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On Betfair punters make it a 73% chance that not enough Republican Senators will back the impeachmen

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  • God, I really do detest upper/middle class people trying pass themselves off as working class.

    https://twitter.com/mattsmithetc/status/1351146352676372480
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    RobD said:

    I don't think it's possible to compare UK to NZ. The latter is far more remote.
    Incorrect, the UK is an island nation. We can make ourselves as remote as we choose to.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,689
    We parachute a bunch of Brits onto a chunk of far-flung soil and then, surprise, surprise, they democratically express their wish to remain British. They could always move to Surrey.

    I suppose those who think it is fine for the Falklanders and Gibraltarians to express their Britishness are fully comfortable with China shipping millions of folk into Tibet so that they can then say that the majority of residents see themselves as Chinese.
  • Scott_xP said:
    The Chancellor will make future decisions in the Budget has been the PM's line all along. 🙄
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 83,525
    edited January 2021

    God, I really do detest upper/middle class people trying pass themselves off as working class.

    twitter.com/mattsmithetc/status/1351146352676372480

    "one of the small ones, quite cheap"....
  • MaxPB said:

    We never have been mate, it's a nation of daily mail reading curtain twitching c***s, now the whole country has realised they are the majority.

    Look at the idiotic reporting of Boris' 7 mile bike ride. The media couldn't wait to stick the boot in over what, to anyone who cycles, is a pretty short bike ride.
    First, it was Boris (or at least the government) who said exercise should be local. Second, it was almost certainly not a seven-mile bike ride but a car journey there, a bike ride, and a car journey back.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795

    First, it was Boris (or at least the government) who said exercise should be local. Second, it was almost certainly not a seven-mile bike ride but a car journey there, a bike ride, and a car journey back.
    Would you have preferred that he do several loops around Parliament Square?
  • "one of the small ones, quite cheap"....
    It makes my working class blood boil.
  • Israel has published details of a deal to trade data with US pharmaceutical company Pfizer in return for a steady supply of its coronavirus vaccine, after concerns were expressed over possible privacy violations.

    Under the arrangement, Israel will send weekly updates on the numbers of confirmed cases, hospitalisations, patients in a serious condition and those on a ventilator, as well as the number of vaccinations performed. They will be broken down by age, gender and demographic background, but “no identifiable health information” will be shared.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,795
    AFAIK Boris lives in Islington.

    It's barely four miles from there to the Olympic Park. If that's not local, what is?
  • We parachute a bunch of Brits onto a chunk of far-flung soil and then, surprise, surprise, they democratically express their wish to remain British. They could always move to Surrey.

    I suppose those who think it is fine for the Falklanders and Gibraltarians to express their Britishness are fully comfortable with China shipping millions of folk into Tibet so that they can then say that the majority of residents see themselves as Chinese.

    "We" haven't parachuted anyone onto the islands. They were born their. Their parents were born their. Their parents parents were born there. 🙄
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    edited January 2021

    Its not odd at all. People look at what they believe is in their best interests. In the case of the Falklands the islanders clearly believe that presently their security and economic well being is best served by being attached to the UK rather than to Argentina.

    Put it this way. If the Falkland Islanders decided at some point they wanted full independence I would suggest they have far more chance of achieving that by detaching themselves from British rule than they would be trying to detach themselves from Argentine rule.
    I'm not talking about the Islanders wanting to stay British - nothing odd about that - I'm talking about the notion of British rule over places on the other side of the globe. To me this is odd and I find it odd when others don't share that feeling - and potentially telling of what they feel about Britain and Britishness. And when I say "telling" btw, I don't imply something bad lurking there. Although there might be. Further probing would be required.
  • Are people who call the Falklands the Malvinas just trying to show that they support Argentina ahead of the UK? It's not the original name; it was first named by the French as Îles Malouines (after St Malo where their ship sailed from), a year before a Brit called them the Falklands. Why use the Spanish corruption instead of the original French?

    Incidentally, St Malo was a Welshman from Gwent. Does that strengthen our claim?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    MaxPB said:

    Incorrect, the UK is an island nation. We can make ourselves as remote as we choose to.
    The distance between NZ and the rest of the world means that cutting off flying there, cuts off only tourism.

    The UK is economy is a lot more tightly integrated with a bunch of foreign types, a long rock throw to right. And the rest of the world. So cutting off flying (and ferries) would be a very considerably bigger undertaking, in terms of the damage it would do.

    I seem to recall a discussion about this recently.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,188

    Small towns are interesting - both good and bad. The one where people address you by name, having never previously met you, can startle.

    I reckon that if the Germans had invaded, 1/3rd would have taken to the hills to fight them. 1/3rd wouldn't have noticed, unless the football was interrupted. The other 1/3rd would have been queuing round the block to sign up with the Germans, get an armband and be in charge.
    Yes, I think thats about right.

    My gut feeling is that the Germans would have had a hard time in the extremities of the country - Westcountry, Wales and the Welsh Marches, rural NE/NW and Scotland, where much of the resistance would have had huge advantages over a mechanised army.

