Polls like this make a confidence vote more likely – politicalbetting.com
Comments
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On the contrary.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
The sick son of a bitches are the gun nuts on the podium.5 -
Well, they are.Scott_xP said:
Some anger among Tory MPs about the windfall tax U-turn - mainly they are fed up with so many U-turnsCarnyx said:https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/20168222.dorset-mp-richard-drax-criticises-new-windfall-tax-announcement/
The chap we were discussing the other day, the one with four surnames. He doesn't like this pandering to socialists from Mr Sunak.
Tory MPs were whipped to vote against a windfall tax just a week ago
One tells me they look “like prats”
https://twitter.com/kateferguson4/status/15297910737945927684 -
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.2 -
That report is bollocks. They aren't fed up with so many u-turns, the same thing gets reported every time they are asked to do this, yet they meekly await the next one.Scott_xP said:
Some anger among Tory MPs about the windfall tax U-turn - mainly they are fed up with so many U-turnsCarnyx said:https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/20168222.dorset-mp-richard-drax-criticises-new-windfall-tax-announcement/
The chap we were discussing the other day, the one with four surnames. He doesn't like this pandering to socialists from Mr Sunak.
Tory MPs were whipped to vote against a windfall tax just a week ago
One tells me they look “like prats”
https://twitter.com/kateferguson4/status/15297910737945927680 -
Chance would be a fine thing.rcs1000 said:
Gun control is a political issue.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
And there's a problem in the US. Many Republicans are concerned that any kind of regulation is the thin end of the wedge that ends with the repeal of the Second Amendment.
https://www.theonion.com/no-way-to-prevent-this-says-only-nation-where-this-r-18195765270 -
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.0 -
Paul Waugh
@paulwaugh
·
2h
The public may well like the windfall tax U-turn, but several Tory MPs are unhappy.
One ex-minister tells me Sunak has thrown away any lingering hope of winning support from the right of the Tory party for a leadership bid: “This is just throwing soil on the coffin.”
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/15298965147594055760 -
Republican SOP, after every mass shooting, to call any attempt to do anything about guns “playing politics”.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.
They deserve to be told to their faces that they are, by doing nothing, utterly complicit.
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It’s not new for them either. It happened over free school meals, it’s happened several times. They only have themselves to blame now.Nigelb said:
Well, they are.Scott_xP said:
Some anger among Tory MPs about the windfall tax U-turn - mainly they are fed up with so many U-turnsCarnyx said:https://www.dorsetecho.co.uk/news/20168222.dorset-mp-richard-drax-criticises-new-windfall-tax-announcement/
The chap we were discussing the other day, the one with four surnames. He doesn't like this pandering to socialists from Mr Sunak.
Tory MPs were whipped to vote against a windfall tax just a week ago
One tells me they look “like prats”
https://twitter.com/kateferguson4/status/15297910737945927680 -
20,000 according to Wiki.rcs1000 said:
There are five people that read The New European???MrEd said:
I'm sure the five people who read The New European will approve,boulay said:
That’s brutal cutting edge satire.Scott_xP said:This week’s New EUROPEAN: “Clown Nation” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529913070176587776/photo/1
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Foxy said:
Though the Uvalde police don't sound up to much:MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1529897589306695680?t=THwk147jJpccKEP8z2Yy2g&s=19
So... a mother in Uvalde was able to drive 40 miles, plead with police, get hand-cuffed, get uncuffed, jump the school fence, run inside and rescue her children while police sat around waiting for backup and listening to children get murdered.
There's no fixing that.
That is very true - but it still doesn't take away from the absolute kn0bbery of Beto's actions.Foxy said:
Though the Uvalde police don't sound up to much:MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1529897589306695680?t=THwk147jJpccKEP8z2Yy2g&s=19
So... a mother in Uvalde was able to drive 40 miles, plead with police, get hand-cuffed, get uncuffed, jump the school fence, run inside and rescue her children while police sat around waiting for backup and listening to children get murdered.
