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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Is Clegg set to announce his departure today?

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    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711

    Roger said:

    TP

    How can a Lib Dem party attacking from the left help Labour.


    We're talking an energetic new left leaning Party dishing the dirt on their ex partners. Anything that damages the Tories disproportionately helps Labour as the left's market leader.

    Sorry Roger, but if the lib dems gain support from their current low base, they have to take it off labour, as that is who labour have taken it off them. Labour lose out.
    In the latest Ashcroft national poll, the Liberal Democrat 2010 vote breaks down in this way:

    Con 14%
    Lab 19%
    LD 24%
    UKIP 13%
    Green 11%
    Ref/DK 13%

    A Lib Dem revival doesn't necessarily hurt Labour, it all depends on the details.
    Depends if Farron tacks to the left to hoover up the 2010 lib dem current labour voters (the ones Mike always goes on about)

    And anyway that was the Ashcroft poll which put the tories ahead anyway wasn't it? So that's not a great starting point for labour.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    RobD said:

    Maybe it's a rule the crossovers occur while I'm on a plane and party leaders quit while I'm on a train.

    In one of the marvel comics I'm fairly certain that The Avengers once had a train that converted into a plane.

    Never get on that. You may destroy the political fabric of this country if you did.
    I must experiment with other modes of long distance transport!
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,039

    Roger said:

    TP

    How can a Lib Dem party attacking from the left help Labour.


    We're talking an energetic new left leaning Party dishing the dirt on their ex partners. Anything that damages the Tories disproportionately helps Labour as the left's market leader.

    Sorry Roger, but if the lib dems gain support from their current low base, they have to take it off labour, as that is who labour have taken it off them. Labour lose out.
    In the latest Ashcroft national poll, the Liberal Democrat 2010 vote breaks down in this way:

    Con 14%
    Lab 19%
    LD 24%
    UKIP 13%
    Green 11%
    Ref/DK 13%

    A Lib Dem revival doesn't necessarily hurt Labour, it all depends on the details.
    Depends if Farron tacks to the left to hoover up the 2010 lib dem current labour voters (the ones Mike always goes on about)

    And anyway that was the Ashcroft poll which put the tories ahead anyway wasn't it? So that's not a great starting point for labour.
    If the new leader ..... whoever he or she is ...... tacks to the left, then it'll hurt the Greens as well as Labour
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn · 18 secs18 seconds ago
    We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf

    Boooooooooo
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    antifrank said:

    Clegg is now 1/4 to be the Lib Dem leader at the general election (at 6.30 am he was 1/16)

    I know I'm tempting fate, but that's value IMHO.

    Well, it won't be there by 2:30pm IMHO.
    I'm on this again. I've taken the view from some time ago that Nick Clegg would see it out, and today's scare seems to have been entirely driven by Mr Power.
    So who placed the 'flood of bets' overnight then?

    Having tried (and failed) to get the 5/1 at Ladbrokes, I'm staying out of this now. It's a literal gamble.
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151

    Roger said:

    TP

    How can a Lib Dem party attacking from the left help Labour.


    We're talking an energetic new left leaning Party dishing the dirt on their ex partners. Anything that damages the Tories disproportionately helps Labour as the left's market leader.

    Sorry Roger, but if the lib dems gain support from their current low base, they have to take it off labour, as that is who labour have taken it off them. Labour lose out.
    In the latest Ashcroft national poll, the Liberal Democrat 2010 vote breaks down in this way:

    Con 14%
    Lab 19%
    LD 24%
    UKIP 13%
    Green 11%
    Ref/DK 13%

    A Lib Dem revival doesn't necessarily hurt Labour, it all depends on the details.
    That's untypical; We didn't see that before the conference bounce, which will presumably die back down.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn · 18 secs18 seconds ago
    We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf

    Boooooooooo

    Ker (mini) ching.
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    DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn · 18 secs18 seconds ago
    We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf

    Boooooooooo

    Any bombshell like that would not be in the pre-circulated version.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    https://yougov.co.uk/opi/

    Hilarious juxtaposition in the photo of Clegg there.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    @tnewtondunn: We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Roger said:

    TP

    How can a Lib Dem party attacking from the left help Labour.


