Let’s not forget how appalling Corbyn’s GE2019 ratings were – politicalbetting.com

In the previous post I argued that much of BJ’s electoral success has been based on the weakness of his LAB opponents at the time – Ken Livingstone for the London Mayoralty and Corbyn at the last general election.
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Why do you think I like the idea of doing it on sale prices (via a "wealth" tax)
They have mainly returned to Labour now Starmer has replaced Corbyn.
However Labour regaining voters who went Tory or Brexit Party in 2019 to get Brexit done is proving a harder challenge for Starmer
Would the experts say it’s too complicated?
(Council tax valuations were when? Dinosaurs still roamed, I believe). I also understand - I may be wrong - that our planned house extension will not automatically change our council tax band, even though the equivalent house would surely have been valued at least a band up (based on looking at alternatives to buy another house instead). - Edit, I am wrong according to Eek's post? When does this happen then? Linked to building inspection sign off or similar? Wondering what triggers someone to do the assessment.
1991. Obvs new houses were valued de novo. Or you can appeal to be revalued. But, as a Which article I once read pointed out, be very careful about that. It might be that your house gets revalued upwards - and so, too, the neighbours' houses. Not popular.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2021/nov/23/post-brexit-scheme-to-lure-nobel-winners-to-uk-fails-to-attract-single-applicant
It's only when the house is sold that the change occurs which (I suspect) is then based on relative to other local house prices. It's one of those questions where I can guess the answer but you don't want to ask as the NDA stops you answering.
Toto Wolff is threatening to get his "spicy equipment out"....
I wouldn't have a clue what the requirements to go to Paris are atm. Pre-tests, post-tests, passports, no idea.
It was lovely but boy was it hot and hard work.
And of course, he won the Brexit vote, and that really WAS against the odds. There is a reason Cameron slumped with unhappiness when he heard Boris had come out for Leave: Cameron knew that Boris alone could win it. And so it was. No other politician in the UK could have won that Brexit vote.
Without Boris, we'd still be in the EU. He changed global history. Something to ponder for Boris fans and foes alike
None of this diminishes his troubles now. He is in seriously choppy water
Jack McConnell’s 2001 reshuffle was compared to Harold MacMillan's 1962 'night of the long knives'. A source close to the Scottish Executive said: 'The only difference is this was during the day and the first minister used a claymore.'
Regarding your “by early 2023” prediction, fill yer boots:
Best prices - Clown exit
2022 2/1
2023 3/1
It was a terrible idea.
It should have always been obvious that if you need a mask in the summer then how the hell are you planning on coping in the winter?
Brexit - pre-ordained just pick a flavour (he picked the wrong one but he picked one)
Covid - surround yourself by scientists and do what they say bar a few flashes of inspiration.
No small achievement for sure but not the blue sky of creating policy. It is this that he is absolutely useless at. As we are seeing. Give him a script or set of actions and he can just about follow it. Give him a blank piece of paper and he folds it up into a paper aeroplane and shouts "Wheee" as it flits across the room.
https://www.theguardian.com/science/2021/nov/23/new-tests-show-neolithic-pits-near-stonehenge-were-humanmade
Though it does seem to have got rather further (hard to tell as some of the likely sites have been destroyed/obscured by development).
I loathe Boris. I loathe Brexit. But I loathe Corbyn about a million million million times more.
And I imagine as I think so does perhaps a majority-winning number of reasonably centrist types around the country.
It was above all CORBYN.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pD1gDSao1eA
Not yesterday he didn't.
This is what I see changing and any LFT will do in time to come (hence my ordering them each day).
And remember that brilliant Xmas Election ad with Boris at the door
https://youtu.be/nj-YK3JJCIU
The best British political ad I've ever seen. Powerful and persuasive, and it relies almost entirely on Boris' charm and charisma. Of recent prime ministers only Blair at his peak could equal that. Imagine Major or Cameron or May trying it on. Cringe
Farooq made a brilliant analogy on the prior thread. Campaigning is like conceiving, Governing is like parenting. Boris is now surrounded by the tedious nappies of political reality (and real nappies, as well). He needs to learn to be a decent Dad, super quick
Many now do not. At the Uni most students don't bother, and Waitrose mask use is declining, led partly by the staff who are now only around 50% mask wearing.
He failed to do this, and so now those animating forces are at the mercy of the Treasury. Sunak has ensured that the only thing left for Johnson to do is to arrange a peaceful handover of power to his successor.
Un prime ministerial Boris versus Un prime ministerial terrorist sympathiser.
I voted libdem.
(Incidentally, very good pod about The Office (and other classic tv comedies) on the bbc app: “What’s Funny About…”)
But he wasn't.
Just a shame we sensibles are in such a minority.
- Lack of empathy for others
- Impulsive behavior
- Attempting to control others with threats or aggression
- Using intelligence, charm, or charisma to manipulate others
- Not learning from mistakes or punishment
- Lying for personal gain
- Showing a tendency to physical violence and fights
- Generally superficial relationships
- Sometimes, stealing or committing other crimes
- Threatening suicide to manipulate without intention to act
- Sometimes, abusing drugs or alcohol
- Trouble with responsibilities such as a job, paying bills, etc.
