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The Roe v Wade ruling has made the Midterms less predictable – politicalbetting.com

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  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    Fixing football matches so our teams win is one of the less tangible benefits of Brexit.
    I am struggling to think of any benefits of Brexit more tangible that that tbh.
  • You don't believe there is anything that stands above that principle? That if the majority in Britain decided to drive all the non-whites out of the country or kill them then we should accept it because that is what the majority want?

    Surely the whole point of our system is to ensure that there are some standards which are fundamentally important and which no amount of mob rule can be allowed to overturn.

    A mature democracy is one where there is a balance between the separate parts of the state to ensure no one part of it is overly powerful. The US has ceased to be a mature democracy - if it ever really was one.
    And who decides upon these fundamentally important standards ?

    We don't have to go much distance in either time or place to find ideas on fundamentally important standards very different to those we have here and now.

    Likewise what we think of as fundamentally important standards might seem very wrong to people in the future.
  • It was a cheque from HMRC that don't scan in the app or fit in the machines.
    The app has a limit. Machines do not. At least, that has been my experience over the past several years.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    dixiedean said:

    Value basic lines are increasingly sold out as well.
    Lots of Value basic lines were completely dropped over the last few years.

    I believe Asda and Tesco have recently reintroduced them.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Brexit and London showing we're a global city.

    Two African players from Viborg FF will not be able to travel for their Europa Conference League playoff against West Ham due to English entry rules for non-EU citizens after Brexit, the Danish club said on Wednesday.

    Nigerian winger Ibrahim Said and Gambian forward Alassana Jatta will have to stay behind as the club could not secure visas for the two players before Thursday’s first leg at the London Stadium.


    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/aug/17/viborg-lose-two-african-players-for-west-ham-playoff-due-to-visa-problems

    FFS, quit your bitching. We brexited. Rejoice
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    kle4 said:

    Heck, let's tell Malta we're accepting that 1956 referendum after all, with an independence take backsies.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1956_Maltese_United_Kingdom_integration_referendum
    What a stupid mistake we made. We'd now have our own chunk of the Med. DUH
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    Leon said:

    What a stupid mistake we made. We'd now have our own chunk of the Med. DUH
    Perhaps France had the right idea with their various overseas territories being counted as part of France proper after all.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296
    Leon said:

    FFS, quit your bitching. We brexited. Rejoice
    Yeah, too right. Stop bothering happy Brexiteers with, er, facts and stuff.
  • carnforthcarnforth Posts: 5,697
    edited August 2022

    Brexit and London showing we're a global city.

    Two African players from Viborg FF will not be able to travel for their Europa Conference League playoff against West Ham due to English entry rules for non-EU citizens after Brexit, the Danish club said on Wednesday.

    Nigerian winger Ibrahim Said and Gambian forward Alassana Jatta will have to stay behind as the club could not secure visas for the two players before Thursday’s first leg at the London Stadium.


    https://www.theguardian.com/football/2022/aug/17/viborg-lose-two-african-players-for-west-ham-playoff-due-to-visa-problems

    The article doesn't say what would have allowed them visa-free access before Brexit. Was a residents card for an EU country sufficient pre-brexit for tourism for a non-EU citizen of a nationality normally requiring a visa? Was it sufficient for playing in a professional football match? I don't think it was on either count. The Guardian does not choose to tell us...
  • Alistair said:

    That's the point of the Vimes Boot Index that the ONS is indeed working on.

    And the reason they are up so much is easy to grasp.

    500g on basics value pasta has just as many fixed transportation costs as 500g of regular pasta or a 500g of speciality pasta. So if the 23p bag of pasts rises by 5pence due to fuel costs and the 85p bag of regular pasta rises 5 pence then the middle class shopper ahs seen their pasta cost rise 6% whilst the pverty level shopper has seen their costs rise 22%.

    Indeed the middle class shopper also has the option of dropping down to the value range and slashing their food bills, the poverty level purchaser has the choice of dropping down to no food at all
    In more general terms people with money also have the opportunity to bulk buy when cheap offers are available and to shop around which the poor do not have.

    The lack of opportunity and flexibility makes life more inherently risky.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    Leon said:

    What a stupid mistake we made. We'd now have our own chunk of the Med. DUH
    Malta’s GDP per capita (PPP) was just below the UK’s in 2019 and may well now have overtaken it, despite the place being as corrupt as fuck.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    kle4 said:

    Perhaps France had the right idea with their various overseas territories being counted as part of France proper after all.
    I believe they did. Tho for them there was an overwhelming cultural imperative: tying territories to France kept them French - in language, especially - that the UK has never faced. Thanks to the might of the English language and the sheer extent of the British Empire -and the vigour of the USA - we were always assured the world would speak English, and so it is. The English speaking world dominates the west, and much of the rest

    The depths of French paranoia about the decline of French language prestige are hard to overstate
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited August 2022
    170 people turned up for the hustings tonight.
    Was at a Step 5 football game with over double that last night.
    Utterly pointless masturbation.
    It's like the Great Reform Act never happened.
  • https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-62564122

    Ukraine war: Thousands of Jews quit Russia amid fears of persecution

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530
    Terry Gilliam.

