By a small margin punters don’t think an early VONC is on the cards – politicalbetting.com
By a small margin punters don’t think an early VONC is on the cards – politicalbetting.com
There is little doubt is that whether Johnson will face an early VONC is going to dominate UK politics until it actually happens if that is indeed the case.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Yes, Anthony Mangnall in Totnes.
Amusingly, he has had very little contact with the PM since elected in 2019. He has about the furthest office from the Division Lobby, and shortly after announcing he had put in his letter and whilst racing for a vote, who should loom in front of him on the stairs but the frame of the PM....
Also I think when we defend our own corner it maybe comes over a bit too much as an extreme. I remember when Max challenged me sometime ago it came out of the blue and was quite strong and I thought that is not me he is describing, but then I realised in putting my point I was putting over just that specific point. So as Max said he is a traditionalist, but also has liberal views eg Gay marriage. I was coming out at the time with anti nationalist stuff, yet it doesn't mean I don't support England or GB in sport, or love the English Countryside or Pub, which is the impression I think it gave by just focusing on the anti nationalist stuff. Except for the extremes we are all a bit of a mix of views.
Once I started having to deal with purchasing I introduced a hidden Corporate rate which allows me to double it as soon as purchasing arrives to reduce costs a bit (hint 99% of the time allowing the manager who wants it to use his credit card will save you a lot of money as I bill for the time I waste).
Who is going to drop Little Boy and Fat Man?
Ancoats & Beswick (Manchester) council by-election result:
LDEM: 53.2% (+31.0)
LAB: 37.9% (-20.6)
GRN: 5.7% (-5.3)
CON: 3.2% (-5.2)
Votes cast: 2,091
Liberal Democrat GAIN from Labour.
] My god. What brilliantly visceral journalism. Harrowing
Evington (Leicester) council by-election result:
LAB: 38.8% (-15.4)
CON: 34.4% (+12.9)
LDEM: 20.7% (+12.5)
GRN: 5.0% (-7.1)
FBM: 1.1% (+1.1)
Votes cast: 4,014
He’s showing why he’s lost every leadership election he’s stood in.
Such as the comedy where you can't borrow money to build an MJ business in the states where weed is legal, or indeed use much of the banking system. Because of Federal law.
Which means the "Legal" weed business is controlled by people who bring suitcases of cash to the party. And such people are always citizens of worthy probity and deep moral compass....
Add in a new wave of armed robberies for the cash, and what could go wrong?
Lab stood in 5 lost ground in all 5
Real votes over 10,000 of them.
Bad night for SKS compared to the polls
"Mokusatsu (黙殺) is a Japanese word meaning "ignore", "take no notice of" or "treat with silent contempt".[1][2][a][3][4] It is composed of two kanji characters: 黙 (moku "silence") and 殺 (satsu "killing"). It is one of the terms frequently cited to argue that problems encountered by Japanese in the sphere of international politics arise from misunderstandings or mistranslations of their language.[5]
[...]
It was the adoption of this term by the government of Japan that first gave rise to the prominence of the word abroad. Mokusatsu was used in a response to the Allied demand in the Potsdam Declaration that Japan surrender unconditionally in World War II. It was understood to mean that Japan had rejected those terms, a perceived outright rejection that contributed to President Harry S. Truman's decision to carry out the atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki,[6] implying that, in spurning the terms, Japan had brought down on its own head the destruction of those two cities.[7]
When, in 1950, an argument emerged claiming that mokusatsu had been misunderstood by the Allies due to a mistranslation that interpreted the word to signify ignore rather than withhold comment, the third edition of the authoritative Kenkyūsha Japanese-English dictionary (1954) responded by adding an innovative gloss to its former definitions[b] by stating that it also bore the meaning of 'remain in a wise and masterly inactivity'.[8]"
Here is Boris Johnson writing about the predicament he finds himself in, and why he still can’t bring himself to resign.
It’s surprisingly honest and insightful. Possibly because he wrote it in 2006, about Tony Blair. https://t.co/wvn4aK1MO9
the Prime Minister will still not go early – because it is simply not in his nature
He can’t face that endocrinal cold turkey
(Original article: https://www.boris-johnson.com/2006/06/29/tony-blairs-premiership/)
Oh, I see your point.
