Will the Coronation overshadow likely Tory losses in the locals? – politicalbetting.com
Will the Coronation overshadow likely Tory losses in the locals? – politicalbetting.com
There has been a fair bit of speculation that the likely Tory drubbing that the party will get in the locals will be drowned out in media coverage terms by Saturday’s Coronation. I am sure that’s right but I don’t think that this will help Sunak.
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On the current forecast the Tories will lose 400-500 seats, much better than Major did in 1995 or May did in 2019 or even Blair did in 1999, 2003 and 2007 at the same stage of the local elections cycle.
So the results may not be the annihilation for Rishi's party some predict
Saturday - it's all about the Coronation!
Or to put it another way, the local election results will not be that exciting!
https://twitter.com/OxfordClarion/status/1653709837321084931
You do wonder how "type candidate name into Google" appears not to have occurred to the people doing vetting.
On the upside, Bob Dhillon is a fabulous name for a candidate. Subterranean Election-Sick Blues etc. etc.
Video of a drone getting close to hitting the Kremlin. They only need to get lucky once.
⚡️⚡️The moment of the UAV attack on Putin's residence in the Kremlin
https://twitter.com/front_ukrainian/status/1653734395260411904
If we get two sunny days on the spin it will overshadow the results of the local elections.
People not that fussed. And the betting markets not interesting either.....
https://ig.ft.com/quantum-computing/
I simultaneously understand and don’t understand quantum computing.
Good on the FT for having a crack at explaining it, though!
It will be an interesting set of election these. I must just stay up for the night tomorrow night lol!
If Starmer can come up with a plan that involves getting stuff done, like construction, to move the economy instead of just throwing taxpayers money at every problem (like Brown) or just shutting up shop and managing decline (like Sunak) then he will deserve a term in Downing Street.
Not holding my breath though.
No one is going to be quite that hungover, surely ?
Ireland has its problems as a country, but they seem to be different to Britain's, and its well-educated workforce is often cited by foreign companies investing in the country.
Britain would be absolutely insane to cut the number of people receiving a third-level education, though I've spoken before about some of the weaknesses in third-level education in Britain compared to Ireland.
In an interview with the former TV presenter, Albanese was asked a range of questions, spanning the status of Australia’s independence, to the contentious ‘What is a woman?’
“An adult female,” the Prime Minister replied.
https://www.starobserver.com.au/news/anthony-albanese-repeats-antitrans-statements-in-piers-morgan-interview/223565
I expect William V's coronation will be squeezed into the Friday evening.
https://election.pressassociation.com/locals/provisional-may-election-declaration-times-in-chronological-order/
I presume that this is the final results for each council. Particular wards would be announced earlier.
So I think they could be persuaded to do that, without much difficulty. I can imagine, for example, HYUFD buying a bunch and passing them out to friends and supporters of the Conservative Party.
(Full disclosure: I have two that I use regularly, a blue pen commemorating Apollo 11, and a black pen commemorating Apollo 13. They are good pens, and, as a space nut, I love having them. And I have given a number as gifts.)
Liberalise construction enough and people will buy houses where there are good ones with good services and good access to work etc, while leaving Buy to Let slumlords or bad developers holding properties they can't let or flog as there's no demand for them.
Its precisely because there's so much restriction on housebuilding that the only way to get a new house is to go through the developers who have the patience and landbanks to go through our planning system to get authorisation for developments like you spoke about.
All your excuse making is just ridiculous.
https://www.google.com/search?client=firefox-b-d&q=dambusters+commercial#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:ac801b25,vid:jYDBMjvqMlM
The NHS has a long tradition of hounding whistleblowers. In fact, it turns out that the omerta for doctors speaking out against other doctors has an exception. Accusing whistleblowing doctors of being mentally ill.
British Airways, before and after privatisation, conducted a spectacularly illegal campaign against Laker - justified by "We are the national airline, therefore we are allowed to do anything to protect ourselves from a competitor"
Various charities have conducted vendettas against whistleblowers - see the scandals in third world aid.
It's not right that the dream of homeownership is slipping away from families and young people across the country.
My Labour government will set a target of 70% homeownership.
We will build more houses and build a better Britain.
That can start tomorrow, with your vote.
https://twitter.com/Keir_Starmer/status/1653740704114286599?s=20
I’d have thought more social housing might figure in there…..
Edit to add - and it doesn't matter if it's Green Belt or Brown Belt - NIMBYs complain about all building everywhere with the exception of anywhere which isn't where they live.
There's no such thing. The countries population has increased by 20% in a generation, there simply isn't unused land going idle to fit those houses into, the only realistic way you can increase by 20% your population is to increase by 20% the land being used. 🤦♂️
Which would be an almost insignificant eating into greenfield land, but treating all green land as holy places never to be touched is the problem. Typically by people who themselves live in areas they'd consider green but their own house is an exception clearly as its already there.
What a sad state of affairs for the once great Tory party.
But that is already happening. A significant barrier to sanity is that developers are given planning permission for things they don't want to build, don't start, then use the lack of housebuilding as the weapon to force through permission to build what they want to build.
Ideally we would have councils planning which areas to develop, and then sticking in roads and shops and services to make the homes viable. But they have no money so can't.
You say there is always an excuse, and from your perspective I see that. But if you can't drive your kids to school without sitting in traffic that gets ever worse, and you're struggling to even get your kids into school, you're going to vote for the people saying they can make your lives better. And "add even more traffic and pressure" as you advocate only makes it worse.
Concentrate it too, so the electoral effect is limited in geographical scale.
In these days of Biodiversity Net Gain, you need a lot more points/money to develop an old site that has scrubbed over than a field that is currently ploughed.
Quite right too - there's a lot of interest on old industrial sites (particularly quarries and the like) and absolutely none in a wheat field.
