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The papers after an historic day – politicalbetting.com

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  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited July 2022

    Abusers need to be punished and abuse taken seriously not brushed under the rug.

    Taking away everyone else's liberties isn't a way to do that. Driving relationships underground as you've frowned upon them and made them socially unacceptable just plays into the abusers hands, as abusers have more opportunities for abuse when everything is underground.

    Openness and honesty is the polar opposite of prohibition, not its friend. Your puritanical prohibitionism won't stop adults screwing each other, it will just make them do so in secret more, which will make the abusers job easier. 🤦‍♂️

    Prohibition does not work.
    You're forgetting two basic principles.

    1. It's a huge problem for any employer. If they tell you, in induction, not to do it, then you can't complain when you do it in secret or openly, and they get you for it.

    2. You just don't do things that conflict with your employer's interests (except in permitted areas such as TUS work). I work for Widgets PLC, I'm not allowed to post on here saying they are crap and Thingummies Ltd's products are superior. I'm not allowed to put laxative in the shop-floor manager's tea. And I'm not allowed to jump the manager's spouse, certainly if we're in the same line of management, because that tends to lead to equally messy results in the workplace.

    Re the libertarian thing - if one doesn't like it, then one can piss off the moment the no-conflict rule comes up at induction. Even if one does not have the common sense to realise it a priori.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    The Tories have a lot more to fear about him hanging around like a bad smell and haunting his successor. I doubt that his ambitions to be PM are over. He won't exit the stage.
    While I tend to agree, and from a narrow partisan perspective would welcome this, my one doubt is his health. He just doesn’t look very healthy. Obese, a likely drink issue, long covid? How much stamina will he have once the dust has settled?

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300
    Applicant said:

    See my following comment - it wouldn't change the timetable.
    New PM ( temporary) in 14 days?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209
    boulay said:

    The other difference is that Putin has arranged for people to be poisoned horribly here, unleashed a completely unecessary barbaric war that’s cost tens of thousands of lives and is a kleptocrat. Understandable that people would cheer his demise.

    I might not be up on my Japanese news but pretty certain Abe hasn’t done any of those things.
    I wouldn't cheer his demise. But I wouldn't rush to condemn the inevitable celebrations in Ukraine, either.
  • biggles said:

    He’s not being puritanical. His is the policy (written and unwritten) of every large organisation I’ve ever worked in. As a manager or as someone responsible for students, you refrain from relationships with them. Even if you wouldn’t dream of favouring them, they might think you would. When it comes out, and it will, their peers might also think you would, or that you have.

    As a manager toy don’t f*ck the payroll. As a teacher you don’t f*ck your students.
    It is a very bad policy and it is not one of every employer, even if its one that you know.

    Plenty of people here have confirmed that it is not their employers policy.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,771
    Carnyx said:

    You're forgetting two basic principles.

    1. It's a huge problem for any employer. If they tell you, in induction, not to do it, then you can't complain when you do it in secret or openly, and they get you for it.

    2. You just don't do things that conflict with your employer's interests (except in permitted areas such as TUS work). I work for Widgets PLC, I'm not allowed to post on here saying they are crap and Thingummies Ltd's products are superior. I'm not allowed to put laxative in the shop-floor manager's tea. And I'm not allowed to jump the manager's spouse, certainly if we're in the same line of management, because that tends to lead to equally messy results in the workplace.

    Re the libertarian thing - if one doesn't like it, then one can piss off the moment it comes up at induction. Even if one does not have the common sense to realise it a priori.
    "Oh, I'm sorry. I only took this job because I identified a large number of emotionally vulnerable, sexually attractive people who would be my direct reports. I'll leave now."
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,114
    biggles said:

    Basically, the old phrase remains true for all those reasons. Don’t f*ck the payroll.

    Dom reckons that's a problem for at least 2 of the prospective leader candidates...
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    While I tend to agree, and from a narrow partisan perspective would welcome this, my one doubt is his health. He just doesn’t look very healthy. Obese, a likely drink issue, long covid? How much stamina will he have once the dust has settled?

    People are routinely propped up into their 80s with much worse health issues than his these days.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited July 2022
    mwadams said:

    "Oh, I'm sorry. I only took this job because I identified a large number of emotionally vulnerable, sexually attractive people who would be my direct reports. I'll leave now."
    Quite. That's why it is so important to warn new inductees what is and is not on. It applies to bullying, racism, sexism, etc. too.

    Itd does not in itself work completely - but it makes ti so much easier to sack them when problems occur.
  • DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 1,236
    edited July 2022

    Absolutely rational.

    Saying "there's other people they could have sex with instead" is like saying to a man "there's women you could have sex with instead" of the man they're attracted to.

    Consenting adults should be able to have sex with whoever they want to, so long as the other party is also a consenting adult who wants to have sex with them too.
    The problem with the line management liaison isn't the relationship, it's the breakup. Having to manage your ex or being managed by your ex can explode unless both parties are mature and sensible but that's rather rare in that sort of scenario.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758

    Abusers need to be punished and abuse taken seriously not brushed under the rug.

