Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Options

More people will die if ministers respond to populist campaigns like this – politicalbetting.com

16791112

Comments

  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,211

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Don't you think it likely the UK=EU provision is restricted to 5.4 because AZ wanted it that way? Because it gives AZ additional freedom but no additional responsibility?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,806

    I know the EU's lawyers seem bent on demanding specific performance, but d'you suppose we could fob them off with Rigoletto or La traviata?

    How about Herongate?
    'It is a thing most wonderful
    Almost too wonderful to be...'
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Hate to tear myself away from this but life calls. Save to observe that almost exclusively people here on PB are arguing that the contract is reinforcing their own positions on the matter.

    But not you of course

    For the record, until these vaccine wars I was an ardent remainer. I'm certainly not now.
    No one is a remainer any more.
    446 million people are remainers and very few of them are looking on at the EU Commission with joy over their handling of the vaccines.
  • Options
    TrèsDifficileTrèsDifficile Posts: 1,729
    edited January 2021
    ydoethur said:

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    fine-tooth comb, no? It's not an alternative to the tooth-brush!
    AArgh! You took the elephant away!* Just as I was leaving you a thank you message...

    *But did you carry it?


    Sorry!
  • Options
    MattWMattW Posts: 19,109
    Floater said:

    Another point - the EU still is in the process of negotiating contracts with other manufacturers.

    I bet the lawyers for those manufacturers will be making very, very sure the EU can't play games with them

    They have already negotiated a number of agreements, with the objective of laying liability on the suppliers.

    Are all the others pigs in pokes too?
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,959
    Sean_F said:


    However, there's something more basic here. The Commission's contract is with Astra Zeneca AB, a Swedish company. I expect that our contract is with Astra Zeneca plc, a British company. Nothing that is contracted for by the former has any bearing on what is contracted for by the latter.

    Yep. Nowt to do with us.


  • Options
    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Hate to tear myself away from this but life calls. Save to observe that almost exclusively people here on PB are arguing that the contract is reinforcing their own positions on the matter.

    But not you of course

    For the record, until these vaccine wars I was an ardent remainer. I'm certainly not now.
    Did I exempt myself?

    And no one is a remainer any more.
    Fair point but it is worth commending the pro-EU side on here who have been forthright in criticising Brussels over this. As I Brexit supporter I certainly don't expect any Damascene conversions over this. It is one specific very badly handled cockup.

    As I said the other day I am sure there will be long running debates going forward as to whether this is symptomatic of the EU or just the result of a particularly poor set of people currently in charge. I just the same way as we can argue whether the current issues over Brexit are symptomatic of us leaving the EU or are the result of having a clown in charge of the negotiations.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518

    There are binding orders and the contract is crystal clear," Mrs von der Leyen said in Friday morning's radio interview. Best effort' was valid while it was still unclear whether they could develop a vaccine. That time is behind us. The vaccine is there.

    BBC News - Covid: EU publishes disputed AstraZeneca Covid jab contract
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55852698

    She's talking through her arse.
    Best Reasonable Efforts applies to bulk manufacturing of the vaccine, too.

    Given the uncertainties involved in even routine manufacturing of vaccines, to argue otherwise would be absurd. And would require torturing the text of the agreement.
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Correcting, for instance, errors like "fine tooth-comb" to fine-toothed comb."
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,067
    TOPPING said:

    Hate to tear myself away from this but life calls. Save to observe that almost exclusively people here on PB are arguing that the contract is reinforcing their own positions on the matter.

    News to me that @Chris and @Williamglenn are big time brexiteers. Now I like intra EU VAT triangulation (Which is in a murky place post brexit) as much as the next accountant but the EU has royally stuffed up on this.
  • Options
    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Carnyx said:

    malcolmg said:

    malcolmg said:

    Carnyx said:

    malcolmg said:

    Alistair said:

    Noted CyberNat David Clegg going in to bat for Sturgeon

    https://twitter.com/davieclegg/status/1355048029896601601?s=19

    It looks like the future of television will just be broadcasting people shouting at the TV to each other.
    Tbf it seemed to be Carole ‘do my lips look big in this’ Malone doing most of the shouting.

    ‘Treacherous!’
    Fatso Ferrari on LBC was whining like a big jessie boy about Sturgeon to be done for Treason if she published the numbers. Tories really are cretins.
    More to the point, traitors really are cretins.
    Now - let's have none of that traitor stuff. It's wrecking PB. And you might not realise it, but when Alistair described Davie Clegg as 'noted cybernat' he was using something called Scottish Irony. Mr Clegg is not. That's the whole point.
    crapping himself that the person who leaked the classified government info to his newspaper will be unmasked..........ooops his "friend" has already been daubed in
    Hi Malc.

    Surprised you are not explaining about the Vietnam Whats app group
    Never heard of it G, is it about the Vietnam war, or are you talking about Murrel and his merry band of whatsappers planning their stitch up on whatsapp , as you do.
    Had a look at the Sky report. Looks pretty familiar stuff except for the explanation, or speculation, about the derivation of the name Vietnam for this purpose, but as PBers have shown there are various possibilities.
    I searched on vietnam whatsapp and it looked like lists of porn sites so assumed that was not what G was referring to.
    No it was not Malc.

    I would not want to introduce such a topic into the debate
    Exactly , don't look it up
    It did not occur to me Malc !!!!!
  • Options
    IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    TOPPING said:

    Hate to tear myself away from this but life calls. Save to observe that almost exclusively people here on PB are arguing that the contract is reinforcing their own positions on the matter.

    I don't have a position, I am just right.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,230

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    The EU clearly wanted it made in the EU
    I had assumed it was because the EU might be concerned with the quality control of vaccines produced elsewhere in the world but accepted that those made in the UK would be of an acceptable standard given we were almost still members at the time. They would probably want further checks if AZN came back and said they were going to provide vaccine made in plants in Ulan Bator.
    Which is in itself quite hillarious, when compared to the attitude towards foodstuffs and manufactured goods, wanting to test each and every batch from 1st Jan as U.K. cannot possibly be trusted to comply with the applicable standards.
  • Options

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Hate to tear myself away from this but life calls. Save to observe that almost exclusively people here on PB are arguing that the contract is reinforcing their own positions on the matter.

    But not you of course

    For the record, until these vaccine wars I was an ardent remainer. I'm certainly not now.
    No one is a remainer any more.
    446 million people are remainers and very few of them are looking on at the EU Commission with joy over their handling of the vaccines.
    The whole reason many small and poor countries in Europe are so keen on the EU has been that it offers a level of protection and bargaining power they could never achieve in their own....then the biggest test in 100 years comes along and the EU has badly failed them from ventilators to PPE to vaccines.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    malcolmg said:

    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    Could you explain please for those of us with lesser contractese?
    Well first I've no idea - ask a lawyer.