    Hero.

  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Could it be that the upward effect of the gas price has a downward effect on the oil price? Inflation, less money to spend, recession more likely, interest rate rises. Oil is also the much bigger earner for the Russian economy. RCS or someone else will probably tell me I'm wrong but these high gas prices might actually work against Russia.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Malta’s GDP per capita (PPP) was just below the UK’s in 2019 and may well now have overtaken it, despite the place being as corrupt as fuck.
    They have cleverly positioned themselves as the English speaking, sort-of-British yet-still-EU island in the Med, where you can park your money, no questions asked. Like a sunnier Ireland
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    geoffw said:

    Inflation means a continuously rising general price level. Putin's actions have caused a gas and oil shortage which has pushed up their price relative to other goods and services. Converting that into a continuing process for prices in general (including factor prices like the price of labour, i.e. wages) is down to the BoE and the government.
    Can you suggest any good or service whose price is not affected by the price of diesel?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    edited August 2022

    The issue there is with making the appointment of judges a political matter rather than with the power they exercise.
    If ultimate political power resides with the judges, then the judges are political.

    This is exactly why, when an attempt was made to use equalities legislation to wrest control of pensions and benefits from Parliament, the U.K. Supreme Court said no. They are the arbiters of the law as passed by Parliament. Not the creators of law.

    And Socrates got done for being the tutor of the men who formed an especially nasty and tyrannical government.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,814
    Leon said:

    What a stupid mistake we made. We'd now have our own chunk of the Med. DUH
    With brief flashes of good, governments since the 50's have been fairly rubbish.

    In a way it's exciting that we can't afford rubbish governments any more. Let's see what our Liz can do.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    Could it be that the upward effect of the gas price has a downward effect on the oil price? Inflation, less money to spend, recession more likely, interest rate rises. Oil is also the much bigger earner for the Russian economy. RCS or someone else will probably tell me I'm wrong but these high gas prices might actually work against Russia.

    Putin has fecked Ru whatever happens to energy price now.

    No one in the West will rely on his supply every again.

    He thinks he's a geopolitical strategic genius but he's not.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012

    Could it be that the upward effect of the gas price has a downward effect on the oil price? Inflation, less money to spend, recession more likely, interest rate rises. Oil is also the much bigger earner for the Russian economy. RCS or someone else will probably tell me I'm wrong but these high gas prices might actually work against Russia.

    No. Oil and gas are, to a certain degree, substitutes. When the price of gas rises some earlier gas usage is switched to oil, i.e. the demand for oil rises and pushes up its price.

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    dixiedean said:

    170 people turned up for the hustings tonight.
    Was at a Step 5 football game with over double that last night.
    Utterly pointless masturbation.
    It's like the Great Reform Act never happened.

    I've never read it, but did it ever set any rules about how the Commons decides who has its confidence? As far as I can see no choice is being taken away from us, we never had a choice who the partys decided to pick as their leaders or how they picked them. Sure, at GE time we at least know who the leader is, but there's be a great many switches outside that.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-62564122

    Ukraine war: Thousands of Jews quit Russia amid fears of persecution

    Maybe they might consider going to a country where over 70% of people voted for a Jewish president.
  • And who decides upon these fundamentally important standards ?

    We don't have to go much distance in either time or place to find ideas on fundamentally important standards very different to those we have here and now.

    Likewise what we think of as fundamentally important standards might seem very wrong to people in the future.
    Well the US set them out in a document a couple of hundred years ago and they seem pretty good.

    But basically what you are saying is that there are no fundamental standards we should all adhere to and that might is right. So you would obviously not be complaining if someone came and burnt your house down to prove that point.

    The end point of your thinking is civil war. It has happened before and will happen again if you give too much power to one branch of the state over another. As TSE pointed out earlier, the US is already fucked. They don't walk back from this. What matters is that we learn the lessons of their mistakes better than they have.
  • Sean_F said:

    At a guess, I'd think the Highlands and Islands, and much of rural France.
    There's a few French departments which have lost population during the last century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_French_departments_by_population

    and probably more over the last two centuries.

    This is the most extreme case:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creuse#Demographics

    Perhaps the closest English equivalent is Richmondshire:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-61981623
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    There's a few French departments which have lost population during the last century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_French_departments_by_population

    and probably more over the last two centuries.

