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From a 70% chance to a 7% one – betting on BoJo as GE CON leader – politicalbetting.com

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  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,793
    kamski said:

    I might have a little bit of sympathy with this. But marriage has been a legal contract defined by the state for a long time, and the state has to treat everyone equally. And when marriage was legally completely redefined in the 2nd half of the 19th century to allow married women to be independent legal entities and own their own property etc (arguably a far bigger change than just allowing same-sex marriage), would we have much sympathy for people who were opposed to the change because it changed the meaning of marriage?

    If religions want their own kind of arrangements then either call it something other than 'marriage', or take legal marriage away from everyone and call the legal thing a civil partnership, and then marriage would have no legal standing.
    I've been trying to work out how I feel about this, and I half think your last three sentences describes my view. Religion played no part in my own wedding, and it would have been no less good for beinh called sonething else.
    I honestly don't feel massively strongly, and I can't imagine it's a change anyone would find great support for making.
  • kamskikamski Posts: 6,321
    Chris said:

    "Making homosexuality illegal ... might arguably be anti homosexual" [my emphasis]

    You've posted some bizarre nonsense in your time, but this time words fail me.
    Also according HYUFD
    "As marriage is a religious term and in the Koran and Bible based on a man and woman in lifelong union and creating and bringing up children."

    There's quite a lot wrong with that. For example, the Koran allows a man to have up to 4 wives. To any sane person this is a far bigger difference compared to *marriage=one woman plus one man*, than the difference between *marriage=one woman plus one man* and *marriage=one adult plus another adult*
  • HYUFD said:

    On that poll RefUK could have gained from Labour as they are down and the Conservatives up.

    In 2015 remember UKIP took white working class Labour votes not just Conservative votes
    Looking at the detailed data tables. The improved conservative vote has arisen from conservative 2019 voters moving from don't know back to conservatives compared with the similar table at the start of March. Similarly, there is a move from C19 don't knows to Reform. The reduction in the Labour vote is partially caused by Lib Dem 2019 voters moving back from Labour to Lib Dem.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731

    Fair point. The whole thing is just too complex for easy answers. It should not be the political football it has become.

    But it's worse than that. The Trans Rights Activists don't even want the football match. they want to take the ball home and call off the game, because they have already won. There is no debate. No discussion is allowed. If you disagree with them you are a transphobic bigot and you deserve to have no career

    This is no exaggeration. This is their exact approach, Extreme aggression, and a blatant attempt to suppress any debate. It is deeply sinister. It also works
  • EmeraldEmerald Posts: 55
    Leon said:

    Unfortunately, the stats on the mental health of our kids are not so upbeat and optimistic

    The gender agenda is just one part of this, of course. Social media is another big problem. Isolation and loneliness get worse. The damage done by the Covid closure of schools is now becoming horribly evident


    Canada said, "This is not just poor kids who are living in the urban centers. It's all over America. There's been a dramatic drop in ELA and in math scores. This goes along with the loss of students in school, with the increased violence that's happening, and the behavioral problems that kids are facing. In my career of more than 45 years, I've never seen anything like this."


    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/covids-education-crisis-a-lost-generation/
    I dont know if you read the article in the spectator about the damage caused by closure of schools in lockdown. The 140000 lockdown missing kids or something like that. But amazingly most parents supported school closures.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,787
    edited March 2023
    Cookie said:

    Isn't that how rapists ended up in women's prisons?
    Prisons policy is separate to GRR. The GRR bill just impacts the process of obtaining a GRC.

    Eg a rule that says 'no male-bodied sex offender to serve time in a women's prison' - this can be implemented regardless of whether GRR is passed or not passed.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    Emerald said:

    I dont know if you read the article in the spectator about the damage caused by closure of schools in lockdown. The 140000 lockdown missing kids or something like that. But amazingly most parents supported school closures.
    In retrospect the school closures were utterly catastrophic and a terrible error. Sweden bravely bucked that trend and well done them. Other countries, including the UK, will be reaping a bitter harvest from this blunder for a decade or more
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    Can we go back to the more cheerful debate about the SNP electing a truly disastrous leader?

    That was more fun
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,787
    Emerald said:

    I agree with you. Subdividing people by sex, race and sexuality is incredibly destructive not to mention anti social harmony.
    But what about women's spaces?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,507
    edited March 2023
    Here is a thought.

    Perhaps if de Santis stopped obsessing about dicks being displayed - other than himself - and tried to do something about guns, he would be doing more to protect children in America from harm.

    But he won't because his dick is on permanent display in the middle of his forehead. Easily visible with a microscope.

    Meanwhile this sort of thing will keep happening.

    Nashville Covenant School shooting: Multiple victims, shooter dead
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-65092102
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    The Deltapoll that got everyone excited last week turns out to have been an outlier ...

