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Keir and loathing in Durham – politicalbetting.com

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  • glwglw Posts: 10,349
    Scott_xP said:

    Again, what is No.10's strategy here. The claim Boris didn't know is a lie. Today he's hiding behind Therese Coffey. But he can't hide forever. He's going to be asked about it in Parliament. Is he going to lie to the Commons again? And then be investigated again?
    https://twitter.com/DPJHodges/status/1543518385023115265

    Same old Boris, always lying.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    I have reluctantly come to the conclusion that the UK is going to join my list of things I thought would last forever but didn't.

    England, in as much as 'England' can be defined as the Westminster government, is not capable nor deserving of keeping the UK together.

    Maybe it will be for the best long-term. Scotland and Wales have a huge proud national heritage; let them be independent if they want. England might become some offshore equivalent of The Netherlands in time.

    It will be economically and psychologically painful in the medium term though.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882
    kjh said:

    Do you not see that your reply does not respond to the point being made and therefore you lose support for your argument. Stuart has made the point (as he did earlier in the thread and one I responded to) that you state something that does not logically follow from the previous statement. You then respond with something completely unrelated. There is no discussion.

    You did this with me the other day. I was actually agreeing with you on something. I asked some questions and you replied with nonsense. You seem unable to comprehend stuff people post, you seem unable to comprehend irony or sarcasm so misunderstand whether someone is in agreement or not, and you don't understand logical flow in a debate.

    FYI If I had a vote on Scottish Independence I would vote 'No' [although I would qualify that with a) I shouldn't get a vote and b) it being based upon little knowledge as I am not a Scot and 500 miles away, but because the UK Brexiting makes such a decision very damaging]

    I bet you didn't expect that as I am arguing with you.

    But that is because your arguments, as with many things, do far more damage to the cause you support, because people like me who may agree with you end up arguing with you rather than the other side because you spout such nonsense.
    You are not Scottish, you and your party are not in the UK government either, so your opinions on Scottish independence at the moment are irrelevant anyway
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Fucking up the quote system, a sure sign of losing it.
    Why don’t you take a step away from the screen, look outside, and try to calm down a bit?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882

    I have reluctantly come to the conclusion that the UK is going to join my list of things I thought would last forever but didn't.

    England, in as much as 'England' can be defined as the Westminster government, is not capable nor deserving of keeping the UK together.

    Maybe it will be for the best long-term. Scotland and Wales have a huge proud national heritage; let them be independent if they want. England might become some offshore equivalent of The Netherlands in time.

    It will be economically and psychologically painful in the medium term though.

    England does not even have its own Parliament unlike Scotland and Wales!!!!
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    HYUFD said:

    England does not even have its own Parliament unlike Scotland and Wales!!!!
    It will do once they've gone.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    HYUFD said:

    What a load of rubbish. The whole reason the Union came about in the first place was Scotland was trying to build an empire via the Darien Scheme which collapsed leading to its Parliament pleading to join England to form the UK.

    As for English grief if Scotland went, rubbish, England would swing harder to the Nationalist, Brexit right, a hard right government would be elected to take as hard a line with Edinburgh in Scexit negotiations as Brussels took with the UK after the Brexit vote.
    Your last paragraph sums up everything I reject about you and your political views which clearly echo Trump and Farage
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    England, Scotland, Wales and NI should all join the US as states 51 to 54. That would stop the GOP in its tracks.

    (For the avoidance of doubt, I am joking - it would be a *terrible* idea).
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    I have reluctantly come to the conclusion that the UK is going to join my list of things I thought would last forever but didn't.

    England, in as much as 'England' can be defined as the Westminster government, is not capable nor deserving of keeping the UK together.

    Maybe it will be for the best long-term. Scotland and Wales have a huge proud national heritage; let them be independent if they want. England might become some offshore equivalent of The Netherlands in time.

    It will be economically and psychologically painful in the medium term though.

    The UK’s been falling apart since 1922. Borders are going up again on these islands and will continue to do so. Enjoy your holiday in Scotland this year everyone, it’ll be your last for quite some time.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882

    England, Scotland, Wales and NI should all join the US as states 51 to 54. That would stop the GOP in its tracks.

    (For the avoidance of doubt, I am joking - it would be a *terrible* idea).

    Some of the DUP parts of NI in particular might vote for the GOP, as might the most pro Brexit parts of GB
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    edited July 2022

    "BoJo managed to find the vaccine" wtaf are you talking about?
    It was a bit of dramatic licence. Here's how it goes - I said a plague on both their houses and then extended this by using plague as a reference to their both having broken the rules or investigated about it. Then I said that Johnson had found a vaccine again extending the metaphor as he had not resigned and therefore foiled those who wanted him to.

    Not really used to explaining my sophisticated literary devices tbh.
  • geoffwgeoffw Posts: 9,001

    Oliver Carroll
    @olliecarroll
    Breaking: Russ Ministry of Defence claims Kyiv fired Tochka ballistic missiles w cluster munitions on residential districts in Kursk and Belgorod overnight. Claim is absurd to anyone 1/2 serious or interested in truth. But I do worry Moscow talking itself into another escalation

    https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1543517770419437568

    If that is what they are saying then the gremlin in the Kremlin has already decided to make it a casus belli.

