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On the betting markets punters make it a 67% chance that Hancock will still be in his job on July 1

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Comments

  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    ydoethur said:

    She’s been booted out of the house. Where would they go?
    That's interesting gossip, (not that gossip is a good thing but ....)

    So the 'other woman' has split up with her husband? did she leave by chose or was she asked to leave?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350
    Aslan said:

    It was incredibly naive. Autocratic regimes always return to form sooner or later. They know they have no real legitimacy and so when they are challenged, they resort to suppression for regime survival.

    Taiwan is a thriving democratic regime and can be a beacon to people across China over what is possible if the CPC collapses. It would be immoral and geopolitically foolish if we let the CPC swallow it up. The equivalent of not doing anything over Poland in the 1930s.
    Poland under Pilsudski then Rydz was effectively a fascist autocracy, like Horthy’s Hungary. Czechoslovakia would be a much better parallel.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060
    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    I'm indebted to @another_richard for pointing out the daily vaccination dashboard and some sobering numbers.

    In England, 83.5% of adults have had the first vaccination, 61.3% have had both.

    In Newham, 52% of adults have had the first vaccination, 30% have had both.

    Having been out for a pleasant lunch in Barking, or as it is now to be known apparently, "Tornado Alley UK", I noticed on the way back three separate groups of evangelical Christians haranguing us constantly with the news Lord Jesus Christ loves us and all we need to do is to repent our sins for the life everlasting.

    None of these groups wore masks or practiced social distancing and I was left to muse on whether, among those with such evangelical faith, there was a very low take-up of vaccination because, apparently, God is going to take care of them. I noticed such sentiment in America as well.

    I was left to consider whether there was a correlation between the high level of religious belief in Newham (lowest percentage of agnostics and atheists in the UK according to the 2010 census) and the low level of vaccination take-up as mentioned above.

    My Israeli mole reports the same over there: God will take care of us so we don't need no vaccination; the possibility that God sent the vaccine to save his chosen people has not persuaded them.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    I'm indebted to @another_richard for pointing out the daily vaccination dashboard and some sobering numbers.

    In England, 83.5% of adults have had the first vaccination, 61.3% have had both.

    In Newham, 52% of adults have had the first vaccination, 30% have had both.

    Having been out for a pleasant lunch in Barking, or as it is now to be known apparently, "Tornado Alley UK", I noticed on the way back three separate groups of evangelical Christians haranguing us constantly with the news Lord Jesus Christ loves us and all we need to do is to repent our sins for the life everlasting.

    None of these groups wore masks or practiced social distancing and I was left to muse on whether, among those with such evangelical faith, there was a very low take-up of vaccination because, apparently, God is going to take care of them. I noticed such sentiment in America as well.

    I was left to consider whether there was a correlation between the high level of religious belief in Newham (lowest percentage of agnostics and atheists in the UK according to the 2010 census) and the low level of vaccination take-up as mentioned above.

    What's interesting is the ONS series on antibody prevalence. London, despite its pretty terrible vaccine take up actually has reasonably high antibody prevalence because it's seen two massive outbreaks.
  • As PBers may or may not know (or care) the western USA is in the grips of a major heat wave. Here in the Great Pacific Northwest, on the seaward slide of the Cascade Mountains, we've mostly escaped due to our marine climate,specifically another weather system in the North Pacific that's been holding the massive blob of hot air at bay.

    Until now, that is. Yesterday was hot for Seattle, got to 87F at SeaTac Airport. AND last night's low temperature was in the low 70Fs just outside my own personal shanty. High today is expected to be mid-90Fs. And Sunday's forecast to be even hotter, possibly beating the all-time high-temp record for June in Seattle, which is 103F.

    Seattle is a city that, rather unique for America, does NOT have a high level of air conditioning, esp. for houses and apartments. Indeed, has always been something we're proud of. Until now!

    Am now going to water the plants - they're really gonna need it today.

    FWIW The summer is shite here so far do you are going to be suffering for sympathy here.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    Carnyx said:

    Does he really come over as Scottish? He seems to be so cosmopolitan as to defy any such specificity.
    He does sound pretty Scottish. Nice try though. :smile:
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,765

    "Keir Starmer is facing a leadership challenge from Corbyn ally Dawn Butler if he loses Batley by-election"

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2021/06/26/keir-starmer-facing-hard-left-leadership-challenge-corbyn-ally/

    Don't believe everything (or even anything) that you read in the Telegraph. Highly unlikely. And even if she does, not a chance. Dawn Butler ain't no AOC.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    I agree with you that Starmer is a grave disappointment. However your solution is to return to a Corbynista leader (remember you can't have Burnham as he is otherwise occupied) so you are lumbered with Rayner, Long- Bailey, or Burgon. And what did a Corbynista leader return in 2019? A Johnson landslide!