    We're talking an energetic new left leaning Party dishing the dirt on their ex partners. Anything that damages the Tories disproportionately helps Labour as the left's market leader.

    Sorry Roger, but if the lib dems gain support from their current low base, they have to take it off labour, as that is who labour have taken it off them. Labour lose out.
    In the latest Ashcroft national poll, the Liberal Democrat 2010 vote breaks down in this way:

    Con 14%
    Lab 19%
    LD 24%
    UKIP 13%
    Green 11%
    Ref/DK 13%

    A Lib Dem revival doesn't necessarily hurt Labour, it all depends on the details.
    Depends if Farron tacks to the left to hoover up the 2010 lib dem current labour voters (the ones Mike always goes on about)

    And anyway that was the Ashcroft poll which put the tories ahead anyway wasn't it? So that's not a great starting point for labour.
    Alright then. Taking an Ashcroft with a 6% lead for Labour (two weeks ago) and the splits are:

    Con 7%, Lab 24%, LD, 31%, UKIP 10%, Green 10%, Ref/DK 14%.

    UKIP, Green and Refused/Don't Know are more than Con and Lab combined.
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    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Would it? After the 2010 there wouldn't have been a hung parliament in England, Scotland or Wales (I think).

    England would have a Tory majority most of the time and definitely next time. No way the Lib Dems would vote for that.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Scrapping the House of Lords and creating an English parliament that uses PR would be my preferred solution. It can be housed in the upper chamber.

    The supreme court aspect should not be affected by this.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Would it? After the 2010 there wouldn't have been a hung parliament in England, Scotland or Wales (I think).

    England would have a Tory majority most of the time and definitely next time. No way the Lib Dems would vote for that.
    With an English Parliament there would still be a UK Parliament. There would be a chance that the English Parliament was hung when the UK Parliament was not.
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    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Would it? After the 2010 there wouldn't have been a hung parliament in England, Scotland or Wales (I think).

    England would have a Tory majority most of the time and definitely next time. No way the Lib Dems would vote for that.
    With an English Parliament there would still be a UK Parliament. There would be a chance that the English Parliament was hung when the UK Parliament was not.
    However it won't take much of a swing to guarantee a Labour majority as is well pointed out. By splitting the two there might a Labour UK majority but a hung parliament in England which the Lib-Dems could hold the balance of power for.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Would it? After the 2010 there wouldn't have been a hung parliament in England, Scotland or Wales (I think).

    England would have a Tory majority most of the time and definitely next time. No way the Lib Dems would vote for that.
    Depends on the system, new parliament wouldn't necessarily be FPTP.
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    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...
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    Pulpstar said:

    Patrick said:

    If Clegg goes AND they announce support for an English Parliament - well that might be a gamechanger for LibDem prospects.

    No chance of that. The anger on here at the idea of EV4EL from Lib Dems because it "helps the Tories" tells you everything you need to know.
    An English Parliament is quite different to messing around with the House of Commons. The Liberal Democrats have long been in favour of a federal UK.
    If it favours the Tories over Labour they will vote it down on a technicality.
    Splitting the governance of England from the governance of the UK will increase the probability of their being a hung Parliament in one of the Parliaments. Surely that would be to the Lib Dem's advantage?
    Would it? After the 2010 there wouldn't have been a hung parliament in England, Scotland or Wales (I think).

    England would have a Tory majority most of the time and definitely next time. No way the Lib Dems would vote for that.
    Depends on the system, new parliament wouldn't necessarily be FPTP.
    Ah now we're getting somewhere. The Lib Dems would have an English parliament if it allowed them to get PR by the back door.

