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The next cabinet minister to go – politicalbetting.com

Looking at this market from William Hill on the next cabinet member to leave I can understand why the disgraced national security risk Suella Braverman is the favourite but my money and value is on Ben Wallace at 25/1.
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[Sunak] trailed Starmer by 34 to 30 when voters were asked who would make the best prime minister, with 33 per cent saying they were not sure.
After the implosion of her mini-budget, Truss had trailed Starmer by 42-13 on the same measure.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/new-pm-rishi-sunak-gets-polls-bounce-h9hxl7rss
https://twitter.com/cjil7777/status/1582410605029228544?s=46&t=LhVF6Ixln7dlIl4EHwCKnA
Is the next headline 'Rishi slashes next Labour majority from 400 to 325"?
It's roulette wheel style political betting.
No bet.
The value is probably on Cruela. She just cannot resist screwing up.
£10 charge if you miss an appointment, £10 paid if the GP is running more than 30 minutes late for a routine appointment.
Question is how much of a backbone will Sunak have. Losing your HS early looks bad, but if it stops the scandal and we get someone sensible in the story will recede very quickly.
Although that would more likely make him third or fourth out, as that logic could well still outlast Braverman.
The best PM ratings will become more meaningful if: (1) the Tories really start eating into the Labour lead; (2) Sunak pulls way ahead of Starmer, but the Labour lead remains quite high as that will indicate stuff happening under the bonnet. Again, we’ll get a better idea on that post-Christmas.
Right now, voters seem sick and tired of Conservative government. Who runs it is less significant. That’s the bit that really matters. And that’s one reason why the Braverman appointment and all the other old faces was so politically inept - it just says more of the same. Sunak has to change this narrative. It will be tough but it’s not impossible. Starmer is not Blair. Not many are.
Sunak promised in August, during his first bid for the Conservative leadership, that he would create a new “Brexit delivery unit”, a pledge illustrated by a video of an official shredding EU laws to the strains of “Ode to Joy”, the European anthem.
But Sunak’s aides admitted on Wednesday that the new unit would not be created. “The time for changes in the machinery of government has passed,” said one ally.
https://www.ft.com/content/ec7142e5-6798-4a2b-901a-b3d583fea2b2
Between Chancellor, Home Secretary and Foreign Secretary by keeping all of Truss's appointees he's managed to stock them with a no hoper and the only 2 people he beat in head-to-head polling back in the Summer.
Maybe he is better at politics than I gave him credit for.
My prediction is that negotiations will be tough, but a deal will be made because both sides have much more to lose from not doing a deal.
https://twitter.com/skynews/status/1585362210523648009?s=46&t=MR0RvTp-dCr-GHWMb65iDw
This is actually an exaggeration. It’s 1-2% of YOUNGER Albanian males. But it gives a scale
And this is why Rwanda will work. These are not asylum seekers from Sudan or Syria. They are European men gaming the system. Offer them a 5% chance that their game will end in central Africa and they will stop coming
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/oct/26/charity-founded-by-jeremy-hunt-patient-safety-watch-chief-executive-adam-smith
"A charity founded by the chancellor, Jeremy Hunt, paid more than £110,000 – two-thirds of its income – to his former political adviser Adam Smith, who lost his job over a lobbying scandal."
Also, the lumbering oaf hasn't really demonstrated anything that indicates he'd be any good at it.
https://twitter.com/Anna_Soubry/status/1585321325668667393
Instead of pursuing this BNP policy, why not engage with policies that will actually work:
1 Create legal routes for people to claim asylum
2 Go gangbusters on companies employing illegals
3 Co-operate with the French and EU on managing the situation
Foaming at the mouth dreaming of drowning people in the channel is not a policy. No matter how many semis it generates with Tory party members.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/mi5-security-lessons-for-leaky-sue-wtws56pxd
Home Office source said the briefing was part of “ensuring the department can abide by its statutory duties.”
They said Braverman had regularly shared sensitive government information on her personal phone and email. “She never used her work phone."