    So what would I propose? No idea really, perhaps time travel back to 2015 and warn idiot Labour MPs not to nominate Corbyn for leader. That way you would have got Burnham too.
    Yevette Copper is still an MP (I think) not that I want to help the Labour party, but I think she has a decent enough combination of skills, to be a fairly good leader,
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    BigRich said:

    That's interesting gossip, (not that gossip is a good thing but ....)

    So the 'other woman' has split up with her husband? did she leave by chose or was she asked to leave?
    All there is regarding that is a photo...
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    edited June 2021

    I agree with you that Starmer is a grave disappointment. However your solution is to return to a Corbynista leader (remember you can't have Burnham as he is otherwise occupied) so you are lumbered with Rayner, Long- Bailey, or Burgon. And what did a Corbynista leader return in 2019? A Johnson landslide!

    So what would I propose? No idea really, perhaps time travel back to 2015 and warn idiot Labour MPs not to nominate Corbyn for leader. That way you would have got Burnham too.
    Don’t you concede the Brexit bug in Labours electoral base, means Boris has brexiteers support, is the issue regardless who is in charge, BJ?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    eek said:

    Palestine really isn't an issue for day to day British Politics. Granted it's a mess this country is partly responsible for creating but for the past 73 years the Israelis have governed themselves.
    But it's an issue of importance for many Muslims. Galloway has built his appeal to them on it.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 14,780

    FWIW The summer is shite here so far do you are going to be suffering for sympathy here.
    What? Absolutely glorious June weather in South Manchester today. Perfect shorta and t-shirt weather.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    Does anyone know why Labour are nowhere on this Hancock stuff. Why aren't they on every single news channel, newspaper and radio station smashing the door down. It's got to be worth at least a 5 point swing if Boris doesn't sack Hancock.
  • pm215pm215 Posts: 1,231
    edited June 2021
    stodge said:

    I'm indebted to @another_richard for pointing out the daily vaccination dashboard and some sobering numbers.

    In England, 83.5% of adults have had the first vaccination, 61.3% have had both.

    In Newham, 52% of adults have had the first vaccination, 30% have had both.

    Cambridge has some similarly depressing figures. I would really like to see per-area graphs of vaccine takeup over time by agegroup, so you could see how much was "lots of younger people here who were only elegible recently" and how much was "curve flattens out at a level below the national average for the agegroup".
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350

    Don't believe everything (or even anything) that you read in the Telegraph. Highly unlikely. And even if she does, not a chance. Dawn Butler ain't no AOC.
    One reason I would be astonished if Starmer is removed is simply because, as has effectively been the case since 2019, there isn’t a plausible alternative and unless he quits, Labour’s rules require a challenger to topple an incumbent leader.

    Sod not having a Heseltine, they don’t even have an Owen Smith right now.

    If Dawn Butler is the best they can come up with, Starmer is safe.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    Given the way Johnson has treated other Cabinet ministers and Cummings after what we might call 'Professional Standards Slips' I don't see why Hancock isn't 1/5 at the longest to survive the next few days.
  • gealbhangealbhan Posts: 2,362
    ydoethur said:

    She’s been booted out of the house. Where would they go?
    Love Island?

    When you love your family as much as your mistress, how to stand by both is tricky, is why so many books and tv cover the question.
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,486
    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    I'm indebted to @another_richard for pointing out the daily vaccination dashboard and some sobering numbers.

    In England, 83.5% of adults have had the first vaccination, 61.3% have had both.

    In Newham, 52% of adults have had the first vaccination, 30% have had both.

    Having been out for a pleasant lunch in Barking, or as it is now to be known apparently, "Tornado Alley UK", I noticed on the way back three separate groups of evangelical Christians haranguing us constantly with the news Lord Jesus Christ loves us and all we need to do is to repent our sins for the life everlasting.

    None of these groups wore masks or practiced social distancing and I was left to muse on whether, among those with such evangelical faith, there was a very low take-up of vaccination because, apparently, God is going to take care of them. I noticed such sentiment in America as well.

