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More good polling for Truss – politicalbetting.com

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  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,179
    kinabalu said:

    You're not doing that. As explained you're doing due diligence.

    And yes I've already agreed - and I still agree - that "you must think X to be progressive" is nonsense.
    You should do due diligence on all your ideas - especially the ones that all “the right people” support.

    Consider. In a society not far from ours in time, location and kinship, there was a Great Moral Question. Everyone said answer A was right. A few lunatics fought against it there - most of the opposition cane from outside the society in question.

    A noted follower of B held public meetings to provoke riots. He killed with his own hands a number of protestors. He even wrote a pamphlet about how best to kill someone with a knife…. His name was Cassius Clay.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    It hasn't done any damage at all, if anything it is damaged Markle more by showing the pathetic, tawdry nature of her fanatics on twitter, already leading to responses just as rude about the Sussexes from Cambridge supporters.

    Most people were appalled by the Bashir allegations too.

    Though the last thing the Tory party wants is to appeal to Britain hating, royal family hating, far left fanatics like you
    Yeah?

    I voted in three general elections for Thatcher led governments. You didn't, and don't give me any snivelling leftie "Please sir, I wasn't born at the time" nonsense in mitigation. That's the test, or rather those are the tests. Me: 3/3, you LOL.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,206

    Could she take the Tory party with her is the question. At one time I'd have thought not, but Boris managed to make the party of law and order an apologist organization for criminality, so who knows?
    No chance. Tory drug policy is decided by Rupert Murdoch and Paul Dacre, and they would never support it.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992
    IshmaelZ said:

    Yeah?

    I voted in three general elections for Thatcher led governments. You didn't, and don't give me any snivelling leftie "Please sir, I wasn't born at the time" nonsense in mitigation. That's the test, or rather those are the tests. Me: 3/3, you LOL.
    So what, all you ever post now is far left crap, you make Starmer look like a rightwinger
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    HYUFD said:

    If she proposes that I will vote LD or RefUK for the first time ever at a general election. It would no longer be the Tory Party.

    She would lead the party to its worst defeat ever and give Labour and the LDs a landslide victory, the Tories probably even falling behind RefUK led by a resurgent Farage.

    Though I can't believe she would be that stupid. It would be Kim Campbell 1993 annihilation
    Or Plaid.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992

    Or Plaid.
    I never voted Plaid at a general election and voted for every Tory candidate on the same town council ballot paper
  • vikvik Posts: 248
    kinabalu said:

    Yes, odd. Here and the US, basically. Flopped in Oz as CHB was noting.

    Several countries are more liberal than we are on transgender rights yet there isn't the fevered backlash against that Woke Insanity (you) or Reasonable Reforms (me) that we see here in the UK.
    One important reason it didn't work in Australia is because of compulsory voting. Cultural issues such as this cannot be used to drive up the voter turnout of your own side, because everybody is already turning up to vote.

    The other thing is that the Australian Labor Party is more socially conservative compared to the US Democrats and possibly also UK Labour. The reason is that more left-wing voters tend to vote for the Australian Greens, who are a very strong 3rd party (roughly as strong as the Lib Dems in the UK).
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,512

    The damaging revelations of the Jan. 6 committee hearings are fueling skepticism among Senate Republicans that former President Trump can win the GOP nomination in 2024 or even run for another term in the White House.

    https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/3580149-gop-senators-are-skeptical-damaged-trump-can-win-in-2024/

    If Trump backed candidates fail in November then his credibility will be damaged.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    IshmaelZ said:

    You have not the first idea of the damage peggate has done to the Royal family, coming on top of baldy's attempt to suppress the "Three people in the marriage" bashir interview. she might be well advised to referret on this one.
    The only mentions of 'peggate' since the evening it was first discussed here, that I have seen anywhere, literally anywhere, work, socially, etc. are yours. Probably 5 or 6 posts in the last couple of days.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,775
    IshmaelZ said:

    Not sure why you think it is such a gotcha. It's a very difficult concept. I assume you don't identify it as physical. If it is mental, are there any other mental qualities which are as binary, boolean either/or as this? Can't think of any. Why can't we just talk about people who to a greater or lesser extent would like to be the other sex, to the extent that is possible?
    No gotchas. It's more that old Wills has a habit of just throwing out the questions and it's unbalanced if you don't make him answer some himself.

    My understanding of Gender Dysphoria is that it's feeling of distress that your birth sex doesn't match your gender. M or F being overwhelmingly the main categories.

