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Polling boost for Sunak ahead of his Spring Statement – politicalbetting.com

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  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,232

    He's got a whole hospital named after him.
    😄 Cowabunga!
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 59,252

    I don't think even this behaviour will continue ad-infinitum. Everybody is going to get this, probably once a year, but natural immunity + vaccines + antivirals (for the most vulnerable) + better hospital treatment / procedures, I don't think even these kind of behavioural changes will be common come this time next year.
    I suspect they will slowly fade away - but for more vulnerable (and particularly older) people, I would expect mask wearing in crowded spaces to continue for some time.
  • I think we'll see masks on public transport from a decent section of the population for a while. I am still masking up, if nothing else to reduce the risk of getting a cold
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552
    MrEd said:

    Oryx did a big catch up on Ukrainian equipment that was lost around Kherson in the early days so I think it was a factor of bookkeeping. Post-that, the ratio looks to be back to the 4:1 level
    Also, the Russians have adjusted tactics to have more screening infantry, jamming, active protection etc since the early days.

  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Just in: Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida is expected to hold a bilateral meeting with NATO chief Jens Stoltenberg in Brussels tomorrow, as per two sources.

    https://twitter.com/StuartKLau/status/1506670809556955138?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    kle4 said:

    That depends on what the usual rating is from such polls. It may well be that every time people say not very much. If they don't trust the top team then they'll probably say that even if it was good, or vice versa.
    What would make a lot of sense would be to ask in advance whether people expected the policies to benefit people like them and then ask again afterwards. Gauge of disappointment.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552

    Interesting on page 63 of the OBR book - "since 2019 the UK appears to have become a less trade intensive economy with trade as % of GDP falling 12% since 2019 - two and a half times more than any other G7 country".

    https://twitter.com/bbcsimonjack/status/1506671189544034305?s=21

    🤷🏻‍♂️

    To be expected perhaps with increased internal consumption, and some trade agreements still waiting to go live.

    Presumably he means that the 12% fall is 2.5x more than others - it could be read two ways?
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,752

    I think we'll see masks on public transport from a decent section of the population for a while. I am still masking up, if nothing else to reduce the risk of getting a cold

    Or, more accurately, to reduce the risk of the rest of us getting your cold. I’m not bothering to return the favour but I appreciate your efforts.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    biggles said:

    Or, more accurately, to reduce the risk of the rest of us getting your cold. I’m not bothering to return the favour but I appreciate your efforts.
    Depends, tbf. FFP2 or 3 would be good both ways.
  • biggles said:

    Or, more accurately, to reduce the risk of the rest of us getting your cold. I’m not bothering to return the favour but I appreciate your efforts.
    You sound like a lovely fellow.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,421
    Lucas Tomlinson
    @LucasFoxNews
    ·
    4m
    NATO estimates up to 15,000 Russian soldiers killed in Ukraine. That means in just one month, Moscow has potentially matched its number killed in decade-long Soviet war in Afghanistan in the 1980s

    ===

    With 3x that injured perhaps, that is a massive hit for RU military. Heads will roll. Or they will take Putin away.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,752
    Carnyx said:

    Depends, tbf. FFP2 or 3 would be good both ways.
    You are, of course, right but I’m a superstitious man and I only got Covid in the end after three jabs and whilst frequently wearing an FFP3. I am therefore internally convinced they are magic Covid magnets.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    MattW said:

    To be expected perhaps with increased internal consumption, and some trade agreements still waiting to go live.

    Presumably he means that the 12% fall is 2.5x more than others - it could be read two ways?
    Get a grip.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,752

    You sound like a lovely fellow.
    I’ll let you in a secret - sometimes jokes are based on playing up one’s own cruelty so as to be the butt of it.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,421

    Interesting on page 63 of the OBR book - "since 2019 the UK appears to have become a less trade intensive economy with trade as % of GDP falling 12% since 2019 - two and a half times more than any other G7 country".

    https://twitter.com/bbcsimonjack/status/1506671189544034305?s=21

    🤷🏻‍♂️

    Absolute mystery.