Of course, you might need food for all these people...
There is a big issue with the pisspoor quality and value for money of many British university courses.
https://www.news.com.au/national/politics/what-a-stuttering-mess-albaneses-response-to-controversial-question-slammed-by-transactivists/news-story/1d65b9e8459f1a10be85add907301b28?amp
Nord Stream: Report puts Russian navy ships near pipeline blast site
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-65461401
I wrote about Aberfan and other investigations here - https://www.cyclefree.co.uk/the-price-of-indifference/.
It is worth reading because writing it made me explore one of the paradoxes of investigations - the need to be ruthless when establishing facts vs the vital importance of remembering the human costs of what has happened. And, above all remembering what an investigation should really be there to do.
The cruelty perpetrated on the families after the tragedy is not as well known as it should be. I explore there some of the reasons why this happens. I see something similar happening in this case.
This is the heart of it really -
Yeah, that's going to happen!
Also, Ukraine is currently experiencing a degree of success with drone attacks on oil storage facilities, military airfields, other sabotage of railways, etc, which this seems designed to distract from.
Feels like a false flag to me. "A fearless Putin also defies drone attacks from the Kyiv Nazis, just as the brave Russian soldier in the trenches of Donetsk" style of thing.
https://history.nasa.gov/spacepen.html#:~:text=Fisher developed his space pen,was hesitant in its approach.
PB's celebrated scribe of the slick slogan describing an elderly mother of two as a 'hag'?
It appears to be a multicopter and therefore must have been launched within a few miles of the Kremlin.
It doesn't appear to be carrying much in the way of actual explosive - perhaps a Molotov cocktail?
Doesn't smell right.
Clearly the battle for votes between SNP and labour in Scotland had started
https://twitter.com/PoliticsJOE_UK/status/1653742993390592002?t=Rrh-1vInUTEHJr0Gt3t9Jg&s=19
You could stop immigration overnight and all the housing problems that exist today would still exist tomorrow.
Unless you want to enforce mass-deportations, then everyone who lives here still needs a home to live in, and children who grow up whether children of people who migrated or not, will need a home of their own too.
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/migrants-detected-crossing-the-english-channel-in-small-boats/migrants-detected-crossing-the-english-channel-in-small-boats-last-7-days
I'm afraid we just have to live with it
l'anus and all
The discovery of the text message contributed to a chain of events that ultimately led to Tucker Carlson’s firing.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/02/business/media/tucker-carlson-text-message-white-men.html
https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/other/man-comes-up-with-the-platty-joobs-of-the-king-s-coronation-and-it-s-either-incredible-or-very-annoying/ar-AA1aFMeP?ocid=entnewsntp&cvid=b5e409a880a443208ed4fb07074c724d&ei=28
Options include:
- Corribobs
- Corri-Naysh
- Chazzle Dazzle
- King's Cozzy
- Chaz Con
In selecting a favourite, how much it would annoy the man himself is a not inconsiderable element. So I am favouring Chaz Con.
If you think about it - a drone like that will fit in a bag, folded up. The only suspicious bit is the explosive device, which can be hung under it at the last moment.
Somewhere, within a mile or 2 of the Kremlin, unfold the drone, clip the bomb on and launch. Could well be on a preprogrammed course, rather than manually controlled. So walk away immediately.
You could even book a hotel room, set the drone up inside, open the window and leave. X hours later the drone launches. You could be in another country having an Old Fashioned in a decent bar.
Why do you think drones have security forces world wide all panicked and upset?
(edit. I see GIN got there first.)
Also, if inhabitants of Sevastopol see that Moscow is also under drone attack, they might think there's little point in fleeing Crimea. As it is I'd think there were hundreds of better targets for a Ukrainian drone attack.
Saying what was meant to be a special military operation has now deteriorated to the point the enemy are bombing Moscow sounds like an admission of failure.
But I have no special insight into the minds of Muscovites.
The problem is that our development system is so broken only a handful of firms are able to do much of the development rather than smashing the oligopoly by deregulation and allowing small firms and anyone who is skilled at construction tackle the problem.
"Lack of facilities" isn't a reason to oppose construction, you need construction to add new facilities. And if you're wanting houses built where there's an overabundance of pre-existing services, then that is totally bananas. You'd build absolute nothing near anything or anyone - since an overabundance of facilities doesn't exist anywhere.
Build new homes, and if more roads or schools or hospitals or anything else is needed then build those too. Afterwards if need be.
I have moved to what used to be a farming village and is now being developed into a new town, we have a new motorway junction and lots of new roads being developed. That motorway junction was planned decades ago, a number set aside for it decades ago but never actually built until after the construction of thousands of new homes and new demand. When it finally opens soon, then that will ease the pressure on pre-existing houses which has built up with the construction of our homes, but it would never have finally got the green light to be built had it not been for the masses of construction already happening.
Our population has grown so much, more villages need to turn into new towns. Which will then necessitate major investment like new motorway junctions etc, but you can't put the cart before the horse, people need places to live and they need it now. If that means sitting in more traffic in the mean time, that's not a bigger problem than not having a roof that traffic takes you to and from.
LAB 33 (+6)
CON 23 (-8)
LD 18 (+1)
GRN 11 (+2)
IND/OTH 14 (-2)
F/w 24 - 28 April. Changes vs. 2019 Local Elections results
Also Westminster VI (Survation)
LAB: 45% (-1)
CON: 28% (-1)
LD: 12% (+4)
GRN: 4% (+1)
REF: 3% (-2)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Other: 6% (-)
F/w 24 - 28 April. Changes vs. 29 March - 2 April.
*Pine cones, 6 cans of Lynx Africa, old fertiliser box = "just got a bit sunburnt, mum".