    Taking away everyone else's liberties isn't a way to do that. Driving relationships underground as you've frowned upon them and made them socially unacceptable just plays into the abusers hands, as abusers have more opportunities for abuse when everything is underground.

    Openness and honesty is the polar opposite of prohibition, not its friend. Your puritanical prohibitionism won't stop adults screwing each other, it will just make them do so in secret more, which will make the abusers job easier. 🤦‍♂️

    Prohibition does not work.
    I agree, human interactions are messy. A requirement to notify and deal with "conflicts of interest" is the only justified regulatory requirement for relationships between consenting adults. Overregulating human relationships is oppressive and worse than the problems that are supposedly being addressed.
  • Carnyx said:

    You're forgetting two basic principles.

    1. It's a huge problem for any employer. If they tell you, in induction, not to do it, then you can't complain when you do it in secret or openly, and they get you for it.

    2. You just don't do things that conflict with your employer's interests (except in permitted areas such as TUS work). I work for Widgets PLC, I'm not allowed to post on here saying they are crap and Thingummies Ltd's products are superior. I'm not allowed to put laxative in the shop-floor manager's tea. And I'm not allowed to jump the manager's spouse, certainly if we're in the same line of management, because that tends to lead to equally messy results in the workplace.

    Re the libertarian thing - if one doesn't like it, then one can piss off the moment the no-conflict rule comes up at induction. Even if one does not have the common sense to realise it a priori.
    I am not forgetting either.

    Companies can have policies, even bad policies, I agree with that. Doesn't make those policies universal, or correct.

    However Josias is acting as if the bad policies he knows are universal and appropriate. They're not universal. They're not the law. Many, many employers do not have such policies as has already been confirmed by many here.

    Just because other companies have bad policies, doesn't mean Musk or anyone else needs to adopt such bad policies in their own business.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    biggles said:

    He’s not being puritanical. His is the policy (written and unwritten) of every large organisation I’ve ever worked in. As a manager or as someone responsible for students, you refrain from relationships with them. Even if you wouldn’t dream of favouring them, they might think you would. When it comes out, and it will, their peers might also think you would, or that you have.

    As a manager toy don’t f*ck the payroll. As a teacher you don’t f*ck your students.
    Anyone else remember Harriet Harmon's tales from her time at York University?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    boulay said:

    The other difference is that Putin has arranged for people to be poisoned horribly here, unleashed a completely unecessary barbaric war that’s cost tens of thousands of lives and is a kleptocrat. Understandable that people would cheer his demise.

    I might not be up on my Japanese news but pretty certain Abe hasn’t done any of those things.
    There is a lot of unresolved bad blood between China and Japan over the atrocities that Japan carried out during its occupation of China in the 30s/40s. Abe was associated with a nationalist strain in Japanese politics and caused outrage in China when he visited a shrine to Japan's war dead including those responsible for the atrocities. Not that this excuses these kind of tasteless comments, far less the horrific murder of Abe itself, and undoubtedly the CCP exploits these WW2 issues for its own nationalist purposes, but it is useful to understand the context.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I am not forgetting either.

    Companies can have policies, even bad policies, I agree with that. Doesn't make those policies universal, or correct.

    However Josias is acting as if the bad policies he knows are universal and appropriate. They're not universal. They're not the law. Many, many employers do not have such policies as has already been confirmed by many here.

    Just because other companies have bad policies, doesn't mean Musk or anyone else needs to adopt such bad policies in their own business.
    If there is no conflict there is no issue. Two of my friends at work got married. No problem.
  • Carnyx said:

    If there is no conflict there is no issue. Two of my friends at work got married. No problem.
    There we go then, we've gone full circle.

    As I said, lots of the married couples I know met at work.

    What consenting adults do at work or otherwise is up to them. If there's a conflict of interest, then the employer has a legitimate interest to ask that be disclosed, but beyond that its puritanical BS to try to regulate or worse prohibit relationships.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365

    Tory has staked his future on BE-4. At the time it seemed like a good bet and they will probably get good engines in the end, but the time lost has been a serious issue.

    On the RUDs - SpaceX were regularly destroying Merlins through the development cycles of the various versions. If nothing else, they popularised the term. It seems their style of engine development is hardware rich.

    The flight engines on the various Starship tests seemed to have pretty good, stable burns.

    RocketLab needed to prove that they had a viable product/team to get the investment to build bigger. Falcon 1 and all that. I think that they are more viable in the longer term than Virgin Orbit.

    As to which dream will win, that isn't really up to either Bezos or Musk. If you have enough throw weight to start doing much on Mars, you have the throw weight to setup vast space stations as well. If you can chuck 50 or 100 tons into LEO for a few tens of millions, *preventing* space stations will be hard work.

    Blue Origin needs to build a launcher, and learn how to use it. Then build a better one. Trying to design and build perfection from the first instance has been proven, multiple times, to be a bad idea.
    "Tory has staked his future on BE-4. At the time it seemed like a good bet and they will probably get good engines in the end, but the time lost has been a serious issue. "

    The payload for the first Vulcan/Centaur flight (the Peregrine lander) currently appears to be the gating issue, not the rocket itself.