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    Real average earnings no longer expected to recover 2008 levels at any point in the OBR forecast.

    (contains chart).

    https://twitter.com/alfie_stirling/status/1506646585802907656?s=21

  • biggles said:

    I’ll let you in a secret - sometimes jokes are based on playing up one’s own cruelty so as to be the butt of it.
    I was joking...
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    TimT said:

    Tracking the numbers on Oryx, the proportion of tanks to total vehicles destroyed seems to have dropped a bit in the last few days. I am sure part of that is the Russians are no longer attacking so much and are digging in more, presenting fewer good tank targets. But I wonder if another part of it is that the Ukrainians are prioritizing hitting Russian artillery, anti-aircraft and logistics assets more now.

    They don't really need to take out tanks. They can simply use lower-capacity weapons, not capable of penetrating full armour, to take out fuel trucks and supply vehicles. The tanks can't operate for long without fuel, and they need a hell of a lot of it.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,371
    MattW said:


    When I last looked, it seemed they had just suspended it for Russia and Belarus.

    (Checks)

    Most countries seem to be described have temporarily halted it for Russians. Which sounds like leaving a backtrack open depending on circs.

    https://www.schengenvisainfo.com/news/russia-ukraine-war-these-eu-countries-have-so-far-suspended-golden-visas-for-russians/

    And iirc in Portugal they tend to get Chinese not Russians.
    As of 2022 Minimum Amount Required....

    Amounts remain the same; geographical restrictions will apply. Residential properties in Lisbon, Porto, or along the coast won’t qualify

    https://getgoldenvisa.com/portugal-golden-visa-changes
  • Absolute mystery.

    Those pesky experts again
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,397
    Heard Rachel Reeves earlier. She was very good. A little work on her presentation and Labour have a star in the wings. Her stats on this government's performance were breathtaking

    .....and not in a good way!

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,421
    edited March 2022
    Roger said:

    Sounds cataclysmic. Martin Lewis on radio 4 is predicting disaster for most. Plus a wonderful headline for tomorrows papers. "WE Are at the Edge of a Personal Finance Precipice"

    What a line!

    He was hammering some hapless minister or other on GMB earlier in week.

    Edit: A drastic cut back of most people's discretionary spending means a big recession in a service-led, consumer economy. The shit is coming...
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 6,752

    I was joking...
    And this is why written communication is dangerous. Putin was probably tipped over by Zelensky’s 2021 Christmas card.
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    I’m old enough to remember when PB Tories were claiming that low income wages were set to rocket once the foreigners were sent home.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,454

    Taxes now at a 77 year high.

    We’re gonna party like it’s 1945.

    Just, without the whole VE Day and wholesale establishment of a welfare state thing.

    They are at a 77 year high because we are funding that "welfare state thing"..... Especially the NHS.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,526
    Roger said:

    Heard Rachel Reeves earlier. She was very good. A little work on her presentation and Labour have a star in the wings. Her stats on this government's performance were breathtaking

    .....and not in a good way!

    She looks OK :)

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,513
    NEW THREAD
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 53,526

    New thread

  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 65,421
    For what it's worth, I think this is one of the worst budgets I can remember.

    Simply appalling judgment and failure to recognize how people are struggling/will struggle and making it even more attractive to have unearned rather than earned income.

    Shocking.

  • LeonLeon Posts: 59,599
    You could keep £70k in an ISA, you could buy £70k of premium bonds and make £25 every three months, and you could watch the value of your cash depreciate by 8% a year

    OR you could buy a pleasant whitewashed 3 bed town house in a charming village in the green hills of Andalusia

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/96311798?currencyCode=GBP#/?channel=OVERSEAS

    Even if the house depreciates as much as your cash, you have a HOUSE to enjoy as a bolthole, especially if the bomb drops. Hmm
  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,182
    Leon said:

    You could keep £70k in an ISA, you could buy £70k of premium bonds and make £25 every three months, and you could watch the value of your cash depreciate by 8% a year

    OR you could buy a pleasant whitewashed 3 bed town house in a charming village in the green hills of Andalusia

    https://www.rightmove.co.uk/properties/96311798?currencyCode=GBP#/?channel=OVERSEAS

    Even if the house depreciates as much as your cash, you have a HOUSE to enjoy as a bolthole, especially if the bomb drops. Hmm

    And the toilet even comes with a splash mat for when you are in your cups. Bargain.
  • If people feel like absolute crap they should stay home whether it be norovirus, flu, common cold or Covid.