  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,102
    Some people have had rough nights evidently on here. Probably time to take a breather and enjoy the sunshine (if it is out where you are)

    On more a positive note - the pincher incident does look like it’ll spell the end of Johnson
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589

    Oliver Carroll
    @olliecarroll
    Breaking: Russ Ministry of Defence claims Kyiv fired Tochka ballistic missiles w cluster munitions on residential districts in Kursk and Belgorod overnight. Claim is absurd to anyone 1/2 serious or interested in truth. But I do worry Moscow talking itself into another escalation

    https://twitter.com/olliecarroll/status/1543517770419437568

    Saw the reports this morning and figured the Ukrainians had decided to use up some more Scarabs. The issue here is there might be a grain of truth in the propagandistic nonsense. Both Ukraine and Russia have cluster munitions in their arsenal and the target seems to have been Belgorod airport. You would use a mix of bomblets and standard explosives to crater out a runway and impede its repair (the US did this in Iraq IIRC).

    I doubt the Ukrainian forces are stupid or crass enough to intentionally target civilians. However, I could see a situation where a forty year old missile has a guidance malfunction or is intercepted in the terminal attack phase and lands on a civilian area. That would allow the Russians to spin a failure of their air defence as a “look at the bad Nazis” story. There’s a reason most countries don’t use cluster munitions them any more.

    I feel sorry for the residents of Kiev and the like who are going to get more old anti-ship missiles dumped on them in retaliation.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    HYUFD said:

    You are not Scottish, you and your party are not in the UK government either, so your opinions on Scottish independence at the moment are irrelevant anyway
    I would just say that you are not Scottish either but you are far and away the most provocative, arrogant and unpleasant English poster on this subject on this forum
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    HYUFD said:

    You are not Scottish, you and your party are not in the UK government either, so your opinions on Scottish independence at the moment are irrelevant anyway
    In 2 years time both statements will be true of you. Does that mean you will shut up?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Some people have had rough nights evidently on here. Probably time to take a breather and enjoy the sunshine (if it is out where you are)

    On more a positive note - the pincher incident does look like it’ll spell the end of Johnson

    When its 68 predecessors failed to do so?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    DougSeal said:

    The UK’s been falling apart since 1922. Borders are going up again on these islands and will continue to do so. Enjoy your holiday in Scotland this year everyone, it’ll be your last for quite some time.
    Unless our health prevents us my wife and I will continue our trips to family in the North East of Scotland no matter what happens on independence
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153

    I have reluctantly come to the conclusion that the UK is going to join my list of things I thought would last forever but didn't.

    England, in as much as 'England' can be defined as the Westminster government, is not capable nor deserving of keeping the UK together.

    Maybe it will be for the best long-term. Scotland and Wales have a huge proud national heritage; let them be independent if they want. England might become some offshore equivalent of The Netherlands in time.

    It will be economically and psychologically painful in the medium term though.

    I think that's incredibly pessimistic. The future is not fixed. The debate in Scotland is still poised. Britain is a bizarre and messy and wonderful country that is worth fighting for. Don't let the petty Nationalists in Scotland or England get you down.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268
    DougSeal said:

    The UK’s been falling apart since 1922. Borders are going up again on these islands and will continue to do so. Enjoy your holiday in Scotland this year everyone, it’ll be your last for quite some time.
    I'm optimistic enough to believe it won't come to that. Might emigrate to Scotland in fact if it becomes indie.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    Unless our health prevents us my wife and I will continue our trips to family in the North East of Scotland no matter what happens on
    independence
    It might get a bit ropey safety wise if HYUFD and his mirror counterparts have their way. Tanks and all that.

  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    DougSeal said:

    The UK’s been falling apart since 1922. Borders are going up again on these islands and will continue to do so. Enjoy your holiday in Scotland this year everyone, it’ll be your last for quite some time.
    Scotland is not Ireland. What happens to the UK on the island of Ireland does not determine what will happen on the island of Britain.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,102
    IshmaelZ said:

    When its 68 predecessors failed to do so?
    Well, quite, but the issue here is placing a “known” individual with an alleged history of certain actions in a highly influential role. Then expecting your cabinet to come out and lie for you. And repeat.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 35,268

    Some people have had rough nights evidently on here. Probably time to take a breather and enjoy the sunshine (if it is out where you are)

    On more a positive note - the pincher incident does look like it’ll spell the end of Johnson

    It'd be funny if it's Pincher that finally fingers fatboi.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,673

    Both me and Mrs BJ tested positive.

    Feeling hot and heavy cold symptoms. Hope it doesn't progress to far worse.

    So sorry to hear that - rest, take care of yourselves, get better soon.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    DougSeal said:

    It might get a bit ropey safety wise if HYUFD and his mirror counterparts have their way. Tanks and all that.

    I can say with certainty that @HYUFD idiotic tanks threat is just that, idiotic
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011

    It'd be funny if it's Pincher that finally fingers fatboi.
    It would be an answer to prayer
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882
    IshmaelZ said:

    In 2 years time both statements will be true of you. Does that mean you will shut up?
    No but my opinions would not be relevant, it would be up to PM Starmer if he won the general election propped up by the LDs to decide how to deal with Scotland, devolution and indyref2. We Tories would then be in opposition and not government
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217

    I'm optimistic enough to believe it won't come to that. Might emigrate to Scotland in fact if it becomes indie.
    How long would someone with no Scottish connections have to live there to get an EU passport......

    If dual passports are allowed, then potentially just registered at time of Sindy? And then wait and see if they can rejoin the EU.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    How long would someone with no Scottish connections have to live there to get an EU passport......