They are, like Professor Aronnax, confusing the static and the dynamic.
"Professor," Captain Nemo replied, "a static situation mustn't be confused with the dynamic, or we'd be making a serious error. Comparatively little effort is spent in reaching the ocean's depths, because objects develop a sinking tendency"
Tomorrow* will bring more flooding to the Good Ship No.10
*In the sense of soon
… I get that it must be a bit irritating but I see a lot of people who on the face of it earn huge salaries as lawyers, partners of law firms, bankers etc who are actually a month’s salary from trouble.
A lot of these high earners end up in a “lifestyle cycle of doom” where they earn huge amounts but then commit to spending huge amounts either through their own preferences or “keeping up with the Jones’s” on big mortgages, expensive car repayments, multiple holidays, school fees.
For example a couple I know, both high earners had to have “the” house, the kids at private school then some friends bought a new house with a pool and so they had a pool put in. They were basically in debt to their eyeballs and one of them started skimming from the company they worked for which ultimately cost their job.
So whilst the above is an extreme example your Partner has probably got lots of commitments commensurate with a certain lifestyle but it doesn’t mean he necessarily has huge amounts of spare cash - if they have school fees, holidays, big mortgage etc then they don’t have a lot of spare cash left at the end of it so inflation will bite regardless.
A lot of people spend what they have and skirt very close to the edge to have that bigger house, bigger holidays etc and not many, when they start earning big, continue to live as before. It’s a weird spending escalator. So whilst I don’t get out the world’s smallest violin for them it’s potentially very uncomfortable for those without stashes of assets etc.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10476023/Cabinet-ministers-Boris-Johnson-50-50-chance-staying-PM.html
The Labour Party has decided to stop navel gazing and wishes to get back into power, yet you would prefer Bozo and co to be in charge rather than someone whose views are more left wing than any labour leader even similarly close to getting power.
The state of play was
- Hiroshima
- Nagasaki
- The Russians entering the war and going through the Japanese army like a chainsaw through cheese
- The Americans had run out of Japanese ships to sink, so they'd stopped building submarines.
- The Americans were running low of Japanese cities to burn to the ground
- Due to collapse of trade (see above) and the absence of most of the adult male population in the army, a famine was on the horizon for 1946.
- Japan had run out of virtually all high tech war making materials and equipment.
- They did have large chunks of the population practicing with bamboo spears.
The war cabinet met. And was split 3-3 on continuing the war. Hirohito cast a vote - which caused the military to stage a coup....
The coup was defeated, not because it was half-hearted, but because an American air raid interrupted the plotters before they could find and destroy the recording of the surrender announcement.
https://www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/169104/the-last-mission-by-jim-smith-and-malcolm-mcconnell - is worth a read on this.....
It's more of a Blair or Cameron strategy, to go after the floaters who only turn out at GEs rather than focusing on solidifying and motivating the base (the Boris, Corbyn, Trump strategy).
Yes - I did follow the Stephen Port case. Quite the scandal. I wrote about it here - https://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2021/12/12/dont-tell-show-us/.
As for those Rotherham girls .... I agree with you. Sex matters. 😉
Andrew Teale on Britain Elects claims Labour were divided locally with a racism/ factional row former Councillor BAME Corbynite replaced by White Centrist.
LDs were also claiming in their literature that the Lab Candidate had doubts about his eligibilty too
In my experience National Politics usually trumps local ones but maybe not always
Chris Smyth
@ Smyth_Chris
Now Sajid Javid follows Sunak in distancing himself from PM over Savile:
"Keir Starmer deserves respect for taking on such a big public job and doing well [as DPP]... The Prime Minister has already clarified his remarks... I think that was important."
https://twitter.com/Smyth_Chris/status/1489600584151937025
To seal the deal, he needs to sell something to the voters. See Blair etc.
To win power in the UK (or pretty much any country) you need a coalition. Inside or outside your party. A movement of only The Pure will never get into government.
His goose is cooked.
Of course there are going to be lots of local factional problems within Labour all across the country as long standing Socialist Councillors are deselected and discarded by centrists for purely factional reasons.