    As for your question, ok, but how is that different or better to how we are talking about it?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    So what, all you ever post now is far left crap, you make Starmer look like a rightwinger
    Er, you think Genghis Khan was a parlour pinko anyway.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819

    The only mentions of 'peggate' since the evening it was first discussed here, that I have seen anywhere, literally anywhere, work, socially, etc. are yours. Probably 5 or 6 posts in the last couple of days.
    I've found it has been referenced less than the last episode of neighbours but probably more than the extra curricular activities of Mrs Truss.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,512
    Cookie said:

    I would say the party leader who has been the best speaker since Churchill was Kinnock. God knows I was no more left wing as a child than I am now, but I always thought he performed his art well. The Welsh accent too - best speaking accent for the job, I'd say. Most British accents, at least some of the audience will take against you immediately. Less so with Welsh. Less so also with NE English, Highland Scots and SW English, though I'd say Welsh is more persuasive.
    Kinnock was a powerful speaker in small doses and as long as he kept control of himself.

    When he didn't:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TOgB3Smvro
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    Cookie said:

    I would say the party leader who has been the best speaker since Churchill was Kinnock. God knows I was no more left wing as a child than I am now, but I always thought he performed his art well. The Welsh accent too - best speaking accent for the job, I'd say. Most British accents, at least some of the audience will take against you immediately. Less so with Welsh. Less so also with NE English, Highland Scots and SW English, though I'd say Welsh is more persuasive.
    Yes, Kinnock was the best senior British politician in the postwar era - as an orator

    I've just been reading some websites that rank the best political speakers of all time and, bizarrely, Thatcher appears on a few lists. This is surely wrong. They are confusing political importance with skilful oratory. Thatcher was competent: sometimes stilted, sometimes grand, but never brilliant


    She did however do one outstanding, unforgettable speech: to the party the day after the Brighton Bomb, which tried to kill her (and came horribly close)

    It is outstanding because she did it at all. A few hours later. With total calmness and aplomb

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nV-nKpf0Gd4


    Watching this as a layabout student was when I realised she had REAL greatness in her, and was going to change the country for good, and for the better. I remember the moment distinctly
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    Tres said:

    I've found it has been referenced less than the last episode of neighbours but probably more than the extra curricular activities of Mrs Truss.
    Considering that the matter was 'trending' on Twitter last night, though under more than one term, that seems a fair assessment.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    HYUFD said:

    I never voted Plaid at a general election and voted for every Tory candidate on the same town council ballot paper
    And have berated every other Tory for not being a proper Tory like you. And now here you are saying "if they do x I will have to protest vote against the Tories." Which is quite literally what all the people you berate did...
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,343

    Kinnock was a powerful speaker in small doses and as long as he kept control of himself.

    When he didn't:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TOgB3Smvro
    I was interested to read that Stephen Fry was one of Kinnock's speechwriters.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    Tres said:

    I've found it has been referenced less than the last episode of neighbours but probably more than the extra curricular activities of Mrs Truss.
    The latter isn't common knowledge (though neither is 'peggate' actual knowledge, but you know what I mean). I still don't know what happened in Finland, though I can make a relatively educated guess.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,512
    MaxPB said:

    Indeed, a girl playing with train sets and monster trucks doesn't mean she was born in the wrong sex. It's completely mad that we've got to a stage where these kinds of ideas are being used to perpetrate abuse against children.
    Indeed.

    And for anyone to suggest that a girl who plays with trains and trucks should really become a boy would indicate they hold some very old fashioned views of the interests of kids.
  • The only mentions of 'peggate' since the evening it was first discussed here, that I have seen anywhere, literally anywhere, work, socially, etc. are yours. Probably 5 or 6 posts in the last couple of days.
    well..

  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560
    vik said:

    One important reason it didn't work in Australia is because of compulsory voting. Cultural issues such as this cannot be used to drive up the voter turnout of your own side, because everybody is already turning up to vote.

    The other thing is that the Australian Labor Party is more socially conservative compared to the US Democrats and possibly also UK Labour. The reason is that more left-wing voters tend to vote for the Australian Greens, who are a very strong 3rd party (roughly as strong as the Lib Dems in the UK).
    Also, Australia's second rate voting system boosted the Teals. And climate change was a bigger issue in Australia, which it wouldn't be here - afaict Truss and Sunak are both fully signed up to the orthodoxy.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Carnyx said:

    Considering that the matter was 'trending' on Twitter last night, though under more than one term, that seems a fair assessment.
    For those of us who try to avoid Twitter, WTF is “peggate”?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited July 2022
    HYUFD said:

    I never voted Plaid at a general election and voted for every Tory candidate on the same town council ballot paper
    The problem with your argument is that it is always better to stop voting your way down a list than to give points to your opponents which might be critical in the late playoffs. I suppose however it is possible that there was someone even more evil (in your eyes) than a PC candidate, so you would want to make as sure as possible this last candidate didn't win.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,353
    HYUFD said:

    So what, all you ever post now is far left crap, you make Starmer look like a rightwinger
    One of the things I really appreciate about @ishmaelx is that I usually have no idea which way he will opine on a subject.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    Carnyx said:

    Considering that the matter was 'trending' on Twitter last night, though under more than one term, that seems a fair assessment.
    Yet another reason not to be on Twitter.
  • TresTres Posts: 2,819
    DougSeal said:

    For those of us who try to avoid Twitter, WTF is “peggate”?
    latest royal family gossip relating to lizzy's grandkids
  • DriverDriver Posts: 5,560
    DougSeal said:

    For those of us who try to avoid Twitter, WTF is “peggate”?
    Prince William has been seeking pegging outside his marriage because Kate doesn't want to do it.