    You are correct about the Merlin RUDs: but the difference is they had working, stable versions for most of the time as they furthered the engine development. They don't have a proven stable version of Raptor V2. I just cannot see the RUDs being good news for this stage of Raptor development, with a suborbital launch coming up with dozens of the things on board.

    (Having said that, the SSME was still having failures until relatively shortly before the first flight, so it might be okay. Might....)
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405

    While I tend to agree, and from a narrow partisan perspective would welcome this, my one doubt is his health. He just doesn’t look very healthy. Obese, a likely drink issue, long covid? How much stamina will he have once the dust has settled?

    He will face a crushing collapse in adrenaline at first but will probably be able to improve his diet and exercise regime out of office. I agree he does look absolutely terrible but I would reckon he will bounce back more energised than before. He will make life very hard for his successor.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    IshmaelZ said:

    People are routinely propped up into their 80s with much worse health issues than his these days.
    That I think is the point. They are keeping actively engaged with whatever it is they do. It's when you stop being actively engaged that the problems start.

    At least that's my experience!
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    New PM ( temporary) in 14 days?
    The two week window following a Commons VONC doesn't apply since DACOP repealed FTPA.

    A successful Commons VONC would see Boris going to see the Queen and saying "my successor as elected by the party in the election which is already under way will be able to command a majority" and HMQ saying "well, as there's only a couple of weeks of parliament left before the recess, there's no point appointing an interim PM and you can stay as caretaker". Utterly pointless.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    Theresa May pays tribute to Shinzo Abe who was Japanese PM when she was in Downing Street

    https://twitter.com/theresa_may/status/1545343324038615040?s=20&t=QdsTE0zjkdvrsQA_4C9M6A
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    edited July 2022

    The last few days have been a triumph for our "unwritten" constitution imho and this guy thinks the same. Excellent blog piece:

    https://publiclawforeveryone.com/2022/07/07/boris-johnsons-resignation-did-the-constitution-work/

    I don't think we should get carried away with the idea of a 'triumph', but I do think in the excitement of it all - and the common tendency to believe that clearer rules for every scenario will automatically be better (despite many examples otherwise) - let some get carried away. As this puts it:

    So has the constitution ‘worked’? That depends on what we expected of it. However, based on the established understanding of how Government works and is sustained in the UK, it is difficult to see in what sense the constitution has failed to work

    There were always formal mechanisms available - the argument and 'crisis' was that Boris looked like he was going to make people use those formal mechanisms. And that's not really that much of a crisis.

    It's a bit like when he went in for Covid and a lot of people seemed to think government might be paralysed if he was in there long, even though we still had a Cabinet, and deputised arrangements had been put in place, and someone could have been made actual/caretaker PM if it was an extended stay.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    Cyclefree said:

    I find this a very inappropriate post. An unnecessarily personal attack, borderline defamatory.

    As for the idea that the country has turned its back on male sexual predation,
    let's get real. Male sexual predators will still be operating and getting away with it and having their behaviour overlooked long after Boris has gone, in Westminster as elsewhere.

    Few of us know other posters in real life and our online personas all have some level of invention, by omission if nothing else. But even if we do know people, to use that personal knowledge to attack others on a public forum seems to me to be wrong and a breach of confidence.

    @Leon is a character: often interesting and insightful, at other times dull or tedious. As are we all, me and you included.

    If you don't like @Leon, scroll past his posts. It's very easy to do.
    Indeed. And outside of intended humour, let's not try to psychologically analyse one another.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365
    Carnyx said:

    If there is no conflict there is no issue. Two of my friends at work got married. No problem.
    As has been indicated below, it's also about the company protecting itself from claims in the future. Or even the bad atmosphere that can occur if a relationship goes sour.

    It's also about the 'potential' for conflict, not just whether conflict occurs. If someone at my grade is promoted ahead of me, and they've been having an affair with the CEO, it would be fair for me to wonder if there was a connection between the promotion and the affair. And it would be the devil's job to prove there was no connection.

    Bart's way has been tried for centuries, and it has led to lots of problems and abuse of power. I'm not talking about new laws (I don't think I've mentioned the law at all); just that institutions need to protect themselves and their employees.

    Musk's behaviour will be noted by others further down the organisational chain. If the boss can do it, so can they. And his companies are not exactly free from strife atm...
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300
    Applicant said:

    The two week window following a Commons VONC doesn't apply since DACOP repealed FTPA.

    A successful Commons VONC would see Boris going to see the Queen and saying "my successor as elected by the party in the election which is already under way will be able to command a majority" and HMQ saying "well, as there's only a couple of weeks of parliament left before the recess, there's no point appointing an interim PM and you can stay as caretaker". Utterly pointless.
    That remains wholly unsatisfactory as the now comprehensively discredited Johnson remains PM outside the scrutiny of the Hoc during recess. He can start the Third World War if he so desires that to be his legacy.

    Whenever I dismissed a discredited employee, I escorted them out of the door as soon as was practical, normally moments after they had been terminated. If that meant they were paid off, so be it. They were nonetheless removed to minimise any immediate or future damage they could cause.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    "Tory has staked his future on BE-4. At the time it seemed like a good bet and they will probably get good engines in the end, but the time lost has been a serious issue. "

    The payload for the first Vulcan/Centaur flight (the Peregrine lander) currently appears to be the gating issue, not the rocket itself.