There's no fixing that.0 -
Based on my experience of living in countries where there are now no coins less than a 5, the supermarkets still price items in odd pennies and the rounding is done at the till. However in other shops/restaurants their prices are generally shown in tens rather than fives, thus making the five redundant (and a difficult coin for a collector like me to get hold of in day to day transactions).kle4 said:
In which case there are no circumstances under which outdated coinage can be removed?pigeon said:
Would anyone care to have a stab at what percentage of the population is so skint that the prospect of having all prices rounded up to the nearest 5p would cause further material damage to their finances?kle4 said:
Only possible reason not to ditch the 1p and the 2p, so as not to mess up the shield. Both already pointless.MattW said:I feel I should have known this:
If you arrange British coins this way you'll get a shield - It represents the Royal Coat of Arms! 🇬🇧
https://twitter.com/histories_arch/status/1523817354509320192
Were people this resistant to getting rid of the ha'penny?1 -
Bloke in Hatchard's in St Pancras International was trying to flog me that book, saying how wonderful it was and absolutely spot on. Glad I didn't take him up on his recommendation...carnforth said:
The New European's John Kampfner wrote this best-selling book about how Germany is wonderful and Britain is awful:rcs1000 said:
There are five people that read The New European???MrEd said:
I'm sure the five people who read The New European will approve,boulay said:
That’s brutal cutting edge satire.Scott_xP said:This week’s New EUROPEAN: “Clown Nation” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529913070176587776/photo/1
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Why-Germans-Do-Better-Grown-Up/dp/1786499789/
I wonder if he is planning to revise it after the last three months.0 -
Also, it isn't going to deal with the underlying problem - that our gas supplies are constricted and 30 years of complacency and underinvestment by multiple governments has left our utility networks unable to survive without them.rottenborough said:
Paul Waugh
@paulwaugh
·
2h
The public may well like the windfall tax U-turn, but several Tory MPs are unhappy.
One ex-minister tells me Sunak has thrown away any lingering hope of winning support from the right of the Tory party for a leadership bid: “This is just throwing soil on the coffin.”
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/15298965147594055761 -
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government0 -
Oh sorry, did I misspell two?rcs1000 said:
There are five people that read The New European???MrEd said:
I'm sure the five people who read The New European will approve,boulay said:
That’s brutal cutting edge satire.Scott_xP said:This week’s New EUROPEAN: “Clown Nation” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529913070176587776/photo/1
0 -
I don't know for sure, but I'd guess 19,999 of them at least were against Brexit.Sunil_Prasannan said:
20,000 according to Wiki.rcs1000 said:
There are five people that read The New European???MrEd said:
I'm sure the five people who read The New European will approve,boulay said:
That’s brutal cutting edge satire.Scott_xP said:This week’s New EUROPEAN: “Clown Nation” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529913070176587776/photo/1
0 -
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.1 -
Sure.MrEd said:Foxy said:
Though the Uvalde police don't sound up to much:MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1529897589306695680?t=THwk147jJpccKEP8z2Yy2g&s=19
So... a mother in Uvalde was able to drive 40 miles, plead with police, get hand-cuffed, get uncuffed, jump the school fence, run inside and rescue her children while police sat around waiting for backup and listening to children get murdered.
There's no fixing that.
That is very true - but it still doesn't take away from the absolute kn0bbery of Beto's actions.Foxy said:
Though the Uvalde police don't sound up to much:MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1529897589306695680?t=THwk147jJpccKEP8z2Yy2g&s=19
So... a mother in Uvalde was able to drive 40 miles, plead with police, get hand-cuffed, get uncuffed, jump the school fence, run inside and rescue her children while police sat around waiting for backup and listening to children get murdered.
There's no fixing that.
Pretty clear who are the kn0bs here:
https://twitter.com/ddimick/status/1529651973233975306
Beto O’Rourke impolitely pointing out to the gun-lobby-beholden plutocracy that thoughts and prayers don’t cut it. Photograph by
@Reuters #photojournalism
I can see why Republicans are troubled.3 -
In an obvious way that must be true as the pension and benefit system is uprated by September's inflation figure.Scott_xP said:
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.
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Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.0 -
Friday’s Daily TELEGRAPH: “Tories are now the party of big spending, says Sunak” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529930376847757312/photo/10
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Meanwhile, in the law and order party during Johnson's 'crime, crime, crime' week...
Joe Locker
@JoeLocker96
#TomorrowsPapersToday
Exactly three weeks to the day crime commissioner Caroline Henry appeared in court and admitted to 5 speeding offences, she launches a new board to hold Nottinghamshire Police to account.