    I think. I've found it very difficult to care.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,135

    Kinnock was a powerful speaker in small doses and as long as he kept control of himself.

    When he didn't:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7TOgB3Smvro
    Kinnock's problem was that as he spoke to a live crowd, he moved his head around. It is what speakers do, at least when they are not struggling to read an autocue. Trouble is, often the television cameras would show tight close-ups (Roger will know the technical terms) from the neck up which made Kinnock's head movement look absurd or even deranged. You'd think Peter Mandelson, as a tv producer, would have been on to this but apparently not.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,512

    If Trump backed candidates fail in November then his credibility will be damaged.
    Speaking of which am I correct that Trump backed candidates in Georgia and Pennsylvania look like they're making a mess of their Senate races ?

    If so it becomes very hard for the GOP to take control as they'd need to win in both Arizona and Nevada - New Hampshire seems to be another flop for them.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    The only mentions of 'peggate' since the evening it was first discussed here, that I have seen anywhere, literally anywhere, work, socially, etc. are yours. Probably 5 or 6 posts in the last couple of days.
    Sorry. I think it is very funny

    Also important. The Royalist narrative is London Bridge, then stopgap period of Chas n Camilla who people have forgiven and taken to their hearts, then sunlit upland time with the utterly wholesome Baldies. I cannot imagine more of a setback to that.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited July 2022
    DougSeal said:

    For those of us who try to avoid Twitter, WTF is “peggate”?
    Alleged bedtime predilections of a certain royal. I haven't inquired into the details (after an unfortunate experience some decades back with another kink [edit] or rather the then slang for it).

    Edit: I thought at first it was the Finnish/Cabinet Minister thing, but the emphasis seems to be on royalty, so I lost interest.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,775
    IshmaelZ said:

    But the right to be bored is inalienable, surely? Anti trans sounds to me like someone who wishes to prevent adults from dressing, describing themselves, and having approved medical procedures exactly as they wish, and/or wishes to insult, humiliate or physically assault them. I don't see any sign of that.
    Tell you what, rather than bit/bat this in theory, next time we're both on here and "trans" comes up and some poster makes a contribution that (imo) can fairly be called anti-trans or transphobic I'll quote/reply it and explain why I think it is.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,497
    edited July 2022
    ydoethur said:

    Campbell led a party of 63 MPs and was the second largest party in two of the four constituent nations of the UK. Hardly 'minor.'
    Although, if you count his achievements with all those MPs, calling him and his party 'minor' is grotesque flattery.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992
    edited July 2022

    And have berated every other Tory for not being a proper Tory like you. And now here you are saying "if they do x I will have to protest vote against the Tories." Which is quite literally what all the people you berate did...
    If the Tory leader does not support the monarchy or the Church of England as the established church the Tory party by definition no longer exists, as those have always been its consistent core principles since the 17th century and still as the Conservative Party since the mid 19th century.

    Instead it would just be a libertarian right of centre on economics, socially liberal party if Truss went down that route.

    However nationalist patriots would move en masse to RefUK and traditional One Nation Tories would move en masse to the LDs leaving a relic of the old party behind. Truss would have killed the Tories as well as most likely her premiership

  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    Driver said:

    Prince William has been seeking pegging outside his marriage because Kate doesn't want to do it.

    I think. I've found it very difficult to care.
    Really? As with the news that Trusster turning out to be a whip-cracking adult baby wrangler, Wills wanting to take it like a man makes me think he is more interesting than he was before...
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,775

    My answer is no, it's a social theory.
    I know! But do you buy it is more what I'm asking?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194
    tlg86 said:

    I'm not sure Man City should be odds on for the PL. They've taken quite a gamble rejigging their team.

    Man City often take a few games to get going, but Liverpool do look the better side today.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    IshmaelZ said:

    Sorry. I think it is very funny

    Also important. The Royalist narrative is London Bridge, then stopgap period of Chas n Camilla who people have forgiven and taken to their hearts, then sunlit upland time with the utterly wholesome Baldies. I cannot imagine more of a setback to that.
    Meh.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    If the Tory leader does not support the monarchy or the Church of England as the established church the Tory party by definition no longer exists, as those have always been its consistent core principles since the 17th century and still as the Conservative Party since the mid 19th century.

    Instead it would just be a libertarian right of centre on economics, socially liberal party if Truss went down that route.