    Interesting counterfactual is what would have happened to WSC. I expect he would have fled to Ireland and then Canada along with the royals, and formed a Govt in exile from there. And a Vichy style govt (led by Halifax?) would have formerly surrendered to Hitler/
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,180
    The Covid surge continues in my part of Spain and indeed, elsewhere. We look to be returning to near full lockdown soon - with significant vaccine penetration unlikely before late spring at best. I hate to say it but the EU strategy on this matter has been a disaster so far.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    Israel has published details of a deal to trade data with US pharmaceutical company Pfizer in return for a steady supply of its coronavirus vaccine, after concerns were expressed over possible privacy violations.

    Under the arrangement, Israel will send weekly updates on the numbers of confirmed cases, hospitalisations, patients in a serious condition and those on a ventilator, as well as the number of vaccinations performed. They will be broken down by age, gender and demographic background, but “no identifiable health information” will be shared.

    We should definitely have done something similar. Most of that information is already publicly available, giving Pfizer or AZ the same data from the vaccine cohort isn't a huge deal and it would have helped the whole world.
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,307
    Nigelb said:

    These contingent polls are not particularly meaningful, though.

    A month before the Watergate hearings commenced (and just before the Kent State shootings) Gallup conducted a poll which showed that 76% of respondents supported the suspension of the First Amendment.

    I don't think we can therefore conclude that the US did not value freedom of speech.
    The Kent State shootings were in May 1970, two years before Nixon won re-election.
  • First, it was Boris (or at least the government) who said exercise should be local. Second, it was almost certainly not a seven-mile bike ride but a car journey there, a bike ride, and a car journey back.
    And in what possible definition is a car journey within your own city to a park within your own city not local?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,359

    The distance between NZ and the rest of the world means that cutting off flying there, cuts off only tourism.

    The UK is economy is a lot more tightly integrated with a bunch of foreign types, a long rock throw to right. And the rest of the world. So cutting off flying (and ferries) would be a very considerably bigger undertaking, in terms of the damage it would do.

    I seem to recall a discussion about this recently.
    Yeah, they idea they would shut the borders at the very first sign of trouble is for the birds. Mind you, not shutting down after the first wave was totally idiotic.
  • We parachute a bunch of Brits onto a chunk of far-flung soil and then, surprise, surprise, they democratically express their wish to remain British. They could always move to Surrey.

    I suppose those who think it is fine for the Falklanders and Gibraltarians to express their Britishness are fully comfortable with China shipping millions of folk into Tibet so that they can then say that the majority of residents see themselves as Chinese.

    Just like we shipped millions of folk to Gibraltar and the Falklands?
  • Australia’s borders are likely remain closed until next year, the country’s top health chief has warned.

    Brendan Murphy, the secretary of the health department, dashed hopes of a return to normality because of continuing uncertainty over whether vaccinations would stop people catching Covid-19.

    “I think that we’ll go most of this year with still substantial border restrictions — even if we have a lot of the population vaccinated, we don’t know whether that will prevent transmission of the virus,” he said.

    Australians have been effectively banned from leaving the country since last March, unless granted special exemption by the government on compassionate or business grounds. In 2019, by contrast, Australians made more than 11 million international trips.


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/australias-borders-to-remain-shut-until-2022-despite-vaccines-wbnxkq79d
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    RobD said:

    Yeah, they idea they would shut the borders at the very first sign of trouble is for the birds. Mind you, not shutting down after the first wave was totally idiotic.
    I still would like too see the alternate timeline in which P. Patel announces that all entry into the country is shutdown.

    5 second pause.

    Then they realise that immigration has just been stopped.

    I would hazard a guess that the Guardian would not have approved.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 26,650
    edited January 2021

    First, it was Boris (or at least the government) who said exercise should be local. Second, it was almost certainly not a seven-mile bike ride but a car journey there, a bike ride, and a car journey back.
    How do you know this? Is it just speculation?

    8 or 14 miles is not very far on a bike, and a park is the last place you want to exercise - full of pedestrians and dogs on cycle-killer stretchy leads.

  • Would you have preferred that he do several loops around Parliament Square?
    I'd prefer government ministers to follow the same rules they impose on the rest of us. Look up Downing Street on a map and look at the big green areas with "Park" in their names that are within spitting distance.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    The distance between NZ and the rest of the world means that cutting off flying there, cuts off only tourism.

    The UK is economy is a lot more tightly integrated with a bunch of foreign types, a long rock throw to right. And the rest of the world. So cutting off flying (and ferries) would be a very considerably bigger undertaking, in terms of the damage it would do.

    I seem to recall a discussion about this recently.
    Not more damaging than a second wave though. I don't think we could have done it in February of last year, but we definitely could have done it in June. By then companies had already dealt with the majority of logistics issues relating to no available flights.

    This second wave and the 60-70k deaths, 6-7% GDP loss was completely avoidable. A proper border control system would have prevented it and would already be in place to prevent this Brazilian mutation which could evade the vaccine response.