@AlexNorrisNN
says it shows how untenable her position is.
https://twitter.com/JoeLocker96/status/15295414147528540170 -
Or next year. It would be entirely unsurprising: one-off payments like this are by definition only temporary fixes for temporary problems. Unless the current bout of inflation is followed by an equal and opposite bout of deflation (highly improbable, of course,) then the agony is only deferred until the point at which the bungs have been spent.Scott_xP said:
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.
After that, the Government has to decide who to let rot, who, if anyone, is deserving of hefty permanent increases in social security - and who is going to be taxed harder to pay for more benefits. That's the juncture at which a further wealth transfer from working people (including the many who are already struggling) to pensioners may occur.0 -
How tactless of him to get upset about children being murdered en masse. So unseemly.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.
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"The timing of the windfall tax U-turn, one day after the publication of the Sue Gray report, will only deepen the concern that this is a rudderless government that blows with the political wind" | 🗞 The Times view https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/the-times-view-on-rishi-sunaks-cost-of-living-support-big-spender-q6mjwx5vv?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=Twitter#Echobox=16535986590
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There have been 27 school shootings and 200 mass killings in America already this year.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.
May I gently suggest that the problem is America has waited rather too long to confront this major problem, not that somebody crashed the podium to call out the acquiescence of the Governor in laws that enabled the murder of multiple children?5 -
What I personally find more unseemly is that Abbot will still win, because a majority of Texans prize their guns more than their children.Carnyx said:
How tactless of him to get upset about children being murdered en masse. So unseemly.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.5 -
So it's a good number?HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government1 -
I would say he did it but the the verdict was by no means certain. The jail time was hardly touched on in the documentarycarnforth said:
"Well, you've got a much better documentary now."Roger said:OT. Excellent documentary on Netflix called 'The Staircase'. French documentary team with remarkable access to the trial and family of an author accused of murdering his wife.
I bought Petersen's book (no money goes to him). Not really about the trial, mostly a diary of how to survive prison. Very good. He did it, of course.0 -
Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.2
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Got off extremely lightly there.FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
I wouldn't be happy with that if he'd called me that.1 -
Rishi affirmed the benefit uplift and triple lock rise for next April at September inflation raterottenborough said:
In an obvious way that must be true as the pension and benefit system is uprated by September's inflation figure.Scott_xP said:
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.
This is a huge promise with some saying it will cost 25 billion0 -
Sounds like Sue was perfect person to undertake the investigation as clearly got the experience to judge an illegal party when she sees one.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10856801/Partygate-Patrick-Kielty-tells-late-night-lock-ins-Sue-Grays-pub.html0 -
At this rate, we are going to be making handbags out of £5 notes as they will be so worthless.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Rishi affirmed the benefit uplift and triple lock rise for next April at September inflation raterottenborough said:
In an obvious way that must be true as the pension and benefit system is uprated by September's inflation figure.Scott_xP said:
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.
This is a huge promise with some saying it will cost 25 billion0 -
No change on the UC taper rate. That's a real issue as an incentive to move into work.Big_G_NorthWales said:
Rishi affirmed the benefit uplift and triple lock rise for next April at September inflation raterottenborough said:
In an obvious way that must be true as the pension and benefit system is uprated by September's inflation figure.Scott_xP said:
There is an article tonight that says it will only buy a few months, and he will have to spend even more in the Autumnpigeon said:They mustn't know whether they're coming or going anymore.
Personally I'm surprised that the support package was quite so big as it has turned out to be. I was expecting the Government to bail out old people and leave everybody else to rot.
This is a huge promise with some saying it will cost 25 billion
The marginal tax rates faced by unemployed UC claimants are eye watering.0 -
I think he came over very well. About time someone stood up like he did. Someone took a classic picture (shown here earlier today) Expect to see on campaign literature. It made the guys on the stage look like angry rednecks being challenged by a sole individual.ydoethur said:
There have been 27 school shootings and 200 mass killings in America already this year.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.
May I gently suggest that the problem is America has waited rather too long to confront this major problem, not that somebody crashed the podium to call out the acquiescence of the Governor in laws that enabled the murder of multiple children?0 -
I think @HYUFD is the only true Boris cheerleader on hereMexicanpete said:
So it's a good number?HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government0 -
The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/0 -
LD figure is worrying for the Tories (given theor vote is likely to be even more efficiently concentrated in the South of England than in 1997). Don't get me wrong, the absolute maximum the LDs can get at the next election is probably about 35 MPs but the Tories are still in trouble.HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
The Tories could be holding up relatively well in the West Midlands but doing pretty badly in Con-LD marginals in Somerset and the SE and Con-Lab marginals in North and South like 2010 in reverse.