    However nationalist patriots would move en masse to RefUK and traditional One Nation Tories would move en masse to the LDs leaving a relic of the old party behind. Truss would have killed the Tories as well as most likely her premiership

    On the other hand, slavery, aggressive imperial conquest, the denial of votes for women/the poor, and so on, were all consistent core policies of the Tories till they weren't.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    HYUFD said:

    If the Tory leader does not support the monarchy or the Church of England as the established church the Tory party by definition no longer exists, as those have always been its consistent core principles since the 17th century and still as the Conservative Party since the mid 19th century.

    Instead it would just be a libertarian right of centre on economics, socially liberal party if Truss went down that route.

    However nationalist patriots would move en masse to RefUK and traditional One Nation Tories would move en masse to the LDs leaving a relic of the old party behind. Truss would have killed the Tories as well as most likely her premiership

    I have no problem with you making a principled stand. But your endless railing against other PB Tories for making a principled stand of their own does makes this look rather hypocritical.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Foxy said:

    Man City often take a few games to get going, but Liverpool do look the better side today.
    Yes, and I’m never sure how seriously to take this game anyway.

    How Ipswich failed to win today is beyond me. (Speaking as literally the only person on this board who cares of course)
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    Bloody hell.


  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    IshmaelZ said:

    Sorry. I think it is very funny

    Also important. The Royalist narrative is London Bridge, then stopgap period of Chas n Camilla who people have forgiven and taken to their hearts, then sunlit upland time with the utterly wholesome Baldies. I cannot imagine more of a setback to that.
    It's the merest tattle, and I suspect it means absolutely nothing, and is definitely not "important"

    Salacious gossip - true and false - has surrounded the Royal Family for centuries. It's practically what they are FOR

    Indeed, the time when the royals need to worry is when there is gossip about them, and no one cares, and no one can be bothered to spread it. THAT is when we might be headed for republicanism. Instead this is a top Twitter trend, because the royals are mega famous. They're not going anywhere
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194
    Incidentally has PB got a fantasy league set up yet?

    I think @Scrapheap_as_was is the league owner
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    So what, all you ever post now is far left crap, you make Starmer look like a rightwinger
    I don't actually. Truth and morality don't have left and right wings, so we can neutrally ask: did we ship over 3 million Africans to the New World against their will and make them carry out horrendous physical labour for no pay until they died - True or false (NOT Left or right)? Was this a morally good, bad or indifferent thing to do? Should we tell the truth about this, or lie about it?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    HYUFD said:

    If the Tory leader does not support the monarchy or the Church of England as the established church the Tory party by definition no longer exists, as those have always been its consistent core principles since the 17th century and still as the Conservative Party since the mid 19th century.

    Instead it would just be a libertarian right of centre on economics, socially liberal party if Truss went down that route.

    However nationalist patriots would move en masse to RefUK and traditional One Nation Tories would move en masse to the LDs leaving a relic of the old party behind. Truss would have killed the Tories as well as most likely her premiership

    I'll remember that for next time you use the term 'nationalist' for people you disagree with.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    rcs1000 said:

    One of the things I really appreciate about @ishmaelx is that I usually have no idea which way he will opine on a subject.
    There's more than one thing? awww.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    edited July 2022

    Really? As with the news that Trusster turning out to be a whip-cracking adult baby wrangler, Wills wanting to take it like a man makes me think he is more interesting than he was before...
    If it were true, it would be incredibly tame, suburban almost. The rumours about Charles' generation and even those above were that ample courtiers and flunkies could be arranged to oblige any such whims amply and discretely. To me it reads like trashy nonsense originating from and spread by trashy people.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,382
    edited July 2022
    Badenoch:

    I was astonished that in trying to help mostly gay children whose childhoods were being destroyed by experimental treatment, I was misrepresented by mischief-makers and their friends in certain media outlets as being anti-LGBT with slurs gleefully retweeted by Labour politicians such as Angela Rayner and Chris Bryant…..

    Where was the furore in parliament as these women suffered? A healthy opposition would have pushed government to solve the problem sooner. Instead Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SNP were on the wrong side of the debate, captured by gender-identity ideologues. Notable exceptions, such as MPs Rosie Duffield and Joanna Cherry, were ostracised by their party leadership who refused to look at the evidence, preferring to posture on social media and chant slogans in parliament


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0df1a300-1022-11ed-b7aa-67f5549661eb?shareToken=6d94871b81fb663cf7366c65891fbe26
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Why bother with VAR in the Community Shield? Seriously?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kinabalu said:

    No gotchas. It's more that old Wills has a habit of just throwing out the questions and it's unbalanced if you don't make him answer some himself.

    My understanding of Gender Dysphoria is that it's feeling of distress that your birth sex doesn't match your gender. M or F being overwhelmingly the main categories.