    The border was and still is the key to all of this.
  • kinabalu said:

    I'm not talking about the Islanders wanting to stay British - nothing odd about that - I'm talking about the notion of British rule over places on the other side of the globe. To me this is odd and I find it odd when others don't share that feeling - and potentially telling of what they feel about Britain and Britishness. And when I say "telling" btw, I don't imply something bad lurking there. Although there might be. Further probing would be required.
    You keep saying Britain rules the Falklands. How does Britain "rule" the Falkland Islands?

    The Falkland Islanders rule themselves. They have their own elected government, their own governor, their own elected Parliament, their own courts, their own finance, their own taxes, their own leader.

    Does Britain rule Australia in your eyes?
  • God, I really do detest upper/middle class people trying pass themselves off as working class.

    https://twitter.com/mattsmithetc/status/1351146352676372480

    Imagine making that claim if your parents lived in a £3m house
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823

    I still would like too see the alternate timeline in which P. Patel announces that all entry into the country is shutdown.

    5 second pause.

    Then they realise that immigration has just been stopped.

    I would hazard a guess that the Guardian would not have approved.
    A Tory government shouldn't fear bad headlines in the Guardian, it should relish them. It's a sign that they are doing something right.
  • BannedinnParisBannedinnParis Posts: 1,884
    edited January 2021
    Think curfews seem popular until people clock that they might apply to Uber Eats.

    I'm not sure there is any evidence that they might have any effect.

  • FishingFishing Posts: 5,508
    MaxPB said:

    Not more damaging than a second wave though. I don't think we could have done it in February of last year, but we definitely could have done it in June. By then companies had already dealt with the majority of logistics issues relating to no available flights.

    This second wave and the 60-70k deaths, 6-7% GDP loss was completely avoidable. A proper border control system would have prevented it and would already be in place to prevent this Brazilian mutation which could evade the vaccine response.

    The border was and still is the key to all of this.
    How would it have stopped the Kentish mutation?
  • I'd prefer government ministers to follow the same rules they impose on the rest of us. Look up Downing Street on a map and look at the big green areas with "Park" in their names that are within spitting distance.
    They are following the rules, he went to a local park in his own city.

    Does it say you have to go to the closest park? Don't be a dickhead.
  • Imagine making that claim if your parents lived in a £3m house
    Current house prices are irrelevant, the purchase price is a major determinant of your working class status.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219

    Imagine making that claim if your parents lived in a £3m house
    There is an equally obnoxious type, who claims to have gone to public school x, adopts the accent etc. And very often behaves like the worst possible stereotyped Public School Scumbag imaginable.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,823
    Fishing said:

    How would it have stopped the Kentish mutation?
    That person in whom it mutated wouldn't have got it on the first instance. No infections means no mutations. The reason we're seeing so many mutations right now is that the virus is present in 20m hosts worldwide so it has got 20m opportunities to mutate.
  • Russia got to be the size it is by very aggressive colonialism.
    Would have been even bigger if they hadn't sold off Alaska on the cheap.
  • Current house prices are irrelevant, the purchase price is a major determinant of your working class status.
    I doubt there's any £3m houses in the North that weren't still exceptionally good houses decades ago too.
  • Current house prices are irrelevant, the purchase price is a major determinant of your working class status.
    18k was the average UK house price in 1979. When did they buy?
  • "We" haven't parachuted anyone onto the islands. They were born their. Their parents were born their. Their parents parents were born there. 🙄
    Too bad we did the opposite with Diego Garcia.
  • Too bad we did the opposite with Diego Garcia.
    That is much more egregious.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,884

    Didn't Scotland and Ireland have a squabble over this one only a couple of weeks ago?
    I have a feeling the squabble was about St Kilda, not Rockall. Uninhabitable islands don't get you territorial claims under UNCLOS. I guess the issue is whether St Kilda is inhabitable. I understand Iceland and Denmark (via the Faroe Islands) also have claims on this bit of the Atlantic.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    JohnO said:

    The Kent State shootings were in May 1970, two years before Nixon won re-election.
    Sorry, my mistake.
    The point stands, though.
  • 18k was the average UK house price in 1979. When did they buy?
    1981.

    July is the 40th anniversary of them moving in here.

    PS - It's not a £3 million house, I got my sums wrong last night, it's half that.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    I think, ironically, that the feeling you describe is part of the colonial problem. The way to deal with the legacy of colonialism is to let the people living in a place decide what to next.

    After all, telling them what to do, with the threat of force (behind all government actions) from X thousand miles away - what is that, but more colonialism?
    Here's chance for me to use an old chestnut and although I hate old chestnuts I think just this once I will - it's more complicated than that.

    If you've colonized a place and filled it with people from the Mothership, or you've so dominated that it has become a grand scale example of Stockholm Syndrome, then I don't think you can just say, "Ok, there's only one thing that counts here and that is what flag the majority want to be under." Although this has to be high in the mix obviously.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Maybe he's confused with the Pitcairns, which were actually discovered by Spain (well, a Portuguese explorer working for Spain) 160 years before a Brit found them
    The Falklands were French before they were British, and passed on by the French to the Spanish. Our claim arises from an invasion in 1833.