    If people are fit and healthy but have a positive line on a test they should not be taking the test and should be going in to work.

    Not difficult. Too many people are isolating because they're "infected" or "positive" not because they're "sick".
    It's only anecdotage I know. But I know a lot of people who have been floored by BA2, triple jabbed and already had previous variants not stopping them being ill enough to be off work.

    You keep saying "move on already" but you can't when there is a nasty virus that makes a lot of people ill enough to be off work, even if only for a few days. So your school and your hospital that you mention get pockets of staff availability issues caused by BA2 tearing through the staff.

    So why would they ignore your directives and want people to be off who are positive and not ill? Because they are the exception rather than the rule, and one person off is a lot better than 10 people off.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,397

    He was hammering some hapless minister or other on GMB earlier in week.

    Edit: A drastic cut back of most people's discretionary spending means a big recession in a service-led, consumer economy. The shit is coming...
    Big time! I've not heard such doom laden ordure poured over a budget before. Words like 50 years...70 years....this century....since the 60's....

  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552

    Welcome to the circus droll elephant.
    Are you also a heffelump?

    "The heffalump ate my honey. Well actually, I did, but it made me do it."
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552
    Cookie said:

    Yes, this has been broadcast news since about 1992. A tiny bit on what happens and masses on how we should be feeling about it.
    I remember the first time I saw an interview on the news with someone who cried at the end. I remember feeling shocked - not at the crying per se but that the broadcasters had shown this and not allowed the poor fella some dignity. It didn't really strike me that showing someone crying was the whole point.
    Try the BBC World Service.
  • TimSTimS Posts: 14,836

    I believe the traditional hedges against inflation are gold, art/collectibles, and property.
    Property in a location outside the WW3 fallout zone.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,082

    Just took a VERY quick look at his YouTube channel. Initial impressions unfavorable, thanks to

    > Name of channel; in my humble experience, those who trumpet their truthfulness are to untruthful, or unable to tell what's truth and what ain't.

    > Coors ball cap, if THAT's his preferred brew then MUST question his taste AND judgement

    Looks like just another YouTube instant "expert"?

    True. Although very many YouTube experts, in all sorts of subjects, are really good.

    And the amount of video clips he has, together with background information about them, suggest he is doing a fair bit of research.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067
    edited March 2022
    MattW said:

    Are you also a heffelump?

    "The heffalump ate my honey. Well actually, I did, but it made me do it."
    Maybe we can call the droll Elephant which has wandered in here Brompet?

    PB is a bit like an imaginary story book land for grown ups isn’t it?

    Part Winnie the Pooh, part The Clangers.

    Maybe Hollywood will turn all this into a movie.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,082
    Helen Whately isn't very good, is she?

    This pre-announcement of a tax cut over two years away is making it difficult for government spokespeople to use future uncertainty as a reason for not being able to answer pointed questions about their intentions.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067
    IanB2 said:

    Helen Whately isn't very good, is she?

    This pre-announcement of a tax cut over two years away is making it difficult for government spokespeople to use future uncertainty as a reason for not being able to answer pointed questions about their intentions.

    There’s quiet a lot in Boris government that shouldn’t be there, but Whatley must be near top list for losing votes with every media appearance. More than a touch of Gavin Williamson about her.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,232
    edited March 2022
    IanB2 said:

    Helen Whately isn't very good, is she?

    This pre-announcement of a tax cut over two years away is making it difficult for government spokespeople to use future uncertainty as a reason for not being able to answer pointed questions about their intentions.

    She was terrible!