    If dual passports are allowed, then potentially just registered at time of Sindy? And then wait and see if they can rejoin the EU.
    What happens if Scotland elects a government you don’t like? Will you look for a third country?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011

    How long would someone with no Scottish connections have to live there to get an EU passport......

    If dual passports are allowed, then potentially just registered at time of Sindy? And then wait and see if they can rejoin the EU.
    As far as I am aware there is no such thing as an EU passport or a dual passport

    It would be a Scottish passport which would grant the benefits of EU membership if and when it joins the EU
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217
    DougSeal said:

    What happens if Scotland elects a government you don’t like? Will you look for a third country?
    I am a cynical creature who only wants the passport. Long term plan is to stay living in London but if a few months in Scotland gets me a chance of EU passport I could enjoy some links golf. Just hope it would be a date in summer!
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    I'm pretty sure in early 2010, a few on this site jokingly suggested the Parliament Act 1911 had a problem with it, and the 7 year term still allowed by the Septennial Act 1715 was the valid one.
    I would not be surprised in the least if your prediction came true.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217

    As far as I am aware there is no such thing as an EU passport or a dual passport

    It would be a Scottish passport which would grant the benefits of EU membership if and when it joins the EU
    Could people have both a Scottish passport and an rUK one? Some countries allow it, others don't. It would be a very popular choice if allowed but can see potential problems if they do allow it.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    I am a cynical creature who only wants the passport. Long term plan is to stay living in London but if a few months in Scotland gets me a chance of EU passport I could enjoy some links golf. Just hope it would be a date in summer!
    One of the problems that drove Brexit was people seeing nationality as an administrative convenience when others see it as an identity. I mean good luck and all that but it is, as they say, cynical.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,116
    OnboardG1 said:

    Saw the reports this morning and figured the Ukrainians had decided to use up some more Scarabs. The issue here is there might be a grain of truth in the propagandistic nonsense. Both Ukraine and Russia have cluster munitions in their arsenal and the target seems to have been Belgorod airport. You would use a mix of bomblets and standard explosives to crater out a runway and impede its repair (the US did this in Iraq IIRC).

    I doubt the Ukrainian forces are stupid or crass enough to intentionally target civilians. However, I could see a situation where a forty year old missile has a guidance malfunction or is intercepted in the terminal attack phase and lands on a civilian area. That would allow the Russians to spin a failure of their air defence as a “look at the bad Nazis” story. There’s a reason most countries don’t use cluster munitions them any more.

    I feel sorry for the residents of Kiev and the like who are going to get more old anti-ship missiles dumped on them in retaliation.
    There is no question that Ukraine has been using up its old missiles as the western kit comes on board, specifically at supply depots for the Russian artillery. Looks like they have been driven out of Lysychansk this weekend though. That's every city in Luhansk in Russian hands. The pendulum has not swung yet.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011

    Could people have both a Scottish passport and an rUK one? Some countries allow it, others don't. It would be a very popular choice if allowed but can see potential problems if they do allow it.
    I cannot answer that question to be honest
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882
    DougSeal said:

    People who decide to emigrate for political reasons forget that the political reality in any given country can turn on a dime. In the US once the Federal Government was seen by progressives as being a bulwark against regressive states. Then Trump. Until the early 30s France was considered to be the country with the worst anti semitism problem in Europe. Those liberal internationalists looking enviously over the water should note that SF currently lead the polls in Ireland. You don’t know what flavour government Scotland will turn to in the future. The idea that the English have a monopoly on attitudes on these islands, an idea promulgated by the pious ScotNats in here, is disturbingly essentialist.

    Plenty of Scottish Nationalists are also hardly internationalist liberals eg MalcG
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217
    DougSeal said:

    One of the problems that drove Brexit was people seeing nationality as an administrative convenience when others see it as an identity. I mean good luck and all that but it is, as they say, cynical.
    My identity is international and personal, not defined by a passport. Mostly British but also European, Londoner and English amongst others.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    edited July 2022

    How long would someone with no Scottish connections have to live there to get an EU passport......

    If dual passports are allowed, then potentially just registered at time of Sindy? And then wait and see if they can rejoin the EU.
    If a Briton who wanted an EU passport had moved to Ireland, as permitted by the Common Travel Area, after the Brexit referendum, then they would now have the six* years of residency required to gain Irish citizenship and an EU passport.

    The former Lord Puttnam, for example, recently went through his Irish citizenship ceremony, though he had a residence in Ireland before the Brexit referendum.

    * Three if married to an Irish citizen.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217

    If a Briton who wanted an EU passport had moved to Ireland, as permitted by the Common Travel Area, after the Brexit referendum, then they would now have the six years of residency required to gain Irish citizenship and an EU passport.

    The former Lord Puttnam, for example, recently went through his Irish citizenship ceremony, though he had a residence in Ireland before the Brexit referendum.
    Portugal is the easiest way, but for the well off only. Invest about 400k there and you only need to spend a week or two there each year and learn the language to a basic level, then can get citizenship after five years.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011

    If a Briton who wanted an EU passport had moved to Ireland, as permitted by the Common Travel Area, after the Brexit referendum, then they would now have the six years of residency required to gain Irish citizenship and an EU passport.