    The islands are a boring edge case. The most interesting thing about the whole thing is the ad hoc promotion of self-determination to an Immutable Tory Truth, when it started life with Marx and then got adopted by the USA as a way of trolling the British out of their empire.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482


    They were part of the Duchy of Normandy.

    They then did a reverse takeover of England and, once the Normans had been "normalised", the proto-French state then booted us in turn out of Normandy. Not without a couple of sequels, I hasten to add - Henry V getting closest to laying the smack down.

    They couldn't, or didn't care enough, with the Channel Islands. So it's simply a fascinating historical legacy stretching back nearly 1,000 years.

    The links between Normandy and England were considerable in the early 11th Century. The Saxon royal family and nobility had fled to Normandy and Hungary after the Battle of Assandun and the death of Edmund Ironside which left Cnut (or Canute) in control of England.

    The key player here is Emma of Normandy who had first married the Saxon King Aethelred II (the "Unready") - Edward the Confessor was their older son. After Aethelred's death, Emma married Cnut - they had a son, Harthacnut, who was briefly English King from 1040 to 1042.

    Edward the Confessor fled with Emma to Normandy in 1016 and Robert I (the Conqueror's father) had planned an invasion in 1034 to restore Edward the Confessor but it got blown off course.

    The problem after 1042 was the rise of the Godwin family who opposed the Norman influence of Edward the Confessor. 1066 was essentially the resolution of the internal English civil war between the pro-Norman faction and the pro-Viking faction. Not all the Saxon nobility were dispossessed by the victorious Normand - many were.

    Again, you have to remember England in 1066 was the most prosperous state of northern and western Europe. There was a thriving wool industry and export trade and English silver was the basic currency for much of Europe (a bit like the Euro only different).

  • GardenwalkerGardenwalker Posts: 22,203

    AFAIK Boris lives in Islington.

    It's barely four miles from there to the Olympic Park. If that's not local, what is?

    Boris no longer lives in Islington since he was booted out by Marina.

    I believe home is now Downing Street / Chequers / Nutnut’s apartment in Peckham.
  • kinabalu said:

    I'm not talking about the Islanders wanting to stay British - nothing odd about that - I'm talking about the notion of British rule over places on the other side of the globe. To me this is odd and I find it odd when others don't share that feeling - and potentially telling of what they feel about Britain and Britishness. And when I say "telling" btw, I don't imply something bad lurking there. Although there might be. Further probing would be required.
    There are many and varied reasons - almost none of them associated with any old feelings about Empire - why countries might think it good to retain control of far flung places. One of the most obvious for me comes in the form of environmental management. Britain is now responsible for the largest marine protected zone in the world in the Indian Ocean and is responsible for a total of 6.8 million Km2 of marine protected zones around the world.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, notably.

    https://www.brainpickings.org/2011/06/16/arthur-conan-doyle-psychic/

    Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, notably.

    https://www.brainpickings.org/2011/06/16/arthur-conan-doyle-psychic/

    Sir Arthur Conan Doyle, notably.

    https://www.brainpickings.org/2011/06/16/arthur-conan-doyle-psychic/
    Conan Doyle was a well known Spiritualist - as was Hugh Dowding, in charge of Fighter Command during the Battle of Britain.
  • Wulfrun_PhilWulfrun_Phil Posts: 4,780

    Think curfews seem popular until people clock that they might apply to Uber Eats.

    I'm not sure there is any evidence that they might have any effect.

    Or that limiting the times when you can go to the supermarkets will make them even more crowded.

    Not that I go into supermarkets any longer.
  • HYUFD said:
    And if Nicola Sturgeon tries to call another referendum these troops can be the vanguard of the troops to kill Scottish nationalism stone dead.
  • kinabalu said:

    Here's chance for me to use an old chestnut and although I hate old chestnuts I think just this once I will - it's more complicated than that.

    If you've colonized a place and filled it with people from the Mothership, or you've so dominated that it has become a grand scale example of Stockholm Syndrome, then I don't think you can just say, "Ok, there's only one thing that counts here and that is what flag the majority want to be under." Although this has to be high in the mix obviously.
    No it is not. It is history.

    The only thing that matters is self-determination. Nothing else matters.

    Should the Argentinians be repatriated back to Spain? Should descendents of slaves be repatriated back to Africa?

    Either you believe in self-determination or you do not. Do you?
  • IshmaelZ said:

    The Falklands were French before they were British, and passed on by the French to the Spanish. Our claim arises from an invasion in 1833.