    But just an EP on it's own? No chance.
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    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn · 18 secs18 seconds ago
    We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf

    Boooooooooo

    Any bombshell like that would not be in the pre-circulated version.
    Grand Moff Clegg: "Evacuate? In our moment of triumph? I think you over-estimate their chances!"
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    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...

    Clear outlier.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,039
    Clegg's wearing a red tie!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...

    At a quick glance the internals look "normal" to me too
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503

    Clegg's wearing a red tie!

    Was there a market on that?
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    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...

    Clear outlier.
    Maybe the polls giving the Blues the lead are all outliers :)
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    Clegg's wearing a red tie!

    Lab-Lib pact nailed on!
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    If there's a devolution announcement, as I said earlier, I reckon a Cornish Assembly to try and kill an English Parliament off forever (by carving England up into shitty little regions) and some city-regions will be what they go for.

    And what about places like Sussex or Herefordshire? They just get ruled by more and more MPs voting on issues that don't affect their constituents. This would just make the WLQ worse.
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    TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Deckchairs...


    @georgeeaton: Labour reshuffle likely next week, several sources have told me today.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...

    Clear outlier.
    Is Ashcroft the new Gold Standard ?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @georgeeaton: Labour reshuffle likely next week, several sources have told me today.
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,039

    Clegg's wearing a red tie!

    Lab-Lib pact nailed on!
    My thoughts exactly!
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    George Eaton ‏@georgeeaton · 6 mins6 minutes ago
    Labour reshuffle likely next week, several sources have told me today.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour reshuffle likely next week, several sources have told me today.

    So long as Ed and Ed don't shuffle themselves !
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    edited October 2014
    I guess if you're Clegg you must get a bit bored wearing a yellow tie all the time.

    I can think of a colour similar to yellow he could also wear, but, for that to have the desired effect, the Lib Dem conference would need to be held in Birmingham.
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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Tim Farron looks like a young Ken Livingstone.
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    TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    Pulpstar said:

    Scott_P said:

    @georgeeaton: Labour reshuffle likely next week, several sources have told me today.

    So long as Ed and Ed don't shuffle themselves !
    Postie Johnson to leader, Ed to the bins.
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    edited October 2014
    Paul Waugh ‏@paulwaugh · 38 secs38 seconds ago
    Clegg spksman: “Trust me, they [Vince/Farron] r in the speech..it’s not the full speech”. But brief sd 'Full text'

    So the speech isn't the full speech? Interesting.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    Socrates said:

    If there's a devolution announcement, as I said earlier, I reckon a Cornish Assembly to try and kill an English Parliament off forever (by carving England up into shitty little regions) and some city-regions will be what they go for.

    And what about places like Sussex or Herefordshire? They just get ruled by more and more MPs voting on issues that don't affect their constituents. This would just make the WLQ worse.
    The Liberal Democrat's stated policy is to devolve power away from Westminster, so that would presumably include to places like Sussex and Herefordshire which are majority Tory.

    I don't think the Lib Dems are quite as bad as Labour, who only wanted to devolve power to places where they could create power bases from which they could harass a future UK Conservative government.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    Sadiq Khan to step down in preparation for a tilt at London mayor ?

    Or too early for that sort of thing ?

    In my opinion promote Jim Murphy, demoting Tristram Hunt may be a good idea.

    Murphy is a big asset for Labour, Hunt less so.
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    OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143

    Paul Waugh ‏@paulwaugh · 38 secs38 seconds ago
    Clegg spksman: “Trust me, they [Vince/Farron] r in the speech..it’s not the full speech”. But brief sd 'Full text'

    So the speech isn't the full speech? Interesting.

    He, er, forgot to write bits of it down?
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884

    I see with the latest YouGov that Labour regain the advantage...

    Clear outlier.
    LOL

    I am going to see the last 2 films currently showing at Cineworld Nottingham that I havent already seen followed by Ross Noble next door.