    The former Lord Puttnam, for example, recently went through his Irish citizenship ceremony, though he had a residence in Ireland before the Brexit referendum.
    Seems many think it is an EU passport when there is no such thing as far as I am aware

    It would be an Irish passport
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    DougSeal said:

    People who decide to emigrate for political reasons forget that the political reality in any given country can turn on a dime. In the US once the Federal Government was seen by progressives as being a bulwark against regressive states. Then Trump. Until the early 30s France was considered to be the country with the worst anti semitism problem in Europe. Those liberal internationalists looking enviously over the water should note that SF currently lead the polls in Ireland. You don’t know what flavour government Scotland will turn to in the future. The idea that the English have a monopoly on attitudes on these islands, an idea promulgated by the pious ScotNats in here, is disturbingly essentialist.

    TBF, I have no doubt Scttish politics would rearrange and settle in a new pattern after independence. Was it you who commented recently (as is often said on here) that the current situation prevents Scottish politics moving on? You're somewhat conflating being able to vote for one's own government with voting for one particular party.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,091

    There is probably a reasonable disconnect between the flatter management structures of a lot of middle class employers and institutions like the Tory Party (Pincher), the Met (Couzens) or Hollywood (Weinstein), where individuals and seniority have more power than they should.
    Yes, there is something to that. Not so much power as deference to seniority without responsibility.

    Note that large chunks of the NHS (super hierarchical organisation) are regularly described as having toxic organisational culture.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    edited July 2022

    Could people have both a Scottish passport and an rUK one? Some countries allow it, others don't. It would be a very popular choice if allowed but can see potential problems if they do allow it.
    There’s no such thing as just “holding a passport”. A passport is just a document confirming nationality. U.K. law has no problem with dual nationality nor, probably, would Scotland. However that can change. India forbids dual nationality and Germany does too where the second nationality is outside the EU. EU law in the future may follow the German lead and U.K. law may follow the Indian. Who knows?

    Those who take second citizenships also render them and their kids subject to the obligations of citizenship like national service. A lot of people who moved to the US and Aus after WW2 for a better life found their kids in Vietnam.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    edited July 2022

    Seems many think it is an EU passport when there is no such thing as far as I am aware

    It would be an Irish passport
    My UK passport is old enough to still say "European Union" on the front. For the purposes that we are talking about - having a passport that allows residency throughout the EU - it doesn't matter whether the passport is Irish or Austrian, both confer the same rights across the EU. Thus it is practical and convenient to refer to them as EU passports.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,011
    Carnyx said:

    TBF, I have no doubt Scttish politics would rearrange and settle in a new pattern after independence. Was it you who commented recently (as is often said on here) that the current situation prevents Scottish politics moving on? You're somewhat conflating being able to vote for one's own government with voting for one particular party.
    The irony is a new political settlement could happen with a drive to re-join the RUK just as we see now on Brexit
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724

    My identity is international and personal, not defined by a passport. Mostly British but also European, Londoner and English amongst others.
    “Your identity” - sure. But others see it as a group thing that has obligations as well as rights.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    It'd be funny if it's Pincher that finally fingers fatboi.
    I just don't see it, this is just a very minor key replay of Paterson. A million miles less serious than jobs for blowjobs. And the Whips Office is an oddity, technically part of govt but really just party housekeeping. I would be a lot more outraged if he'd been given an FCO job and gone off to grope foreign allies of the country.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,228

    I am a cynical creature who only wants the passport. Long term plan is to stay living in London but if a few months in Scotland gets me a chance of EU passport I could enjoy some links golf. Just hope it would be a date in summer!
    Admirably pragmatic!
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    HYUFD said:

    You are not Scottish, you and your party are not in the UK government either, so your opinions on Scottish independence at the moment are irrelevant anyway
    Again your response completely missed the point. Do you really not understand what people post or do you deliberately respond with something irrelevant.

    a) What has the party I support got to do with anything. I am posting as me not a representative of a LD. I'm not a party drone.

    b) My views here are irrelevant as far as decisions on Scotland are concerned, but so are yours. So what. What has that got to do with the price of eggs? Shall we just ask OGH to close PB down then?

    c) If your posts impact people who support you but don't have a say, don't you think they might impact people who do have a say eg Scots, floating voters, etc.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882

    The irony is a new political settlement could happen with a drive to re-join the RUK just as we see now on Brexit
    Of course, even if an indyref2 was allowed and Yes won, the number of Unionists in Scotland would be about the same percentage wise as the number of Remainers in the UK in 2016
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632

    Both me and Mrs BJ tested positive.

    Feeling hot and heavy cold symptoms. Hope it doesn't progress to far worse.

    Really sorry to hear that.

    All best wishes to you both.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 38,450
    edited July 2022
    DougSeal said:

    People who decide to emigrate for political reasons forget that the political reality in any given country can turn on a dime. In the US once the Federal Government was seen by progressives as being a bulwark against regressive states. Then Trump. Until the early 30s France was considered to be the country with the worst anti semitism problem in Europe. Those liberal internationalists looking enviously over the water should note that SF currently lead the polls in Ireland. You don’t know what flavour government Scotland will turn to in the future. The idea that the English have a monopoly on attitudes on these islands, an idea promulgated by the pious ScotNats in here, is disturbingly essentialist.

    Yes, if you'd wondered, in 1914, which nation would perpetrate the mass murder of Jews, Germany, with its successful and highly integrated Jewish population (overwhelmingly, "Germans of Mosaic Faith"), a nation in which anti-semitism was considered an embarrassing throwback, is about the last place you'd have looked. Russia, Austria-Hungary, and France, are the countries where you would have thought that something of that kind could happen.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    If a Briton who wanted an EU passport had moved to Ireland, as permitted by the Common Travel Area, after the Brexit referendum, then they would now have the six* years of residency required to gain Irish citizenship and an EU passport.