    The islands are a boring edge case. The most interesting thing about the whole thing is the ad hoc promotion of self-determination to an Immutable Tory Truth, when it started life with Marx and then got adopted by the USA as a way of trolling the British out of their empire.
    You best edit Wiki then, if you know better

    "The Falklands remained uninhabited until the 1764 establishment of Port Louis on East Falkland by French captain Louis Antoine de Bougainville and the 1766 foundation of Port Egmont on Saunders Island by British captain John MacBride. Whether or not the settlements were aware of each other's existence is debated by historians. In 1766, France surrendered its claim on the Falklands to Spain, which renamed the French colony Puerto Soledad the following year. Problems began when Spain discovered and captured Port Egmont in 1770. War was narrowly avoided by its restitution to Britain in 1771."
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482

    Would have been even bigger if they hadn't sold off Alaska on the cheap.
    The Russians reached the Pacific Ocean in 1639 and had conquered most of Siberia by the end of the 17th Century.

  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 31,317
    MattW said:

    How do you know this? Is it just speculation?

    8 or 14 miles is not very far on a bike, and a park is the last place you want to exercise - full of pedestrians and dogs on cycle-killer stretchy leads.

    If Johnson had not taken the car it would have been confirmed by Downing Street.

    As someone of a similar age, height, sedentary lifestyle, and probably fitness level to Johnson (although considerably slimmer, even after his weight loss) believe me 14 miles is very far on a bike.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    The Falklands were French before they were British, and passed on by the French to the Spanish. Our claim arises from an invasion in 1833.

    The islands are a boring edge case. The most interesting thing about the whole thing is the ad hoc promotion of self-determination to an Immutable Tory Truth, when it started life with Marx and then got adopted by the USA as a way of trolling the British out of their empire.
    I bet the US regret that one given their experiences in SE Asia. Nice when things turn out that way.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 55,180

    The youngest person convicted of terrorism in Britain - who plotted to murder police officers in Australia on Anzac Day aged 14 - can be freed from jail, the Parole Board has ruled.

    The 20-year-old, who can only be identified as RXG, sent encrypted messages instructing an Australian jihadist to launch attacks in 2015.

    He was jailed for life that year after admitting inciting terrorism overseas.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-55707342

    So life = 6 years. Don't tell the SNP for god's sake.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,359

    If Johnson had not taken the car it would have been confirmed by Downing Street.

    As someone of a similar age, height, sedentary lifestyle, and probably fitness level to Johnson (although considerably slimmer, even after his weight loss) believe me 14 miles is very far on a bike.
    Would it have? Are the PM's transport arrangements generally commented on?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,359
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    You best edit Wiki then, if you know better

    "The Falklands remained uninhabited until the 1764 establishment of Port Louis on East Falkland by French captain Louis Antoine de Bougainville and the 1766 foundation of Port Egmont on Saunders Island by British captain John MacBride. Whether or not the settlements were aware of each other's existence is debated by historians. In 1766, France surrendered its claim on the Falklands to Spain, which renamed the French colony Puerto Soledad the following year. Problems began when Spain discovered and captured Port Egmont in 1770. War was narrowly avoided by its restitution to Britain in 1771."
    Bold italics is very good, but did all this happen BC, or does 1764 come before 1766? Our claim to rank above Spain (see?) rests de facto on the invasion (that thing Galtieri did) of 1833.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    The Falklands were French before they were British, and passed on by the French to the Spanish. Our claim arises from an invasion in 1833.

    The islands are a boring edge case. The most interesting thing about the whole thing is the ad hoc promotion of self-determination to an Immutable Tory Truth, when it started life with Marx and then got adopted by the USA as a way of trolling the British out of their empire.
    There's nothing ad hoc about it, self-determination has been a guiding principle since World War Two.

    It is the decent and civilised thing to believe in and shame on anyone who tries to deny self-determination to anyone - whether it be jackboots sending tanks into Scotland, or Galtieri sending ships into the Falklands.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527

    Yep but this is a very perilous time for Labour. I've seen it all-too-often. It happened with the Falklands War, a war I hasten to add with which I profoundly disagreed and still do. The mood in the country went all 'whoopee.' A LOTO who then comes across as a miserable fart will be annihilated in the following election.

    I can see this coming. In 6 months we will have all-but-eliminated the virus from these shores and British citizens, carrying their world leading vaccine stamp, will be able to travel the world. We are in the early stages of a STUNNING success story. I've been very critical of Johnson. In many ways I loathe him but I cannot begrudge him the fact that he has achieved a quite sensational success with the vaccines. And Brexit is not the disaster so far that some thought it would be. Indeed, our vaccine rollout is undoubtedly helped by being out of the EU.

    The press, especially, the tabloids are going to be gung-ho. Today's fronts are but a mere foretaste of the salivation with which the leader writers are going to get behind Boris.

    Labour are toast for the next election.
    Just as the party was in 1945.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 54,219
    MaxPB said:

    A Tory government shouldn't fear bad headlines in the Guardian, it should relish them. It's a sign that they are doing something right.
    It would have been quite a bit more than that - chunks of the Conservative party included.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    RobD said:
    Trojan horse.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,359
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Bold italics is very good, but did all this happen BC, or does 1764 come before 1766? Our claim to rank above Spain (see?) rests de facto on the invasion (that thing Galtieri did) of 1833.
    It is irrelevant. Countries invaded each other in 1833 that was OK then.