    This is the most extreme case:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creuse#Demographics

    Perhaps the closest English equivalent is Richmondshire:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-61981623
    Nothing like Ireland, post-Famine
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    I believe they did. Tho for them there was an overwhelming cultural imperative: tying territories to France kept them French - in language, especially - that the UK has never faced. Thanks to the might of the English language and the sheer extent of the British Empire -and the vigour of the USA - we were always assured the world would speak English, and so it is. The English speaking world dominates the west, and much of the rest

    The depths of French paranoia about the decline of French language prestige are hard to overstate
    And the consequences. I can't get my head around Rwanda, but it does seem millions were macheted to death because la francophonie mon brave.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    kle4 said:

    I've never read it, but did it ever set any rules about how the Commons decides who has its confidence? As far as I can see no choice is being taken away from us, we never had a choice who the partys decided to pick as their leaders or how they picked them. Sure, at GE time we at least know who the leader is, but there's be a great many switches outside that.
    Yes but.
    This was the basis why we should have a six week campaign. So everyone could see the candidates up close. And yet no one seems much interested at all. There were bigger crowds when I was watching Wigan A team in the 80's.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    kle4 said:


    A school district in suburban Fort Worth, Texas, has ordered its librarians to remove an illustrated adaptation of “The Diary of Anne Frank” from their shelves and digital libraries, along with the Bible and dozens of other books that were challenged by parents last year


    Should make allies of some different groups to get outraged by this. The people behind it seem on the level

    describing parents who would attend school board meetings alleging “conspiracies to take over our public schools,” wearing shirts reading “Alex Jones Was Right.”
    This is what happens in a culture war. Both sides lost the plot.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    dixiedean said:

    Yes but.
    This was the basis why we should have a six week campaign. So everyone could see the candidates up close. And yet no one seems much interested at all. There were bigger crowds when I was watching Wigan A team in the 80's.
    We saw them up close.
    And they were very disappointing.

    Winter is coming.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Bits of the Empire we should have kept. And which wanted to be kept!

    Malta

    The Seychelles

    The Maldives

    Sri Lanka!

    Scotland (phew!)

    Papua New Guinea

    Menorca

    Bahamas, possibly

    New Hebrides

    Why the fuck didn't we keep them? That would have been an impressive array of possessions
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198
    Nigelb said:

    .

    Agreed.
    And the principle of checks and balances between the legislature, executive and judiciary is of course precisely the basis on which the US Constitution was designed.
    Ultimately, as the IS is demonstrating, you can’t legislate virtue.

    Men are not made for constitutions. Constitutions are made for men.

    The law is the summation of the current views of a society. The reason we don’t lynch gay people is not the laws against such disgusting behaviour. It is the fact that 99%+ of the country finds the idea abhorrent. The laws are there to deal with the extremely tiny minority of scumbags, and to codify the moral position of society.

    Finding some magical Guardians who can sit on a cloud and be Perfect and Just isn’t going to work.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    IshmaelZ said:

    Can you suggest any good or service whose price is not affected by the price of diesel?
    It is rather old fashioned nowadays, but the kind of info you are after is to be found in input-output tables, where you will see that the price of practically anything is affected by the price of everyting else. But you are right, the oil price will have a pervasive influence on all other goods. However, the general price level is the price of money in terms of all goods and services. Inflation is the inverse of the growth in the price of money.

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    I don't think so. It's a big factor, certainly on energy, but not the whole story.

    There is no way we would not be facing high inflation now even if Vlad had no stirred from his dacha.



    GB News
    @GBNEWS
    ·
    9h
    'Inflation, in my view, is driven by the fact that the world was locked down for two years and is yet to fully reboot.'

    https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1559882209095458820
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939

    We saw them up close.
    And they were very disappointing.

    Winter is coming.
    The goalie took a straight forward catch. Then rolled around pretending to be hurt.
    Playing for time in the hope summat will turn up.
  • If ultimate political power resides with the judges, then the judges are political.

    This is exactly why, when an attempt was made to use equalities legislation to wrest control of pensions and benefits from Parliament, the U.K. Supreme Court said no. They are the arbiters of the law as passed by Parliament. Not the creators of law.

    And Socrates got done for being the tutor of the men who formed an especially nasty and tyrannical government.
    Actually no. That was the excuse. Socrates got done because he pissed everyone off by pointing out how stupid they all were. Of the Thirty Tyrants only Critias is known to have studied under Socrates, who was himself forbidden from teaching by the Thirty.

    Basically Socrates was executed because no one likes a smart arse.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641


    GB News
    @GBNEWS
    ·
    9h
    'Inflation, in my view, is driven by the fact that the world was locked down for two years and is yet to fully reboot.'

    https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1559882209095458820
    It literally is the 'Cost of Lockdown' crisis.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939


    GB News
    @GBNEWS
    ·
    9h
    'Inflation, in my view, is driven by the fact that the world was locked down for two years and is yet to fully reboot.'

    https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1559882209095458820
    Yeah but.
    You're full of shit Liam.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,198

    Actually no. That was the excuse. Socrates got done because he pissed everyone off by pointing out how stupid they all were. Of the Thirty Tyrants only Critias is known to have studied under Socrates, who was himself forbidden from teaching by the Thirty.

    Basically Socrates was executed because no one likes a smart arse.
    That’s the version sold by Plato & The Academy. I F Stone was pretty good on untangling the issues…
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,955


    GB News
    @GBNEWS
    ·
    9h
    'Inflation, in my view, is driven by the fact that the world was locked down for two years and is yet to fully reboot.'

    https://twitter.com/GBNEWS/status/1559882209095458820
    M2 money supply rose from £2500000m at the start of 2020 to £3000000m today. In short, we printed 500000 million pounds in a couple of years and nobody thought there might be inflationary consequences to this.