    I was left to consider whether there was a correlation between the high level of religious belief in Newham (lowest percentage of agnostics and atheists in the UK according to the 2010 census) and the low level of vaccination take-up as mentioned above.

    I think you're absolutely right. Belief in one superstition - in this case religion - obviously makes you vulnerable to another: anti-vax nonsense. Both are associated with low levels of intelligence and education.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 44,617
    kinabalu said:

    He does sound pretty Scottish. Nice try though. :smile:
    I have a tin ear for accents - so had been wondering, and you've answered the question nicely!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    edited June 2021
    MaxPB said:

    Does anyone know why Labour are nowhere on this Hancock stuff. Why aren't they on every single news channel, newspaper and radio station smashing the door down. It's got to be worth at least a 5 point swing if Boris doesn't sack Hancock.

    The media are doing the work for them and I would guess the worry is (or they know) there are people in the Labour Party who have done similar.

    Hypocrisy is what is really killing Hancock, he has been going round telling everybody to stick to the rules, then hasn't himself.

    Cummings actions, his refusal to go and the press pack got Labour 10% in the polls, without them having to do much.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    rcs1000 said:

    I'm currently in Redding, CA. The high today is forecast to be 46 degrees.
    You know you are too invested in political betting when you think "I didn't know there was a town called Redding in Chesham and Amersham..."
  • eekeek Posts: 29,690
    kinabalu said:

    But it's an issue of importance for many Muslims. Galloway has built his appeal to them on it.
    And it's an issue that we can do nothing about - so the correct response to Galloway is to ask him what he can and will do to fix the issue. And then watch him fall apart...
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,814
    MaxPB said:

    Does anyone know why Labour are nowhere on this Hancock stuff. Why aren't they on every single news channel, newspaper and radio station smashing the door down. It's got to be worth at least a 5 point swing if Boris doesn't sack Hancock.

    Well. I’m not naughty enough to say so. But there’s one possible reason. Along much the same lines as the criticism thrown Boris’s way in the past 24 hours.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423
    kinabalu said:

    If Labour lose Batley due to a big Muslim vote for George Galloway it won't be fair or valid to attribute it to homophobia. The fact is, Galloway has strong appeal to Muslims here - has twice won a seat off the back of this - and it's in large part due to his long and loud campaigning for Palestine. And it's also a fact that Labour under Starmer is not as overtly pro-Palestine as it was under Corbyn. Plus there's been far more focus on antisemitism under Starmer than on islamophobia. These are all reasons why Muslims might desert the party and lodge a by-election protest vote for GG. Anybody who ignores this and instead homes in purely on Muslim homophobia (and/or antisemitism) as the reason for the result will be showing a bit of islamophobic leg.
    People raising the issue of homophobia will not be the same as those homing in 'purely' on the issue of homophobia of course. Yet will people doing the former be accused of doing the former?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    MaxPB said:

    Does anyone know why Labour are nowhere on this Hancock stuff. Why aren't they on every single news channel, newspaper and radio station smashing the door down. It's got to be worth at least a 5 point swing if Boris doesn't sack Hancock.

    They’ve sent every available shadow cabinet minister to Batley and Spen, and don’t have enough people left in London to shout for the Health minister’s head.

    Except there’s no-one in Batley and Spen, so what the hell are they all doing today?
  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,486
    edited June 2021
    BigRich said:

    At this rate of groth, it may pass its all time high of 29,000 cases in a day, i the next week to 10 days.
    We all suspect Russia massively undercounts, too, by up to 400% according to The Economist.

    https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/coronavirus-excess-deaths-tracker
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,080
    Has he resigned yet?

    (Charlie Falconer)
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,449
    pm215 said:

    Cambridge has some similarly depressing figures. I would really like to see per-area graphs of vaccine takeup over time by agegroup, so you could see how much was "lots of younger people here who were only elegible recently" and how much was "curve flattens out at a level below the national average for the agegroup".
    Newham is a "young" area so the vaccination programme started very slowly here. A high percentage of non take-up of vaccines among over-70s for example would mean a much smaller figure in absolute terms than in many other areas.
  • YBarddCwscYBarddCwsc Posts: 7,172
    eek said:

    And it's an issue that we can do nothing about - so the correct response to Galloway is to ask him what he can and will do to fix the issue. And then watch him fall apart...
    I suspect George will have a solution that can "fix the issue" of Palestine because ...