    The civilised world agreed to stop invading each other in the twenty century not the nineteenth. Galtieri was after that. Since World War Two we have relied upon self-determination to govern the world order not invasions.

    Stuff happened in the past, you can't change history. All you can or should do now is campaign through the ballot box. The past is locked in.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810
    edited January 2021
    kle4 said:

    There's nothing particularly unusual about states having ownership of land some way from main territory. You might as well ask if it is unusual that any state is the shape it is, since they have certainly not always been fixed and as we know many modern states have rather peculiar borders that have caused much difficulty over the years. Turkey is predominantly Asia Minor, should the land over the Bosphorous be removed from it? What, don't you think it odd that 95% of the country is on one continent and 5% on another?

    You seem fixated on it being 'odd' to have some islands a long way away under the aegis of the British state, but it really isn't that odd to have far flung territories.

    What does how it looks or feels matter? What matters in the modern age is what people think, especially settled, historical populations.
    Everything about political geography is odd so nothing is? I suppose you could view things this way. But for me this not a binary matter of "odd" versus "not at all odd". So, your example, I don't find the shape of Turkey to be as odd as a British island in the South Pacific. This could be because I'm British not Turkish but I don't think so. As I said, I think it works the other way. You're more likely to be blinded to strange aspects of your own country.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 14,482
    Afternoon all :)

    I see last week's scenes of overcrowding on the London Underground have reached Government with Grant Shapps trying to get the construction industry to change its working practices.

    As East London is the cheapest part of capital to find rental property, it's no surprise a lot of construction workers travel to sites in other parts of the capital and beyond from stations like East Ham, Canning Town and the like.

    When I used to travel, you would like scores of construction workers (with their equipment) on the platform at East Ham before 7am and a lot of them would move to the Jubilee at West Ham.

    Last Thursday's problem was caused, I believe, by staff sickness meaning two or three Services were taken out leaving a huge gap between trains and ensuring the first one in was rammed.

    TFL is obliged, as part of its cash bailout from the Government, to run normal services all day so empty tubes go up and down the lines in mid-morning and early afternoon. The problem is one of driver resources and capacity. The Jubilee Line is a heavily over-crowded line - the signalling is old and can't accommodate the frequency of service (one a minute) you would need. Any gaps in drivers or trains leads to big problems in the morning and evening peak periods.
  • kinabalu said:

    Everything about political geography is odd so nothing is? I suppose you could view things this way. But for me this not a binary matter of "odd" versus "not at all odd". So, for example, your example, I don't find the shape of Turkey to be as odd as a British island in the South Pacific. This could be that I'm British not Turkish but I don't think so. As I said, I think it works the other way. You're more likely to be blinded to strange aspects of your own country.
    Why do you keep calling it "a British island" or "British rule" rather than a self-governing, self-ruling island that happens to pool some sovereignty because it wants to do so with Britain?

    They have their own Parliament and their own democracy. They rule themselves. When will you stop ignoring that and accept that?

    Do you think Britain still rules Australia?
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    There's nothing ad hoc about it, self-determination has been a guiding principle since World War Two.

    It is the decent and civilised thing to believe in and shame on anyone who tries to deny self-determination to anyone - whether it be jackboots sending tanks into Scotland, or Galtieri sending ships into the Falklands.
    Yes, as I said. The USA sponsored it as a way of trolling the British. It is a principle with some limited utility in some circumstances.
  • They'll be really f****d if the Shetlands decide to secede in order to reclaim their Viking cultural heritage by rejoining Normay rather than the EU.
    On the assumption that the ‘they’ that will be really fucked is Scotland, please try to avoid the suggestion of tumescence at the prospect, it’s most unseemly.

    Anyway after the grotesquerie that is the UK, who wouldn’t want to rejoin a normy country.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,022
    RobD said:

    Would it have? Are the PM's transport arrangements generally commented on?
    Hell no. They never comment on movement of VIPs, nor the precise security arrangements.

    He even takes several different routes from Downing St to Parliament, and leaves at random times, never to a repeating schedule.

    The ‘zig-zag route’ out of London towards Northolt or Chequers is something worth watching, as they control dozens of sets of traffic lights in sequence, to get the PM’s car through without stopping even in heavy traffic, with only four outriding bikes.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 79,234

    Current house prices are irrelevant, the purchase price is a major determinant of your working class status.
    Buckingham House was bought for £21,000 then extended...
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 44,101

    She

    No I'm not as anyone would know if they'd seen my posts last election. I am just very 'meh' about Keir Starmer and I'm extremely impressed by the vaccine success of this Gov't.

    That's the trouble with some on here, and the gravest mistake some make when betting: tribal loyalty.

    Even Mike Smithson, whose views are similar to my own, has acknowledged the Johnson success on the vaccines. It would be absurdly churlish to pretend otherwise.

    And it's perilous for Labour to be seen carping.
    Long long way from success, only yesterday they were talking about September for all to have first jab so plan will not complete this year?????
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,060

    It is irrelevant. Countries invaded each other in 1833 that was OK then.

