Trump night have his base but for most Americans he’s electorally toxic – politicalbetting.com
The above poll finding from the well-regarded Pew Research sets out simply the challenge Republican leaders have as they meet for their annual gathering CPAC gathering in Orlando this weekend.
Comments
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First like England.0
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First - like England should be.0
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Plenty of time for England to come through in the second half! 👍0
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I saw the word ‘toxic’ and thought for a moment this was going to be a thread on the rugby.
Edit - posts 2 and 3 say I thought right...0 -
Donald Trump might be toxic but he's not as bad as Pascal Gauzere.2
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About 10th.0
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His main problem is that he offers no path to the future. As President everything was already done.TheScreamingEagles said:Donald Trump might be toxic but he's not as bad as Pascal Gauzere.
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I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!0 -
On topic:
Possibly. After all, Trump is a lying, cheating, vote fixing, incompetent, lazy, stupid looking wazzock who should be electoral poison in any sane country.
BUT
Poor old Joe Biden has an awful lot on his plate. The economy is a shambles. Healthcare is a much greater shambles. The international situation is very sticky and an oil shock could follow recent record lows. America’s infrastructure is in much the same state as ours, and for much the same reason. He has his own nutters to keep a careful watch on.
The next 18 months will be hard.
And Trump is always News, for good or ill. He may be a lunatic, but he’s a lunatic who can command attention and get his message out.
I don’t think I would be wagering much on this market at this stage.1 -
FTP
Fairliered said:
» show previous quotes
The senior SNP people are likely to be staffers, rather than MPs or MSPs. People like Peter Murrell and Sue Ruddick.
Fairlie surely you know well some of the close circle involved, more than staffers involved in this conspiracy.0 -
In which war was the Battle of Norfolk fought?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
Most people say the Norman invasion of England, or the English civil war, and some Americans say the American civil war, or the American war of independence.
The correct answer is the first Gulf War.
Today is the 30th anniversary of the Battle of Norfolk.4 -
Who was the first Muslim to captain the England cricket team?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
A - Nasser Hussain.2 -
FPT
MarqueeMark said:
» show previous quotes
I reckon there's a significant portion of SNP support that would have no truck with her if they believed she was a liar. Their support might depart at least until she was replaced as First Minister - regardless of being given a "clean bill of health" by the Scottish Establishment.
significant portion already know she is a liar. Most people will hold their noses and vote SNP 1 but many will vote other independence parties with vote 2.
Hopefully she is gone before election.
If Salmond and a few big hitters join one of the independence parties then the game is a bogey.1 -
Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.3 -
For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).0 -
This raises a bunch of interesting questions:
(1) There are a reasonable number of Republican Senators, Governors and even a couple of Representatives who supported the Impeachment of former President Trump. Are they simply not welcome? Are Sasse and Romney and Cheney* effectively barred from CPAC? Or are they going to have stage time too?
(2) Does this mean we're going to have a rush of primary challenges? I could easily see Murkowski challenged (again), lose the Republican Primary (again), and then walk it at as a write in (again). If that happens, is she really going to rejoin the Republican caucus?
(3) Trump is very popular with 60% of Republicans, but *really* unpopular with a lot of Democrats, and pretty unpopular with Independents too. If the 2022 elections are a referendum on Biden, then the Republicans probably walk them. If they're a referendum on Trump, then you could see that rarest of things: a party going forward in their first mid-terms.
* Note, I'm choosing Conservatives here1 -
Congratulations to the Welsh for their first legitimate try of the match.0
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Love it.TheScreamingEagles said:
In which war was the Battle of Norfolk fought?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
Most people say the Norman invasion of England, or the English civil war, and some Americans say the American civil war, or the American war of independence.
The correct answer is the first Gulf War.
Today is the 30th anniversary of the Battle of Norfolk.0 -
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.0 -
To the nearest minute, how long does the Earth take to rotate once?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!1 -
And afterwards, at the local place of ease, there was a battle for the Norfolk Broads.TheScreamingEagles said:
In which war was the Battle of Norfolk fought?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
Most people say the Norman invasion of England, or the English civil war, and some Americans say the American civil war, or the American war of independence.
The correct answer is the first Gulf War.
Today is the 30th anniversary of the Battle of Norfolk.0 -
Now the ref is trolling England. That went backwards0
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Course the problem with Rugby Union is the Laws are open to interpratation, and not at all clear.
I draw your attention to Law 11 here.
https://www.world.rugby/the-game/laws/law/11/?highlight=Knock
It simply does not mention whether the ball has to touch the ground.