    Labour lead is fifteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 30% (-5)
    Lab 45% (-)
    Lib Dem 10% (+3)
    Other 15% (+2)
    Fieldwork: 24th - 27th March 2023

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1640391456052457472
  • The Deltapoll that got everyone excited last week turns out to have been an outlier ...

    Labour lead is fifteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 30% (-5)
    Lab 45% (-)
    Lib Dem 10% (+3)
    Other 15% (+2)
    Fieldwork: 24th - 27th March 2023

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1640391456052457472

    More realistic
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Carnyx said:

    I'm being polite and talking about what the previous poster was talking about. Which was disestablishment. A thoroughlfy necessary reform, as the Victorians iknew.
    Arguably the Church of Scotland is the established church in Scotland, the King vowing at his coronation to maintain its position as the national Protestant Church of Scotland
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    STV News - Police Scotland passes SNP fraud probe dossier to Crown Office
    https://news.stv.tv/politics/police-scotland-passes-snp-fraud-investigation-progress-report-to-crown-office-as-part-of-probe

    "Police probing fraud claims involving fundraising against the SNP have passed a dossier of information to the Crown Office.

    Officers investigating allegations that £600,000 of party funds raised by activists to continue the campaign for Scottish independence have “gone missing” say a progress report had been submitted before Nicola Sturgeon left office as First Minister.

    Sturgeon previously rejected the claims, insisting she is “not concerned” about the party’s finances.

    Police Scotland previously stated that a fraud allegation relating to the funds was “still being assessed to determine if an investigation is required”.

    A formal investigation started in July 2021 after at least 19 criminal complaints were made."
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,529


    RedfieldWilton

    Labour leads by 19%, the first time in 2023 that Labour has led by less than 20%.

    Westminster VI (26 March):

    Labour 46% (-1)
    Conservative 27% (+1)
    Liberal Democrat 10% (-1)
    Reform UK 8% (+3)
    Green 4% (-2)
    SNP 3% (-1)
    Other 2% (–)

    Changes +/- 19 March

    At that rate of change, by May elections we will be at Labour 41%, Conservatives 32%.....a 9 point gap with a year and a half to go to the election.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    Arguably the Church of Scotland is the established church in Scotland, the King vowing at his coronation to maintain its position as the national Protestant Church of Scotland
    But it's not established. It may be the one QE2 attended, but that doesn't make it established. For instance, its Moderatore doesn't have a seat in the Lords. And so on and so forth.

  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560
    Leon said:

    In retrospect the school closures were utterly catastrophic and a terrible error. Sweden bravely bucked that trend and well done them. Other countries, including the UK, will be reaping a bitter harvest from this blunder for a decade or more
    I agree with all of this except the first two words.
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560

    The Deltapoll that got everyone excited last week turns out to have been an outlier ...

    Labour lead is fifteen points in latest results from Deltapoll.
    Con 30% (-5)
    Lab 45% (-)
    Lib Dem 10% (+3)
    Other 15% (+2)
    Fieldwork: 24th - 27th March 2023

    https://twitter.com/DeltapollUK/status/1640391456052457472

    You mean, "The Deltapoll that pretty much everyone thought was an outlier last week"?
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,917
    HYUFD said:

    Wrong, for religious people like me only my religious marriage in the site of God counts.

    The Church of England can bless homosexual couples but it can't marry them. The Bible is clear marriage should only be for heterosexual couples in lifelong unions.
    Well, if the Bible is your criterion, you should be arguing that the death penalty should be brought back for practising homosexuals. And heterosexual adulterers too.

    In reality, I reckon your prejudices have very little to do with the Bible.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,262
    This cartoon on the "trans" question will annoy some, and amuse others:
    https://www.politico.com/gallery/2023/03/24/the-nations-cartoonists-on-the-week-in-politics-00088502?slide=10

    (As a fan of dinosaurs -- and children -- I'm in the latter category.)
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,161
    Carnyx said:

    In Scotland, marriage *was* a legal contract first and foremost after the Reformation. The religious bit was optional. Some folk liked to have the minister do it, but that wasn't the important bit. The actual agreement to get married was the important bit.

    Just goes to show how even extremely religious people can grasp that distinction.
    We also had the truly splendid per verba de futuro subsequente copula which surely inspired Meatloaf's Praying for the end of time and which was, of course, based upon the enforceability of a verbal promise.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 40,017
    Driver said:

    You mean, "The Deltapoll that pretty much everyone thought was an outlier last week"?
    There is a difference between PB and the rest of the world. Out there, the poll launched a thousand newspaper stories about the Tories being on course to win the next election!

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited March 2023
    Chris said:

    Well, if the Bible is your criterion, you should be arguing that the death penalty should be brought back for practising homosexuals. And heterosexual adulterers too.

    In reality, I reckon your prejudices have very little to do with the Bible.
    ...
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    ydoethur said:

    Here is a thought.

