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Beth Mead for SPOTY? – politicalbetting.com

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  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,838
    HYUFD said:

    Which is irrelevant without change in intake
    What particular advantages do grammar schools offer over larger, well streamed comprehensives?

    My comp, for example, had seven different math sets.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 72,839
    Sean_F said:

    There have been better Dukes of York than either.
    Such as? Henry VIII might be a contender perhaps. Or Georges V and VI. Otherwise most occupants of that stall have been rather undistinguished. Charles I, Richard Duke of York, Edmund of Langley, they've all been pretty ropey.
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    Pulpstar said:

    I think we'd go to war for Vilnius, Talinn or Riga if
    needs must. London would be annihilated if it
    came to it but so would most of Russia's cities.

    The one I'm not sure about is Turkey, as they're
    always up to some mischief themselves in the region.
    Deterrence is cheaper the earlier you do it. NATO’s nuclear umbrella primarily acts as a deterrent against Russian first strike. It has a secondary role at deterring conventional attack. But it’s a not wholly effective deterrent to conventional attack. That is why Nato has sensibly been increasing its conventional presence in Eastern Europe. And indeed is arming non Nato Ukraine.

    If you want to deter an attempted conventional attack on “core Nato” in Western Europe, you are better off shifting the deterrent to “earlier” in that conflict, by making it sufficiently painful for Russia to consider attacking Riga or Vilnius that it never bothers, much less attacking London, Paris or Berlin. Hence the conventional weapons buildup there.

    Leon’s musing on whether we would bother going to war to defend Riga or Vilnius is a question that Russian war strategists have also been pondering for some time. The cheapest way to give the Russians the firm answer without waiting for them to ask the question, is to react in the way we are in non-Nato Ukraine. Fortunately we seem to have advisors in Washington and London that understand this and who are for now being listened to.

  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,299
    edited August 2022

    I don't in principle have a problem with parents choosing between schools, but the choice shouldn't be too consequential.

    At the present time, because school quality is uneven, and the effects too consequential, we have selection by house price, which results in a lot of social ghettoisation, even in a small city/large town like Exeter.

    As far as I can tell there are lots of better education systems we could learn from, if we wanted to. I don't know how they manage to afford much smaller class sizes in Sweden or the Netherlands. Something about the Irish system seems to work pretty well, despite class sizes as large as Britain's.

    Not sure whether there are other countries that have grammar schools.
    Yes that nails it - choice remains but it loses its 'life or death' aura.

    One side effect, minor but deceptively benign, of Optimal Education System - aka all kids go to a big diverse high quality comp in their area - is an end to parents going through all the agonizing about it. The endless spats around the kitchen table as to where son/daughter should go, should they move house to facilitate it, should they start going to church, should they fork out for actual school fees, etc etc.

    Bye bye to all that. And all of the guilt, assumed and projected and mutual, that goes along with it.

    Getting excited just typing this actually. It can be done if we just flick a mental switch to the right position - drop our fetishes and oneupmanships and focus on the best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    I listened to a Yale history podcast about the ancient Greeks and the learned professor made the argument that every newly free people have achieved stunning military successes - Thebes, Athens, France, US - and you might view the Ukrainians in the same vein.

    Motivation makes a really big difference.
    Russia and the GPW also a pretty good example, but not in tune with the mood music.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,119
    moonshine said:

    Deterrence is cheaper the earlier you do it. NATO’s nuclear umbrella primarily acts as a deterrent against Russian first strike. It has a secondary role at deterring conventional attack. But it’s a not wholly effective deterrent to conventional attack. That is why Nato has sensibly been increasing its conventional presence in Eastern Europe. And indeed is arming non Nato Ukraine.

    If you want to deter an attempted conventional attack on “core Nato” in Western Europe, you are better off shifting the deterrent to “earlier” in that conflict, by making it sufficiently painful for Russia to consider attacking Riga or Vilnius that it never bothers, much less attacking London, Paris or Berlin. Hence the conventional weapons buildup there.

    Leon’s musing on whether we would bother going to war to defend Riga or Vilnius is a question that Russian war strategists have also been pondering for some time. The cheapest way to give the Russians the firm answer without waiting for them to ask the question, is to react in the way we are in non-Nato Ukraine. Fortunately we seem to have advisors in Washington and London that understand this and who are for now being listened to.
    Unfortunately, if Trump, or another America First ideologue, becomes US President NATO will have to find a way to defend itself without the US.