    "Because you're gorgeous
    I'd do anything for you
    Because you're gorgeous
    I know you'll get me through"
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,080
    edited June 2021

    Don't believe everything (or even anything) that you read in the Telegraph. Highly unlikely. And even if she does, not a chance. Dawn Butler ain't no AOC.
    Dawn Butler is as thick as mince. Lovely smile though!
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Sandpit said:

    They’ve sent every available shadow cabinet minister to Batley and Spen, and don’t have enough people left in London to shout for the Health minister’s head.

    Except there’s no-one in Batley and Spen, so what the hell are they all doing today?
    Spending the day braking social distancing with their own mistraces? :wink:

    only joking!!

    But this did make me think, if a Mistrace is a female, with whom, somebody is having an affair, is there an equivalent word for a male, with whom somebody is having an affair?
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,080
    MaxPB said:

    Does anyone know why Labour are nowhere on this Hancock stuff. Why aren't they on every single news channel, newspaper and radio station smashing the door down. It's got to be worth at least a 5 point swing if Boris doesn't sack Hancock.

    But it will be a temporary swing. It will swing back to Boris over time. He's got the northern white working class vote sewn up. Based on unicorns et al. All lies of course....
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    Sandpit said:

    With whom would you replace him?
    A tub of lard?
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060

    Plenty of others were Remain supporters - Buckland, Wallace, Williamson, Sharma, Truss, Cofffey, Jenrick, Lewis, Shapps, Hart, Dowden, Milling and probably Jack as well.

    So over half the cabinet even if none of the top jobs.
    Are we betting without the Prime Minister himself? It always seemed to me that Boris was a Remainer pretending to be a Leaver, while Theresa May was a Leaver pretending to be a Remainer.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,457

    Starmer will have my support as long as he stops the cult taking over
    If Butler were to manage to get enough support for a challenge (which I think very unlikely) it could put a lot of the less rebellious MPs in an awkward position. Would they risk allowing a Butler versus Starmer two horse race? If not who would do better against the left? Perhaps a compromise leftish candidate would be found?



  • AslanAslan Posts: 1,673

    Are we betting without the Prime Minister himself? It always seemed to me that Boris was a Remainer pretending to be a Leaver, while Theresa May was a Leaver pretending to be a Remainer.
    If you read the two Boris columns it is pretty clear his heart was in Leave.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    kinabalu said:

    He does sound pretty Scottish. Nice try though. :smile:
    Like any talented man o’ the world Galloway adjusts to the environment in which he finds himself. His current accent is certainly some distance from the working class stews of Dundee which he likes to flash as his credentials when he lifts his (thankfully) metaphorical kilt.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    Omnium said:

    If Butler were to manage to get enough support for a challenge (which I think very unlikely) it could put a lot of the less rebellious MPs in an awkward position. Would they risk allowing a Butler versus Starmer two horse race? If not who would do better against the left? Perhaps a compromise leftish candidate would be found?



    I'm speculating here from first impressions, I haven't thought this through in detail, but I don't see why they wouldn't let Butler face Starmer alone on the assumption that he'd crush her like Corbyn crushed Owen Smith. The membership is nowhere near turning on Starmer. Much like Corbyn they surely feel he deserves a chance to fight a general election campaign.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060
    Wales to beat Denmark please.

    Betfair has, in the 90-minutes betting:-
    Wales 4.5
    Denmark 2.1
    Draw 3.2

    To qualify:-
    Wales 3
    Denmark 1.48
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    felix said:

    A tub of lard?
    Nice reference!
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 11,457
    Quincel said:

    I'm speculating here from first impressions, I haven't thought this through in detail, but I don't see why they wouldn't let Butler face Starmer alone on the assumption that he'd crush her like Corbyn crushed Owen Smith. The membership is nowhere near turning on Starmer. Much like Corbyn they surely feel he deserves a chance to fight a general election campaign.
    The worse the challenger the more scary it'd be as a prospect.
    Unlikely scenario anyway and I suspect your conclusion is right, but you'd imagine there'd be some sleepless nights.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,540
    edited June 2021
    gealbhan said:

    Love Island?