    Perhaps if de Santis stopped obsessing about dicks being displayed - other than himself - and tried to do something about guns, he would be doing more to protect children in America from harm.

    But he won't because his dick is on permanent display in the middle of his forehead. Easily visible with a microscope.

    Meanwhile this sort of thing will keep happening.

    Nashville Covenant School shooting: Multiple victims, shooter dead
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-65092102

    Desantis vows to do something about guns, unfortunately it's this:
    https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/29/politics/desantis-concealed-firearms/index.html
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    kamski said:

    Also according HYUFD
    "As marriage is a religious term and in the Koran and Bible based on a man and woman in lifelong union and creating and bringing up children."

    There's quite a lot wrong with that. For example, the Koran allows a man to have up to 4 wives. To any sane person this is a far bigger difference compared to *marriage=one woman plus one man*, than the difference between *marriage=one woman plus one man* and *marriage=one adult plus another adult*
    Well certainly in the Bible it is one man and woman for life for creation of children as Jesus attests
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    DavidL said:

    We also had the truly splendid per verba de futuro subsequente copula which surely inspired Meatloaf's Praying for the end of time and which was, of course, based upon the enforceability of a verbal promise.
    It's also interesting how some southern researchers find it difficult to appreciate that just because a marriage is not recorded in the Established Kirk (i.e. before state registration) that doesn't mean it didn't happen. I;ve known an authoritative academic source insist that someone was born in D&G when in fact any look in the nonconformist registers would yield the chap, completee with the right parents' names, in Ross-shire.
  • HYUFD said:

    Wrong, for religious people like me only my religious marriage in the site of God counts.

    The Church of England can bless homosexual couples but it can't marry them. The Bible is clear marriage should only be for heterosexual couples in lifelong unions.

    Just as the Church of England formally does not remarry divorcees either only blesses them unless on grounds of spousal adultery
    It is not true that the Church of England does not remarry divorcees. It is left to individual vicars to decide whether they will personally officiate and whether they will allow the particular parish church to be used.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Chris said:

    Well, if the Bible is your criterion, you should be arguing that the death penalty should be brought back for practising homosexuals. And heterosexual adulterers too.

    In reality, I reckon your prejudices have very little to do with the Bible.
    On some polls most do want the death penalty brought back, at least for murderers.

    The Church doesn't remarry adulterers either, even the King only got a blessing
  • My wife and I have received our state pension amounts for 23-24 confirming the 10.1% increase

    I did chuckle however that the DWP took the opportunity to advise me my pension will see a further increase next February when I become 80 of 25pence per week !!!!!
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Carnyx said:

    But it's not established. It may be the one QE2 attended, but that doesn't make it established. For instance, its Moderatore doesn't have a seat in the Lords. And so on and so forth.

    It is established as the Monarch vows to uphold it as the national Protestant church of Scotland.

    The Lutheran Church of Denmark is established, the Queen attends it but dies not Head it and it has no Lords
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    Gosh I'm glad there's no debate on trans issues.
    We'd never hear about owt else if there were a debate.
  • Taz said:
    Second best bit of news Starmer has had today. A two Peroni evening ahead for him.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,917
    HYUFD said:

    Well certainly in the Bible it is one man and woman for life for creation of children as Jesus attests
    You haven't read much of the Old Testament, apparently.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    My wife and I have received our state pension amounts for 23-24 confirming the 10.1% increase

    I did chuckle however that the DWP took the opportunity to advise me my pension will see a further increase next February when I become 80 of 25pence per week !!!!!

    I don't ever expect to have a pension. I think the country will probably run out of money before then.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    HYUFD said:

    Wrong, for religious people like me only my religious marriage in the site of God counts.

    The Church of England can bless homosexual couples but it can't marry them. The Bible is clear marriage should only be for heterosexual couples in lifelong unions.

    Just as the Church of England formally does not remarry divorcees either only blesses them unless on grounds of spousal adultery
    I'm being picky here. Do you mean the 'sight' of God, or is it one of the sites of God (so a church). I've always assumed the phrase was the former, but then there's a little bit of an issue as to why he might have blind spots.

    All a bit confused, but then very wisely the CoE doesn't have a person set up as infallible. (I do much prefer the Catholic's music though)
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    At that rate of change, by May elections we will be at Labour 41%, Conservatives 32%.....a 9 point gap with a year and a half to go to the election.
    Interesting, for some reason I had never considered extrapolating a one week rate of change between polls to predict future polling. Now I can see that not only will RefUK will be topping the polls by June, but that the Greens are only 3 weeks away from polling negative. Time for a trip to the bookies to get on......
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,917
    HYUFD said:

    On some polls most do want the death penalty brought back, at least for murderers.

