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Is Johnson right about the polls just before he resigned last July – politicalbetting.com

Boris Johnson: “When I stepped down, we were only a handful of points behind the Labour Party… I’m just saying that”. YouGov poll conducted in the days before he quite as prime minister ?? pic.twitter.com/R2s4siZsaO
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It takes back control from him and his headbanger chums...
However, those poll deficits were just normal mid-term blues, whereas the Truss implosion has meant leads that are more like those in the terminal stage of an administration, like the mid-90s, or Labour in 2008. In both cases, there was some recovery by the election, but it wasn't enough.
So, as ever with politicians, it's a half-truth, rather than an outright lie.
(5 marks; show your workings)
Ordinarily this May would be a good opportunity for a similar post-election bounce but the Lib Dems are defending a lot of seats won at their 2019 high water mark.
Some of it can be cultural, if the nation has the right culture and viewpoint then debating areas of competencies can happen at elections, while if it doesn't, then it doesn't.
That's part of why the European Union suits many European countries, even if not this nation.
And on topic: Self-servingly wrong question by the Bozza. The real question is what the polls would have looked like now had he stayed on? There would still have been the cost of living problems and a continued drip drip of terrible behaviour by the government. He'd have avoided the Truss plunge, but that's about it.
Most polls certainly where in that range, and as you say in normal mid-term blues.
However what it overlooks is that Boris had to go for reasons unrelated to the polls. Even if the Tories were in a poll lead, I'd have still been calling for Boris to go.
I think that traffic filters, with their techno-feel, are perhaps a bit cakeist / complex. Simply filter traffic by mode, block through traffic, and have done with it.
I think that history (see various urbanist Youtube Channels such as Not Just Bikes) shows that a decent modal shift away from private vehicles (say 10-20%) reduces congestion, since other forms of urban transport are more efficient ways to move people around.
For the UK I think places where we get a third network of transport facilities, in addition to motor vehicle roads and footways, will be a revelation as we get to grips with the advantages for wheelchairs, mobility scooters, e-scooters, and other forms of micro-mobility transport which are not currently even in the system.
One of our problems is that police preached for decades that blocking paths to walkers and wheelers was important for security, and now we have local councillors irrevocably dedicated to now-illegal obstructions that are of no benefit. Greenwich put a new illegal barrier on the Thames Path in January, for example.
That tweet is a thread from a Highways professional, and was not done elsewhere.
For data on LTNs in London, here is one recent study on traffic from the Uni of Westminster:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-london-64319027
And one on traffic and emissions from Imperial College:
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/241731/low-traffic-neighbourhoods-reduce-pollution-surrounding-streets/
For Bozo the clown who knows that he is targeting people who don't care about details / experts it just the 3pm on Thursday lie.
We've had a couple of schemes consulted on recently, and you get a map scheme but without sufficient technical information such as measured and expected traffic flows, and 2 weeks to respond, when the thing does not meet National Guidelines for safety or quality. Not easy.
In the case of active travel schemes, we even currently have a profession that widely do not understand the users of the thing they are designing due to none having been designed for a generation.
So whilst it cannot be proven, his implication they'd be doing as well has reason to be questioned.
Newcastle United exposed as liars and should get kicked out of the Premier League
Premier League clubs have reacted with anger to the description in a US court document of the Newcastle chairman, Yasir al-Rumayyan, as “a sitting minister of the Saudi government”.
The development has prompted calls from Amnesty for the league to re-examine the assurances given by Newcastle’s owners that the Saudi state would not have control of the club.
The Guardian understands that the clubs dismayed by the situation are in no mood to let the matter lie. The document filed this week has raised fresh questions about the level of separation between the Saudi state and the Public Investment Fund (PIF), whose governor is Rumayyan.
A brief filed in a court case involving the PGA Tour and LIV Golf describes the PIF as “a sovereign instrumentality of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia” and Rumayyan as “a sitting minister of the Saudi government”.
https://www.theguardian.com/football/2023/mar/02/premier-league-newcastle-owners-us-court-case-amnesty
"Deputy First Minister John Swinney has announced he is leaving the Scottish government after nearly 16 years.
He will stand down once a new first minister is appointed later this month."
You can see Paterson and Partygate and Ukraine, along with the Truss Plunge and Small Sunak Bounceback. But between those, there is a steady decay of about 1 percent per month, every month. The relentlessness of that is the critical thing, because it has kept adding up.
My guess is that it's related to the cost of living squeeze; inflation started to exceed wage rises in the second half of 2021, albeit gently at first. But unless BoJo had an answer to it (and the track record is that he didn't) then he might well have ended up about where Sunak is now.
Many senior civil servants have served party leaders and vice versa.
Chris Meyer Press Secretary to Major then went on to become Ambassador to Germany then America.
https://www.jta.org/2023/03/01/united-states/feds-arrest-michigan-man-who-plotted-to-kill-jewish-elected-officials-in-the-state
...Jack Eugene Carpenter III, a resident of Tipton, Michigan, had tweeted on Feb. 17 that he was “heading back to Michigan now threatening to carry out the punishment of death to anyone that is jewish in the Michigan govt if they don’t leave, or confess,” according to the FBI’s affidavit. There are several prominent Jewish elected officials in the state, including Attorney General Dana Nessel, U.S. Rep. Elissa Slotkin and a handful of state senators and representatives.
