Vote Green, go Blue? – politicalbetting.com
Vote Green, go Blue? – politicalbetting.com
% of current Green voters who say they are very/fairly likely to consider voting instead for…29% – Labour20% – Lib Dem6% – Conservative 6% – Other5% – SNP3% – Plaid2% – Reform UKhttps://t.co/e9z88SD4OP pic.twitter.com/QV9mZ2mC9z
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Wotta lotta slugabeds.
Oh. Wordle.
Wordle 337 4/6
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Looking at the Oz result, I'd say it's going to be about continuity, and how quickly extra spending from Covid can be wound down.
I wonder if the same could happen here, despite all the shouting
Hmm. Got error messages when I try to load either Betfair or Ladbrokes. Other pages seem to be working fine. Anyone else finding that?
A relative of Mrs J has just got something that sounds suspiciously like Monkey Pox, during a trip to Switzerland. She's getting better now.
It'll be interesting to find out if it was or not, especially as I don't think any cases have been reported in either Turkey or Switzerland...
Interestingly, the lady in question does not seem to fit the rumoured demographic for this outbreak.
(*) If it was, indeed, monkey pox. Other relatives are being somewhat coy about it, but the symptoms appear the same ...
Hopefully it's nothing serious, and she's on the mend.
(Hopefully I'm not going all Leon on this...)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/05/21/tory-windfall-tax-row-widens-two-cabinet-ministers-reject-policy/
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/05/21/stock-market-crash-has-just-begun/
It's probably too late now to save things by ditching the oaf at the top. The more he ramps up the culture wars and whips the Daily Mail into propaganda, the more hardened but smaller their voter base will become. We've seen this all before and it NEVER works.
Prepare for a landslide defeat.
I have not made a fortune betting.
Looks like a bubble to me.
So life has changed again.
However, most of the blue-tit chicks seem fit and healthy!
And, indeed, could have been worse. Only my glasses are broken, no bones!
And thanks to all for the sympathy and good wishes!
Do take care.
xx
I'm wondering if the somewhat critical posts below are from people who didn't actually read the article ...!
My mother had a similar fall a few weeks ago. Mostly better now, but not quite as fast at walking as she was. Hope you make a swift recovery.
Still confounded by why betting sites won't load (tried Chrome and that's got the same problem). I haven't changed any settings but suddenly they won't appear.
It shakes one up a bit too.
x
LEICESTER IS BACK!
If (say) Labour are losing votes in Hackney but gaining in Southampton, that's useful for them.
Thanks.
Have a nice day x
https://www.woodlandtrust.org.uk/trees-woods-and-wildlife/plants/wild-flowers/early-purple-orchid/
Does anyone know how rare they are?
I'm sure you're all dying to hear my F1 tip for the race... which I shall start work on.
The other thing that I notice is that there isn't much of the current Lab/LD/Green vote that would consider voting Tory. Not much room for swingback if you take people at their word.
Mine was also pathetic. A loss of concentration and lack of grip underfoot but the really pathetic part was falling onto my chest ... in the pocket of which was my mobile phone. It was that which broke the rib.
I suppose if I had been walking whilst looking at political betting I wouldn't have broken a bone
This doesn't need a great deal of percipience. Asset prices have been inflated by very low interest rates and a lack of decent alternatives resulting in lower returns. That is now changing but there will be winners as well as losers in a high inflation world. Companies which have been struggling under debt burdens they were struggling to service will find things quite a bit easier. Those with cash to burn will be anxious to spend it, perhaps on a rival, before it falls even further in value.
What I think we are seeing is some fairly short term memory problems. 2008-2021 was not normal. It was positively weird. We are heading back to somewhere more like what was "normal" for most of my adult life.
What people don't know about the town is that the former wharfside buildings (now separated from the river by a road) are preserved and there are rabbit warren passages and little court yards with interesting watering holes. Our usual one has new owners, has had a massive mad makeover and appears to have gone full hipster. Did I mention this is Stockton? Its baffling.
Does make me laugh though. Local Tories (when the Vickers crew aren't fighting with the Houchen crew) were opposed to the council spending money reviving the town centre. Against the council building this hotel. Against the council regenerating and reopening The Globe. Never any alternative proposal, just "waste of money" accusations. And yet here we with a thriving nightlife and a theatre and hotel that regularly sell out and hipster bars offering pre-theatre drinks at London prices...
Best wishes to OKC!
It amazes me too how they get mobbed by the crows.
I suggest this is because the Horror that is Woke is much further advanced in the USA than anywhere else, but it is spreading quickly in the UK, Canada, Oz, and is now creeping into the EU
Tempus fugit for us and I hope you recover very quickly
I'm not sure this is where I should raise the subject of my VPN usage again but every once in a while it does allow you to read an article for free ...
Not something I make a habit of. Obvs.
Looking at equities, my portfolio is about 40/60 UK vs RoW. The RoW bit is down about 15% over the last 6 months, the UK bit 5% but to keep in proportion the RoW one is just back where it was a year ago.
The US and European markets had a rise over the last couple of years that always looked a bit of a bubble, particularly tech stocks, but the UK mostly avoided that.
Annoying too, as that was something I was thinking of backing.
No booze, just an excellent cappuccino
I note that Australia has just booted out the right. I suspect, fairly strongly, that voters are turning left as usually happens during an economic downturn which the Right have failed to stem.
The cost of living crisis is going to do for the Conservatives but the likelihood, or inevitability according to the Telegraph, of recession will really screw them. Hence why I think a landslide defeat is on the cards.
Appealing to culture wars in a time of economic crisis is a well-worn tactic. It might have worked in Germany in the 1930s but recent history suggests it won't now.