    The Church doesn't remarry adulterers either, even the King only got a blessing
    I'm talking about the Biblical death penalty for adulterers, you half-wit!
  • HYUFD said:

    Well certainly in the Bible it is one man and woman for life for creation of children as Jesus attests
    Many people, including many Christians, do not take the bible literally and just leave it to those who are bigoted to form views like yourself

    Christ represented love and compassion not the intolerance you seem to portray
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,880
    I admit to sympathy for the trans community whom it see as a marginalised and vulnerable group, so maybe biased (but hardly more so than the rather more vocal commentators on the subject in these parts).

    Nevertheless I am confident the GRR bill has approximately zero to do with the SNP's travails or with independence.
  • I know many on these boards have frequently called Peak SNP on these boards, but as a Scottish correspondent, I'm calling Peak SNP.

    They had no good choices on this one, and HY is not a popular chap both internally and externally. They'll lose a load of seats in the central belt, and a lot of votes in the Highlands, Islands and Borders, so are unlikely to be the force they were.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Andy_JS said:

    I don't ever expect to have a pension. I think the country will probably run out of money before then.
    I think there will always be pensions at least til the AI take over, but if you are under 50 or so, expect it to be mostly/wholly means tested.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,085
    HYUFD said:

    Maybe Tory gains in Scotland as Sunak is more popular than Boris was in Scotland and Yousaf much less popular in Scotland than Sturgeon was
    You don't seem to get that we hate Tories with all our being
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339

    Second best bit of news Starmer has had today. A two Peroni evening ahead for him.
    Puts Corbyn's friends in Labour in a pretty horrible position. Do they back their party or Jezza? They can't do both.

    Vain old fool.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    edited March 2023
    Re schools.
    Our Year 7 are positively awful. The worst single cohort I can remember in any school I've ever been in.
    Simply arguing that schools shouldn't have closed (they did), arguing for a few "catch-up" lessons (they won't do the ones they already have), whilst continuing to cut funding, and slash all medical and pastoral outside agencies isn't an answer at all.
    They need a huge targeted intervention. Which will be costly. Otherwise, very soon we'll have lost them for good.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    Excellently piquant final para in a Guardian piece on Yousless

    "It is impossible yet to know if Scottish Labour will rise to the occasion and capitalise on the widening faultlines within the SNP. But it is worth noting that there are long-term supporters within the SNP who believe the best thing that could happen to the party would be a term out of office; and that Yousaf as first minister might be the best way to achieve it."

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/27/snp-humza-yousaf-leader-scotland-politics?CMP=share_btn_tw
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,672
    Glass beads on moon’s surface may hold billions of tonnes of water, scientists say
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/mar/27/glass-beads-on-moon-surface-hold-billions-of-tonnes-of-water-scientists-say

    Ought to be relatively easily extractable, too.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,085

    Reigned quite a long time,AIUI. Especially for a Scottish king.
    The tale of how he got there though OKC
  • kinabalu said:

    Prisons policy is separate to GRR. The GRR bill just impacts the process of obtaining a GRC.

    Indeed. And the thing most people will not be aware of is that it is presently impossible to obtain a GRC in Scotland, and the GRR would not, in the near term, have changed that. So all the hot air expended over the GRR is mostly wasted as it would not have, in practical terms, changed anything.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    It is established as the Monarch vows to uphold it as the national Protestant church of Scotland.

    The Lutheran Church of Denmark is established, the Queen attends it but dies not Head it and it has no Lords
    That's a new use of the word - and certainly not the Establismentarianism sense of the word. Doesn't make you right, bending it to fit.

  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Alex Massie in The Times - Loudest cheers for Humza Yousaf’s victory came from the opposition
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/98c4490c-ccaf-11ed-adc8-dcfa63cb4163?shareToken=56ea650413cee1435b007cb7aa0befc0

    "Yousaf was the “continuity” candidate, the man anointed as Sturgeon’s preferred successor. He enjoyed the clear and obvious and complete support of the outgoing leadership. His chief rival began her campaign by alienating the SNP’s “progressive” wing before proceeding to take a flame-thrower to her own government’s record in office. And yet, despite these apparent setbacks Kate Forbes came within an inch or two of winning."
  • SirNorfolkPassmoreSirNorfolkPassmore Posts: 7,286
    edited March 2023
    HYUFD said:

    On some polls most do want the death penalty brought back, at least for murderers.

    The Church doesn't remarry adulterers either, even the King only got a blessing
    Again, this is not true. Marrying people who have been married before - regardless of the circumstances in which the marriage ended - is a matter for individual vicars.

    Your confusion may be that the Church of England is legally required to marry people who have not been married before (with a legitimate connection to the particular church such as one of them residing in the parish) whereas they aren't legally required to marry people where one or both are divorcees. But they can and often do.

