Some positive Survation Red Wall polling for LAB – politicalbetting.com
Some positive Survation Red Wall polling for LAB – politicalbetting.com
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Some positive Survation Red Wall polling for LAB – politicalbetting.com
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Aeolian islands, but likely too much faff to get to - don't know whether there are diect flights to Sicily, but you still have to cross Sicily and then get a boat.
Edit: And second? Love and peaceful thoughts to all
Happy birthday Mike OGH.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/2021_Scottish_Parliament_election
Personally I am going riding in Sicily for a week in June and then want to spend a week there with a car. If I want to start in Syracuse and end up at Palermo do PBers recommend driving round the bottom, round the top or across the middle? bearing in mind I will have seen a bit of the interior (Madonie to Etna) from my horse.
Rash to advertise your dob online, mind, we'll all be hacking your crypto wallet now.
Didn’t I tell you all those stupid papers were lying about a heatwave coming!
https://www.yr.no/nb/værvarsel/daglig-tabell/2-2633352/Storbritannia/England/York/York
https://www.survation.com/labour-has-best-understanding-of-our-local-area-in-poll-of-red-wall-seats/
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/05/jd-vance-trump-republican-frumforum/629814/
The J. D. Vance I Knew
Worth keeping an eye on for the 2028 presidential race.
Restrictions in order to inflate certain people's assets and take away the rights of others to act, even if they're not harming others, is not the same thing.
As you've said, you don't want housing assets to fall in value. That's just protectionism and market rigging - let the free market determine the fair free value of housing, the state shouldn't be involved in price gouging.
They've also included some that I'm not sure should count as Red Wall - scanning the list, there are plenty of traditional marginals that don't (or shouldn't) count as Red Wall.
Slightly slow start, but when he gets to the eye witness account of the genocide, my God
It’s right up there with the famous memoirs about Auschwitz. Perhaps more impactful because so much of it is unknown - and I consider myself quite well read, historically
eg I had no idea so much of the genocide happened in northern Syria. I never knew that Armenians lived there in large numbers. Perhaps I didn’t know because the Turks killed them all, so there’s none left
The interior can be a bit boring and bleak. Especially in summer when the heat drives everyone indoors all day
If you want “vibe” fly to Gothenburg and spend the week on the Bohuslän coast. Absolutely bonkers. Stunningly beautiful, swimming, kayaking, nightlife, just chilling out. Laptop to your heart’s content under a parasol.
I’ll keep saying it because I am 100% right - the problem for the Tory’s is Brexit is not done*
*in its impact on how people vote going forward it’s not.
https://www.express.co.uk/news/royal/1608576/prince-william-kate-middleton-title-change-scotland-evg
Harris is really beautiful but harder to get to, less to do and see
Eveywhere will have midges
EDIT: I see you’re going in October. Don’t worry about midges. Worry about the weather
But there's no PMQs. Why's that?
Vance looks to be an operator of sufficient combined ability and cynicism to have a shot.
There are also ones where the demographic drift has been to the Tories for a fair while.
Labour did pretty well in some. Cumberland and West Yorkshire for example. OK in others. Poorly in yet more.
It's almost as if it isn't one place.
Generalisations about the Red Wall are usually just that.
And that, too is a generalisation.
I guess because technically there's a chance it could be defeated, in which case there would be a new PM to face the Qs. Or an election.
Sources said the Capital's Labour group leader Cammy Day had been in talks with Scottish party headquarters about the possibility of renewing the SNP-Labour coalition, but it was made clear such a move would be vetoed.
Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar said ahead of last week's elections he did not want formal council coalitions between Labour and other parties, especially the Tories or SNP. But it is understood Councillor Day was keen to see if there could be some flexibility. However, a source said: “The message he got back was No.”
The SNP won 19 seats at the election, Labour 13, the Lib Dems 12, Greens 10 and Tories nine.
Other potential combinations which have been floated include a Labour, Lib Dem, Green coalition, which would add up to a majority or a Labour-Lib Dem minority coalition, but it has not been clear whether such arrangements would also fall foul of Labour’s coalition ban.
https://www.edinburghnews.scotsman.com/news/politics/council/edinburgh-council-coalition-talks-snp-green-coalition-appears-to-be-moving-closer-3688670
Mountains: the Cuillins, some of the most impressive in Europe, despite their small size
Highland cattle: everywhere
Awesomeness: lochs and forests and sea and the old man of Storr
Castles: Dunvegan! (And others)
I took my older daughter there when she was about 8 and she adored it
We had good weather tho…
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1524138989539704832
Priti Patel is seen congratulating Tory MP Richard Holden, seemingly in reference to his calls for police to reinvestigate the "beergate" controversy involving Sir Keir Starmer, who denies any wrongdoing.