    I expect another outlier to occur during the latter performance.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
    LD bloodletting.

    Media Guido ‏@MediaGuido 1m1 minute ago
    Poor BBC Social Media Execution http://order-order.com/2014/10/08/poor-bbc-social-media-execution/
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    Oops the Standard have suffered from premature posting

    Nick Clegg turned his guns on David Cameron and the Tories with the most aggressive attack yet on the “frenzied bile” of his Coalition partners.

    In his keynote speech to the Liberal Democrat conference in Glasgow, he took off his gloves after four years of power-sharing government. “David Cameron — you can copy our ideas but you will never imitate our values,” he said scathingly, after accusing the Prime Minister of stealing the Lib-Dem flagship policy of tax cuts for the poor.

    He railed at the “dated snobbery” of Conservative Right-wingers who sneered at vocational qualifications pushed in government by Lib-Dems.

    And in a dig aimed at former education secretary Michael Gove, now Chief Whip, he said: “Did you know Michael Gove raided the budget for much-needed school places in order to fund his Free School obsession? Did you see the frenzied bile from the Tory Right against our plan to give young children at primary school a healthy meal at lunchtime?”

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-blasts-snobbery-and-bile-of-tory-coalition-partners--conference-lib-dem-9782281.html
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Pulpstar said:

    At a quick glance the internals look "normal" to me too

    The Current Vote/2010 Vote ratios in it give:

    Labour 31.0%
    Tory 30.8%

    That's before Yougov work their magic.

    Curiously, the legendary SNP Indy lead one was 44% Yes/56% No before they put it through re-weighting, or whatever they do.

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    Has Nick Clegg been executed yet?
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    RobD said:

    Maybe it's a rule the crossovers occur while I'm on a plane and party leaders quit while I'm on a train.

    In one of the marvel comics I'm fairly certain that The Avengers once had a train that converted into a plane.

    Never get on that. You may destroy the political fabric of this country if you did.
    Nick Clegg to merge LibDems with UKIP?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985

    Tom Newton Dunn ‏@tnewtondunn · 18 secs18 seconds ago
    We've seen Clegg's speech now. The one thing he doesn't do in it is quit (sorry to disappoint the fan club) #ldconf

    Boooooooooo

    Any bombshell like that would not be in the pre-circulated version.
    Grand Moff Clegg: "Evacuate? In our moment of triumph? I think you over-estimate their chances!"
    *like*
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    chestnut said:

    Pulpstar said:

    At a quick glance the internals look "normal" to me too

    The Current Vote/2010 Vote ratios in it give:

    Labour 31.0%
    Tory 30.8%

    That's before Yougov work their magic.

    Curiously, the legendary SNP Indy lead one was 44% Yes/56% No before they put it through re-weighting, or whatever they do.

    35% may be a pipe dream for both Ed and Dave at the next election.
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Labour need a working class bruiser to attack Tories for their poshness on this crucial issue.

    It doesn't matter who labour have on education.

    Labour Bruiser....the tories are posh on education.

    Cons.....and how are things in Wales, the dunces of Europe under labour??

    Labour Bruiser......Oh, I....er....


    Discussion over.

    Until this year's PISAS, when the full horror of Welsh education is illustrated once again.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    India still odds on to get 325 or w/e they'll need.

    Flat as a pancake track ?
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,052
    Surprising start.... straight to the point.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972
    edited October 2014
    Nick Robinson
    Political editor
    Clegg's future
    Posted at 13:27
    Reflecting on Mr Clegg's future, Nick Robinson says he is likely to stay in his job even if the party loses half of its seats in the 2015 election. Even in that situation, the Lib Dems would still be "in the game" in terms of potentially holding the balance of power. But in the event of a big Conservative and Labour victory next year, the Lib Dems would have to "completely reinvent itself", he adds.

    I disagree with Nick's analysis, particularly if the numbers are there for a Lib-Lab pact.
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    PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I've always thought that too. And he's a large mouth - literally.