    This all happened before Putin.
  • There's a few French departments which have lost population during the last century:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_French_departments_by_population

    and probably more over the last two centuries.

    This is the most extreme case:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Creuse#Demographics

    Perhaps the closest English equivalent is Richmondshire:

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-york-north-yorkshire-61981623
    Maybe the Vendee in the 1790s. Estimated that 450,000 died out of a population of 800,000
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,296

    With brief flashes of good, governments since the 50's have been fairly rubbish.

    In a way it's exciting that we can't afford rubbish governments any more. Let's see what our Liz can do.
    I suspect she can make all the previous governments look quite superb.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    edited August 2022
    kyf_100 said:

    M2 money supply rose from £2500000m at the start of 2020 to £3000000m today. In short, we printed 500000 million pounds in a couple of years and nobody thought there might be inflationary consequences to this.

    This all happened before Putin.
    The US is far less exposed to a Russian-led energy crisis, but inflation is also high.

    Common sense should tell us that today, inflation is mostly a Covid hangover, but tomorrow will have more to do with Ukraine.

    For the UK, Brexit is in the mix as well, though to a lesser extent.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    IshmaelZ said:

    And the consequences. I can't get my head around Rwanda, but it does seem millions were macheted to death because la francophonie mon brave.
    It explains almost all of De Gaulle's opposition to UK membership of the EEC, in the 1960s. I don't believe it was military-economic at all, really. Instead he correctly foresaw that if the UK joined the EEC, then eventually the sheer cultural force of the Anglophonie would mean the EEC went from being French speaking to being English speaking

    And he was right, that is what happened. Destroying the last chance of French being a supreme global language, And then we actually left, when the job was done? Sorry, my French friends, but you have to lol. As an English speaker
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    The Swedish election is going to very close according to the latest polls. Most of them put both blocs on about 49%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Swedish_general_election#Vote_share
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Leon said:

    Bits of the Empire we should have kept. And which wanted to be kept!

    Malta

    The Seychelles

    The Maldives

    Sri Lanka!

    Scotland (phew!)

    Papua New Guinea

    Menorca

    Bahamas, possibly

    New Hebrides

    Why the fuck didn't we keep them? That would have been an impressive array of possessions

    We could have virtue-signalled in respect of Scotland.
  • londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,641
    kyf_100 said:

    M2 money supply rose from £2500000m at the start of 2020 to £3000000m today. In short, we printed 500000 million pounds in a couple of years and nobody thought there might be inflationary consequences to this.

    This all happened before Putin.
    This suggests an overall ultimate outcome of an extra 20% inflation over and above what would have been expected, this may well be not too far from the final outcome.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,518
    edited August 2022

    Well the US set them out in a document a couple of hundred years ago and they seem pretty good.

    But basically what you are saying is that there are no fundamental standards we should all adhere to and that might is right. So you would obviously not be complaining if someone came and burnt your house down to prove that point.

    The end point of your thinking is civil war. It has happened before and will happen again if you give too much power to one branch of the state over another. As TSE pointed out earlier, the US is already fucked. They don't walk back from this. What matters is that we learn the lessons of their mistakes better than they have.
    Well the US Supreme Court has just interpreted the US constitution to say that there is no fundamental constitutional right to abortion.

    Is the Dobbs decision right or should Roe have been allowed to stand and was the Roe decision right originally or should the previous situation been allowed to stand ?

    You'll find no shortage of differing opinions to those questions in the USA.

    So once again we come to the issue of who decides on what these fundamental standards are.

    Something which you seem unable to give an answer to - quite understandably because there isn't a perfect answer.

    Instead you put up a silly 'might is right' strawman rather than allow that a general acceptance of the system is required and that the system has to be able to be modified as people's ideas evolve.

    So for example homosexuality has been legalised in this country but for most of history the fundamental standard in this country was that it should be illegal. A fundamental standard which still applies in many other countries.
  • That’s the version sold by Plato & The Academy. I F Stone was pretty good on untangling the issues…
    Given that no one else has a version really - certainly no other of the named Thirty Tyrants is known to have studied under Socrates - I am not sure how it can be disputed. Besides, corrupting the young was only one of three charges. The others were effectively blasphemy or heresy and were the original grounds on which he was first accused.
  • Leon said:

    Bits of the Empire we should have kept. And which wanted to be kept!

    Malta

    The Seychelles

    The Maldives

    Sri Lanka!

    Scotland (phew!)

    Papua New Guinea

    Menorca

    Bahamas, possibly

    New Hebrides

    Why the fuck didn't we keep them? That would have been an impressive array of possessions

    Newfoundland ?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Actually no. That was the excuse. Socrates got done because he pissed everyone off by pointing out how stupid they all were. Of the Thirty Tyrants only Critias is known to have studied under Socrates, who was himself forbidden from teaching by the Thirty.