    This should be an urgent task for HMG, but we are pretending the risk doesn't exist.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/04/22/trump-says-he-threatened-not-defend-nato-russia/
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 33,912

    Still getting anecdotal evidence of people going to Sunak's PR blitz and coming away convinced. I've no idea what proportion of voting members will attend, though.

    I'd probably expect most Tory members in an area like SW Surrey to support Sunak.
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,068
    Nigelb said:

    And I only "green needle".
    Reportedly works both ways for a lot of people.
    I’ve met similar that do work both ways for me.

  • DearPBDearPB Posts: 439
    kinabalu said:

    Yes that nails it - choice remains but it loses its 'life or death' aura.

    One side effect, minor but deceptively benign, of Optimal Education System - aka all kids go to a big diverse high quality comp in their area - is an end to parents going through all the agonizing about it. The endless spats around the kitchen table as to where son/daughter should go, should they move house to facilitate it, should they start going to church, should they fork out for actual school fees, etc etc.

    Bye bye to all that. And all of the guilt, assumed and projected and mutual, that goes along with it.

    Getting excited just typing this actually. It can be done if we just flick a mental switch to the right position - drop our fetishes and oneupmanships and focus on the best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers.
    I definitely feel like this is how it was when I went to comprehensive in 1984. Almost everyone from my primary went to the same comprehensive, I don't think we considered me going anywhere else for a second. I've always wondered what changed - I suppose it was the league tables and publishing of results etc. The school I went to performed badly when that began and no longer exists.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,204
    Almost on topic: Seeing all those front page pictures reminded me of an observation that I made many years ago: Athletes, assuming they are normal size, tend to be better looking than the average. For example, point guards in both men's and women's basketball.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited August 2022
    Truss ahead on preferred PM by a point 37 36

    However LLG remains 57, ConRef up to 38

    Labour leads by 4%, narrowest lead since 5 June.

    Westminster Voting Intention (31 July):

    Labour 38% (-3)
    Conservative 34% (+1)
    Liberal Democrat 12% (–)
    Green 7% (+2)
    Scottish National Party 4% (–)
    Reform UK 4% (+1)
    Other 1% (–)

    Changes +/- 27 July

    https://t.co/bLVRBVpun7 https://t.co/wyNyh8mTki
  • DaveyBoy1961 asked: "Just a question. Can you turn up at a polling station and vote instead of post the ballot paper in?" (In Washington state, which is a vote-by-mail state.)

    Yes, but there aren't many such places. For example: https://kingcounty.gov/depts/elections/how-to-vote/ballots/returning-my-ballot/vote-centers.aspx

    Also note that voted ballots may also be returned via official ballot drop boxes, which are scattered pretty freely across the Evergreen State landscape. For example, check out this map of drop box locations in King County:

    https://kingcounty.gov/depts/elections/how-to-vote/ballots/returning-my-ballot/ballot-drop-boxes.aspx

    As of this Monday morning in King County (Seattle plus eastern & southern burbs) out of 240k ballots return so far (17% of 1.4 million active registered voters) share returned via drop boxes is 29% compared with 71% returned via US Postal Service (also small number returned via fax & email, which must be validated by hard-copy signature)

    This link is source for above plus gives lots of other figures & analysis:

    https://kingcounty.gov/depts/elections/results/ballot-return-statistics/2022/202208.aspx

    AND here link to official statewide ballot returns as of Friday, posted by WA Secretary of State:
    https://www.sos.wa.gov/elections/research/ballot-return-statistics.aspx

    Statewide 835k ballots have been returned (17% of 4.8 million active reg) of which 35% have come back via drop boxes and 65% via mail. NOTE that the percentage of drop box returns will increase esp. due to Election Day returns.

    As for what final turnout will be, King Co Elections is forecasting 45% which would amount to approx 630k ballots cast. My own guess is that statewide turnout will be a bit lower, approx 2m (42%).
  • DearPBDearPB Posts: 439

    Almost on topic: Seeing all those front page pictures reminded me of an observation that I made many years ago: Athletes, assuming they are normal size, tend to be better looking than the average. For example, point guards in both men's and women's basketball.

    Physically fit healthy young people are better looking than the average person. Errr yes,
  • DearPBDearPB Posts: 439
    DearPB said:

    Physically fit healthy young people are better looking than the average person. Errr yes,
    See also - rich people tend to be better looking than average, and, thin people tend to be better looking than average.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    Almost on topic: Seeing all those front page pictures reminded me of an observation that I made many years ago: Athletes, assuming they are normal size, tend to be better looking than the average. For example, point guards in both men's and women's basketball.

