The polling’s clear – a switch to Johnson is NOT the answer for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
The polling’s clear – a switch to Johnson is NOT the answer for the Tories – politicalbetting.com
This morning Ipsos issued their January leader ratings and as can be seen in the chart above the numbers are not very good for Boris Johnson.
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What that polling shows is that Sunak is now the Tories' best bet still given Brexit has been delivered. Sunak has higher favourables than Hunt, Braverman, Cleverly and Boris, just, as well as a better net rating than all his Tory rivals.
With the Tory rating back up to 30% with Deltapoll today and Johnson embroiled in a new scandal, my guess is Sunak now survives to lead the Tories at the next general election
Though even then only enough for Cameron to get a minority, and only on a pledge that we were "all in it together".
Hence Cardiff has an airport because without it no-one would invest in Wales. Likewise (thinking of the Friday flights from Schiphol) Norwich, Southampton and Exeter all of whom had 80 people who needed to fly from there on a Monday and back on a Friday.
Tough Cowboys loss. I haven’t seen a Texas defense collapse like that since the state’s junior senator was asked to defend his wife against Donald Trump.
Go Niners.
https://mobile.twitter.com/RepSwalwell/status/1617498981147283457
The Dallas Cowboys keep rewriting the book of playoff incompetence
Give them credit: America’s Team consistently find interesting ways to come up short in the postseason as their Super Bowl drought continues
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2023/jan/23/dallas-cowboys-playoff-loss-san-francisco-49ers-nfl-football
GO EAGLES !!!
It is true that there is a certain percentage of the current Tory party who would fail to meet these rigorous criteria but it is not large enough to get any momentum behind it.
https://mobile.twitter.com/g900ap/status/1617215165321060353
This is Olesya Krivtsova, she is 19 years old. She posted on Instagram about the war, she criticized Russia for its warmongering. Two fellow students reported her to the authorities. She is now charged with terrorism. She may get 10 years in jail.
I live within 10 mins of Newcastle Airport but usually fly from Edinburgh/Manchester/Birmingham for the same reason.
Before the border gets shut.
Western universities should hand out a few transfer scholarships, just to encourage the brain drain show impartiality in the war.
It's a classic example of a vanity project, and of the perils of throwing good money after bad. A failed enterprise that the Welsh Government daren't pull the plug on, because it would then be pilloried for the enormous waste of limited and desperately needed funds on a white elephant, and because of the affront to national pride. Thus the subsidies continue.
While he's there, Zahawi will probably bump into Dominic Raab.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-64345693
The timing is no accident: Vladimir Putin says that Russia is not only fighting Ukraine on the battlefield, but also "Western" values. During a speech in the Kremlin to mark the illegal annexation of four Ukrainian regions, the president lashed out at the West and LGBT rights, calling them "pure Satanism".
Four very good teams left in the playoffs. I wouldn't want to bet on this one.
a) I agree that Boris won because of Brexit and not just because of Corbyn, but I'm not sure you can argue that the logical deduction from that is otherwise May would have won, because May also had the other disadvantage of running the worst campaign ever seen. A 5 year old could have done better. Boris, for all I dislike his dishonesty, is a hell of a better campaigner than May. Still I agree 'Get Brexit Done' was the key factor.
b) Also I'm not sure you can argue Brexit has been delivered, although some do. It is like going into a Burger King and ordering a burger and chips and getting some uncooked mince and a potato.
Somewhere like Teeside could be revolutionised with a flight to London every couple of hours.
2. There was nothing wrong in the Welsh Govt buying the airport. The problem was the valuation. At about the same time, the Scottish Government bought a failing airport, Prestwick. They paid £1.
There is no more glaring example of the competency of the Welsh Govt versus the Scottish Govt than the tale of the two failing airports. One Govt paid £52 m, one paid a £1.
3 This is either incompetence or corruption.
Who benefitted? The Thomas brothers had a big stake in Cardiff Airport. Curiously, the same business men who benefitted from these doubtful deals
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-34973488
They were able to buy publicly-owned land at knock-down prices and made another £21 million.
This is South Wales. This is what happens when you have a perpetual hegemony that is never voted out of office.
Zahawi is a dead man walking.
I hadn't been previously aware that he was Chancellor whilst being investigated by his own department. That is surely terminal if nothing else is.
It shouldn't be beyond the wit, or means, of a devolved administration to create good transport links from the airport to both. You'd think the airport was in Rhayader to hear you talk about it.
LCY is the best airport in the world! Five minutes from the taxi rank to the gate, and rarely more than 10 in the other direction!
Struck me his decline is a little like Clarkson. His natural charisma has kept him in the frame longer than less naturally talented individuals despite a record of repeated misdemeanours.
But over time, like Clarkson, his star keeps waning until he reaches (of has already reached) the point of no return.
Tough call.
My earlier point about the location of Cardiff Airport is that it is out of the way enough for Bristolians that it makes as much sense for them to drive to Heathrow or Gatwick as it does to drive to Cardiff Airport so that's what they do, or for people getting the train, Bristol Parkway to Heathrow is now very easy with the Elizabeth Line via Reading.
You'd have to be a numpty to fly from Cardiff if you're not from Cardiff or Swansea.
Air’s advantage is that it’s easier and cheaper to scale up or down with demand.
Yes, HS2 should have gone to Heathrow, and yes it should have linked with HS1.