    But it really, really seems to me that this is saying that no other contract (with the UK, for example) is allowed to get in the way of the supplies promised in this contract.
    I am not so sure , you would never be able to restrict a company to only deal with you using this, no court would count that as breach. Best I suspect is they could not take specific EU vaccines and give to someone else but they will have many similar contracts with dates and schedules. If they have made reasonable efforts then they are OK, and reasonable does not mean using all efforts or depriving other commercial clients, especially given AZ have cut UK numbers as well.
    They can deal with anyone and everyone. But this contract seems to say that no other deal should impede the delivery of the initial doses to the EU.
    I think you are missing a crucial point in this Topping. And I absolutely accept that I am not a lawyer so this is just my impression.

    The section 5.4 on Including the UK within the EU for the purposes of being an acceptable location for the production of vaccine for the EU is absolutely explicit that it applies only to that clause itself. The EU will accept vaccine produced within the UK without further question or need for confirmation from the EU.

    But it does not apply to any other clause in the contract. That is made explicit. So the EU cannot lay claim to vaccine from the UK factories for the purposes of fulfilling the clause about assured delivery. It simply does not apply.

    It is the only reason I can see that AZN have made sure that caveat is in the contract.
    No, the effect of the clause is merely to say that for the definition of manufacturing sites, and for that purpose only, the UK is treated as being part of the EU.
    But only specific to that section. It means the definition of EU including the UK doesn't apply to other sections, namely section 5.1, to me this is saying that the EU can't ask for a new regulatory submission if they choose to supplement EU manufacturing from the UK.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,211

    IshmaelZ said:

    TOPPING said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    WHEREAS, as part of that scale-up, AstraZeneca has committed to use its Best
    Reasonable Efforts (as defined below) to build capacity to manufacture 300 million Doses of
    the Vaccine, at no profit and no loss to AstraZeneca, at the total cost currently estimated to be
    Euros for distribution within the EU (the “Initial
    Europe Doses”), with an option for the Commission, acting on behalf of the Participating
    Member States, to order an additional 100 million Doses (the “Optional Doses”).
    WHEREAS, AstraZeneca will supply the Initial Europe Doses to the Participating
    Member States according to the terms of this Agreement.

    That does *not* say that there are no commitments that rank above/prior to the “Initial
    Europe Doses.” In fact it imoplies that there are, because if you are talking about scaling up/increasing capacity that implies that you were already making vaccines for someone else. This doesn't help them.
    But AZN has affirmed that there are no other contracts that would impede the delivery of this contract?
    Have they?

    They promise 100 things to the UK and 50 things to the EU. What they are saying is that none of the 50 things is promised elsewhere, they are saying nothing about the (different) 100 things. Your interpretation assumes that either the EU had no idea, and AZN made no attempt to tell them, that AZN were making vaccines for the UK, or that the parties cheerfully concluded an agreement to shaft the UK. Unrealistic.
    A naive reading is that AZ told the UK they would deliver x doses from the UK factories, and the EU that they would deliver y doses from the EU and UK factories - which is fine if their production equals x+y.

    But they've also told the EU that there's no contract that would impede delivery of doses. Now they're telling the EU that there is a prior contract.

    It does look like AZ have messed up the contract. That they didn't specify the UK plants were also producing doses for another contract.
    That's absolute nonsense.

    5.1 obliges AZ to use best efforts to supply the initial doses from EU sites (not including UK sites). That is exactly what Soriot has been saying. And now the EU has confirmed it by publishing the contract!
  • Options
    alex_alex_ Posts: 7,518
    Out of interest was the contract drafted in English? Might the EU be suffering slightly for a lack of English expertise amongst their legal staff?
  • Options

    IshmaelZ said:

    TOPPING said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    WHEREAS, as part of that scale-up, AstraZeneca has committed to use its Best
    Reasonable Efforts (as defined below) to build capacity to manufacture 300 million Doses of
    the Vaccine, at no profit and no loss to AstraZeneca, at the total cost currently estimated to be
    Euros for distribution within the EU (the “Initial
    Europe Doses”), with an option for the Commission, acting on behalf of the Participating
    Member States, to order an additional 100 million Doses (the “Optional Doses”).
    WHEREAS, AstraZeneca will supply the Initial Europe Doses to the Participating
    Member States according to the terms of this Agreement.

    That does *not* say that there are no commitments that rank above/prior to the “Initial
    Europe Doses.” In fact it imoplies that there are, because if you are talking about scaling up/increasing capacity that implies that you were already making vaccines for someone else. This doesn't help them.
    But AZN has affirmed that there are no other contracts that would impede the delivery of this contract?
    Have they?

    They promise 100 things to the UK and 50 things to the EU. What they are saying is that none of the 50 things is promised elsewhere, they are saying nothing about the (different) 100 things. Your interpretation assumes that either the EU had no idea, and AZN made no attempt to tell them, that AZN were making vaccines for the UK, or that the parties cheerfully concluded an agreement to shaft the UK. Unrealistic.
    A naive reading is that AZ told the UK they would deliver x doses from the UK factories, and the EU that they would deliver y doses from the EU and UK factories - which is fine if their production equals x+y.

    But they've also told the EU that there's no contract that would impede delivery of doses. Now they're telling the EU that there is a prior contract.

    It does look like AZ have messed up the contract. That they didn't specify the UK plants were also producing doses for another contract.
    Or, they didn't mess up each contract individually, but they did sign two contracts separately that had the risk of being incompatible. And that risk has come to pass.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Nigelb said:

    There are binding orders and the contract is crystal clear," Mrs von der Leyen said in Friday morning's radio interview. Best effort' was valid while it was still unclear whether they could develop a vaccine. That time is behind us. The vaccine is there.

    BBC News - Covid: EU publishes disputed AstraZeneca Covid jab contract
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55852698

    She's talking through her arse.
    Best Reasonable Efforts applies to bulk manufacturing of the vaccine, too.

    Given the uncertainties involved in even routine manufacturing of vaccines, to argue otherwise would be absurd. And would require torturing the text of the agreement.
    It specifically says "commercialisation" in the explanation of "best reasonable efforts" so it's completely wrong, rather than absurd.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Sandpit said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    The EU clearly wanted it made in the EU
    I had assumed it was because the EU might be concerned with the quality control of vaccines produced elsewhere in the world but accepted that those made in the UK would be of an acceptable standard given we were almost still members at the time. They would probably want further checks if AZN came back and said they were going to provide vaccine made in plants in Ulan Bator.
    Which is in itself quite hillarious, when compared to the attitude towards foodstuffs and manufactured goods, wanting to test each and every batch from 1st Jan as U.K. cannot possibly be trusted to comply with the applicable standards.
    Almost like they are just doing it to be difficult...................
  • Options
    Chris said:

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Don't you think it likely the UK=EU provision is restricted to 5.4 because AZ wanted it that way? Because it gives AZ additional freedom but no additional responsibility?
    Maybe, but I think it's more likely a straightforward cock-up, because otherwise it really doesn't make much sense.
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    You have really surprised me with your critique of the EU and it is a testament to your integrity


    I'm another. Not the integrity bit but the critique. I was passionate about the EU, on here if people will recall. I backed Ken Clarke to lead a unity Gov't and cancel Brexit.