    As for your question, ok, but how is that different or better to how we are talking about it?
    I think it does make a difference whether you say of a hypothetical child, This child contains an A/B gender switch which is necessarily set to A or B, vs: of the over 100,000 thoughts which have passed through this child's head to day, 1 or 2 or 5% have been about how it would like to be/feels as if it is a girl/boy.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,530
    DougSeal said:

    Why bother with VAR?

    Fixed that for you.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 62,269
    Leon said:

    Yes, Kinnock was the best senior British politician in the postwar era - as an orator

    I've just been reading some websites that rank the best political speakers of all time and, bizarrely, Thatcher appears on a few lists. This is surely wrong. They are confusing political importance with skilful oratory. Thatcher was competent: sometimes stilted, sometimes grand, but never brilliant


    She did however do one outstanding, unforgettable speech: to the party the day after the Brighton Bomb, which tried to kill her (and came horribly close)

    It is outstanding because she did it at all. A few hours later. With total calmness and aplomb

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nV-nKpf0Gd4


    Watching this as a layabout student was when I realised she had REAL greatness in her, and was going to change the country for good, and for the better. I remember the moment distinctly
    The content of her speeches and the conviction with which she delivered them was, however, superb.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992
    IshmaelZ said:

    I don't actually. Truth and morality don't have left and right wings, so we can neutrally ask: did we ship over 3 million Africans to the New World against their will and make them carry out horrendous physical labour for no pay until they died - True or false (NOT Left or right)? Was this a morally good, bad or indifferent thing to do? Should we tell the truth about this, or lie about it?
    You equated Britain's role in the slave trade to the Nazi Holocaust.

    As pointed out to you the Nazis exterminated over 3 times more people than the British transported in the slave trade and killed over 20 times as many directly not indirectly.

    The British then also played a key role in ending slavery.

    I repeat, you are a far left revisionist. Slavery was wrong as was our role in it but historically it was not the Holocaust
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727

    If it were true, it would be incredibly tame, suburban almost. The rumours about Charles' generation and even those above were that ample courtiers and flunkies could be arranged to oblige any such whims amply and discretely. To me it reads like trashy nonsense oringinating from and spread by trashy people.
    Yes, I've heard some absolutely gob-smacking rumours about nearly all the royals. Far spicier than this

    The idea this particular one imperils the Crown is juvenile

    Some of the stuff I used to hear about Prince Edward make THE FINLAND RUMOUR look tame. And of course the royals have already survived - it seems - the unending shitshow of cringe that is Andrew
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    If it were true, it would be incredibly tame, suburban almost. The rumours about Charles' generation and even those above were that ample courtiers and flunkies could be arranged to oblige any such whims amply and discretely. To me it reads like trashy nonsense originating from and spread by trashy people.
    Basically the heir to the throne has an affair and has a kink? Is that it? How does that differ from the last 500 years? Or more…
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992

    I have no problem with you making a principled stand. But your endless railing against other PB Tories for making a principled stand of their own does makes this look rather hypocritical.
    No it doesn't as the Tory party still exists for now
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,656
    kinabalu said:

    Interesting. Although I must admit my main insight into the theory of evolution is it's one of the most popularly misunderstood bits of science around.
    Everyone thinks they understand exactly how it works, apart from those who specialise in the subject.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992
    Carnyx said:

    On the other hand, slavery, aggressive imperial conquest, the denial of votes for women/the poor, and so on, were all consistent core policies of the Tories till they weren't.
    They were not founding principles of the Tory party as support for the monarchy and established church were
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    If it were true, it would be incredibly tame, suburban almost. The rumours about Charles' generation and even those above were that ample courtiers and flunkies could be arranged to oblige any such whims amply and discretely. To me it reads like trashy nonsense originating from and spread by trashy people.
    That's me told.

    I would have more sympathy with your position if he didn't have a superinjunction about all this. I seriously and genuinely despise the things, and all who obtain them.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,992

    Bloody hell.


    So what, his family did not launch 9/11, Osama did
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727

    Badenoch:

    I was astonished that in trying to help mostly gay children whose childhoods were being destroyed by experimental treatment, I was misrepresented by mischief-makers and their friends in certain media outlets as being anti-LGBT with slurs gleefully retweeted by Labour politicians such as Angela Rayner and Chris Bryant…..

    Where was the furore in parliament as these women suffered? A healthy opposition would have pushed government to solve the problem sooner. Instead Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SNP were on the wrong side of the debate, captured by gender-identity ideologues. Notable exceptions, such as MPs Rosie Duffield and Joanna Cherry, were ostracised by their party leadership who refused to look at the evidence, preferring to posture on social media and chant slogans in parliament


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0df1a300-1022-11ed-b7aa-67f5549661eb?shareToken=6d94871b81fb663cf7366c65891fbe26

    Just read that. Clear, plausible, articulate, entirely credible

    She's excellent. Truss must give her a senior job
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,785
    IshmaelZ said:

    That's me told.