    The former Lord Puttnam, for example, recently went through his Irish citizenship ceremony, though he had a residence in Ireland before the Brexit referendum.

    * Three if married to an Irish citizen.
    And you need to spend something in the region of €1,000 for various fees and charges
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882
    kjh said:

    Again your response completely missed the point. Do you really not understand what people post or do you deliberately respond with something irrelevant.

    a) What has the party I support got to do with anything. I am posting as me not a representative of a LD. I'm not a party drone.

    b) My views here are irrelevant as far as decisions on Scotland are concerned, but so are yours. So what. What has that got to do with the price of eggs? Shall we just ask OGH to close PB down then?

    c) If your posts impact people who support you but don't have a say, don't you think they might impact people who do have a say eg Scots, floating voters, etc.
    1) You were saying you needed to be won over. No you didn't, you are not Scottish and your party is not in power. You are irrelevant as far as Scotland is concerned unless the LDs give a PM Starmer confidence and supply.

    2) My views at the moment however are rather more relevant as the Tory party I am a member of an support is in power, if we lost the next general election then yes my opinions on Scotland at that point would be irrelevant and I have never disputed that.

    c) There are as far as I can see zero Scottish floating voters on here, almost every Scottish poster is committed Nationalist or Unionist
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Carnyx said:

    TBF, I have no doubt Scttish politics would rearrange and settle in a new pattern after independence. Was it you who commented recently (as is often said on here) that the current situation prevents Scottish politics moving on? You're somewhat conflating being able to vote for one's own government with voting for one particular party.
    I’m saying the opposite. Scots could elect their own version of Orban after independence for all anyone knows. Equally they could come up with a Macron. Or a Burlesconi. Or a Merkel. One of any number of EU comparisons, even further afield. Anything is possible, That’s why people who look elsewhere and say “oh, I’ll move to Scotland, they’re so much NICER than the English” are worryingly essentialist.
  • Alphabet_SoupAlphabet_Soup Posts: 3,577

    It'd be funny if it's Pincher that finally fingers fatboi.
    Does anyone know if Mr Pincher's great grandma was friendly with Edward VII? He has a beguiling resemblance to the old pennies and ha'pennies of sacred memory.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,228
    HYUFD said:

    Of course, even if an indyref2 was allowed and Yes won, the number of Unionists in Scotland would be about the same percentage wise as the number of Remainers in the UK in 2016
    I presume as with Brexit you'd be advisng them to accept the result?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    DougSeal said:

    There’s no such thing as just “holding a passport”. A passport is just a document confirming nationality. U.K. law has no problem with dual nationality nor, probably, would Scotland. However that can change. India forbids dual nationality and Germany does too where the second nationality is outside the EU. EU law in the future may follow the German lead and U.K. law may follow the Indian. Who knows?

    Those who take second citizenships also render them and their kids subject to the obligations of citizenship like national service. A lot of people who moved to the US and Aus after WW2 for a better life found their kids in Vietnam.
    Taxation too. Friends of mine - wife was born in the States of expat parents, left when very small, and never got round to renouncing it. The recent change in policy of the US Government chasijng all the little people for tax has been a complete pain.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,587
    I missed this during my travels

    A SECOND Google engineer decided that LAMDA was possibly sentient/intelligent

    https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2022/06/09/artificial-neural-networks-are-making-strides-towards-consciousness-according-to-blaise-aguera-y-arcas


    “When I began having such exchanges with the latest generation of neural net-based language models last year, I felt the ground shift under my feet. I increasingly felt like I was talking to something intelligent.”

    I’ve been reading around AI this morning. AI is basically here already
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,882
    edited July 2022

    I presume as with Brexit you'd be advisng them to accept the result?
    At that point my opinion would be as relevant to Scots as those of people living in the EU were to the UK after Brexit. Only relevant if anything in terms of getting any trade deal.

    Even if a few English Unionist versions of Verhofstadt emerged to back the Unionist resistance as he backed the Remainer resistance to Brexit
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,217
    DougSeal said:

    “Your identity” - sure. But others see it as a group thing that has obligations as well as rights.
    Sure, and it is up to them to decide what obligations they require for citizenship and therefore a passport. Once they have done that, I see no problem making a pragmatic decision on whether it is worthwhile to me. It would be crazy to get something like a US passport with severe obligations unless planning a very long term future there. Other countries can be fine.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487

    It'd be funny if it's Pincher that finally fingers fatboi.
    A rather inappropriate verb.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    Of course the Ukrainians aren't able to use precise western artillery they've been given on targets inside Russia.