    But I'm furious with the EU over their vaccines. It's a huge pile of steaming dung. Every day that passes they seem to make it worse. Middle ranking politicians playing at being a) scientists b) business leaders and now c) lawyers.

    It's the worst performance by the EU on anything in a very long time, possibly since inception, and many citizens in the EU know it. Hence yesterday's Die Zeit headline: 'The best argument for Brexit.'
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,331

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    I find a fine-tooth comb works rather better.


  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,598
    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    malcolmg said:

    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    Could you explain please for those of us with lesser contractese?
    Well first I've no idea - ask a lawyer.

    But it really, really seems to me that this is saying that no other contract (with the UK, for example) is allowed to get in the way of the supplies promised in this contract.
    I am not so sure , you would never be able to restrict a company to only deal with you using this, no court would count that as breach. Best I suspect is they could not take specific EU vaccines and give to someone else but they will have many similar contracts with dates and schedules. If they have made reasonable efforts then they are OK, and reasonable does not mean using all efforts or depriving other commercial clients, especially given AZ have cut UK numbers as well.
    They can deal with anyone and everyone. But this contract seems to say that no other deal should impede the delivery of the initial doses to the EU.
    I think you are missing a crucial point in this Topping. And I absolutely accept that I am not a lawyer so this is just my impression.

    The section 5.4 on Including the UK within the EU for the purposes of being an acceptable location for the production of vaccine for the EU is absolutely explicit that it applies only to that clause itself. The EU will accept vaccine produced within the UK without further question or need for confirmation from the EU.

    But it does not apply to any other clause in the contract. That is made explicit. So the EU cannot lay claim to vaccine from the UK factories for the purposes of fulfilling the clause about assured delivery. It simply does not apply.

    It is the only reason I can see that AZN have made sure that caveat is in the contract.
    No, the effect of the clause is merely to say that for the definition of manufacturing sites, and for that purpose only, the UK is treated as being part of the EU.
    My reading too.
    Then 5.5 says AZ must inform the EC when it has selected its "initial manufacturing sites."
    AIUI, they did so, and they included the UK sites.
  • Options
    One thing that is noticeable is how quiet France have been over this. All the screeching seems to be coming from the likes of the Germans and the Italians.

    Macron especially doesn't normally need much of an excuse to pipe up, but as far as I can he has been nearly silent.
  • Options
    ydoethur said:

    Floater said:

    Talknig about things that do not age well...

    https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1355108413072691205/photo/1

    When we shut schools in March 2020, just 104 people had died of Covid and many - including me - thought the government was grossly overreacting.

    While they still made some very dumb decision around schooling at the time and since, I was wrong about them overreacting.
    It's instructive to examine our consciences in this regard. I sent an email to a friend leaving for the Far East in mid-February, making light of the virus. Yet this is the only juncture at which universal quarantine and a hard lock-down might have worked for the UK. There was no public acceptance of the scale of the threat and therefore no support for containment measures that may, in hindsight, have worked.

    And if the government had locked down in February in the teeth of public opinion we'd have been basking in the sun in May saying 'what was that all about? why did we trash the economy?' and by now we'd still be in trouble. Except that we may not have bankrolled the big push for a vaccine because there was no apparent need.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    Chris said:

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Don't you think it likely the UK=EU provision is restricted to 5.4 because AZ wanted it that way? Because it gives AZ additional freedom but no additional responsibility?
    It does seem that way, it allows them to supply the EU from UK manufacturing without needing to get permission to do so from the regulator, but under 5.1 the UK isn't included so there's no obligation for them to use UK supply for any of the 300m initial order.
  • Options
    Surely saying top 4 categories by Feb 14 gave away UK would have about 15 million doses by Feb 14?
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,102

    One thing that is noticeable is how quiet France have been over this. All the screeching seems to be coming from the likes of the Germans and the Italians.

    Macron especially doesn't normally need much of an excuse to pipe up, but as far as I can he has been nearly silent.

    Macron is being sensible. What this really doesn't need is more people chanting Fight! Fight! Fight!
  • Options
    Isn't this the sort of thing that we should be talking to the EU ambassador about?

    How would it help?
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,806

    ydoethur said:

    Floater said:

    Talknig about things that do not age well...

    https://twitter.com/YearCovid/status/1355108413072691205/photo/1

    When we shut schools in March 2020, just 104 people had died of Covid and many - including me - thought the government was grossly overreacting.

    While they still made some very dumb decision around schooling at the time and since, I was wrong about them overreacting.
    It's instructive to examine our consciences in this regard. I sent an email to a friend leaving for the Far East in mid-February, making light of the virus. Yet this is the only juncture at which universal quarantine and a hard lock-down might have worked for the UK. There was no public acceptance of the scale of the threat and therefore no support for containment measures that may, in hindsight, have worked.

    And if the government had locked down in February in the teeth of public opinion we'd have been basking in the sun in May saying 'what was that all about? why did we trash the economy?' and by now we'd still be in trouble. Except that we may not have bankrolled the big push for a vaccine because there was no apparent need.
    Possibly, although that's not a question the Vietnamese (say) are asking themselves.
  • Options
    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,959
    Why? She signed a deal with a Swedish firm:

    https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1355136841821904898?s=20
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,074

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    I find a fine-tooth comb works rather better.


    Isn't that a (rather) fine teeth-comb?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,500
    Floater said:

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    In my day job I have to review Insurance clauses in contracts from time to time - as you say, some very strange things have at times been found including clauses that flatly contradict other clauses
    Not contracts, but I've certainly seen provisions in documents which explicitly set out what to do if any part contradicts another part.
  • Options
    The number of people infected with coronavirus has changed little in the week to 23 January 2021, figures from the latest Office for National Statistics infection survey suggest.

    The ONS says virus levels “remain high” in England, and are level in the other nations of the UK.

    According to the figures:

    In England, 1 in 55 people tested positive for the virus
    In Wales, 1 in 70
    In Scotland, 1 in 110
    And in Northern Ireland, 1 in 50
  • Options
    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 21,037
    edited January 2021

    One thing that is noticeable is how quiet France have been over this. All the screeching seems to be coming from the likes of the Germans and the Italians.

    Macron especially doesn't normally need much of an excuse to pipe up, but as far as I can he has been nearly silent.

    They are not that keen on vaccines there anyway! There will be plenty in France thinking let other countries test it first.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518

    MaxPB said:

    Yes, maybe I'm being an idiot and someone can correct me but if the UK is only deemed part of the EU in section 5.4 it removes any ambiguity for all the other sections as the UK is definitely not included for 5.1 or anywhere else.