    I would have more sympathy with your position if he didn't have a superinjunction about all this. I seriously and genuinely despise the things, and all who obtain them.
    There, I agree with you 100%.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,978
    IshmaelZ said:

    That's me told.

    I would have more sympathy with your position if he didn't have a superinjunction about all this. I seriously and genuinely despise the things, and all who obtain them.
    Doesn't that remark put OGH in contempt of court?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    Hurrah for VAR.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    You equated Britain's role in the slave trade to the Nazi Holocaust.

    As pointed out to you the Nazis exterminated over 3 times more people than the British transported in the slave trade and killed over 20 times as many directly not indirectly.

    The British then also played a key role in ending slavery.

    I repeat, you are a far left revisionist. Slavery was wrong as was our role in it but historically it was not the Holocaust
    I don't think it is really a numbers game when both parties are in the millions. Anyway, if you count the subsequent generations of plantation-bred slaves I imagine you end up level pegging.

    I think you have a frightening lack of imagination in failing to understand the misery of a field slave's life and death, and a lack of historical understanding of the holocaust which was a slave racket as much as straight extermination.

    The terrible and foreseeable consequences of black US slavery persist to this day while the holocaust is history.

    It was a very great evil. I do not say that the descendants of slaves are owed compensation or apologies (which would arguably be a left wing position), I just say they are owed the truth.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    Notable that Badenoch praises Truss in that splendid article. She will surely get her reward. And thank fuck the Wokester Mordaunt was edged out


    When do the legal actions against the Tavistock (and Mermaids and Stonewall) begin? They must be en route. Hundreds of kids - and their families- have suffered terrible things
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,353

    Speaking of which am I correct that Trump backed candidates in Georgia and Pennsylvania look like they're making a mess of their Senate races ?

    If so it becomes very hard for the GOP to take control as they'd need to win in both Arizona and Nevada - New Hampshire seems to be another flop for them.
    So... It's 50-50 now, which gives the Dems control.

    If Oz really does lose Pennsylvania (which looks increasingly likely) then the Republicans need to make two gains.

    There are two excellent shots (Nevada and Arizona), one fading, but still perfectly possible (Georgia), and two unlikely but would fall in a wave election (New Hampshire and Colorado).

    I would make the Republicans a slightly better than evens shot... But only sightly better. The Dems lead in the polls (by the narrowest of margins) in both AZ and NV, but you have to reckon the Republicans will have the enthusiasm gap on their side.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    edited July 2022
    The Community Shield isn't a friendly, it is a proper trophy, it is something you have to earn qualification for.

    Edit - If Liverpool lose this match then it is a glorified friendly.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Doesn't that remark put OGH in contempt of court?
    Only if the site has been served with same.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,497
    HYUFD said:

    They were not founding principles of the Tory party as support for the monarchy and established church were
    I've never heard a Tory mentioning the established church (outside this forum anyway). Unlike the Monarchy, it has minority support in the public at large. I don't see why it should be a core principle of today's Conservative Party, just because it was of the Tory Party in the 17th century.

    On the other hand, I've heard dozens mentioning tax cuts and law and order.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,497
    IshmaelZ said:

    I don't think it is really a numbers game when both parties are in the millions. Anyway, if you count the subsequent generations of plantation-bred slaves I imagine you end up level pegging.

    Not the best turn of phrase today.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194

    Hurrah for VAR.

    Yep both decisions correct.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,353
    IshmaelZ said:

    I don't think it is really a numbers game when both parties are in the millions. Anyway, if you count the subsequent generations of plantation-bred slaves I imagine you end up level pegging.

    I think you have a frightening lack of imagination in failing to understand the misery of a field slave's life and death, and a lack of historical understanding of the holocaust which was a slave racket as much as straight extermination.

    The terrible and foreseeable consequences of black US slavery persist to this day while the holocaust is history.

    It was a very great evil. I do not say that the descendants of slaves are owed compensation or apologies (which would arguably be a left wing position), I just say they are owed the truth.
    Enough with the pegging.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,382
    Me for ⁦@Telegraph⁩. News re GIDs is a relief but where do we go from here if (1) Labour cannot put the needs of children above their fear of activists - what hope for cross party agreement? (2) if LGBT charities won’t acknowledge there are issues?

    https://twitter.com/nmdacosta/status/1553436312379789312

    Part of the issue is the “T” and the conflation of an “identity” with “sexual attraction”. They are not the same thing. By all means campaign for “T” rights, but lumping the two together has not been unproblematic.