    I assume the King and Queen Consort chose to keep it relatively low key and get a blessing simply to avoid controversy. There is not a bar in either civil or ecclesiastical law to their getting a marriage ceremony (assuming the relevant vicar is happy with it) - you're simply wrong on this.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    Netanyahu pulls Judicial Reforms.
  • Andy_JS said:

    I don't ever expect to have a pension. I think the country will probably run out of money before then.
    I am sure you will receive a pension
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,793
    dixiedean said:

    Re schools.
    Our Year 7 are positively awful. The worst single cohort I can remember in any school I've ever been in.
    Simply arguing that schools shouldn't have closed (they did), arguing for a few "catch-up" lessons (they won't do the ones they already have), whilst continuing to cut funding, and slash all medical and pastoral outside agencies isn't an answer at all.
    They need a huge targeted intervention. Which will be costly. Otherwise, very soon we'll have lost them for good.

    In the experience of my local primary school, the years with the big problems are 1/2/3. Riven with problems in ways they haven't seen before.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    NEU to ask for rejection of (unfunded) 5% plus £1k payment and 4.5 % next year.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    I don't think I've heard the word "Muslim" on the six o'clock news in a long time. Was the word Hindu mentioned this much when Sunak became Tory leader?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    dixiedean said:

    Re schools.
    Our Year 7 are positively awful. The worst single cohort I can remember in any school I've ever been in.
    Simply arguing that schools shouldn't have closed (they did), arguing for a few "catch-up" lessons (they won't do the ones they already have), whilst continuing to cut funding, and slash all medical and pastoral outside agencies isn't an answer at all.
    They need a huge targeted intervention. Which will be costly. Otherwise, very soon we'll have lost them for good.

    I have a Uni lecturer friend who says the Covid cohort of undergrads are astonishingly under-educated, asocial, and awkward. They don't know how to interact, they lack basic knowledge and skills, they stare at their phones, they are lonely, graceless and sad

    What have we done?
  • tlg86 said:

    I don't think I've heard the word "Muslim" on the six o'clock news in a long time. Was the word Hindu mentioned this much when Sunak became Tory leader?

    Yes.

    Plus it was Diwali the next day.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,672
    LOL

    Daily Mail parent company invokes Human Rights Act to stop naming of journalists
    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/mar/27/daily-mail-parent-company-invokes-human-rights-act-to-stop-naming-of-journalists

    Bet that’s not how the Mail report it.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,467
    tlg86 said:

    I don't think I've heard the word "Muslim" on the six o'clock news in a long time. Was the word Hindu mentioned this much when Sunak became Tory leader?

    Charles isn't doing so well as the Defender of the CoE!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    edited March 2023
    Leon said:

    I have a Uni lecturer friend who says the Covid cohort of undergrads are astonishingly under-educated, asocial, and awkward. They don't know how to interact, they lack basic knowledge and skills, they stare at their phones, they are lonely, graceless and sad

    What have we done?
    That isn't a practical question.
    What will we do now? Is.
    I see no evidence of anything approaching the scale of the problems being suggested anywhere.
    What there is is focused almost solely on academic achievement.
    Which isn't the pressing, presenting issue at all.
  • dixiedean said:

    Re schools.
    Our Year 7 are positively awful. The worst single cohort I can remember in any school I've ever been in.
    Simply arguing that schools shouldn't have closed (they did), arguing for a few "catch-up" lessons (they won't do the ones they already have), whilst continuing to cut funding, and slash all medical and pastoral outside agencies isn't an answer at all.
    They need a huge targeted intervention. Which will be costly. Otherwise, very soon we'll have lost them for good.

    Asda ban school children due to bad behaviour and last week 15 girls set about a single girl nearby.

    It does make you despair

    Teens banned from Asda supermarket in North Wales

    https://www.dailypost.co.uk/news/north-wales-news/teens-banned-asda-supermarket-north-26570566#ICID=Android_DailyPostNewsApp_AppShare
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,529
    dixiedean said:

    Netanyahu pulls Judicial Reforms.

    He was at risk of his coalition collapsing if he didn't.

    Now he has, he risks his coalition collapsing.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536

    Yes.

    Plus it was Diwali the next day.
    Fair enough, I can't remember what I was doing when Sunak became PM.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,315
    edited March 2023
    Leon said:

    I've personally witnessed that parental pain, it is harrowing. I've no doubt that gender dysphoria is harrowing as well, but we should always err on the side of caution with teenagers. How can you KNOW you want your breasts to stop growing, age thirteen?

    Madness



    I wanted them to stop growing after 50..
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 14,005
    edited March 2023
    HYUFD said:

    Wrong, for religious people like me only my religious marriage in the site of God counts.

    The Church of England can bless homosexual couples but it can't marry them. The Bible is clear marriage should only be for heterosexual couples in lifelong unions.

    Just as the Church of England formally does not remarry divorcees either only blesses them unless on grounds of spousal adultery
    FWIW I don't think the CoE has yet formally approved and allowed blessing services of same sex couples. I think it is in the process.