Therefore, is a juggle a knock on? It used to be, but not now.
And when does a knock on become a kick? Technically every kick from hand could be seen as a knock on, as the ball goes forward onto the foot.1 -
The Earth rotating makes my day.tlg86 said:
To the nearest minute, how long does the Earth take to rotate once?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!3 -
In what year was the first Asian elected to Britain's parliament?
18920 -
Who was the first president of the United States? Both the Continental Congress and the Articles of Confederation-governed nation had several people in this position. (Respectively Peyton Randolph and John Hanson as the first in each.)Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
hours of tiresome fun as people argue back and forth about it.
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TheScreamingEagles said:
The Earth rotating makes my day.tlg86 said:
To the nearest minute, how long does the Earth take to rotate once?Luckyguy1983 said:I've got an hour to prepare 10 quiz questions again. Does anyone have any tidbits of questions to chuck my way? Think lowbrow (that's not deregatory to my friends, I apply the same designation to me).
TIA!
Your days are four minutes shorter than everyone else.
23 Hours 56 Minutes.0 -
Which MP pretended to be a while goods salesman...ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.0 -
If the quizees are middle-aged, how many chemical elements are there?
A 118 but most people will have left school with 103 or 106.0 -
Whitesquareroot2 said:
Which MP pretended to be a while goods salesman...ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.0 -
And on music (and yes, I know I've posted this already), who said:
"if Thom Yorke fucking shit into a light bulb and started blowing it like an empty beer bottle it’d probably get 9 out of 10 in fucking Mojo"?
Noel Gallagher0 -
There won't be a Republican primary for Senate in Alaska in the conventional sense, as the voting system has changed.rcs1000 said:
(2) Does this mean we're going to have a rush of primary challenges? I could easily see Murkowski challenged (again), lose the Republican Primary (again), and then walk it at as a write in (again). If that happens, is she really going to rejoin the Republican caucus?
Instead, there will be an all-party open primary, with the top four (which she will almost certainly make) progressing to the General Election in November, which will be decided by ranked choice voting.
So she'll have a challenger from the right (perhaps more than one), but won't lose a primary election or need to run from outside the Republican Party.
0 -
Which planet (in our solar system) has the shortest day?
Jupiter3 -
Which Beatle was the last to get a number one single in the US?
George Harrison1 -
Great! I'm right to assume it's Welsh, right? I'll look pretty stupid if it turns out to be Italian.ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.1 -
Ranked choice voting? Do you mean the alternative vote system?SirNorfolkPassmore said:
There won't be a Republican primary for Senate in Alaska in the conventional sense, as the voting system has changed.rcs1000 said:
(2) Does this mean we're going to have a rush of primary challenges? I could easily see Murkowski challenged (again), lose the Republican Primary (again), and then walk it at as a write in (again). If that happens, is she really going to rejoin the Republican caucus?
Instead, there will be an all-party open primary, with the top four (which she will almost certainly make) progressing to the General Election in November, which will be decided by ranked choice voting.
So she'll have a challenger from the right (perhaps more than one), but won't lose a primary election or need to run from outside the Republican Party.0 -
Fridge auto correct.squareroot2 said:
Which MP pretended to be a while goods salesman...ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.0 -
That makes her a raging cert to hold onto her seat, I would have thought.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
There won't be a Republican primary for Senate in Alaska in the conventional sense, as the voting system has changed.rcs1000 said:
(2) Does this mean we're going to have a rush of primary challenges? I could easily see Murkowski challenged (again), lose the Republican Primary (again), and then walk it at as a write in (again). If that happens, is she really going to rejoin the Republican caucus?
Instead, there will be an all-party open primary, with the top four (which she will almost certainly make) progressing to the General Election in November, which will be decided by ranked choice voting.
So she'll have a challenger from the right (perhaps more than one), but won't lose a primary election or need to run from outside the Republican Party.0 -
Yes.Luckyguy1983 said:
Great! I'm right to assume it's Welsh, right? I'll look pretty stupid if it turns out to be Italian.ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.0 -
Classy question!rcs1000 said:Which Beatle was the last to get a number one single in the US?
George Harrison0 -
29% is over half the 47% who voted for Trump in 2016, which means Trump will retain hold over the GOP for the foreseeable future even if he is unlikely to return to office in 20240
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_71w4UA2Oxo&ab_channel=GeorgeHarrisonVEVOLuckyguy1983 said:
Classy question!rcs1000 said:Which Beatle was the last to get a number one single in the US?