1 -
"Neither a French president, a German intellectual, nor an award-winning American newspaper are exempt from being wrong."geoffw said:The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/
Spiky.0 -
I, for one, salute Comrade Rishi.
So refreshing to have a genuinely Socialist Chancellor. First in my lifetime.3 -
Trials still to come. Just has to pay others costs for trying to wrangle for a Jurydixiedean said:
Got off extremely lightly there.FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
I wouldn't be happy with that if he'd called me that.1 -
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it0 -
Getting expensive...MightyAlex said:
Trials still to come. Just has to pay others costs for trying to wrangle for a Jurydixiedean said:
Got off extremely lightly there.FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
I wouldn't be happy with that if he'd called me that.
The actor's legal costs for making the unsuccessful bid came to £116,314.55, according to court documents.0 -
The alternative was civil disorder as Martin Lewis has been saying. That may still happen if inflation, particularly food thanks to Mad Vlad, continues to surge.Scott_xP said:Friday’s Daily TELEGRAPH: “Tories are now the party of big spending, says Sunak” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529930376847757312/photo/1
0 -
Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.0
-
OK. He deserves to be bankrupted. Pour encourager les autres.MightyAlex said:
Trials still to come. Just has to pay others costs for trying to wrangle for a Jurydixiedean said:
Got off extremely lightly there.FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
I wouldn't be happy with that if he'd called me that.
Fair comment and criticism is fine.0 -
If you are lucky Starmer gets his inevitable FPN, resigns in ignominious disgrace and Sunak's whopping give away gains traction. Before you know it, newly innocent Johnson is 9 points ahead of Streeting/Nandy.bigjohnowls said:
Interesting to see how much polls narrow in next fortnight due to todays package and JubileeMexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
If they dont narrow Tories in big trouble
It's a good Corbynista package nonetheless. I always knew Sunak was a Trojan Horse Socialist.0 -
In Australia it still isn't clear whether Labor will win 75 or 76 seats with 76 needed for a majority.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal-election-2022/
Nearly 25% of the vote has still to be counted.
https://www.pollbludger.net/fed2022/Results/0 -
How much money are the lawyers making out of the Wagatha-Christie legal action?0
-
The prosecution (foolishly?) only brought a single count: first degree (premeditated) murder. This required their narrative, that there was a struggle at the top of the stairs that involved her ending up at the bottom, that she did not die, and was then beaten at the bottom of the stairs when he realised she was still alive, to be believed in its entirety.Roger said:
I would say he did it but the the verdict was by no means certain. The jail time was hardly touched on in the documentarycarnforth said:
"Well, you've got a much better documentary now."Roger said:OT. Excellent documentary on Netflix called 'The Staircase'. French documentary team with remarkable access to the trial and family of an author accused of murdering his wife.
I bought Petersen's book (no money goes to him). Not really about the trial, mostly a diary of how to survive prison. Very good. He did it, of course.
By "it", I merely mean that he was involved in the altercation that killed her. Perhaps the element of premeditation was not there.0 -
Friday’s TIMES: “Tories split on tax and spending bonanza” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529936580110172160/photo/10
-
Let's put it this way: they wont be too fussed about their energy bills.FrancisUrquhart said:How much money are the lawyers making out of the Wagatha-Christie legal action?
1 -
The Süddeutsche Zeitung has published this cartoon of Zelensky...0
-
That's "distribution" - i.e. 20,000 copies of the New European are printed and distributed.Sunil_Prasannan said:
20,000 according to Wiki.rcs1000 said:
There are five people that read The New European???MrEd said:
I'm sure the five people who read The New European will approve,boulay said:
That’s brutal cutting edge satire.Scott_xP said:This week’s New EUROPEAN: “Clown Nation” #TomorrowsPapersToday https://twitter.com/AllieHBNews/status/1529913070176587776/photo/1
But many of those will end up in lawyers and accountants waiting rooms, collecting dust.