    Professional athletes are very rarely normal size humans, they’re freaks of nature. Basketball being the first example that springs to mind.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,199

    Failures

    Truss over Sunak
    Johnson over Hunt
    (Leadsom would have beaten May bar the withdrawal)
    Duncan Smith over Clarke
    Corbyn over Smith
    Corbyn over Burnham
    Ed over David (not solely members but it was the member who dunnit)

    Successes

    Cameron over Davis
    Starmer over Long-Bailey

    It works of course, but it does not work fine, it generally picks either a more extreme candidate or one who promises stuff thats undeliverable. We are stuck with it though, no way the members give up their power.
    The 'failures' thrown up by this post (regarding the Tory process at any rate) don't belong to the members, but the MPs, for whittling the final two down to a weak candidate and an unsuitable candidate, confident in the mistaken belief that they had oh-so-cleverly forced the members to grudgingly elect their favoured candidate to avoid the weak alternative.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,636
    rcs1000 said:

    What particular advantages do grammar schools offer over larger, well streamed comprehensives?

    My comp, for example, had seven different math sets.
    As a parent currently going through this, my motivations are:
    1) Grammar schools weed out most of the kids who make your kids' lives a misery.
    2) Comprehensives have a lot of more challenging kidd, and a lot of kids who will need a bit more effort to get them over 5 grade Cs territory. This will leave fewer resources and focus for my kids.
    3) Locally, but I don't thi k this is uncommon: the grammar school is just nicer. Better maintained, less graffiti, fewer leaks.
    All entirely selfish motivations, but show me someone who makes decision their kids' education based on what will be best for other kids?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kinabalu said:

    Yes that nails it - choice remains but it loses its 'life or death' aura.

    One side effect, minor but deceptively benign, of Optimal Education System - aka all kids go to a big diverse high quality comp in their area - is an end to parents going through all the agonizing about it. The endless spats around the kitchen table as to where son/daughter should go, should they move house to facilitate it, should they start going to church, should they fork out for actual school fees, etc etc.

    Bye bye to all that. And all of the guilt, assumed and projected and mutual, that goes along with it.

    Getting excited just typing this actually. It can be done if we just flick a mental switch to the right position - drop our fetishes and oneupmanships and focus on the best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers.
    Why not just outlaw privately owned firearms in the USA is also an exciting mental switch-flick - best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers. As far as I can see private education is illegal only in Cuba, North Korea and Finland. Don't think I don't sympathise but you are only going to abolish it by making the free alternative so appetising that it dies of market forces. The NHS is the model to copy, because it is good enough that the cost advantage is enough to push it ahead of the private sector (and actually it is miles superior, money aside, for serious procedures). Perhaps try to redistribute some of the slavish drooling from hospitals to education? The imbalance being probably another example of old voter skew in Britpol.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 58,914

    Almost on topic: Seeing all those front page pictures reminded me of an observation that I made many years ago: Athletes, assuming they are normal size, tend to be better looking than the average. For example, point guards in both men's and women's basketball.

    What struck me about the women's football was not how cute they are - well OK a bit, but it wasn't the overriding impression, and I also expect successful young athletes to be attractive - but how similar in looks. Tall thin white girls with blonde ponytails. Almost every team was like that
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,299
    Pagan2 said:

    Perhaps the whole discussion of grammar vs comprehensive is inherently futile. No one seems to go back to a fresh sheet of paper here.

    I would personally like to see the results of a trial where kids self select at 14. They can go either the academic route as per now leading to a levels and university or go to a more skills based route which teaches them plumbing, brick laying etc with industry certificates replacing gcse's also classes in basic book keeping and running a small business.

    Our current system tends to assume all children are academically inclined and that is simply not true. Some that fail in the academic system would I have no doubt shine in a system which taught them valuable skills they could turn into a small business of their own
    Disagree that "state v private" and "selection v comp" is a futile discussion. I think it's important. But your point - academic or skills? - is too. I agree that children who aren't academic but have other aptitudes should be able to follow this path instead and it mustn't be seen as inferior. One thought occurs. Middle class parents will likely be resistant to their children being steered in a Skills direction. So we'll need to build something into our Optimum Education System to counter this. But anyway, this whole Skills side that you've raised is a strand I didn't have - biased as I am towards academic education due to my background - so it's great to now have it. We are rocking here.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Nigelb said:

    On Russian state TV, State Duma Defense Committee's head Andrey Kartapolov proposed taking Ukrainian children from occupied territories and shipping them off to military boarding schools in Russia. Not one word about asking for their parents' permission or even their own wishes.
    https://twitter.com/JuliaDavisNews/status/1554122972935372804

    Another thing to bear in mind for those who advocate a land for peace deal.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,281
    edited August 2022
    kinabalu said:

    Yes that nails it - choice remains but it loses its 'life or death' aura.