    The civilised world agreed to stop invading each other in the twenty century not the nineteenth. Galtieri was after that. Since World War Two we have relied upon self-determination to govern the world order not invasions.

    Stuff happened in the past, you can't change history. All you can or should do now is campaign through the ballot box. The past is locked in.
    Not so true now in either Hong Kong or Catalonia
  • HYUFD said:

    Not so true now in either Hong Kong or Catalonia
    Decent people stand against what is happening in Hong Kong and Catalonia.

    Only you look at the Chinese Communists and think "that looks good to me, we should do that here". And you have the gall to call yourself a Conservative.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    Why do you keep calling it "a British island" or "British rule" rather than a self-governing, self-ruling island that happens to pool some sovereignty because it wants to do so with Britain?

    They have their own Parliament and their own democracy. They rule themselves. When will you stop ignoring that and accept that?

    Do you think Britain still rules Australia?
    Sclerotic little buggers.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 51,108

    AFAIK Boris lives in Islington.

    It's barely four miles from there to the Olympic Park. If that's not local, what is?

    That place is sold.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 73,548
    <
    IshmaelZ said:

    The Falklands were French before they were British, and passed on by the French to the Spanish. Our claim arises from an invasion in 1833.

    The islands are a boring edge case. The most interesting thing about the whole thing is the ad hoc promotion of self-determination to an Immutable Tory Truth, when it started life with Marx and then got adopted by the USA as a way of trolling the British out of their empire.
    There was a prior claim from a sighting in 1765, accompanied by a settlement which was abandoned in 1771.

    Indeed, the Argentine colonists present in 1832 (not 1833, although as the British expedition reached the Falklands only at the end of December and negotiations continued until the 2nd January I can see why you would think that) had made a point of informing the British consul in Buenos Aires that they were going to set up a colony, precisely because they were aware of Britain’s claim.

    A final irony arises from the fact that most of the settlers when the Royal Navy arrived were in fact British by nationality anyway, including Vernet’s deputy Matthew Brisbane.
  • Pulpstar said:

    Buckingham House was bought for £21,000 then extended...
    Is that Buck House, Telford, as seen on Homes under the Hammer?
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 33,255
    edited January 2021
    kinabalu said:

    Everything about political geography is odd so nothing is? I suppose you could view things this way. But for me this not a binary matter of "odd" versus "not at all odd". So, your example, I don't find the shape of Turkey to be as odd as a British island in the South Pacific. This could be because I'm British not Turkish but I don't think so. As I said, I think it works the other way. You're more likely to be blinded to strange aspects of your own country.
    As I have already pointed out you really do need to get your geography right if you are going to indulge in these discussions. The islands are in the South Atlantic, not the South Pacific.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552

    On the assumption that the ‘they’ that will be really fucked is Scotland, please try to avoid the suggestion of tumescence at the prospect, it’s most unseemly.

    Anyway after the grotesquerie that is the UK, who wouldn’t want to rejoin a normy country.
    So you'd take Scotland joining Norway, over remaining in the UK?

    Interesting.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    No it is not. It is history.

    The only thing that matters is self-determination. Nothing else matters.

    Should the Argentinians be repatriated back to Spain? Should descendents of slaves be repatriated back to Africa?

    Either you believe in self-determination or you do not. Do you?
    I look favourably on it but I don't think I believe in anything to the extent that "nothing else matters". That sounds slightly deranged to my ear.
  • ydoethur said:

    <

    There was a prior claim from a sighting in 1765, accompanied by a settlement which was abandoned in 1771.

    Indeed, the Argentine colonists present in 1832 (not 1833, although as the British expedition reached the Falklands only at the end of December and negotiations continued until the 2nd January I can see why you would think that) had made a point of informing the British consul in Buenos Aires that they were going to set up a colony, precisely because they were aware of Britain’s claim.

    A final irony arises from the fact that most of the settlers when the Royal Navy arrived were in fact British by nationality anyway, including Vernet’s deputy Matthew Brisbane.
    Well written but Spanish colonists surely in 1832? There was no Argentina then.

    The Argentinians may be descendents of Spanish colonists just like the Falkland Islanders are descendents of British colonists, but I don't see why one form of colonialism should trump another, just because the Spanish sent more over to a bigger land. The Falkland Islanders have every bit as much legitimacy to be where they were born as the Argentinians do to be where they were born.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited January 2021
    kinabalu said:

    I look favourably on it but I don't think I believe in anything to the extent that "nothing else matters". That sounds slightly deranged to my ear.
    How is self-determination ever deranged?

    Either you are free or you are not. It is the only thing that matters. What trumps self-determination?

    Everything else in life flows from people's choices under self-determination, take that away and you are heading into the realms of slavery.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,979

    God, I really do detest upper/middle class people trying pass themselves off as working class.

    https://twitter.com/mattsmithetc/status/1351146352676372480

    My experience of genuinely working class people (ie, my parents) was that they were very keen to get on, and become "middle class" as soon as possible.
  • Why do you keep calling it "a British island" or "British rule" rather than a self-governing, self-ruling island that happens to pool some sovereignty because it wants to do so with Britain?

