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Some positive Survation Red Wall polling for LAB – politicalbetting.com

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  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Leon said:

    I did the Orkneys with my same older daughter (now 15) last summer. It was fab. But we stayed in john o groats so we could also tour the mainland

    It’s a cliche but that drive around the top of Scotland is truly amazing (again we got lucky with the weather)

    John o groats itself is so hideous it’s funny. Likewise Wick and the flow country. But that makes it quite a cheap place to stay….
    The Flow Country has a beauty that only a Philistine would not recognise. Generally not full of tourists and journalists too.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    You might want to sell the benefits to those that were repossessed back in the day when it happened before.

    A large part of Group 5 does not lose, because they are often in group 1. They may use the situation to buy more property.

    The ideal situation would be house price stagnation, allowing salaries to catch up. House price collapse causes major disruption and stimulates recession. It is why successive governments desperately try to avoid it.
    Successive governments avoid it because older people own homes, are addicted to house price inflation, and are by far the most consistent at actually turning out to vote.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,489
    edited May 2022
    MaxPB said:

    Very unreliable in planes, turns them into ticking time bombs and when the first one falls out of the sky from earlier than expected part failure everyone stops flying.
    I presumed that was the case. Haven't they got their own domestic plane production these days, I presume they got flog some of those to Russia.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,939
    edited May 2022
    The other thing about this Red Wall definition is that it ignores the majority of the North. (Labour still has the most seats in each of the three northern regions, contrary to the impression most commentators not from the area give).
    All 12 in Tyne and Wear for example. What is happening in these seats is just as important. The issues of Hartlepool and Jarrow (not Red Wall), have already been raised.
    Thus. Half of County Durham and half of Teesside is Red Wall. The other half isn't.
    Well-to-do Bury is. Wigan isn't. Wakefield constituency is. The other 2/3rds of Wakefield MBC isn't.
    It's a nonsense really.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Successive governments avoid it because older people own homes, are addicted to house price inflation, and are by far the most consistent at actually turning out to vote.
    To some extent true, but also of concern was that the people who got burned last time were middle income families. But as Bart thinks, hey fuck 'em, let the market decide.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    The Flow Country has a beauty that only a Philistine would not recognise. Generally not full of tourists and journalists too.
    Indeed. And a certain Lowry loved Wick and came back again and again to paint it.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    Farooq said:

    BN in good weather is fine but the bit you have to watch out for is the Red Burn crossing. If that's frozen over it's really quite dangerous. If you're up the mountain in summer season on a weekend, even when the clouds come in there are so many people up there it's possible to navigate just by sheer numbers of people. The same does not apply during quieter times and getting lost up there is remarkably easy.
    It's a gruelling climb and for the safest experience go there late in the summer when you're less likely to have much snow up top. I've seen very young children with no experience manage the whole climb, but 7 really on the young side of it.
    Yes, BN would be too much, especially in October. She can do a 300m ascent, but I wouldn't push her much more than that. I reckon my oldest two could do it on a good day - one for another year.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    To some extent true, but also of concern was that the people who got burned last time were middle income families. But as Bart thinks, hey fuck 'em, let the market decide.
    The point I am making is yes there are winners and losers. But there are equally winners and losers with the status quo of high house price inflation.

    There is nothing unfair about switching things around so that some of the losers of the last couple of decades get to win in the next decade.

    Whatever path is chosen, some people will lose out and it would be tough for them, but someone has to lose regardless.
  • To some extent true, but also of concern was that the people who got burned last time were middle income families. But as Bart thinks, hey fuck 'em, let the market decide.
    Which do you think has caused more misery in the past thirty years - people struggling due to negative equity, or people struggling to pay their rent or save a deposit against ever increasing house prices? Don't the latter matter to you at all?

    But as you think, hey fuck 'em, investments should only ever go up in value.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    dixiedean said:

    The other thing about this Red Wall definition is that it ignores the majority of the North. (Labour still has the most seats in each of the three northern regions, contrary to the impression most commentators not from the area give).
    All 12 in Tyne and Wear for example. What is happening in these seats is just as important. The issues of Hartlepool and Jarrow (not Red Wall, have already been raised).
    Thus. Half of County Durham and half of Teesside is Red Wall. The other half isn't.
    Well-to-do Bury is. Wigan isn't. Wakefield constituency is. The other 2/3rds of Wakefield MBC isn't.
    It's a nonsense really.