    When you love your family as much as your mistress, how to stand by both is tricky, is why so many books and tv cover the question.
    West Suffolk?
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    kle4 said:

    People raising the issue of homophobia will not be the same as those homing in 'purely' on the issue of homophobia of course. Yet will people doing the former be accused of doing the latter?
    Not by me. The ear - ☺
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569

    Wales to beat Denmark please.

    Betfair has, in the 90-minutes betting:-
    Wales 4.5
    Denmark 2.1
    Draw 3.2

    To qualify:-
    Wales 3
    Denmark 1.48

    Come on Denmark, do it for Christian Eriksen.

    Should also help them that they are playing at Eriksen's old ground in Amsterdam.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    eek said:

    And it's an issue that we can do nothing about - so the correct response to Galloway is to ask him what he can and will do to fix the issue. And then watch him fall apart...
    It's a nice thought.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,540

    Like any talented man o’ the world Galloway adjusts to the environment in which he finds himself. His current accent is certainly some distance from the working class stews of Dundee which he likes to flash as his credentials when he lifts his (thankfully) metaphorical kilt.
    He seems to sound rather more Scottish for the Scottish Election this spring:

    https://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/scottish-election-2021-galloway-warns-of-catalonia-style-unrest-if-salmond-reaches-holyrood-3192257

    :smile:
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569
    edited June 2021
    On topic, Hancock should go, but the grounds for his dismissal brings back awkward precedents for Boris Johnson.

    So Hancock might survive, but he's been exposed like one of those family values Christian conservative in America who rails against homosexuality then gets caughts getting fellatio from numerous guys in an airport restroom.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Looks like cases in Begum might be rising again, bases on the lase 2 days numbers:

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/belgium/

  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060

    Come on Denmark, do it for Christian Eriksen.

    Should also help them that they are playing at Eriksen's old ground in Amsterdam.
    The crowd is massively behind Denmark because of the (ex-Ajax) Eriksen factor, as you suggest, but the Danish defence is not the best and Wales has the two best players at the sharp end: Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale. I really do not understand why the betting is so skewed to the Danes unless people are getting carried away with their win over Russia.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    My heart favours Wales

    My betting favours Denmark

    Hmm
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681
    isam said:

    They will never, ever admit they were wrong. It would be tantamount to admitting multiculturalism doesn't work. How could they then answer the questions about terrorism and grooming gangs that would follow?
    How would you go about extinguishing multiculturalism in England?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    Sri Lanka more useless than Warwick University COVID models...
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350

    Sri Lanka more useless than Warwick University COVID models...

    Unfair. They at least hold the bat the right way up.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569

    The crowd is massively behind Denmark because of the (ex-Ajax) Eriksen factor, as you suggest, but the Danish defence is not the best and Wales has the two best players at the sharp end: Aaron Ramsey and Gareth Bale. I really do not understand why the betting is so skewed to the Danes unless people are getting carried away with their win over Russia.
    The Eriksen emotion and the fact the Welsh aren't allowed to travel to Amsterdam.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Which didn't stop him putting 5 Englishmen on the bench
    Who have had less training time than the weslh/irish/Scots.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350
    Dick, well extracted.

    No, not a cryptic crossword clue about Hancock, that’s a pun on the cricket.
  • Cookie said:

    What? Absolutely glorious June weather in South Manchester today. Perfect shorta and t-shirt weather.
    Been rainy for last few days in Liverpool. We had a couple of hours of sun today but black clouds on their way back.
  • pingping Posts: 3,805
    edited June 2021
    Denmark!!!

    1-0
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569
    Yes!

    Denmark!
  • borisatsunborisatsun Posts: 188
    Alistair said:

    Who have had less training time than the weslh/irish/Scots.
    Even so I'm certain that Gatland pathetically relished the opportunity to be the first Lions manager in living memory not to start a single Englishman.
  • Nunu3Nunu3 Posts: 264
    BigRich said:

    Agreed,

    She is probably a wonderful person, I have no axe to grind here. but in the few clips I've seen of her, she is not a 'robust' candidate, dos not seem to do 'political confutation' well, and did not come across well in the hustings. Perhaps standing in a safe seat at a GE and we would not notice, and possibly has a lot of offer HoC, I don't know. But, I get the feeling she was adopted by Lab, because of who her sister was, and I have empathy for that chose and the people making it, but It does not look like a good chose at the moment.
    *choice
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 43,223
    kinabalu said:

    How would you go about extinguishing multiculturalism in England?
    🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🎶Strong Britain, Great Nation🎶🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,906

    Sri Lanka more useless than Warwick University COVID models...