    What is certain is that CoE clergy have an entire personal discretion over remarriage of divorcees. They can do so sometimes, always or never. This is a statutory discretion, Matrimonial Causes Act 1965, section 8:



    (2)No clergyman of the Church of England or the Church in Wales shall be compelled—
    (a)to solemnise the marriage of any person whose former marriage has been dissolved and whose former spouse is still living; or
    (b)to permit the marriage of such a person to be solemnised in the church or chapel of which he is the minister.


  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345
    On another note, Beeching's report 'Reshaping of Britain's Railways' was published sixty years ago today.

    I wonder how a contemporary PB would have discussed it? The Conservatives saying how necessary it was, whilst all the Labour people said they wouldn't enact the recommendations if they got power? (Only to enact them when they got power) ?

    Meanwhile, old farts would be discussing how the shortening hemlines of girl's skirts meant that the Apocalypse was on its way...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,672
    BTW, cheers for the Picard S3 recommendation, TSE.
    A vast improvement.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    "ScotNews
    @indyscotnews
    The body language of
    @AshReganSNP
    suggested anger/shock before the result was even announced.

    5,559 votes from 70,000 members for the only true pro-independence candidate means the
    @theSNP
    membership is no longer pro-indy – or the ballot was, in fact, rigged."

    https://twitter.com/indyscotnews/status/1640354667216478208
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,791
    TOPPING said:

    @Leon's view on self ID isn't a middle way. It is a busybody, outdated, old-fashioned, static view of the world.

    Most people don't give a hoot whether their best mate's daughter's best mate is transitioning. They worry about women's spaces and sport. That's your lot for most people.
    Do you have any statistical data whatsoever to underline this point you keep repeating, or is it just 'people don't care', 'many do', 'no they don't', 'yes they do', 'no they don't'?

    It is not terribly insightful so far.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,351
    Andy_JS said:

    "ScotNews
    @indyscotnews
    The body language of
    @AshReganSNP
    suggested anger/shock before the result was even announced.

    5,559 votes from 70,000 members for the only true pro-independence candidate means the
    @theSNP
    membership is no longer pro-indy – or the ballot was, in fact, rigged."

    https://twitter.com/indyscotnews/status/1640354667216478208

    Those are the only two plausible options?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    Do you have any statistical data whatsoever to underline this point you keep repeating, or is it just 'people don't care', 'many do', 'no they don't', 'yes they do', 'no they don't'?

    It is not terribly insightful so far.
    Do you care what gender people on PB are or identify as?
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,791
    Nigelb said:

    Glass beads on moon’s surface may hold billions of tonnes of water, scientists say
    https://www.theguardian.com/science/2023/mar/27/glass-beads-on-moon-surface-hold-billions-of-tonnes-of-water-scientists-say

    Ought to be relatively easily extractable, too.

    We have the same amount of water we've always had on earth, so why would we need more?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    Nigelb said:

    Grown old, by the sound of it.
    This seems to be your perpetual answer to everything

    Nothing is wrong anywhere, and anyone who says there is a problem is an old git

    I mean, it's an opinion, but it's not necessarily advancing the cause of interesting debate

    As I said I went to a party on Saturday full of friends I made during university days. A dozen close friends. Still hanging out and having a laugh four decades later. It is an enormous blessing. All that shared history. We know each other so well, and we help each other.

    These kids won't now have that

    eg Here's an account from an actual young person at university during Covid. It is terribly sad. They have missed out on one of the crucial parts of uni life: making friends, establishing networks, learning to live a full life

    "In January of 2022, a survey found that 64 per cent of respondents felt that the Covid-19 pandemic had a negative impact on their mental health and wellbeing during Autumn term"

    "The same sentiment was shared by a third year law student. 'People have been very cliquey throughout my time here. When people found their group in first year, they didn't want to venture out of that and found comfort in this. In seminars I found I can be friendly with people but it won't form a friendship. It’s kind of sad, on graduation day in a few months, I’m going to be surrounded by people I don’t know, and I will never know who they are. It’s hard to find that community later in the year.'"

    https://epigram.org.uk/2023/02/28/ghost-students-the-legacy-of-the-pandemic-on-the-covid-cohort-2/

  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Nigelb said:

    Grown old, by the sound of it.
    Must confess when I read it sounded like the kids haven't changed much since I retired 12 years ago. People really need to get a grip.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,791
    TOPPING said:

    Do you care what gender people on PB are or identify as?
    I don't see how that is of relevance. You have stated that people don't care about the issue full stop, not that they don't care what gender their fellow online discussion community participants are identifying as.
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Leon said:

    Excellently piquant final para in a Guardian piece on Yousless

    "It is impossible yet to know if Scottish Labour will rise to the occasion and capitalise on the widening faultlines within the SNP. But it is worth noting that there are long-term supporters within the SNP who believe the best thing that could happen to the party would be a term out of office; and that Yousaf as first minister might be the best way to achieve it."