George Harrison0 -
Think it was washing machine actually????ydoethur said:
Fridge auto correct.squareroot2 said:
Which MP pretended to be a while goods salesman...ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.0 -
You could also ask:
Which Beatle produced the best selling solo album, and what was it?
George Harrison
All Things Must Pass0 -
Early versions of autocorrect corrected ‘fuck’ to ‘fridge’ and I was attempting without apparent success to make a truly convoluted pun on Boris Johnson’s famous question evasion strategy.squareroot2 said:
Think it was washing machine actually????ydoethur said:
Fridge auto correct.squareroot2 said:
Which MP pretended to be a while goods salesman...ydoethur said:Who was the only Prime Minister of the Uk Whose first language wasn’t English?
A - David Lloyd George.1 -
Mark Kelly was a great candidate in November, but he basically won by almost exactly the same margin as Raphael Warnock managed in Georgia in the run-off.rcs1000 said:
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
Democrats really have their tails up in Georgia, basically, and Republicans are in an awful situation.0 -
Which year were the Battles of Lexington and Concord.. A 1775 initial skirmishes in American War of Independence.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?1 -
The problem for the Republicans is that while just 29% of the voters want to see Trump on the national stage, the percentage of active Republicans grass roots who want that is much much higher.
And as moderates leave the party, that just grows.
So Trump has a lock on a party that looks increasingly toxic to the rest of America.
EDIT
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/10/26/what-the-2020-electorate-looks-like-by-party-race-and-ethnicity-age-education-and-religion/
29% of Americans identify as Republicans.....0 -
Answer is one vote majoritysquareroot2 said:Which year were the Battles of Lexington and Concord.. A 1775 initial skirmishes in American War of Independence.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?0 -
The answer is none, because the United States doesn’t have a national language.squareroot2 said:
Answer is one vote majoritysquareroot2 said:Which year were the Battles of Lexington and Concord.. A 1775 initial skirmishes in American War of Independence.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?
What Muhlenburg actually did was refuse a vote that would Have allowed the proceedings of Congress to be translated into German, which is a bit different.1 -
Excellent points.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Mark Kelly was a great candidate in November, but he basically won by almost exactly the same margin as Raphael Warnock managed in Georgia in the run-off.rcs1000 said:
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
That being said... Arizona is going to have a big battle over their Governor too. Ducey is well liked, and would probably walk the election if he were the Republican candidate. But it's entirely possible he won't be, because he failed to hand the election to Trump. Kelli Ward is the Chair of the Republican Party in Arizona and she is stark raving bonkers.0 -
Nigel Godrich is best known for producing Radiohead albums, but he also produced what album by Paul McCartney?
Chaos and Creation in the Backyard0 -
Ah, the Muhlenberg Legend. Surprised to see people still believing in itsquareroot2 said:
Answer is one vote majoritysquareroot2 said:Which year were the Battles of Lexington and Concord.. A 1775 initial skirmishes in American War of Independence.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhlenberg_legend2 -
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What's the 3rd most populated island in the British Isles?
A: Portsea Island (beating the Isle of Wight on population)3 -
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Yes, Kelli Ward is a disaster for the GOP in Arizona. Arizona has trended Democrat, of course, but still shouldn't really be all that purple. 2020 was the first time it voted for the Democrats at a Presidential election since Clinton's 1996 re-election landslide, and the last time before that was 1948. It's been fairly reliably red at Senate level until Sinema in 2018 - and she is very much a Blue Dog in the manner of Manchin in West Virginia.rcs1000 said:
Excellent points.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Mark Kelly was a great candidate in November, but he basically won by almost exactly the same margin as Raphael Warnock managed in Georgia in the run-off.rcs1000 said:
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
That being said... Arizona is going to have a big battle over their Governor too. Ducey is well liked, and would probably walk the election if he were the Republican candidate. But it's entirely possible he won't be, because he failed to hand the election to Trump. Kelli Ward is the Chair of the Republican Party in Arizona and she is stark raving bonkers.