    The media tend to really mean anywhere they expect people to wear flat caps and walk whippets whilst displaying their famous hospitality and voting tribally labour.
    Not Islington or Pebble Mill basically.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319
    edited May 2022

    Can the Chinese make knock-off parts for Airbus and Boeing?
    Yes and shitloads of them. Usually not whole LRUs but smaller electronic components. The US DoD once estimated they had over 100,000 counterfeit parts (installed on their C-130 and C-17 fleets) that had made their way into the supply chain.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    Which do you think has caused more misery in the past thirty years - people struggling due to negative equity, or people struggling to pay their rent or save a deposit against ever increasing house prices? Don't the latter matter to you at all?

    But as you think, hey fuck 'em, investments should only ever go up in value.
    Come now, it's OGH's birthday, you two go and talk about recipes or trains or something.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815

    To some extent true, but also of concern was that the people who got burned last time were middle income families. But as Bart thinks, hey fuck 'em, let the market decide.
    We must be approaching a point though where high house prices hurt more people than a drop in house prices would hurt?
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,536
    On Wes Streeting, he's nearly as old as Tony Blair was when he became leader of the Labour Party, yet it doesn't feel like that. I'm not sure if it hurts his chances, but he just doesn't come across as a "proper grown up" who might be about to become Leader of the Opposition.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,296
    Off Topic

    Paging BigG.

    Sky making a bit of a scene over Priti Patel congratulating Richard Holden for his Starmer "gotcha". I may be wrong, but I haven't noticed you bigging this up like you were Kay Burley's hatchet job on Starmer.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    AlistairM said:

    Seen this article on the BBC about how Russia has so far managed to soften the impact of sanctions: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-61381241

    One of the things I have noticed is that Russian airlines are still flying around in their Boeings and Airbuses. I thought that they were not going to be able to repair them due to lack of spare parts? Or are they just running through what they have left and slowly they will have to be taken out of service? Interested if anyone has any ideas on this.

    Western planes leased to Russian airlines and registered outside Russia, have had their leases and registrations cancelled.

    The Russian government has given them permission to fly inside Russia, but they’ll soon be out of spares and will have to start cannibalising them to keep them serviceable. Perhaps they can find some dodgy Chinese fake spares, these do exist.

    If they land outside Russia, they’ll be immediately repossessed by the banks. Russian airlines are flying to a few interenational destinations who have not imposed sanctions, but are doing so with Russian owned and built aircraft.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Which do you think has caused more misery in the past thirty years - people struggling due to negative equity, or people struggling to pay their rent or save a deposit against ever increasing house prices? Don't the latter matter to you at all?

    But as you think, hey fuck 'em, investments should only ever go up in value.
    In the dog-eat-dog world that you would like for the rest, reflect on the fact that if you want something you just need to get on your bike a Norman once said. Owning a house is not essential Bart. Don't beat yourself up so much.
  • eekeek Posts: 29,735
    Cookie said:

    We must be approaching a point though where high house prices hurt more people than a drop in house prices would hurt?
    Approaching? - in some parts of the country that's been the case since 2002....
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061
    Cookie said:

    Yes, BN would be too much, especially in October. She can do a 300m ascent, but I wouldn't push her much more than that. I reckon my oldest two could do it on a good day - one for another year.
    To take in everything suggested, I recommend a stay in the Cluanie Inn on the A87 to Skye. Plenty of bracing walks amazing views, out in the wilds with nothing much about and a shortish drive from Skye and the Loch Ness fun and games
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,635

    Surely the logic of Burnham is if Labour loses the next election many of the current leadership team will be party to it. Burnham returning as an MP can say he was no part of it.

    After the next election, the leadership contest would start... and Burnham would have no seat.

    So he would have to return as an MP before Labour loses the next election.
    And where is the vacancy for him to come in?

    I think it's extremely unlikely.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Cookie said:

    We must be approaching a point though where high house prices hurt more people than a drop in house prices would hurt?
    In London and the South East that has been the case for at least a decade, also the same in nice coastal areas albeit for different reasons.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    edited May 2022

    If there's no chance of a Lab/LD coalition that doesn't bode well for Starmer as PM 2024. (Or, more likely, early 2025.)
    Agreed. If SLab can’t even work with their best pals the SLDs then there is no hope for them. With nearly every Scottish council being NOC it would exclude SLab from every administration except West Dunbartonshire.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Carnyx said:

    Indeed. And a certain Lowry loved Wick and came back again and again to paint it.
    You force me to link this once again

    “I’d rather risk beheading by Taliban than live in Wick”

    https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/8113251/afghanistan-refugee-taliban-scotland/
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Cookie said:

    We must be approaching a point though where high house prices hurt more people than a drop in house prices would hurt?
    Possibly, but any government that was seen to enact policies that caused repossessions would be out of office quicker than they could say free market.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815

    In London and the South East that has been the case for at least a decade, also the same in nice coastal areas albeit for different reasons.
    Even the Telegraph now reports increases in house price with ambivalence nowadays.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Leon said:

    You force me to link this once again

    “I’d rather risk beheading by Taliban than live in Wick”

    https://www.thescottishsun.co.uk/news/8113251/afghanistan-refugee-taliban-scotland/
    That was, actually, not about Wick per se but the lack of Afghans there already. It is not a large place, any more than you would find many Camdenites in a small rural centre up the Panjshir Valley.

    As for you yourself: Quot homines tot sententiae: suus cuique mos.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    edited May 2022
    Cookie said:

    On a similar question, by youngest daughter has recently got a real bee in her bonnet about going to Scotland. She wants to see a mountain and a castle and a Highland Cow. Which is all very nice, but she is only seven and too small for munro bagging or too much history all in one go. Still, I'd like to take her (and her sisters, 10 and 12, and my wife) to Scotland in October. Somewhere with things to do for moderately active pre-teen girls, and somewhere where they can take in the scale of the place and be suitably awestruck. Any thoughts?
    I would suggest Glencoe. It has an excellent castle, the hidden valley is not too strenuous a walk and the countryside is probably the best in the UK (if you like mountains). The visitor centre is quite good too.
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 14,319
    Sandpit said:


    If they land outside Russia, they’ll be immediately repossessed by the banks. Russian airlines are flying to a few interenational destinations who have not imposed sanctions, but are doing so with Russian owned and built aircraft.

    SU have been operating them to countries on the Don't-Give-A-Fuck Axis like India, Turkey and China.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited May 2022

    Agreed. If SLab can’t even work with their best pals the SLDs then there is no hope for them. With nearly every Scottish council being NOC it would exclude SLab from every administration except West Dunbartonshire.
    Ironic really considering that Labour's policy for Scotland was to rely on eternal Slab-SLD coalitions. Hence the Holyrood and, IIRC, local gmt voting systems.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    eek said:

    Approaching? - in some parts of the country that's been the case since 2002....
    Well I agree. But it's easy to underestimate the number of homeowners who like to see the value of their investments rise. Even so, it feels to me that this has finally topped out - almost no-one now welcomes house price increases in a way that they did in the 2000s and even in the 2010s.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,489
    I hope nobody was stupid enough to buy into the whole Terra Luna ecosystem....
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Carnyx said:

    Remember when Slab would veto their own proposals at Holyrood and collapse the budget just because the SNP administration had put them in the budget at their request?
    I sometimes think we’re nice to them just to wind them up.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    The Flow Country has a beauty that only a Philistine would not recognise. Generally not full of tourists and journalists too.
    Really? I think it is one of the dullest parts of Scotland, if not the UK. There are excellent reasons why it has really few visitors and it is a hell of a long way from anywhere. If you like your isolation really profound then fair enough but for your average 7 year old...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    I sometimes think we’re nice to them just to wind them up.
    What's the Scots for Schadenfreude?
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Carnyx said:

    That was, actually, not about Wick per se but the lack of Afghans there already. It is not a large place, any more than you would find many Camdenites in a small rural centre up the Panjshir Valley.

    As for you yourself: Quot homines tot sententiae: suus cuique mos.
    My older daughter and I now have an excellent private joke. Whenever we encounter something awful or terrible or dire we look at each other and say “but at least we’re not in…. Wick”
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    DavidL said:

    Really? I think it is one of the dullest parts of Scotland, if not the UK. There are excellent reasons why it has really few visitors and it is a hell of a long way from anywhere. If you like your isolation really profound then fair enough but for your average 7 year old...
    Agreed re the marshlands proper. But the Old Red Sandstone tablelands of Caithness as a whole plus Orkney are actually much better than many realise - as Leon discovered, his views on harling apart. The area's entire gestalt is so unique to itself.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Leon said:

    My older daughter and I now have an excellent private joke. Whenever we encounter something awful or terrible or dire we look at each other and say “but at least we’re not in…. Wick”
    It's odd, but the thought of living in Camden fills me with agitated horror! Still, full credit to you for making it up there.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Leon said:

    My older daughter and I now have an excellent private joke. Whenever we encounter something awful or terrible or dire we look at each other and say “but at least we’re not in…. Wick”
    You haven't heard what the private joke is from the people of Wick.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Carnyx said:

    Ironic really considering that Labour's policy for Scotland was to rely on eternal Slab-SLD coalitions. Hence the Holyrood and, IIRC, local gmt voting systems.
    The close personal friendships between Donald Dewar, Gordon Brown, Robin Cook, George Robertson et al and Menzies Campbell, Charlie Kennedy, David Steel, Malcolm Bruce et al is now ancient history. Those guys worked as a proper team. I’m sure that Anas and Alex do talk to each other, but I find it very hard to believe that they are chums outwith the office.
  • FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 10,022
    rkrkrk said:

    After the next election, the leadership contest would start... and Burnham would have no seat.

    So he would have to return as an MP before Labour loses the next election.
    And where is the vacancy for him to come in?

    I think it's extremely unlikely.
    He's quite likely to stand though?
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,955

    I hope nobody was stupid enough to buy into the whole Terra Luna ecosystem....

    Indeed - it's this year's bitconnect. The 20% yield was a huge giveaway that it was a ponzi waiting to explode.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    DavidL said:

    Really? I think it is one of the dullest parts of Scotland, if not the UK. There are excellent reasons why it has really few visitors and it is a hell of a long way from anywhere. If you like your isolation really profound then fair enough but for your average 7 year old...
    Not for the average 7 year old unless they enjoy wilderness and nature.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254
    Sounds a bit like what Cameron wanted a decade ago.....
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Sounds a bit like what Cameron wanted a decade ago.....
    If it had been offered as a third choice it would have probably got a majority
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,489
    edited May 2022
    kyf_100 said:

    Indeed - it's this year's bitconnect. The 20% yield was a huge giveaway that it was a ponzi waiting to explode.
    Not just predicted yield, but guaranteed yield. 20% come what may, what could possibly go wrong.....Bernie Madoff-esque.
  • I hope nobody was stupid enough to buy into the whole Terra Luna ecosystem....

    Investments can go down as well as up.

    Especially when those investments are in a Ponzi scheme.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 24,254

    If it had been offered as a third choice it would have probably got a majority
    Not sure that many people would rank it their first choice, but something like this would have satisficed 80%+ of the country in a way that neither remain or hard Brexit can.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    Carnyx said:

    It's odd, but the thought of living in Camden fills me with agitated horror! Still, full credit to you for making it up there.
    Wick does manage to make John O Groats vaguely tolerable. Which it isn’t, really

    Beyond the marshes the Far North of Scotland is indeed terrific. Better the further west you go

    It’s majestic in any weather - except maybe intense mist when you can’t see anything - but if you catch a bright blue summer’s day it is epic. Britain does not have many world class landscapes - the beauty is usually quieter - but that’s one of them

    Trying to think of others.

    Hebrides throughout

    Cornwall arguably has two: west penwith. Then the UNESCO listed tinning areas.

    Dorset at its intricate hilly best down to Lyme?

    The Lakes I guess

    Herefordshire hard by the Welsh border maybe? But I might be biased. Grew up in Herefordshire

    After that, hmmm
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356

    If it had been offered as a third choice it would have probably got a majority
    There wouldn't have been much point in doing that since the EU rejected the idea.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    The close personal friendships between Donald Dewar, Gordon Brown, Robin Cook, George Robertson et al and Menzies Campbell, Charlie Kennedy, David Steel, Malcolm Bruce et al is now ancient history. Those guys worked as a proper team. I’m sure that Anas and Alex do talk to each other, but I find it very hard to believe that they are chums outwith the office.
    Anas doesnt appear to like anyone except Anas
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620

    The close personal friendships between Donald Dewar, Gordon Brown, Robin Cook, George Robertson et al and Menzies Campbell, Charlie Kennedy, David Steel, Malcolm Bruce et al is now ancient history. Those guys worked as a proper team. I’m sure that Anas and Alex do talk to each other, but I find it very hard to believe that they are chums outwith the office.
    It's still an odd decision by Slab. NOC, as others have said, is almsot inevitable. You don't get to demonstrate your power to fix things. Okay, so they don't get contaminated by the Tories, or by the SNP, but the LDs?

    And what was Mr Sarwar doing being so relaxed about the Aberdeen cooncillors who went all Labour going on junior Tory and got suspended, if he now comes out with this? Come to think of it, does anyone know what is happening in Aberdeen re the Slab-Tory alliance?

  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,489

    Investments can go down as well as up.