    They have their own Parliament and their own democracy. They rule themselves. When will you stop ignoring that and accept that?

    Do you think Britain still rules Australia?
    To be fair there is a big difference between an independent country and an Overseas territory. Under International law the islands belong to Britain although of course that is disputed by Argentina. The Foreign Office still has to approve any new laws and still has a great deal of responsibility and power when it comes to the islands. The comparison with Australia which is an independent country which shares a head of state is not really accurate.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    So you'd take Scotland joining Norway, over remaining in the UK?

    Interesting.
    The proposal is O & S rejoin Norway. They have a fairly solid historical case (you don't have to be a neo Thatcherite self-determinationist to see that giving away countries as dowries is not really on) and there's a lot of sense in becoming part of Norway from the territorial waters POV - gets you round being an exclave.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552
    HYUFD said:
    Almost 100 soldiers....80 sites.....

    I've heard of the Thin Red Line, but that's ridiculous!
  • kinabalu said:

    I look favourably on it but I don't think I believe in anything to the extent that "nothing else matters". That sounds slightly deranged to my ear.
    If self determination sounds deranged then I would suggest you are the one who needs to examine their value system.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 54,552

    Very, very good.

    Is it just me, or does everyone look at that picture and think "Monty Python"?
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8XeDvKqI4E&ab_channel=ArmyTanksStudios
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 127,060

    Decent people stand against what is happening in Hong Kong and Catalonia.

    Only you look at the Chinese Communists and think "that looks good to me, we should do that here". And you have the gall to call yourself a Conservative.
    Unlike the Chinese Communist government or the Spanish government the UK government granted Scotland an independence referendum in 2014 and they decided to stay in the UK in a once in a generation vote.

    The UK government has also not removed legislators from Holyrood as the Chinese government has removed legislators from the Hong Kong legislature
  • Only 155k jabs done in England yesterday...
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 44,810

    There are many and varied reasons - almost none of them associated with any old feelings about Empire - why countries might think it good to retain control of far flung places. One of the most obvious for me comes in the form of environmental management. Britain is now responsible for the largest marine protected zone in the world in the Indian Ocean and is responsible for a total of 6.8 million Km2 of marine protected zones around the world.
    No doubt. But I'm not talking about the macro geopolitics. I'm talking about how a British person, a normal British person, feels when they consider the notion of British rule over far flung places. Do they feel it is (i) a hangover from the colonial past that feels odd and a bit wrong in 2021, or (ii) just the normal way of things, Britain being Britain, and woe betide anybody who suggests otherwise?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 76,733
    Rep. John Katko: Why I became the first Republican lawmaker to support impeachment
    https://thehill.com/blogs/congress-blog/politics/534654-rep-john-katko-why-i-became-the-first-republican-lawmaker-to
    On Jan. 12, I announced my support for the article of impeachment against President Trump before the House of Representatives. At that moment, I was the only Republican member of Congress to do so.

    I was elected to Congress in 2014, and am serving my 4th term. While a majority of voters in my Central New York district supported Secretary Hillary Clinton and Vice President Biden over President Trump, my district is home to some of President Trump’s strongest supporters. Just two months ago, I voted for President Trump myself. For years I have truly heard from all sides. I respect and understand their views.

    The decision to impeach a sitting President that millions of Americans, including many of my constituents, voted for is one that I do not take lightly or enjoy. The Founders correctly established a very high bar for impeachment. I voted against the articles of impeachment previously brought against President Trump in 2019, because I found those charges politically motivated, and well beneath the high threshold established for impeachment. I have been vocal over the last four years when I disagreed with the president, but am not a “Never Trumper” nor am I part of “The Resistance.” I have simply tried to do my job in what we can all agree has been a tumultuous four years....

    ...I am a former federal prosecutor. That was my life’s work before I ran for Congress. I dedicated my career to upholding the law, bringing lawbreakers to justice, and keeping people safe. We were presented with a vote on whether or not we think there is sufficient evidence to indict the president. As I always do, I looked only at the facts, not the politics. In the same politically unclouded process I used as a federal prosecutor, I came to the conclusion that the president’s role in the insurrection was undeniable. Both on social media ahead of Jan. 6, and in his speech that day, he deliberately promoted baseless theories that created a combustible environment of misinformation and division. Our nation simply cannot function without the peaceful transfer of power and the recognition of carefully reviewed election results. To allow the president of the United States to incite this attack without consequence is a direct threat to the future of our democracy and to our security.

    No one wishes to see our country heal and unite more than I do. Even after one of our darkest days, America remains the greatest nation on earth. I'm not only optimistic, but fully committed to the unity and healing we need. But, first we need to do our jobs. As members of Congress, we take oaths to defend the Constitution regardless of political party — because at times, it needs defending.
  • Only 155k jabs done in England yesterday...

    Weekend effect?

    That ratio I mentioned yesterday is going to look bad today.
This discussion has been closed.