    I expected the EU to fight this based on the ambiguity of whether the UK counted as being in the EU or not during the transition period but that's surely not possible now.
    Yes, it's completely unambiguous. Spectacularly bad drafting, but not ambiguous drafting. I'm sure they didn't mean to exclude the UK manufacturing facility from 5.1, but that's what they've done. In fact, AZ would have been in breach of the contract if they'd been trying to manufacture the Initial Doses in the UK rather than in the EU.
    I disagree (I understand it as meaning something quite different).
    It is very poor drafting, but it's certainly not unambiguous.
  • Options
    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    malcolmg said:

    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    Could you explain please for those of us with lesser contractese?
    Well first I've no idea - ask a lawyer.

    But it really, really seems to me that this is saying that no other contract (with the UK, for example) is allowed to get in the way of the supplies promised in this contract.
    I am not so sure , you would never be able to restrict a company to only deal with you using this, no court would count that as breach. Best I suspect is they could not take specific EU vaccines and give to someone else but they will have many similar contracts with dates and schedules. If they have made reasonable efforts then they are OK, and reasonable does not mean using all efforts or depriving other commercial clients, especially given AZ have cut UK numbers as well.
    They can deal with anyone and everyone. But this contract seems to say that no other deal should impede the delivery of the initial doses to the EU.
    I think you are missing a crucial point in this Topping. And I absolutely accept that I am not a lawyer so this is just my impression.

    The section 5.4 on Including the UK within the EU for the purposes of being an acceptable location for the production of vaccine for the EU is absolutely explicit that it applies only to that clause itself. The EU will accept vaccine produced within the UK without further question or need for confirmation from the EU.

    But it does not apply to any other clause in the contract. That is made explicit. So the EU cannot lay claim to vaccine from the UK factories for the purposes of fulfilling the clause about assured delivery. It simply does not apply.

    It is the only reason I can see that AZN have made sure that caveat is in the contract.
    No, the effect of the clause is merely to say that for the definition of manufacturing sites, and for that purpose only, the UK is treated as being part of the EU.
    My reading too.
    Then 5.5 says AZ must inform the EC when it has selected its "initial manufacturing sites."
    AIUI, they did so, and they included the UK sites.
    Where are you getting that from?

    AZN are saying the UK was not included for the initial EU sites.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684

    One thing that is noticeable is how quiet France have been over this. All the screeching seems to be coming from the likes of the Germans and the Italians.

    Macron especially doesn't normally need much of an excuse to pipe up, but as far as I can he has been nearly silent.

    It does se odd that the Germans are the ones pushing such an oddly protectionist line and not the French. Maybe he has realised an export ban that effects the UK, US and Japan will completely shatter the western alliance. Germany haven't got any real foreign policy goals other than ensuring German companies can sell things so it's less of an issue for them.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,725
    edited January 2021
    BBC News - Kwasi Kwarteng: Debate about British Empire has 'cartoon-like view' of history

    Calls to "de-colonise" the curriculum were not the way forward, he added. I'm saying the opposite - that you've got to learn more about colonialism."

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55857650
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,211
    kinabalu said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    malcolmg said:

    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    Could you explain please for those of us with lesser contractese?
    Well first I've no idea - ask a lawyer.

    But it really, really seems to me that this is saying that no other contract (with the UK, for example) is allowed to get in the way of the supplies promised in this contract.
    I am not so sure , you would never be able to restrict a company to only deal with you using this, no court would count that as breach. Best I suspect is they could not take specific EU vaccines and give to someone else but they will have many similar contracts with dates and schedules. If they have made reasonable efforts then they are OK, and reasonable does not mean using all efforts or depriving other commercial clients, especially given AZ have cut UK numbers as well.
    They can deal with anyone and everyone. But this contract seems to say that no other deal should impede the delivery of the initial doses to the EU.
    I think you are missing a crucial point in this Topping. And I absolutely accept that I am not a lawyer so this is just my impression.

    The section 5.4 on Including the UK within the EU for the purposes of being an acceptable location for the production of vaccine for the EU is absolutely explicit that it applies only to that clause itself. The EU will accept vaccine produced within the UK without further question or need for confirmation from the EU.

    But it does not apply to any other clause in the contract. That is made explicit. So the EU cannot lay claim to vaccine from the UK factories for the purposes of fulfilling the clause about assured delivery. It simply does not apply.

    It is the only reason I can see that AZN have made sure that caveat is in the contract.
    No, the effect of the clause is merely to say that for the definition of manufacturing sites, and for that purpose only, the UK is treated as being part of the EU.
    My reading too.
    Then 5.5 says AZ must inform the EC when it has selected its "initial manufacturing sites."
    AIUI, they did so, and they included the UK sites.
    The UK sites would (also) have come under 5.4 - notice of non-EU sites.

    But note that 5.5 explicitly allows them to change the sites after the initial notification.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,500
    Nigelb said:

    There are binding orders and the contract is crystal clear," Mrs von der Leyen said in Friday morning's radio interview. Best effort' was valid while it was still unclear whether they could develop a vaccine. That time is behind us. The vaccine is there.

    BBC News - Covid: EU publishes disputed AstraZeneca Covid jab contract
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55852698

    She's talking through her arse.
    Best Reasonable Efforts applies to bulk manufacturing of the vaccine, too.

    Given the uncertainties involved in even routine manufacturing of vaccines, to argue otherwise would be absurd. And would require torturing the text of the agreement.
    She also seems to have gone from best effort is not in there to it is but doesnt apply
  • Options

    Surely saying top 4 categories by Feb 14 gave away UK would have about 15 million doses by Feb 14?
    Yes but not just AZN.

    Our vaccinations were Pfizer
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,806

    Why? She signed a deal with a Swedish firm:

    https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1355136841821904898?s=20

    Yes, but its Sweden sour now.

    Ah, my coat...
  • Options
    felixfelix Posts: 15,125
    The thing I do not like is the way the EC goes on and on with the repetitive 'Solidarity' and 'Better together' refrains. They are pretty creepy even when things are going well but sound positively Stalinist when so clearly at variance with reality on the ground. They'll be quoting tractor figures next.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,500
    Nigelb said:

    MaxPB said:

    Yes, maybe I'm being an idiot and someone can correct me but if the UK is only deemed part of the EU in section 5.4 it removes any ambiguity for all the other sections as the UK is definitely not included for 5.1 or anywhere else.

    I expected the EU to fight this based on the ambiguity of whether the UK counted as being in the EU or not during the transition period but that's surely not possible now.
    Yes, it's completely unambiguous. Spectacularly bad drafting, but not ambiguous drafting. I'm sure they didn't mean to exclude the UK manufacturing facility from 5.1, but that's what they've done. In fact, AZ would have been in breach of the contract if they'd been trying to manufacture the Initial Doses in the UK rather than in the EU.
    I disagree (I understand it as meaning something quite different).
    It is very poor drafting, but it's certainly not unambiguous.
    Nothing is unambiguous if your lawyer is creative enough.

