The first favourability ratings on Truss don’t look good – politicalbetting.com
The first favourability ratings on Truss don’t look good – politicalbetting.com
The above from People Polling for GB News is the first leader rating data we have since she was elected and as can be seen just 15% view her favourably. That compares with a whopping 51% saying unfavourable.
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My guess is they will be pretty good for about 2 weeks, then she will start to struggle as inflation bites. True, she's trying to mitigate it, but saying 'hey, things would be more shit without me' isn't a winning strategy.
I do think she will get sympathy for being appointed the week the Queen died, and so far she has handled it well.
Edit - and I am truly fucking fed up with autocorrect changing 'ill' to 'I'll' all the bloody time, but at least I can say I got a first.
It never did, he never got very popular, he never won.
I think they're done
But she is sailing into overwhelming headwinds and, after 12 years, the public wants the Tories out. That’s it. Sunak would not have done any better. The Tories are doomed
That's not to say her actions will have a negligible impact. Economically they may do the job. But politically it's always a hard sell to say, 'yes, things are worse but if it wasn't for me they would be much worse.' It didn't work for either Brown or Major, who took drastic action to save the economy from total collapse and still got blamed for the ensuing still fairly serious problems their corrective measures caused.
What General Weygand has called the Battle of France is over. I expect the Battle of Britain is about to begin. Upon this battle depends the survival of Christian civilisation. Upon it depends our own British life, and the long continuity of our institutions and our Empire. The whole fury and might of the enemy must very soon be turned on us. Hitler knows that he will have to break us in this island or lose the war. If we can stand up to him, all Europe may be freed and the life of the world may move forward into broad, sunlit uplands. But if we fail, then the whole world, including the United States, including all that we have known and cared for, will sink into the abyss of a new Dark Age made more sinister, and perhaps more protracted, by the lights of perverted science. Let us therefore brace ourselves to our duties, and so bear ourselves that, if the British Empire and its Commonwealth last for a thousand years, men will still say, 'This was their finest hour.'
NEW: Westminster Voting Intention poll (7 Sep): People Polling
🔴 LAB: 40% (-2 from 30 Aug)
🔵 CON: 28% (+3)
🟠 LDM: 9% (-1)
🟢 GRN: 7% (=)
🟡 SNP: 5% (=)
It appears energy companies are to contact consumers with details of the energy cap this month, and deduct £66 per month from October bills each month for 6 months, something Starmer was to cancel in his plans
A friend was awarded a knighthood for his research. It seems a queue was formed of recipients to briefly be presented to her Maj. Anyway, when it was his turn she asked him what he did (quantum chaos) whereupon he gave a paragraph answer. He sez she looked briefly like she had been coshed.
His retelling was affectionate. As a republican myself I forgive him for accepting the gong because he is brilliant and of humble provenance.
Make no mistake, the Queen's legacy, as I see it, is that there is great value in application and doing one's very best.
Arguably Starmer’s similar neutrality means
he’s being rated as “standard labour” too. And Davey is very much standard LibDem.
Whither the days of decidedly non-neutral Boris, Jeremy and Jo?
I wanted Johnson gone and had reservations about Truss but she has impressed me and just as Labour fans are ramping Starmer some of us will promote Truss
And by the way what is wrong with my statement and labour supporters seem to be getting quite worried, which they should
The Blessed Liz isn't doing anything clever.
You are a hypocrite.
No midterm polls matter, never have done, never will do.
Midterm polls before this week has been digested? Even more worthless than normal.
Taking a poll when the media is talking about £3600 energy bills and 15% inflation is completely different to when the energy bills have been addressed and inflation is expected to be 5% lower, but even that announcement was overshadowed by what happened while it was being announced.
Techne didnt report today and it looks like they've gone fortnightly.
Of course, polling may be sparse during mourning so that further messes with the September hawks
Tonight the EU have failed to agree an energy price cap and shortly Italy is likely to elect a far right pro Putin government
Liz Truss has been thrown in at the deep end and she is doing fine. Not perfect but under the difficult circumstances, very well. Head and shoulders better than Johnson would have handled it.
If she jettisons all the ERG/CRG/ goodness knows what elseRG nonsense I would have more time for her. And if she can turn the economy around that doesn't worry me. In fact I would be relieved.