    Basically Socrates was executed because no one likes a smart arse.
    A psychotic autodidact racist Leaver speaks. Good ole democraceeee.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    edited August 2022
    dixiedean said:

    Yes but.
    This was the basis why we should have a six week campaign. So everyone could see the candidates up close. And yet no one seems much interested at all. There were bigger crowds when I was watching Wigan A team in the 80's.
    Good streaming figures?

    The campaign did not need to be so long or have so many events, certainly. The views of and questioning of the two candidates would be more than extensive enough without visiting Unimportant-Upon-Thames in East NimbyShire or whatever.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Andy_JS said:

    The Swedish election is going to very close according to the latest polls. Most of them put both blocs on about 49%.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Swedish_general_election#Vote_share

    I wonder if we need to start thinking about the Italian elections. Feels like that will be a bomb under Europe exploding.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,530

    This suggests an overall ultimate outcome of an extra 20% inflation over and above what would have been expected, this may well be not too far from the final outcome.
    Putin was just the final twist of the knife frankly.

  • Well the US Supreme Court has just interpreted the US constitution to say that there is no fundamental constitutional right to abortion.

    Is the Dobbs decision right or should Roe have been allowed to stand and was the Roe decision right originally or should the previous situation been allowed to stand ?

    You'll find no shortage of differing opinions to those questions in the USA.

    So once again we come to the issue of who decides on what these fundamental standards are.

    Something which you seem unable to give an answer to - quite understandably because there isn't a perfect answer.

    Instead you put up a silly 'might is right' strawman rather than allow that a general acceptance of the system is required and that the system has to be able to be modified as people's ideas evolve.

    So for example homosexuality has been legalised in this country but for most of history the fundamental standard in this country was that it should be illegal. A fundamental standard which still applies in many other countries.
    Slavery, killing Jews and torture were also acceptable in this country in the past. I like to think that we have moved on somewhat from those standards. It is no argument to say that we were barbaric in the past sop all standards are relative.

    And the might is right argument is not a straw man. It is the inevitable result of what you propose and the route along which the US is currently travelling.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    Emma Raducanu’s on fire right now.
  • Leon said:

    It explains almost all of De Gaulle's opposition to UK membership of the EEC, in the 1960s. I don't believe it was military-economic at all, really. Instead he correctly foresaw that if the UK joined the EEC, then eventually the sheer cultural force of the Anglophonie would mean the EEC went from being French speaking to being English speaking

    And he was right, that is what happened. Destroying the last chance of French being a supreme global language, And then we actually left, when the job was done? Sorry, my French friends, but you have to lol. As an English speaker
    Even worse French isn't even the second most important European language now.

    The USA allowing so much Hispanic immigration has given Spanish a boost.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    A psychotic autodidact racist Leaver speaks. Good ole democraceeee.
    Ah the apologist for terrorism is back.

    Mine is so much pithier than yours.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    IshmaelZ said:

    A psychotic autodidact racist Leaver speaks. Good ole democraceeee.
    That's out of order.
  • Slavery, killing Jews and torture were also acceptable in this country in the past. I like to think that we have moved on somewhat from those standards. It is no argument to say that we were barbaric in the past sop all standards are relative.

    And the might is right argument is not a straw man. It is the inevitable result of what you propose and the route along which the US is currently travelling.
    So should we have allowed slavery, killing Jews and torture to be fundamental rights ?

    I prefer that we have evolved and that we do not allow them anymore.

    As to the USA the threat of civil war comes from the risk of people not accepting election results.

    Largely because they think it is their fundamental right not to do so.

    So yet again we come down to who defines what these fundamental rights are.
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,592
    Leon said:

    Bits of the Empire we should have kept. And which wanted to be kept!

    Malta

    The Seychelles

    The Maldives

    Sri Lanka!

    Scotland (phew!)

    Papua New Guinea

    Menorca

    Bahamas, possibly

    New Hebrides

    Why the fuck didn't we keep them? That would have been an impressive array of possessions

    Apparently Dom Mintoff didn't get on with Maggie Thatcher. Otherwise Malta might indeed be the warmest county of the UK.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Ah the apologist for terrorism is back.

    Mine is so much pithier than yours.
    Yes. Terrorism meaning darkies is the most audible dogwhistle in the book. Mental illness is one of the many things I know more about than you do. You had an authentic online psychotic breakdown last night and I suggest you seek help, and never mind the skin colour of the psychiatrist. Cos it's about sovereignty innit, not about darkies.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782

    Even worse French isn't even the second most important European language now.