    'If you'll just let me finish avoiding anwering your question..'
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552
    Cookie said:

    Yes, this has been broadcast news since about 1992. A tiny bit on what happens and masses on how we should be feeling about it.
    I remember the first time I saw an interview on the news with someone who cried at the end. I remember feeling shocked - not at the crying per se but that the broadcasters had shown this and not allowed the poor fella some dignity. It didn't really strike me that showing someone crying was the whole point.
    Try the BBC World Service.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067

    She looks OK :)

    You mean she’s got big tits? I don’t think you’ve moved your eyes from them have you?
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    I don't think even this behaviour will continue ad-infinitum. Everybody is going to get this, probably once a year, but natural immunity + vaccines + antivirals (for the most vulnerable) + better hospital treatment / procedures, I don't think even these kind of behavioural changes will be common come this time next year.
    Are they even commonplace now? Life is pretty much back to normal in London, covid little more than background noise. I'm very surprised to read these accounts.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 30,694

    Maybe we can call the droll Elephant which has wandered in here Brompet?

    PB is a bit like an imaginary story book land for grown ups isn’t it?

    Part Winnie the Pooh, part The Clangers.

    Maybe Hollywood will turn all this into a movie.
    Have you spent some time in America? I notice you used the phrase 'take out' for 'take away' earlier, and now movie.
  • TimTTimT Posts: 6,468
    MrEd said:

    Oryx did a big catch up on Ukrainian equipment that was lost around Kherson in the early days so I think it was a factor of bookkeeping. Post-that, the ratio looks to be back to the 4:1 level
    Thanks, Ed. But I think we are talking at cross purposes. I was talking only about Russian losses, not Ukrainian ones.

    And the ratio of Russian tanks to other Russian vehicles lost. Proportionately, in the last few days since the earliest hints of the Russians digging in, it seems they are losing fewer tanks relative of other vehicle types.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 14,067

    Have you spent some time in America? I notice you used the phrase 'take out' for 'take away' earlier, and now movie.
    Never been to America. But so much of our culture is now American. The films we watch American. Our social media is turning us all American, don’t you realise Lucky?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,397

    There’s quiet a lot in Boris government that shouldn’t be there, but Whatley must be near top list for losing votes with every media appearance. More than a touch of Gavin Williamson about her.
    You must have missed Priti on one side and Boris on the other.

    It made the Addams family look like a supermodels away-day.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,552
    This is my fave light story today; I thought it was TSE planning his funeral 50 years in advance:



    But it turns out it's the memorial to a 'Gypsy King', complete with a solar powered Juke Box, and all the rest.

    Built in Shiregreen Cemetery in Sheffield. Where the maximum monument size is 75mm thick and 1.3m high.

    Wouldn't like to be a Planning Enforcer in Sheffield.
  • BlancheLivermoreBlancheLivermore Posts: 6,255
    edited March 2022
    cut
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 22,100
    edited March 2022
    Covid is playing havoc at work right now, working on a key project and the team have not been at full strength due to absences for about a month.

    Today I got the dreaded feint line. Hope I do better than my fully vaccinated 50yr old sister in law who ended up yo-yo-ing out of hospital and is still not recovered.

    Covid isn’t done.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 126,884
    Tim Montgomerie not a fan of the Budget. Says Sunak is the richest MP but has done nothing for those on benefits given the cost of living increase and the below inflation benefits rise

    https://twitter.com/montie/status/1506726896079446034?s=20&t=cL4RX6m4oudOwmoyiZRG8A
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 51,133
    Jonathan said:

    Covid is playing havoc at work right now, working on a key project and the team have not been at full strength due to absences for about a month.

    Today I got the dreaded feint line. Hope I do better than my fully vaccinated 50yr old sister in law who ended up yo-yo-ing out of hospital and is still not recovered.

    Covid isn’t done.

    Sorry to hear it. Causing a lot of absences in my teams too. No one seriously unwell, but all felt very rough for a week or so, and really fatigued for a fortnight.

    It's so infectious though that I doubt any measures can stop it spreading. 25% of the cases in my hospital caught it after admission, despite precautions still being compulsory in hospital.

This discussion has been closed.