Tbh now isn't really the time for party political ramping and to be honest not many on here are indulging.
Strong rumours that Ukrainian troops have entered Izyum. I am struggling to understand how they could have broken through the Russian lines with such ease but there you go.
Maybe Gordon Brown could help her?
However, I understand on NI, Blair and Ahern are in intensive talks with the EU, UK and Ireland over an acceptable compromise and Truss is due to go to Ireland shortly, so let us hope common sense prevails
People think that 'Putin is being pushed back', and that 'Russia poses no conventional military threat to Europe'; but they just haven't thought it through.
Theyre playing on like its not all totally buggered
If the EU can negotiate to implement her solutions via an agreed path, instead of it being unilaterally imposed, they can save face and diplomatic niceties can be maintained and we can all move on from Brexit-era arguments.
Putin being pushed back doesn't threaten nuclear war.
If Putin tried to suggest launching nukes when his Generals know he has lost a crazy war, he would be on a crash course of learning how to fly from an upper story window faster than you can say defenestration.
Since we're part of the European gas market what are we currently trying to do about the raw prices? I've not heard much from our new government. They have come down from the charts I'm reading, not far off half the price of the (admittedly very sharp) peak.
I think that Truss could well win a general election and then do a John major and keep going for 6-7 years.
Tribal Labour may view anything short of workable majority as a failure but the 60-odd percent of the electorate who don’t want the Tories in power will happily take Labour as largest party (and about 55% will take Labour largest but without reliance on SNP).
I really have no idea about 2024 but who would have prediced this 'event' even 7 days ago
A week is a long time in politics
All goes back to the discussion earlier; 'careful what you wish for'.
Electorate seems to be saying time for a change. And Liz has, overnight, neutralised the biggest attack line on Keir, that he’s wooden and unexciting.
https://youtu.be/yLCUhL11fLI
The sound and serious point behind your view is that Labour really need to make some progress in Scotland to win an overall majority. There isn't much sign of that yet. It could happen though, and even if it doesn't a Tory meltdown would do it on its own. The polls are currently unreliable but they are hinting that Conservative support may be down to bedrock at about 30%. That would just about do it for Labour.
I'm reluctantly inclined to agree with out footsore flintknapping friend Leon. The Tories are cattle trucked.
Would anyone in his government or armed forces oppose him if he ordered the use of a battlefield nuke? I'd argue that, based on what we've seen, no.
The question then becomes, would he be mad enough to issue the order? The answer probably lies in his calculation of what the west would do in response. Would we intervene with boots on the ground? How quickly could such a situation escalate into a full-blown nuclear exchange? If he rightly or wrongly assumes we wouldn't dare escalate, then it's his only trump card in a battle he can't otherwise win. A way to tell the world - "do as I say, because now the gloves are off".
Unfortunately I have to concur with Tims' original comment - that the risk of nuclear escalation is the highest it's been since the conflict began.
If the Russian regime panics and Putin starts to fear getting too close to upper floor windows then he / they may be tempted to do something stupid.
It’ll only happen after some weeks of threat and blackmail. In which case NATO needs to be crystal clear about what such an escalation would mean: the complete annihilation of Russia (and by extension of course, most of the rest of the Northern hemisphere). That’s the point of MAD.
It will take time to see. Anyone who says anything for certain now is only trying to convince themselves, the future is unwritten and unclear.
https://tribunecontentagency.com/article/20220907edstc-a-tif/
Which had the misfortune to be published in the Washington Post two days ago.
(Stantis is an interesting fellow. As well as drawing editorial cartoons (many of which I like), he draws a regular comic strip, Prickly City, featuring Carmen, a conservative (now Libertarian) African-American girl, and Winslow, a liberal coyote in the desert: https://www.gocomics.com/pricklycity/2022/09/09 It seems to draw more readers who are annoyed with it, than do most comic strips.)
I'm not fussed if she seems wooden.
I'm not fussed about the significance or otherwise of her bloody necklace.
What I am fussed about is that she is a right-wing ideolog who could cause significant damage to this country before we get the chance to remove her from office.
Having the best known Royal family in the world is about the only thing left we as the United Kingdom still lead the world in. It would be absurd to give it up
I don't have a clue. And nor, I believe, does anybody else (notwithstanding a steady first three days).