Active, actual, readership will - I suspect - be in the low thousands.1 -
The U.S. must understand the futility and stop “taunting” Russia, the editorial says. Meaning: Ukraine will lose anyway, stop helping it so it’s over faster.FrancisUrquhart said:
"Neither a French president, a German intellectual, nor an award-winning American newspaper are exempt from being wrong."geoffw said:The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/
Spiky.
A common view, presented as realism, which would not be entirely unreasonable were it not usually presented without consideration of whether Ukraine might prefer some losses more than others.0 -
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it0 -
Have you an option to go private?geoffw said:Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.
0 -
Libeling people on Twitter is really dumb.FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
0 -
Postcode lottery. My Mam was diagnosed in February and had it three weeks ago.geoffw said:Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.
Sympathies.
The state of the NHS is the only political talk I hear from my oldie friends.1 -
O'Rourke has little chance of winning his election anyway presumably. He may upset and aggravate some people by not being polite about it, but politically (let alone any other consideration) he might as well go very strong on all issues. It's not really an area where a nuanced position seems likely to win over any floaters, so lose, but lose honestly I guess.ydoethur said:
There have been 27 school shootings and 200 mass killings in America already this year.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.
May I gently suggest that the problem is America has waited rather too long to confront this major problem, not that somebody crashed the podium to call out the acquiescence of the Governor in laws that enabled the murder of multiple children?0 -
Since the day after the Tories won a 4th consecutive general election in 2019 on historical precedencedixiedean said:
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it0 -
And also not necessarily reflecting the military reality. As the editorial says, Ukraine has driven Russia out of more than 40% of the land the latter occupied since the start of the conflict. The US is now openly saying that Russia has lost nearly 1,000 tanks, which would be considerably higher than Oryx's numbers and, if extrapolated, would suggest the Russians have lost c. 5K vehicles. And Ukraine is training up more troops, receiving more equipment etc while Russia's military capabilities continue to degrade.kle4 said:
The U.S. must understand the futility and stop “taunting” Russia, the editorial says. Meaning: Ukraine will lose anyway, stop helping it so it’s over faster.FrancisUrquhart said:
"Neither a French president, a German intellectual, nor an award-winning American newspaper are exempt from being wrong."geoffw said:The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/
Spiky.
A common view, presented as realism, which would not be entirely unreasonable were it not usually presented without consideration of whether Ukraine might prefer some losses more than others.1 -
Either way the 3 Green MPs will back Labor so they pass the 76 threshold needed for governmentAndy_JS said:In Australia it still isn't clear whether Labor will win 75 or 76 seats with 76 needed for a majority.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal-election-2022/
Nearly 25% of the vote has still to be counted.
https://www.pollbludger.net/fed2022/Results/0 -
Fixed for you....rcs1000 said:FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
Libeling people onTwitter is really dumb.1 -
And everyone says the news these days is always bad!FrancisUrquhart said:Laurence Fox will have to pay more than £36,000 in legal fees to three people he referred to as 'paedophiles' on Twitter after losing his bid for a jury to hear their High Court libel battle.
0 -
The 3% ref figure may be voters who can’t bear to be supporting Boris shambolic government a day longer so fled right rather than centre - and you’ve just marked them down as a yes?HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government0 -
The Mail seem... Conflicted...
Friday's Mail: Rishi's £21bn Splurge #TomorrowsPapersToday #DailyMail #Mail
https://t.co/e2BNFCMK9A
The next challenges are going to be Public Sector pay (good luck keeping rises to 1-2%) and tax thresholds (again, good luck keeping them frozen, though the stealth windfall for the government must help the sums work out. If they should go up by £1000 and aren't, that's £200 per taxpayer, £400 for a working couple and where have I seen £400 splashed about today?)0 -
True, but parties do like to be able to claim an actual majority, psychologically. Cameron winning the first majority for the party was probably celebrated more than being the first PM for the party in a long time.HYUFD said:
Either way the 3 Green MPs will back Labor so they pass the 76 threshold needed for governmentAndy_JS said:In Australia it still isn't clear whether Labor will win 75 or 76 seats with 76 needed for a majority.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal-election-2022/
Nearly 25% of the vote has still to be counted.
https://www.pollbludger.net/fed2022/Results/0 -
That isn't how it works.HYUFD said:
Since the day after the Tories won a 4th consecutive general election in 2019 on historical precedencedixiedean said:
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it1 -
Saddened to hear the news about Andy Fletcher of Depeche Mode.0
-
Dunno, not complaining. Just bemused. You hear so much about waiting lists that it became a bit like joining an anonymous club.turbotubbs said:
Have you an option to go private?geoffw said:Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.
