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A jeu d’esprit – politicalbetting.com

So many opinions. So few facts. In the spirit so ably demonstrated by our PM over his life, let’s apply a little fiction to our current politics.
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The suspect, a resident of Ohio, allegedly sought to have Iraqi operatives smuggled into the US from Mexico for the operation.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-61569650
The last man to hold the post was Yevgeny Zinichev, also an ex-Putin guard, who died falling down a 90ft waterfall
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10849793/Putin-promotes-bodyguard-Emergencies-Minister-predecessor-fell-death-90ft-waterfall.html
1. walk the circuit of the wall walk around the town walls (and there is a nice model and train shop at the north gate if that helps) (there are two circuits, incomplete, one north and one sout of the river)
2. Yorkshire Museum - nice fossils and roman remains
3. https://www.english-heritage.org.uk/visit/places/york-cold-war-bunker/ - not been but intend to ...
4. https://www.visityork.org/business-directory/yorkshire-air-museum - ditto ...
5. York Castle on a motte
The thing that seems strange about all the comments saying pressure must be put on Ukraine to give up territory or Putin must be given an off ramp, etc, is that it’s all unnecessary. If the different governments want to make their views known to the Ukr govt, they can...
Saying it out loud only puts more pressure on Ukr and gives more hope to Putin. So why do it? I can’t think of one thing it gains but publicity and point scoring. Far better to provide what aid to Ukr you want, quietly let your position be known, and then step back.
Pippa Crerar
@PippaCrerar
EXCL: Damning new Partygate photo of No 10 gathering where staff told: “The bar is open".
Pippa Crerar
@PippaCrerar
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Replying to
@PippaCrerar
My understanding is that neither Sue Gray nor the Met police have investigated this boozy do - even though 30-40 staff were present and WhatsApp messages show it was pre-planned.
https://twitter.com/bilbo983/status/957622846632742912?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^957622846632742912|twgr^|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/weird-news/gruesome-body-count-shows-animals-11933343
If memory serves the first book ends with the animals engaging in an impromptu piss up, so it truly for our time.
I love America - but it is deeply flawed
It's a great novel. A must read. There is a drama interpretation of it on iPlayer. But it's the cynical sardonic and wonderfully funny authorial voice which really makes it. We need a Vanity Fair for our times.
Since 2016.
Doesn't the time fly when you're having fun ......
Can't really describe how angry this article makes me.
"Cookie didn't attack - a tragic accident"
"Passive dog"
Fuck off. If it can kill a man with a bite to the leg it would make short work of someone's toddler.
I'm well up for zero-tolerance on any dog that bites anyone. Should be put down immediately, and the owners banned from keeping them.
America's Dunblane?
I'm sure it's good, but it might as well be in Urdu for me.
Unfortunately, all I hear is the multiple different incorrect pronunciations. Didn't the Beeb used to have a special department for this?
14 kids and 1 teacher dead.
We’ll hear the thoughts and prayers wheeled out and lots of footage of vigils and candles and it will all be forgotten in a few days and then rinse and repeat .
I've an idea off the top of my head which may aid his comprehension, if that would help?
The Governor was a sick fuck casting doubt on the use of an assault rifle (even if one wasn't used). Don't politicise it immediately.
https://www.tomorrowspapers.co.uk/
Glowering Boris as he tightens his tie.
It's not the best, is it?
I never imagined he looked like that!
Writes well for a dog.
I honestly wonder if even something on the scale of Beslan would make a difference. My hunch now is that it wouldn't. America would tolerate hundreds killed in a shooting, the Las Vegas shooting had hundreds injured and 60 deaths, and that was soon forgotten about.
There doesn't seem to be anything that will change America's love of guns.
Regularly.
That is indeed incomprehensible.
And weren’t they all ?
Though I have to say Becky is a more entertaining, even appealing character than is Boris.
NY Times.
Stop giving the mentally ill loads of guns you twats.
For official free burial ppl must record video saying 🇺🇦Army killed their relatives, not Russia. Bodies pile up in street.
https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1529205600269357058
Perhaps we could blame violent films or videogames though (they don't have those anywhere else, you see).
Student at nearby High School. Also shot his grandmother.
But thought that overly cynical. Obviously not.
Have the parents been defamed yet?
About 30 minutes after the polling stations close.
Looks as though Carnyx was wrong about Labour not going into any coalition with the SNP interestingly.
Some very interesting council formations.
Does beg the question as to why the SNP have been able to form administrations as a minority on some councils like Midlothian and East Dunbartonshire (where they could in theory have been shut out) but not on others?
It’s amazing how just quickly the treasury can move when it’s a case of operation deflect the news from partygate .