    That's a shame, I was looking forward to the 11,000-0 result they were predicting for tonight's match
  • Nunu3Nunu3 Posts: 264
    The Batley and Spen by election has really bought the xenophobes of pb out in full force.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    Nunu3 said:

    *choice
    I have probably made another spelling mistake, I am sorry in that I don't do it deliberately, but I am dyslectic, and and I post on here for fun not as work, so don't put as much effort in to correcting things.

    I really don't mind people pointing it out, or having a good giggle is I have made a funny mistake. I'm only replying as you are a fairly new poster on hear, but its probably not going to change any time soon.

    Hope that's OK?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    kinabalu said:

    How would you go about extinguishing multiculturalism in England?
    I wouldn’t use ‘extinguishing’, that sounds very sinister. I don’t think there is a way out of it now, the damage is done.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    64-8...that embarrassing.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,668
    Nunu3 said:

    *choice
    AAUI @BigRich has dyslexia and had been worried that people would be dicks about his spelling and grammar on PB.
  • Nunu3Nunu3 Posts: 264
    kinabalu said:

    How would you go about extinguishing multiculturalism in England?
    He doesn't want to extinguish multiculturalism he wants to extinguish Muslims from Britain, he won't say it like that, but that is what he wants, as is clear from the tone of his posts.

    I've got news for him, we ain't going anywhere, ever.
  • AnExileinD4AnExileinD4 Posts: 337
    BigRich said:

    That's interesting gossip, (not that gossip is a good thing but ....)

    So the 'other woman' has split up with her husband? did she leave by chose or was she asked to leave?
    A magnificent example of “the public is interested” rather than “in the public interest”. Have you considered being a journalist and pretending the latter and the former are the same in every circumstance?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    Nunu3 said:

    He doesn't want to extinguish multiculturalism he wants to extinguish Muslims from Britain, he won't say it like that, but that is what he wants, as is clear from the tone of his posts.

    I've got news for him, we ain't going anywhere, ever.
    Bad boy for life!
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 27,492
    pm215 said:

    Cambridge has some similarly depressing figures. I would really like to see per-area graphs of vaccine takeup over time by agegroup, so you could see how much was "lots of younger people here who were only elegible recently" and how much was "curve flattens out at a level below the national average for the agegroup".
    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaType=ltla&areaName=Cambridge
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,771
    Has anyone noticed Biden shortening and Harris drifting for 2024 over the last few days.

    Now very close:

    Harris 5.7
    Biden 5.9
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    Bloody ridiculous decision to not allow to rejoin the squad. 5 days of a couple of tests a day would confirm if he had covid or not.

    Mason Mount is confident he will be ready to start England’s last-16 tie against Germany, even though he and Ben Chilwell will not be allowed to rejoin their teammates until the day of the game.
  • Pro_RataPro_Rata Posts: 5,560
    I do think a lot of candidates, a lot of actual parliamentarians would struggle badly in the bear pit of a Galloway campaign in full throat - trickier, dirtier and more downright scabrously personal against his opponents than almost any other candidate, including any former Kipper I can think of.

    I don't think Leadbeater is a terrible candidate, and she had genuinely built a somewhat favourable profile of her own prior to selection. But, on the other hand, she wasn't an experienced, hardened or exceptional political candidate, she wasn't expecting or ready for the smegstorm of this campaign and she is getting thoroughly trashed. You'd think, in normal circumstances, she'd do better and I think refusing interviews is reflective of the circumstances rather than the type of candidate she is.

    If she isn't good enough for this, then not many n others would have been either.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,034
    kinabalu said:

    If Labour lose Batley due to a big Muslim vote for George Galloway it won't be fair or valid to attribute it to homophobia. The fact is, Galloway has strong appeal to Muslims here - has twice won a seat off the back of this - and it's in large part due to his long and loud campaigning for Palestine. And it's also a fact that Labour under Starmer is not as overtly pro-Palestine as it was under Corbyn. Plus there's been far more focus on antisemitism under Starmer than on islamophobia. These are all reasons why Muslims might desert the party and lodge a by-election protest vote for GG. Anybody who ignores this and instead homes in purely on Muslim homophobia (and/or antisemitism) as the reason for the result will be showing a bit of islamophobic leg.
    However you choose to try and dress it up anti-semitism and homophobia are right at the heart of the reasons muslims are switching to Galloway. It really is about time that Labour stopped pussy-footing around those issues and told muslims that hold those views to do one. It's one of the reasons I let my membership lapse when Corbyn became leader. You are deluding yourself Kinabalu, I witnessed it my own CLP
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569

    Bloody ridiculous decision to not allow to rejoin the squad. 5 days of a couple of tests a day would confirm if he had covid or not.