They've thrown away those Senate seats and electoral votes recently, and have Ward and Co to blame far more than any demographic trends.0 -
I love it though - I might try to fashion a question around it anyway.DougSeal said:
Ah, the Muhlenberg Legend. Surprised to see people still believing in itsquareroot2 said:
Answer is one vote majoritysquareroot2 said:Which year were the Battles of Lexington and Concord.. A 1775 initial skirmishes in American War of Independence.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhlenberg_legend0 -
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I must admit, I like Sinema very much.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Yes, Kelli Ward is a disaster for the GOP in Arizona. Arizona has trended Democrat, of course, but still shouldn't really be all that purple. 2020 was the first time it voted for the Democrats at a Presidential election since Clinton's 1996 re-election landslide, and the last time before that was 1948. It's been fairly reliably red at Senate level until Sinema in 2018 - and she is very much a Blue Dog in the manner of Manchin in West Virginia.rcs1000 said:
Excellent points.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Mark Kelly was a great candidate in November, but he basically won by almost exactly the same margin as Raphael Warnock managed in Georgia in the run-off.rcs1000 said:
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
That being said... Arizona is going to have a big battle over their Governor too. Ducey is well liked, and would probably walk the election if he were the Republican candidate. But it's entirely possible he won't be, because he failed to hand the election to Trump. Kelli Ward is the Chair of the Republican Party in Arizona and she is stark raving bonkers.
They've thrown away those Senate seats and electoral votes recently, and have Ward and Co to blame far more than any demographic trends.0 -
-
Newton Heath LYR was the original name of which football club?
Bonus point for knowing what LYR stands for.0 -
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Here's a really tough one.
Brigham Young is Utah's famously Mormon University. It is no surprise that both of Utah's Senators, Mitt Romney and Mike Lee, are graduates.
But two other US Senators are graduates. Can you name either of them?0 -
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Looked it up. Very interesting.tlg86 said:Newton Heath LYR was the original name of which football club?
Bonus point for knowing what LYR stands for.0 -
Man Utdtlg86 said:Newton Heath LYR was the original name of which football club?
Bonus point for knowing what LYR stands for.
Lancashire Yorkshire Railway?1 -
Since the formation of the Football League in 1888-89, which is the only football club to have won the FA Cup as a non-league side?0
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Belatedly realising I have far too many Welsh people in my life.0
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The biggest and original club from North London.tlg86 said:Since the formation of the Football League in 1888-89, which is the only football club to have won the FA Cup as a non-league side?
0 -
Joining the choir may have been a mistake then.TheScreamingEagles said:Belatedly realising I have far too many Welsh people in my life.
1 -
"New Zealand's largest city, Auckland, goes in lockdown after 1 new Covid-19 case found"
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/new-zealand-s-largest-city-auckland-goes-lockdown-after-1-n12590370 -
That's a great question.Lennon said:What's the 3rd most populated island in the British Isles?
A: Portsea Island (beating the Isle of Wight on population)0 -
We get everywhere, don’t we?TheScreamingEagles said:Belatedly realising I have far too many Welsh people in my life.
3 -
0
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Which is why "zero Covid, lock the borders" is a *really* difficult trick to pull off.Andy_JS said:"New Zealand's largest city, Auckland, goes in lockdown after 1 new Covid-19 case found"
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/new-zealand-s-largest-city-auckland-goes-lockdown-after-1-n1259037
Thank goodness for Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Novavx, J&J and others.1 -
Yes, a great question!Richard_Tyndall said:
Looked it up. Very interesting.tlg86 said:Newton Heath LYR was the original name of which football club?
Bonus point for knowing what LYR stands for.0 -
What's the video about, has he been suspended from his own party?TheScreamingEagles said:Murrell-Ceausescus!
https://twitter.com/georgegalloway/status/13657218499638886461 -
Slightly off the point but there was a Turkish (in modern geography) Archbishop of Canterbury in 668.CarlottaVance said:3 -
Fake news - they weren't in London back then:TheScreamingEagles said:
The biggest and original club from North London.tlg86 said:Since the formation of the Football League in 1888-89, which is the only football club to have won the FA Cup as a non-league side?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middlesex#Extra-metropolitan_area0 -
Which was Hollywood's first inter-racial pairing on screen?1
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She's going to be really hard to dislodge for the Arizona GOP now she's in. They stupidly vacated the centre ground (which is fairly firmly right of centre in that state) and discarded the McCain-style bipartisan mantle. She gladly took it on, and it's going to be tough for them to get that back for a long time.rcs1000 said:
I must admit, I like Sinema very much.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Yes, Kelli Ward is a disaster for the GOP in Arizona. Arizona has trended Democrat, of course, but still shouldn't really be all that purple. 2020 was the first time it voted for the Democrats at a Presidential election since Clinton's 1996 re-election landslide, and the last time before that was 1948. It's been fairly reliably red at Senate level until Sinema in 2018 - and she is very much a Blue Dog in the manner of Manchin in West Virginia.rcs1000 said:
Excellent points.SirNorfolkPassmore said:
Mark Kelly was a great candidate in November, but he basically won by almost exactly the same margin as Raphael Warnock managed in Georgia in the run-off.rcs1000 said:
I think the Republicans have to be favourites in Georgia, but I think Arizona will be a much tougher call for them. Mark Kelly is a great, moderate candidate.SirNorfolkPassmore said:For all the trouble the GOP are giving themselves at the moment, they'd really struggle to fluff getting the House back in 2022. It's close to an iron rule of politics that the incumbent party suffer in the House in the midterm, and the majority is very slim.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
That being said... Arizona is going to have a big battle over their Governor too. Ducey is well liked, and would probably walk the election if he were the Republican candidate. But it's entirely possible he won't be, because he failed to hand the election to Trump. Kelli Ward is the Chair of the Republican Party in Arizona and she is stark raving bonkers.