0 -
Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.0
-
It's not understandable. It is the same delusional paranoia that had 17th Century New England convinced the British government was, at any moment, going to rejoin with the Papacy are enforce Catholicism as the state religion.rcs1000 said:
Gun control is a political issue.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
And there's a problem in the US. Many Republicans are concerned that any kind of regulation is the thin end of the wedge that ends with the repeal of the Second Amendment. That's understandable.
But it also leads to a situation where even the most modest of proposals is blocked.0 -
The Australian Labor Party has never been particularly left-wing so having to rely on the Greens could have a significant effect on the type of administration it is. [For instance I was reading an article today that argued the Australian Labor Party was the first major Western party to embrace neo-liberalism in the 1980s under Bob Hawke].HYUFD said:
Either way the 3 Green MPs will back Labor so they pass the 76 threshold needed for governmentAndy_JS said:In Australia it still isn't clear whether Labor will win 75 or 76 seats with 76 needed for a majority.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/federal-election-2022/
Nearly 25% of the vote has still to be counted.
https://www.pollbludger.net/fed2022/Results/0 -
It is, no governing party has won a 5th consecutive general election since universal suffrage in 1918dixiedean said:
That isn't how it works.HYUFD said:
Since the day after the Tories won a 4th consecutive general election in 2019 on historical precedencedixiedean said:
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it0 -
Wealth tax, higher income tax, 300% council tax on second homes, etc etc etc....NorthofStoke said:Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.
0 -
But Boris is rubbish, why does he have any supporters left? That yesterday was incredible “I’ve not come to offer excuses, tell more lies or filibuster very good questions you still have, but to add some context” THE OPENING LINE ITSELF WAS A LIE! 🤦♀️Big_G_NorthWales said:
I think @HYUFD is the only true Boris cheerleader on hereMexicanpete said:
So it's a good number?HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
If the Tories went off for a few summer months leadership contest, turned a page on this Boris disaster and refound themselves, 100% certain to finish this year in a much better place.1 -
It will vary from place to place. My dad has had both done in the last 6 months, private. As he said at 82 you value the time left rather than the money...geoffw said:
Dunno, not complaining. Just bemused. You hear so much about waiting lists that it became a bit like joining an anonymous club.turbotubbs said:
Have you an option to go private?geoffw said:Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.
0 -
In a bizarre twist, today's Heardle was Personal Jesus.Andy_JS said:Saddened to hear the news about Andy Fletcher of Depeche Mode.
1 -
But if Labour put up Corbyn on his raft of the Medusa every time it would be a doddle to win 7 or 8HYUFD said:
It is, no governing party has won a 5th consecutive general election since universal suffrage in 1918dixiedean said:
That isn't how it works.HYUFD said:
Since the day after the Tories won a 4th consecutive general election in 2019 on historical precedencedixiedean said:
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it0 -
Won't work. Higher income tax is already likely to be needed with Tory expenditure plans. Laferr curve says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
Wealth tax, higher income tax, etc etc etc....NorthofStoke said:Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.
0 -
17th century? There is one person on PB who argued this year something rather like that, in justification for keeping the C of E as the privileged State Church (as if England was a state, but never mind).Aslan said:
It's not understandable. It is the same delusional paranoia that had 17th Century New England convinced the British government was, at any moment, going to rejoin with the Papacy are enforce Catholicism as the state religion.rcs1000 said:
Gun control is a political issue.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
And there's a problem in the US. Many Republicans are concerned that any kind of regulation is the thin end of the wedge that ends with the repeal of the Second Amendment. That's understandable.
But it also leads to a situation where even the most modest of proposals is blocked.0 -
I am sure Labour will give it a good go.NorthofStoke said:
Won't work. Higher income tax is already likely to be needed with Tory expenditure plans. Laferr curve says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
Wealth tax, higher income tax, etc etc etc....NorthofStoke said:Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.
0 -
The ALP are almost certain to have a majority in Australia.
Like 99% +.
Bet against it if you like.