    Ken looked more rodent like IMO. Never thought Danny Alex did - I can't think what possessed Hattie to say that.
    Socrates said:

    Tim Farron looks like a young Ken Livingstone.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    Surprising start.... straight to the point.

    Can you summarise, can't watch it here.
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    manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sadiq Khan to step down in preparation for a tilt at London mayor ?

    Or too early for that sort of thing ?

    In my opinion promote Jim Murphy, demoting Tristram Hunt may be a good idea.

    Murphy is a big asset for Labour, Hunt less so.

    Murphy should be Shad Home Sec or Shad Foreign Sec. He's one of Labour's few really impressive performers (in fact he should be leader, and maybe will be if Ed loses in 2015).

    He did sterling work in Scotland. And of course having a Scot right at the top would help to stem the SNP surge.

    They should use him as much as possible, make him Deputy Leader as well.

    Hunt is competent but his backstory is appalling. The Honourable Tristam de Toncqueville Xander Octavian Hunt, OE, PPE, KCMG, ex Viceroy of India, or whatever he is, just has all the wrong optics for a Labour education minister. Labour need a working class bruiser to attack Tories for their poshness on this crucial issue.
    I doubt he will ever be Shad Home Sec (unless there was a major shake up) of their responsibilities because it would be bad politics (given where the English question stands) to have a Scottish MP in charge of devolved areas such as the police. One of the interesting things about the current Shadow Cabinet is that it is England friendly with the likes of Murphy dealing with the shared issues of International Aid (Alexander having the Foreign gig). Whether that is coincidental or not is unclear but I imagine that Labour would have been conscious of the risks of the English question long before it became an issue again.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    lol @ clegg the philosopher
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    Has Nick Clegg been executed yet?

    In 2010! He's the world's most long lived political zombie

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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
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    SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,711
    You know what, Cleggs sounding very passionate at least. You might disagree with him, but this is a good speech so far.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979

    Oops the Standard have suffered from premature posting

    Nick Clegg turned his guns on David Cameron and the Tories with the most aggressive attack yet on the “frenzied bile” of his Coalition partners.

    In his keynote speech to the Liberal Democrat conference in Glasgow, he took off his gloves after four years of power-sharing government. “David Cameron — you can copy our ideas but you will never imitate our values,” he said scathingly, after accusing the Prime Minister of stealing the Lib-Dem flagship policy of tax cuts for the poor.

    He railed at the “dated snobbery” of Conservative Right-wingers who sneered at vocational qualifications pushed in government by Lib-Dems.

    And in a dig aimed at former education secretary Michael Gove, now Chief Whip, he said: “Did you know Michael Gove raided the budget for much-needed school places in order to fund his Free School obsession? Did you see the frenzied bile from the Tory Right against our plan to give young children at primary school a healthy meal at lunchtime?”

    http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/nick-clegg-blasts-snobbery-and-bile-of-tory-coalition-partners--conference-lib-dem-9782281.html

    They did similar with Miliband's speech I think.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sadiq Khan to step down in preparation for a tilt at London mayor ?

    Or too early for that sort of thing ?

    In my opinion promote Jim Murphy, demoting Tristram Hunt may be a good idea.

    Murphy is a big asset for Labour, Hunt less so.

    Murphy should be Shad Home Sec or Shad Foreign Sec. He's one of Labour's few really impressive performers (in fact he should be leader, and maybe will be if Ed loses in 2015).

    He did sterling work in Scotland. And of course having a Scot right at the top would help to stem the SNP surge.

    They should use him as much as possible, make him Deputy Leader as well.