I've got 6 or 7 of them. Does that make me semi-sociopathic?
It's probably a fair description, but on the other hand these lists are absurd. I imagine most people tick several boxes. Who doesn't "use intelligence charm or charisma to manipulate others"? That's human society in a nutshell. Everyone TRIES to do that, at the very least, tho most might fail
'A Conservative councillor has agreed to pay “substantial” damages and legal costs to Jeremy Corbyn for a tweet containing a fake photograph of the former Labour leader at the scene of the Liverpool terrorist attack.
In a statement posted on Twitter, Paul Nickerson, a councillor on East Riding of Yorkshire council, has apologised and taken “full responsibility” for the doctored tweet, which showed Corbyn laying a poppy wreath at the burning taxi outside Liverpool Women’s Hospital, and was captioned with the word “unsurprisingly”, PA Media reports.'
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/live/2021/nov/23/social-care-costs-jeremy-hunt-boris-johnson-sajid-javid-covid-uk-politics-live-latest-updates
https://twitter.com/CouncillorPaul_/status/1463130394019209222
Edit: some odd wording in the photographed statement in that tweet as to the circumstances of the original tweet-at-issue's posting.
Analysis by Nic Robertson, CNN
Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko's willful manipulation of migrants, enabling their easy passage to and through his country toward the border of the European Union, is a classic assault on democracy by an autocrat who knows that any attempt to fight back risks undermining the bloc's sacred values."
https://edition.cnn.com/2021/11/23/europe/democracy-under-attack-belarus-intl-cmd/index.html
My advice for Johnson would be to make Liz Truss Chancellor as soon as possible. Sunak appears determined to get the top job by undermining his boss, while Truss seems to want to achieve the same end by being good at the task she has been given - a method that Johnson will find easier to live with in the interim.
https://twitter.com/DrRosena/status/1197884965444366337?s=20
It just emphasises my point doesn’t it. Not every picture of Corbyn fraternising with terrorists was doctored nor did he deny he supported their causes, so even without opponents spinning it, those of us moderates can form our own opinions from that can’t we, of the sensibilities and character of the man wishing to be the country’s Prime Minister.
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It's not exactly difficult to tell Sunak, No go and fix it...
Kind of thing that I wouldn't be too surprised to see someone share on a family whatsapp. I'd never tweet it, but I don't use twitter in that kind of way (or, indeed, much at all). How I think about it depends, I guess, on how 'substantial' the damages are. I'd have thought a public apology was more than sufficient.
Can we transpose Johnson on to the Naked Gun 'nothing to see here' image with a sign saying 'Brexit' on the remains of the building without getting sued?
But that said I'm sure someone has the evidence to support either your or my point. I tried a mini-google but gave up.
Highly possible. If it is going to happen it will be when the pandemic is clearly finished. Summer next year?
Both because it means that people are choosing to do it, so that's a liberty issue, and because as @rcs1000 has said before people are intelligent and react to the news going on. So if cases start to rise as we head into winter and people get concerned then they can choose to start to wear a mask - they can't start doing that if it was already mandated.
He might be presented with a revolver and a bottle of whisky but it won't be voluntary.
My mum couldn’t wait to vote for Brexit. My dad always votes Conservative but isn’t keen on Brexit, or at least on the type of Brexit election. I’m just waiting to see what happens having not voted in that one as I couldn’t make my mind up.
Edit: plus the last time I was on the tube (couple of weeks ago) it was 60-70% mask wearing.
I can't fault that logic EXCEPT given that (we suspect) Boris will want to beat May and so can't to any risk of a Sunak coronation (so no leadership vote) I can see him going on to September next year and then leaving.
(AIUI the former Shadow Health Sec thought that the chap in the car was a stray member of the public caught up in the violence, but that is from a memory of a osting on PB by someone else.)
That's lawyer speak for you.
The point is that Boris and his media team did it superbly well, better than anyone, and they pitched it perfectly at an electorate bloody bored of Brexit. And it has that genius payoff when Boris, shoulders slumped like Churchill, gruffly walks to the camera, and says "Enough. Enough. Let's get this done" - giving a growly voice to the heartfelt desire of practically the entire country
I get that Boris has many many flaws. But it is futile to deny his charisma. Those that do are blinded by their hatred of him, and thus under-estimate him. Fatally. And it is this charisma which also enables him to overcome the flaws - until now, perhaps.....
Around here I'd say ~10-20% are wearing masks depending upon shop and down to less than 1% in places like the Trafford Centre.
The exception that surprised me recently was B&M, then it was roughly 40% when I went.
And another element in winning elections, making promises people like and reassures them. Surely the simple answer as polls go against you is you didn’t deliver your promises.
Jess Phillips MP
@jessphillips
Mrs Thatcher told my Gran to buy her council house. She said it would mean she had something to leave her family. Boris Johnson says to all those who bought their modest 2 bed houses that he's going to take it all away, while people like him get to keep so much
‘We demand an act of oral satisfaction.’