Good luck.0 -
Helen Whately, who has her fair share of car crash interviews, doing ok on Newsnight. She is a Treasury minister these days.0
-
If it gets worse I'll look into that option.turbotubbs said:
It will vary from place to place. My dad has had both done in the last 6 months, private. As he said at 82 you value the time left rather than the money...geoffw said:
Dunno, not complaining. Just bemused. You hear so much about waiting lists that it became a bit like joining an anonymous club.turbotubbs said:
Have you an option to go private?geoffw said:Today I became a statistic. I have joined an NHS waiting list. Eighteen months in my case for a cataract operation.
1 -
Not to mention, also more than their teachers. Very selfless of you not to mention that. So I thought I'd do it for you.ydoethur said:
What I personally find more unseemly is that Abbot will still win, because a majority of Texans prize their guns more than their children.Carnyx said:
How tactless of him to get upset about children being murdered en masse. So unseemly.MrEd said:
It is a political issue but what a dick to crash it like that. He could have waited.kle4 said:
Problem is of course that it is a political issue. Trying to avoid discussion of any actions as it is 'too soon' is often itself a political action, and action then is the only option for those that want action, since it won't be returned to later.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
Crashing a press conference like that does have a high risk of coming across as a dick move though.0 -
Unfortunately you are probably right. Weimar republic says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure Labour will give it a good go.NorthofStoke said:
Won't work. Higher income tax is already likely to be needed with Tory expenditure plans. Laferr curve says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
Wealth tax, higher income tax, etc etc etc....NorthofStoke said:Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.
0 -
TBF with Charles II and James VII and II that's not entirely surprising.Aslan said:
It's not understandable. It is the same delusional paranoia that had 17th Century New England convinced the British government was, at any moment, going to rejoin with the Papacy are enforce Catholicism as the state religion.rcs1000 said:
Gun control is a political issue.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
And there's a problem in the US. Many Republicans are concerned that any kind of regulation is the thin end of the wedge that ends with the repeal of the Second Amendment. That's understandable.
But it also leads to a situation where even the most modest of proposals is blocked.0 -
If we are headed into a recession with demand aggregation collapsing as every one draws in their spending, then giving £400 to everyone who buys electricity will not sound so bonkers.
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To be pedantic, we didn't have universal suffrage in 1918.HYUFD said:
It is, no governing party has won a 5th consecutive general election since universal suffrage in 1918dixiedean said:
That isn't how it works.HYUFD said:
Since the day after the Tories won a 4th consecutive general election in 2019 on historical precedencedixiedean said:
Since when were Labour favourites to win the next GE?HYUFD said:
Labour still polling about 3% less than 1997 and after boundary changes still not getting a majority alone a landslide.dixiedean said:
Under FPTP your raw Party score isn't the most important metric.HYUFD said:
RefUK still polling 3%, most of that will go back to the Conservatives and in some final polls like Mori the Tories polled under 31% in 1997.Mexicanpete said:
Wasn't 31% the circa 1997 Con number? Remind me, was that a good number?HYUFD said:So even after the Gray report Labour fails to post a lead of 10% or more and the poll was taken before the extra funds announced to help households with energy bills today
Blair was up to 20 points ahead in many pre 1997 polls eg Gallup, not just 9 points ahead even after a dreadful few days for the PM and party. I expect the extra funds for households to help with energy bills announced after this poll will also make a difference.
At the 2010 general election Labour only got 29% 13 years into government, the Tories are now already 12 years into government
1997 Tories 31%. Labour majority of 179.
2010 Labour 29%. Hung Parliament.
I'm amazed you can't see that.
Don't forget 1997 only happened after Major won a general election after more than 10 years of his party in power, the only PM in the last 100 years to do so.
The odds were always Labour would win the next general election after the Tories 2019 win, however they are still far from sealing it1 -
The Oryx figures are (allowing for a small number of photo misidentifications) an absolute minimum, so the US estimate’s probably correct.MrEd said:
And also not necessarily reflecting the military reality. As the editorial says, Ukraine has driven Russia out of more than 40% of the land the latter occupied since the start of the conflict. The US is now openly saying that Russia has lost nearly 1,000 tanks, which would be considerably higher than Oryx's numbers and, if extrapolated, would suggest the Russians have lost c. 5K vehicles. And Ukraine is training up more troops, receiving more equipment etc while Russia's military capabilities continue to degrade.kle4 said:
The U.S. must understand the futility and stop “taunting” Russia, the editorial says. Meaning: Ukraine will lose anyway, stop helping it so it’s over faster.FrancisUrquhart said:
"Neither a French president, a German intellectual, nor an award-winning American newspaper are exempt from being wrong."geoffw said:The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/
Spiky.