    The US gov suppoedly defining imminent threat as not meaning imminence or threat are needed for drone strikes springs to mind.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518
    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    It excludes (for example) India. Where the vaccine is manufactured, but AZN has no ability to source.
    The point of the clauses are to list the sites from which the EU is entitled to receive vaccine.

  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,725
    edited January 2021
    Haggling the price like at a Moroccon bizarre on a product that everybody knows is not for profit.... what were they thinking? AZN would sell it at a massive loss?...and we are talking literally $2-3 a go.

    Carpet for you, at cost, $50, no i will only pay $10, no carpet cost me $50, no i will only pay $10...here i show you receipts from factory, see I pay $50 for carpet...still not paying it.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,331
    RobD said:

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    I find a fine-tooth comb works rather better.


    Isn't that a (rather) fine teeth-comb?
    It is indeed – an example of what one ought to avoid using for interrogating contracts.

    I suspect it was an uncharacteristic typo on Richard's part.
  • Options
    squareroot2squareroot2 Posts: 6,409
    ydoethur said:

    Why? She signed a deal with a Swedish firm:

    https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1355136841821904898?s=20

    Yes, but its Sweden sour now.

    Ah, my coat...
    V good..
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    You have really surprised me with your critique of the EU and it is a testament to your integrity


    I'm another. Not the integrity bit but the critique. I was passionate about the EU, on here if people will recall. I backed Ken Clarke to lead a unity Gov't and cancel Brexit.

    But I'm furious with the EU over their vaccines. It's a huge pile of steaming dung. Every day that passes they seem to make it worse. Middle ranking politicians playing at being a) scientists b) business leaders and now c) lawyers.

    It's the worst performance by the EU on anything in a very long time, possibly since inception, and many citizens in the EU know it. Hence yesterday's Die Zeit headline: 'The best argument for Brexit.'
    I was a Leaver. We all make mistakes & the UK has made plenty, but the fundamental point I'm taking from this is that the EU would rather spend its members' money too late on lawyers, rather than up-front on solving an urgent problem, not just for their populations but also with a view to helping poorer countries as soon as possible.

    Good afternoon, everyone.
  • Options
    ChrisChris Posts: 11,211
    Nigelb said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    It excludes (for example) India. Where the vaccine is manufactured, but AZN has no ability to source.
    The point of the clauses are to list the sites from which the EU is entitled to receive vaccine.

    I think 5.4 is more to do with limiting AZ's freedom to supply from outside the EU (including the UK) if it wishes.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    edited January 2021
    Nigelb said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    It excludes (for example) India. Where the vaccine is manufactured, but AZN has no ability to source.
    The point of the clauses are to list the sites from which the EU is entitled to receive vaccine.

    No, it specifically says that the UK is included in the definition of EU only in section 5.4, so that means when the term "EU" us used in other sections the UK is not included, section 5.4 has a specifically different definition of "EU" to allow UK supply to be treated as equivalent to EU supply. It means in section 5.1 when they say "EU" it doesn't include the UK as the definition including the UK is limited to section 5.4, it can't be applied to the rest of the agreement.

    Because of section 5.4 specifically dealing with whether the UK is or isn't included in the definition of "EU" it will be very difficult for the EU to argue that section 5.1 refers to the UK within the definition of "EU".
  • Options
    Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,658
    Floater said:

    Another point - the EU still is in the process of negotiating contracts with other manufacturers.

    I bet the lawyers for those manufacturers will be making very, very sure the EU can't play games with them

    e.g. As here from the Telegraph this morning:

    "The European Commission is in negotiations with Novavax about the amount of Covid-19 vaccines it is going to order, after a jab trialled in the UK was shown to be highly effective against the Kent variant Germany's health minister said. Britain has already secured 60 million doses of the new vaccine, which will be produced at Stockton on Tees. If approved, it will give Britain access to 217 million vaccine doses in total."

    As ever, late to the show, and this time they won't be able to try and blame anyone but themselves for the consequences.

    Meanwhile, I would expect that the EU in due course will also want to extend its contract with AZ to secure access to additional doses. Whether AZ would be prepared to give them the time of day is a moot point.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,725
    edited January 2021
    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,806

    Floater said:

    Another point - the EU still is in the process of negotiating contracts with other manufacturers.

    I bet the lawyers for those manufacturers will be making very, very sure the EU can't play games with them

    e.g. As here from the Telegraph this morning:

    "The European Commission is in negotiations with Novavax about the amount of Covid-19 vaccines it is going to order, after a jab trialled in the UK was shown to be highly effective against the Kent variant Germany's health minister said. Britain has already secured 60 million doses of the new vaccine, which will be produced at Stockton on Tees. If approved, it will give Britain access to 217 million vaccine doses in total."

    As ever, late to the show, and this time they won't be able to try and blame anyone but themselves for the consequences.

    Meanwhile, I would expect that the EU in due course will also want to extend its contract with AZ to secure access to additional doses. Whether AZ would be prepared to give them the time of day is a moot point.
    One thought that did occur to me after I said earlier that manufacturers would be reluctant to negotiate with the EU, and would only come back if tempted by better offers, is that of course they don't *have* to go back to the EU. They could negotiate with individual governments, as they still ultimately have the power to authorise the use of medicines (as Hungary and Germany have).

    Which would be a very damaging blow indeed to the idea of European Union strength, solidarity and bargaining power. But scarcely more than they deserve, the way they're behaving.
  • Options
    contrariancontrarian Posts: 5,818
    edited January 2021
    Some of the people on the road to Brexit Damascus on here should reflect that Brexit, in the wider context, is anti-globalist.

    Its anti-WHO, anti-critical race theory, anti detente with China, climate change agnostic, anti mass immigration, anti overseas aid and thinks Donald Trump was a 'breath of fresh air.'

    Just sayin'


  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    Seems to be the same as AZ but with one dose, that's really good. It does explain why they started the two dose trial after seeing the high efficacy of Pfizer and Moderna though.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,074
    felix said:

    The thing I do not like is the way the EC goes on and on with the repetitive 'Solidarity' and 'Better together' refrains. They are pretty creepy even when things are going well but sound positively Stalinist when so clearly at variance with reality on the ground. They'll be quoting tractor figures next.

    Yeah, it's weird. They are even calling for solidarity between non-members, implying that other countries have to do what the EU wants.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,500

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    The EU has ordered lots of those - being slow on the two dosers means getting lots of single dosers is even more crucial.
  • Options
    Nigelb said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    It excludes (for example) India. Where the vaccine is manufactured, but AZN has no ability to source.
    The point of the clauses are to list the sites from which the EU is entitled to receive vaccine.

    No it isn't.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Yes, maybe I'm being an idiot and someone can correct me but if the UK is only deemed part of the EU in section 5.4 it removes any ambiguity for all the other sections as the UK is definitely not included for 5.1 or anywhere else.