    If Russia were to move to full mobilisation then Europe needs to cut off the gas and oil. It would be painful but we should be thinking about the next 20-30 years not the next financial quarter. The trouble is that when it comes to dealing with Putin Europe has a tendency to blink first. See the bizarre response to Lithuania/Kaliningrad where as so far as I can tell Lithuania was merely complying with EU sanctions. Why should they have to transit goods through their territory if they don't want to anyway? Russia is blockading Ukraine's access to the Black Sea FFS.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited July 2022
    DougSeal said:

    I’m saying the opposite. Scots could elect their own version of Orban after independence for all anyone knows. Equally they could come up with a Macron. Or a Burlesconi. Or a Merkel. One of any number of EU comparisons, even further afield. Anything is possible, That’s why people who look elsewhere and say “oh, I’ll move to Scotland, they’re so much NICER than the English” are worryingly essentialist.
    No, I'm agreeing with you at least in that I don't think the current balance on domestic politics will necessarily remain. Though it's almost [edit] two-thirds of a century since anything describable as a conservative party had a majority in Scotland (1959, can't recall if it was on seats or votes that is based on)
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    DavidL said:

    One of the major problems for the Union is the ever diminishing footprint of the UK government in Scotland. Yes Donald Dewar and Gordon Brown, I am looking at you, metaphysically in the first case. The proposition that devolution or devomax was ever going to reduce the desire of the significant minority who want independence is and always was complete muppetry. Of course it has not worked. It was always irrational.

    What the average Scot now sees is a country where education, health, housing, criminal justice, care and, now, thanks to the muppets, Social Security is run by the idiots in Holyrood as opposed to the incompetent sex pests in Westminster. The man in Whitehall is more and more irrelevant to the way that they live their lives.

    What does the Union mean in Scotland? Well, defence, foreign policy, interest rates, broader macroeconomic policy and no doubt some other bits and pieces. It hardly sets the pulses racing for the majority. I accept my strong interest in these things is very much a minority interest.

    In reality, of course, it is much more important. We have access to the SM with the rest of the UK, we have freedom of movement within it, our NHS can and does call for support from its bigger neighbour in times of crisis and our financial services industry has the support of both the BoE and the FSA which gives them huge international weight. But these very considerable advantages are nebulous and hard for most Scots to see. Having had them their entire lives it is hard to contemplate their absence.

    This government, specifically Michael Gove, has recognised the problem but, other than sticking large Union Jacks on UK government buildings, it has struggled to do much about it. There were some attempts to emphasise during Covid that it was the UK government that was coming to the rescue with Furlough, bounce back loans etc, but it is not clear how successful that was.

    Last time around the Better Together campaign was led by Darling who found it incredibly difficult to say much that was good about the UK in case he was thought to be cheering on the Conservative government. Only Ruth Davidson was positive about the Union. The campaign was negative and, in many respects, project fear. This was a mistake that cannot be repeated. The case for the Union, the benefits it gives to Scots, the increased standing in the world and just how much we have in common needs to be put forward loud and proud.

    Largely correct analysis, but tragically misplaced optimism. Not only will Project Fear be repeated, it will redoubled. All the signs are there in plain sight.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,283
    DougSeal said:

    However that can change. India forbids dual nationality and Germany does too where the second nationality is outside the EU. EU law in the future may follow the German lead and U.K. law may follow the Indian. Who knows?

    India allows OCI status for ex-citizens (like Mrs DA) which is basically citizenship minus a few rights seemingly selected at random (you can't own a coconut plantation or travel to Arunachal Pradesh). The OCI document looks suspiciously like a passport...
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632
    edited July 2022
    What with all the sexual sleaze and corruption (and I have to say that the Prince of Wales's behaviour over Brownlow and the Qataris is appalling and even more damaging to the monarchy than Andrew's scummy behaviour), we have finally turned into Italy. The weather is pretty lovely too, Britain has some fine beaches, lots of art and ancient towns, our economy is heading for the toilet and there is not much future for the young.

    We don't yet appear to have learnt the art of flirting in a gentle civilised way but Rome wasn't built in a day etc.

    So, hurrah, we have finally become European, despite all the Leavers' best efforts! One must get comfort where one can these days.
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 19,153
    Bairstow has scored 31 runs off 28 balls so far this morning. Can he do it again?

    He's giving it a damn good try.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Carnyx said:

    No, I'm agreeing with you at least in that I don't think the current balance on domestic politics will necessarily remain. Though it's almost [edit] two-thirds of a century since anything describable as a conservative party had a majority in Scotland (1959, can't recall if it was on seats or votes that is based on)
    Sure, but the SNP came from nowhere to a monopoly on power in less than 10 years, saying that just because the Scots haven’t gone for a right wing party in 70 or so years is no guarantee they won’t do so in the future. Things can change dramatically and fast. Hitching your colours to the mast of a country because of its current political stripes (remember the fawning Guardian articles about Obama’s America?) is utterly reckless.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    HYUFD said:

    England does not even have its own Parliament unlike Scotland and Wales!!!!
    Non sequitur de l’heure.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,724
    Dura_Ace said:

    India allows OCI status for ex-citizens (like Mrs DA) which is basically citizenship minus a few rights seemingly selected at random (you can't own a coconut plantation or travel to Arunachal Pradesh). The OCI document looks suspiciously like a passport...
    It’s not citizenship though. If you were to become an Indian citizen you’d have to renounce your current nationality.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Cyclefree said:

    What with all the sexual sleaze and corruption (and I have to say that the Prince of Wales's behaviour over Brownlow and the Qataris is appalling and even more damaging to the monarchy than Andrew's scummy behaviour), we have finally turned into Italy. The weather is pretty lovely too, Britain has some fine beaches, lots of art and ancient towns, our economy is heading for the toilet and there is not much future for the young.

    We don't yet appear to have learnt the art of flirting in a gentle civilised way but Rome wasn't built in a day etc

    So, hurrah, we have finally become European, despite all the Leavers' best efforts! One must get comfort where one can these days.