    Mason Mount is confident he will be ready to start England’s last-16 tie against Germany, even though he and Ben Chilwell will not be allowed to rejoin their teammates until the day of the game.

    Bloody Scots, build a wall and keep them out.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,361
    ydoethur said:

    I hope his(?) comments haven’t upset you @BigRich. I value your posts and I never bother about the spellings. It’s always clear enough what you’re saying and always worth reading.

    Besides, autocorrect is quite capable of cocking up anyone’s spelling all on its own.
    Anybody who posts from a phone, its so easy for combo of autocorrect and far fingering to mistype.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 30,060
    Half-time betting
    90 minutes:-
    Wales 21
    Denmark 1.27
    Draw 5.9

    To qualify:-
    Wales 8.2
    Denmark 1.13
  • FenmanFenman Posts: 1,047

    Bloody ridiculous decision to not allow to rejoin the squad. 5 days of a couple of tests a day would confirm if he had covid or not.

    Mason Mount is confident he will be ready to start England’s last-16 tie against Germany, even though he and Ben Chilwell will not be allowed to rejoin their teammates until the day of the game.

    As England's main weakness is over coaching, this may not be a bad thing.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,008
    BigRich said:

    I have probably made another spelling mistake, I am sorry in that I don't do it deliberately, but I am dyslectic, and and I post on here for fun not as work, so don't put as much effort in to correcting things.

    I really don't mind people pointing it out, or having a good giggle is I have made a funny mistake. I'm only replying as you are a fairly new poster on hear, but its probably not going to change any time soon.

    Hope that's OK?
    Please do not apologise and continue with your regular and interesting posts
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,681

    🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧🎶Strong Britain, Great Nation🎶🇬🇧🇬🇧🇬🇧
    Well it's all sounding a bit Heavy Woollens to me. They want a unifying national identity. Having first talked about and dealt with the stuff that other politicians are too scared to talk about and deal with.

    But then again I am feeling extra specially left and radical atm. Last night I listened to an album I haven't for decades. Power in the Darkness by TRB. From the early days of Thatcher but still fabulous in 2021.

    "I don't believe that sort of thing ... happens here."

    ✊✊✊ - ☺
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,569

    Anybody who posts from a phone, its so easy for combo of autocorrect and far fingering to mistype.
    Yes, autocorrect is the bane of my life.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350
    Sri Lanka can’t even block Liam Livingstone.

    They really are having a mare this tour.
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaType=ltla&areaName=Cambridge
    Interesting, it seems that each age group in Cambridge, is behind the UK national average, only a % or 2 for the very oldest, but significantly for the middle age, 50 -54 Year olds, its 76.86% to 85.28%
  • isamisam Posts: 41,218
    OllyT said:

    However you choose to try and dress it up anti-semitism and homophobia are right at the heart of the reasons muslims are switching to Galloway. It really is about time that Labour stopped pussy-footing around those issues and told muslims that hold those views to do one. It's one of the reasons I let my membership lapse when Corbyn became leader. You are deluding yourself Kinabalu, I witnessed it my own CLP
    It seems it is islamophobic to take what the majority of British Muslims say they believe (that homosexuality should be illegal) at face value. Do left wingers think belief in Islamic values is false conciousness? Chinese style re education in store?

    …to quote from neo-nazi handbook The Guardian

    “ …when asked to what extent they agreed or disagreed that homosexuality should be legal in Britain, 18% said they agreed and 52% said they disagreed, compared with 5% among the public at large who disagreed. Almost half (47%) said they did not agree that it was acceptable for a gay person to become a teacher, compared with 14% of the general population.”

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/apr/11/british-muslims-strong-sense-of-belonging-poll-homosexuality-sharia-law
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    ydoethur said:

    I hope his(?) comments haven’t upset you @BigRich. I value your posts and I never bother about the spellings. It’s always clear enough what you’re saying and always worth reading.