    You are correct about the Merlin RUDs: but the difference is they had working, stable versions for most of the time as they furthered the engine development. They don't have a proven stable version of Raptor V2. I just cannot see the RUDs being good news for this stage of Raptor development, with a suborbital launch coming up with dozens of the things on board.

    (Having said that, the SSME was still having failures until relatively shortly before the first flight, so it might be okay. Might....)
    Vulcan was supposed to fly in 2020. It is now looking fairly likely that it will be 2023. While the payload now being the long pole in the tent, one does have to ask what was going to be the payload in 2020....

    Wayne Hale on the RS-25 is somewhere between terrifying and cautionary. Gold pins.....

    SpaceX are apparently using a similar development methodology for Raptor as for Merlin. Merlin evolved much more than the apparent versioning scheme suggests - the 1D was actually about a dozen variants, for example. It's rather like software - rapid releases of versions, with testing on a per version basis. So there is a sequence of production releases, while newer versions are in Dev, Int, UAT and er.. Staging? :-)
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    IshmaelZ said:

    People are routinely propped up into their 80s with much worse health issues than his these days.
    Just look at Winston Churchill. He became PM again.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Applicant said:

    The two week window following a Commons VONC doesn't apply since DACOP repealed FTPA.

    A successful Commons VONC would see Boris going to see the Queen and saying "my successor as elected by the party in the election which is already under way will be able to command a majority" and HMQ saying "well, as there's only a couple of weeks of parliament left before the recess, there's no point appointing an interim PM and you can stay as caretaker". Utterly pointless.
    Authority for that? The nation rather depends on govt having confidence of the house at all times. What if in those 14 days or the recess someone declared war on us?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    edited July 2022
    HYUFD said:
    Genuine question - would you like him as PM? I assume he is more popular with some sections of the party than he is with people on here, but theoretically do you think he has what it takes? Or is it more that he is not a leader, even if he is liked by that section of the party?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    That remains wholly unsatisfactory as the now comprehensively discredited Johnson remains PM outside the scrutiny of the Hoc during recess. He can start the Third World War if he so desires that to be his legacy.
    No he can't. He has effectively zero power - he can't start a war unilaterally, and who would follow his orders to do so?

    Also, you're assuming there won't be a coronation before the Commons rises.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    There we go then, we've gone full circle.

    As I said, lots of the married couples I know met at work.

    What consenting adults do at work or otherwise is up to them. If there's a conflict of interest, then the employer has a legitimate interest to ask that be disclosed, but beyond that its puritanical BS to try to regulate or worse prohibit relationships.
    I don’t think anyone is saying you shouldn’t have a relationship in the workplace. The issue is having a relationship with someone where one of you has power over the other and there can be real or perceived conflicts of interest. In a large organisation you’d move people about to avoid it, once the relationship happened. I presume you can’t do that in a small firm, and you definitely can’t do it in student/teacher relationships, so there you have to rely on the person with the power to understand they shouldn’t do it.

    I had a girlfriend in the same organisation for years. It was just ensured that we were never directly working with or for each other.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,114

    That remains wholly unsatisfactory as the now comprehensively discredited Johnson remains PM outside the scrutiny of the Hoc during recess. He can start the Third World War if he so desires that to be his legacy.

    Whenever I dismissed a discredited employee, I escorted them out of the door as soon as was practical, normally moments after they had been terminated. If that meant they were paid off, so be it. They were nonetheless removed to minimise any immediate or future damage they could cause.

    Exactly

    Terminated employees are locked out of their email account

    BoZo still has the nuclear codes...
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,302
    IshmaelZ said:

    Authority for that? The nation rather depends on govt having confidence of the house at all times. What if in those 14 days or the recess someone declared war on us?
    I don’t think it’s quite right that a government has to have the confidence of the house at all times. Callaghans government most certainly remained in office until the 1979 election, even after having proven to have lost confidence of Parliament
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,264
    edited July 2022

    Anyone else remember Harriet Harmon's tales from her time at York University?
    I hadn't heard that story before (just googled).

    Obviously repulsive, but the systems are somewhat different now, at least. Most marking is anonymous and of course spread across a whole lot of modules, so it would be difficult to engineer (in our department, even within a module you're likely to get random allocation to more than one marker). Masters dissertations are anomymous (it's theoretically a fail if the student discloses identifying information, although there was one once where I knew who it was and we just agreed to redact the identifying passage as it was clearly accidental and not identifying to most potential markers and reallocate the marker) and markers allocated randomly.

    Good policy for all kinds of reasons, but also to make that kind of thing very hard to arrange on a practical level and (hopefully) obvious nonsense to any student approached.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Applicant said:

    No he can't. He has effectively zero power - he can't start a war unilaterally, and who would follow his orders to do so?