    Especially when those investments are in a Ponzi scheme.
    Yes but what about the super clever algo stability ;-) ....that will result in a guaranteed 20% yield regardless of market conditions.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,564

    Getting better at Wordle...

    Wordle 326 3/6

    🟨⬜⬜🟨⬜
    🟩🟨🟨🟨⬜
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩

    Been struggling with my success rate on Quordle, so I got together a standard first 4 words covering 20 separate letters and that has been helping. (I don't necessarily have to use all 4).

    I'll leave it at that, and let anyone interested imagine or come up with 4 such five letter words if they fancy.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Carnyx said:

    Agreed re the marshlands proper. But the Old Red Sandstone tablelands of Caithness as a whole plus Orkney are actually much better than many realise - as Leon discovered, his views on harling apart. The area's entire gestalt is so unique to itself.
    It is a little like something I heard said of the East Anglian Fens: It is easy to appreciate hills and mountains, but you have to be a real connoisseur to love the fens.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Carnyx said:

    Agreed re the marshlands proper. But the Old Red Sandstone tablelands of Caithness as a whole plus Orkney are actually much better than many realise - as Leon discovered, his views on harling apart. The area's entire gestalt is so unique to itself.
    A good friend of mine just had a week as a Sheriff in Orkney. Absolutely loved it, especially Scara Brae. I have never made it that far but it is definitely on my bucket list. I have a proof in Lerwick in the summer which I am kinda hoping won't settle...
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Carnyx said:

    What's the Scots for Schadenfreude?
    Getitrightupye!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,360
    DavidL said:

    I would suggest Glencoe. It has an excellent castle, the hidden valley is not too strenuous a walk and the countryside is probably the best in the UK (if you like mountains). The visitor centre is quite good too.
    And if you stay at Kingshouse, she can have the best experience of Scottish midges!

    (I think they've renovated the Kingshouse Hotel in the last few years; anyone know if it's lost its (ahem) character?
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    Pro_Rata said:

    Been struggling with my success rate on Quordle, so I got together a standard first 4 words covering 20 separate letters and that has been helping. (I don't necessarily have to use all 4).

    I'll leave it at that, and let anyone interested imagine or come up with 4 such five letter words if they fancy.
    I generally start Wordle with 'Early' and Quordle with 'Early, Pitch, Mound'. That covers the vowels and generally enough to get me going.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    DavidL said:

    A good friend of mine just had a week as a Sheriff in Orkney. Absolutely loved it, especially Scara Brae. I have never made it that far but it is definitely on my bucket list. I have a proof in Lerwick in the summer which I am kinda hoping won't settle...
    The only negative for me with that area is the fecking midges, but then you can get those anywhere in Scotland or northern Europe
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Farooq said:

    Just winding up your political opponents for its own sake is not a healthy goal.
    Not a goal, but it provides amusement.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    Leon said:

    Wick does manage to make John O Groats vaguely tolerable. Which it isn’t, really

    Beyond the marshes the Far North of Scotland is indeed terrific. Better the further west you go

    It’s majestic in any weather - except maybe intense mist when you can’t see anything - but if you catch a bright blue summer’s day it is epic. Britain does not have many world class landscapes - the beauty is usually quieter - but that’s one of them

    Trying to think of others.

    Hebrides throughout

    Cornwall arguably has two: west penwith. Then the UNESCO listed tinning areas.

    Dorset at its intricate hilly best down to Lyme?

    The Lakes I guess

    Herefordshire hard by the Welsh border maybe? But I might be biased. Grew up in Herefordshire

    After that, hmmm
    I don't like JoG either - but in any case if the bairn wants to be the northernmost person in the island of Britain, Duncansby Head is the place to go.

    Go beyond Lyme a bit more to the Landslip complex and Beer Head ... and there is, I agree, a lot to be said for the tract from Bredon Hill over to the west. The views from Worcestershire Beacon or Hay Bluff.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 18,350

    Possibly, but any government that was seen to enact policies that caused repossessions would be out of office quicker than they could say free market.
    And that is part of the problem.

    Yes, high house prices are a drag on the whole economy; The House Price Theory of Everything (Bad) is pretty compelling.

    No, we can't carry on like this.

    But doing the right thing for the hive will be politically suicidal, and will wipe some people out completely. Mostly youngish homeowners with hefty mortgages, who aren't really to blame for this. And that ought to give us all pause for thought.
  • Yes but what about the super clever algo stability ;-) ....that will result in a guaranteed 20% yield regardless of market conditions.
    It has to be stable, the founder has been able to extract billions from those who invested into it and how could he do that if it wasn't stable?
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146

    And if you stay at Kingshouse, she can have the best experience of Scottish midges!