A common view, presented as realism, which would not be entirely unreasonable were it not usually presented without consideration of whether Ukraine might prefer some losses more than others.
The next argument is likely to be over the Italian support for Putin’s latest gambit offering to ‘allow’ grain exports if sanctions are lifted.
https://twitter.com/olgatokariuk/status/1529915762109992964
Yet again, the same pattern is repeated. Russia creates a problem and then generously offers to solve it. Some naive people call it de-escalation.
Remarkable that Putin told it to Draghi.Italy might face waves of migrants via Mediterranean if there's hunger in Africa, Middle East1 -
It does sound pretty touch and go in the Donbas though. Finally the Russians have put together a competent attack, and that is worrying. The question is for how long can they sustain it?MrEd said:
And also not necessarily reflecting the military reality. As the editorial says, Ukraine has driven Russia out of more than 40% of the land the latter occupied since the start of the conflict. The US is now openly saying that Russia has lost nearly 1,000 tanks, which would be considerably higher than Oryx's numbers and, if extrapolated, would suggest the Russians have lost c. 5K vehicles. And Ukraine is training up more troops, receiving more equipment etc while Russia's military capabilities continue to degrade.kle4 said:
The U.S. must understand the futility and stop “taunting” Russia, the editorial says. Meaning: Ukraine will lose anyway, stop helping it so it’s over faster.FrancisUrquhart said:
"Neither a French president, a German intellectual, nor an award-winning American newspaper are exempt from being wrong."geoffw said:The NYT, scourge of Brexit no less, getting two barrels from the Kyiv Independent for its "veiled manifesto of appeasement".
https://kyivindependent.com/opinion/editorial-the-kyiv-independents-response-to-the-new-york-times-editorial-board/
Spiky.
A common view, presented as realism, which would not be entirely unreasonable were it not usually presented without consideration of whether Ukraine might prefer some losses more than others.
For all the NATO promises, artillery is the king of the battlefield in a stationary war, and numbers there favour Russia.
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It's normally expressed as 'aggregate demand', but your coinage is more dynamic.rottenborough said:If we are headed into a recession with demand aggregation collapsing as every one draws in their spending, then giving £400 to everyone who buys electricity will not sound so bonkers.
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Well that was why it was created in the first place, to replace the Pope as head of the English Church on earth with the English monarchCarnyx said:
17th century? There is one person on PB who argued this year something rather like that, in justification for keeping the C of E as the privileged State Church (as if England was a state, but never mind).Aslan said:
It's not understandable. It is the same delusional paranoia that had 17th Century New England convinced the British government was, at any moment, going to rejoin with the Papacy are enforce Catholicism as the state religion.rcs1000 said:
Gun control is a political issue.MrEd said:Oh dear, looks like Beto has made an ass of himself at the Uvalde shooting press conference. What an absolute kn0b.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2022/05/25/texas_mayor_to_beto_orourke_youre_a_sick_son_of_a_bitch_to_make_school_shooting_a_political_issue.html
And there's a problem in the US. Many Republicans are concerned that any kind of regulation is the thin end of the wedge that ends with the repeal of the Second Amendment. That's understandable.
But it also leads to a situation where even the most modest of proposals is blocked.0 -
Eh? We are not remotely the Weimar republic. Jeez...NorthofStoke said:
Unfortunately you are probably right. Weimar republic says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
I am sure Labour will give it a good go.NorthofStoke said:
Won't work. Higher income tax is already likely to be needed with Tory expenditure plans. Laferr curve says hello.FrancisUrquhart said:
Wealth tax, higher income tax, etc etc etc....NorthofStoke said:Serious point: if Labour win the next election they won't be able to increase public expenditure. We are fast approaching the outer limits of a manageable deficit. Run on pound, inflation, credit downgrading if a typical labour manifesto is added to Tory largesse.
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Yep.rottenborough said:If we are headed into a recession with demand aggregation collapsing as every one draws in their spending, then giving £400 to everyone who buys electricity will not sound so bonkers.
It's Keynesianism.
Not the worst idea right now.1