    I expected the EU to fight this based on the ambiguity of whether the UK counted as being in the EU or not during the transition period but that's surely not possible now.
    Yes, it's completely unambiguous. Spectacularly bad drafting, but not ambiguous drafting. I'm sure they didn't mean to exclude the UK manufacturing facility from 5.1, but that's what they've done. In fact, AZ would have been in breach of the contract if they'd been trying to manufacture the Initial Doses in the UK rather than in the EU.
    Yes, actually that's a good point. If the UK is considered an acceptable manufacturing site for the purposes of 5.4 but isn't listed in 5.1 then what mechanism exists for the EU to ask for supplies to be redirected?

    This does seem somewhat of an own goal, but I don't speak legalese so maybe my reading is wrong.
    5.1 seems to completely absolve AZN of any responsibility to manufacture the doses outside of the EU, regardless of what 5.4 says.
    No, as there is a plausible ambiguity within 5.1, too.
    AZN is to use its BRE to manufacture within the EU, and to use its BRE to deliver the (redacted) number of doses.
    If the second part of the obligation meant to deliver only those doses manufactured within the EU, there wouldn't be a need for clause 5.4.
  • Options
    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited January 2021
    felix said:

    The thing I do not like is the way the EC goes on and on with the repetitive 'Solidarity' and 'Better together' refrains. They are pretty creepy even when things are going well but sound positively Stalinist when so clearly at variance with reality on the ground. They'll be quoting tractor figures next.

    Funny you should say that - I hear the EU is just about about to release a Five-Year Plan to vaccinate all its citizens...
  • Options
    This controversy with the EU is turning toxic for them here in the UK

    Has anyone considered the implication for Nicola and her devotion to the EU
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    Another thought which I have touched on previously.

    Some EU members have signed separate agreements with vaccine suppliers - allegedly against the EU rules (I think?)

    When will we see the EU demanding those supplies be sent to the EU for "fair" distribution?


  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    felix said:

    The thing I do not like is the way the EC goes on and on with the repetitive 'Solidarity' and 'Better together' refrains. They are pretty creepy even when things are going well but sound positively Stalinist when so clearly at variance with reality on the ground. They'll be quoting tractor figures next.

    Funny you should say that - I hear the EU is just about about to release a Five-Year Plan to vaccinate all its citizens...
    Ever the optimists.....
  • Options
    The EU is actually hindering the world's response to the plague with this bullshit.

    The head honchos at AZ should be spending their time working out ways of maximising current vaccine production, and planning ahead for next year's new vaccines. Instead they're wasting their time dealing with their worst customer and her insane and selfish ranting.
  • Options
    Nigelb said:

    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    Yes, maybe I'm being an idiot and someone can correct me but if the UK is only deemed part of the EU in section 5.4 it removes any ambiguity for all the other sections as the UK is definitely not included for 5.1 or anywhere else.

    I expected the EU to fight this based on the ambiguity of whether the UK counted as being in the EU or not during the transition period but that's surely not possible now.
    Yes, it's completely unambiguous. Spectacularly bad drafting, but not ambiguous drafting. I'm sure they didn't mean to exclude the UK manufacturing facility from 5.1, but that's what they've done. In fact, AZ would have been in breach of the contract if they'd been trying to manufacture the Initial Doses in the UK rather than in the EU.
    Yes, actually that's a good point. If the UK is considered an acceptable manufacturing site for the purposes of 5.4 but isn't listed in 5.1 then what mechanism exists for the EU to ask for supplies to be redirected?

    This does seem somewhat of an own goal, but I don't speak legalese so maybe my reading is wrong.
    5.1 seems to completely absolve AZN of any responsibility to manufacture the doses outside of the EU, regardless of what 5.4 says.
    No, as there is a plausible ambiguity within 5.1, too.
    AZN is to use its BRE to manufacture within the EU, and to use its BRE to deliver the (redacted) number of doses.
    If the second part of the obligation meant to deliver only those doses manufactured within the EU, there wouldn't be a need for clause 5.4.
    Yes there would because 5.4 is not about obligation. It is about where the EU will accept vaccine production without further checks/permission. It does not give the EU rights to production from the UK, only says that if AZN chooses to supply from the UK that is acceptable for the EU.

    Hence the reason explicitly states it applies only to 5.4.
  • Options
    kinabalukinabalu Posts: 39,598
    Read contract. My take -

    5.1 relates just to the initial doses and instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU - not including the UK.

    5.4 relates to making the vaccine longer term, initial and beyond. It instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU or UK but they can go outside that with EC permission.

    5.5 says the AZ must inform the EC when they have selected their initial manufacturing sites.

    So, AZ conclude that despite best efforts they will not be able to fulfill the 5.1 initial doses purely from EU sites. They therefore need to include the UK sites too. They inform the EC of this under 5.5.

    Ergo the UK sites are explicitly included in the manufacture of the initial dose. 5.1 does not preclude this.

    No drafting error.

    (caveat: so long as "initial manufacturing sites" equates to "sites where the initial doses are manufactured")

    Crux question -

    Are AZ using best efforts to fill the EC order (inc from the UK sites)?
    Or are they using unjustifiably "bester" efforts to fill the UK's?
  • Options
    "Three vaccines have so far been authorised by various regulators around the world: those from Pfizer/BioNTech, Moderna and Oxford/AstraZeneca."

    Even the Guardian is still in denial about the Chinese vaccines that are authorised and being used by various regulators around the world including the likes of UAE, Brazil, Serbia and Morocco.

    There are actually 10 vaccines that have been approved, 7 by more than one country.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,331

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    66% is superb against multiple variants and with a one-dose regimen IMO.

    More fantastic news.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    TOPPING said:

    Carnyx said:

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    AZN confirms that

    (e) it is not under any obligation, contractual or otherwise, to any Person or third party in respect of the Initial Europe Doses or that conflicts with or is inconsistent in any material respect with the terms of this Agreement or that would impede the complete fulfillment of its obligations under this Agreement;


    Whoo-wee!

    THAT is the clause.

    IMHO.
    Could you explain please for those of us with lesser contractese?
    Well first I've no idea - ask a lawyer.

    But it really, really seems to me that this is saying that no other contract (with the UK, for example) is allowed to get in the way of the supplies promised in this contract.
    No, it doesn't say that at all.
    It says that no existing contract impedes the obligations undertaken by AZN at the time of the signing of the contract.

    But those obligations are not absolute, and are constrained by unpredictable manufacturing issues - which AZN ran into in Q4.
    Yes, hence the "best reasonable effort" get out clause.

    Also as Sean has pointed out a few minutes ago, the UK will have signed a contract with AstraZeneca plc, the EU has signed one with AstraZeneca AB, they are legally separate entities and one doesn't have the ability to put a claim on the other's production.
    We don't know whether the latter point is true or not.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,102

    Some of the people on the road to Brexit Damascus on here should reflect that Brexit, in the wider context, is anti-globalist.