I got a head full of ideas, that are drivin' me insane
High quality 4 star. Always the best compromise. So you get the excellent facilities of a lower level 5 star - nice rooftop pool, jolly good food (but no foie gras nonsense), a really brilliant gym. A peerless location - literally the best place to be in Bangkok if you want to chill and have fun in a languid way. Plenty of attentive staff but no idiotic grovelling and gold plated furniture etc
So you pay £60 a night rather than £260 for a five star
ANYWAY one place where they do scrimp is the TV. No mainstream English news channels - no BBC, CNN, Fox, Sky, CBS, NBC, nothing
I rely entirely on Al Jazeera English for my TV news which gives a fascinating perspective. Conclusion: Britain is not massively important, I am sad to say. But then, neither is Germany, France, Spain, etc. It is a lesson in the diminishing importance of European nations. Britain in particular comes across as a mildly troubled rich nation with a lot of history, still a lucky country in several ways. Cold and grey however, and in need of a pick me up. But also with tons of soft power (subtly conveyed through other issues)
The EU (taken as a whole) looms a lot larger. A weird superpower in the making
America is seen as declining, but still very powerful. China is a massive potent enigma. Inscrutable (I am aware of these cliches). Russia is mad and mainly bad
Africa gets a lot of attention. Fucked but there is real hope. Ditto Latin America
The one place they over obsess about is Israel/Palestine of course. I ignore it in general, but the journalism is not useless. The journalism from Ukraine is incredible. Highly courageous (British-born journalists mainly)
The reporting on MENA is maybe the most revelatory. Iraq is viewed as an actual democracy with normal (if deeply serious) democratic problems
On the whole it is quite heartening, and very different from the relentless negativity of western news
New poll's finds:
🔸86% of Ukrainians support the country's accession to NATO
🔸87% favor the accession to the EU
🔸85% support a military and political union of Ukraine, Poland, and the UK
🔸80% are for a union of Ukraine, Poland, and Lithuania
https://mobile.twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1617531862309810185
Seems a little fanciful.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polish–Lithuanian_Commonwealth
Naturally it gets more biased the closer it gets to Islam, the Gulf states and Israel/Palestine. But that is not a huge chunk of its coverage (in English - I have no idea about AJ Arabic)
Aristos only.
The Ukraine bit was basically serfs and absentee landlords.
The first thing an independent Poland did after WW1 was invade Lithuania.
By the way, the Eurocentric view of World History is remedied by reading Peter Frankopan's 'The Silk Road' which makes you appreciate how recent and anomolous Europe's prominence in World Affairs really is.
It’s on soi 4 Sukhumvit! 5 mins walk from Nana Station and surrounded by the best bars and restaurants in the city. And tons of fun
And only 30 mins drive from the airport
I cannot think of a better location unless you are determined to live in Old Bangkok by the river and Wat Po etc. But that is like staying near Windsor Palace or Richmond if you are in London
Interesting that the more fanciful political unions are almost as popular as the more achievable. Probably a function of seeking any assistance with the current struggle.
Demolish Newport and replace with a new well connected airport.
The nuclear physics of why tritium is a challenge for fusion engineering
https://nickhawker.com/2023/01/22/the-nuclear-physics-of-why-tritium-is-a-challenge-for-fusion-engineering/
As an aside Istanbul actually decided that they don't need trains going the final leg into Istanbul so if you catch the train from Sofia / Bucharest you now arrive / leave at Halkali rather than Sirkeci and from Halkali you catch their Elizabeth line equivalent to Sirkeci or beyond.
Always seemed like the oddest thing to have opted out of, other than simply because we were an island. A massive boost for tourism in both directions, and it would free up border (and security) capacity at the ports to manage
freight and monitor smuggling.
Flying to Cardiff was so painful we always fly to Bristol.
We barely count people coming in or out, so we might as well join Schengen
Would help with the Irish border as well
Here's a link to the story about Germany having done a tank inventory early last summer:
https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/ukraine-krieg-diese-leopard-panzer-koennte-die-bundeswehr-abgeben-a-5df41a86-3110-4152-82c9-02afb552d5dd
Again, I would really prefer you to not put words into my mouth that I have not said. Which you repeatedly do. It is quite annoying, and fits with the pattern of you not bothering with facts, and being unable to tolerate any perspective that doesn't exactly fit with your prejudices.
Soon she'll be relegated to a footnote on Wikipedia when someone contends that she never passed any legislation, clearly therefore did not have the confidence of the House to get her business through, and so should be regarded only as a caretaker, or prospective, PM at most.
Liz Truss was never Prime Minister. Don't believe the woke conspiracy.
As any fool knows, you can't be a Tory PM unless you've received a FPN these days.
Another similar question though, and one which I cannot find addressed anywhere. What if the Chinese/Japanese peoples of East Asia had 'discovered' America first and colonised it from the Continent's West Coast? And why is there no evidence of attempts to do so?
Were they just naturally hearth-loving, or were their ships too primitive to make it a practical proposiiton?
https://www.kentlive.news/news/kent-news/boris-johnson-wife-carrie-viewed-8060405
Everton sack Frank Lampard
As far as East Asian relationships with North America I suspect the ships just weren’t up to it. Although there is, of course, some evidence of Chinese landings in what is now Australia.
Doubt pollster asked THAT question . . . but reckon support would be not far south of last option listed.
But I think there's some suggestion the book is better suited to the fiction section. An interesting read nevertheless.
ChatGPT has a tendency to hedge, so I wrote a script that successively sharpens the response until I get a concrete answer.
Every time we get a sentence back, we ask GPT-3 if those words were hedging. If so, we delete the vagueisms & prefix with phrases that drive specificity.
https://twitter.com/danielgross/status/1617542734591434755
https://twitter.com/JohnRentoul/status/1617545569253363712/photo/1
(actually I think Cooper is poll ramping wally)