    The USA allowing so much Hispanic immigration has given Spanish a boost.
    English is likely to be the dominant language of India, the next global superpower. I cannot see it being threatened for the next 50 years

    Indeed it is quite possible it will blitzscale and become overwhelmingly dominant. A monopoly and a true lingua franca. I see these forces wherever and whenever I travel, especially further afield

    eg I met this nice guy in Armenia who had spent 3 years learning Italian in Palermo - very expertly - but his English was really bad. I never said to him FFS why did you learn Italian, what a waste of time, you could have learned English, and you'd now be speaking the world language, but I could see the regret in his demeanour. Italian? A pleasant bauble. Nice to have

    English? ESSENTIAL

    He knew it, and I knew it. I believe his sheltered life in Armenia led him to a life-harming error. That won't happen often from now on. People know to learn English, across the world. Parents demand it

    Is this post-colonial arrogance? Who cares. It is a statement of fact. If you want to learn one foreign language, it is English. That's it
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566

    Apparently Dom Mintoff didn't get on with Maggie Thatcher. Otherwise Malta might indeed be the warmest county of the UK.
    Well, referendums must be enacted, so no need to ask further - let's send in the gunboats!
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,240
    Leon said:

    They have cleverly positioned themselves as the English speaking, sort-of-British yet-still-EU island in the Med, where you can park your money, no questions asked. Like a sunnier Ireland
    Also as they (and the Cypriots who have similar advantages) can vote here as they are Commonwealth citizens.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    That's out of order.
    Not if you know the backstory.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    Leon said:

    Is this post-colonial arrogance? Who cares. It is a statement of fact. If you want to learn one foreign language, it is English. That's it
    Six of one, half a dozen of another.

    I regret not speaking another language but am too lazy to do so, but it's more fortune as opposed to arrogance that means we (presently) can get away with that more than speakers of most other languages. American cultural imperium had to be good for some things.

    Should probably pick up Mandarin just to be safe though.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,566
    edited August 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yes. Terrorism meaning darkies is the most audible dogwhistle in the book. Mental illness is one of the many things I know more about than you do. You had an authentic online psychotic breakdown last night and I suggest you seek help, and never mind the skin colour of the psychiatrist. Cos it's about sovereignty innit, not about darkies.
    I personally don't know much about mental illness, but is it considered good and noble practice to diagnose people with it based on a single tetchy online discussion and then mock the person claimed to be so suffering for that suffering? Would the psychiatrist to be consulted with welcome that approach?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    kle4 said:

    Six of one, half a dozen of another.

    I regret not speaking another language but am too lazy to do so, but it's more fortune as opposed to arrogance that means we (presently) can get away with that more than speakers of most other languages. American cultural imperium had to be good for some things.

    Should probably pick up Mandarin just to be safe though.
    My prediction is that English will now remain the dominant global language - indeed it will only grow in dominance, as a default global standard - until it is replaced by truly automatic AI translation, and the Babelfish, and languages no longer matter

    Even if America self-destructs in the looming Woke civil wars, and Britain sinks beneath the Brexit waves, all the forces point towards true linguistic hegemony. Quite something for a tiny language hatched in bits of East Anglia and eastern Kent by a few feral, fur-clad Jutish warriors 1500 years ago. What happened to Latin and Mandarin?

    But so it is
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    Six of one, half a dozen of another.

    I regret not speaking another language but am too lazy to do so, but it's more fortune as opposed to arrogance that means we (presently) can get away with that more than speakers of most other languages. American cultural imperium had to be good for some things.

    Should probably pick up Mandarin just to be safe though.
    It's actually fucking infuriating. In Greece in the 1970s, if you wanted to stay alive you needed to speak Greek, because otherwise nobody knew what food and drink and accommodation you wanted. But that is the only context in which that has been the case for me. I've since been to some quite obscure bits of Africa and tried quite hard with bantu and swahili and amharic and tigrigna and all I get in response is people wanting to practice their perfect English.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    I personally don't know much about mental illness, but is it considered good and noble practice to diagnose people with it based on a single tetchy online discussion and then mock the person claimed to be so suffering for that suffering? Would the psychiatrist to be consulted with welcome that approach?
    The guy needs help is the important point.
  • Leon said:

    English is likely to be the dominant language of India, the next global superpower. I cannot see it being threatened for the next 50 years

    Indeed it is quite possible it will blitzscale and become overwhelmingly dominant. A monopoly and a true lingua franca. I see these forces wherever and whenever I travel, especially further afield

    eg I met this nice guy in Armenia who had spent 3 years learning Italian in Palermo - very expertly - but his English was really bad. I never said to him FFS why did you learn Italian, what a waste of time, you could have learned English, and you'd now be speaking the world language, but I could see the regret in his demeanour. Italian? A pleasant bauble. Nice to have

    English? ESSENTIAL

    He knew it, and I knew it. I believe his sheltered life in Armenia led him to a life-harming error. That won't happen often from now on. People know to learn English, across the world. Parents demand it

    Is this post-colonial arrogance? Who cares. It is a statement of fact. If you want to learn one foreign language, it is English. That's it
    My hypothesis:

    Wolfe, Clive & Hawke and Watt, Darby & Arkwright have been more important for the English language than Shakespeare, Byron or Dickens.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,675

    I'd be interested to know what proportion of workers are WFH by profession and sector.
    A specialised case: in the campaigning charity sector, where most people are engaged in writing to supporters (updating them on legislation, urging them to lobby government etc.), nearly all the work can be done from home, and mostly this is allowed. I know one organisation where they still require people to come in two days a week, and I understand that it's proving a significant recruitment barrier. The attraction of living somewhere pretty but cheap (Nottinghamshire? Mid-Wales?) and working remotely completely overwhelms the attractions of working in the office.

