Let’s Get This Party Started – politicalbetting.com

When I saw this betting market from Smarkets on Trump creating or affiliating with a new political party my reaction was why would Trump create or join a new political party?
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Sadly, there don’t seem to be many left in the Republican Party.
F1: interesting grid for the race. Not a fan of late starts, though. Unsure if there'll be a post-race ramble (try to hide your sorrow) as, traditionally, I work on Mondays.
Actually, one of the bets I'm weighing up is Perez to win, and the potential for one or both of the title contenders to fail to finish the first lap is a factor I'm bearing in mind for that.
Edited extra bit: brilliantly, the stupid early start means almost no markets are up. Humbug!
However it makes no sense for Trump to start a new party and split the right when he needs a united right to win the EC and to win Congress and most of the GOP voter base and most GOP House representatives and many GOP Senators, state governors and legislators still back him
On topic, as other have said, surely it's the other way round. Trump has 'captured' the Republican Party in a way which I can't recall any American politician, even Reagan or Kennedy, doing in the past.
If I were a Republican with doubts about Trump, I would be wondering about the future After Trump.
When he goes, will the pragmatic right-of-centrists recapture the GOP or will it dissolve into a mass of more or less revolutionary groups of right-wingers, and American nationalists?
(With apologies to Terry Pratchett and Neil Gaiman.)
https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1451900208426541067
That fucking photo. LOL.
Betting Post
F1: pre-race ramble
https://enormo-haddock.blogspot.com/2021/10/usa-pre-race-2021.html
Backed Perez, each way, for the win at 14, third the odds top 2. Impressive throughout qualifying, barely behind Hamilton on pace, and there's a reasonable chance one or both of Verstappen and Hamilton will end up not making it around the first lap.
Edited extra bit: as an optional add-on, you may wish to hedge at 3 on Betfair.
And Boris - can't believe you are saying that. He has just presided over the radical changes to the UK; hard Brexit , changes to state intervention in the economy unthinkable until now.
Whata radical offerings is Starmer offering exactly?
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/10/ivermectin-research-problems/620473/
Leon: "I think it is understandable fear and even paranoia. Because of recent history. The lockdowns got increasingly worse even as they kept saying ‘this will never happen again’
I know a lot of people - eg me - who were properly fucked up by lockdown 3. Psychologically. There are others like me on here
We’re scared. Because we have been here before and the optimists were wrong"
Some of us said last March/April that we were more scared of the politicians and public's reaction than the virus itself. That feeling is re-surfacing again isn't it. I'm hoping Javid holds ground - I have more faith in him than I did Hancock.
"Save the NHS" they said at the start - does the NHS need saving now?
If so, after the stunning success and wide take-up of the vaccines, we are in big trouble. Facts don't seem to matter. It is scary. If the national religion says it's in trouble then it is. Rather than the NHS serving us I'm afraid I'm coming round to the view that it has way too much power and we are serving it.
That, of course isn't 'sexy' in political terms.
lol
He's going to struggle, I fear, because the Mercedes has been a bit slidey and the McLarens and Ferraris are surprisingly fast. Also, only Sainz, I think, in the top 10 is on the soft tyre.
Bottas best chance might come with a fortuitously timed safety car or rain. Generally, Hamilton-Verstappen clashes haven't really involved others. There's always a chance of a big pile-up but that also presents a risk to Bottas.
Depends on the odds. At 26 (having just checked) I'd personally be disinclined, but it's not a daft bet. I just think he might have more trouble than the Mercedes usually would because the McLarens and Ferraris are looking very good.
An early lesson I had on this was when I tipped, but didn't back, Button at 71 to win the 2009 title.
Was it the way he organised for a People's Vote only to end up voting for Boris's even harder deal?
Was it the way he couldn't spot any antisemitism in the Labour Party until the EHRC reported? Standing with Corbyn until the election not his discriminated against colleagues?
Creative online Trump mockery!
“As (Stephen) #Colbert explained, when (#Trump’s) site briefly went live on Wed, someone started a fake account in the former president’s name and promptly posted a photo of a ‘pig defecating on its own scrotum.’”
https://www.thedailybeast.com/stephen-colbert-trolls-trumps-pathetic-truth-social-media-platform?via=ios
Both the Fat Lying Sack of Jizz and Nippy run governments that have the facade of patriotism pride and hope, but beneath that are cess pools of corruption and incompetence. And people lap it up, willing to look past the chaos and destruction of their own interests whilst cheering them on.
As I always say, you get what you vote for and you always get the correct result. People want shit government.
In more general terms, people clearly want some kind of fundamental change; as others have pointed out; Starmer isn't offering it. The strategy seems to be to hope that the government fall apart and then just be there as the obvious alternative when the moment comes. Fair enough, but not particuarly inspiring.
He offered Plan B (to much derision on here I may add) a week before it looks like it will be mobilised by Johnson.
P.S. Starmer remains a disappointment, but less of a disappointment than Johnson.
I must go down to the seas again, to the lonely sea and the sky,
And all I'll find is loads of shit and a soup of e Coli;
Brexshit is getting more literal!
None could be described as moderates.
What do we get from Starmer? No vision, no competence. Just an abyss of void hoping to win by default of not being anyone else.
If that wins its an even sadder reflection on our politics.
Temperatures are meant to be similar during the race.
If I'd written that but not got on it myself, I'd be very gutted right now.
I may be wrong on that, but its the impression I get from him.
And people are, mostly, kind to one another. And when they aren't, an efficient police force catches them.
Whether that's achievable, or for some, desirable is a different matter.
Since becoming a Lib Dem your language has become really filthy. Is that the way Lib Dems talk.?
That word immediately felt significant.
https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1452193005713174534
We are so fucked...
Very rarely use it myself, except, perhaps, to myself, about something!
Every workplace is different
-Rishi Sunak
#Marr
‘Leadership’
https://twitter.com/paul__johnson/status/1452194051629928460
Though if he is a liberal One Nation type, how come his Cabinet is largely staffed by social conservatives and Britannia Unchained authors?
It’s back to normal now. It will be rants abiut ‘Laura pillock’ next.
Oh, God. What do we do now? Huh? Huh? What do we do now, huh, boy producer? Huh? Mister win-an-Emmy, social-conscience, whale-shit, save-the-rain-forest, peacenik-commie, fuckin'-hire-a-convict-shithead? Huh? What do we do now, liberal, affirmative action, shithead, peacenik commie fuck? What do you want to do now?
Of course you in Scotland don’t pay tuition fees, so who cares right?
Of the publicly listed members 19 One Nation Conservative members expelled from the party, and on first glance looks like none in the current cabinet.
So I can see an argument for MP's, on most occasions, when in the Chamber not to be masked, although when they're all shouting and cat-calling at PMQ's the situation might be different.
And yes. Yes it is. Yoghurt-knitting and white socks with sandals is just a cover story.
It was an off-the-cuff response, to incessant lobbying of No.10 by a group of FBPE-types from the CBI and other such groups, during the height of the Brexit negotiations.
There is a difference.
Maybe it was just satire like all of Johnson's other unfortunate comments.