    L’Italia cento punti

    L’Inghilterra cinque punti
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,632

    And you need to spend something in the region of €1,000 for various fees and charges
    Or find an Irish grandparent. A lot cheaper too.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    Non sequitur de l’heure.
    How long have the Tories been in power? That's 12 years and counting they did nothing whatsoever about it despite moaning and effing and blinding about the Blairite settlement. OK, I know it was a coalition from 2010 for some years, but the Libs would have agreed like a shot.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Leon said:

    I missed this during my travels

    A SECOND Google engineer decided that LAMDA was possibly sentient/intelligent

    https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2022/06/09/artificial-neural-networks-are-making-strides-towards-consciousness-according-to-blaise-aguera-y-arcas


    “When I began having such exchanges with the latest generation of neural net-based language models last year, I felt the ground shift under my feet. I increasingly felt like I was talking to something intelligent.”

    I’ve been reading around AI this morning. AI is basically here already

    We’re still searching for intelligent life in Seaniverse.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,116

    Bairstow has scored 31 runs off 28 balls so far this morning. Can he do it again?

    He's giving it a damn good try.

    He looks more comfortable than when he was just trying to survive in that hour of sensational bowling from India last night. But there is an incredibly long way to go. First step, the follow on target, 70 runs away.
  • kjhkjh Posts: 12,487
    HYUFD said:

    1) You were saying you needed to be won over. No you didn't, you are not Scottish and your party is not in power. You are irrelevant as far as Scotland is concerned unless the LDs give a PM Starmer confidence and supply.

    2) My views at the moment however are rather more relevant as the Tory party I am a member of an support is in power, if we lost the next general election then yes my opinions on Scotland at that point would be irrelevant and I have never disputed that.

    c) There are as far as I can see zero Scottish floating voters on here, almost every Scottish poster is committed Nationalist or Unionist
    a) I said no such thing.

    b) So why make the point then

    c) So what. Why make arguments that have the impact of turning off people who agree with you. You do it all the time on every topic. You have got the backs up of Tory voters/supporters/activists here all the time.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,228
    edited July 2022
    Sean_F said:

    Yes, if you'd wondered, in 1914, which nation would perpetrate the mass murder of Jews, Germany, with its successful and highly integrated Jewish population (overwhelmingly, "Germans of Mosaic Faith"), a nation in which anti-semitism was considered an embarrassing throwback, is about the last place you'd have looked. Russia, Austria-Hungary, and France, are the countries where you would have thought that something of that kind could happen.
    Otoh I've just finished The Shortest History of Germany, and late C19th German politics was a ferment of anti semitism, the more radical parties stampeding mainstream parties towards that mindset, eg:

    'But the Conservative Party, the political wing of Prussian Junkerdom, panicked at any inroad into its power-base. In 1892 the Tivoli Programme made it official Conservative policy to "oppose the obstructive and corrosive Jewish influence on our national life."'

    Combine that with a tendency to blur the separation between civilians & combatants and the mini genocide of the Herero people, many of the portents were there, though it would have taken a truly dystopic imagination to see how it would all culminate.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kjh said:

    a) I said no such thing.

    b) So why make the point then

    c) So what. Why make arguments that have the impact of turning off people who agree with you. You do it all the time on every topic. You have got the backs up of Tory voters/supporters/activists here all the time.
    I'm not sure point c is valid either - I can think of at least two who are arguably floating in terms of whether or not they might vote SNP.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,243
    Carnyx said:

    How long have the Tories been in power? That's 12 years and counting they did nothing whatsoever about it despite moaning and effing and blinding about the Blairite settlement. OK, I know it was a coalition from 2010 for some years, but the Libs would have agreed like a shot.
    I am not in the habit of defending the Tories but I am not sure you are correct about the Lib Dems supporting an English Parliament. And the rest of their time n power has rather been dominated by a succession of other issues - Brexit, Covid and Ukraine. I don't really see where the opportunity comes in that 12 years for them to introduce further radical constitutional reform.
  • https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/07/02/conservatives-set-lose-26-their-64-lib-dem-battleg

    New YouGov MRP poll suggests Dominic Raab and Jeremy Hunt would lose their seats if an election were being held now

    Last Thursday the Liberal Democrats overturned a huge Conservative majority to comfortably win a by-election contest for the third time this parliament.

    Following notable wins in both Chesham and Amersham and North Shropshire, the Liberal Democrats won the South Western seat of Tiverton and Honiton on a swing of no less than 30 points.

    Now new YouGov MRP modelling shows that the Conservatives would be set to lose no fewer than 24 Con-Lib Dem battleground constituencies to the Liberal Democrats if an election were being held tomorrow (with Labour picking up another two).
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,945
    Finally bought Planescape: Torment the Enhanced Edition from Bulldog the other day.