    One side effect, minor but deceptively benign, of Optimal Education System - aka all kids go to a big diverse high quality comp in their area - is an end to parents going through all the agonizing about it. The endless spats around the kitchen table as to where son/daughter should go, should they move house to facilitate it, should they start going to church, should they fork out for actual school fees, etc etc.

    Bye bye to all that. And all of the guilt, assumed and projected and mutual, that goes along with it.

    Getting excited just typing this actually. It can be done if we just flick a mental switch to the right position - drop our fetishes and oneupmanships and focus on the best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers.
    What rubbish, you can't magically make all schools outstanding.

    Catchment area will remain key, wealth of the area will remain key, education of parents in the area will remain key plus standard of teaching and disipline will remain key.

    You improve schools by choice not one size fits all mediocrity
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,956
    rcs1000 said:

    What particular advantages do grammar schools offer over larger, well streamed comprehensives?

    My comp, for example, had seven different math sets.
    But that was in the USA, Mr S, presumably.....
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    DearPB said:

    Physically fit healthy young people are better looking than the average person. Errr yes,
    I think there's more to it than that. No reason cricketers shouldn't look like Rory Stewart, but they don't. Theory: odd looking kids tend not to be asked to join in ball games at crucial, young ages at which ball skills are acquired
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    What rubbish, you can't magically make all schools outstanding.

    Catchment area will remain key, wealth of the area will remain key, education of parents in the area will remain key plus standard of teaching and disipline will remain key.

    You improve schools by choice not one size fits all mediocrity
    And by choice of Eton, is the point....
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,636
    Leon said:

    What struck me about the women's football was not how cute they are - well OK a bit, but it wasn't the overriding impression, and I also expect successful young athletes to be attractive - but how similar in looks. Tall thin white girls with blonde ponytails. Almost every team was like that
    That was the comment in our house. How similar they all look.
    I suppose there must be an element of practicability about the hairstyles.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ClippP said:

    But that was in the USA, Mr S, presumably.....
    RCS is an émigré.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 4,484
    Sean_F said:

    Because in war, there's no better teacher than defeat. When Peter the Great captured Swedish generals at Poltava, he gave them a banquet afterwards, and toasted them as "My teachers." The Ukrainians took their defeat in 2014 to heart and learned from it.
    I think Bill Gates was quoted as saying "Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose.".

    I'm sure he wasn't the first person to say a similar thing - but it came to mind when I was picturing Putin planning the Ukraine invasion.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 23,935
    Cookie said:

    As a parent currently going through this, my motivations are:
    1) Grammar schools weed out most of the kids who make your kids' lives a misery.
    2) Comprehensives have a lot of more challenging kidd, and a lot of kids who will need a bit more effort to get them over 5 grade Cs territory. This will leave fewer resources and focus for my kids.
    3) Locally, but I don't thi k this is uncommon: the grammar school is just nicer. Better maintained, less graffiti, fewer leaks.
    All entirely selfish motivations, but show me someone who makes decision their kids' education based on what will be best for other kids?
    Very honest and yes grammar schools are about helping the comfortable and well off ensure their childrens lives are comfortable and well off. If we had a genuine meritocracy and an education system to support that, this would be less likely at the individual level for those with privileged parents, but as a nation we could move up the proportion of comfortable and well off in future generations.
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,204
    Sandpit said: "Professional athletes are very rarely normal size humans, they’re freaks of nature. Basketball being the first example that springs to mind."

    That's why I limited it to basketball point guards, who are almost always the shortest players on their teams -- and the best looking. For a local example, Sue Bird, even at 41, is probably the best looking player on the Seattle Storm: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sue_Bird At 5'9", she's just 3 inches taller than what British men consider the "ideal" height (according to a quick search.