    Hunt is competent but his backstory is appalling. The Honourable Tristam de Toncqueville Xander Octavian Hunt, OE, PPE, KCMG, ex Viceroy of India, or whatever he is, just has all the wrong optics for a Labour education minister. Labour need a working class bruiser to attack Tories for their poshness on this crucial issue.
    I doubt he will ever be Shad Home Sec (unless there was a major shake) up of their responsibilities because it would be bad politics (given where the English question stands) to have a Scottish MP in charge of devolved areas such as the police. One of the interesting things about the current Shadow Cabinet is that it is England friendly with the likes of Murphy dealing with the shared issues of International Aid (Alexander having the Foreign gig). Whether that is coincidental or not is unclear but I imagine that Labour would have been conscious of the risks of the English question long before it became an issue again.
    Whereas Shadow Foreign Sec is still a UK issue. So probably the better of the two.

    Put Dougie in charge of electioneering or some such, he's OK but Murphy is better.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited October 2014

    onference in Glasgow, he took off his gloves after four years of power-sharing government. “David Cameron — you can copy our ideas but you will never imitate our values,”

    Thank God for that. The last thing we want is the PM adopting the LibDem values: sanctimony, duplicity, untrustworthiness, inconsistency, dishonesty, hypocrisy, and being all things to all men.

    Anyway, what school did Nick go to? How can you 'imitate' values?
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    You know what, Cleggs sounding very passionate at least. You might disagree with him, but this is a good speech so far.

    Joking apart, Clegg is the "Goldilocks" party leader. Lacking the smug Bullingdon posh-boy arrogance of Dave, and also the wonkish awkwardness of Ed.
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    dr_spyn said:
    Did he say anything interesting (I've heard about the mental health stuff)?
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,052
    Pulpstar said:

    Surprising start.... straight to the point.

    Can you summarise, can't watch it here.
    Straight in with the hostages and IS.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    The full text doesn't look as though it's got any obvious places for a secret inserted passage along the lines of:

    "It's been a lot of fun, but it's time for someone new to have a spin of the wheel - I quit."
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,377
    edited October 2014

    RobD said:

    Maybe it's a rule the crossovers occur while I'm on a plane and party leaders quit while I'm on a train.

    In one of the marvel comics I'm fairly certain that The Avengers once had a train that converted into a plane.

    Must have been inspired by this!:
    http://thepoptopshop.com/osc/images/Astrotrain.JPG
    http://i8.photobucket.com/albums/a27/Megatronium_X/Collections/G1TCAstrotrain.jpg
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Nick's getting a bit shouty.
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    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sadiq Khan to step down in preparation for a tilt at London mayor ?

    Or too early for that sort of thing ?

    In my opinion promote Jim Murphy, demoting Tristram Hunt may be a good idea.

    Murphy is a big asset for Labour, Hunt less so.

    Murphy should be Shad Home Sec or Shad Foreign Sec. He's one of Labour's few really impressive performers (in fact he should be leader, and maybe will be if Ed loses in 2015).

    He did sterling work in Scotland. And of course having a Scot right at the top would help to stem the SNP surge.

    They should use him as much as possible, make him Deputy Leader as well.

    Hunt is competent but his backstory is appalling. The Honourable Tristam de Toncqueville Xander Octavian Hunt, OE, PPE, KCMG, ex Viceroy of India, or whatever he is, just has all the wrong optics for a Labour education minister. Labour need a working class bruiser to attack Tories for their poshness on this crucial issue.
    I doubt he will ever be Shad Home Sec (unless there was a major shake) up of their responsibilities because it would be bad politics (given where the English question stands) to have a Scottish MP in charge of devolved areas such as the police. One of the interesting things about the current Shadow Cabinet is that it is England friendly with the likes of Murphy dealing with the shared issues of International Aid (Alexander having the Foreign gig). Whether that is coincidental or not is unclear but I imagine that Labour would have been conscious of the risks of the English question long before it became an issue again.
    Whereas Shadow Foreign Sec is still a UK issue. So probably the better of the two.

