expression.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735
    one for @malcolmg

    Wings Over Scotland
    @WingsScotland
    Going to be keeping an especially close eye on the Police Scotland website tomorrow morning. Y'know, just in case.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 5,597
    viewcode said:

    I know (and I felt a bit guilty when i said it), but because I travel to most places by train I inevitably see them in the worst light. The North Coast railway exhibits in detail what Wales exhibits generally: absolutely lovely landscape, absolutely rubbish housing. Don't get me wrong it is changing slowly as Mr Barratt and Ms Redrow plant their little estate-eggs everywhere. But the bits near the stations are done last/worst, hence my animus... :(

    (also apols for getting your place wrong: I honestly thought you were on Anglesey)
    (Said in a @Carnyx accent) I’m nae fae Ynys, mon.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,659

    New Thread

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