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mass_shootings_in_the_United_States_in_2022
Most of them don't even make the news here.
My first night in the USA, San Diego 1982, there was a mass shooting on the local news in LA.
It was not the top story. Seriously.realised I was not in UK.
And the negatives politically, you think of how much money the Tory’s will spend in the next general election campaign trying to beat Labour, they might well take that money outside now and burn it for as much good it does them after gifting Starmer and his front bench a multi billion pound makeover by surrendering lock stock and barrel to his policy idea - it will make Starmer look like the idea’s man to rescue the public from cost of living nightmare and the true leader of the country, whilst the Tory’s merely dither short on solutions. Give him this one, he will just March into the commons with another five policies you have to go ahead with or be damned. If Tory’s go ahead with a windfall tax now after several months explaining why it’s wrong headed and a Starmer mistake, the government becomes Starmer’s bitch.
So what’s in it for the government? Whatever it is, it’s got to be massively outweigh by the political, reputational, and economical negatives?
Labour supporters replying to this post saying “but we love it” firstly have to admit there are some downsides to doing this I addressed in para 1, also of course you would say that, it’s matter of perspective, Conservatives and Capitalists shouldn’t think and behave like socialists should they, where’s the clear blue water then between Boris and the Labour Party?
The headline/URL is also misleading as it doesn't mention the Independent group who are also involved.
The actual results are:
Scottish Conservative and Unionist - 16
Scottish National Party - 11
Scottish Labour Party - 9
Scottish Liberal Democrats - 1
Independent - 6
So one would have thought that Tory + Ind would be amply sufficient. But without that it would have to be Tory + Lab. Maybe some local factor ?
It was so successful in New York City that criminals there began to use "community" guns. Rather than carry a gun on them, where it might be confiscated by a suspicious police officer, they would conceal them in public places, retrieving them only when they were about to commit a crime.
(They were called "community" guns because one gun was often shared by several criminals.)
Why wasn't this used more? The obvious reason; to make it work in New York, the police officers had to stop many young black and Hispanic men. That the program also saved the lives of hundreds in the same groups was not considered a sufficient reason to keep it.
Was it sometimes abused? Since police officers are, like the rest fo us, human, I'm sure it was.
I'm certainly no pro second amendment nut, but there is a productive side discussion to be had about the factors, other than the very existence of guns, that have driven this, really quite recent, acceleration.
Edit: a separate list from dixiedean's
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_school_shootings_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
In 1975, while my folks were doing some shopping, my 13 yr old brother and I wandered into the gunshop next to the supermarket. When my folks found us, my brother was handling a Thompson sub-machine gun, and the shop owner was asking us if he wanted to take it to his shooting range.
Get your shit together.
That is all.
I say that; Barry Lyndon is similar and of course was filmed by Kubrick. I believe it was panned at the time but some now regard it as his masterpiece.
It will be a really stupid idea when the Government does it.
Utterly counterproductive but this tired socialist Government hasn't got a clue.
If all we're going to get washed up Labour policies and Gordon Brown's favourite tax rises, why not just have the real deal doing it and let the Tories sort themselves out in Opposition.
The council was controlled by a Conservative and Scottish National Party (SNP) coalition until late 2013, when the resignation of seven Conservative councillors left the coalition without an outright majority.[40] The council was then controlled from October 2013 by a Labour and SNP coalition[41] until June 2014, when the SNP left due to concerns about how a decision was taken to site a learning hub in Dumfries.[42] The council was then run by a minority administration led by Scottish Labour and Craig Peacock, an Independent, until the 2017 elections.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dumfries_and_Galloway
Having kept an occasional eye on Scottish / Welsh LG coalitions over the years, it is genuinely very variable.
The standard UC after rent for single under 25's is £ 265.31 per calendar month.
For over 25's is £ 334.91.
The average energy bill from October is predicted to be £233.33 per calendar month.
This is not sustainable.
Regardless of any fucker's pension fund.
America is often an inspiration, but also a warning.
It seemed to have little effect on the overall murder rate, but may have had effect on limiting mass shootings.
It won’t raise much but every little helps.
The immediate fiscal priority must be to reverse the universal credit cuts.
Social media plays a part because a would-be shooter can easily make a statement now that will bypass attempts to censor them, they can also find idiots who will egg them on and endorse the justification of such attacks, and they can even find a live audience now by streaming their attacks.
Those are side issues though, lots of gun leads to lots of shootings of all types.
https://www.slowboring.com/p/eriic-adams-stop-frisk?s=r
Nothing will change. Nothing ever will.
But lets tell women they can't control their own bodies because life is sacred, or something or other.