    (I should warn those looking for a wealthy athletic woman to marry that Bird is engaged to another famous athlete, Megan Rapinoe.)
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,299
    IshmaelZ said:

    Why not just outlaw privately owned firearms in the USA is also an exciting mental switch-flick - best collective outcome, the national interest, a genuine levelling up in that there'll be tons more winners than losers. As far as I can see private education is illegal only in Cuba, North Korea and Finland. Don't think I don't sympathise but you are only going to abolish it by making the free alternative so appetising that it dies of market forces. The NHS is the model to copy, because it is good enough that the cost advantage is enough to push it ahead of the private sector (and actually it is miles superior, money aside, for serious procedures). Perhaps try to redistribute some of the slavish drooling from hospitals to education? The imbalance being probably another example of old voter skew in Britpol.
    If only, there, on the guns. But the private optout here isn't being abolished by law. It's being discouraged by pull (better and more equal state schools) and push (the cap on fees). The essential MO is as stated by you here - the "free" (which it isn't really since taxes will have to fund it) option becomes over time (probably quite a long time) good enough so the rest does indeed wilt away by market forces, the market having been intervened in via the fee cap.
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    rcs1000 said:

    What particular advantages do grammar schools offer over larger, well streamed comprehensives?

    My comp, for example, had seven different math sets.
    My comp had a grammar stream, a technical stream and stream for people who were struggling.

    Within the grammar stream, there were six sets for English and Maths.

    Set 1 in Maths did the O Level a year early, and then pure and applied Maths separately at A level.

  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    ohnotnow said:

    I think Bill Gates was quoted as saying "Success is a lousy teacher. It seduces smart people into thinking they can't lose.".

    I'm sure he wasn't the first person to say a similar thing - but it came to mind when I was picturing Putin planning the Ukraine invasion.
    Related thought, Johnson and Sunak both head boys of posh schools - very early ersatz pretendy success without responsibility.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    Cookie said:

    As a parent currently going through this, my motivations are:
    1) Grammar schools weed out most of the kids who make your kids' lives a misery.
    2) Comprehensives have a lot of more challenging kidd, and a lot of kids who will need a bit more effort to get them over 5 grade Cs territory. This will leave fewer resources and focus for my kids.
    3) Locally, but I don't thi k this is uncommon: the grammar school is just nicer. Better maintained, less graffiti, fewer leaks.
    All entirely selfish motivations, but show me someone who makes decision their kids' education based on what will be best for other kids?
    Those are all good arguments for private schools as well. They are also the reasons people buy expensive houses close to very good comprehensive schools. This is all just self interest, there's no need to give it any further thought.

    I am in Finland at the moment and went to go and look at the local recently built state school. It is a beautiful modernist inspired structure with vast grounds. Aesthetically it is comparable to somewhere like the recently extended Eastbourne College (£30k fees per year). In Finland tax for someone earning £50k per year is roughly similar to the UK, Finns get a much better deal on education.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,686

    I'd actually agree that the annual sneering about Eurovision was tiresome and would irritate any foreigner coming across it - it used to read like a relative constantly going on about the dress sense of his brother. It's telling that it stopped when we nearly won. Similarly, our sports coverage is really only interested in Brits doing well.

    But aren't most country's media like that?
    There is a reason for sneering at Eurovision and it is simple. Most of the music is absolute shite. I can only think of a few that have broken that rule over the years, Abba being one (musically excellent) and possibly Katrina? Anyone else think of anything that when compared to even proper mainstream pop (which is often pretty crap) stands out as good music?
  • pigeonpigeon Posts: 5,173
    Vaguely related to topic: what chance that Johnson puts a load of footballers in his resignation honours as a cheap trick to try to deflect from the kerfuffle over peerages for his mates?
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,119

    There is a reason for sneering at Eurovision and it is simple. Most of the music is absolute shite. I can only think of a few that have broken that rule over the years, Abba being one (musically excellent) and possibly Katrina? Anyone else think of anything that when compared to even proper mainstream pop (which is often pretty crap) stands out as good music?
    I was driving on the night of Eurovision this year so missed it, which I was genuinely disappointed about. I wouldn't make any particular claims about the quality of the music, but I've always enjoyed watching it.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,299
    HYUFD said:

    What rubbish, you can't magically make all schools outstanding.

    Catchment area will remain key, wealth of the area will remain key, education of parents in the area will remain key plus standard of teaching and disipline will remain key.

    You improve schools by choice not one size fits all mediocrity
    It's not magic, it's a blueprint for a high quality education system based on egalitarian principles. You're just chanting your mantras and also mislabelling the objective. It is not to BREAK the link between parental bank balance and childrens prospects it's to REDUCE it.