    (I think they've renovated the Kingshouse Hotel in the last few years; anyone know if it's lost its (ahem) character?
    Yes. It’s now an horrific carbuncle. A tragedy.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    And that is part of the problem.

    Yes, high house prices are a drag on the whole economy; The House Price Theory of Everything (Bad) is pretty compelling.

    No, we can't carry on like this.

    But doing the right thing for the hive will be politically suicidal, and will wipe some people out completely. Mostly youngish homeowners with hefty mortgages, who aren't really to blame for this. And that ought to give us all pause for thought.
    Bart says caveat emptor and fuck em.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,620
    edited May 2022

    And if you stay at Kingshouse, she can have the best experience of Scottish midges!

    (I think they've renovated the Kingshouse Hotel in the last few years; anyone know if it's lost its (ahem) character?
    October should be OK midge-wise? But take some Avon Skin So Soft anyway,for the wind etc. as well.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    DavidL said:

    A good friend of mine just had a week as a Sheriff in Orkney. Absolutely loved it, especially Scara Brae. I have never made it that far but it is definitely on my bucket list. I have a proof in Lerwick in the summer which I am kinda hoping won't settle...
    The standing stones and circles of Orkney are also hugely impressive. Not quite Callanish or Stonehenge, let alone Karahan Tepe, but still wow

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 45,360
    An interesting thread on why Ukraine's shut down a gas pipeline to Europe. As excuses go, it sounds reasonable and plausible, but IANAE.

    https://twitter.com/exit266/status/1524291377479094272
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,073
    What’s happened to Beergate? It’s not on any of the front pages. It’s not on any of the news pages.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html

    I’ve been over mailonline twice, it must be there somewhere 🤷‍♀️ Isn’t this the week Starmer gets hounded everywhere “are you going to resign if you get a FPN you fucking hypocrite?”

    What’s going on? Do you think the police would investigate a missing Beergate?
  • Bart says caveat emptor and fuck em.
    Bart says not fixing the problem hurts and wipes out even more people than who will be hurt when their investments go down instead of up.

    There's harm either way, but you say fuck 'em to the others. Without even being able to say caveat emptor to them.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    And if you stay at Kingshouse, she can have the best experience of Scottish midges!

    (I think they've renovated the Kingshouse Hotel in the last few years; anyone know if it's lost its (ahem) character?
    When I have been over there in recent years I have stayed at the Isles of Glencoe hotel which is good and has a brilliant location. When I was much younger and into hillwalking we once camped out in the glen in late summer. I am not sure what the bastards ate before I came along.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,356
    .

    And that is part of the problem.

    Yes, high house prices are a drag on the whole economy; The House Price Theory of Everything (Bad) is pretty compelling.

    No, we can't carry on like this.

    But doing the right thing for the hive will be politically suicidal, and will wipe some people out completely. Mostly youngish homeowners with hefty mortgages, who aren't really to blame for this. And that ought to give us all pause for thought.
    Showing my ignorance here, but isn't negative equity only an issue if you want to move house?
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Carnyx said:

    October should be OK midge-wise? But take some Avon Skin So Soft anyway,for the wind etc. as well.
    Yep, the best solution there is!
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,478
    Mr. Foremain, I commented on that yesterday. Think it's an interesting idea, although the detail will be what matters.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    edited May 2022
    Leon said:

    Wick does manage to make John O Groats vaguely tolerable. Which it isn’t, really

    Beyond the marshes the Far North of Scotland is indeed terrific. Better the further west you go

    It’s majestic in any weather - except maybe intense mist when you can’t see anything - but if you catch a bright blue summer’s day it is epic. Britain does not have many world class landscapes - the beauty is usually quieter - but that’s one of them

    Trying to think of others.

    Hebrides throughout

    Cornwall arguably has two: west penwith. Then the UNESCO listed tinning areas.

    Dorset at its intricate hilly best down to Lyme?

    The Lakes I guess

    Herefordshire hard by the Welsh border maybe? But I might be biased. Grew up in Herefordshire

    After that, hmmm
    The Lake 'I guess'?

    I'd also add the Yorkshire Dales. Particularly Wharfedale and Swaledale and their tributaries.

    But even in the Lakes and the Dales, while there is beauty - as much beauty as any landscape in the world, to my eyes - it's a homely, cosy, lived-in beauty, in contrast to what the north of Scotland offers us. I'd also add in Loch Linnhe/Loch Eil to your Scottish landscapes, which is I think the most sublime scenery I have ever come across.