In a tweet Thursday, Nessel said the FBI had confirmed she was one of Carpenter’s targets, and added, “It is my sincere hope that the federal authorities take this offense just as seriously as my Hate Crimes & Domestic Terrorism Unit takes plots to murder elected officials.”..,/i>
After all 'almost all government policy is wrong. But frightfully well carried out'.
But her name became big in politics for a time and she was senior. A longer period before a career in politics might have been sensible.
Gray should hold an Inquiry over her appointment.
Same in Oxford and Cambridge aiui, and to an extent in Notts / Nottingham - though here transport coordination seems better with eg the Robin Hood Line.
Might not hurt Newcastle, that’s been signed off so much FA face hurt in row back, but could hurt Manchester United more as their similar fudge has yet to be signed off so no face to lose by merely stamping a document “rejected”.
Still all ifs and buts though.
Edit and Dr Allin Khan and Thangam Debbonaire.
Loser clubs dismayed at losing a competitor for relegation.
All over the description of a public figure in a court document.
https://twitter.com/peston/status/1630960569585999874?s=46
Boris Johnson is a total fanny.
1 - If it does 30mph, it's a moped not an ebike (which top out assistance at 14.5mph), so is subject to all moped regulation. Speaking as a resident of Chiswick for 4 years, yes, confiscate and crush in those circs.
2 - Would you go for geo-locking and crushing to control pavement parking? It's an interesting idea, and pavement parking is a far greater disruption than anything any e-bike or moped does. I think Vine does a job of keeping some things in the public eye, which need to be there. I agree with him *some* of the time.
I find Mikey more interesting, and he does a decent job of getting dangerous drivers (which is his 'Gandalf' wrong-side-of-the-road drivers and all mobile phone using drivers) into continuing education courses, at a time when this country has *zero* routine continuing education for drivers, and an appalling road culture. It is interesting how much support he gets from senior members at places like Pistonheads and Pepipoo.
Far better if we were all updated every 10 years when we replace our photocards, but for now ROSPA, the IAM, Ashley Neal, Cycling Mikey, lots of dash cammers, and various bits and pieces are all we have.
Though Sunak has run a bit more of a competent less gaffe free government than Boris was in his final period as PM. The LD voteshare is also down from where it was under Boris. So Sunak has regained a few upper middle class Remainers Boris lost, while losing more working class voters to Labour and hardcore Leavers to RefUK
Is his 2nd job carrying out surveillance outside his local McDonalds. I thought he had a full time job.
I have seen some *terrible* cyclists; including some speed demons whilst on a run last Sunday. Six or seven lycra-clad pepperamis were coming towards me three abreast along a single track road, and instead of going into single or double file, they just ploughed on towards me at speed, forcing me onto the verge,
Wankers.
I'd love it if Vine gave examples where *he'd* got things wrong. Perhaps he does, but they never appear in my feed. But from what I see, he comes across as a little bit of a Peter Perfect.
Pavement parking for cars? or eVehicles? I've see visual impaired people tripping over piles of the various scouters, locally.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cambridgeshire-64824436
Build an NHS fit for the future
Make Britain’s streets safe
Breakdown the barriers to opportunity at every stage
Make Britain a clean energy superpower
Which is your favourite? See if it's the same as mine.
Speaking as a cyclist, tragic though it must be for the dead person's family, on the facts as reported that's an utterly ridiculous verdict:
1) If the police could not say it was a shared space, then it wasn't. Something is not a *shared space* unless clearly nominated as such. So if the report is accurate the judge has misdirected the jury.
2) Even if it was a shared space, the cyclist had no business cycling towards a pedestrian like that, as they would have right of way and must be given that way. (I would add, if it was a shared space it's totally unsuitable for it given how narrow it is.)
3) Shouting 'get off the fucking path' to somebody who is illegally cycling on the path and presenting a hazard is not actually an unreasonable thing to do.
4) How is it, to take this to its logical end, that an illegal motorcyclist round here riding at high speed on the pavement can get a telling off (literally, that is what Staffordshire Police will do) and somebody shouting at somebody to stop breaking the law, albeit with this horrible result, gets sent to prison?
An example of how the law can make a complete ass of itself.
A mum has wowed royal fans after transforming her son into Prince Harry for World Book Day.
📚
Three-year-old Ellis Wright is known for his bold personality. Keen to follow her son's wishes, as he didn't want a traditional costume for his first World Book Day at preschool, mum Melissa suggested the Duke of Sussex and author of Spare - and the youngster loved it.
📚
Using children's hair spray and face paint, she transformed Ellis into Prince Harry, complete with ginger hair and a beard, which her son picked as his favourite part of the outfit.
