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Trump night have his base but for most Americans he’s electorally toxic – politicalbetting.com
Trump night have his base but for most Americans he’s electorally toxic – politicalbetting.com
The above poll finding from the well-regarded Pew Research sets out simply the challenge Republican leaders have as they meet for their annual gathering CPAC gathering in Orlando this weekend.
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Edit - posts 2 and 3 say I thought right...
TIA!
Possibly. After all, Trump is a lying, cheating, vote fixing, incompetent, lazy, stupid looking wazzock who should be electoral poison in any sane country.
BUT
Poor old Joe Biden has an awful lot on his plate. The economy is a shambles. Healthcare is a much greater shambles. The international situation is very sticky and an oil shock could follow recent record lows. America’s infrastructure is in much the same state as ours, and for much the same reason. He has his own nutters to keep a careful watch on.
The next 18 months will be hard.
And Trump is always News, for good or ill. He may be a lunatic, but he’s a lunatic who can command attention and get his message out.
I don’t think I would be wagering much on this market at this stage.
Fairliered said:
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The senior SNP people are likely to be staffers, rather than MPs or MSPs. People like Peter Murrell and Sue Ruddick.
Fairlie surely you know well some of the close circle involved, more than staffers involved in this conspiracy.
Most people say the Norman invasion of England, or the English civil war, and some Americans say the American civil war, or the American war of independence.
The correct answer is the first Gulf War.
Today is the 30th anniversary of the Battle of Norfolk.
A - Nasser Hussain.
MarqueeMark said:
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I reckon there's a significant portion of SNP support that would have no truck with her if they believed she was a liar. Their support might depart at least until she was replaced as First Minister - regardless of being given a "clean bill of health" by the Scottish Establishment.
significant portion already know she is a liar. Most people will hold their noses and vote SNP 1 but many will vote other independence parties with vote 2.
Hopefully she is gone before election.
If Salmond and a few big hitters join one of the independence parties then the game is a bogey.
A - David Lloyd George.
Indeed, Trump motivating the base may help them in a low turnout midterm even though it's a disaster in the bigger picture.
The Senate is another matter. The map isn't at all bad for Democrats, and picking very Trump-y candidates isn't going to help the GOP put Georgia and Arizona (easily their best prospects but with new Democrat incumbents) back in their column, or help them hold onto Pennsylvania or Wisconsin (Biden states at least one of which has the incumbent standing down - and Ron Johnson isn't a massively strong incumbent even if he renages on his 2016 commitment to call it a day in Wisconsin).
(1) There are a reasonable number of Republican Senators, Governors and even a couple of Representatives who supported the Impeachment of former President Trump. Are they simply not welcome? Are Sasse and Romney and Cheney* effectively barred from CPAC? Or are they going to have stage time too?
(2) Does this mean we're going to have a rush of primary challenges? I could easily see Murkowski challenged (again), lose the Republican Primary (again), and then walk it at as a write in (again). If that happens, is she really going to rejoin the Republican caucus?
(3) Trump is very popular with 60% of Republicans, but *really* unpopular with a lot of Democrats, and pretty unpopular with Independents too. If the 2022 elections are a referendum on Biden, then the Republicans probably walk them. If they're a referendum on Trump, then you could see that rarest of things: a party going forward in their first mid-terms.
* Note, I'm choosing Conservatives here
Pennsylvania (no incumbent) and Wisconsin are going to be very interesting battles. I'd guess the former goes Blue and the latter stays Red.
Which probably leaves us at 50-50... except, I think it's highly likely that Alaska will have a genuinely Independent Senator.
I draw your attention to Law 11 here.
https://www.world.rugby/the-game/laws/law/11/?highlight=Knock
It simply does not mention whether the ball has to touch the ground.
Therefore, is a juggle a knock on? It used to be, but not now.
And when does a knock on become a kick? Technically every kick from hand could be seen as a knock on, as the ball goes forward onto the foot.
1892
hours of tiresome fun as people argue back and forth about it.
Your days are four minutes shorter than everyone else.
23 Hours 56 Minutes.
A 118 but most people will have left school with 103 or 106.
"if Thom Yorke fucking shit into a light bulb and started blowing it like an empty beer bottle it’d probably get 9 out of 10 in fucking Mojo"?
Noel Gallagher
Instead, there will be an all-party open primary, with the top four (which she will almost certainly make) progressing to the General Election in November, which will be decided by ranked choice voting.
So she'll have a challenger from the right (perhaps more than one), but won't lose a primary election or need to run from outside the Republican Party.
Jupiter
George Harrison
Which Beatle produced the best selling solo album, and what was it?
George Harrison
All Things Must Pass
And Warnock himself is a good candidate, and may be rather well placed to drive turnout among black voters in a low turnout election. Additionally, the situation in the Georgia GOP must be really toxic just now and there will be a poisonous Governor race on at the same time where my guess is Doug Collins will defeat Governor Brian Kemp in a brutal and bloody primary battle before limping on to defeat against Stacey Abrams in November.
Democrats really have their tails up in Georgia, basically, and Republicans are in an awful situation.
When America chose English over German as the national language how may votes did English win.by ,?
Answer - Tom Moore.
And as moderates leave the party, that just grows.
So Trump has a lock on a party that looks increasingly toxic to the rest of America.
EDIT
https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2020/10/26/what-the-2020-electorate-looks-like-by-party-race-and-ethnicity-age-education-and-religion/
29% of Americans identify as Republicans.....
What Muhlenburg actually did was refuse a vote that would Have allowed the proceedings of Congress to be translated into German, which is a bit different.
That being said... Arizona is going to have a big battle over their Governor too. Ducey is well liked, and would probably walk the election if he were the Republican candidate. But it's entirely possible he won't be, because he failed to hand the election to Trump. Kelli Ward is the Chair of the Republican Party in Arizona and she is stark raving bonkers.
Chaos and Creation in the Backyard
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muhlenberg_legend
A: Portsea Island (beating the Isle of Wight on population)
They've thrown away those Senate seats and electoral votes recently, and have Ward and Co to blame far more than any demographic trends.
Edit - answered before I did!
Bonus point for knowing what LYR stands for.
from case data
from hospitalisation data
Brigham Young is Utah's famously Mormon University. It is no surprise that both of Utah's Senators, Mitt Romney and Mike Lee, are graduates.
But two other US Senators are graduates. Can you name either of them?
Lancashire Yorkshire Railway?
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/new-zealand-s-largest-city-auckland-goes-lockdown-after-1-n1259037
https://twitter.com/georgegalloway/status/1365721849963888646
Thank goodness for Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca, Novavx, J&J and others.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Middlesex#Extra-metropolitan_area
Firstly, Germany (stupidly IMO) reserves a second dose when someone has the first. That means that - given the optimal 12 week gap - you pretty much guarantee at least half of all AZ vaccines will be unused early in the roll out.
Secondly, there will always be vaccines in the supply chain that have been recieved but not reached distribution centres.
Yes, Germany's roll out of AZ has been appalling, as has France's. But the numbers aren't quite as bad as they look.
And I also don't think that demanding that companies break contractual arrangements is the smartest thing to do right now.
I can give them the German word for what they are doing: "Clusterfick".
Some of it is anti-vax grade stuff - "AZN *causes* variants in the virus"...