  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 29,844
    HYUFD said:

    No it doesn't as the Tory party still exists for now
    Your definition of the Tory party perhaps. It is a statement of supreme arrogance for you to say that your definition is the only valid definition. And if you flounce off there will be Tories making similar statements about you.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    HYUFD said:

    So what, his family did not launch 9/11, Osama did
    The future king agreed to the donation despite the objections of advisers at the Clarence House and the Prince of Wales Charitable Foundation (PWCF), where the money was ultimately deposited.

    According to sources, several of Charles’s advisers, including at least one trustee, pleaded with him in person to return the money.

    One of his household staff said it would cause national outrage if the news leaked to the media. They told the prince that “it would not be good for anybody” if it emerged that he had accepted money from the family of the perpetrator of the worst terrorist attack in history.

    A second adviser also urged the prince to return the money. They told the prince he would suffer serious reputational damage if his name appeared in the same sentence as the terrorist, who was responsible for the murder of 67 Britons alongside thousands of Americans on 9/11.

    One source said: “The fact that a member of the highest level of the British establishment was choosing to broker deals with a name and a family that not only rang alarm bells, but abject horror around the world . . . why would you do this? What good reason is there to do this?”
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,727
    The hits keep coming


    "Children referred for puberty blockers after just one consultation at Tavistock clinic

    "Parents call for use of the drugs to be stopped immediately, following warnings they could affect parts of the brain"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/07/29/children-referred-puberty-blockers-just-one-consultation-tavistock/


    WTAF
  • Jim_MillerJim_Miller Posts: 3,262
    I've started on Deborah Birx's "Silent Invasion", and think some of you might find it of interest. It's a first-hand account of what we Americans got wrong -- and right -- in our response to COVID.
    https://www.amazon.com/Silent-Invasion-Administration-Covid-19-Preventing/dp/0063204231/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=Deborah+Birx&qid=1659203686&sr=8-1

    For example, she says, bluntly, that New York City did not lock down as quickly as it should have, because New York Governor Andrew Cumo had a long-time feud with New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, a feud that cost lives.

    Although Birx is an epidemiologist, there are fewer numbers than I expected, and so far, no graphs or tables. That's a minor defect for me, but, I suspect, a plus for many other readers.

    (If, like me, your memory is not as good as it used to be, you may find this hint helpful: After the first mention, Birx mostly refers to those she worked with by their first names, or even nicknames. So, when she says "Tony", she means Anthony Fauci, and so on. So I am ging to have to go back and write a little crib sheet for myself, so I can keep track of the characters.)
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033
    Pennsylvania Republicans form group supporting Democrats in Governors race.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUiN7fTPU3o
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    Not sure what I enjoyed the most, the Nunez goal or the Haaland miss.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    I've started on Deborah Birx's "Silent Invasion", and think some of you might find it of interest. It's a first-hand account of what we Americans got wrong -- and right -- in our response to COVID.
    https://www.amazon.com/Silent-Invasion-Administration-Covid-19-Preventing/dp/0063204231/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=Deborah+Birx&qid=1659203686&sr=8-1

    For example, she says, bluntly, that New York City did not lock down as quickly as it should have, because New York Governor Andrew Cumo had a long-time feud with New York Mayor Bill de Blasio, a feud that cost lives.

    Although Birx is an epidemiologist, there are fewer numbers than I expected, and so far, no graphs or tables. That's a minor defect for me, but, I suspect, a plus for many other readers.

    (If, like me, your memory is not as good as it used to be, you may find this hint helpful: After the first mention, Birx mostly refers to those she worked with by their first names, or even nicknames. So, when she says "Tony", she means Anthony Fauci, and so on. So I am ging to have to go back and write a little crib sheet for myself, so I can keep track of the characters.)

    Thanks for that. One of the first of many such tomes I think. When the dust has settled a bit more I look forward to a dispassionate history of what happened here.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    Right. Saturday evening. Lovely weather. Association Football on the television. Patio doors open. I’m on the beer.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    Not sure what I enjoyed the most, the Nunez goal or the Haaland miss.

    For a neutral the goal was exceptional.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194

    Not sure what I enjoyed the most, the Nunez goal or the Haaland miss.

    Both look very good signings.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,097
    Leon said:

    Hitler is TOO flamboyant and hyperbolic for British tastes. But it clearly resonated with a lot of Germans. As Susan Sontag said (IIRC) "he brought Germany to orgasm with his speeches". And it is almost literally true. If you see footage of a famous Hitler speech, the people in the crowd look at him with bright, wet eyes, mesmerised, thrilled, moved, even aroused

    Chavez is an intriguing contrast. He's nothing like Hitler but just as "good". That quiet hypnotic intensity. He is erudite without being pompous, his emotions are profound rather than raw

    I can't think of a single British politician since Churchill with these skills: great oratory combined with great charisma. Obama could be excellent at his best but again not at this world class standard

    It is unfortunate that these talents often seem to be gifted to demagogues rather than democrats
    We’re British. We neither do, nor fall for, that sort of thing.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,933
    DougSeal said:

    Right. Saturday evening. Lovely weather. Association Football on the television. Patio doors open. I’m on the beer.