    I'd say this is all pretty good for a country which in terms of size is at best mid-ranking though!
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111

    What’s happened to Beergate? It’s not on any of the front pages. It’s not on any of the news pages.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/index.html

    I’ve been over mailonline twice, it must be there somewhere 🤷‍♀️ Isn’t this the week Starmer gets hounded everywhere “are you going to resign if you get a FPN you fucking hypocrite?”

    What’s going on? Do you think the police would investigate a missing Beergate?

    Keir oh dear: the team of Daily Mail hacks who were caught flouting very clear covid rules with a booze-up of their own last year, revealed in the brand new Private Eye, on sale today. https://twitter.com/PrivateEyeNews/status/1524362824092368897/photo/1
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Farooq said:

    Just winding up your political opponents for its own sake is not a healthy goal.
    BDS has caused quite a few problems on here - almost as if they don't really like this democracy lark.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Boris signs security pact with Sweden

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61404062
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    If it had been offered as a third choice it would have probably got a majority
    Which is precisely why it wasn't offered.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    DavidL said:

    When I have been over there in recent years I have stayed at the Isles of Glencoe hotel which is good and has a brilliant location. When I was much younger and into hillwalking we once camped out in the glen in late summer. I am not sure what the bastards ate before I came along.
    What is it with Scotland and midges? I’ve been to Denmark, Sweden, Ireland etc in summer and not really experienced anything similar yet they share latitud and climate (or maybe I just got lucky)

    If you want a truly shocking insect experience Siberia in summer is up there, or the tsetse flies of Kafue, Zambia. Special
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Bart says not fixing the problem hurts and wipes out even more people than who will be hurt when their investments go down instead of up.

    There's harm either way, but you say fuck 'em to the others. Without even being able to say caveat emptor to them.
    No, I just think these things are complex. You think there are easy options based on a back of a fag packet gut instinct. It is why you are a fan of The Clown.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787

    Mr. Foremain, I commented on that yesterday. Think it's an interesting idea, although the detail will be what matters.

    It will be the direction of travel. British pragmatism normally results in some sort of compromise.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Pro_Rata said:

    Been struggling with my success rate on Quordle, so I got together a standard first 4 words covering 20 separate letters and that has been helping. (I don't necessarily have to use all 4).

    I'll leave it at that, and let anyone interested imagine or come up with 4 such five letter words if they fancy.
    My two standard starting words today really helped, giving me all the letters for bottom right (which sonmeone said on the last thread was tricky) and also only one real option for top right. Should have been 6 and 7 for the two on the left but I made a silly mistake,

    Daily Quordle 107
    8️⃣4️⃣
    7️⃣3️⃣
    quordle.com
    ⬜🟨⬜⬜⬜ ⬜⬜⬜⬜🟨
    ⬜⬜⬜🟨⬜ ⬜🟨⬜🟨🟨
    ⬜⬜⬜🟨🟩 ⬜⬜🟨🟨⬜
    ⬜⬜🟩⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
    ⬜🟨⬜⬜⬜ ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛

    🟨⬜🟩🟨⬜ ⬜🟨🟨⬜⬜
    ⬜⬜⬜⬜🟨 ⬜⬜🟨🟩🟨
    ⬜🟨🟨⬜⬜ 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
    🟨⬜⬜⬜⬜ ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    🟨⬜🟩🟨🟨 ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    🟨🟨🟨🟨🟨 ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
    🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩 ⬛⬛⬛⬛⬛
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Farooq said:

    I've never had a problem with Wick before now, and I've quietly been a little dismayed at Leon's trolling of it.
    But I hate Lowry more than anything, so fuck Wick. May its dreary walls crumble and a Biblican wave wash the crumbs away.
    lol.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,073
    Boris has signed a Entente Cordiale with Sweden. Or is it Hjärtligt avtal

    Anyway take that HYUFD, they ain’t even in NATO but Boris prepared to start world 3 for them.
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379
    Farooq said:

    Just winding up your political opponents for its own sake is not a healthy goal.
    Indeed. That was pretty much Gordon Brown's problem.
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 38,111

    Boris signs security pact with Sweden

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61404062

    BoZo pledges to defend Sweden. From the same podium BoZo also says he will tear up the pledges he made on Northern Ireland.
  • Nigel_ForemainNigel_Foremain Posts: 14,787
    Leon said:

    What is it with Scotland and midges? I’ve been to Denmark, Sweden, Ireland etc in summer and not really experienced anything similar yet they share latitud and climate (or maybe I just got lucky)

    If you want a truly shocking insect experience Siberia in summer is up there, or the tsetse flies of Kafue, Zambia. Special
    You got lucky. Sweden is renowned for them.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,782
    edited May 2022
    Cookie said:

    The Lake 'I guess'?