    Its anti-WHO, anti-critical race theory, anti detente with China, climate change agnostic, anti mass immigration, anti overseas aid and thinks Donald Trump was a 'breath of fresh air.'

    Just sayin'


    Detente with China - is that before or after they have completed "rm -rf" on all cultures within China that don't conform to what they define as Chinese?
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,132
    edited January 2021
    I may be repeating some stuff here.

    "Initial Europe Doses" is defined as 300m doses of vaccine at cost price for distribution within the EU.

    AZ commits (separately to 5.1) to use "Best Reasonable Efforts" to build capacity to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses.

    Now I'm only a student and by no means an expert, and know nothing about Belgian law, but my reading is that the important paragraph is 5.1:

    "AstraZeneca shall use its Best Reasonable Efforts to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses within the EU for distribution, and to deliver to the Distribution Hubs, following EU marketing authorisation".

    I think the key question is whether the contract should be read as:

    AstraZeneca shall use its Beast Reasonable Efforts to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses within the EU for distribution AND AstraZeneca shall use its Best Reasonable Efforts to deliver to the Distribution Hubs.

    Because if it does, then I guess the EU could argue that AZ is not doing so. However the point may be moot if the EU marketing authorisation has not yet been granted? I don't know what that is. Is that EMA approval?

    5.4 as previously discussed includes the "UK" in the definition of the EU for this paragraph and states that if AZ is unable to deliver on its intention to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses, AZ must use its Best Reasonable Efforts to contract with CMOs within the EU (and UK). I guess we don't know if they're doing this or not.

    13.1(e) is where AZ covenants that it is not under any obligation to any third-party or person that may impede the complete fulfilment of its obligations under the contract.

    I think I agree with previous posters that this is fulfilled if AZ genuinely and reasonably believed the above to be true when they signed the contract then they have fulfilled their obligation.
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited January 2021
    BBC are reporting J&J as '66%' effective, which is what the company themselves have released, whilst Sky News are reporting it as 'up to 85%'

    I can't see where Sky are getting that figure from. Anyone?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,725
    edited January 2021

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    66% is superb against multiple variants and with a one-dose regimen IMO.

    More fantastic news.
    Its perfect vaccine for the younger end of the population...turn up at the drive-thru, jabbie jabbie, job done.

    Presuming the EU calm down, we should see this repeated across the whole of Europe in the summer / autumn.
  • Options
    AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 20,331

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    66% is superb against multiple variants and with a one-dose regimen IMO.

    More fantastic news.
    Its perfect vaccine for the younger end of the population...turn up at the drive-thru, jabbie jabbie, job done.

    Presuming the EU calm down, we should see this repeated across the whole of Europe in the summer / autumn.
    Exactly right.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,062
    I think the only good thing to come out of this EU idiocy will be seeing the German compound noun created to describe it.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518
    MaxPB said:

    Nigelb said:

    There are binding orders and the contract is crystal clear," Mrs von der Leyen said in Friday morning's radio interview. Best effort' was valid while it was still unclear whether they could develop a vaccine. That time is behind us. The vaccine is there.

    BBC News - Covid: EU publishes disputed AstraZeneca Covid jab contract
    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-55852698

    She's talking through her arse.
    Best Reasonable Efforts applies to bulk manufacturing of the vaccine, too.

    Given the uncertainties involved in even routine manufacturing of vaccines, to argue otherwise would be absurd. And would require torturing the text of the agreement.
    It specifically says "commercialisation" in the explanation of "best reasonable efforts" so it's completely wrong, rather than absurd.
    Except that AZN has 'commercialised' the vaccine, since it has already commenced deliveries.
    But essentially I agree with you.
  • Options
    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 21,037
    edited January 2021

    Like buses....

    The compnay said it was 72% effective in preventing Covid in the United States but a lower rate of 66% was observed globally in the large trial conducted across three continents and against multiple variants.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/jan/29/janssen-one-dose-vaccine-shown-to-work-against-covid

    Given the boosting it was getting, 66% seems a lower than all the happy clappy leaking that was going on.

    66% is superb against multiple variants and with a one-dose regimen IMO.

    More fantastic news.
    The reduction in hospitalisation rate should be key rather than efficacy. If that is similar to the other vaccines - near 100%! - or even 90%+ then life can quickly get back to normal.
  • Options
    MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited January 2021

    This controversy with the EU is turning toxic for them here in the UK

    Has anyone considered the implication for Nicola and her devotion to the EU

    They are proper Ratner-ing their brand...even Scott N paste has gone quiet.
    Yep. Ratner is a good metaphor.

    I couldn't and wouldn't vote for the EU right now. If you'd have asked me just 3 weeks ago I'd have still been passionately supportive, to the point where I was considering moving to Scotland to get the best of both worlds.

    Not now. This stinks.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 45,102

    The EU is actually hindering the world's response to the plague with this bullshit.

    The head honchos at AZ should be spending their time working out ways of maximising current vaccine production, and planning ahead for next year's new vaccines. Instead they're wasting their time dealing with their worst customer and her insane and selfish ranting.

    This. As I said yesterday - who thinks that any communication from AZN is not now going through a filter consisting of

    - 10ks per hour of lawyers
    - 10ks per hour of political consultants
    - 10ks per hour of PR experts

    Getting anything through such a filter will be somewhere between slow and impossible.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,684
    kinabalu said:

    Read contract. My take -

    5.1 relates just to the initial doses and instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU - not including the UK.

    5.4 relates to making the vaccine longer term, initial and beyond. It instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU or UK but they can go outside that with EC permission.

    5.5 says the AZ must inform the EC when they have selected their initial manufacturing sites.

    So, AZ conclude that despite best efforts they will not be able to fulfill the 5.1 initial doses purely from EU sites. They therefore need to include the UK sites too. They inform the EC of this under 5.5.

    Ergo the UK sites are explicitly included in the manufacture of the initial dose. 5.1 does not preclude this.

    No drafting error.

    (caveat: so long as "initial manufacturing sites" equates to "sites where the initial doses are manufactured")

    Crux question -

    Are AZ using best efforts to fill the EC order (inc from the UK sites)?
    Or are they using unjustifiably "bester" efforts to fill the UK's?

    But you're contradicting yourself, the best reasonable efforts only applies to EU supply which as you rightly say doesn't include the UK.

    The EU can't retroactively change the meaning of EU to include the UK because of transition status ambiguity because this is dealt with in 5.4 where it says the definition of EU is expanded to include the UK limited only to section 5.4, meaning sections not 5.4 don't include the UK within the definition of EU.

    5.5 is irrelevant because we don't know what AZ informed the EC of wrt manufacturing sites for the order. 5.1 says EU and 5.4 says the UK isn't in the EU for anything other than 5.4, I think the AZ lawyers have played lawyerly tricks on the EC.

  • Options
    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976

    The EU is actually hindering the world's response to the plague with this bullshit.