Spital (Tamworth) council by-election result:
CON: 43.6% (-5.4)
IND: 34.3% (+34.3)
LAB: 22.1% (-10.4)
Votes cast: 1,406
Conservative HOLD.
My mother came from a working class background - the Rent Man figured large in the memories. Happiness was having the mortgage paid off, the pension payments maxed out and a couple of years of income as savings in the building society. If you reached that, then you could relax a bit....
They're pathetic.
I am listening to a Radio 4 programme about yet another police failure - losing evidence.
It never stops with them.
There is a tendency for independent and minor party candidates to gain more by-elections than they lose, and then come the annual local elections, their numbers tend to drop back.
As I understand it, a lot of the vote here has gone against Labour because of a bullying issue forcing out the previous councillor. There's also the background issue of how badly the refurbishment of Great Ancoats Street has gone (city centre LDs have focused on transport in their campaigning for a while now), and perhaps an underlying discontent with the absolute (unrepresentative) stranglehold Labour councillors have on Manchester, with attendant complacency and sloppiness.
I wouldn't draw any conclusions at all about the national picture from this.
It's interesting that despite no law requiring roaming to be included with contracts two of the four providers now offer it. I wouldn't be surprised if Three follow suit and quietly add a few no extra charge EU roaming contracts in the next few months.
The BBC always correct such comments and say the BBC does not believe that JC is Antisemitic.
I believe Tim ex of this Parish has either been contacted by lawyers today or will be early next week re such comments
I think I might follow Mr Eds lead from today at least for a while.
I will of course return at GE 2024 when SKS is defeated heavily
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6u3QInIMVME
It's a while yet until they get onto the Revels....
Still a lot of resistance to this green stuff. I wonder if it'll become more accepted over time. The younger generations seem keener, the oldies generally don't care.
MCC promised a "European-style boulevard".
Here's the finished article on Google Street View: https://goo.gl/maps/LeGX41fT9y2rbWmx6
I'll grant you that it's "European-style" in the sense of Ceausescu's Bucharest, yes.
It's like a Tory leadership contest. It COULD all be over quickly, like the Lib Dems do. But where would the fun be in that?
They're about as ruthless as a child trying - and failing - to take the skin off a rice pudding.
Jeremy Corbyn is a thoroughly nasty piece of work: an anti-semitic misogynistic terrorist-supporting Marxist.
Will that do?
And I'm a leftie.
"We" means those of us who didn't vote for him.
- “… the government playing to the right and doing stupid things about the Northern Ireland protocol…”
- “… standing up to the right wing of what was the Conservative Party… if we’re to save the Union…”
- “I don’t think we’ve got a Conservative government at the moment, and that’s that.”
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10476721/Dutch-residents-vow-hurl-EGGS-Jeff-Bezoss-newly-built-400m-Y721-superyacht.html
"Mr Strörmann has even linked to a video tutorial for making a 'cardboard egg-grenade launcher' on the page 'for the advanced egg throwers'."
For anyone regularly walking into town from Ancoats it's a routine low-level nuisance.
Getting rid of a leader needs to be short and brutal.
Yet my point is a general one. Pretty much every post from Owls is about Starmer. He is completely obsessed for reasons known only to himself. The only similar obsessive is Isam, who now appears to have left PB.
https://twitter.com/sturdyalex/status/1489602651436326917?s=21
I always vote for local issues in local elections, especially if they are by-elections. People tend to want to focus in local elections on, erm, local issues.
The "particulates from tires" thing is an tempt to address that. But falls down on a funny point.
Effective electric cars need substantial cooling system to operate - the batteries and the motors are liquid cooled, which in turn uses a classic air cooling system, to cool the liquid. Since you don't want the works full of dirt, there are filters on the air intakes...
Yes, quite a few electric cars clean the air as they drive...
What the F are you reading it on? An old Amstrad?
I read it on an iPad pro and it works superbly, images, videos and text inter-weaving seamlessly and to great effect. Almost a new form of writing
However, I do think they suggest that much of Labour's vote is soft and there isn't much enthusiasm for Starmer at present, who clearly still has some work to do. He can't rely on BJ remaining in office till the next election.
https://twitter.com/aaronbell4nul/status/1489617282968002570?s=21