    Put Dougie in charge of electioneering or some such, he's OK but Murphy is better.
    Ah but wee dougie like young Ed was one of Gordon's Young Turk's. Ed's all for the 'Young Turks'. They've got all the big jobs
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979
    edited October 2014
    As well as "SAYING.THE .LAST.WORDS.SLOWLY.AND.LOUDLY", which all politicians seem guilty of, my latest Speech hate crime has just been committed by Clegg.. asking a question then using a rapid fire list of achievements to answer it yourself... Caroline Lucas does it, as does Cameron

    Reminds me of "What'll I get for Christmas for 'Er Indoors" by Arfur Daley & Terry McCann!
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @rowenamason: Nick Clegg urges voters not to judge him on the one policy not delivered (presume he means fees, not voting, lords or party funding reform)
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    This is all just a ruse to make us all watch his speech isn't it?

    That was my thought too.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    antifrank said:

    The full text doesn't look as though it's got any obvious places for a secret inserted passage along the lines of:

    "It's been a lot of fun, but it's time for someone new to have a spin of the wheel - I quit."

    At the end, surely?
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884
    Betting Post

    West Indies post 321runs in ODI against India

    Betfair has them at 2.30 to win surely that has to represent good value.

    Although India clearly have a chance of getting them but in my view 1.75 is not good value on India
  • Options
    Perhaps the big announcement is to follow that momentous mould breaking motion from earlier in the week. Perhaps Clegg is going to announce that the English Premier League is to be nationalised and that all games will in future end in a draw....

    http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/10/football-too-concerned-with-winning-say-lib-dem-activists/
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979

    Betting Post

    West Indies post 321runs in ODI against India

    Betfair has them at 2.30 to win surely that has to represent good value.

    Although India clearly have a chance of getting them but in my view 1.75 is not good value on India

    I have laid India at that price.

    ITWIHAGCOW
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,503
    antifrank said:

    The full text doesn't look as though it's got any obvious places for a secret inserted passage along the lines of:

    "It's been a lot of fun, but it's time for someone new to have a spin of the wheel - I quit."

    I just read it and thought exactly the same thing. Looks like your bet might be safe.
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    isam said:

    As well as "SAYING.THE .LAST.WORDS.SLOWLY.AND.LOUDLY", which all politicians seem guilty of, my latest Speech hate crime has just been committed by Clegg.. asking a question then using a rapid fire list of achievements to answer it yourself... Caroline Lucas does it, as does Cameron

    Drives me mad too. Ask yourself a question then answer yourself in a chatty way.

    "So what;s going to be happening in 2015? Well, we'll be launching our new range of even better doodads."

    So 1980s photocopier salesmen's convention.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Kevin_Maguire: Clegg says "shun the politics of blame and fear"...as blames the Cons and Lab and stokes fears of what both would do
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    edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,151
    antifrank said:

    The full text doesn't look as though it's got any obvious places for a secret inserted passage along the lines of:

    "It's been a lot of fun, but it's time for someone new to have a spin of the wheel - I quit."

    He'll adlib it: "Tough choices... bold reforms... Jesus, I can't do this shit any more"
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    Betting Post

    West Indies post 321runs in ODI against India

    Betfair has them at 2.30 to win surely that has to represent good value.

    Although India clearly have a chance of getting them but in my view 1.75 is not good value on India

    Thanx Bigjohn.

    Even on a flat track, that's a buy.
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    dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,289
    Louise Stewart trying out a novel predictive text error - executed for expected. Must be some unique software on her phone. It was an innocent mistake.

    Oddly enough it didn't work that way for me.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,052
    Passionate speech but the substance seems bland.

    However all the Tory bashing may have had an impact on the polls. Tories back down to 32% and government approval ratings back to -26 from -16.
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    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,882
    Definitely no EV4EL before the next election then..
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited October 2014
    "When I apologised for the disappointment and anger caused by our inability to scrap tuition fees"

    FFS, they need to get their messaging right on this.