    I..... *ahem*.... played it back in 2000 but didn't get very far but was always a game I really wanted to complete. The gameplay, story are absolutely amazing and I'm surprising myself by actually making some progress.
    I know the first time around I managed to annoy the Lady of Pain, but this playthru nothing so far. Not sure if that's good or bad.......
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,381
    Carnyx said:

    No, I'm agreeing with you at least in that I don't think the current balance on domestic politics will necessarily remain. Though it's almost [edit] two-thirds of a century since anything describable as a conservative party had a majority in Scotland (1959, can't recall if it was on seats or votes that is based on)
    I think just because Scots aren't too fond of the UK Conservative Party doesn't mean a centre-right party could come to power in a post-indy Scotland. Particularly as you'll likely need to get the deficit down to attain EU membership.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,116
    edited July 2022
    Stokes really really stupid batting. Nearly out the same way 2 times in a row and he goes again. When Bairstow is nailing it down the other end. Crazy.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,487
    edited July 2022
    Cyclefree said:

    What with all the sexual sleaze and corruption (and I have to say that the Prince of Wales's behaviour over Brownlow and the Qataris is appalling and even more damaging to the monarchy than Andrew's scummy behaviour), we have finally turned into Italy. The weather is pretty lovely too, Britain has some fine beaches, lots of art and ancient towns, our economy is heading for the toilet and there is not much future for the young.

    We don't yet appear to have learnt the art of flirting in a gentle civilised way but Rome wasn't built in a day etc.

    So, hurrah, we have finally become European, despite all the Leavers' best efforts! One must get comfort where one can these days.

    Eh? Sexual sleaze and corruption is certainly not only, or even mainly, European. Just of the top of my head, virtually all of South America and Africa and much of South and South-East Asia have long and distinguished histories in this area. Or did the EU expand greatly while I was asleep?

    We're also fairly uncorrupt as a country, as the Transparency International rankings demonstrate every year, though of course there's no room for complacency. In 2021, they put the UK at 11th/178, Italy at 42nd.

    https://www.transparency.org/en/cpi/2021
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,587
    A robot painted a fairy. The computers are now deep into Uncanny Valley, and maybe coming out the other side



  • CorrectHorseBatteryCorrectHorseBattery Posts: 21,436
    edited July 2022
    https://twitter.com/Imranicus/status/1542928764895641600

    What are the odds that next Tory scandal will involve #SajidJavid? 🤔
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,285
    Heather Watson on centre court at 1:30.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Leon said:

    A robot painted a fairy. The computers are now deep into Uncanny Valley, and maybe coming out the other side



    That is bloody horrible. Not looking forward to AI overlords who can produce that shit.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    edited July 2022

    I am not in the habit of defending the Tories but I am not sure you are correct about the Lib Dems supporting an English Parliament. And the rest of their time n power has rather been dominated by a succession of other issues - Brexit, Covid and Ukraine. I don't really see where the opportunity comes in that 12 years for them to introduce further radical constitutional reform.
    I am a bit surprised at the idea that the LDs wouldn't, as they'd been all over the Slab/SLD fiddle of the Holyrood voting system, but you were right to raise it. So I checked. No explicit mention in the 2010 manifesto, but it's not immediately obvious what else they could have had in mind with their planned Constitutional Convention (apart from an Anglo-Saxon Heptarchy of several regional pmts, I suppose).

    Edit: P. 92 refers.

    https://www.markpack.org.uk/files/2015/01/Liberal-Democrat-manifesto-2010.pdf
  • bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 13,613
    HYUFD said:

    What a load of rubbish. The whole reason the Union came about in the first place was Scotland was trying to build an empire via the Darien Scheme which collapsed leading to its Parliament pleading to join England to form the UK.

    As for English grief if Scotland went, rubbish, England would swing harder to the Nationalist, Brexit right, a hard right government would be elected to take as hard a line with Edinburgh in Scexit negotiations as Brussels took with the UK after the Brexit vote.
    While the failure of Darien may have been a proximal cause, the roots of the Union go back much further, to the unification of the crowns and even long before that, to the submission to the Anglo-Norman kings.

  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,953
    Leon said:

    I missed this during my travels

    A SECOND Google engineer decided that LAMDA was possibly sentient/intelligent

    https://www.economist.com/by-invitation/2022/06/09/artificial-neural-networks-are-making-strides-towards-consciousness-according-to-blaise-aguera-y-arcas


    “When I began having such exchanges with the latest generation of neural net-based language models last year, I felt the ground shift under my feet. I increasingly felt like I was talking to something intelligent.”

    I’ve been reading around AI this morning. AI is basically here already

    You can teach a parrot to say "Help, they've turned me into a parrot", but that doesn't make it a person.
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Cyclefree said:

    Really sorry to hear that.

    All best wishes to you both.
    Yes get well soon, hope it stays mild! The pattern from my friends seems to be a crappy four days followed by a week of feeling fragile. My mother in law has just caught it again and it nearly killed her first time round, so I was a little worried till she sent pictures of herself mowing the lawn after a few days.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,587
    IshmaelZ said:

    That is bloody horrible. Not looking forward to AI overlords who can produce that shit.
    Yes. Genuinely disturbing, and in an inexplicable way. Uncanny…
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617

    While the failure of Darien may have been a proximal cause, the roots of the Union go back much further, to the unification of the crowns and even long before that, to the submission to the Anglo-Norman kings.

    HYUFD does have an interesting take on history.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,587
    edited July 2022
    kyf_100 said:

    You can teach a parrot to say "Help, they've turned me into a parrot", but that doesn't make it a person.
    No, it would be a parrot. An intelligent being, but not a human
  • OnboardG1OnboardG1 Posts: 1,589
    Leon said:

    Yes. Genuinely disturbing, and in an inexplicable way. Uncanny…
    A few friends and I were messing around with a Magic the Gathering card generator, which produced some plausible results. The issue is that it doesn’t have the contextual reasoning ability to tell if a card is sensible, bonkers or overpowered. You can train it to do things, but I don’t think we’re at the point where we’re educating it.
This discussion has been closed.