    Also, you're assuming there won't be a coronation before the Commons rises.
    An entirely self torpedoing point: he will be fine as chief exec because nobody will carry out his orders. What if someone else starts ww3?
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    IshmaelZ said:

    Authority for that? The nation rather depends on govt having confidence of the house at all times. What if in those 14 days or the recess someone declared war on us?
    What if someone had declared war on us between 8/4/97 and 1/5/97? Or between 7/4/79 and 3/5/79?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365

    Vulcan was supposed to fly in 2020. It is now looking fairly likely that it will be 2023. While the payload now being the long pole in the tent, one does have to ask what was going to be the payload in 2020....

    Wayne Hale on the RS-25 is somewhere between terrifying and cautionary. Gold pins.....

    SpaceX are apparently using a similar development methodology for Raptor as for Merlin. Merlin evolved much more than the apparent versioning scheme suggests - the 1D was actually about a dozen variants, for example. It's rather like software - rapid releases of versions, with testing on a per version basis. So there is a sequence of production releases, while newer versions are in Dev, Int, UAT and er.. Staging? :-)
    But Merlins were flying before they got into that rapid development phase. They had a solid base as far back as 2006 (I don't think they've ever lost an orbital flight due to direct engine failure, which is quite a thing?)

    BTW Starship was due to fly years ago as well. In 2017 Musk said it could be flying to Mars in 2022...
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Scott_xP said:

    Exactly

    Terminated employees are locked out of their email account

    BoZo still has the nuclear codes...
    As ever I feel the need to be a pedant. We don’t use nuclear codes. The sub can just launch.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300
    HYUFD said:
    The perfect option for a man living in the USA who once advocated "Anarchy in the UK".
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,043
    kle4 said:

    Genuine question - would you like him as PM? I assume he is more popular with some sections of the party than he is with people on here, but theoretically do you think he has what it takes? Or is it more that he is not a leader, even if he is liked by that section of the party?
    It would be fun having him as Tory leader even if he would be unlikely to win a general election.

    Unlikely to happen unless we were in opposition and Tory members decided to indulge themselves with Mogg as Labour members indulged themselves with Corbyn
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,725

    He will face a crushing collapse in adrenaline at first but will probably be able to improve his diet and exercise regime out of office. I agree he does look absolutely terrible but I would reckon he will bounce back more energised than before. He will make life very hard for his successor.
    He's already made life very hard for his successor.
    I'm not sure what he does after he's actually, finally gone makes very much difference.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,422
    Scott_xP said:

    Exactly

    Terminated employees are locked out of their email account

    BoZo still has the nuclear codes...
    The U.K. doesn’t have “Nuclear codes” - we have “Letters of Last Resort” - assuming Johnson actually wrote his….

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-36824917.amp

  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    kle4 said:

    Kind video from Zelensky on Boris.

    … snip

    where?
  • MISTYMISTY Posts: 1,594
    A word on Mordaunt. Some of the War on Woke Warriors (Lozza/JHB etc) are pointing to her wokish past.

    These folk are quite influential with some tory voters.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788
    Cyclefree said:

    I find this a very inappropriate post. An unnecessarily personal attack, borderline defamatory.

    As for the idea that the country has turned its back on male sexual predation,
    let's get real. Male sexual predators will still be operating and getting away with it and having their behaviour overlooked long after Boris has gone, in Westminster as elsewhere.

    Few of us know other posters in real life and our online personas all have some level of invention, by omission if nothing else. But even if we do know people, to use that personal knowledge to attack others on a public forum seems to me to be wrong and a breach of confidence.

    @Leon is a character: often interesting and insightful, at other times dull or tedious. As are we all, me and you included.

    If you don't like @Leon, scroll past his posts. It's very easy to do.
    That's very kind of you, my dear fiancee (am I allowed to tell people yet?), but I really don't mind. I'm old enough and ugly enough to look after myself

    What DOES irritate me is @Heathener's hypocrisy. She comes out with unprovoked personal attacks, naming and slurring me, at 7am! - and then she moans like one of TSE's French stepmums when I reply in kind. As if I have transgressed and only she is allowed to be abusive

    And then she complains about being so scared of personal attacks she "shakes with fear". So why start them then? It is quite mystifying

    Anyway I've pointed this out to her and hopefully she will see the light. I live to educate
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Applicant said:

    What if someone had declared war on us between 8/4/97 and 1/5/97? Or between 7/4/79 and 3/5/79?
    There is still a government and a non-discredited Prime Minister.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    geoffw said:

    where?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EQfB-HZfSk8&t=93s


    It's basically 'Ok to be sad to see Boris go, but don't worry the UK will still be supporting us'.
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 16,405
    https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1545343720354156544?t=GKbqk2j0c7fl84XnC8V9TA&s=19

    Have we discussed this? Lab 11 point lead with YouGov.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,491
    Jeremy Hunt is considering a leadership bid.

    Allies say he is attracting a lot of support from colleagues.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    IshmaelZ said:

    An entirely self torpedoing point: he will be fine as chief exec because nobody will carry out his orders. What if someone else starts ww3?
    If someone else starts it he is probably as reasonable as anyone to respond. Or the party gets told by the palace 'Pick someone in the next 5 minutes'.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300
    biggles said:

    As ever I feel the need to be a pedant. We don’t use nuclear codes. The sub can just launch.