    The crucial fact is that they NEVER have to come to the office - that means they can choose to live hundreds of miles away. From Surrey, I work closely with people in Scotland, Wales, Italy, Portugal and Kenya. We meet up a couple of times a year. I think it's the future, regardless of the energy crisis. It has its snags, but one really gets used to it, and parents of young kids in particular often love it as they can actually see them on and off threoughout the day.

  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012

    My hypothesis:

    Wolfe, Clive & Hawke and Watt, Darby & Arkwright have been more important for the English language than Shakespeare, Byron or Dickens.
    Hollywood. By far.

  • IshmaelZ said:

    Yes. Terrorism meaning darkies is the most audible dogwhistle in the book. Mental illness is one of the many things I know more about than you do. You had an authentic online psychotic breakdown last night and I suggest you seek help, and never mind the skin colour of the psychiatrist. Cos it's about sovereignty innit, not about darkies.
    Yet more rewriting of history. I would think you would have learnt your lesson after yesterday.

    Terrorists meaning actual terrorists who killed people. No mention of skin colour.

    People who you then said were culpable in their own deaths and the deaths of others.

    No matter how much you try and twist it, it is all a matter of public record. There is no escaping the fact that you were indulging in victim blaming and lots of people on here called you out for it.

    The rest of it is just your normal deluded drivel.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    edited August 2022
    IshmaelZ said:

    It's actually fucking infuriating. In Greece in the 1970s, if you wanted to stay alive you needed to speak Greek, because otherwise nobody knew what food and drink and accommodation you wanted. But that is the only context in which that has been the case for me. I've since been to some quite obscure bits of Africa and tried quite hard with bantu and swahili and amharic and tigrigna and all I get in response is people wanting to practice their perfect English.
    Sure I hear the romantic in you...


    But isn't it nice that the world now has a true lingua franca, probably more than at any period before in the history of human beings actually speaking? As in: 200,000 years?

    I think that's amazing and potentially a wonderful thing. And it does not mean the end of other languages. It means there will be one language that is shared, and many other languages

    The good that will come out of that could be extraordinary. It means Peruvians lost in China might be understood. It means a Namibian hurt in Mexico might get help. It means people across the world can fall in love with one shared language. This is GOOD
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    geoffw said:

    Hollywood. By far.

    Not true. Pop music culture at its most influential was often majorly British English: Beatles, Stones, etc. That spread English via music to many countries. Meanwhile India speaks English, and this will be a surpassingly important fact for the next generation. And that really is thanks to Clive etc

    Our glorious English language hegemony is thanks to many things. Hollywood is just one (but it is important)
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    edited August 2022
    Slight uptick in the 538 Democrat Senate forecast, from 50.3 seats yesterday to 50.4 today.

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    Sean_F said:

    At a guess, I'd think the Highlands and Islands, and much of rural France.
    Large chunks of rural Spain too.

    Parts of Japan are rapidly depopulating right now, as only the oldies are left.
  • Tory leadership poll: Liz Truss 32 points ahead of Rishi Sunak
    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tory-leadership-poll-liz-truss-32-points-ahead-of-rishi-sunak-2l2w7b3bb (£££)
  • Betfair next prime minister
    1.07 Liz Truss 93%
    13 Rishi Sunak 8%

    Next Conservative leader
    1.08 Liz Truss 93%
    13 Rishi Sunak 8%

    Betfair next prime minister
    1.07 Liz Truss 93%
    13.5 Rishi Sunak 7%

    Next Conservative leader
    1.07 Liz Truss 93%
    13.5 Rishi Sunak 7%
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    I'm in Phoenix today, for the first time in six months or so, and the level of homelessness has gotten visibly worse. And this is not a city you want to be homeless in.

    It's a city that is a victim of its own success. Property prices and rents have soared at the same time that people in low end jobs have struggled. Energy prices rising is probably only making things worse (not that the US has anywhere near the problems of the rest of the world).
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295
    Leon said:

    Sure I hear the romantic in you...


    But isn't it nice that the world now has a true lingua franca, probably more than at any period before in the history of human beings actually speaking? As in: 200,000 years?

    I think that's amazing and potentially a wonderful thing. And it does not mean the end of other languages. It means there will be one language that is shared, and many other languages

    The good that will come out of that could be extraordinary. It means Peruvians lost in China might be understood. It means a Namibian hurt in Mexico might get help. It means people across the world can fall in love with one shared language. This is GOOD
    What was the level of English speaking like the first time you visited Thailand?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,038
    The impacts of the Roe v Wade reversal by the SC depends on turnout. How much it drives evangelical turnout for the GOP in key states and key races v how much it drives female turnout for the Democrats
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    Leon said:

    Not true. Pop music culture at its most influential was often majorly British English: Beatles, Stones, etc. That spread English via music to many countries. Meanwhile India speaks English, and this will be a surpassingly important fact for the next generation. And that really is thanks to Clive etc

    Our glorious English language hegemony is thanks to many things. Hollywood is just one (but it is important)
    I bet that most of the non-native English speakers you encounter speak with an American accent.
    btw Indian English is sometimes quaint - e.g. the Indian police chief who spoke of "nabbing the villains".