    I'd also add the Yorkshire Dales. Particularly Wharfedale and Swaledale and their tributaries.

    But even in the Lakes and the Dales, while there is beauty - as much beauty as any landscape in the world, to my eyes - it's a homely, cosy, lived-in beauty, in contrast to what the north of Scotland offers us. I'd also add in Loch Linnhe/Loch Eil to your Scottish landscapes, which is I think the most sublime scenery I have ever come across.
    I said “I guess” merely because it is a cliche, but then the lavender fields of Provence are a cliche yet they are still gorgeous

    I agree the Lakes aren’t sublime like the Highlanda and Islands. What the Lakes are is *exquisite*

    Some of the most exquisite countryside on earth. Add that to their enormous literary/artistic heft and they have to be in a “world Top 100 landscapes”

    Ooh. I love a list. And I love travel.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Carnyx said:

    It's still an odd decision by Slab. NOC, as others have said, is almsot inevitable. You don't get to demonstrate your power to fix things. Okay, so they don't get contaminated by the Tories, or by the SNP, but the LDs?

    And what was Mr Sarwar doing being so relaxed about the Aberdeen cooncillors who went all Labour going on junior Tory and got suspended, if he now comes out with this? Come to think of it, does anyone know what is happening in Aberdeen re the Slab-Tory alliance?

    The Labour/Conservative coalition looks like it’s history.

    Aberdeen election result

    SNP 20 councillors (+1)
    Lab 11 (+2)
    Con 8 (-3)
    LD 4 (nc)
    Ind 2 (nc)

    23 needed for majority
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Scott_xP said:

    Keir oh dear: the team of Daily Mail hacks who were caught flouting very clear covid rules with a booze-up of their own last year, revealed in the brand new Private Eye, on sale today. https://twitter.com/PrivateEyeNews/status/1524362824092368897/photo/1
    I am sure many did including Burley and Rigby
  • ApplicantApplicant Posts: 3,379

    And that is part of the problem.

    Yes, high house prices are a drag on the whole economy; The House Price Theory of Everything (Bad) is pretty compelling.

    No, we can't carry on like this.

    But doing the right thing for the hive will be politically suicidal, and will wipe some people out completely. Mostly youngish homeowners with hefty mortgages, who aren't really to blame for this. And that ought to give us all pause for thought.
    How do you have a policy with no losers, though?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022

    I hope nobody was stupid enough to buy into the whole Terra Luna ecosystem....

    Was laughing at them earlier when it was $.70, then it crashed again to $.30 :lol:
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180
    Farooq said:

    I've never had a problem with Wick before now, and I've quietly been a little dismayed at Leon's trolling of it.
    But I hate Lowry more than anything, so fuck Wick. May its dreary walls crumble and a Biblican wave wash the crumbs away.
    I thought it was horrible but I may have been influenced by a local Sheriff who seemed to be of the view that firing a shotgun at the man who had been carrying on with his wife was the least he deserved and certainly not the basis for any court order.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,029
    Farooq said:

    I've never had a problem with Wick before now, and I've quietly been a little dismayed at Leon's trolling of it.
    But I hate Lowry more than anything, so fuck Wick. May its dreary walls crumble and a Biblican wave wash the crumbs away.
    Hey - my wife has family living in Wick
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,677
    A trip from Inverness to the Far North used to be a very pleasurable experience when the train was a set of Mark 1 coaches with a Class 37 on the front.

    These days on a Sprinter? Not much fun.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,061

    Boris signs security pact with Sweden

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/world-europe-61404062

    I've got good money that says it's not a cheque that will ever need to be cashed. There is literally nobody interested in territorial expansion into Sweden
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,815
    Farooq said:

    Just winding up your political opponents for its own sake is not a healthy goal.
    But is unfortunately the basis of too much of our politics over the past twenty years.
    "This will annoy the right people."
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,938
    Leon said:

    What is it with Scotland and midges? I’ve been to Denmark, Sweden, Ireland etc in summer and not really experienced anything similar yet they share latitud and climate (or maybe I just got lucky)

    If you want a truly shocking insect experience Siberia in summer is up there, or the tsetse flies of Kafue, Zambia. Special
    Something to do with Midge Ure, presumably.
This discussion has been closed.