They've thrown away those Senate seats and electoral votes recently, and have Ward and Co to blame far more than any demographic trends.0 -
William Shatner and Nichelle Nichols.MarqueeMark said:Which was Hollywood's first inter-racial pairing on screen?
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It was in 1935.....TheScreamingEagles said:
William Shatner and Nichelle Nichols.MarqueeMark said:Which was Hollywood's first inter-racial pairing on screen?
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The decision to not approve it for over 65s and the whole briefing war against has really turned into a massive disaster for the whole of Europe. Hopefully they'll reverse these decisions and at risk people get immunised asap. The Times saying that the French are starting a new PR war to get people on side and that most EU countries are set to reverse their over 65s ban on AZ due to the hugely positive real world data from the UK. Sadly it's going to be too late for thousands of people who will die that could have been immunised.williamglenn said:3 -
This is slightly misleading.williamglenn said:
Firstly, Germany (stupidly IMO) reserves a second dose when someone has the first. That means that - given the optimal 12 week gap - you pretty much guarantee at least half of all AZ vaccines will be unused early in the roll out.
Secondly, there will always be vaccines in the supply chain that have been recieved but not reached distribution centres.
Yes, Germany's roll out of AZ has been appalling, as has France's. But the numbers aren't quite as bad as they look.
And I also don't think that demanding that companies break contractual arrangements is the smartest thing to do right now.0 -
Isn't that also a their own fault though, reserving half of the doses for 12 weeks seems pointless.rcs1000 said:
This is slightly misleading.williamglenn said:
Firstly, Germany (stupidly IMO) reserves a second dose when someone has the first. That means that - given the optimal 12 week gap - you pretty much guarantee at least half of all AZ vaccines will be unused early in the roll out.
Secondly, there will always be vaccines in the supply chain that have been recieved but not reached distribution centres.
Yes, Germany's roll out of AZ has been appalling, as has France's. But the numbers aren't quite as bad as they look.
And I also don't think that demanding that companies break contractual arrangements is the smartest thing to do right now.1 -
If Lloyd-George was a native Cymraeg speaker (as someone has pointed out on PB today) surely he also counts?algarkirk said:
Slightly off the point but there was a Turkish (in modern geography) Archbishop of Canterbury in 668.CarlottaVance said:0 -
Quite enjoying the stuff around the EU introducing a version of English tailored for EU use :-).
I can give them the German word for what they are doing: "Clusterfick".
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I mentioned before that Polish and German friends are getting anti-AZN statements from *doctors*rcs1000 said:
This is slightly misleading.williamglenn said:
Firstly, Germany (stupidly IMO) reserves a second dose when someone has the first. That means that - given the optimal 12 week gap - you pretty much guarantee at least half of all AZ vaccines will be unused early in the roll out.
Secondly, there will always be vaccines in the supply chain that have been recieved but not reached distribution centres.
Yes, Germany's roll out of AZ has been appalling, as has France's. But the numbers aren't quite as bad as they look.
And I also don't think that demanding that companies break contractual arrangements is the smartest thing to do right now.
Some of it is anti-vax grade stuff - "AZN *causes* variants in the virus"...0 -
Does that count? There must be a cut-off point, or you could argue Normans or Anglo Saxons or Picts are an ethnic minority could you not?Carnyx said:
If Lloyd-George was a native Cymraeg speaker (as someone has pointed out on PB today) surely he also counts?algarkirk said:
Slightly off the point but there was a Turkish (in modern geography) Archbishop of Canterbury in 668.CarlottaVance said:0