Good morning!
x
The BSBI have public (although low resolution) maps available :
https://bsbi.org/maps?taxonid=2cd4p9h.caq
For the time being. Same with Newcastle yesterday. When the cost of living crisis truly bites hospitality will be devastated. Discretionary spend will fall off a cliff.
I spotted a Long-eared owl this time last year which I think is one of my rarest UK sightings. I suppose the Golden Eagle in the Highlands was rarer still.
What is the rarest flora or fauna to have been sighted by others in the UK?
Nasty. Hope you get well sharpish
On the subject of falls, I was walking around a monastery in Meteora a couple of days ago and I saw a fit, healthy thirty something Asian-American woman take a tremendous clattering fall, onto hard stone, scattering all her cameras and bags and everything - because she missed just one step
Luckily she got away with a sprained ankle and a big scare (for everyone: it looked horrific) but she was inches away from a smashed face, lost teeth, broken bones - and maybe something worse. A fall onto stone can severely injure or kill you - a friend of mine got frontal lobe brain damage exactly this way (he was sober, BTW, but a bit frail from an illness, hence the fall)
We are all moments from disaster. Eat drink and be merry, and scatter ye rosebuds
Quietly, almost disinterestedly, the country was moving on and a rump of sad old men were getting left behind.
Socially the country has virtually no interest in the things which vex the Daily Mail.
By contrast they DO have a great deal of interest in how to make ends meet, to feed the kids, fill the car, and pay the energy bills. Compared to that whether a person wishes to call themselves Sheila or Shaun is of no relevance or interest.
Two leading articles, the second of which says politics will be greener, more feminine and more emphatically Australian before calling Morrison a small-T Trump.
And people say this organisation has no bias.
Economically, things are never as good as they seem, nor as bad as they seem. I think the external inflationary pressures will pass fairly quickly.
On the face of it the direction of travel is to the conservatives experiencing a heavy defeat in 24
I watch in dismay as they put their fingers in their ears and just cannot decide on how to address this cost of living crisis, as people are experiencing rising costs that are frightening them, and they need their government to be on their side, which at present they are not
The only caution I would make is that a RMT rail strike led by 3 Putin apologists paralysing the country would play into Boris's hands (or whoever is conservative leader) and at the same time Rishi comes to his senses and delivers a fair and sensible package of measures to address some of the worst effects of our current col crisis could well change the narrative
Rest up, and get well soon. My thoughts are with you.
Egyptian Goose also comer to think of that (though the last was nesting about 2m from the visitor centre shop at Rutland Water reserve).
As a Left-leaner the thought of a national rail strike fills me with political dread, for the very reason you suggest.
It could play right into Boris' hands.
Ominous - the Ferraris were chewing through tyres.
I’d put a wager on the one of the Mercedes getting a podium. Seem to be back in the game (albeit too late for this years championship, but does show their concept not to be a dud)
If you want to see something rare in the UK take a trip to the Yorkshire coast to see the northern hemisphere's only known albatross. They might not be rare in the global scheme of things but it will save you a trip to the Falklands!
Fantastic to watch it skimming the waves (if you are lucky). It hangs out with the local gannets at Bempton.
eg there is no way I would join the board of a morning and make some random, tiny, aimless yet spiteful aside about a poster not even present. Simply wouldn't occur to me. Not in my nature.
Yet it is in yours. Something to ponder, I suggest
I was in hospital for quite a bit of the run up to that election and saw much more daytime TV than I normally would. Major was very, very good at answering questions with enough technical detail to show his knowledge as a previous Chancellor. Kinnock meant well but his answers came across as vacuous. Even the unemployed gave the Tories a fair share of the vote on the basis that they were more likely to increase employment.
Boris, of course, doesn't have anything like that technical knowledge and blusters like Kinnock. He may come to regret undermining Rishi with the public. But Labour still have to seal the deal. I don't think that they have yet.
As for the shades, I lose a set a month (seriously) so I buy them from supermarkets, for about £5. I'm not the narcissistic label-flaunting type, obvs
Betting PostF1: backed Russell to win hs group at 3.8 (Sainz, Perez, Hamilton). He starts 4th, ahead of the latter two and behind Sainz.
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2022/05/spain-pre-race-2022.html
Also contained in my blog is a short ramble about the slightly counter-intuitive odds on Verstappen to lead lap 1 and Leclerc to win the race (which makes me think the latter is tempting).
We had a mole in our garden for a while at our former house. Tried all sorts to get rid of it, in vain. Eventually the cat caught it.
Played with it for a bit, as cats do, with my wife urging 'kill, kill'!
Eventually, in any sensibly functioning democracy, you run out of road. But Boris has certainly pressed the pedal to the floor and careered the car to the end of the track heedless of collateral damage along the way.
However, @Leon, to describe yourself as a saint on this forum really is to stretch things a little far. Some of your (mostly late night) rants can be really vicious and full of invective in my opinion. And you did precisely what you say you wouldn't the other day: you had a nasty dig at me, even using the @ sign, when I wasn't even on the forum. So please no moral high ground.
You are no nicer than I but we cause a spark of electricity because of our very different perspectives on life.
And your travel blogs irritate me a) because they're boastful and b) because I'm jealous.
Actually, the real problem for me is that I've spent much of my life travelling and right now I can't so it's more deep envy. And vicarious annoyance.
etc.
Verstappen's record so far is win or DNF, so you may be right. But passing here is hard. Raikkonen had a clearly faster car in 2016 but Verstappen kept the Finn behind him for 40 odds laps (to secure my 251 winning tip).