    Nobody is mad that you didn't scrap tuition fees, Nick. If you'd left them at £3k, the issue would have been forgotton.

    We're mad that you pledged to scrap them, then tripled them instead.
    If you're going to apologise, apologise for the whole shebang.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979
    Pong said:

    "When I apologised for the disappointment and anger caused by our inability to scrap tuition fees"

    FFS, they need to get their messaging right on this.

    Nobody is mad that you didn't scrap tuition fees, Nick. If you'd left them at £3k, the issue would have been forgotton.

    We're mad that you pledged to scrap them, then tripled them instead.
    If you're going to apologise, apologise for the whole shebang.

    Indeed
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    I thought the rumor mill pointed at the departure from the cabinet of that LD Shetlands MP this week.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979

    isam said:

    As well as "SAYING.THE .LAST.WORDS.SLOWLY.AND.LOUDLY", which all politicians seem guilty of, my latest Speech hate crime has just been committed by Clegg.. asking a question then using a rapid fire list of achievements to answer it yourself... Caroline Lucas does it, as does Cameron

    Drives me mad too. Ask yourself a question then answer yourself in a chatty way.

    "So what;s going to be happening in 2015? Well, we'll be launching our new range of even better doodads."

    So 1980s photocopier salesmen's convention.
    Here is Lucas doing it on QT.. who told her this is an impressive technique? Awful IMO

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xiyd9yeUzzk
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Going big on Green.

    Lib Dems fighting the Greens
    Tories fighting Kippers
    Labour fighting the Scot Nats.
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884

    Betting Post

    West Indies post 321runs in ODI against India

    Betfair has them at 2.30 to win surely that has to represent good value.

    Although India clearly have a chance of getting them but in my view 1.75 is not good value on India

    Thanx Bigjohn.

    Even on a flat track, that's a buy.
    Requires biggest run chase ever on the ground too.

    Its by no means a certainty but almost 11/8 against on WI win having scored 321 has to be worth a small nibble.

    If India had posted that score WI would surely be about 5/1 to chase it down
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Rochester Betfair odds moving against Tories and Labour:

    http://www.betfair.com/exchange/politics/market?id=1.115707446
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    On Dave's command unleash hell on The Lib Dems.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @steve_hawkes: Nick Clegg revealing private conversations with George Osborne about previous Budgets - that'll go down a storm with No.11

    @GeorgeWParker: Hmm. Dangerous precedent Clegg disclosing private conversations with Osborne to amuse lib dem conference?
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    bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 21,884
    Off now to bash the Unlimited Card good luck if anyone followed my WI tip
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,052

    On Dave's command unleash hell on The Lib Dems.

    How? I don't see Dad's army frightening them very much.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,972

    Betting Post

    West Indies post 321runs in ODI against India

    Betfair has them at 2.30 to win surely that has to represent good value.

    Although India clearly have a chance of getting them but in my view 1.75 is not good value on India

    Thanx Bigjohn.

    Even on a flat track, that's a buy.
    Requires biggest run chase ever on the ground too.

    Its by no means a certainty but almost 11/8 against on WI win having scored 321 has to be worth a small nibble.

    If India had posted that score WI would surely be about 5/1 to chase it down
    Have stuck £15 liability on India - they are good but looks a coin toss to me.
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    isamisam Posts: 40,979
    Scott_P said:

    @steve_hawkes: Nick Clegg revealing private conversations with George Osborne about previous Budgets - that'll go down a storm with No.11

    @GeorgeWParker: Hmm. Dangerous precedent Clegg disclosing private conversations with Osborne to amuse lib dem conference?

    Cameron does it with conversations he has had with the Queen, and he uses them to take the piss out of her, so the Tories cant really complain
  • Options

    On Dave's command unleash hell on The Lib Dems.

    How? I don't see Dad's army frightening them very much.
    We have Boris.
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    He is NOT about to stand down. The "big surprise" announcement is that he takes himself seriously.
This discussion has been closed.