    Besides, autocorrect is quite capable of cocking up anyone’s spelling all on its own.
    No, defiantly not upset, I really do have a sense of humour about my mistakes, he was no-doubt correct, I only mention it so people are aware,

    Thanks for the assurance that what I type is normally readable, that is good to know.

    And please feel free to 'rore with lafter' if if the mistake calls for it.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,801
    BigRich said:

    Interesting, it seems that each age group in Cambridge, is behind the UK national average, only a % or 2 for the very oldest, but significantly for the middle age, 50 -54 Year olds, its 76.86% to 85.28%
    NIMS data is, IMO, too unreliable to be making comparisons to the national figures which are ONS numbers.

    NIMS overestimates the population by 5-15% all over the country because people move around, students especially so and Cambridge is a student city.
  • algarkirkalgarkirk Posts: 13,956
    edited June 2021
    Omnium said:

    If Butler were to manage to get enough support for a challenge (which I think very unlikely) it could put a lot of the less rebellious MPs in an awkward position. Would they risk allowing a Butler versus Starmer two horse race? If not who would do better against the left? Perhaps a compromise leftish candidate would be found?



    The most telling question is: Who do the Tories not want as Labour leader? Are there any candidates?

    It is quite possible that the answer is no-one. But my list would tentatively include Jess Phillips and Hilary Benn. After that it's a blank. As neither of them seem anywhere close, the Tories can possibly sleep easy.

  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350
    Well, however you phrase it, that T20 tour was a fecking disaster for Sri Lanka. I don’t think one thing has gone well for them.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,008
    algarkirk said:

    The most telling question is: Who do the Tories not want as Labour leader? Are there any candidates?

    It is quite possible that the answer is no-one. But my list would tentatively include Jess Phillips and Hilary Benn. After that it's a blank. As neither of them seem anywhere close, the Tories can possibly sleep easy.

    Andy Burnham probably
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 65,008
    Reading the various posts on B & S it seems a nightmare for Labour but also it does seem most think it is a loss

    Is it the case Labour are virtually certain to lose
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,281
    I don't know what Sri Lanka's 50 over side is like atm, but their 20 over side is clearly a bit rubbish.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 34,281
    edited June 2021
    pm215 said:

    Cambridge has some similarly depressing figures. I would really like to see per-area graphs of vaccine takeup over time by agegroup, so you could see how much was "lots of younger people here who were only elegible recently" and how much was "curve flattens out at a level below the national average for the agegroup".
    Cambridge proving that you can live in a university city and still be rather stupid. (Unless the figures are solely down to having a younger population).
  • BigRichBigRich Posts: 3,492
    MaxPB said:

    NIMS data is, IMO, too unreliable to be making comparisons to the national figures which are ONS numbers.

    NIMS overestimates the population by 5-15% all over the country because people move around, students especially so and Cambridge is a student city.
    That's good to know and will enplane some of it, but I assume that not many 50-54 year olds are students, some will be but not many I would have thought.

    Also I have taken both bits of data form the Uk Gov, Covid dashboard, I would have thought that one was the aggregate of the other? am I wrong?

    National:

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaType=nation&areaName=England

    Cambridge:

    https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/details/vaccinations?areaType=ltla&areaName=Cambridge

    IIRC, Cambridge is decidedly anti Boris and anti Brexit, so I can see some of that spilling over to not wishing his vaccine rollout to be a success, (but this is probably only a small minority of people even in Cambridge)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 98,423

    Reading the various posts on B & S it seems a nightmare for Labour but also it does seem most think it is a loss

    Is it the case Labour are virtually certain to lose

    Nothing is certain. Some people speculated immediately upon the Hancock news that Labour might yet win.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 20,396
    isam said:

    They will never, ever admit they were wrong. It would be tantamount to admitting multiculturalism doesn't work. How could they then answer the questions about terrorism and grooming gangs that would follow?
    Very telling that five people liked your post. You are a self confessed fan of Enoch Powell and must be only a handful of people in the UK who didn't find anything distasteful in his Rivers of Blood speech. It's possible that the five 'likers' didn't have a long enough post to judge you but it's equally likely that when you pull back the rock those five are what comes crawlng out.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,350
    Oh my goodness.

    This is horrendous.

    Florida building collapse: Report from 2018 warned of 'major damage'
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57621774

    If 50% of that report is accurate then we’re surely talking possible third degree homicide charges.
This discussion has been closed.