    Breaking it entirely is neither feasible nor desirable - since it's incompatible with personal freedoms - but this doesn't mean we shouldn't seek to reduce it very substantially. And this Optimal Education System is a big part of how we do it imo.

    Now I know you don't *want* to reduce the link - being a proud and very traditional shire Tory - but I reckon some others on here do. And if any of them have a better way I'd be interested. Truly I would.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    edited August 2022
    Truss leads Starmer for the first time.

    First time since March that a Conservative leads Starmer.

    At this moment, which of the following individuals do voters think would be the better PM for the United Kingdom? (31 July)

    Truss 37% (+4)
    Starmer 36% (+2)

    Changes +/- 27 July https://t.co/jqaoCc6XPk

    Truss's ratungs rise has been very swift and steep. Suggests a big bounce and a big collapse possible or indeed probable.
    In the meantime, lol @ SKS
  • ClippPClippP Posts: 1,956
    IshmaelZ said:

    RCS is an émigré.
    But he says he studied Math.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,119
    pigeon said:

    Vaguely related to topic: what chance that Johnson puts a load of footballers in his resignation honours as a cheap trick to try to deflect from the kerfuffle over peerages for his mates?

    Well, they gave the 2005 Ashes winning cricketers MBEs, so I'd expect it to be a certainty that the whole squad will receive something like that.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,281
    edited August 2022
    kinabalu said:

    It's not magic, it's a blueprint for a high quality education system based on egalitarian principles. You're just chanting your mantras and also mislabelling the objective. It is not to BREAK the link between parental bank balance and childrens prospects it's to REDUCE it.

    Breaking it entirely is neither feasible nor desirable - since it's incompatible with personal freedoms - but this doesn't mean we shouldn't seek to reduce it very substantially. And this Optimal Education System is a big part of how we do it imo.

    Now I know you don't *want* to reduce the link - being a proud and very traditional shire Tory - but I reckon some others on here do. And if any of them have a better way I'd be interested. Truly I would.
    No, it is a blueprint for educational communism. No parental choice whatsoever, just assigned to your local school no matter how bad which has no incentive to improve.

    No more than nationalising every shop in the high street or online retailer so they all provide and sell the same products and same standard of service
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,281

    Truss leads Starmer for the first time.

    First time since March that a Conservative leads Starmer.

    At this moment, which of the following individuals do voters think would be the better PM for the United Kingdom? (31 July)

    Truss 37% (+4)
    Starmer 36% (+2)

    Changes +/- 27 July https://t.co/jqaoCc6XPk

    Truss's ratungs rise has been very swift and steep. Suggests a big bounce and a big collapse possible or indeed probable.
    In the meantime, lol @ SKS

    She will likely get a bounce and initial poll lead, every recent PM who has taken over midterm, Johnson, May, Brown, Major etc has.

    However only half of them sustained that bounce to a general election majority.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    IshmaelZ said:

    Related thought, Johnson and Sunak both head boys of posh schools - very early ersatz pretendy success without responsibility.
    Somewhat different generation and I think that reflects rather better on Winchester than Eton. Rishi looks like a head boy. Boris doesn't.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,299
    DearPB said:

    I definitely feel like this is how it was when I went to comprehensive in 1984. Almost everyone from my primary went to the same comprehensive, I don't think we considered me going anywhere else for a second. I've always wondered what changed - I suppose it was the league tables and publishing of results etc. The school I went to performed badly when that began and no longer exists.
    Yes, it seems we've been getting worse (on this aspect) over the years. The angst has grown apace. Is it related in some way to our obsession with houses as engines of personal wealth creation rather than somewhere to live? Does it come from the same place? I sense it kind of does.

    Hence why any big changes are so so difficult to sell. We're smashing up against some deeply ingrained feelings and attitudes. And even harder to counter since many of them are totally understandable and make sense on their own terms.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    PB seems very quiet on Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan. High stakes.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, it seems we've been getting worse (on this aspect) over the years. The angst has grown apace. Is it related in some way to our obsession with houses as engines of personal wealth creation rather than somewhere to live? Does it come from the same place? I sense it kind of does.

    Hence why any big changes are so so difficult to sell. We're smashing up against some deeply ingrained feelings and attitudes. And even harder to counter since many of them are totally understandable and make sense on their own terms.
    Reasons for angst: Perceived (real) reduction in class room discipline impacting certain schools more and holding back working class mobility? Oil and water divisions of localities based on social problems and lawlessness? Greater emphasis on exam grades within society? Higher stakes meritocracy undermines middle class feelings of stability?
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