    On the word of Mr Johnson as Prime Minister, the defacto Head of the armed forces, a man who has, in the last 48 hours, behaved akin to someone on the cusp of a Section 37 order.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    IshmaelZ said:

    There is still a government and a non-discredited Prime Minister.
    Both of them were on their way out, one of them having lost a Commons VONC. There's no difference.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    The paranoia dripping from some contributors today is frightening.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569
    Nigelb said:

    He's already made life very hard for his successor.
    I'm not sure what he does after he's actually, finally gone makes very much difference.

    There are the decorations in the Downing Street flat for a start!
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Yeah two this morning (also Techne) push Con into the 20s on 29. Probably best to see if this holds over a fortnight or is a knee jerk to the chaos if this week
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,550

    Jeremy Hunt is considering a leadership bid.

    Allies say he is attracting a lot of support from colleagues.

    What else are they going to say?
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 34,569

    How near are the Lib Dems to overtaking the Conservatives? That surely is the important question.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,012
    kle4 said:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EQfB-HZfSk8&t=93s


    It's basically 'Ok to be sad to see Boris go, but don't worry the UK will still be supporting us'.
    Appreciative encomium for Boris.
    Like Margaret Thatcher after her resignation, Boris Johnson is more appreciated abroad (ex-EU) than at home.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568

    Surely he wrote two?
    I just hope the letter was clear. It could be 3 pages of rambling and diversionary paragraphs.

    It could be as inpenetrable as some of my walls of text, but with a lengthy discussion about the Mytilenean Debate and the ethics of punitive action.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    What else are they going to say?
    Indeed! Lol.
    Although he will certainly make the 5% given he still has much of his 2019 supporters still on scene
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109

    Yeah two this morning (also Techne) push Con into the 20s on 29. Probably best to see if this holds over a fortnight or is a knee jerk to the chaos if this week
    Many voters are disgusted with the way the conservatives have behaved this week . Much support won't be coming back
  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 9,264
    edited July 2022
    MISTY said:

    A word on Mordaunt. Some of the War on Woke Warriors (Lozza/JHB etc) are pointing to her wokish past.

    These folk are quite influential with some tory voters.

    As a reasonably floaty voter, the suggested candidates who would be most likely to get my vote (for Cons in a GE) would be Sunak or Mordaunt. Neither are nutty, both look like they could do a reasonable job. Among the other sane candidates, Hunt I just dislike (however rational/irrational that is) and Javid, having dealt with him professionally, I do not rate.

    Sunak or Mordaunt versus Starmer and I'd be looking carefully at the policies to make my decision. Most other of the expected potential leaders I'd be more inclined to vote for Starmer.

    (Well, actually I'm in a safe Tory seat, so I'll probably vote LD as, most likely, the LD manifesto will be closest to my beliefs. But the above describes what I would do if in a seat that was in play between Lab and Con/if asked who I wanted to be PM after the GE)

    Edit: So, my point being that it may matter for a membership vote (which is your point, I think, and a valid one) but it would be unlikely to be a negative in a GE. Lab and LD will be more 'woke', so unlikely to lose many Tory votes and have more appeal for the more rightist LD and Lab voters.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754

    On the word of Mr Johnson as Prime Minister, the defacto Head of the armed forces, a man who has, in the last 48 hours, behaved akin to someone on the cusp of a Section 37 order.
    Still as a pedant, I feel the need to flag that Her Majesty’s control over the Armed Forces actually sits with prerogative powers handed to the Defence Council, chaired by the Defence Sec and not the PM.

    In normal times this is obviously a distinction without a difference since the PM can just decide to become Defence Sec if the incumbent kicks off.

    It’s actually quite interesting how little direct administrative power the PM has in this country. Most stuff technically sits with one SofS or another.

  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Leon said:

    That's very kind of you, my dear fiancee (am I allowed to tell people yet?), but I really don't mind. I'm old enough and ugly enough to look after myself

    What DOES irritate me is @Heathener's hypocrisy. She comes out with unprovoked personal attacks, naming and slurring me, at 7am! - and then she moans like one of TSE's French stepmums when I reply in kind. As if I have transgressed and only she is allowed to be abusive

    And then she complains about being so scared of personal attacks she "shakes with fear". So why start them then? It is quite mystifying

    Anyway I've pointed this out to her and hopefully she will see the light. I live to educate
    I think she sees you as an example of toxic masculinity mate
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365
    KevinB said:

    Many voters are disgusted with the way the conservatives have behaved this week . Much support won't be coming back
    Who do you think they'll vote for? Or will they just not vote?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 54,840
    Applicant said:

    The paranoia dripping from some contributors today is frightening.

    The fact that they want to put Boris in a room with the Queen shows that there are at least some limits to their paranoia.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,568
    KevinB said:

    Many voters are disgusted with the way the conservatives have behaved this week . Much support won't be coming back
    Certainly possible. It bears noting that all of the resignations that finally prompted Boris to resign were from those who had stuck with him all this way and at long last snapped, enough had become enough as they said.