I mentioned some time ago that I had taken out a new BT contract last September and at the time I directly referred to the CPI+ 3.9% increase due in April 2023 and expressed concern. The representative accepted that they were under pressure and was aware of Ofcom’s interest in these charges. He said that if I agree the contract now then if I phone in March, they will ameliorate the increase. I took a note of the conversation, the staff member’s name, and the time.
As promised, I said I would let colleagues on this forum know of the outcome of my talks with BT in March.
Today I had that conversation and have agreed a new deal at less than my existing contract even before the April 14% increase, saving £14.25 per month.
Similarly, I received an increase notice from Sky, notwithstanding a new contract I took out in January this year, and again I managed to avoid the April increase and obtain a £9 per month reduction.
It seems that these companies are using these high price increases to take out new contracts, and in my case good savings, as I had already taken out new contracts with them in the last 6 months.
They do take quite a time on the phone to complete negotiations but remaining firm and polite, though the odd reference to Ofcom can be beneficial and I hope this information may be of assistance to colleagues.
I should say that in BT’s case I have full fibre broadband 100 + halo+ landline+ BT sport with second box + 2 sim cards.
If you want pretentious classical quotations or obscure historial references, though, he's your man.
"The trial was told that police could not "categorically" state whether the pavement was a shared cycleway."
stands out. I'd say that, as is not uncommon in the UK, poor road / cycle path design is the main culprit in this instance.
Edit: I'd add that the sentence does seem harsh, but perhaps that was partly due to the failure of the pedestrian to render any sort of aid after the accident.
When you sup with the devil, use a long spoon.
Boris’ comments there will also go down well with the anti lockdown, RefUK crowd
Meaningless soundbite
Meaningless soundbite
Meaningless soundbite
Or Meaningless soundbite
My favorite is meaningless soundbite but as SKS is a liar i fear it may end up in the meaningless soundbite bin by next month along with all the previous pledges/promises/missions
Pity
The pedestrian was rude, aggressive and apparently unremorseful, but from whats been reported manslaughter feels a very big stretch.
Political commentator
@ReemAmirIbrahim
calls for a free market health care service in the UK.
Looks like SKS material for Health Secretary if Streetings Pet Shop past catches up with him
However, a few points need to be made:
1) If it was designated as a cycleway, then it wasn't one and the cyclist was at fault.
2) Is that a killing matter? No. I cycle on pavements that are not cycleways from time to time. Am I breaking the law? Yes. Do I consider that, if the footpath is empty and I have a queue of traffic behind me, less important than letting them through? Also yes. But if there is anyone walking on the path - even if it's a shared way - I either revert to the road to avoid them, or stop to let them past. This person did neither.
3) Is there an issue on the ground where the road is dangerous for cyclists so they are using the pavement for that reason? The video suggests 'yes.' However, that doesn't alter the fact that this other person - who let us not forget is partially sighted so was not in a position to safely take avoiding action - was in the right. She said, in fact, something I have frequently said to motorcyclists riding on the pavement. And the judge, in saying otherwise, is in the wrong.
4) Does a cyclist deserve to die for that? Again, obviously not. But she was still in the wrong.
4) Could the report be wrong? Also yes. But if it isn't, there's been a clear miscarriage of justice. Bound over to keep the peace might be an appropriate verdict, a jail sentence is sheer lunacy.
That said, as you say the poor provision for cyclists to move about safely is probably at the root of the problem. But for that there would have been no problem.
I'm always a bit uneasy about sentencing that is based on outcomes of an action rather than the action. Had there not been a car passing, the sentence, if it even got to court, would have been minor. Likewise, there was a report on the BBC website a few days back about a lad who drove a car into the back of a lorry at high speed, after a police chase, where the lorry was bumped off the road and the car rebounded onto the chasing police car getting a suspended sentence. Luck brought no serious injuries in that case, but that looks to me to be the bigger crime.
ETA: Don't think the video was there when I first saw, or I missed it. Ridiculous shared space - an accident waiting to happen.
Drivers are massively under-regulated to the point of insanity, purely because they are such a powerful voting bloc. I find it grimly amusing that as someone who rides a scooter regularly (the motorcycle kind, not an e-scooter) I have to pass two practical tests to get a license, while car drivers only have to do one. If I want to ride a scooter with a larger engine I have to go back and do those tests again on a more powerful machine.
But drivers can do one test in a Ford Fiesta and then run off and buy a McLaren and possibly kill someone with it.
When I'm out riding I am not afraid of pedestrians, runners or cyclists. But I am very afraid of drivers, enough to treat each one like they are a blind, selfish, incompetent fool. Because far too many of them are. And the Government is not interested in getting them off the road until it's too late.
Want to reduce congestion, pollution and road fatalities? Make drivers sit a refresher test every 5 years and sort cars into categories based on power/size/wight and make people take a test on that type of car before they can drive it. A lot will fail because they're just not safe behind the wheel, which is why none of our political parties have the balls to try anything like this. They'll keep tinkering with 20mph limits and LTNs, ignoring the real problem because it's politically toxic to actually fix it.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-humber-64809523