    The head honchos at AZ should be spending their time working out ways of maximising current vaccine production, and planning ahead for next year's new vaccines. Instead they're wasting their time dealing with their worst customer and her insane and selfish ranting.

    This. As I said yesterday - who thinks that any communication from AZN is not now going through a filter consisting of

    - 10ks per hour of lawyers
    - 10ks per hour of political consultants
    - 10ks per hour of PR experts

    Getting anything through such a filter will be somewhere between slow and impossible.
    To be fair, none of those people are likely to be much involved with either strategy, or managing the day-to-day delivery. It'll likely occupy a lot of senior management time, but it's debateable whether that hinders or helps those underneath them actually doing the work.
  • Options

    Some of the people on the road to Brexit Damascus on here should reflect that Brexit, in the wider context, is anti-globalist.

    Its anti-WHO, anti-critical race theory, anti detente with China, climate change agnostic, anti mass immigration, anti overseas aid and thinks Donald Trump was a 'breath of fresh air.'

    Just sayin'


    No that is YOUR Brexit view. It is certainly not the view of many others on here who voted for Brexit, nor of the wider Leave supporting population.

    It is not the case that the whole population is defined purely by their view on Brexit. Just as on the Remain side there are many different views on the topics you mention (so for example I know there are several pro EU commentators on here who are quite sceptical of Catastrophic Global Warming theory and who are anti pandering to China. At the same time there are plenty of Brexit supporters who are very convinced of AGW theory or who are pro immigration.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,725
    edited January 2021
    The 85% number relates to preventing serious cases.

    However part of the trial in South Africa, where a new version of the coronavirus is spreading. found it was just 57% effective.

    -----

    I think continued travel restrictions and a second round of updated vaccines this time next year is inevitable.
  • Options

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Shouldn't that be a fine-toothed comb? It is a comb with narrow gaps between its teeth, not a fine comb for a tooth.
  • Options
    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,518
    Chris said:

    Nigelb said:

    IshmaelZ said:

    What is 5.4 (AZ to manufacture in UK/EU if poss, give written explanation if want to manufacture elsewhere) about anyway? Who of any sense gives a monkeys where their vaccine is manufactured, provided it gets manufactured?

    It excludes (for example) India. Where the vaccine is manufactured, but AZN has no ability to source.
    The point of the clauses are to list the sites from which the EU is entitled to receive vaccine.

    I think 5.4 is more to do with limiting AZ's freedom to supply from outside the EU (including the UK) if it wishes.
    Quite possibly - but clauses apply to both parties to the contract.
  • Options
    GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,132
    MaxPB said:

    kinabalu said:

    Read contract. My take -

    5.1 relates just to the initial doses and instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU - not including the UK.

    5.4 relates to making the vaccine longer term, initial and beyond. It instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU or UK but they can go outside that with EC permission.

    5.5 says the AZ must inform the EC when they have selected their initial manufacturing sites.

    So, AZ conclude that despite best efforts they will not be able to fulfill the 5.1 initial doses purely from EU sites. They therefore need to include the UK sites too. They inform the EC of this under 5.5.

    Ergo the UK sites are explicitly included in the manufacture of the initial dose. 5.1 does not preclude this.

    No drafting error.

    (caveat: so long as "initial manufacturing sites" equates to "sites where the initial doses are manufactured")

    Crux question -

    Are AZ using best efforts to fill the EC order (inc from the UK sites)?
    Or are they using unjustifiably "bester" efforts to fill the UK's?

    But you're contradicting yourself, the best reasonable efforts only applies to EU supply which as you rightly say doesn't include the UK.

    The EU can't retroactively change the meaning of EU to include the UK because of transition status ambiguity because this is dealt with in 5.4 where it says the definition of EU is expanded to include the UK limited only to section 5.4, meaning sections not 5.4 don't include the UK within the definition of EU.

    5.5 is irrelevant because we don't know what AZ informed the EC of wrt manufacturing sites for the order. 5.1 says EU and 5.4 says the UK isn't in the EU for anything other than 5.4, I think the AZ lawyers have played lawyerly tricks on the EC.

    The key question is whether 5.1 can be read as:

    "AstraZeneca shall use its Beast Reasonable Efforts to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses within the EU for distribution AND AstraZeneca shall use its Best Reasonable Efforts to deliver to the Distribution Hubs..."

    The comma is the key I think, and European legal systems seem to be much more willing construct contracts as they believe the parties intended it rather than exactly what was written, at least in my limited experience.

    As a reminder the actual wording:

    "AstraZeneca shall use its Best Reasonable Efforts to manufacture the Initial Europe Doses within the EU for distribution, and to deliver to the Distribution Hubs, following EU marketing authorisation..."
  • Options

    Incidentally, this is an excellent example of Nabavi's Law of Contract Drafting: no matter how much both sides
    pay their lawyers, any contract they come up with will be riddled in logical errors and unintended consequences, and you need to go through it yourself with a fine tooth-comb before signing.

    Shouldn't that be a fine-toothed comb? It is a comb with narrow gaps between its teeth, not a fine comb for a tooth.
    Please NO!!! Not this argument again. :(
  • Options
    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    MaxPB said:

    One thing that is noticeable is how quiet France have been over this. All the screeching seems to be coming from the likes of the Germans and the Italians.

    Macron especially doesn't normally need much of an excuse to pipe up, but as far as I can he has been nearly silent.

    It does se odd that the Germans are the ones pushing such an oddly protectionist line and not the French. Maybe he has realised an export ban that effects the UK, US and Japan will completely shatter the western alliance. Germany haven't got any real foreign policy goals other than ensuring German companies can sell things so it's less of an issue for them.
    It’s not really been that big in the news here at the moment. Less domestic pressure on Macron to do something drastic perhaps. The talk is more about 3rd lockdown possibility, and also the shame of Sanofi & Pasteur french vaccine failures.
  • Options
    NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    edited January 2021
    Reading this BBC item https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55857650 I got a sudden and strong feeling that Kwarteng might be the next PM.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,500
    kinabalu said:

    Read contract. My take -

    5.1 relates just to the initial doses and instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU - not including the UK.

    5.4 relates to making the vaccine longer term, initial and beyond. It instructs AZ to use best efforts to make them in the EU or UK but they can go outside that with EC permission.

    5.5 says the AZ must inform the EC when they have selected their initial manufacturing sites.

    So, AZ conclude that despite best efforts they will not be able to fulfill the 5.1 initial doses purely from EU sites. They therefore need to include the UK sites too. They inform the EC of this under 5.5.

    Ergo the UK sites are explicitly included in the manufacture of the initial dose. 5.1 does not preclude this.

    No drafting error.

    (caveat: so long as "initial manufacturing sites" equates to "sites where the initial doses are manufactured")

    Crux question -

    Are AZ using best efforts to fill the EC order (inc from the UK sites)?
    Or are they using unjustifiably "bester" efforts to fill the UK's?

    We know the EU think the latter is the case, but proving it may be harder.
This discussion has been closed.