    But it could well be that others, voters, less loyal reached that point before now, and won't be much impressed at those doing the right thing so late.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,335
    boulay said:

    The other difference is that Putin has arranged for people to be poisoned horribly here, unleashed a completely unecessary barbaric war that’s cost tens of thousands of lives and is a kleptocrat. Understandable that people would cheer his demise.

    I might not be up on my Japanese news but pretty certain Abe hasn’t done any of those things.
    As mentioned Abe came from the nationalist, revisionist side of Japanese politics, including visits to the Yasukuni Shrine. I think that stuff has quite a bit of resonance in Chinese (& Korean) folk memory, no doubt ably stirred up by Xi & co.

    Reading Wiki, 'According to Bannon, Abe was the first nationalist leader to win an election in an industrialized democracy and successfully govern as a nationalist." "Prime Minister Abe was Trump before Trump", Bannon declared, eliciting laughter from some LDP lawmakers' which suggests a certain vibe.

    Interesting that his killer was ex JSDF, would have thought those guys would have problems with pols not being nationalist enough. Hadn't realise that there was quite such a history of politcal assasination in Japan.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Assassinated_Japanese_politicians

  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    KevinB said:

    Many voters are disgusted with the way the conservatives have behaved this week . Much support won't be coming back
    Yeah, you try to convince yourself of that, Михаи́л.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Applicant said:

    The paranoia dripping from some contributors today is frightening.

    Yeah, I have these psychotic delusions that the PM is an unreliable POS, accompanied by vivid hallucinations of Yvette Cooper saying uncontradicted in the HoC yesterday that he had, and covered up, unofficial meetings with a former KGB agent of which there is no record because he was too drunk to remember the details but at which they put in a call to Lavrov.

    I should see someone.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,295

    It really is not puritanical. It's safeguarding the company and its staff.

    And there's a vast difference between our situation and theirs, in virtually every way. I can go into details if you want: but if you are one of the top guys or gals, you do not have a relationship with the staff. And if you must, make sure it's open, don't get them pregnant, and especially don't do it if you're having a surrogate child with your girlfriend at the same time.
    There's nothing wrong with the boss of a company having relationships with staff provided it's consensual. To believe otherwise is puritanical nonsense in my opinion.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300

    What else are they going to say?
    @MarqueeMark you often accused me in the past of being a "Boris hater". I denied this on several occasions, I really wasn't. He was not my Prime Minister, but I had no particular opinion, one way or the other about him outside his political competence and his peculiar lifestyle. However after the "non" resignation speech yesterday and his accusation that his demise was entirely the fault of the herd mentality of Conservative MPs, and the constant "sledging" by un-named actors, I confess you were right. I am a "Boris hater". I despise the man!
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    biggles said:

    I don’t think anyone is saying you shouldn’t have a relationship in the workplace. The issue is having a relationship with someone where one of you has power over the other and there can be real or perceived conflicts of interest. In a large organisation you’d move people about to avoid it, once the relationship happened. I presume you can’t do that in a small firm, and you definitely can’t do it in student/teacher relationships, so there you have to rely on the person with the power to understand they shouldn’t do it.

    I had a girlfriend in the same organisation for years. It was just ensured that we were never directly working with or for each other.
    Fire them first :smile:
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    But Merlins were flying before they got into that rapid development phase. They had a solid base as far back as 2006 (I don't think they've ever lost an orbital flight due to direct engine failure, which is quite a thing?)

    BTW Starship was due to fly years ago as well. In 2017 Musk said it could be flying to Mars in 2022...
    errrr Merlin 1A? First time out it had an engine fire, IIRC. Only flew twice. SpaceX were iterating on the engine like crazy. Many, many versions before they got to the 1D. You could say the engine design stopped iterating manically* around 2015 or so...

    There is a reason they call it Elon Time. “At SpaceX we specialize at converting the impossible to late”

    *There was a chap at NASA who commented that in his career he was used to reviewing an engine design at a rate of 1 per x years. With SpaceX, Merlin and the human rating stuff he was reviewing engine designs by the week....
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Cyclefree said:

    I find this a very inappropriate post. An unnecessarily personal attack, borderline defamatory.

    As for the idea that the country has turned its back on male sexual predation,
    let's get real. Male sexual predators will still be operating and getting away with it and having their behaviour overlooked long after Boris has gone, in Westminster as elsewhere.

    Few of us know other posters in real life and our online personas all have some level of invention, by omission if nothing else. But even if we do know people, to use that personal knowledge to attack others on a public forum seems to me to be wrong and a breach of confidence.

    @Leon is a character: often interesting and insightful, at other times dull or tedious. As are we all, me and you included.

    If you don't like @Leon, scroll past his posts. It's very easy to do.
    So what was this book on sexual predation Leon wrote...i must admit he is by far the most interesting contributor to PB
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788
    KevinB said:

    I think she sees you as an example of toxic masculinity mate
    Is Herr Putin trying to sow rancour on PB, as he did with Scottish Independence? He needn't bother, we do quite well by ourselves. Indeed you will probably unite us against you
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,244
    Leon said:

    Anyway I've pointed this out to her and hopefully she will see the light. I live to educate

    Have you ever read any internet forums before?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    KevinB said:

    So what was this book on sexual predation Leon wrote...i must admit he is by far the most interesting contributor to PB
    Justine
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,725
    kle4 said:

    I just hope the letter was clear. It could be 3 pages of rambling and diversionary paragraphs.