    Fortunately CHB doesn't appear to have joined you this evening.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,307
    edited July 2022

    The Community Shield isn't a friendly, it is a proper trophy, it is something you have to earn qualification for.

    Edit - If Liverpool lose this match then it is a glorified friendly.

    Diddy trophy is the traditional Glasgow definition when either of the Old Firm teams are knocked out of the league cup.
  • https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/liz-truss-interview-my-mum-would-vote-for-me-im-not-sure-about-dad-35wvzcpsr

    Liz Truss interview: My mum would vote for me, I’m not sure about dad. All triple-A* star pupils would get Oxbridge interviews, says the No 10 favourite, as she reveals her love for Reagan, a sexually explicit rap song and radical thinking

    ?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,841
    Driver said:

    Prince William has been seeking pegging outside his marriage because Kate doesn't want to do it.

    Allegedly ;)
  • Liz Truss vows to evoke the spirit of Thatcher and form 'supergroup' economic team - including veteran Tory John Redwood - to challenge Treasury 'group-think'
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746
    IanB2 said:

    We’re British. We neither do, nor fall for, that sort of thing.
    We’re just waiting for someone to find the sweet spot. As Leon says, Hitler was too flamboyant and hyperbolic for our tastes, but see what a self-deprecating buffoon was able to do for a very long time.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,815

    Badenoch:

    I was astonished that in trying to help mostly gay children whose childhoods were being destroyed by experimental treatment, I was misrepresented by mischief-makers and their friends in certain media outlets as being anti-LGBT with slurs gleefully retweeted by Labour politicians such as Angela Rayner and Chris Bryant…..

    Where was the furore in parliament as these women suffered? A healthy opposition would have pushed government to solve the problem sooner. Instead Labour, the Liberal Democrats and the SNP were on the wrong side of the debate, captured by gender-identity ideologues. Notable exceptions, such as MPs Rosie Duffield and Joanna Cherry, were ostracised by their party leadership who refused to look at the evidence, preferring to posture on social media and chant slogans in parliament


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/0df1a300-1022-11ed-b7aa-67f5549661eb?shareToken=6d94871b81fb663cf7366c65891fbe26

    Hopefully Liz will put her in charge of education and weed out all of the gender identity idiots from schools before they do any more damage to our children.
  • dixiedean said:

    Fortunately CHB doesn't appear to have joined you this evening.
    Is this necessary?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,775
    IshmaelZ said:

    I think it does make a difference whether you say of a hypothetical child, This child contains an A/B gender switch which is necessarily set to A or B, vs: of the over 100,000 thoughts which have passed through this child's head to day, 1 or 2 or 5% have been about how it would like to be/feels as if it is a girl/boy.
    The latter sounds better to me. It's about what's going on with people, how they feel, their identity. However, male or female are in practice how we view both sex and gender, so this mismatch between the 2 remains at the heart of things. Don't see how to get away from that until the nirvana of the post gender society where the sex you are born with carries no consequences other than the physical and reproductive.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,746

    Is this necessary?
    You’re welcome to pop round but geography is not our friend.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,644
    How will I tell my kids that Erling Haaland missed from here?


  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 10,033

    If Trump backed candidates fail in November then his credibility will be damaged.
    Trump is losing the support of Rupert Murdoch's press and even Fox News is giving more coverage to DeSantis than Trump nowadays.
    The interesting thing will be to see what Trump does if he doesn't get the Republican nomination.
    Another interesting thing will be to see what Liz Cheney does if he does.
    Either of these factors could help the Democrats
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,194
    Leon said:

    The hits keep coming


    "Children referred for puberty blockers after just one consultation at Tavistock clinic

    "Parents call for use of the drugs to be stopped immediately, following warnings they could affect parts of the brain"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/07/29/children-referred-puberty-blockers-just-one-consultation-tavistock/


    WTAF

    The first appointment was the psychological assessment, the second an endocrinological one, usually after a 2 year wait following referral, so not a transient whim. There may also have been significant assessment by the referring unit.

    Worth noting that puberty blockers were only prescribed if the child was Gillick competent, and could not be prescribed without that informed consent.

    The Tavistock is closing in favour of regional services, initially in London and Liverpool, with others to follow. In part this is to reduce waiting times as referrals have massively increased over the last decade. It isn't the Tavistock that is generating the demand, indeed it has clearly struggled to cope with demand.
  • ydoethur said:

    Campbell led a party of 63 MPs and was the second largest party in two of the four constituent nations of the UK. Hardly 'minor.'
    Less than a tenth of the MPs and zero credible chance of getting Downing Street.

    Tories and Labour are the major parties.

    LDs are minor as opposed to insignificant like UKIP.
This discussion has been closed.