  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    kyf_100 said:

    M2 money supply rose from £2500000m at the start of 2020 to £3000000m today. In short, we printed 500000 million pounds in a couple of years and nobody thought there might be inflationary consequences to this.

    This all happened before Putin.
    Yet Japan printed even more money, positively fuck tonnes of the stuff, and hasn't seen the same levels of inflation as the UK.

    Japan has - it should be noted - benefited from buying cheap Russian gas, albeit they've still been hit by rising oil and other commodity prices.

    Their inflation rate is 2%.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Yet more rewriting of history. I would think you would have learnt your lesson after yesterday.

    Terrorists meaning actual terrorists who killed people. No mention of skin colour.

    People who you then said were culpable in their own deaths and the deaths of others.

    No matter how much you try and twist it, it is all a matter of public record. There is no escaping the fact that you were indulging in victim blaming and lots of people on here called you out for it.

    The rest of it is just your normal deluded drivel.
    Sure. Your loathing of people cleverer than you was validated by the democratic murder of Socrates, and of people browner than you in 2016. You must feel very proud.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    rcs1000 said:

    Large chunks of rural Spain too.

    Parts of Japan are rapidly depopulating right now, as only the oldies are left.
    Young people need to be jobs shocker.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    Andy_JS said:

    What was the level of English speaking like the first time you visited Thailand?
    I think the people @Leon conversed with were able to make themselves understood:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-L6__oz2S8s
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203
    rcs1000 said:

    Yet Japan printed even more money, positively fuck tonnes of the stuff, and hasn't seen the same levels of inflation as the UK.

    Japan has - it should be noted - benefited from buying cheap Russian gas, albeit they've still been hit by rising oil and other commodity prices.

    Their inflation rate is 2%.
    But it’s a deflationary economy at the best of times.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    geoffw said:

    I bet that most of the non-native English speakers you encounter speak with an American accent.
    btw Indian English is sometimes quaint - e.g. the Indian police chief who spoke of "nabbing the villains".

    Also, "mishap" for accident, as in 30 dead in traffic mishap.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385

    But it’s a deflationary economy at the best of times.
    Sure - but it tells you that money printing (on its own) is not the whole story.
  • rcs1000 said:

    I'm in Phoenix today, for the first time in six months or so, and the level of homelessness has gotten visibly worse. And this is not a city you want to be homeless in.

    It's a city that is a victim of its own success. Property prices and rents have soared at the same time that people in low end jobs have struggled. Energy prices rising is probably only making things worse (not that the US has anywhere near the problems of the rest of the world).

    Not good to be homeless in Phoenix in summer.

    But better to be homeless in Phoenix in winter than homeless in Michigan in winter.

    Do the homeless in the USA move much ?

    That sounds like a 'do they eat cake' question but I've read On The Road recently.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Sure. Your loathing of people cleverer than you was validated by the democratic murder of Socrates, and of people browner than you in 2016. You must feel very proud.
    I am sure I would if I could work out what the fuck you are on about.

    Do you still think Rushdie had it coming?

    Do you still think Bataclan and Manchester were all because of people writing nasty things in books?

    Those are your positions set out on here last night. All the rest is just noise.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,385
    IshmaelZ said:

    Tesco have put a big sign up next to the self scanner handsets saying roughly Use these and you will know when you have run out of money vs being humiliated at the checkout till. Chilling.
    Why is that chilling; surely it's rather helpful.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    edited August 2022
    Andy_JS said:

    What was the level of English speaking like the first time you visited Thailand?
    Terrible. Now, really rather good

    And this is the case across the world

    @IshmaelZ, for example, is completely right about Greece. 30-40 years ago, in many parts of Greece, you really struggled to be understood outside central Athens or major tourist islands. Now, everyone under 35 speaks English. Often they are mildly insulted that you even doubt their skill in English, like you are asking "are you a virgin" or "do you have a mobile phone"? It is accepted as universal: they speak English

    I wonder if, in the end, this is bad for English speakers. It makes us cognitively lazy, by comparison
  • Leon said:

    Sure I hear the romantic in you...


    But isn't it nice that the world now has a true lingua franca, probably more than at any period before in the history of human beings actually speaking? As in: 200,000 years?

    I think that's amazing and potentially a wonderful thing. And it does not mean the end of other languages. It means there will be one language that is shared, and many other languages

    The good that will come out of that could be extraordinary. It means Peruvians lost in China might be understood. It means a Namibian hurt in Mexico might get help. It means people across the world can fall in love with one shared language. This is GOOD
    People don't fall in love with English; they use English, well, a sort of simplified international variant of English. English is the global language of work and commerce. People love and play in their own language.
  • HYUFD said:

    The impacts of the Roe v Wade reversal by the SC depends on turnout. How much it drives evangelical turnout for the GOP in key states and key races v how much it drives female turnout for the Democrats

    Too high a turnout in primaries of those wanting to ban abortion completely could be very bad for the GOP.
This discussion has been closed.