    It could be as inpenetrable as some of my walls of text, but with a lengthy discussion about the Mytilenean Debate and the ethics of punitive action.
    Since all that's required of our nuclear deterrent is uncertainty about whether we'd use it, it matters not how obscure his jottings are.

    Btw are these letters handwritten ?
    Composing them on a computer might be highly insecure.

    And if so, do we check that the PM's handwriting is actually legible ?

  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Leon said:

    Is Herr Putin trying to sow rancour on PB, as he did with Scottish Independence? He needn't bother, we do quite well by ourselves. Indeed you will probably unite us against you
    I've just described you as the most interesting contributor to PB and I get that...hate to think how you treat your enemies Leon
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,788
    KevinB said:

    So what was this book on sexual predation Leon wrote...i must admit he is by far the most interesting contributor to PB
    I've always said you are one of the best young commenters on PB. The finest of a new generation. Perceptive, witty and wise beyond your years
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,300
    biggles said:

    Still as a pedant, I feel the need to flag that Her Majesty’s control over the Armed Forces actually sits with prerogative powers handed to the Defence Council, chaired by the Defence Sec and not the PM.

    In normal times this is obviously a distinction without a difference since the PM can just decide to become Defence Sec if the incumbent kicks off.

    It’s actually quite interesting how little direct administrative power the PM has in this country. Most stuff technically sits with one SofS or another.

    One could suggest SoSs are in Johnson's pocket in this Cabinet.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,209

    As mentioned Abe came from the nationalist, revisionist side of Japanese politics, including visits to the Yasukuni Shrine. I think that stuff has quite a bit of resonance in Chinese (& Korean) folk memory, no doubt ably stirred up by Xi & co.

    Reading Wiki, 'According to Bannon, Abe was the first nationalist leader to win an election in an industrialized democracy and successfully govern as a nationalist." "Prime Minister Abe was Trump before Trump", Bannon declared, eliciting laughter from some LDP lawmakers' which suggests a certain vibe.

    Interesting that his killer was ex JSDF, would have thought those guys would have problems with pols not being nationalist enough. Hadn't realise that there was quite such a history of politcal assasination in Japan.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Assassinated_Japanese_politicians

    The pre-war Japanese political scene was certainly sprightly. Rule By Juniors etc.

    They sent Yamamoto to sea so that the ultra-nationalists wouldn't murder him....
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Applicant said:

    Polls are going to be totally meaningless now until the new PM is in place and had a chance to settle in.
    Agreed although major leakage now makes it all the harder climbing back. There may be a small relief rally once the reality of his going hits those who have moved to 'dont know/wont vote', balanced oerhaps by borisites leaving and chaos punishers.
    Take the madness of Surrey/Mole Valley out of last nights bys and it was decline in vote but not total collapse/youre on notice, sort it out levels.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,365

    errrr Merlin 1A? First time out it had an engine fire, IIRC. (Snip)
    Wasn't the Falcon 1 first flight failure a fuel line leak in the rocket? (admittedly from memory).
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754
    Nigelb said:

    Since all that's required of our nuclear deterrent is uncertainty about whether we'd use it, it matters not how obscure his jottings are.

    Btw are these letters handwritten ?
    Composing them on a computer might be highly insecure.

    And if so, do we check that the PM's handwriting is actually legible ?
    Depends, doesn’t it? I suspect my own letter would read, in easily read block capitals, “if you know who it was then nuke the f*ckers”.

  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    edited July 2022
    Morning all.

    On the Abe assassination, one possibility I have not seen mentioned have just spotted mentioned about 10 minutes ago is that the weapon may be a 3d-printed-at-home gun.

    Many ramifications if so.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qSPV_CGJ9bA
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Applicant said:

    Yeah, you try to convince yourself of that, Михаи́л.
    Conservatives in the 20s in the polls...further economic deterioration and collapse beckons...Major mk 2 ain't gonna cut it
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,335
    IshmaelZ said:

    Justine
    Our own Marquis de Sad.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,754


    One could suggest SoSs are in Johnson's pocket in this Cabinet.
    Yes. On the margins it becomes an interesting debate. Another relic of an age when they were each a monarch’s own appointments. And there were about three of them.

  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Nigelb said:

    Since all that's required of our nuclear deterrent is uncertainty about whether we'd use it, it matters not how obscure his jottings are.

    Btw are these letters handwritten ?
    Composing them on a computer might be highly insecure.

    And if so, do we check that the PM's handwriting is actually legible ?

    According to Wiki, yes, handwritten. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Letters_of_last_resort
  • KevinBKevinB Posts: 109
    Leon said:

    I've always said you are one of the best young commenters on PB. The finest of a new generation. Perceptive, witty and wise beyond your years
    Thank you Leon I'm blushing
This discussion has been closed.