    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/mar/27/snp-humza-yousaf-leader-scotland-politics?CMP=share_btn_tw

    I do wonder if Kate Forbes will end up feeling a sense of relief at losing this SNP leadership contest despite coming quite close to beating Humza Yousaf, and because what ever the outcome she managed to set out her stall as the future candidate for change. I have said it before and I will say it again, the current new SNP Leader and FM has been handed a poisoned chalice with an overflowing intray of domestic scandals that its become ever more difficult to keep a lid on in recent months.
  • Nigelb said:

    BTW, cheers for the Picard S3 recommendation, TSE.
    A vast improvement.

    I’ve not met anybody who doesn’t love season 3.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    algarkirk said:

    FWIW I don't think the CoE has yet formally approved and allowed blessing services of same sex couples. I think it is in the process.

    What is certain is that CoE clergy have an entire personal discretion over remarriage of divorcees. They can do so sometimes, always or never. This is a statutory discretion, Matrimonial Causes Act 1965, section 8:



    (2)No clergyman of the Church of England or the Church in Wales shall be compelled—
    (a)to solemnise the marriage of any person whose former marriage has been dissolved and whose former spouse is still living; or
    (b)to permit the marriage of such a person to be solemnised in the church or chapel of which he is the minister.


    Synod voted to bless homosexual couples last month
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    Since 1980 about 45% of insect species have become extinct says Radio 4.
    If true that is quite an astonishing stat.
    Puts all other issues into perspective.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    dixiedean said:

    That isn't a practical question.
    What will we do now? Is.
    I see no evidence of anything approaching the scale of the problems being suggested anywhere.
    What there is is focused almost solely on academic achievement.
    Which isn't the pressing, presenting issue at all.
    It is ONE of the issues. The loneliness and lack of social skills - due to lockdowns ets - is also a massive problem. Mental illness is surging in young people

    There is no easy answer. Dismissing these concerns as "old git typically worrying about young people" is somewhat puerile

  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,339
    Leon said:

    I have a Uni lecturer friend who says the Covid cohort of undergrads are astonishingly under-educated, asocial, and awkward. They don't know how to interact, they lack basic knowledge and skills, they stare at their phones, they are lonely, graceless and sad

    What have we done?
    We did a terrible thing that needed to be done. First time because there was a genuine crisis and second time because governmental wishful thinking turned a problem into a crisis. Lockdown being what you do as a last resort when other attempts at management have failed.

    But we did two bad things. Summer 2020 (June/July) could have been used for outdoor "school on the field'. Not trying to teach academic content, just socialisation. Think an Anglicised Summer Camp. Instead there was a rush to get some classes back to fully normal, which didn't really work and didn't touch some year groups at all. My younger one got half a day between March and July, which wasn't enough.

    Then, when schools did return, it was back on the treadmill. Also a mistake. One of the things good schools do is induct pupils into how we all run along together. After the lockdowns, that was needed everywhere, and it didn't happen. Denial was the order of the day.

    And it's going to continue causing problems. (The other one I see is kids who just don't get that exams matter.) But some of what we're seeing is what adults have always said about young people, coupled with the shock of seeing two years' change all at once.
  • tlg86 said:

    Fair enough, I can't remember what I was doing when Sunak became PM.
    I was having lunch with JohnO in Claridge’s celebrating.

    I was nearly delayed by Sunak’s motorcade.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661

    We have the same amount of water we've always had on earth, so why would we need more?
    The more fossil fuel we burn, the more water we make.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,345

    We have the same amount of water we've always had on earth, so why would we need more?
    *) Water to help the colonisation of space - we need water to live.
    *) Solar power + h20 = hydrogen and oxygen, which just so happens to make brilliant rocket fuel.

    Presence of water makes anywhere in space more livable - as long as that water is extractable.

    But always take claims with a pinch of salt: all too often doubts are thrown on claims of water having been found elsewhere in the solar system. And even then, it's a case of whether the water is actually realistically extractable or not. Imagine detecting 'water' on Earth, and trying to cope with (say) water at the poles, in the desert, in the Atlantic Ocean, or the Dead Sea. Or in the soil in your back garden.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,085
    fitalass said:

    STV News - Police Scotland passes SNP fraud probe dossier to Crown Office
    https://news.stv.tv/politics/police-scotland-passes-snp-fraud-investigation-progress-report-to-crown-office-as-part-of-probe

    "Police probing fraud claims involving fundraising against the SNP have passed a dossier of information to the Crown Office.

    Officers investigating allegations that £600,000 of party funds raised by activists to continue the campaign for Scottish independence have “gone missing” say a progress report had been submitted before Nicola Sturgeon left office as First Minister.