Your photoshopping skills are impressive
Thinjk about taking in Stirling for a couple of days at least - great castle, real scenery, nice town, cattle too in field or in nearby attractions. Wallace Monument, of course, and near the Trossachs for some Highland scenery. Access by train easy if that helps. That would tick the daughterly boxes pdq.
https://www.visitscotland.com/blog/holiday-ideas/great-places-to-see-highland-cows-in-scotland/
Maybe look at Oban for a cruise around Mull, if available?
The Highlands can be quite a big place in terms of driving but the Trossachs should give some heather and bumps. Train/A9 to Aviemore if you want more?
I'm tempted to say forget Ben Nevis/Fort William - not my fave area. BN is far too high/lethal for many.
Lothians and east Borders do have plenty of castles and walks and beaches and things to do. And Edinburgh as well.
Look at Historic Scotland and National Trust for Scotland websites.
Possibly also National Museum of Rural Life or whatever it is called at East Kilbride - more over to the Glasgow side but still accessible enough.
But avoid midge season in Highlands!
And Eilean Donan on the road is a good castle for a visit
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scopello,_Trapani
A post-industrial tuna factory, re-purposed as a small-scale resort.
BT's suggestion of Edinburgh is also noted - maybe a two centre trip: the Cairngorms and Edinburgh - and perhaps leave Leon's suggestion of Skye and/or the Hebrides for a separate trip.
That said, next on my list is to take the 8yo to Orkney as soon as I can find some time. (On which neolithic note, I'm just about to have another quick potter round the BM Stonehenge exhibition.)
https://www.lochness.com/
My 12yo, 8yo and 4yo (at the time) all very much enjoyed it. Beware of the almost never-ending gift shop at the end!
Also nearby Urquhart Castle is very much worth a visit with a stunning location right on Loch Ness.
Whatever happened to the warning "all investments can go down in value as well as up?" Pretty sure that warning was in very big print when we got our mortgage.
A one-way ratchet on prices escalating ever further out of the reach of the working young is not healthy either. Even if opinionated selfish oafs like yourself want to protect the value of your "investments".
Their problem - like the Tories - is that you can't win voters in the red wall and outside the red wall who want different things and think differently.
Wordle 326 3/6
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It’s a cliche but that drive around the top of Scotland is truly amazing (again we got lucky with the weather)
John o groats itself is so hideous it’s funny. Likewise Wick and the flow country. But that makes it quite a cheap place to stay….
The Queen's Speech really was a damp squib, wasn't it? Nothing new. No coherent vision of the future. I've never known a QS attract so little attention on here or elsewhere.
People often, justifiably, comment on Labour's apparent policy void ( a windfall tax - is that it?). But I'm beginning to think Labour may well present a more coherent narrative for government than the Tories in time for the next GE. They're certainly working on it behind the scenes, though keeping it under wraps for now (they know the Tories will nick the tasty bits).
In politics You don’t make changes as “courageous” as Brexit unless it’s for the better. You don’t boast “GOT BREXIT DONE” unless you are delivering better to peoples lives now.
Partygate? Nah. What I said in paragraphs above is reason for what happens in coming elections.
2019? Hollowed out Corbyn factor, as Mike Smithson often tells an unlistening PB.
1. For those who aren't planning to move and have paid off their mortgage it makes little difference.
2. Those with a manageable mortgage and looking to upsize benefit from lower prices.
3. Potential first time buyers gain from lower prices.
4. Those who have a maxed out mortgage lose out from lower prices.
5. Those with multiple properties lose out.
Group 1 is quite large. It would be surprising if groups 2 and 3 are not bigger than group 4. Group 5 deserve no sympathy if prices fall.
One of the things I have noticed is that Russian airlines are still flying around in their Boeings and Airbuses. I thought that they were not going to be able to repair them due to lack of spare parts? Or are they just running through what they have left and slowly they will have to be taken out of service? Interested if anyone has any ideas on this.
I will admit to many vices - nearly all of them - but that isn’t one. I actually tried being gay once. Didn’t like it, not for me, but I certainly don’t go around “hating” people that do like it
It’s like hating someone for having red hair or being tall. Ridiculous
I stayed awake 40 hours studying every minutiae of last weeks elections, yet somehow completely missed what was happening in North Yorkshire! 🤦♀️
Have I slept through acrimony on the last thread? Oh goody I can now go and read it 😆
Now I'm not allowed to drive I had to get the bus there and back from Inverness which is sub optimal
A large part of Group 5 does not lose, because they are often in group 1. They may use the situation to buy more property.
The ideal situation would be house price stagnation, allowing salaries to catch up. House price collapse causes major disruption and stimulates recession. It is why successive governments desperately try to avoid it.
https://www.historicenvironment.scot/about-us/news/new-digital-models-of-salisbury-crags-hutton-section-and-hutton-s-rock/