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So why haven’t Team Boris announced the names or his candidacy? – politicalbetting.com
So why haven’t Team Boris announced the names or his candidacy? – politicalbetting.com
Exc: here is the message Heaton Harris has just sent, claiming Boris will be on the ballot: https://t.co/rsrTpzMKWi pic.twitter.com/lrFNzSE6Xw
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Like Johnson in the members vote...
I think.
Told one prominent Boris supporter is phoning MPs saying “we have to keep going. We have to kill off Rishi, and we have to kill off everyone who supports Rishi”. MP tells me, “Boris’s hard core supporters have gone mad. It’s like Waco in there”. So that’s reassuring…
https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1584226891807879168
#Russia detonates dirty bomb in #Ukraine. Blames Ukraine for ‘provocation’. Then drops tactical nuke in ‘retaliation’ before 1st bomb it attributed
https://twitter.com/CovertShores/status/1584223234139951106
Re PR:
There's no perfect system: all contain many, many faults. The only question, really, is which faults do you find least offensive.
My view is that we should move to small multi member wards for local councils (say 3 councilors per ward) elected by STV, and see how that works for us. If it improves governance, then we can talk about whether we'd like to do something similar with Westminster.
@MrHarryCole
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52m
NEW: Chris Heaton Harris tells Boris supporters Whatsapp that the verified paperwork with 100 names backing Johnson has been "completed".
Wins the members vote 52/48
Lying and mendacious tactics should be expected.
Even if Boris Johnson drops dead of a heart attack it will be denied by some of his supporters. Nadine Dorries will declare that she spoke to him just last night.
Surely with most organisations the nominators all sign the "entry form" of the candidate?
'Boris has been in the Caribbean as he felt that was the best way to ensure his successor had a free run and wouldn't have to be concerned about big dog watching over her in parliament. When it became clear Truss would resign, he cut short his holiday, rushing back to the UK to endorse Rishi Sunak in person. He felt this was the best way ensure that the party would unite around a new leader and that his supporters wouldn't then cause trouble for Sunak who is now in a position to lead a united party and therefore give Britain the leadership it needs.'
US slang: slug = counterfeit change, for use in subway turnstiles & similar.
Also means a garden pest known for slime and sloth.
This could all be a play to give him the “I had 100 but for sake of unity etc I withdraw” magnanimous shtick.
https://www.businessinsider.com/zelenskyy-russia-plans-blow-up-dam-soviet-wwii-tactic-2022-10?r=US&IR=T
At least 6, ideally 8 to 10.
If Boris says he's not standing at some point then Brady might receive a whole bunch of noms for her with anti Sunak MPs very quickly.
However, against that there are still 100 unknowns on the Guido site and 129 on ConHome.
Guido paste green cells to 100 now
What you been up to?
I’d been reading through the debates when PR got passed by Parliament in 1917 (but died in inter-House ping-pong): MPs opposed to STV frequently decried it for strengthening the constituency link, and giving advantage to a type of MP they called “the grubber” who worked their constituency hard - because it gave a choice of MP within Party, and thus the MP couldn’t just get in based on their Party.
I think if Boris actually had them he'd formally launch his campaign. Everyone else has.
US Senator, US House, WA Secretary of State, state senate & state house - those choices already decided before today.
What's slowing me down are 1) some contested judicial races (lower level) where I need to do a bit of research (mostly via official voters pamphlet); and 2) competing ballot measures re: changing current Top Two primary system for nominating mayor, city attorney and city councilmembers to something different.
Something different being primary with either
A - affirmative voting (vote for as many candidates as you want for just one position, with Top Two total vote-getters advancing to general; or
B - ranked choice voting (up to five choices) in order of preference, with Top Two finishers advancing.
Of the options, personally prefer A. However, am NOT sure I really want to chance current system; on balance think I probably am.
Based on the Guido 'named' nomimations
Sunak 226
Johnson 91
Mordaunt 38
Based on the Guido named + anonymous nomimations
Sunak 212
Johnson 105
Mordaunt 38
Take your pick.
Rishi +18
Boris +2
Penny +1
I assume CHH has an (optimistic) list that looks like the latter, hence his OTT tweet.
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges Twitter
Senior Penny Mordaunt ally: "The 100 names thing tonight is definitely a bluff. We've had more Boris backers trickle over and there's increased nervousness within his camp".
7:04 PM · Oct 23, 2022
It's clearly deliberate to imply they have the 100... but there's enough there if you read it carefully to allow him to deny that's what he meant.
Coincidence? Kismet? Karma? Conservative?
But nor he has he yet pulled out.
The ERG are due to decide tomorrow who they plump for. Though that itself suggests a level of Boris skepticism. Baker, Braverman and IDS are all on Team Rishi.
I know there is a theory that Boris needs to be voted down in a GE, but that underestimates the damage he is capable of.
With luck he will be forced to withdraw from this race in humiliating fashion, and be out of Parliament in a few months under censure from the Privileges Committee.
It does seem as if the Ukranians are pushing towards the dam rather than to Kherson city itself.