    Sturgeon previously rejected the claims, insisting she is “not concerned” about the party’s finances.

    Police Scotland previously stated that a fraud allegation relating to the funds was “still being assessed to determine if an investigation is required”.

    A formal investigation started in July 2021 after at least 19 criminal complaints were made."

    They were supposedly with Crown office months ago and decision was to proceed. Allegedly UK fraud squad involved now.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    Carnyx said:

    That's a new use of the word - and certainly not the Establismentarianism sense of the word. Doesn't make you right, bending it to fit.

    The Lutheran Church of Denmark is the established church there the Queen is a member she does not Head it and there is no House of Lords.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Church_of_Denmark
    The Church of Scotland is the national Protestant Church in Scotland as established by law

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,661

    On another note, Beeching's report 'Reshaping of Britain's Railways' was published sixty years ago today.

    I wonder how a contemporary PB would have discussed it? The Conservatives saying how necessary it was, whilst all the Labour people said they wouldn't enact the recommendations if they got power? (Only to enact them when they got power) ?

    Meanwhile, old farts would be discussing how the shortening hemlines of girl's skirts meant that the Apocalypse was on its way...

    And someone claiming that with slingback the Tories were bound to win in 64.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,731
    felix said:

    Must confess when I read it sounded like the kids haven't changed much since I retired 12 years ago. People really need to get a grip.
    This is a professional lecturer, not given to hyperbole, expressing to me his personal opinion that the kids now going into uni are mentally fucked by what they experienced aged 15-18 during Covid, in a way he has never seen before (unsurprising, given the unprecedented nature of the pando)

    And of course there is another cohort, those who were AT uni during Covid, who were fucked in a different way

    I recommend reading that linked article below, by a student. It is desperately sad

    And now, to the gym!

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009

    Many people, including many Christians, do not take the bible literally and just leave it to those who are bigoted to form views like yourself

    Christ represented love and compassion not the intolerance you seem to portray
    Christ made clear marriage was only for one man and one woman for life for the creation of children, you cannot contradict that as a Christian
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 4,491
    dixiedean said:

    Re schools.
    Our Year 7 are positively awful. The worst single cohort I can remember in any school I've ever been in.
    Simply arguing that schools shouldn't have closed (they did), arguing for a few "catch-up" lessons (they won't do the ones they already have), whilst continuing to cut funding, and slash all medical and pastoral outside agencies isn't an answer at all.
    They need a huge targeted intervention. Which will be costly. Otherwise, very soon we'll have lost them for good.

    i have to agree, not just year 7, but year 8.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,703

    I don't see how that is of relevance. You have stated that people don't care about the issue full stop, not that they don't care what gender their fellow online discussion community participants are identifying as.
    So I'll take that as a no.

    You don't care, I don't care, and Leon doesn't care.

    100% don't care. n =3.

    Why do you think there are other factors or environments which greatly differ from a random internet chat room.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,251
    ...
    Andy_JS said:

    I don't ever expect to have a pension. I think the country will probably run out of money before then.
    Just keep voting Conservative and you'll be fine.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,529
    dixiedean said:

    Since 1980 about 45% of insect species have become extinct says Radio 4.
    If true that is quite an astonishing stat.
    Puts all other issues into perspective.

    That is horrific. Probably rain-forest heavy in the extinction stakes, but we aren't covering ourselves in glory in Europe.
  • HYUFD said:

    Christ made clear marriage was only for one man and one woman for life for the creation of children, you cannot contradict that as a Christian
    Marriage existed long before Christ.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,009
    edited March 2023

    Again, this is not true. Marrying people who have been married before - regardless of the circumstances in which the marriage ended - is a matter for individual vicars.

    Your confusion may be that the Church of England is legally required to marry people who have not been married before (with a legitimate connection to the particular church such as one of them residing in the parish) whereas they aren't legally required to marry people where one or both are divorcees. But they can and often do.

    I assume the King and Queen Consort chose to keep it relatively low key and get a blessing simply to avoid controversy. There is not a bar in either civil or ecclesiastical law to their getting a marriage ceremony (assuming the relevant vicar is happy with it) - you're simply wrong on this.
    Wrong. Synod only approved remarriage of divorcees in certain circumstances.

    Priests are expected to ask the couple who are remarrying whether their relationship caused the divorce or if they have already been married more than once. If the answer to either is yes the Vicar is expected to refuse a full remarriage and at most only provide a blessing of the remarriage of the divorcees
    https://vardags.com/family-law/royal-marriage-meghan-markle-church-england
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    We have the same amount of water we've always had on earth, so why would we need more?
    For use on the moon. To drink, create oxygen; and create rocket fuel. Saves transporting it.
  • I saw Julian Pettifer OBE today, and found out that he lives on the same street as me

    Does anyone remember him?
This discussion has been closed.