Braverman has been nicknamed “leaky Sue” by government insiders but sources close to her insisted she is “very careful and conscious” of her responsibility to protect sensitive information and dismissed the nickname as “an invention of the last few days”.
In the real world WTE GP numbers are lower, yet they are 20% more people having appointments and they are not allowed to close their patient lists. You simply cannot fit a quart into a pint pot.
a) she doesn't deny the nickname and
b) accidentally implies that, while she's been leaking for ages, the late arrival of the nickname indicates that she was only found out in the last week or so...
What is that total loser Nick Gibb doing back as Schools minister?
He's done it for years and he's done more damage than I would ever have imagined possible.
He's more useless than Suella Braverman.
Sunak simply hasn't shown any sense when picking his ministers. This is going to be a car crash.
'Hunt part funds the charity but it also solicits donations from the public on its website.'
'It was established in 2019 to conduct research [on patient safety issues], but appears to have produced no papers since then. [...] Its main output appears to be a blog and publishing newsletters from Hunt in his capacity as founder and trustee of the charity. The annual accounts explain that the charity chose not to publish its research – some of which has been completed – while the NHS remained under significant Covid-related pressure and it would do so “when the climate is right”.'
You do need time to do and write up research, to be fair, but three years on is beginning to push it. That covid excuse is looking a bit odd for a Tory operation (unless they are being more realistic than some). Yet why keep shtum on patient safety?
There's also the possibility that the website has simply not been kept up to date or accurate - it is not clear to me how much digging the Graun did beyond that. But an obsolete website content is asking for trouble, as with any charity that makes that mistake.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeWParker/status/1585528907016577026
No legal way to claim asylum here for the nations who make up the biggest boat people flows
No agreement with Rwanda to actually send actual people
Apart from that your grand plan is spot on. Though being called stupid by you is like being called similar by Corbynites - grin inducing comedy...
Braverman controversially appointed. The only person who can make this policy work
Braverman and the policy fail
Braverman fired, policy dropped and its failure hung around her neck
Is Sunak that smart?
Now Rishi Rich and *unt have opened the bag and tipped it out onto the living room carpet.
It's a massive gaping loophole.
So no, he's not that smart. He's just showing he doesn't know how to pick good options.
About the only thing to be said in his defence is that the Tories are running out of halfway capable options which is why you have such an unpleasant mixture of retreads and retards.
Labour have a similar problem, which makes me uneasy. But at least they would be different.
Will the DUP reap the electoral rewards for being obstructive, petulant rsoles, ie a violent kick up the hoop?
It also laughs hard in the face of the many many thousands of people who spend years and money trying to claim citizenship - legally. Fuck it. Just cross the Channel and dump your passport. Sorted. The French will wave you on your way. Why take the legal route?
This scandal is only going to get bigger until a government gets tough
Can they not be put to work as an Army of Loft Laggers?
https://mobile.twitter.com/PiersUncensored/status/1585361104062058508
Regarding the Official Secrets Act, does a government minister have "lawful authority" to leak information if they subsequently resign for that leak ?
Look at that list. It's a crap shoot.
It will also likely be for something stupid/criminal they did before getting their job in the Rishi Cabinet, not for their performance in it. A question of what gets unearthed first.
'We need to sort out asylum!'
'Fine, I'll put Braverman in it.'
They'll probably take saying he's ready to do a deal over the NI protocol as a sign of weakness and take concessions off the table as a result - try and push him.
He needs to be very clear: no means no. A good deal yes, on terms that work for the UK.
You've got to play hardball with these ideological bureaucrats.
Not sure whether you’re joking. But I believe that is the intention. Withdraw from the ECHR. Redefine asylum
We'd just be compelled to admit a lot of people very quickly.
1. ID cards
2. Offer a route to citizenship in return for grassing on employers of illegal immigrants.
They all dump their documents. There is no way of sorting them “promptly” that does not involve simply accepting their claims to asylum. Your proposal therefore = “let them all in quickly”. Thus inviting millions more
You are a cretin